1. Individual Factors Including Age, BMI, and Heritable Factors Underlie Temperature Variation in Sickness and in Health
- Author
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Jonathan Wolf, Janet M. Lord, Michela Antonelli, Benjamin J. Murray, Marc F. Osterdahl, Rose S. Penfold, M. B. Zazzara, Ruth C. E. Bowyer, Ellen J. Thompson, Maxim B. Freidin, Mary Ni Lochlainn, Carly Welch, Carole H. Sudre, Yu Xian Rachel Tan, Sebastien Ourselin, Marc Modat, Tonny Veenith, Claire J. Steves, and Radiology and nuclear medicine
- Subjects
Aging ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Logistic regression ,Body Mass Index ,Cohort Studies ,Basal (phylogenetics) ,AcademicSubjects/MED00280 ,Internal medicine ,Medicine ,Humans ,immunesenescence ,Aged ,fever ,thermoregulation ,Receiver operating characteristic ,business.industry ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Temperature ,COVID-19 ,Heritability ,Confidence interval ,infection ,Ageing ,AcademicSubjects/SCI00960 ,Observational study ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,business ,Cohort study ,Research Article - Abstract
Background Aging affects immunity, potentially altering fever response to infection. We assess effects of biological variables on basal temperature, and during COVID-19 infection, proposing an updated temperature threshold for older adults ≥65 years. Methods Participants were from 4 cohorts: 1 089 unaffected adult TwinsUK volunteers; 520 adults with emergency admission to a London hospital with RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection; 757 adults with emergency admission to a Birmingham hospital with RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and 3 972 adult community-based COVID Symptom Study participants self-reporting a positive RT-PCR test. Heritability was assessed using saturated and univariate ACE models; mixed-effect and multivariable linear regression examined associations between temperature, age, sex, and body mass index (BMI); multivariable logistic regression examined associations between fever (≥37.8°C) and age; receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to identify temperature threshold for adults ≥ 65 years. Results Among unaffected volunteers, lower BMI (p = .001), and increasing age (p < .001) was associated with lower basal temperature. Basal temperature showed a heritability of 47% (95% confidence interval 18%–57%). In COVID-19+ participants, increasing age was associated with lower temperatures in Birmingham and community-based cohorts (p < .001). For each additional year of age, participants were 1% less likely to demonstrate a fever ≥37.8°C (OR 0.99; p < .001). Combining healthy and COVID-19+ participants, a temperature of 37.4°C in adults ≥65 years had similar sensitivity and specificity to 37.8°C in adults Conclusions Aging affects temperature in health and acute infection, with significant heritability, indicating genetic factors contribute to temperature regulation. Our observations suggest a lower threshold (37.4°C/97.3°F) for identifying fever in older adults ≥65 years.
- Published
- 2022
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