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In this paper, we study the probability distribution of solutions of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by fractional Brownian motion. We prove the associated Fokker-Planck equation, which governs the evolution of the probability distribution of the solution. For the case where the distribution is absolutely continuous, we present a more explicit form of this equation. To illustrate the result we use it to solve specific examples, including the law of fractional Brownian motion and the geometric McKean-Vlasov SDE, demonstrating the complex dynamics arising from the interplay between fractional noise and mean-field interactions., Comment: 21 pages

We study a linear filtering problem where the signal and observation processes are described as solutions of linear stochastic differential equations driven by time-space Brownian sheets. We derive a stochastic integral equation for the conditional value of the signal given the observation, which can be considered a time-space analogue of the classical Kalman filter. The result is illustrated with examples of the filtering problem involving noisy observations.

We propose a deep learning approach to study the minimal variance pricing and hedging problem in an incomplete jump diffusion market. It is based upon a rigorous stochastic calculus derivation of the optimal hedging portfolio, optimal option price, and the corresponding equivalent martingale measure through the means of the Stackelberg game approach. A deep learning algorithm based on the combination of the feedforward and LSTM neural networks is tested on three different market models, two of which are incomplete. In contrast, the complete market Black-Scholes model serves as a benchmark for the algorithm's performance. The results that indicate the algorithm's good performance are presented and discussed. In particular, we apply our results to the special incomplete market model studied by Merton and give a detailed comparison between our results based on the minimal variance principle and the results obtained by Merton based on a different pricing principle. Using deep learning, we find that the minimal variance principle leads to typically higher option prices than those deduced from the Merton principle. On the other hand, the minimal variance principle leads to lower losses than the Merton principle., Comment: Digit Finance (2024)

In this paper, we consider a McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by a Brownian sheet. We study the propagation of chaos for a space-time Ornstein-Uhlenbeck SPDE type. Subsequently, we prove the existence and uniqueness of a nonlinear McKean-Vlasov SPDE. Finally, we establish a Fokker-Planck equation for the law of the solution of the McKean-Vlasov type SPDE driven by a time-space Brownian sheet, and we provide some examples to illustrate the results obtained.

We give an introduction to the time-fractional stochastic heat equation driven by 1+d-parameter fractional time-space white noise, in the following two cases: (i) With additive noise (ii) With multiplicative noise. The fractional time derivative is interpreted as the Caputo derivative of order $\alpha \in (0,2)$ and we assume that the Hurst coefficient $H=(H_0,H_1,H_2, ...,H_d)$ of the time-space fractional white noise is in $(\tfrac{1}{2},1)^{1+d}$. We find an explicit expression for the unique solution in the sense of distribution of the equation in the additive noise case (i). In the multiplicative case (ii) we show that there is a unique solution in the Hida space $(\mathcal{S})^{*}$ of stochastic distributions and we show that the solution coincides with the solution of an associated fractional stochastic Volterra equation.Then we give an explicit expression for the solution of this Volterra equation. A solution $Y(t,x)$ is called \emph{mild} if $E[Y^2(t,x)] < \infty$ for all $t,x$. For both the additive noise case and the multiplicative noise case we show that if $\alpha \geq 1$ then the solution is mild if $d=1$ or $d=2$, while if $\alpha < 1$ the solution is not mild for any $d$. The paper is partly a survey paper, explaining the concepts and methods behind the results. It is also partly a research paper, in the sense that some results appears to be new., Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2211.12861

In this paper we study a Pontryagin type stochastic maximum principle for the optimal control of a system, where the state dynamics satisfy a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by a two-parameter (time-space) Brownian motion (also called Brownian sheet). We first discuss some properties of a Brownian sheet driven linear SPDE which models the growth of an ecosystem. Further, applying time-space white noise calculus we derive sufficient conditions and necessary conditions of optimality of the control. Finally, we illustrate our results by solving a linear quadratic control problem and an optimal harvesting problem in the plane. We also study possible applications to machine learning., Comment: 30 PAGES

The aim of this paper is to analyse a WIS-stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion with H>0.5. For this, we summarise the theory of fractional white noise and prove a fundamental L^2-estimate for WIS-integrals. We apply this to prove the existence and uniqueness of a solution in L^2(P) of a WIS-stochastic differential equation driven fractional Brownian motion with H>0.5 under Lipschitz conditions on its coefficients.

The purpose of this paper is to establish a stochastic differential equation for the Donsker delta measure of the solution of a McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equation. If the Donsker delta measure is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure, then its Radon-Nikodym derivative is called the Donsker delta function. In that case it can be proved that the local time of such a process is simply the integral with respect to time of the Donsker delta function. Therefore we also get an equation for the local time of such a process. For some particular McKean-Vlasov processes, we find explicit expressions for their Donsker delta functions and hence for their local times.

This paper establishes a verification theorem for impulse control problems involving conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions. We obtain a Markovian system by combining the state equation of the problem with the stochastic Fokker-Planck equation for the conditional probability law of the state. We derive sufficient variational inequalities for a function to be the value function of the impulse control problem, and for an impulse control to be the optimal control. We illustrate our results by applying them to the study of an optimal stream of dividends under transaction costs. We obtain the solution explicitly by finding a function and an associated impulse control which satisfy the verification theorem., Comment: 19 pages. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2207.13994

We study the time-fractional stochastic heat equation driven by time-space white noise with space dimension $d\in\mathbb{N}=\{1,2,...\}$ and the fractional time-derivative is the Caputo derivative of order $\alpha \in (0,2)$. We consider the equation in the sense of distribution, and we find an explicit expression for the $\mathcal{S}'$-valued solution $Y(t,x)$, where $\mathcal{S}'$ is the space of tempered distributions. Following the terminology of Y. Hu \cite{Hu}, we say that the solution is \emph{mild} if $Y(t,x) \in L^2(\mathbb{P})$ for all $t,x$, where $\mathbb{P}$ is the probability law of the underlying time-space Brownian motion. It is well-known that in the classical case with $\alpha = 1$, the solution is mild if and only if the space dimension $d=1$. We prove that if $\alpha \in (1,2)$ the solution is mild if $d=1$ or $d=2$. If $\alpha < 1$ we prove that the solution is not mild for any $d$.

In the first part of this paper I give the historical background to my initial interest in stochastic analysis and to the writing of my book Stochastic Differential Equations. The first edition of this book was published by Springer in 1985, with the highly appreciated support of Catriona Byrne. In the second part I present a motivation for modelling the dynamics of a system subject to a noise by means of a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by a time-space Brownian sheet. This is followed by a brief survey of time-space white noise and Hida-Malliavin calculus, which are useful tools for studying such equations. As an illustration I apply white noise calculus to find an explicit solution of an SPDE describing population growth in an environment subject to time-space white noise.

We study the problem of optimal stopping of conditional McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equations with jumps (conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, for short). We obtain sufficient variational inequalities for a function to be the value function of such a problem and for a stopping time to be optimal. To achieve this, we combine the state equation for the conditional McKean-Vlasov equation with the associated stochastic Fokker-Planck equation for the conditional law of the solution of the state. This gives us a Markovian system which can be handled by using a version of the Dynkin formula. We illustrate our result by solving explicitly two optimal stopping problems for conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions. More specifically, we first find the optimal time to sell in a market with common noise and jumps, and, next, we find the stopping time to quit a project whose state is modelled by a jump diffusion, when the performance functional involves the conditional mean of the state., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2110.02193

The purpose of this paper is to study optimal control of conditional McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equations with jumps (conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, for short). To this end, we first prove a stochastic Fokker-Planck equation for the conditional law of the solution of such equations. Combining this equation with the original state equation, we obtain a Markovian system for the state and its conditional law. Furthermore, we apply this to formulate an Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation for the optimal control of conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions. Then we study the situation when the law is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure. In that case the Fokker-Planck equation reduces to a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) for the Radon-Nikodym derivative of the conditional law. Finally we apply these results to solve explicitly the following problems: -Linear-quadratic optimal control of conditional stochastic McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions. -Optimal consumption from a cash flow modelled as a conditional stochastic McKean-Vlasov differential equation with jumps., Comment: 32

We study option prices in financial markets where the risky asset prices are modelled by jump diffusions. It was proposed by Schweizer (1996) in a general semimartingale setting, following earlier works by F\"ollmer and Sondermann (1986) and Bouleau and Lamberton (1989), that the right price of such an option is the initial wealth needed to make it possible to generate by a self-financing portfolio a terminal wealth which is as close as possible to the payoff F in the sense of variance. Schweizer calls this price the approximation price and he investigates interesting general properties of this price and its corresponding optimal portfolio. -However, neither of these authors compute explicitly this price in concrete cases. This is the motivation for the current paper: We apply stochastic control methods to compute this price in the setting of markets with assets described by jump diffusions. Our method involves Stackelberg games and a suitably modified stochastic maximum principle. We show that such an optimal initial wealth, denoted by z^, with corresponding optimal portfolio {\pi}^ exist and are unique. - If the coefficients of the risky asset prices are deterministic, we show that z^=E_{Q*}[F], for a specific equivalent martingale measure (EMM) Q*. This shows in particular that the minimal variance price is free from arbitrage. -Then for the general case we apply a suitable maximum principle of optimal stochastic control to relate the minimal variance price z^=p_{mv}(F) to the Hamiltonian and its adjoint processes, and we show that, under some conditions, z^=E_{Q_0}[F] for any Q_0 in a family M_0 of EMMs, described by the set of solutions of a system of linear equations. -Finally, we illustrate our results by looking at specific examples.

We study a financial market where the risky asset is modelled by a geometric It\^o-L\'{e}vy process, with a singular drift term. This can for example model a situation where the asset price is partially controlled by a company which intervenes when the price is reaching a certain lower barrier. See e.g. Jarrow & Protter for an explanation and discussion of this model in the Brownian motion case. As already pointed out by Karatzas & Shreve (in the continuous setting), this allows for arbitrages in the market. However, the situation in the case of jumps is not clear. Moreover, it is not clear what happens if there is a delay in the system. In this paper we consider a jump diffusion market model with a singular drift term modelled as the local time of a given process, and with a delay \theta>0 in the information flow available for the trader. We allow the stock price dynamics to depend on both a continuous process (Brownian motion) and a jump process (Poisson random measure). We believe that jumps and delays are essential in order to get more realistic financial market models. Using white noise calculus we compute explicitly the optimal consumption rate and portfolio in this case and we show that the maximal value is finite as long as the delay \theta> 0. This implies that there is no arbitrage in the market in that case. However, when \theta goes to 0, the value goes to infinity. This is in agreement with the above result that is an arbitrage when there is no delay. Our model is also relevant for high frequency trading issues. This is because high frequency trading often leads to intensive trading taking place on close to infinitesimal lengths of time, which in the limit corresponds to trading on time sets of measure 0. This may in turn lead to a singular drift in the pricing dynamics. See e.g. Lachapelle et al and the references therein., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1504.02581

This paper deals with optimal combined singular and regular controls for stochastic Volterra integral equations, where the solution X^{u,\xi}(t)=X(t) is given by X(t) =\phi(t)+\int_{0}^{t}}b(t,s,X(s),u(s)) ds+\int_{0}^{t}\sigma(t,s,X(s),u(s))dB(s) +\int _{0}^{t}\int_{0}^{t}h(t,s) d\xi(s). Here dB(s) denotes the Brownian motion It\^o type differential and \xi denotes the singular control (singular in time t with respect to Lebesgue measure) and u denotes the regular control (absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure). Such systems may for example be used to model harvesting of populations with memory, where X(t) represents the population density at time t, and the singular control process \xi represents the harvesting effort rate. The total income from the harvesting is represented by J(u,\xi) =E[\int _{0}^{T}\int_{0}^{T} f_{0}(t,X(t),u(t))dt+\int _{0}^{T}\int_{0}^{T} f_{1}(t,X(t))d\xi(t)+g(X(T))], for given functions f_{0},f_{1} and g, where T>0 is a constant denoting the terminal time of the harvesting. Note that it is important to allow the controls to be singular, because in some cases the optimal controls are of this type. Using Hida-Malliavin calculus, we prove sufficient conditions and necessary conditions of optimality of controls. As a consequence, we obtain a new type of backward stochastic Volterra integral equations with singular drift. Finally, to illustrate our results, we apply them to discuss optimal harvesting problems with possibly density dependent prices.

In this paper we present a new verification theorem for optimal stopping problems for Hunt processes. The approach is based on the Fukushima-Dynkin formula, and its advantage is that it allows us to verify that a given function is the value function without using the viscosity solution argument. Our verification theorem works in any dimension. We illustrate our results with some examples of optimal stopping of reflected diffusions and absorbed diffusions.

The continuous-time version of Kyle's (1985) model is studied, in which market makers are not fiduciaries. They have some market power which they utilize to set the price to their advantage, resulting in positive expected profits. This has several implications for the equilibrium, the most important being that by setting a modest fee conditional of the order flow, the market maker is able to obtain a profit of the order of magnitude, and even better than, a perfectly informed insider. Our model also indicates why speculative prices are more volatile than predicted by fundamentals.

The purpose of these lectures is threefold: We first give a short survey of the Hida white noise calculus, and in this context we introduce the Hida-Malliavin derivative as a stochastic gradient with values in the Hida stochastic distribution space $(\mathcal{S}% )^*$. We show that this Hida-Malliavin derivative defined on $L^2(\mathcal{F}_T,P)$ is a natural extension of the classical Malliavin derivative defined on the subspace $\mathbb{D}_{1,2}$ of $L^2(P)$. The Hida-Malliavin calculus allows us to prove new results under weaker assumptions than could be obtained by the classical theory. In particular, we prove the following: (i) A general integration by parts formula and duality theorem for Skorohod integrals, (ii) a generalised fundamental theorem of stochastic calculus, and (iii) a general Clark-Ocone theorem, valid for all $F \in L^2(\mathcal{F}_T,P)$. As applications of the above theory we prove the following: A general representation theorem for backward stochastic differential equations with jumps, in terms of Hida-Malliavin derivatives; a general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control; backward stochastic Volterra integral equations; optimal control of stochastic Volterra integral equations and other stochastic systems.

We consider the problem of optimal singular control of a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with space-mean dependence. Such systems are proposed as models for population growth in a random environment. We obtain sufficient and necessary maximum principles for such control problems. The corresponding adjoint equation is a reflected backward stochastic partial differential equation (BSPDE) with space-mean dependence. We prove existence and uniqueness results for such equations. As an application we study optimal harvesting from a population modelled as an SPDE with space-mean dependence., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1807.07303

We consider optimal control of a new type of non-local stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). The SPDEs have space interactions, in the sense that the dynamics of the system at time $t$ and position in space x also depend on the space-mean of values at neighbouring points. This is a model with many applications, e.g. to population growth studies and epidemiology. We prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions of a class of SPDEs with space interactions, and we show that, under some conditions, the solutions are positive for all times if the initial values are. Sufficient and necessary maximum principles for the optimal control of such systems are derived. Finally, we apply the results to study an optimal vaccine strategy problem for an epidemic by modelling the population density as a space-mean stochastic reaction-diffusion equation., Comment: 26 pages

Our purpose of this paper is to study stochastic control problem for systems driven by mean-field stochastic differential equations with elephant memory, in the sense that the system (like the elephants) never forgets its history. We study both the finite horizon case and the infinite time horizon case. - In the finite horizon case, results about existence and uniqueness of solutions of such a system are given. Moreover, we prove sufficient as well as necessary stochastic maximum principles for the optimal control of such systems. We apply our results to solve a mean-field linear quadratic control problem. - For infinite horizon, we derive sufficient and necessary maximum principles. As an illustration, we solve an optimal consumption problem from a cash flow modelled by an elephant memory mean-field system.

The purpose of this paper is two-fold: We extend the well-known relation between optimal stopping and randomized stopping of a given stochastic process to a situation where the available information flow is a filtration with no a priori assumed relation to the filtration of the process. We call these problems optimal stopping and randomized stopping with general information. Following an idea of Krylov [K] we introduce a special singular stochastic control problem with general information and show that this is also equivalent to the partial information optimal stopping and randomized stopping problems. Then we show that the solution of this singular control problem can be expressed in terms of partial information variational inequalities.

The purpose of this paper is to study the following topics and the relation between them: (i) Optimal singular control of mean-field stochastic differential equations with memory, (ii) reflected advanced mean-field backward stochastic differential equations, and (iii) optimal stopping of mean-field stochastic differential equations. More specifically, we do the following: - We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solutions of some reflected advanced memory backward stochastic differential equations (AMBSDEs), - we give sufficient and necessary conditions for an optimal singular control of a memory mean-field stochastic differential equation (MMSDE) with partial information, and - we deduce a relation between the optimal singular control of a MMSDE, and the optimal stopping of such processes.

We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio $\pi(t)$ in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process $X(t)=X^{\pi}(t)$ modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=\pi(t)X(t)[\alpha(t)dt+\beta(t)dB(t)]; \quad t\in[0, T] X(0)&=x_0>0, \end{cases} \end{align} where $B(\cdot)$ is a Brownian motion. We assume that the insider at time $t$ has access to market information $\varepsilon_t>0$ units ahead of time, in addition to the history of the market up to time $t$. The problem is to find an insider portfolio $\pi^{*}$ which maximizes the expected logarithmic utility $J(\pi)$ of the terminal wealth, i.e. such that $$\sup_{\pi}J(\pi)= J(\pi^{*}), \text {where } J(\pi)= \mathbb{E}[\log(X^{\pi}(T))].$$ The insider market is called \emph{viable} if this value is finite. We study under what inside information flow $\mathbb{H}$ the insider market is viable or not. For example, assume that for all $t

In this paper we study the mean-field backward stochastic differential equations (mean-field bsde) of the form dY(t) =-f(t,Y(t),Z(t),K(t, . ),E[\varphi(Y(t),Z(t),K(t,.))])dt+Z(t)dB(t) +\int_{R_{0}}K(t,\zeta)\tilde{N}(dt,d\zeta), where B is a Brownian motion, \tilde{N} is the compensated Poisson random measure. Under some mild conditions, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution triplet (Y,Z,K). It is commonly believed that there is no comparison theorem for general mean-field bsde. However, we prove a comparison theorem for a subclass of these equations. When the mean-field bsde is linear, we give an explicit formula for the first component Y(t) of the solution triplet. Our results are applied to solve a mean-field recursive utility optimization problem in finance.

We study optimal control of stochastic Volterra integral equations (SVIE) with jumps by using Hida-Malliavin calculus. - We give conditions under which there exists unique solutions of such equations. - Then we prove both a sufficient maximum principle (a verification theorem) and a necessary maximum principle via Hida-Malliavin calculus. - As an application we solve a problem of optimal consumption from a cash flow modelled by an SVIE.

We present an explicit solution triplet $(Y, Z, K)$ to the backward stochastic Volterra integral equation (BSVIE) of linear type, driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson random measure. The process $Y$ is expressed by an integral whose kernel is explicitly given. The processes $Z$ and $K$ are expressed by Hida-Malliavin derivatives involving $Y$.

The classical maximum principle for optimal stochastic control states that if a control $\hat{u}$ is optimal, then the corresponding Hamiltonian has a maximum at $u=\hat{u}$. The first proofs for this result assumed that the control did not enter the diffusion coefficient. Moreover, it was assumed that there were no jumps in the system. Subsequently it was discovered by Shige Peng (still assuming no jumps) that one could also allow the diffusion coefficient to depend on the control, provided that the corresponding adjoint backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) for the first order derivative was extended to include an extra BSDE for the second order derivatives. In this paper we present an alternative approach based on Hida-Malliavin calculus and white noise theory. This enables us to handle the general case with jumps, allowing both the diffusion coefficient and the jump coefficient to depend on the control, and we do not need the extra BSDE with second order derivatives. The result is illustrated by an example of a constrained mean-variance portfolio problem.

We study the problem of optimal control for mean-field stochastic partial differential equations (stochastic evolution equations) driven by a Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure, in the case of \textit{partial information} control. One important novelty of our problem is represented by the introduction of \textit{general mean-field} operators, acting on both the controlled state process and the control process. We first formulate a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for this type of control. We then prove existence and uniqueness of the solution of such general forward and backward mean-field stochastic partial differential equations. We finally apply our results to find the explicit optimal control for an optimal harvesting problem.

By a memory mean-field process we mean the solution $X(\cdot)$ of a stochastic mean-field equation involving not just the current state $X(t)$ and its law $\mathcal{L}(X(t))$ at time $t$, but also the state values $X(s)$ and its law $\mathcal{L}(X(s))$ at some previous times $s

We consider the problem of optimal control of a mean-field stochastic differential equation under model uncertainty. The model uncertainty is represented by ambiguity about the law $\mathcal{L}(X(t))$ of the state $X(t)$ at time $t$. For example, it could be the law $\mathcal{L}_{\mathbb{P}}(X(t))$ of $X(t)$ with respect to the given, underlying probability measure $\mathbb{P}$. This is the classical case when there is no model uncertainty. But it could also be the law $\mathcal{L}_{\mathbb{Q}}(X(t))$ with respect to some other probability measure $\mathbb{Q}$ or, more generally, any random measure $\mu(t)$ on $\mathbb{R}$ with total mass $1$. We represent this model uncertainty control problem as a stochastic differential game of a mean-field related type stochastic differential equation (SDE) with two players. The control of one of the players, representing the uncertainty of the law of the state, is a measure valued stochastic process $\mu(t)$ and the control of the other player is a classical real-valued stochastic process $u(t)$. This control with respect to random probability processes $\mu(t)$ on $\mathbb{R}$ is a new type of stochastic control problems that has not been studied before. By introducing operator-valued backward stochastic differential equations, we obtain a sufficient maximum principle for Nash equilibria for such games in the general nonzero-sum case, and saddle points for zero-sum games. As an application we find an explicit solution of the problem of optimal consumption under model uncertainty of a cash flow described by a mean-field related type SDE., Comment: 19 pages

We use a white noise approach to study the problem of optimal inside control of a stochastic delay equation driven by a Brownian motion B and a Poisson random measure N. In particular, we use Hida-Malliavin calculus and the Donsker delta functional to study the problem. We establish a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control when the trader from the beginning has inside information about the future value of some random variable related to the system.These results are applied to the problem of optimal inside harvesting control in a population modelled by a stochastic delay equation. Next, we apply a direct white noise method to find the optimal insider portfolio in a financial market where the risky asset price is given by a stochastic delay equation. A classical result of Pikovski and Karatzas shows that when the inside information is B(T), where T is the terminal time of the trading period, then the market is not viable. Our results show that with this inside information the market is not viable even if there is delay in the equations., Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1607.00197