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Nucleic acid amplification tests, like real-time polymerase chain reaction, are widely used for pathogen detection; however, their interpretation rarely accounts for sampling variability. Instead, cycle threshold values are often categorized reducing precision. We describe how pathogen cycle threshold values can be normalized to endogenous host gene expression to correct for sampling variability and compare the validity of this approach to standardization with a standard curve. Normalization serves as a valid alternative to standardization, does not require making a standard curve, increases precision, accounts for sampling variability, and can be easily applied to large clinical or surveillance datasets for informative interpretation.

BackgroundWidespread human-to-human transmission of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus two (SARS-CoV-2) stems from a strong affinity for the cellular receptor angiotensin converting enzyme two (ACE2). We investigate the relationship between a patient’s nasopharyngealACE2transcription and secondary transmission within a series of concurrent hospital associated SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in British Columbia, Canada.MethodsEpidemiological case data from the outbreak investigations was merged with public health laboratory records and viral lineage calls, from whole genome sequencing, to reconstruct the concurrent outbreaks using infection tracing transmission network analysis.ACE2transcription and RNA viral load were measured by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. The transmission network was resolved to calculate the number of potential secondary cases. Bivariate and multivariable analyses using Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models was performed to estimate the association betweenACE2transcription the number of SARS-CoV-2 secondary cases.ResultsThe infection tracing transmission network provided n = 76 potential transmission events across n = 103 cases. Bivariate comparisons found that on averageACE2transcription did not differ between patients and healthcare workers (P = 0.86). HighACE2transcription was observed in 98.6% of transmission events, either the primary or secondary case had above averageACE2. Multivariable analysis found that the association betweenACE2transcription and the number of secondary transmission events differs between patients and healthcare workers. In health care workers Negative Binomial regression estimated that a one unit change inACE2transcription decreases the number of secondary cases (B = −0.132 (95%CI: −0.255 to −0.0181) adjusting for RNA viral load. Conversely, in patients a one unit change inACE2transcription increases the number of secondary cases (B = 0.187 (95% CI: 0.0101 to 0.370) adjusting for RNA viral load. Sensitivity analysis found no significant relationship betweenACE2and secondary transmission in health care workers and confirmed the positive association among patients.ConclusionOur study suggests thatACE2transcription has a positive association with SARS-CoV-2 secondary transmission in admitted inpatients, but not health care workers in concurrent hospital associated outbreaks, and it should be further investigated as a risk-factor for viral transmission.

BackgroundPolymerase chain reaction (PCR) cycle threshold (Ct) values can be used to estimate the viral burden of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and predict population-level epidemic trends. We investigated the use of machine learning (ML) and epidemic transmission modeling based on Ct value distribution for SARS-CoV-2 incidence prediction during an Omicron-predominant period.MethodsUsing simulated data, we developed a ML model to predict the reproductive number based on Ct value distribution, and validated it on out-of-sample province-level data. We also developed an epidemiological model and fitted it to province-level data to accurately predict incidence.ResultsBased on simulated data, the ML model predicted the reproductive number with highest performance on out-of-sample province-level data. The epidemiological model was validated on outbreak data, and fitted to province-level data, and accurately predicted incidence.ConclusionsThese modeling approaches can complement traditional surveillance, especially when diagnostic testing practices change over time. The models can be tailored to different epidemiological settings and used in real time to guide public health interventions.FundingThis work was supported by funding from Genome BC, Michael Smith Foundation for Health Research and British Columbia Centre for Disease Control Foundation to C.A.H. This work was also funded by the Public Health Agency of Canada COVID-19 Immunity Task Force COVID-19 Hot Spots Competition Grant (2021-HQ-000120) to M.G.R.

Background In British Columbia, Canada, most adults 50–69 years old became eligible for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine in April 2021, with chimpanzee adenoviral vectored vaccine (ChAdOx1) restricted to ≥55-year-olds and second doses deferred ≥6 weeks to optimize single-dose coverage. Methods Among adults 50–69 years old, single-dose messenger RNA (mRNA) and ChAdOx1 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospitalization, including variant-specific, was assessed by test-negative design between 4 April and 2 October 2021. Results Single-dose VE included 11 861 cases and 99 544 controls. Median of postvaccination follow-up was 32 days (interquartile range, 15–52 days). Alpha, Gamma, and Delta variants comprised 23%, 18%, and 56%, respectively, of genetically characterized viruses. At 21–55 days postvaccination, single-dose mRNA and ChAdOx1 VE (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 74% (71%–76%) and 59% (53%–65%) against any infection and 86% (80%–90%) and 94% (85%–97%) against hospitalization, respectively. VE (95% CI) was similar against Alpha and Gamma infections for mRNA (80% [76%–84%] and 80% [75%–84%], respectively) and ChAdOx1 (69% [60%–76%] and 66% [56%–73%], respectively). mRNA VE was lower at 63% (95% CI, 56%–69%) against Delta but 85% (95% CI, 71%–92%) against Delta-associated hospitalization (nonestimable for ChAdOx1). Conclusions A single mRNA or ChAdOx1 vaccine dose gave important protection against SARS-CoV-2, including early variants of concern. ChAdOx1 VE was lower against infection, but 1 dose of either vaccine reduced the hospitalization risk by >85% to at least 8 weeks postvaccination. Findings inform program options, including longer dosing intervals.

This article reports a case of a 21-year-old woman with refractory B-cell acute lymphocytic leukaemia who presented with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). She remained positive for SARS-CoV-2 by viral culture for 78 days and by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for 97 days. Sequencing of repeat samples over time demonstrated an increasing and dynamic repertoire of mutations.

The Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) during the unusually early 2022/23 influenza A(H3N2) epidemic. Like vaccine, circulating viruses were clade 3C.2a1b.2a.2, but with genetic diversity affecting haemagglutinin positions 135 and 156, and reassortment such that H156 viruses acquired neuraminidase from clade 3C.2a1b.1a. Vaccine provided substantial protection with A(H3N2) VE of 54% (95% CI: 38 to 66) overall. VE was similar against H156 and vaccine-like S156 viruses, but with potential variation based on diversity at position 135.

Several severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variants of concern (VOCs) emerged in late 2020; lineage B.1.1.7 initially dominated globally. However, lineages B.1.351 and P.1 represent potentially greater risk for transmission and immune escape. In British Columbia, Canada, B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 were first identified in December 2020 and P.1 in February 2021. We combined quantitative PCR and whole-genome sequencing to assess relative contribution of VOCs in nearly 67,000 infections during the first 16 weeks of 2021 in British Columbia. B.1.1.7 accounted for 50% by week 8. P.1 accounted for

BackgroundInvestigating antibody titres in individuals who have been both naturally infected with SARS-CoV-2 and vaccinated can provide insight into antibody dynamics and correlates of protection over time.MethodsHuman coronavirus (HCoV) IgG antibodies were measured longitudinally in a prospective cohort of PCR-confirmed, COVID-19 recovered individuals (k=57) in British Columbia pre- and post-vaccination. SARS-CoV-2 and endemic HCoV antibodies were measured in serum collected between Nov. 2020 and Sept. 2021 (n=341). Primary analysis used a linear mixed-effects model to understand the effect of single dose vaccination on antibody concentrations adjusting for biological sex, age, time from infection and vaccination. Secondary analysis investigated the cumulative incidence of high SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike IgG seroreactivity equal to or greater than 5.5 log10 AU/mL up to 105 days post-vaccination. No re-infections were detected in vaccinated participants, post-vaccination by qRT-PCR performed on self-collected nasopharyngeal specimens.ResultsBivariate analysis (complete data for 42 participants, 270 samples over 472 days) found SARS-CoV-2 spike and RBD antibodies increased 14-56 days post-vaccination (p5.5 log10 AU/mL) was 83% greater in vaccinated compared to unvaccinated individuals.ConclusionsOur study confirms that vaccination post-SARS-CoV-2 infection provides multiple benefits, such as increasing anti-spike IgG titers and preventing decay up to 85 days post-vaccination.

Influenza virus circulation virtually ceased in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic, re-emerging with the relaxation of restrictions in spring 2022. Using a test-negative design, the Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network reports 2021/22 vaccine effectiveness of 36% (95% CI: −38 to 71) against late-season illness due to influenza A(H3N2) clade 3C.2a1b.2a.2 viruses, considered antigenically distinct from the 3C.2a1b.2a.1 vaccine strain. Findings reinforce the World Health Organization’s decision to update the 2022/23 northern hemisphere vaccine to a more representative A(H3N2) clade 3C.2a1b.2a.2 strain.

Background Hepatitis C virus (HCV) causes life-threatening chronic infections. Implementation of novel, economical or widely available screening tools can help detect unidentified cases and facilitate their linkage to care. We investigated the relationship between chronic HCV infection and a potential complete blood count biomarker (the monocyte-to-platelet ratio) in the United States. Methods The analytic dataset was selected from cycle years 2009–2016 of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Complete case data- with no missingness- was available for n = 5281 observations, one-hundred and twenty-two (n = 122) of which were exposed to chronic HCV. The primary analysis used survey-weighted logistic regression to model the effect of chronic HCV on the monocyte-to-platelet ratio adjusting for demographic and biological confounders in a causal inference framework. Missing data and propensity score methods were respectively performed as a secondary and sensitivity analysis. Results In the analytic dataset, outcome data was available for n = 5281 (n = 64,245,530 in the weighted sample) observations of which n = 122 (n = 1,067,882 in the weighted sample) tested nucleic acid positive for HCV. Those exposed to chronic HCV infection in the United States have 3.10 times the odds of a high monocyte-to-platelet ratio than those not exposed (OR = 3.10, [95% CI: 1.55–6.18]). Conclusion A relationship exists between chronic HCV infection and the monocyte-to-platelet ratio in the general population of the United States. Reversing the direction of this association to predict chronic HCV infection from complete blood counts, could provide an economically feasible and universal screening tool, which would help link patients with care.

The relationship between antibodies to wild-type severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antigens and the risk of breakthrough infections is unclear, especially during circulation of the Omicron strain. We investigated the association of anti-spike and anti-receptor binding domain antibody levels and the risk of subsequent breakthrough coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We included adult paramedics from an observational cohort study who received ≥ 2 mRNA vaccines but did not have COVID-19 before the blood collection. Higher postvaccination antibody levels to wild-type SARS-CoV-2 antigens were associated with a reduced risk of COVID-19. Further research into clinical utility of antibody levels, to inform a threshold for protection and timing of boosters, should be prioritized.

ObjectiveEmerging evidence indicates that longer SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dosing intervals results in an enhanced immune response. However, the optimal vaccine dosing interval for achieving maximum immunogenicity is unclear.MethodsThis study included samples from adult paramedics in Canada who received two doses of either BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccines and provided blood samples 6 months (170 to 190 days) after the first vaccine dose. The main exposure variable was vaccine dosing interval (days), categorized as “short” (first quartile), “moderate” (second quartile), “long” (third quartile), and “longest” interval (fourth quartile). The primary outcome was total spike antibody concentrations, measured using the Elecsys SARS-CoV-2 total antibody assay. Secondary outcomes included: spike and RBD IgG antibody concentrations, and inhibition of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2) binding to wild-type spike protein and several different Delta variant spike proteins. We fit a multiple log-linear regression model to investigate the association between vaccine dosing intervals and the antibody concentrations.ResultsA total of 564 adult paramedics (mean age 40 years, SD=10) were included. Compared to “short interval” (≤30 days), higher dosing interval quartiles (moderate: 31-38 days; long: 39-73 days and longest: ≥74 days) were all associated with increased Elescys spike total antibody concentration. Compared to the short interval, “long” and “longest” interval quartiles were associated with higher spike and RBD IgG antibody concentrations. Similarly, increasing dosing intervals increased inhibition of ACE-2 binding to viral spike protein, regardless of the vaccine type.ConclusionIncreased mRNA vaccine dosing intervals longer than 30 days result in higher levels of circulating antibodies and viral neutralization when assessed at 6 months.

Influenza viruses continually evolve to evade population immunity, and the different lineages are assigned into clades based on shared mutations. We have developed a publicly available computational workflow, the Influenza Classification Suite, for rapid clade mapping of sequenced influenza viruses. This suite provides a user‐friendly workflow implemented in Galaxy to automate clade calling and antigenic site extraction. Workflow input includes clade definition and amino acid index array files, which can be customized to identify any clades of interest. The Influenza Classification Suite provides rapid, high‐resolution understanding of circulating influenza strain evolution to inform influenza vaccine effectiveness and the need for potential vaccine reformulation.

BackgroundOlder adults have been disproportionately affected during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, including higher risk of severe disease and long-COVID. Prior exposure to endemic human coronaviruses (HCoV) may modulate the response to SARS-CoV-2 infection and contribute to age-related observations. We hypothesized that cross-reactive antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 are associated with antibodies to HCoV and that both increase with age.MethodsTo assess SARS-CoV-2 unexposed individuals, we drew upon archived anonymized residual sero-surveys conducted in British Columbia (BC), Canada, including before SARS-CoV-2 emergence (May, 2013) and before widespread community circulation in BC (May, 2020). Fifty sera, sex-balanced per ten-year age band, were sought among individuals ≤10 to ≥80 years old, supplemented as indicated by sera from March and September 2020. Sera were tested on the Meso Scale Diagnostics (MSD) electrochemiluminescent multiplex immunoassay to quantify IgG antibody against the Spike proteins of HCoV, including alpha (HCoV-229E, HCoV-NL63) and beta (HCoV-HKU1, HCoV-OC43) viruses, and the 2003 epidemic beta coronavirus, SARS-CoV-1. Cross-reactive antibodies to Spike, Nucleocapsid, and the Receptor Binding Domain (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 were similarly measured, with SARS-CoV-2 sero-positivity overall defined by positivity on ≥2 targets.ResultsSamples included 407 sera from 2013, of which 17 were children ≤10 years. The 2020 samples included 488 sera, of which 88 were children ≤10 years. Anti-Spike antibodies to all four endemic HCoV were acquired by 10 years of age. There were 20/407 (5%) sera in 2013 and 8/488 (2%) in 2020 that were considered sero-positive for SARS-CoV-2 based on MSD testing. Of note, antibody to the single SARS-CoV-2 RBD target was detected in 329/407 (81%) of 2013 sera and 91/488 (19%) of 2020 sera. Among the SARS-CoV-2 overall sero-negative population, age was correlated with anti-HCoV antibody levels and these, notably 229E and HKU1, were correlated with cross-reactive anti-SARS-CoV-2 RBD titres. SARS-CoV-2 overall sero-positive individuals showed higher titres to HCoV more generally.ConclusionMost people have an HCoV priming exposure by 10 years of age and IgG levels are stable thereafter. Anti-HCoV antibodies can cross-react with SARS-CoV-2 epitopes. These immunological interactions warrant further investigation with respect to their implications for COVID-19 clinical outcomes.

Background The Canadian coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) immunization strategy deferred second doses and allowed mixed schedules. We compared 2-dose vaccine effectiveness (VE) by vaccine type (mRNA and/or ChAdOx1), interval between doses, and time since second dose in 2 of Canada’s larger provinces. Methods Two-dose VE against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection or hospitalization among adults ≥18 years, including due to Alpha, Gamma, and Delta variants of concern (VOCs), was assessed ≥14 days postvaccination by test-negative design studies separately conducted in British Columbia and Quebec, Canada, between 30 May and 27 November (epi-weeks 22–47) 2021. Results In both provinces, all homologous or heterologous mRNA and/or ChAdOx1 2-dose schedules were associated with ≥90% reduction in SARS-CoV-2 hospitalization risk for ≥7 months. With slight decline from a peak of >90%, VE against infection was ≥80% for ≥6 months following homologous mRNA vaccination, lower by ∼10% when both doses were ChAdOx1 but comparably high following heterologous ChAdOx1 + mRNA receipt. Findings were similar by age group, sex, and VOC. VE was significantly higher with longer 7–8-week versus manufacturer-specified 3–4-week intervals between mRNA doses. Conclusions Two doses of any mRNA and/or ChAdOx1 combination gave substantial and sustained protection against SARS-CoV-2 hospitalization, spanning Delta-dominant circulation. ChAdOx1 VE against infection was improved by heterologous mRNA series completion. A 7–8-week interval between first and second doses improved mRNA VE and may be the optimal schedule outside periods of intense epidemic surge. Findings support interchangeability and extended intervals between SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses, with potential global implications for low-coverage areas and, going forward, for children.

IntroductionIn randomized controlled trials, single-dose efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 illness exceeded 90% for mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273), and 75% for ChAdOx1. In British Columbia (BC), Canada second doses were deferred up to 16 weeks and ChAdOx1 was only initially recommended for adults 55 years of age and older. We compared single-dose vaccine effectiveness (VE) during the spring 2021 wave in BC when Alpha and Gamma variants of concern (VOC) predominated.MethodsVE was estimated against infection and hospitalization by test-negative design: cases were RT-PCR test-positive for SARS-CoV-2 and controls were test-negative. Adults 50-69 years old with specimen collection between April 4 and May 22 (weeks 14-20) were included. Variant-specific VE was estimated between weeks 17-20 when genetic characterization of all case viruses was performed, primarily through whole genome sequencing.ResultsVE analyses included 7,116 (10%) cases and 60,958 controls. Three-quarters of vaccinated participants received mRNA vaccine (60% BNT162b2, 15% mRNA-1273) and 25% received ChAdOx1. Half of genetically characterized viruses were Alpha, with 38% Gamma, 4% Delta and 8% non-VOCs. Single-dose VE against any infection was 75% (95%CI: 72-78) for BNT162b2, 82% (95%CI: 76-87) for mRNA-1273 and 61% (95%CI: 54-66) for ChAdOx1. VE against hospitalization was 83% (95%CI: 76-89), 85% (95%CI: 63-94) and 96% (95%CI: 86-99), respectively. VE against Alpha vs. Gamma infections did not differ among mRNA (78%;95%CI: 73-82 and 80%;95%CI: 74-85) or ChAdOx1 (66%;95%CI: 57-74 and 60%;95%CI: 48-69) recipients.ConclusionsA single dose of mRNA vaccine reduced the SARS-CoV-2 infection risk by at least 75%, including infections due to early VOC. Although effectiveness of a single dose of ChAdOx1 was lower at 60% against infection, just one dose of any vaccine reduced the hospitalization risk by more than 80%. In the context of constrained vaccine supplies, these findings have implications for global vaccine deployment to reduce the overall burden of infections and hospitalizations due to SARS-CoV-2.

ImportanceMeasuring humoral immunogenicity of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 vaccines and finding population-level correlates of protection against coronavirus disease presents an immediate challenge to public health practitioners.ObjectiveTo study the diagnostic accuracy and predictive value of finger prick capillary dried blood spot samples tested using an anti-immunoglobulin G (IgG) serology assay to measure SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and the humoral immunogenicity of COVID-19 vaccination.Design, Setting and ParticipantsThis cross-sectional study enrolled participants (n= 644) who had paired DBS and serum samples collected by finger prick and venipuncture, respectively, in British Columbia, Canada between January 12th, 2020 and May 21st, 2021. Samples were tested by a multiplex electrochemiluminescence assay for SARS-CoV-2 anti-Spike (S), -Nucleocapsid (N) and -receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG reactivity using a Meso Scale Discovery (MSD) platform. Additionally, unpaired DBS samples (n= 6,706) that were collected in the province during the same time period were included for analysis of SARS-CoV-2 anti-N IgG reactivity.ExposureCollection of a capillary dried blood spot by finger prick alone or paired with serum by venipuncture.OutcomeHumoral immune response to SARS-CoV-2 measured by detection of anti-S, -N or - RBD IgG.ResultsIn comparison to a paired-serum reference, dried blood spot samples possess a sensitivity of 80% (95% CI: 61%-91%) and specificity of 97% (95% CI: 95%-98%). Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis (ROC) found that participant DBS samples tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG by MSD V-PLEX COVID-19 Coronavirus Panel 2 assay accurately classify SARS-CoV-2 seroconversion at an 88% percent rate, AUC= 88% (95% CI: 81%-96%). Modelling found that a dried blood spot-based testing approach has a high positive predictive value (98% [95% CI: 98%-99%]) in a theoretical population with seventy-five percent COVID-19 vaccine coverage. At lower vaccine coverages of fifteen and forty-five percent, the test’s positive predictive value decreased, and the negative predictive value increased.ConclusionWe demonstrate that dried blood spot collected samples, when tested using an electrochemiluminescence assay, provide a valid alternative to traditional venipuncture and should be considered to reliably detect SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity.Key PointsQuestionWhat is the diagnostic accuracy and predictive value of immunoglobulin G serology on finger prick capillary dried blood spot samples to measure SARS-CoV-2 humoral immunogenicity?FindingsIn comparison to a paired-serum reference, dried blood spot samples tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG possess a sensitivity of 80% (95% CI: 61%-91%) and specificity of 97% (95% CI: 95%-98%). Dried blood spot testing has a positive predictive value of 98% (95% CI: 98%-99%) when modelled in a theoretical population with COVID-19 vaccine coverage of seventy-five percent.MeaningDried blood spot samples have equal diagnostic accuracy to serum collected by venipuncture when tested by electrochemiluminescence assay and should be considered to reliably detect SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity.

Mutations in emerging severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineages can interfere with laboratory methods used to generate viral genome sequences for public health surveillance. We identified 20 mutations that are widespread in variant of concern lineages and affect widely used sequencing protocols by the ARTIC network and Freed et al. Three of these mutations disrupted sequencing of P.1 lineage specimens during a recent outbreak in British Columbia, Canada. We provide laboratory validation of protocol modifications that restored sequencing performance. The study findings indicate that genomic sequencing protocols require immediate updating to address emerging mutations. This work also suggests that routine monitoring and protocol updates will be necessary as SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve. The bioinformatic and laboratory approaches used here provide guidance for this kind of assay maintenance.

IntroductionRandomized-controlled trials of mRNA vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 included relatively few elderly participants. We assess singe-dose mRNA vaccine effectiveness (VE) in adults ≥70-years-old in British Columbia (BC), Canada where the second dose was deferred by up to 16 weeks and where a spring 2021 wave uniquely included co-dominant circulation of B.1.1.7 and P.1 variants of concern (VOC).MethodsAnalyses included community-dwelling adults ≥70-years-old with specimen collection between April 4 (epidemiological week 14) and May 1 (week 17). Adjusted VE was estimated by test-negative design through provincial laboratory and immunization data linkage. Cases were RT-PCR test-positive for SARS-CoV-2 and controls were test-negative. Vaccine status was defined by receipt of a single-dose ≥21 days before specimen collection, but a range of intervals was assessed. In variant-specific analyses, test-positive cases were restricted to those genetically-characterized as B.1.1.7, P.1 or non-VOC.ResultsVE analyses included 16,993 specimens: 1,226 (7.2%) test-positive cases and 15,767 test-negative controls. Of 1,131 (92%) viruses genetically categorized, 509 (45%), 314 (28%) and 276 (24%) were B.1.1.7, P.1 and non-VOC lineages, respectively. VE was negligible at 14% (95% CI 0-26) during the period 0-13 days post-vaccination but increased from 43% (95% CI 30-53) at 14-20 days to 75% (95% CI 63-83) at 35-41 days post-vaccination. VE at ≥21 days was 65% (95% CI 58-71) overall: 72% (95% CI 58-81), 67% (95% CI 57-75) and 61% (95% CI 45-72) for non-VOC, B.1.1.7 and P.1, respectively.ConclusionsA single dose of mRNA vaccine reduced the risk of SARS-CoV-2 in adults ≥70-years-old by about two-thirds, with protection only minimally reduced against B.1.1.7 and P.1 variants. Substantial single-dose protection in older adults reinforces the option to defer the second dose when vaccine supply is scarce and broader first-dose coverage is needed.

Background Randomized-controlled trials of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) included relatively few elderly participants. We assess single-dose mRNA vaccine effectiveness (VE) in adults ≥ 70 years old in British Columbia, Canada, where second doses were deferred by up to 16 weeks and where a spring 2021 wave uniquely included codominant circulation of Alpha (B.1.1.7) and Gamma (P.1) variants of concern (VOC). Methods Analyses included community-dwelling adults ≥ 70 years old with specimen collection between 4 April (epidemiological week 14) and 1 May (week 17) 2021. Adjusted VE was estimated by test-negative design. Cases were reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test-positive for SARS-CoV-2, and controls were test-negative. Vaccine status was defined by receipt of a single-dose ≥ 21 days before specimen collection, but a range of intervals was assessed. Variant-specific VE was estimated against viruses genetically characterized as Alpha, Gamma or non-VOC lineages. Results VE analyses included 16 993 specimens: 1226 (7%) test-positive cases and 15 767 test-negative controls. Of 1131 (92%) genetically characterized viruses, 509 (45%), 314 (28%), and 276 (24%) were Alpha, Gamma, and non-VOC lineages, respectively. At 0–13 days postvaccination, VE was negligible at 14% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0–26) but increased from 43% (95% CI, 30–53) at 14–20 days to 75% (95% CI, 63–83) at 35–41 days postvaccination. VE at ≥ 21 days postvaccination was 65% (95% CI, 58–71) overall: 72% (95% CI, 58–81), 67% (95% CI, 57–75), and 61% (95% CI, 45–72) for non-VOC, Alpha, and Gamma variants, respectively. Conclusions A single dose of mRNA vaccine reduced the risk of SARS-CoV-2 by about two-thirds in adults ≥ 70 years old, with protection only minimally reduced against Alpha and Gamma variants., Vaccine effectiveness estimated by test-negative design in British Columbia, Canada, shows one dose of mRNA vaccine reduced the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults ≥70-years-old by about two-thirds, with protection only minimally reduced against Alpha (B.1.1.7) and Gamma (P.1) variants.

Comprehensive and timely testing is required for SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern (VoC) screening. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) provides the broadest means to detect circulating VoCs, but requires longer turnaround time than targeted molecular testing by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). We demonstrated the feasibility of a combined testing approach for VoC prevalence assessment in British Columbia, and showed high concordance between qPCR testing and WGS. This directly informed wider VoC screening strategy implementation, and public health efforts.

SummaryBackgroundAngiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) serves as the host receptor for SARS-CoV-2, with a critical role in viral infection. We aim to understand population level variation of nasopharyngealACE2expression in people tested for COVID-19 and the relationship betweenACE2expression and SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA load, while adjusting for expression of the complementary protease, Transmembrane serine protease 2 (TMPRSS2), solubleACE2, age, and biological sex.MethodsA cross-sectional study of n=424 participants aged 1-104 years referred for COVID-19 testing was performed in British Columbia, Canada. Participants who tested negative or positive for COVID-19 were matched by age and biological sex. Viral and host gene expression was measured by quantitative reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Bivariate analysis and multiple linear regression were performed to understand the role of nasopharyngealACE2expression in SARS-CoV-2 infection. TheACE2gene was targeted to measure expression of transmembrane and soluble transcripts.FindingsAnalysis shows no association between age and nasopharyngealACE2expression in those who tested negative for COVID-19 (P=0·092). Mean expression of transmembrane (P=1·2e-4), solubleACE2(PTMPRSS2(PACE2positively correlated with SARS-CoV-2 RNA viral load (PACE2negatively correlated (PTMPRSS2 (P=0·694). Multivariable analysis showed that the greatest viral RNA loads were observed in participants with high transmembraneACE2expression (B=0·886, 95%CI:[0·596 to 1·18]), while expression of solubleACE2may protect against high viral RNA load in the upper respiratory tract (B= −0·0990, 95%CI:[−0·176 to −0·0224]).InterpretationNasopharyngealACE2expression plays a dual, contrasting role in SARS-CoV-2 infection of the upper respiratory tract. TransmembraneACE2positively correlates, while solubleACE2negatively correlates with viral RNA load after adjusting for age, biological sex and expression of TMPRSS2.FundingThis project (COV-55) was funded by Genome British Columbia as part of their COVID-19 rapid response initiative.

Preexisting cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV-2 occurs in the absence of prior viral exposure. However, this has been difficult to quantify at the population level due to a lack of reliably defined seroreactivity thresholds. Using an orthogonal antibody testing approach, we estimated that about 0.6% of nontriaged adults from the greater Vancouver, Canada, area between May 17 and June 19, 2020, showed clear evidence of a prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, after adjusting for false-positive and false-negative test results. Using a highly sensitive multiplex assay and positive/negative thresholds established in infants in whom maternal antibodies have waned, we determined that more than 90% of uninfected adults showed antibody reactivity against the spike protein, receptor-binding domain (RBD), N-terminal domain (NTD), or the nucleocapsid (N) protein from SARS-CoV-2. This seroreactivity was evenly distributed across age and sex, correlated with circulating coronaviruses' reactivity, and was partially outcompeted by soluble circulating coronaviruses' spike. Using a custom SARS-CoV-2 peptide mapping array, we found that this antibody reactivity broadly mapped to spike and to conserved nonstructural viral proteins. We conclude that most adults display preexisting antibody cross-reactivity against SARS-CoV-2, which further supports investigation of how this may impact the clinical severity of COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 vaccine responses.

Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza and noninfluenza respiratory viruses (NIRVs) was assessed by test-negative design using historic datasets of the community-based Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network, spanning 2010–2011 to 2016–2017. Vaccine significantly reduced the risk of influenza illness by >40% with no effect on coronaviruses or other NIRV risk.

Interim results from Canada's Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network show that during a season characterised by early co-circulation of influenza A and B viruses, the 2019/20 influenza vaccine has provided substantial protection against medically-attended influenza illness. Adjusted VE overall was 58% (95% confidence interval (CI): 47 to 66): 44% (95% CI: 26 to 58) for A(H1N1)pdm09, 62% (95% CI: 37 to 77) for A(H3N2) and 69% (95% CI: 57 to 77) for influenza B viruses, predominantly B/Victoria lineage.

BackgroundQuantifying antibody reactivity against multiple SARS-CoV-2 antigens at the population level may help understand individual differences in COVID-19 severity. Pre-existing low antibody cross-reactivity may be particularly prevalent among childcare providers, including pediatric health care workers (HCW) who may be more exposed to circulating coronaviruses.MethodsCross-sectional study that included adults in the Vancouver area in British Columbia (BC), Canada, between May 17 and June 19, 2020. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence was ascertained by measuring total SARS-CoV-2 IgG/M/A antibodies against a recombinant spike (S1) protein and adjusted for bias due to false-positive and false-negative test results. A novel, high sensitivity multiplex assay was also used to profile IgG against four SARS-CoV-2 antigens, SARS-CoV and four circulating coronaviruses.FindingsAmong 276 participants (71% HCW), three showed evidence of direct viral exposure, yielding an adjusted seroprevalence of 0.60% [95%CI 0% – 2.71%], with no difference between HCW and non-HCW, or between paediatric and adult HCW. Among the 273 unexposed individuals, 7.3% [95%CI 4.5% – 11.1%], 48.7 [95%CI 42.7% – 54.8%] and 82.4% [95%CI 77.4% – 86.7%] showed antibody reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 RBD, N or Spike proteins, respectively. SARS-CoV-2 reactivity did not significantly correlate with age, sex, did not significantly differ between HCW and non-HCW (prevalence 1.0% vs 1.0%; P=1.00) and between pediatric and adult HCW (0.7% vs 1.6%; P=0.54), and modestly correlated with reactivity to circulating coronaviruses (Spearman rho range: 0.130 to 0.224 for 7 significant (FDR 5%), out of 16 correlations, from 36 correlations tested).InterpretationA substantial proportion of individuals showed low, but detectable antibody reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 antigens in this population despite low evidence of direct SARS-CoV-2 exposure.FundingNIAID/NIH

Objective Current guidelines in British Columbia recommend prenatal screening for hepatitis C antibodies (anti-HCV) if risk factors are present. We aimed to estimate frequency of prenatal anti-HCV testing, new diagnoses, repeated and follow-up testing among BC women. Methods BC Centre for Disease Control Public Health Laboratory data estimated the number of BC women (assigned female at birth or unknown sex) aged 13–49 who received routine prenatal serological screening (HIV, hepatitis B, syphilis and rubella) from 2008–2019. Anti-HCV tests ordered the same day as routine prenatal screens were considered prenatal anti-HCV tests. Assessment of follow-up was based on HCV RNA and/or genotype testing within one year of new prenatal anti-HCV diagnoses. Results In 2019, 55,202 routine prenatal screens were carried out for 50,392 BC women. Prenatal anti-HCV tests increased significantly, from 19.6% (9,704/49,515) in 2008 to 54.6% (27,516/50,392) in 2019 (p Conclusion Prenatal anti-HCV testing increased substantially over the study period. However, new HCV diagnoses remained relatively stable, suggesting that a considerable proportion of BC women with low or no risk are being screened as part of prenatal care. The vast majority of women with new HCV diagnoses receive appropriate follow-up HCV RNA and genotype testing, which may indicate interest in HCV treatment. These findings contribute to the discussion around potential for prenatal anti-HCV screening in an effort to eliminate HCV.

Background Multiplex immunoassays capture a comprehensive profile of the humoral response against SARS-CoV-2 and human endemic coronaviruses. We validated a multiplex panel (V-PLEX Panel 2) from Meso Scale Diagnostics targeting antibodies against nine coronavirus antigens. Performance was compared against alternative single- and multi-antigen immunoassays. Methods Sera collected for clinical or public health testing from 2018 to 2020 (n = 135) were used to compare all tested platforms, and inter-test agreement was assessed by Cohen's kappa coefficient. Sample category (positive/negative) was assigned based on collection date relative to the index case in Canada, and SARS-CoV-2 PCR and serology results. 117 out of the 135 samples (31 positive, 86 negative) were assigned a category and were used to calculate sensitivity and specificity, with MSD's test results based upon manufacturer-set cut-offs. Results We observed SARS-CoV-2 target sensitivities of 100% and specificities >94% for all antigens (RBD, Nucleocapsid, Spike) in V-PLEX Panel 2. When targets were combined, we found a SARS-CoV-2 sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 98.8% with no difference in performance compared to clinical assays, and Cohen's kappa ranging from 0.798 to 0.945 compared to surface plasmon resonance imaging (SPRi). Quantitative measurements of antibodies against the Spike protein of endemic human coronaviruses were concordant with SPRi. Conclusion Meso Scale Diagnostics’ V-PLEX Coronavirus Panel 2 allows for highly sensitive and specific detection of anti-coronavirus IgG, and is concordant with other serological assays for detection of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 and the endemic human coronaviruses, making it a good tool for humoral response characterization after both infection and vaccination.