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258 results on '"Acquaotta, Fiorella"'

2. Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality: a pooled analysis of 380 urban areas over a 22-year period

Author

Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Maasikmets, Marek, Ryti, Niilo, Pascal, Mathilde, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Entezari, Alireza, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Kim, Yoonhee, Alahmad, Barrak, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Félix Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth, Rao, Shilpa, Diz-Lois Palomares, Alfonso, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue Leon, Pan, Shih-Chun, Li, Shanshan, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwarz, Maximilian, Peters, Annette, Stafoggia, Massimo, de'Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Bell, Michelle L, Guo, Yuming, Honda, Yasushi, Huber, Veronika, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Urban, Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Masselot, Pierre, Lavigne, Eric, Achilleos, Souzana, Kyselý, Jan, Samoli, Evangelia, Hashizume, Masahiro, Fook Sheng Ng, Chris, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Garland, Rebecca M, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Gasparrini, Antonio, Schneider, Alexandra, and Breitner, Susanne

Published
2024
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3. Extreme Temperatures and Stroke Mortality: Evidence From a Multi-Country Analysis

Author

Alahmad, Barrak, Khraishah, Haitham, Kamineni, Meghana, Royé, Dominic, Papatheodorou, Stefania I., Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Guo, Yuming, Lavigne, Eric, Armstrong, Ben, Sera, Francesco, Bernstein, Aaron S., Zanobetti, Antonella, Garshick, Eric, Schwartz, Joel, Bell, Michelle L., Al-Mulla, Fahd, Koutrakis, Petros, Gasparrini, Antonio, Achilleos, Souzana, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Pan, Shih-Chun, Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Colistro, Valentina, Ngoc Dang, Tran, Van Dung, Do, De’ Donato, Francesca K., Entezari, Alireza, Leon Guo, Yue-Liang, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Indermitte, Ene, Íñiguez, Carmen, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Li, Shanshan, Madureira, Joana, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Orru, Hans, Overcenco, Ala, Ragettli, Martina S., Ryti, Niilo R.I., Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo, Scovronick, Noah, Seposo, Xerxes, Pereira Silva, Susana, Stafoggia, Massimo, and Tobias, Aurelio

Published
2024
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4. Global and Regional Cardiovascular Mortality Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperatures Over Time

Author

Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Ryti, Niilo, Urban, Aleš, Tobias, Aurelio, Royé, Dominic, Lavigne, Eric, Ragettli, Martina S., Åström, Christofer, Raz, Raanan, Pascal, Mathilde, Kan, Haidong, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Hashizume, Masahiro, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Seposo, Xerxes, Nunes, Baltazar, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Guo, Yue Leon, Pan, Shih-Chun, Zanobetti, Antonella, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Van Dung, Do, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Analitis, Antonis, Forsberg, Bertil, Ameling, Caroline, Houthuijs, Danny, Indermitte, Ene, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Orru, Hans, Katsouyanni, Klea, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Bell, Michelle, Xu, Rongbin, Yang, Zhengyu, Roradeh, Hematollah, Félix Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth, Rao, Shilpa, Carlos Chua, Paul Lester, da Silva, Susana das Neves Pereira, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Hundessa, Samuel, Huang, Wenzhong, Zhao, Qi, Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Gasparrini, Antonio, Sera, Francesco, Tong, Shilu, Madureira, Joana, Kyselý, Jan, Schwartz, Joel, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Hales, Simon, Johnson, Amanda, Li, Shanshan, and Guo, Yuming

Published
2024
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5. Temperature frequency and mortality: Assessing adaptation to local temperature

Author

Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, la Cruz Valencia, César De, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Roye, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Carlsen, Hanne Krage, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Raz, Raanan, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Pan, Shih-Chun, Rao, Shilpa, Tong, Shilu, Achilleos, Souzana, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue Leon, Li, Shanshan, Guo, Yuming, Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Armstrong, Ben, Sera, Francesco, and Lavigne, Eric

Published
2024
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6. Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study

Author

Wen, Bo, Wu, Yao, Guo, Yuming, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, Valencia, César De la Cruz, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de’Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Raz, Raanan, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., and Li, Shanshan

Published
2024
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7. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study

Author

Wu, Yao, Li, Shanshan, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L, and Guo, Yuming

Published
2022
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8. Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe

Author

Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Li, Shanshan, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de’Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Bell, Michelle L., and Guo, Yuming

Published
2022
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11. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study

Author

Zhao, Qi, Guo, Yuming, Ye, Tingting, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Dung, Do Van, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Di Ruscio, Francesco, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Rao, Shilpa, Fratianni, Simona, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L, and Li, Shanshan

Published
2021
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12. Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality: a pooled analysis of 380 urban areas over a 22-year period

Author

Schwarz, Maximilian, Peters, Annette, Stafoggia, Massimo, de'Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Bell, Michelle L, Guo, Yuming, Honda, Yasushi, Huber, Veronika, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Urban, Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Masselot, Pierre, Lavigne, Eric, Achilleos, Souzana, Kyselý, Jan, Samoli, Evangelia, Hashizume, Masahiro, Fook Sheng Ng, Chris, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Garland, Rebecca M, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Gasparrini, Antonio, Schneider, Alexandra, Breitner, Susanne, Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Maasikmets, Marek, Ryti, Niilo, Pascal, Mathilde, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Entezari, Alireza, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Kim, Yoonhee, Alahmad, Barrak, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Félix Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth, Rao, Shilpa, Diz-Lois Palomares, Alfonso, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue Leon, Pan, Shih-Chun, Li, Shanshan, and Zanobetti, Antonella

Abstract

Ambient air pollution, including particulate matter (such as PM10and PM2·5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), has been linked to increases in mortality. Whether populations’ vulnerability to these pollutants has changed over time is unclear, and studies on this topic do not include multicountry analysis. We evaluated whether changes in exposure to air pollutants were associated with changes in mortality effect estimates over time.

Published
2024
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13. Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality: A multi-country time-series study

Author

European Commission, 0000-0002-8105-0522, 0000-0002-2271-3568, 0000-0002-6970-9216, 0000-0002-1084-2442, 0000-0001-6428-6755, 0000-0003-2362-3940, 0000-0003-3471-4928, 0000-0002-2225-9457, 0000-0002-8890-6848, 0000-0002-1871-8999, 0000-0002-6170-1287, 0000-0001-5279-877X, 0000-0001-7417-3287, 0000-0001-7869-3909, 0000-0003-2248-1629, 0000-0003-2517-1087, 0000-0002-3965-1359, Wen, Bo, Wu, Yao, Guo, Yuming, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, Valencia, César De la Cruz, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Raz, Raanan, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., Li, Shanshan, European Commission, 0000-0002-8105-0522, 0000-0002-2271-3568, 0000-0002-6970-9216, 0000-0002-1084-2442, 0000-0001-6428-6755, 0000-0003-2362-3940, 0000-0003-3471-4928, 0000-0002-2225-9457, 0000-0002-8890-6848, 0000-0002-1871-8999, 0000-0002-6170-1287, 0000-0001-5279-877X, 0000-0001-7417-3287, 0000-0001-7869-3909, 0000-0003-2248-1629, 0000-0003-2517-1087, 0000-0002-3965-1359, Wen, Bo, Wu, Yao, Guo, Yuming, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, Valencia, César De la Cruz, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Raz, Raanan, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., and Li, Shanshan

Abstract

Temperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has different effects.

Published
2024

14. Sustainable Geotourism in the Chiusella Valley (NW Italian Alps): A Tool for Enhancing Alpine Geoheritage in the Context of Climate Change.

Author

Negri, Arianna, Storta, Elena, Khoso, Rasool Bux, Colizzi, Agnese Maria, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Palomba, Mauro, and Giardino, Marco

Subjects
SCIENTIFIC literature, CONSCIOUSNESS raising, CLIMATE change mitigation, TOURIST attractions, CLIMATE change, NEOTECTONICS
Abstract

The Chiusella Valley (NW Italian Alps) is a key area for both the history of the alpine orogeny and its environmental context. It presents major structural features (including the Traversella neoalpine intrusion and a section of the Insubric line) and evidence of past climate changes in the region. Even if the Chiusella Valley was previously renowned for mining activities and most recently considered an alpine rural area with minor tourist attractions, its important geoheritage could offer alternatives to traditional mountain activities, which are facing adversity from increasing temperatures. This paper emphasises the role of geotourism in both enhancing sustainable development and raising awareness of climate change. For this purpose, the geodiversity of the Chiusella Valley has been analysed and several geosites have been identified. The research methodology includes field surveys, analysis of an existing educational activities and scientific literature, and assessment of geosites by quantitative analysis of five groups of indicators, including scientific, cultural, and educational values. The geosite selection within the Chiusella Valley reveals memories of past and present climate changes but also supports the development of targeted geotourism activities in the area. Additionally, a specific location has been identified for hosting indoor activities showcasing climate change action. These valuable contributions to sustainable geotourism provide opportunities for exploring the Alps in the vicinity of the Po Plain urban areas, while minimizing the environmental impact and facilitating educational activities on geodiversity and geoheritage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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15. Projections of excess mortality related to diurnal temperature range under climate change scenarios: a multi-country modelling study

Author

Lee, Whanhee, Kim, Yoonhee, Sera, Francesco, Gasparrini, Antonio, Park, Rokjin, Michelle Choi, Hayon, Prifti, Kristi, Bell, Michelle L, Abrutzky, Rosana, Guo, Yuming, Tong, Shilu, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Lavigne, Eric, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Ryti, Niilo R I, Pascal, Mathilde, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, César Cruz, Julio, Overcenco, Ala, Nunes, Baltazar, Madureira, Joana, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Tobias, Aurelio, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Chen, Bing-Yu, Li, Shanshan, Armstrong, Ben, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, and Kim, Ho

Published
2020
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16. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with cold spells during 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study

Author

Gao, Yuan, primary, Huang, Wenzhong, additional, Zhao, Qi, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Zeka, Ariana, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Gao, Yuan, additional, Bell, Michelle, additional, Hales, Simon, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Abrutzky, Rosana, additional, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, additional, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, additional, Correa, Patricia Matus, additional, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, additional, Kan, Haidong, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Carlsen, Hanne Krage, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Roradeh, Hematollah, additional, Raz, Raanan, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, de'Donato, Francesca, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Kim, Yoonhee, additional, Alahmad, Barrak, additional, Cauchy, John Paul, additional, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, additional, Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth Félix, additional, Valencia, César De la Cruz, additional, Overcenco, Ala, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Ameling, Caroline, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Carrasco, Gabriel, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, Chua, Paul Lester Carlos, additional, Silva, Susana das Neves Pereira da, additional, Nunes, Baltazar, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Cvijanovic, Ivana, additional, Mistry, Malcolm, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Guo, Yue Leon, additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, Colistro, Valentina, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Dang, Tran Ngoc, additional, and Dung, Do Van, additional

Published
2024
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17. Seasonality of mortality under climate change: a multicountry projection study

Author

Madaniyazi, Lina, primary, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Mistry, Malcolm N, additional, Bell, Michelle L, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Cvijanovic, Ivana, additional, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, da Silva, Susana das Neves Pereira, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Abrutzky, Rosana, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Alahmad, Barrak, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Carlsen, Hanne Krage, additional, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, additional, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, additional, Colistro, Valentina, additional, Matus Correa, Patricia, additional, Dang, Tran Ngoc, additional, de'Donato, Francesca, additional, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, additional, Dung, Do Van, additional, Entezari, Alireza, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Guo, Yue Leon, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Kan, Haidong, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Kim, Yoonhee, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Overcenco, Ala, additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Raz, Raanan, additional, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, De la Cruz Valencia, César, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, and Zeka, Ariana, additional

Published
2024
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18. Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study

Author

Tobías, Aurelio, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Sera, Francesco, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, Kim, Yoonhee, Roye, Dominic, Chung, Yeonseung, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana, Abrutzky, Rosana, Guo, Yuming, Tong, Shilu, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Lavigne, Eric, Correa, Patricia Matus, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Kyselý, Jan, Urban, Aleš, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Ryti, Niilo R. I., Pascal, Mathilde, Huber, Veronika, Schneider, Alexandra, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Entezari, Alireza, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Michelozzi, Paola, de’Donato, Francesca, Alahmad, Barrak, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Overcenco, Ala, Houthuijs, Danny, Ameling, Caroline, Rao, Shilpa, Di Ruscio, Francesco, Carrasco, Gabriel, Seposo, Xerxes, Nunes, Baltazar, Madureira, Joana, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Forsberg, Bertil, Åström, Christofer, Ragettli, Martina S., Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Chen, Bing-Yu, Li, Shanshan, Colistro, Valentina, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, Dung, Do Van, Armstrong, Ben, and Gasparrini, Antonio

Published
2021
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19. The Climate of Italy

Author

Fratianni, Simona, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Migoń, Piotr, Series editor, Soldati, Mauro, editor, and Marchetti, Mauro, editor

Published
2017
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23. Unprecedented snow-drought conditions in the Italian Alps during the early 2020s

Author

Colombo, Nicola, primary, Guyennon, Nicolas, additional, Valt, Mauro, additional, Salerno, Franco, additional, Godone, Danilo, additional, Cianfarra, Paola, additional, Freppaz, Michele, additional, Maugeri, Maurizio, additional, Manara, Veronica, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Petrangeli, Anna Bruna, additional, and Romano, Emanuele, additional

Published
2023
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30. Associations Between Extreme Temperatures and Cardiovascular Cause-Specific Mortality: Results From 27 Countries

Author

Alahmad, Barrak, primary, Khraishah, Haitham, additional, Royé, Dominic, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Papatheodorou, Stefania I., additional, Achilleos, Souzana, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Bell, Michelle L., additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, additional, Colistro, Valentina, additional, Dang, Tran Ngoc, additional, Van Dung, Do, additional, De’ Donato, Francesca K., additional, Entezari, Alireza, additional, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Overcenco, Ala, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Ryti, Niilo R.I., additional, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Silva, Susana Pereira, additional, Stafoggia, Massimo, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Garshick, Eric, additional, Bernstein, Aaron S., additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, and Koutrakis, Petros, additional

Published
2023
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31. Corrigendum to “Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study”

Author

Choi, Hayon Michelle, primary, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Heo, Seulkee, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Entezari, Alireza, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Sheng Ng, Chris Fook, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Madueira, Joana, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Kim, Yoonhee, additional, Guo, Yue-Liang, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, and Bell, Michelle L., additional

Published
2023
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35. Seasonal variation in mortality and the role of temperature: a multi-country multi-city study

Author

Madaniyazi, Lina, Armstrong, Ben, Chung, Yeonseung, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, Seposo, Xerxes, Kim, Yoonhee, Tobias, Aurelio, Guo, Yuming, Sera, Francesco, Honda, Yasushi, Gasparrini, Antonio, Hashizume, Masahiro, Abrutzky, Rosana, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Ameling, Caroline, Analitis, Antonis, Åström, Christofer, Pan, Shih-Chun, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Correa, Patricia Matus, Dang, Tran Ngoc, de'Donato, Francesca, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Van Dung, Do, Entezari, Alireza, Forsberg, Bertil, Fratianni, Simona, Goodman, Patrick, Guo, Yue Leon, Holobâca, Iulian Horia, Houthuijs, Danny, Huber, Veronika, Indermitte, Ene, Íñiguez, Carmen, Jaakkola, Jouni, Kan, Haidong, Katsouyanni, Klea, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Lavigne, Eric, Lee, Whanhee, Li, Shanshan, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Michelozzi, Paola, Nunes, Baltazar, Orru, Hans, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Osorio, Samuel, Overcenco, Ala, Pascal, Mathilde, Ragettli, Martina S, Rao, Shilpa, Ryti, Niilo, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Schneider, Alexandra, Schwartz, Joel, Scovronick, Noah, Teixeira, João Paulo, Tong, Shilu, Urban, Aleš, Valencia, César De la Cruz, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Zeka, Ariana, The Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, and European Commission

Subjects
Time Factors, Epidemiology, Temperature a, Atmospheric sciences, parasitic diseases, Temperate climate, medicine, Humans, Cities, Mortality, Mean radiant temperature, Temperatures, seasonality, Temperature, temperature, Tropics, Regression analysis, Seasonality, General Medicine, medicine.disease, mortality, humanities, Confidence interval, Environmental science, Seasons, Multi country
Abstract

Although seasonal variations in mortality have been recognized for millennia, the role of temperature remains unclear. We aimed to assess seasonal variation in mortality and to examine the contribution of temperature., This work was primarily supported by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI [Grant Number 19K19461]. Y.C. was supported by a Senior Research grant [2019R1A2C1086194] from the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF), funded by the Ministry of Science, ICT (Information and Communication Technologies). V.H. received support from the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness [Grant ID: PCIN-2017-046]. J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation [project 18-22125S]. A.S. acknowledged funding from European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 820655 (EXHAUSTION). A.G. was supported by the Medical Research Council-UK [Grant ID: MR/R013349/1], the Natural Environment Research Council UK [Grant ID: NE/R009384/1] and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion [Grant ID: 820655]. M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST) as part of SICORP [Grant Number JPMJSC20E4].

Published
2021

36. Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study

Author

Choi, Hayon Michelle, primary, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Heo, Seulkee, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Entezari, Alireza, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Madueira, Joana, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, Guo, Yue Leon, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, and Bell, Michelle L., additional

Published
2022
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40. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19

Author

Wu, Yao, Li, Shanshan, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., Guo, Yuming, Centro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC), and Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP)

Subjects
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, Health Policy, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Medicine (miscellaneous), Health(social science)
Abstract

Funding Information: This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2000581). YW was supported by the China Scholarship Council (number 202006010044). SL was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (number APP2009866). QZ was supported by the Program of Qilu Young Scholars of Shandong University, Jinan, China. BW was supported by the China Scholarship Council (number 202006010043). JK and AU were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 20–28560S). NS was supported by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). S-CP and YLG were supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology (Taiwan; MOST 109–2621-M-002–021). YH was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF15S11412) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency. MdSZSC and PHNS were supported by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP). ST was supported by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600). HO and EI were supported by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (IUT34–17). JM was supported by a fellowship of Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnlogia (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). AG and FS were supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant ID MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID NE/R009384/1), and the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655). AS, SR, and FdD were supported by the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655). VH was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant ID PCIN-2017–046). AT was supported by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 (grant CEX2018-000794-S). YG was supported by the Career Development Fellowship (number APP1163693) and Leader Fellowship (number APP2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council. Statistics South Africa kindly provided the mortality data, but had no other role in the study. This Article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni, who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Background: Increased mortality risk is associated with short-term temperature variability. However, to our knowledge, there has been no comprehensive assessment of the temperature variability-related mortality burden worldwide. In this study, using data from the MCC Collaborative Research Network, we first explored the association between temperature variability and mortality across 43 countries or regions. Then, to provide a more comprehensive picture of the global burden of mortality associated with temperature variability, global gridded temperature data with a resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° were used to assess the temperature variability-related mortality burden at the global, regional, and national levels. Furthermore, temporal trends in temperature variability-related mortality burden were also explored from 2000–19. Methods: In this modelling study, we applied a three-stage meta-analytical approach to assess the global temperature variability-related mortality burden at a spatial resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° from 2000–19. Temperature variability was calculated as the SD of the average of the same and previous days’ minimum and maximum temperatures. We first obtained location-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations based on a daily time series of 750 locations from the Multi-country Multi-city Collaborative Research Network. We subsequently constructed a multivariable meta-regression model with five predictors to estimate grid-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations across the globe. Finally, percentage excess in mortality and excess mortality rate were calculated to quantify the temperature variability-related mortality burden and to further explore its temporal trend over two decades. Findings: An increasing trend in temperature variability was identified at the global level from 2000 to 2019. Globally, 1 753 392 deaths (95% CI 1 159 901–2 357 718) were associated with temperature variability per year, accounting for 3·4% (2·2–4·6) of all deaths. Most of Asia, Australia, and New Zealand were observed to have a higher percentage excess in mortality than the global mean. Globally, the percentage excess in mortality increased by about 4·6% (3·7–5·3) per decade. The largest increase occurred in Australia and New Zealand (7·3%, 95% CI 4·3–10·4), followed by Europe (4·4%, 2·2–5·6) and Africa (3·3, 1·9–4·6). Interpretation: Globally, a substantial mortality burden was associated with temperature variability, showing geographical heterogeneity and a slightly increasing temporal trend. Our findings could assist in raising public awareness and improving the understanding of the health impacts of temperature variability. Funding: Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council. publishersversion published

Published
2022

41. Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality : A multi-city multi-country study

Author

Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Guo, Yue Leon, Guo, Yuming, Bell, Michelle L., Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Guo, Yue Leon, Guo, Yuming, and Bell, Michelle L.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Identifying how greenspace impacts the temperature-mortality relationship in urban environments is crucial, especially given climate change and rapid urbanization. However, the effect modification of greenspace on heat-related mortality has been typically focused on a localized area or single country. This study examined the heat-mortality relationship among different greenspace levels in a global setting. METHODS: We collected daily ambient temperature and mortality data for 452 locations in 24 countries and used Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) as the greenspace measurement. We used distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the heat-mortality relationship in each city and the estimates were pooled adjusting for city-specific average temperature, city-specific temperature range, city-specific population density, and gross domestic product (GDP). The effect modification of greenspace was evaluated by comparing the heat-related mortality risk for different greenspace groups (low, medium, and high), which were divided into terciles among 452 locations. FINDINGS: Cities with high greenspace value had the lowest heat-mortality relative risk of 1·19 (95% CI: 1·13, 1·25), while the heat-related relative risk was 1·46 (95% CI: 1·31, 1·62) for cities with low greenspace when comparing the 99th temperature and the minimum mortality temperature. A 20% increase of greenspace is associated with a 9·02% (95% CI: 8·88, 9·16) decrease in the heat-related attributable fraction, and if this association is causal (which is not within the scope of this study to assess), such a reduction could save approximately 933 excess deaths per year in 24 countries. INTERPRETATION: Our findings can inform communities on the potential health benefits of greenspaces in the urban environment and mitigation measures regarding the impacts of climate change. FUNDING: This publication was developed under Assistance Agreement No. RD83587101 awarded by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agenc, Errata: Hayon Michelle Choi, Whanhee Lee, Dominic Roye, Seulkee Heo, Aleš Urban, Alireza Entezari et al. Corrigendum to “Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study”, eBioMedicine, 2023, 87;104396. DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2022.104396

Published
2022
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42. Corrigendum to 'Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study'

Author

Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Sheng Ng, Chris Fook, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue-Liang, Guo, Yuming, Bell, Michelle L., Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Sheng Ng, Chris Fook, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Kim, Yoonhee, Guo, Yue-Liang, Guo, Yuming, and Bell, Michelle L.

Abstract

The authors would like to acknowledge the participation of 4 additional authors to this article. They contributed to the processing of the Japanese dataset used in the study. The corrected authorship, the corrected Acknowledgements and the corrected Contributors and Declaration of interests sections are presented below. H.M.C. and W.L. performed data analysis. W.L., D.R., A.U., A.E., A.M.V., A.Z., A.G., A.Z., A.T., B.A., B.F., C.Í., C.Å., C.F.S.N., E.I., E.L., F.M., F.A., F.S., H.O. H.K., J.K., J.M., J.S., J.J., K.K., M.H.D., M.S.R., M.H., M.P., N.R., N.S., S.O., S.T., X.S., Y.H., Y.K., YL.G., Y.G., and M.L.B. provided essential data resources. H.M.C. drafted the first version. H.M.C. and M.L.B. performed writing and editing the manuscript. H.M.C., W.L., A.U., A.G., A.T., B.A., E.L., F.S., S.T., and M.L.B. conducted reviewing. H.M.C. and D.R. have developed the figures. All authors have read and acknowledged the final manuscript.

Published
2022

43. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study

Author

European Commission, Wu, Yao, Li, Shanshan, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobías, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline de, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., Guo, Yuming, European Commission, Wu, Yao, Li, Shanshan, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobías, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline de, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L., and Guo, Yuming

Abstract

Background: Increased mortality risk is associated with short-term temperature variability. However, to our knowledge, there has been no comprehensive assessment of the temperature variability-related mortality burden worldwide. In this study, using data from the MCC Collaborative Research Network, we first explored the association between temperature variability and mortality across 43 countries or regions. Then, to provide a more comprehensive picture of the global burden of mortality associated with temperature variability, global gridded temperature data with a resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° were used to assess the temperature variability-related mortality burden at the global, regional, and national levels. Furthermore, temporal trends in temperature variability-related mortality burden were also explored from 2000–19. Methods: In this modelling study, we applied a three-stage meta-analytical approach to assess the global temperature variability-related mortality burden at a spatial resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° from 2000–19. Temperature variability was calculated as the SD of the average of the same and previous days’ minimum and maximum temperatures. We first obtained location-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations based on a daily time series of 750 locations from the Multi-country Multi-city Collaborative Research Network. We subsequently constructed a multivariable meta-regression model with five predictors to estimate grid-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations across the globe. Finally, percentage excess in mortality and excess mortality rate were calculated to quantify the temperature variability-related mortality burden and to further explore its temporal trend over two decades. Findings: An increasing trend in temperature variability was identified at the global level from 2000 to 2019. Globally, 1 753 392 deaths (95% CI 1 159 901–2 357 718) were associated with temperature variability per year, accounting for

Published
2022

44. Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe

Author

0000-0002-8105-0522, 0000-0002-1766-6592, Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Li, Shanshan, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobías, Aurelio, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline de, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Bell, Michelle L, Guo, Yuming, 0000-0002-8105-0522, 0000-0002-1766-6592, Wu, Yao, Wen, Bo, Li, Shanshan, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobías, Aurelio, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S., Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline de, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Bell, Michelle L, and Guo, Yuming

Abstract

Studies have investigated the effects of heat and temperature variability (TV) on mortality. However, few assessed whether TV modifies the heat-mortality association. Data on daily temperature and mortality in the warm season were collected from 717 locations across 36 countries. TV was calculated as the standard deviation of the average of the same and previous days' minimum and maximum temperatures. We used location-specific quasi-Poisson regression models with an interaction term between the cross-basis term for mean temperature and quartiles of TV to obtain heat-mortality associations under each quartile of TV, and then pooled estimates at the country, regional, and global levels. Results show the increased risk in heat-related mortality with increments in TV, accounting for 0.70% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.33 to 1.69), 1.34% (95% CI: -0.14 to 2.73), 1.99% (95% CI: 0.29-3.57), and 2.73% (95% CI: 0.76-4.50) of total deaths for Q1-Q4 (first quartile-fourth quartile) of TV. The modification effects of TV varied geographically. Central Europe had the highest attributable fractions (AFs), corresponding to 7.68% (95% CI: 5.25-9.89) of total deaths for Q4 of TV, while the lowest AFs were observed in North America, with the values for Q4 of 1.74% (95% CI: -0.09 to 3.39). TV had a significant modification effect on the heat-mortality association, causing a higher heat-related mortality burden with increments of TV. Implementing targeted strategies against heat exposure and fluctuant temperatures simultaneously would benefit public health.

Published
2022

45. Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study

Author

Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), European Commission, 0000-0002-0622-8554, Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni, Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Guo, Yue Leon, Guo, Yuming, Bell, Michelle L, Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España), European Commission, 0000-0002-0622-8554, Choi, Hayon Michelle, Lee, Whanhee, Roye, Dominic, Heo, Seulkee, Urban, Aleš, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Gasparrini, Antonio, Analitis, Antonis, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Íñiguez, Carmen, Åström, Christofer, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Sera, Francesco, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Madueira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni, Katsouyanni, Klea, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Ragettli, Martina S., Pascal, Mathilde, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Osorio, Samuel, Tong, Shilu, Seposo, Xerxes, Guo, Yue Leon, Guo, Yuming, and Bell, Michelle L

Abstract

Identifying how greenspace impacts the temperature-mortality relationship in urban environments is crucial, especially given climate change and rapid urbanization. However, the effect modification of greenspace on heat-related mortality has been typically focused on a localized area or single country. This study examined the heat-mortality relationship among different greenspace levels in a global setting.

Published
2022

46. Suicide and Ambient Temperature: A Multi-Country Multi-City Study

Author

Kim, Yoonhee, Kim, Ho, Gasparrini, Antonio, Armstrong, Ben, Honda, Yasushi, Chung, Yeonseung, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, Tobias, Aurelio, Iniguez, Carmen, Lavigne, Eric, Sera, Francesco, M.Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana, Ragettli, Martina S., Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Chen, Bing-Yu, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Seposo, Xerxes, Dang, Tran Ngoc, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Kosheleva, Anna, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, Bell, Michelle L., and Hashizume, Masahiro

Subjects
Suicide -- Analysis, Time, Environmental issues, Health, World Health Organization
Abstract

Background: Previous literature suggests that higher ambient temperature may play a role in increasing the risk of suicide. However, no multicountry study has explored the shape of the association and the role of moderate and extreme heat across different locations. Objectives: We examined the short-term temperature-suicide relationship using daily time-series data collected for 341 locations in 12 countries for periods ranging from 4 to 40 y. Methods: We conducted a two-stage meta-analysis. First, we performed location-specific time-stratified case-crossover analyses to examine the temperature-suicide association for each location. Then, we used a multivariate meta-regression to combine the location-specific lag-cumulative nonlinear associations across all locations and by country. Results: A total of 1,320,148 suicides were included in this study. Higher ambient temperature was associated with an increased risk of suicide in general, and we observed a nonlinear association (inverted J-shaped curve) with the highest risk at 27[degrees]C. The relative risk (RR) for the highest risk was 1.33 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.36) compared with the risk at the first percentile. Country-specific results showed that the nonlinear associations were more obvious in northeast Asia (Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). The temperature with the highest risk of suicide ranged from the 87th to 88th percentiles in the northeast Asian countries, whereas this value was the 99th percentile in Western countries (Canada, Spain, Switzerland, the UK, and the United States) and South Africa, where nearly linear associations were estimated. The country-specific RRs ranged from 1.31 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.44) in the United States to 1.65 (95% CI: 1.40, 1.93) in Taiwan, excluding countries where the results were substantially uncertain. Discussion: Our findings showed that the risk of suicide increased with increasing ambient temperature in many countries, but to varying extents and not necessarily linearly. This temperature-suicide association should be interpreted cautiously, and further evidence of the relationship and modifying factors is needed. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP4898, Introduction Suicide is a significant public health concern. It is the second leading cause of death among young people 15-29 years of age, and there were an estimated 803,900 deaths [...]

Published
2019
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49. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study

Author

Yao, Wu, Shanshan, Li, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L, and Guo, Yuming

Subjects
temperature, mortality, global
Published
2022

50. A Multicountry Study

Author

Tobías, Aurelio, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Sera, Francesco, Chris Fook Sheng, Ng, Kim, Yoonhee, Roye, Dominic, Chung, Yeonseung, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana, Abrutzky, Rosana, Guo, Yuming, Tong, Shilu, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Lavigne, Eric, Correa, Patricia Matus, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Kyselý, Jan, Urban, Aleš, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Ryti, Niilo R. I., Pascal, Mathilde, Huber, Veronika, Schneider, Alexandra, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Entezari, Alireza, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Michelozzi, Paola, de’Donato, Francesca, Alahmad, Barrak, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Overcenco, Ala, Houthuijs, Danny, Ameling, Caroline, Rao, Shilpa, Di Ruscio, Francesco, Carrasco, Gabriel, Seposo, Xerxes, Nunes, Baltazar, Madureira, Joana, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Forsberg, Bertil, Åström, Christofer, Ragettli, Martina S., Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Chen, Bing-Yu, Shanshan, Li, Colistro, Valentina, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, Dung, Do Van, Armstrong, Ben, and Gasparrini, Antonio

Subjects
multi-country, Multi-country, Climate, time-series, multi-city, Adaptation, Distributed lag nonlinear models, Minimum mortality temperature, Multi-city, Time-series, adaptation, minimum mortality temperature, temperature, mortality, distributed lag nonlinear models, ComputingMethodologies_DOCUMENTANDTEXTPROCESSING, Original Research Article, Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença, climate
Abstract

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text., Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community’s annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community’s annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.

Published
2021

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