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Aim: Senescence is a major risk factor for heart failure (HF), and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) has been identified as an important senescence-inducing factor. The aim of this study was to examine the value of baseline and repeat IGFBP7 measurements in predicting future HF among community-dwelling Dutch adults from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study. Methods and results:Individuals without prevalent HF who attended PREVEND visits 2 and 4 median of 5.1 years apart (25th–75th percentile, 4.9–5.2) with measurements of IGFBP7 were included. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between IGFBP7 and HF incidence. A total of 6125 participants attending visit 2 (mean ± standard deviation [SD] age 53.1 ± 12.2 years; 3151 [51.4%] men) were followed for a median of 8.4 (7.8–8.9) years, and 194 participants (3.2%) developed incident HF. Median baseline IGFBP7 concentration was 87.0 (75.1–97.3) ng/ml, and baseline IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.46). Baseline IGFBP7 was also significantly associated with incident HF in individuals with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide <125 ng/L. Among 3879 participants attending both visits 2 and 4 (mean ± SD age 57.5 ± 11.3 years; 1952 [50.3%] men), 93 individuals developed HF (after visit 4) during a median follow-up of 3.2 (2.8–3.9) years. Median increase in IGFBP7 concentration between visits was 0.68 (−7.09 to 8.36) ng/ml, and changes in IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted HR per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.68, 95% CI 1.19–2.36). Conclusions: Both baseline as well as repeat IGFBP7 measurements provide information about the risk of developing HF

Aims: Heart failure (HF) is a chronic and progressive syndrome associated with a poor prognosis. While it may seem intuitive that the risk of adverse outcomes varies across the different stages of HF, an overview of these risks is lacking. This study aims to determine the risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalizations associated with new-onset HF, chronic HF (CHF), worsening HF (WHF), and advanced HF. Methods and results: We performed a systematic review of observational studies from 2012 to 2022 using five different databases. The primary outcomes were 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality, as well as 1-year HF hospitalization. Studies were pooled using random effects meta-analysis, and mixed-effects meta-regression was used to compare the different HF groups. Among the 15 759 studies screened, 66 were included representing 862 046 HF patients. Pooled 30-day mortality rates did not reveal a significant distinction between hospital-admitted patients, with rates of 10.13% for new-onset HF and 8.11% for WHF (p = 0.10). However, the 1-year mortality risk differed and increased stepwise from CHF to advanced HF, with a rate of 8.47% (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.24–9.89) for CHF, 21.15% (95% CI 17.78–24.95) for new-onset HF, 26.84% (95% CI 23.74–30.19) for WHF, and 29.74% (95% CI 24.15–36.10) for advanced HF. Readmission rates for HF at 1 year followed a similar trend. Conclusions: Our meta-analysis of observational studies confirms the different risk for adverse outcomes across the distinct HF stages. Moreover, it emphasizes the negative prognostic value of WHF as the first progressive stage from CHF towards advanced HF.

Aims: In a large proportion of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients, echocardiographic estimation of left atrial pressure (LAP) is not possible when the ratio of the peak early left ventricular filling velocity over the late filling velocity (E/A ratio) is not available, which may occur due to several potential causes. Left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) is correlated with LV filling pressures and may serve as an alternative parameter in these patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether LASr can be used to estimate LAP in HFrEF patients in whom E/A ratio is not available. Methods and results: Echocardiograms of chronic HFrEF patients were analysed and LASr was assessed with speckle tracking echocardiography. LAP was estimated using the current ASE/EACVI algorithm. Patients were divided into those in whom LAP could be estimated using this algorithm (LAPe) and into those in whom this was not possible because E/A ratio was not available (LAPne). We assessed the prognostic value of LASr on the primary endpoint (PEP), which comprised the composite of hospitalization for the management of acute or worsened HF, left ventricular assist device implantation, cardiac transplantation, and cardiovascular death, whichever occurred first in time. We studied 153 patients with a mean age of 58 years of whom 76% men and 82% who were in NYHA class I-II. A total of 86 were in the LAPe group and 67 in the LAPne group. LASr was significantly lower in the LAPne group as compared with the LAPe group (15.8% vs. 23.8%, P < 0.001). PEP-free survival at a median follow-up of 2.5 years was 78% in LAPe versus 51% in LAPne patients. An increase in LASr was significantly associated with a reduced risk of the PEP in LAPne patients (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.91 per %, 95% confidence interval 0.84–0.98). An abnormal LASr (<18%) was associated with a five-fold increase in reaching the PEP. Conclusions: In HFrEF patients in whom echocardiographic estimation

Background: We investigated whether repeatedly measured global longitudinal strain (GLS) has incremental prognostic value over repeatedly measured left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and a single “baseline” GLS value, in chronic heart failure (HF) patients. Methods: In this prospective observational study, echocardiography was performed in 173 clinically stable chronic HF patients every six months during follow up. During a median follow-up of 2.7 years, a median of 3 (25th–75th percentile:2–4) echocardiograms were obtained per patient. The endpoint was a composite of HF hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, heart transplantation, cardiovascular death. We compared hazard ratios (HRs) for the endpoint from Cox models (used to analyze the first available GLS measurements) with HRs from joint models (which links repeated measurements to the time-to-event data). Results: Mean age was 58 ± 11 years, 76% were men, 81% were in New York Heart Association functional class I/II, and all had LVEF < 50% (mean ± SD: 27 ± 9%). The endpoint was reached by 53 patients. GLS was persistently decreased over time in patients with the endpoint. However, temporal GLS trajectories did not further diverge in patients with versus without the endpoint and remained stable during follow-up. Both single measurements and temporal trajectories of GLS were significantly associated with the endpoint [HR per SD change (95%CI): 2.15(1.34–3.46), 3.54 (2.01–6.20)]. In a multivariable model, repeatedly measured GLS maintained its prognostic value while repeatedly measured LVEF did not [HR per SD change (95%CI): GLS:4.38 (1.49–14.70), LVEF:1.14 (0.41–3.23)]. The association disappeared when correcting for repeatedly measured NT-proBNP. Conclusion: Temporal evolution of GLS was associated with adverse events, independent of LVEF but not independent of NT-proBNP. Since GLS showed decreased but stable values in patients with a