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The debate on economic development in the Amazon region has always been a delicate issue because it involves the complexity, biodiversity, potential and, paradoxically, the fragility of the biome. However, the anthropic occupation in the North of the South American continent advanced throughout the 20th century, with projects and proposals that urbanized and industrialized regional centers and, with the participation of the State, as a development vector for the region. With this scenario, the environment has always been a great regional asset in South America, and recently, the stage for regional integration initiatives such as the Iniciativa para a Integração da Infraestrutura Regional Sul-Americana (IIRSA), which largely represented the great integrationist project, throughout the second half of the decade of 2010, changes in global calibre alter the scope of decisions by nation-states, and by the end of 2019, the covid-19 pandemic changed the world with 197 million infected and 4.2 million dead. Still, with the hope brought about by vaccines, countries around the world have guided the action and management guidelines for a low-carbon economic recovery and reduction in the use of fossil fuels. In parallel to this, climate change has increasingly caused extreme natural events and has turned the attention of the international community to South America, and especially to Brazil, which since 2019 has adopted a disastrous environmental policy and erratic. With this panorama, regional experiences emerge, which we will call here geoeconomic performance, which certain spaces on the continent, and in Brazil, can incorporate into an agenda for the transition to a low-carbon economy. Here we present as a theoretical and methodological effort to understand the geoeconomic and geopolitical peculiarities of subnational governments in designing and adopting public policies (social, economic, territorial, and regional) capable of contributing to the ongoing changes in contemporary capitalism that is reorganizing itself for resumption, even with threats from new variants of SARS-CoV-2.

Several studies have reported the relationship of deforestation with increased incidence of infectious diseases, mainly due to the deregulation caused in these environments. The purpose of this study was to answer the following questions: a) is increased loss of vegetation related to dengue cases in the Brazilian Cerrado? b) how do different regions of the tropical savanna biome present distinct patterns for total dengue cases and vegetation loss? c) what is the projection of a future scenario of deforestation and an increased number of dengue cases in 2030? Thus, this study aimed to assess the relationship between loss of native vegetation in the Cerrado and dengue infection. In this paper, we quantify the entire deforested area and dengue infection cases from 2001 to 2019. For data analyses, we used Poisson generalized linear model, descriptive statistics, cluster analysis, non-parametric statistics, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict loss of vegetation and fever dengue cases for the next decade. Cluster analysis revealed the formation of four clusters among the states. Our results showed significant increases in loss of native vegetation in all states, with the exception of Piauí. As for dengue cases, there were increases in the states of Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Mato Grosso. Based on projections for 2030, Minas Gerais will register about 4,000 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants, São Paulo 750 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants, and Mato Grosso 500 dengue cases per 100,000 inhabitants. To reduce these projections, Brazil will need to control deforestation and implement public health, environmental and social policies, requiring a joint effort from all spheres of society.