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In multi-label emotion classification, particularly for low-resource languages like Arabic, the challenges of class imbalance and label correlation hinder model performance, especially in accurately predicting minority emotions. To address these issues, this study proposes a novel approach that combines stacked embeddings, meta-learning, and a hybrid loss function to enhance multi-label emotion classification for the Arabic language. The study extracts contextual embeddings from three fine-tuned language models-ArabicBERT, MarBERT, and AraBERT-which are then stacked to form enriched embeddings. A meta-learner is trained on these stacked embeddings, and the resulting concatenated representations are provided as input to a Bi-LSTM model, followed by a fully connected neural network for multi-label classification. To further improve performance, a hybrid loss function is introduced, incorporating class weighting, label correlation matrix, and contrastive learning, effectively addressing class imbalances and improving the handling of label correlations. Extensive experiments validate the proposed model's performance across key metrics such as Precision, Recall, F1-Score, Jaccard Accuracy, and Hamming Loss. The class-wise performance analysis demonstrates the hybrid loss function's ability to significantly reduce disparities between majority and minority classes, resulting in a more balanced emotion classification. An ablation study highlights the contribution of each component, showing the superiority of the model compared to baseline approaches and other loss functions. This study not only advances multi-label emotion classification for Arabic but also presents a generalizable framework that can be adapted to other languages and domains, providing a significant step forward in addressing the challenges of low-resource emotion classification tasks., Comment: The paper is submitted in Scientific Reports and is currently under review

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) provide a structured framework for decision-making under uncertainty, but their application requires efficient belief updates. Sequential Importance Resampling Particle Filters (SIRPF), also known as Bootstrap Particle Filters, are commonly used as belief updaters in large approximate POMDP solvers, but they face challenges such as particle deprivation and high computational costs as the system's state dimension grows. To address these issues, this study introduces Rao-Blackwellized POMDP (RB-POMDP) approximate solvers and outlines generic methods to apply Rao-Blackwellization in both belief updates and online planning. We compare the performance of SIRPF and Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filters (RBPF) in a simulated localization problem where an agent navigates toward a target in a GPS-denied environment using POMCPOW and RB-POMCPOW planners. Our results not only confirm that RBPFs maintain accurate belief approximations over time with fewer particles, but, more surprisingly, RBPFs combined with quadrature-based integration improve planning quality significantly compared to SIRPF-based planning under the same computational limits.

Autonomous selection of optimal options for data collection from multiple alternatives is challenging in uncertain environments. When secondary information about options is accessible, such problems can be framed as contextual multi-armed bandits (CMABs). Neuro-inspired active inference has gained interest for its ability to balance exploration and exploitation using the expected free energy objective function. Unlike previous studies that showed the effectiveness of active inference based strategy for CMABs using synthetic data, this study aims to apply active inference to realistic scenarios, using a simulated mineralogical survey site selection problem. Hyperspectral data from AVIRIS-NG at Cuprite, Nevada, serves as contextual information for predicting outcome probabilities, while geologists' mineral labels represent outcomes. Monte Carlo simulations assess the robustness of active inference against changing expert preferences. Results show that active inference requires fewer iterations than standard bandit approaches with real-world noisy and biased data, and performs better when outcome preferences vary online by adapting the selection strategy to align with expert shifts., Comment: 10 pages, 12 figures, submitted to IEEE Transactions on Robotics

How can intelligent machines assess their competencies in completing tasks? This question has come into focus for autonomous systems that algorithmically reason and make decisions under uncertainty. It is argued here that machine self-confidence - a form of meta-reasoning based on self-assessments of an agent's knowledge about the state of the world and itself, as well as its ability to reason about and execute tasks - leads to many eminently computable and useful competency indicators for such agents. This paper presents a culmination of work on this concept in the form of a computational framework called Factorized Machine Self-confidence (FaMSeC), which provides a holistic engineering-focused description of factors driving an algorithmic decision-making process, including: outcome assessment, solver quality, model quality, alignment quality, and past experience. In FaMSeC, self confidence indicators are derived from hierarchical `problem-solving statistics' embedded within broad classes of probabilistic decision-making algorithms such as Markov decision processes. The problem-solving statistics are obtained by evaluating and grading probabilistic exceedance margins with respect to given competency standards, which are specified for each of the various decision-making competency factors by the informee (e.g. a non-expert user or an expert system designer). This approach allows `algorithmic goodness of fit' evaluations to be easily incorporated into the design of many kinds of autonomous agents in the form of human-interpretable competency self-assessment reports. Detailed descriptions and application examples for a Markov decision process agent show how two of the FaMSeC factors (outcome assessment and solver quality) can be computed and reported for a range of possible tasking contexts through novel use of meta-utility functions, behavior simulations, and surrogate prediction models., Comment: 59 pages, 22 figures, draft to be submitted for journal review

When a robot autonomously performs a complex task, it frequently must balance competing objectives while maintaining safety. This becomes more difficult in uncertain environments with stochastic outcomes. Enhancing transparency in the robot's behavior and aligning with user preferences are also crucial. This paper introduces a novel framework for multi-objective reinforcement learning that ensures safe task execution, optimizes trade-offs between objectives, and adheres to user preferences. The framework has two main layers: a multi-objective task planner and a high-level selector. The planning layer generates a set of optimal trade-off plans that guarantee satisfaction of a temporal logic task. The selector uses active inference to decide which generated plan best complies with user preferences and aids learning. Operating iteratively, the framework updates a parameterized learning model based on collected data. Case studies and benchmarks on both manipulation and mobile robots show that our framework outperforms other methods and (i) learns multiple optimal trade-offs, (ii) adheres to a user preference, and (iii) allows the user to adjust the balance between (i) and (ii)., Comment: 17 pages, 10 figures, submitted to IEEE Transactions on Robotics journal

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In this study, we formulate and evaluate three fundamental deep learning approaches for conditional probability density modeling to quantify non-Gaussian aleatoric uncertainty: parametric, discretized, and generative modeling. We systematically compare the respective strengths and weaknesses of these three methods on simulated non-Gaussian densities as well as on real-world terrain-relative navigation data. Our results show that these deep learning methods can accurately capture complex uncertainty patterns, highlighting their potential for improving the reliability and robustness of estimation systems., Comment: 8 pages, 7 figures

Heterogeneous Bayesian decentralized data fusion captures the set of problems in which two robots must combine two probability density functions over non-equal, but overlapping sets of random variables. In the context of multi-robot dynamic systems, this enables robots to take a "divide and conquer" approach to reason and share data over complementary tasks instead of over the full joint state space. For example, in a target tracking application, this allows robots to track different subsets of targets and share data on only common targets. This paper presents a framework by which robots can each use a local factor graph to represent relevant partitions of a complex global joint probability distribution, thus allowing them to avoid reasoning over the entirety of a more complex model and saving communication as well as computation costs. From a theoretical point of view, this paper makes contributions by casting the heterogeneous decentralized fusion problem in terms of a factor graph, analyzing the challenges that arise due to dynamic filtering, and then developing a new conservative filtering algorithm that ensures statistical correctness. From a practical point of view, we show how this framework can be used to represent different multi-robot applications and then test it with simulations and hardware experiments to validate and demonstrate its statistical conservativeness, applicability, and robustness to real-world challenges., Comment: 15 pages, 13 figures, submitted for review at IEEE Transactions on Robotics (T-RO)

We consider the problem of evaluating dynamic consistency in discrete time probabilistic filters that approximate stochastic system state densities with Gaussian mixtures. Dynamic consistency means that the estimated probability distributions correctly describe the actual uncertainties. As such, the problem of consistency testing naturally arises in applications with regards to estimator tuning and validation. However, due to the general complexity of the density functions involved, straightforward approaches for consistency testing of mixture-based estimators have remained challenging to define and implement. This paper derives a new exact result for Gaussian mixture consistency testing within the framework of normalized deviation squared (NDS) statistics. It is shown that NDS test statistics for generic multivariate Gaussian mixture models exactly follow mixtures of generalized chi-square distributions, for which efficient computational tools are available. The accuracy and utility of the resulting consistency tests are numerically demonstrated on static and dynamic mixture estimation examples., Comment: 8 pages, 4 figures; final manuscript to be published 2024 American Control Conference (ACC 2024), corrected small typos and updated Fig. 1 for clarity

For robotic decision-making under uncertainty, the balance between exploitation and exploration of available options must be carefully taken into account. In this study, we introduce a new variant of contextual multi-armed bandits called observation-augmented CMABs (OA-CMABs) wherein a decision-making agent can utilize extra outcome observations from an external information source. CMABs model the expected option outcomes as a function of context features and hidden parameters, which are inferred from previous option outcomes. In OA-CMABs, external observations are also a function of context features and thus provide additional evidence about the hidden parameters. Yet, if an external information source is error-prone, the resulting posterior updates can harm decision-making performance unless the presence of errors is considered. To this end, we propose a robust Bayesian inference process for OA-CMABs that is based on the concept of probabilistic data validation. Our approach handles complex mixture model parameter priors and hybrid observation likelihoods for semantic data sources, allowing us to develop validation algorithms based on recently develop probabilistic semantic data association techniques. Furthermore, to more effectively cope with the combined sources of uncertainty in OA-CMABs, we derive a new active inference algorithm for option selection based on expected free energy minimization. This generalizes previous work on active inference for bandit-based robotic decision-making by accounting for faulty observations and non-Gaussian inference. Our approaches are demonstrated on a simulated asynchronous search site selection problem for space exploration. The results show that even if incorrect observations are provided by external information sources, efficient decision-making and robust parameter inference are still achieved in a wide variety of experimental conditions., Comment: 8 pages, 9 figures

This paper considers the problem of evaluating an autonomous system's competency in performing a task, particularly when working in dynamic and uncertain environments. The inherent opacity of machine learning models, from the perspective of the user, often described as a `black box', poses a challenge. To overcome this, we propose using a measure called the Surprise index, which leverages available measurement data to quantify whether the dynamic system performs as expected. We show that the surprise index can be computed in closed form for dynamic systems when observed evidence in a probabilistic model if the joint distribution for that evidence follows a multivariate Gaussian marginal distribution. We then apply it to a nonlinear spacecraft maneuver problem, where actions are chosen by a reinforcement learning agent and show it can indicate how well the trajectory follows the required orbit., Comment: 10 pages, 5 figures, presented at AIAA SciTech 2024

Current methods of deploying robots that operate in dynamic, uncertain environments, such as Uncrewed Aerial Systems in search \& rescue missions, require nearly continuous human supervision for vehicle guidance and operation. These methods do not consider high-level mission context resulting in cumbersome manual operation or inefficient exhaustive search patterns. We present a human-centered autonomous framework that infers geospatial mission context through dynamic feature sets, which then guides a probabilistic target search planner. Operators provide a set of diverse inputs, including priority definition, spatial semantic information about ad-hoc geographical areas, and reference waypoints, which are probabilistically fused with geographical database information and condensed into a geospatial distribution representing an operator's preferences over an area. An online, POMDP-based planner, optimized for target searching, is augmented with this reward map to generate an operator-constrained policy. Our results, simulated based on input from five professional rescuers, display effective task mental model alignment, 18\% more victim finds, and 15 times more efficient guidance plans then current operational methods., Comment: Accepted to ICRA 2024. 9 pages, 5 figures

A key challenge in Bayesian decentralized data fusion is the `rumor propagation' or `double counting' phenomenon, where previously sent data circulates back to its sender. It is often addressed by approximate methods like covariance intersection (CI) which takes a weighted average of the estimates to compute the bound. The problem is that this bound is not tight, i.e. the estimate is often over-conservative. In this paper, we show that by exploiting the probabilistic independence structure in multi-agent decentralized fusion problems a tighter bound can be found using (i) an expansion to the CI algorithm that uses multiple (non-monolithic) weighting factors instead of one (monolithic) factor in the original CI and (ii) a general optimization scheme that is able to compute optimal bounds and fully exploit an arbitrary dependency structure. We compare our methods and show that on a simple problem, they converge to the same solution. We then test our new non-monolithic CI algorithm on a large-scale target tracking simulation and show that it achieves a tighter bound and a more accurate estimate compared to the original monolithic CI., Comment: 4 pages, 4 figures. presented at the Inference and Decision Making for Autonomous Vehicles (IDMAV) RSS 2023 workshop

BIQA (Blind Image Quality Assessment) is an important field of study that evaluates images automatically. Although significant progress has been made, blind image quality assessment remains a difficult task since images vary in content and distortions. Most algorithms generate quality without emphasizing the important region of interest. In order to solve this, a multi-stream spatial and channel attention-based algorithm is being proposed. This algorithm generates more accurate predictions with a high correlation to human perceptual assessment by combining hybrid features from two different backbones, followed by spatial and channel attention to provide high weights to the region of interest. Four legacy image quality assessment datasets are used to validate the effectiveness of our proposed approach. Authentic and synthetic distortion image databases are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, and we show that it has excellent generalization properties with a particular focus on the perceptual foreground information., Comment: Updated article is submitted in Springer Nature scientific reports and will be published

The nonlinear and stochastic relationship between noise covariance parameter values and state estimator performance makes optimal filter tuning a very challenging problem. Popular optimization-based tuning approaches can easily get trapped in local minima, leading to poor noise parameter identification and suboptimal state estimation. Recently, black box techniques based on Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPBO) have been shown to overcome many of these issues, using normalized estimation error squared (NEES) and normalized innovation error (NIS) statistics to derive cost functions for Kalman filter auto-tuning. While reliable noise parameter estimates are obtained in many cases, GPBO solutions obtained with these conventional cost functions do not always converge to optimal filter noise parameters and lack robustness to parameter ambiguities in time-discretized system models. This paper addresses these issues by making two main contributions. First, we show that NIS and NEES errors are only chi-squared distributed for tuned estimators. As a result, chi-square tests are not sufficient to ensure that an estimator has been correctly tuned. We use this to extend the familiar consistency tests for NIS and NEES to penalize if the distribution is not chi-squared distributed. Second, this cost measure is applied within a Student-t processes Bayesian Optimization (TPBO) to achieve robust estimator performance for time discretized state space models. The robustness, accuracy, and reliability of our approach are illustrated on classical state estimation problems., Comment: 34 pages, 9 figures, submitted to IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems

In many robotics problems, there is a significant gain in collaborative information sharing between multiple robots, for exploration, search and rescue, tracking multiple targets, or mapping large environments. One of the key implicit assumptions when solving cooperative multi-robot problems is that all robots use the same (homogeneous) underlying algorithm. However, in practice, we want to allow collaboration between robots possessing different capabilities and that therefore must rely on heterogeneous algorithms. We present a system architecture and the supporting theory, to enable collaboration in a decentralized network of robots, where each robot relies on different estimation algorithms. To develop our approach, we focus on multi-robot simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) with multi-target tracking. Our theoretical framework builds on our idea of exploiting the conditional independence structure inherent to many robotics applications to separate between each robot's local inference (estimation) tasks and fuse only relevant parts of their non-equal, but overlapping probability density function (pdfs). We present a new decentralized graph-based approach to the multi-robot SLAM and tracking problem. We leverage factor graphs to split between different parts of the problem for efficient data sharing between robots in the network while enabling robots to use different local sparse landmark/dense/metric-semantic SLAM algorithms., Comment: 5 pages, 2 figures, presented at the ICRA 2023 workshop on "Distributed Graph Algorithms for Robotics"

Digital images contain a lot of redundancies, therefore, compression techniques are applied to reduce the image size without loss of reasonable image quality. Same become more prominent in the case of videos which contains image sequences and higher compression ratios are achieved in low throughput networks. Assessment of quality of images in such scenarios has become of particular interest. Subjective evaluation in most of the scenarios is infeasible so objective evaluation is preferred. Among the three objective quality measures, full-reference and reduced-reference methods require an original image in some form to calculate the image quality which is unfeasible in scenarios such as broadcasting, acquisition or enhancement. Therefore, a no-reference Perceptual Image Quality Index (PIQI) is proposed in this paper to assess the quality of digital images which calculates luminance and gradient statistics along with mean subtracted contrast normalized products in multiple scales and color spaces. These extracted features are provided to a stacked ensemble of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to perform the perceptual quality evaluation. The performance of the PIQI is checked on six benchmark databases and compared with twelve state-of-the-art methods and competitive results are achieved. The comparison is made based on RMSE, Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients between ground truth and predicted quality scores. The scores of 0.0552, 0.9802 and 0.9776 are achieved respectively for these metrics on CSIQ database. Two cross-dataset evaluation experiments are performed to check the generalization of PIQI.

Blind image quality assessment is a challenging task particularly due to the unavailability of reference information. Training a deep neural network requires a large amount of training data which is not readily available for image quality. Transfer learning is usually opted to overcome this limitation and different deep architectures are used for this purpose as they learn features differently. After extensive experiments, we have designed a deep architecture containing two CNN architectures as its sub-units. Moreover, a self-collected image database BIQ2021 is proposed with 12,000 images having natural distortions. The self-collected database is subjectively scored and is used for model training and validation. It is demonstrated that synthetic distortion databases cannot provide generalization beyond the distortion types used in the database and they are not ideal candidates for general-purpose image quality assessment. Moreover, a large-scale database of 18.75 million images with synthetic distortions is used to pretrain the model and then retrain it on benchmark databases for evaluation. Experiments are conducted on six benchmark databases three of which are synthetic distortion databases (LIVE, CSIQ and TID2013) and three are natural distortion databases (LIVE Challenge Database, CID2013 and KonIQ-10 k). The proposed approach has provided a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.8992, 0.8472 and 0.9452 subsequently and Spearman correlation coefficient of 0.8863, 0.8408 and 0.9421. Moreover, the performance is demonstrated using perceptually weighted rank correlation to indicate the perceptual superiority of the proposed approach. Multiple experiments are conducted to validate the generalization performance of the proposed model by training on different subsets of the databases and validating on the test subset of BIQ2021 database.

We consider a chance-constrained multi-robot motion planning problem in the presence of Gaussian motion and sensor noise. Our proposed algorithm, CC-K-CBS, leverages the scalability of kinodynamic conflict-based search (K-CBS) in conjunction with the efficiency of the Gaussian belief trees used in the Belief-A framework, and inherits the completeness guarantees of Belief-A's low-level sampling-based planner. We also develop three different methods for robot-robot probabilistic collision checking, which trade off computation with accuracy. Our algorithm generates motion plans driving each robot from its initial state to its goal while accounting for the evolution of its uncertainty with chance-constrained safety guarantees. Benchmarks compare computation time to conservatism of the collision checkers, in addition to characterizing the performance of the planner as a whole. Results show that CC-K-CBS can scale up to 30 robots., Comment: Submitted to Robotics and Automation Letters in July 2023

As autonomous robots are deployed in increasingly complex environments, platform degradation, environmental uncertainties, and deviations from validated operation conditions can make it difficult for human partners to understand robot capabilities and limitations. The ability for a robot to self-assess its competency in dynamic and uncertain environments will be a crucial next step in successful human-robot teaming. This work presents and evaluates an Event-Triggered Generalized Outcome Assessment (ET-GOA) algorithm for autonomous agents to dynamically assess task confidence during execution. The algorithm uses a fast online statistical test of the agent's observations and its model predictions to decide when competency assessment is needed. We provide experimental results using ET-GOA to generate competency reports during a simulated delivery task and suggest future research directions for self-assessing agents., Comment: Accepted to the HRI 2023 workshop on Variable Autonomy for human-robot Teaming (VAT-HRI)

Giving autonomous agents the ability to forecast their own outcomes and uncertainty will allow them to communicate their competencies and be used more safely. We accomplish this by using a learned world model of the agent system to forecast full agent trajectories over long time horizons. Real world systems involve significant sources of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty that compound and interact over time in the trajectory forecasts. We develop a deep generative world model that quantifies aleatoric uncertainty while incorporating the effects of epistemic uncertainty during the learning process. We show on two reinforcement learning problems that our uncertainty model produces calibrated outcome uncertainty estimates over the full trajectory horizon., Comment: Accepted to ICRA 2023

Modern civilian and military systems have created a demand for sophisticated intelligent autonomous machines capable of operating in uncertain dynamic environments. Such systems are realizable thanks in large part to major advances in perception and decision-making techniques, which in turn have been propelled forward by modern machine learning tools. However, these newer forms of intelligent autonomy raise questions about when/how communication of the operational intent and assessments of actual vs. supposed capabilities of autonomous agents impact overall performance. This symposium examines the possibilities for enabling intelligent autonomous systems to self-assess and communicate their ability to effectively execute assigned tasks, as well as reason about the overall limits of their competencies and maintain operability within those limits. The symposium brings together researchers working in this burgeoning area of research to share lessons learned, identify major theoretical and practical challenges encountered so far, and potential avenues for future research and real-world applications.

We consider the problem of autonomous navigation using limited information from a remote sensor network. Because the remote sensors are power and bandwidth limited, we use event-triggered (ET) estimation to manage communication costs. We introduce a fast and efficient sampling-based planner which computes motion plans coupled with ET communication strategies that minimize communication costs, while satisfying constraints on the probability of reaching the goal region and the point-wise probability of collision. We derive a novel method for offline propagation of the expected state distribution, and corresponding bounds on this distribution. These bounds are used to evaluate the chance constraints in the algorithm. Case studies establish the validity of our approach, demonstrating fast computation of optimal plans., Comment: 8 pages, to appear in IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA), 2023

Crop diseases are a major threat to food security and their rapid identification is important to prevent yield loss. Swift identification of these diseases are difficult due to the lack of necessary infrastructure. Recent advances in computer vision and increasing penetration of smartphones have paved the way for smartphone-assisted disease identification. Most of the plant diseases leave particular artifacts on the foliar structure of the plant. This study was conducted in 2020 at Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan to check leaf-based plant disease identification. This study provided a deep neural network-based solution to foliar disease identification and incorporated image quality assessment to select the image of the required quality to perform identification and named it Agricultural Pathologist (Agro Path). The captured image by a novice photographer may contain noise, lack of structure, and blur which result in a failed or inaccurate diagnosis. Moreover, AgroPath model had 99.42% accuracy for foliar disease identification. The proposed addition can be especially useful for application of foliar disease identification in the field of agriculture.

In autonomous robotic decision-making under uncertainty, the tradeoff between exploitation and exploration of available options must be considered. If secondary information associated with options can be utilized, such decision-making problems can often be formulated as contextual multi-armed bandits (CMABs). In this study, we apply active inference, which has been actively studied in the field of neuroscience in recent years, as an alternative action selection strategy for CMABs. Unlike conventional action selection strategies, it is possible to rigorously evaluate the uncertainty of each option when calculating the expected free energy (EFE) associated with the decision agent's probabilistic model, as derived from the free-energy principle. We specifically address the case where a categorical observation likelihood function is used, such that EFE values are analytically intractable. We introduce new approximation methods for computing the EFE based on variational and Laplace approximations. Extensive simulation study results demonstrate that, compared to other strategies, active inference generally requires far fewer iterations to identify optimal options and generally achieves superior cumulative regret, for relatively low extra computational cost.

The factor graph decentralized data fusion (FG-DDF) framework was developed for the analysis and exploitation of conditional independence in {heterogeneous Bayesian decentralized fusion problems, in which robots update and fuse pdfs over different, but overlapping subsets of random states. This allows robots to efficiently use smaller probabilistic models and sparse message passing to accurately and scalably fuse relevant local parts of a larger global joint state pdf while accounting for data dependencies between robots. Whereas prior work required limiting assumptions about network connectivity and model linearity, this paper relaxes these to explore the applicability and robustness of FG-DDF in more general settings. We develop a new heterogeneous fusion rule which generalizes the homogeneous covariance intersection algorithm for such cases and test it in multi-robot tracking and localization scenarios with non-linear motion/observation models under communication dropouts. Simulation and hardware experiments show that, in practice, the FG-DDF continues to provide consistent filtered estimates under these more practical operating conditions, while reducing computation and communication costs by more than 99\%, thus enabling the design of scalable real-world multi-robot systems., Comment: 7 pages, 3 figures, 3 tables, submitted to IEEE/RSJ international Conference on intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS 2023). Replacing previous version to account to reviewers' comments, this is the version presented at IROS 2023

Although resource-limited networked autonomous systems must be able to efficiently and effectively accomplish tasks, better conservation of resources often results in worse task performance. We specifically address the problem of finding strategies for managing measurement communication costs between agents. A well understood technique for trading off communication costs with estimation accuracy is event triggering (ET), where measurements are only communicated when useful, e.g., when Kalman filter innovations exceed some threshold. In the absence of measurements, agents can use implicit information to achieve results almost as well as when explicit data is always communicated. However, there are no methods for setting this threshold with formal guarantees on task performance. We fill this gap by developing a novel belief space discretization technique to abstract a continuous space dynamics model for ET estimation to a discrete Markov decision process, which scalably accommodates threshold-sensitive ET estimator error covariances. We then apply an existing probabilistic trade-off analysis tool to find the set of all optimal trade-offs between resource consumption and task performance. From this set, an ET threshold selection strategy is extracted. Simulated results show our approach identifies non-trivial trade-offs between performance and energy savings, with only modest computational effort., Comment: 8 pages, accepted to IEEE Conference on Decision and Control 2022

The domain of public safety in the form of search \& rescue, wildland firefighting, structure firefighting, and law enforcement operations have drawn great interest in the field of aerospace engineering, human-robot teaming, autonomous systems, and robotics. However, a divergence exists in the assumptions made in research and how state-of-the-art technologies may realistically transition into an operational capacity. To aid in the alignment between researchers, technologists, and end users, we aim to provide perspective on how small Uncrewed Aerial Systems (sUAS) have been applied in 114 real world incidents as part of a technical rescue team from 2016 to 2021. We highlight the main applications, integration, tasks, and challenges of employing UAS within five primary use cases including searches, evidence collection, SWAT, wildland firefighting, and structure firefighting. Within these use cases, key incidents are featured that provide perspective on the evolving and dynamic nature of UAS tasking during an operation. Finally, we highlight key technical directions for improving the utilization and efficiency of employing aerial technology in all emergency types., Comment: Accepted to the International Conference of Unmanned Aerial Systems (ICUAS) 2022

For safe and reliable deployment in the real world, autonomous agents must elicit appropriate levels of trust from human users. One method to build trust is to have agents assess and communicate their own competencies for performing given tasks. Competency depends on the uncertainties affecting the agent, making accurate uncertainty quantification vital for competency assessment. In this work, we show how ensembles of deep generative models can be used to quantify the agent's aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties when forecasting task outcomes as part of competency assessment., Comment: Accepted at the Workshop on Safe and Reliable Robot Autonomy under Uncertainty at ICRA 2022, Philadelphia, USA

For autonomous agents to act as trustworthy partners to human users, they must be able to reliably communicate their competency for the tasks they are asked to perform. Towards this objective, we develop probabilistic world models based on deep generative modelling that allow for the simulation of agent trajectories and accurate calculation of tasking outcome probabilities. By combining the strengths of conditional variational autoencoders with recurrent neural networks, the deep generative world model can probabilistically forecast trajectories over long horizons to task completion. We show how these forecasted trajectories can be used to calculate outcome probability distributions, which enable the precise assessment of agent competency for specific tasks and initial settings.

We summarize our efforts to date in developing a framework for generating succinct human-understandable competency self-assessments in terms of machine self confidence, i.e. a robot's self-trust in its functional abilities to accomplish assigned tasks. Whereas early work explored machine self-confidence in ad hoc ways for niche applications, our Factorized Machine Self-Confidence framework introduces and combines several aspects of probabilistic meta reasoning for algorithmic planning and decision-making under uncertainty to arrive at a novel set of generalizable self-confidence factors, which can support competency assessment for a wide variety of problems., Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the AAAI SSS-22 Symposium "Closing the Assessment Loop: Communicating Proficiency and Intent in Human-Robot Teaming"

Human-robot teams will soon be expected to accomplish complex tasks in high-risk and uncertain environments. Here, the human may not necessarily be a robotics expert, but will need to establish a baseline understanding of the robot's abilities in order to appropriately utilize and rely on the robot. This willingness to rely, also known as trust, is based partly on the human's belief in the robot's proficiency at a given task. If trust is too high, the human may push the robot beyond its capabilities. If trust is too low, the human may not utilize it when they otherwise could have, wasting precious resources. In this work, we develop and execute an online human-subjects study to investigate how robot proficiency self-assessment reports based on Factorized Machine Self-Confidence affect operator trust and task performance in a grid world navigation task. Additionally we present and analyze a metric for trust level assessment, which measures the allocation of control between an operator and robot when the human teammate is free to switch between teleportation and autonomous control. Our results show that an a priori robot self-assessment report aligns operator trust with robot proficiency, and leads to performance improvements and small increases in self-reported trust., Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the AAAI SSS-22 Symposium "Closing the Assessment Loop: Communicating Proficiency and Intent in Human-Robot Teaming"

This paper presents a method for Bayesian multi-robot peer-to-peer data fusion where any pair of autonomous robots hold non-identical, but overlapping parts of a global joint probability distribution, representing real world inference tasks (e.g., mapping, tracking). It is shown that in dynamic stochastic systems, filtering, which corresponds to marginalization of past variables, results in direct and hidden dependencies between variables not mutually monitored by the robots, which might lead to an overconfident fused estimate. The paper makes both theoretical and practical contributions by providing (i) a rigorous analysis of the origin of the dependencies and and (ii) a conservative filtering algorithm for heterogeneous data fusion in dynamic systems that can be integrated with existing fusion algorithms. This work uses factor graphs as an analysis tool and an inference engine. Each robot in the network maintains a local factor graph and communicates only relevant parts of it (a sub-graph) to its neighboring robot. We discuss the applicability to various multi-robot robotic applications and demonstrate the performance using a multi-robot multi-target tracking simulation, showing that the proposed algorithm produces conservative estimates at each robot., Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, submitted to IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS 2022)