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Tese de mestrado, Doenças Metabólicas e Comportamento Alimentar, Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Medicina, 2019 Submitted by Fernando João Machado (fjmachado@fm.ul.pt) on 2019-09-09T15:29:21Z No. of bitstreams: 1 12071_Tese.pdf: 2192972 bytes, checksum: d7f42cedaf63eb5a765722e934697d67 (MD5) Made available in DSpace on 2019-09-09T15:29:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 12071_Tese.pdf: 2192972 bytes, checksum: d7f42cedaf63eb5a765722e934697d67 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2019-05-20

We aimed to retrospectively analyze the clinical and computed tomography (CT) characteristics of young adults with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia who were critically ill and to identify the features associated with non-survival.Thirty-eight COVID-19 patients (20-45 years old, 28 men) who had been admitted in the intensive care unit were included, including 18 non-survivors (group 1) and 20 survivors (group 2). Their clinical characteristics and initial and follow-up CT were compared between groups.In group 1, the days from illness onset to death were 21.1 ±â€Š10.3 days; 7 patients had underlying comorbidities. At admission, group 1 exhibited higher serum ferritin and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels (1142.6 ±â€Š242.4 mg/L and 33.8 ±â€Š18.6 mmol/L) compared with group 2 (728.3 ±â€Š150.9 mg/L and 15.2 ±â€Š6.9 mmol/L, P 

Background: Decreased cancer specific survival in older colorectal patients is mainly due to mortality in the first year, emphasizing the importance of the first postoperative year. This study aims to gain an overview and time trends of short-term mortality in octogenarians (>= 80 years) with colorectal cancer across four North European countries.Methods: Patients of 80 years or older, operated for colorectal cancer (stage I-Ill) between 2005 and 2014, were included. Population-based cohorts from Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Sweden were collected. Separately for colon- and rectal cancer, 30-day, 90-day, one-year, and excess one-year mortality were calculated. Also, short-term mortality over three time periods (2005-2008, 2009-2011, 2012-2014) was analyzed.Results: In total, 35,158 colon cancer patients and 10,144 rectal cancer patients were included. For colon cancer, 90-day mortality rate was highest in Denmark (15%) and lowest in Sweden (8%). For rectal cancer, 90-day mortality rate was highest in Belgium (11%) and lowest in Sweden (7%). One-year excess mortality rate of colon cancer patients decreased from 2005 to 2008 to 2012-2014 for all countries (Belgium: 17%-11%, Denmark: 21%-15%, the Netherlands: 18%-10%, and Sweden: 10%-8%). For rectal cancer, from 2005 to 2008 to 2012-2014 one-year excess mortality rate decreased in the Netherlands from 16% to 7% and Sweden: 8%-2%).Conclusions: Short-term mortality rates were high in octogenarians operated for colorectal cancer. Short-term mortality rates differ across four North European countries, but decreased over time for both colon and rectal cancer patients in all countries. (C) 2019 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Background: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a common complication of cirrhosis characterized by single or multiple organ failures and high short-term mortality. Treatment of ACLF consists of standard medical care (SMC) and organ(s) support. Whether the efficacy of artificial liver support (ALS) depends on the severity of ACLF or on the intensity of this treatment, or both, is unclear. This study aimed to further assess these issues. Methods: We performed an individual patient data meta-analysis assessing the efficacy of Molecular Adsorbent Recirculating System (MARS) in ACLF patients enrolled in prior randomized control trials (RCTs). The meta-analysis was designed to assess the effect of patient severity (ACLF grade) and treatment intensity [low-intensity therapy (LIT), SMC alone or SMC plus ⩽ 4 MARS sessions, high-intensity therapy (HIT), SMC plus > 4 MARS sessions] on mortality. Results: Three RCTs suitable for the meta-analysis ( n = 285, ACLF patients = 165) were identified in a systematic review. SMC plus MARS (irrespective of the number of sessions) did not improve survival compared with SMC alone, neither in the complete population nor in the ACLF patients. Survival, however, was significantly improved in the subgroup of patients receiving HIT both in the entire cohort (10-day survival: 98.6% versus 82.8%, p = 0.001; 30-day survival: 73.9% versus 64.3%, p = 0.032) and within the ACLF patients (10-day survival: 97.8% versus 78.6%, p = 0.001; 30-day survival: 73.3% versus 58.5%, p = 0.041). Remarkably, HIT increased survival independently of ACLF grade. Independent predictors of survival were age, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), ACLF grade, number of MARS sessions received, and intensity of MARS therapy. Conclusion: HIT with albumin dialysis may improve survival in patients with ACLF. Appropriate treatment schedules should be determined in future clinical trials.

Background Prosthesis–patient mismatch (PPM) may affect the clinical outcomes of patients undergoing mitral valve replacement (MVR) surgery. We aimed to investigate the incidence of PPM of the mitral position in our center and analyze the possible predictors of PPM as well as its effect on short-term outcomes. Methods We retrospectively examined all consecutive patients with isolated or concomitant MVR at our center from 2013 to 2015. PPM was defined as an indexed effective orifice area (iEOA) of ≤1.2 cm2/m2. After inclusion and exclusion, a total of 1067 patients were analyzed. The baseline information were collected and compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the preoperative predictors of PPM as well as the effect of PPM on early mortality. Results A total of 1067 patients were included in the study. PPM was detected in 15.9% of the patients while 12 patients (1.12%) met the criteria for severe PPM. Patients with PPM compared to the non-PPM patients had higher age, larger body surface area and were more likely to be male and obese. Logistic regression analysis showed that higher age, larger BSA, bioprosthesis and smaller left ventricle end-diastolic diameter were predictors of PPM. There were no significant differences between the PPM and non-PPM groups regarding post-operative complications. Logistic regression analysis showed that PPM was not a risk factor of short-term mortality (P = 0.654). Also, there were no significant differences regarding short−/mid-term heart function between the PPM and non PPM groups (P = 0.902). Conclusions Our results demonstrated that higher age, bioprosthesis, larger BSA and smaller left ventricle size were associated with mitral PPM. However, PPM was not associated with poorer early outcomes after MVR surgery. In eastern of China, the prevalence of mitral valve stenosis is high; therefore, whether the standard PPM criteria are suitable for patients of this district needs to be further verified.

Background Despite advances in medical knowledge, technology and antimicrobial therapy, infective endocarditis (IE) is still associated with devastating outcomes. No reviews have yet assessed the outcomes of IE patients undergoing short- and long-term outcome evaluation, such as all-cause mortality and IE-related complications. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the short- and long-term mortality, as well as IE-related complications in patients with definite IE. Methods A computerized systematic literature search was carried out in PubMed, Scopus and Google Scholar from 2000 to August, 2016. Included studies were published studies in English that assessed short-and long-term mortality for adult IE patients. Pooled estimations with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated with DerSimonian-Laird (DL) random-effects model. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were also performed. Publication bias was evaluated using inspection of funnel plots and statistical tests. Results Twenty five observational studies (retrospective, 14; prospective, 11) including 22,382 patients were identified. The overall pooled mortality estimates for IE patients who underwent short- and long-term follow-up were 20% (95% CI: 18.0–23.0, P

Background: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an emerging indication for liver transplantation (LT) and coexists with multiple comorbidities. Obese and cirrhotic patients experience more perioperative complications. Limited data exist about short-term complications after LT for NASH cirrhosis.Aim: Investigate short-term complications in patients transplanted for NASH cirrhosis.Methods: Single center retrospective cohort study including patients >18 years who underwent LT between 2009-2015. Exclusion criteria were LT for acute liver failure and non-cirrhotic disease. Post-operative complications and severity within 90-days were classified using the Clavien-Dindo classification of surgical complications and comprehensive complication index (CCI). P Results: Out of 169 eligible patients, 34 patients (20.1%) were transplanted for NASH cirrhosis. These patients were significantly older (59.2 vs. 54.8 years, P = 0.01), more obese (61.8% vs. 8.1%, P Conclusion: Despite significantly increased comorbidities in patients transplanted for NASH cirrhosis, major morbidity, mortality and graft survival after 90 days were comparable to patients transplanted for other indications.

This study aims to investigate basic clinical features of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, their prognostic risk factors, and to establish a prognostic model for predicting their one-year mortality. A national multi-center cohort study was performed. A total of 5,405 new PD cases from China Peritoneal Dialysis Registry in 2012 were enrolled in model group. All these patients had complete baseline data and were followed for one year. Demographic and clinical features of these patients were collected. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze prognostic risk factors and establish prognostic model. A validation group was established using 1,764 new PD cases between January 1, 2013 and July 1, 2013, and to verify accuracy of prognostic model. Results indicated that model group included 4,453 live PD cases and 371 dead cases. Multivariate survival analysis showed that diabetes mellitus (DM), residual glomerular filtration rate (rGFR), , SBP, Kt/V, high PET type and Alb were independently associated with one-year mortality. Model was statistically significant in both within-group verification and outside-group verification. In conclusion, DM, rGFR, SBP, Kt/V, high PET type and Alb were independent risk factors for short-term mortality in PD patients. Prognostic model established in this study accurately predicted risk of short-term death in PD patients.

Background: Variation in colon cancer mortality occurring shortly after diagnosis is widely reported between socio-economic status (SES) groups: we investigated the role of different prognostic factors in explaining variation in 90-day mortality. Methods: National cancer registry data were linked with national clinical audit data and Hospital Episode Statistics records for 69 769 adults diagnosed with colon cancer in England between January 2010 and March 2013. By gender, logistic regression was used to estimate the effects of SES, age and stage at diagnosis, comorbidity and surgical treatment on probability of death within 90 days from diagnosis. Multiple imputations accounted for missing stage. We predicted conditional probabilities by prognostic factor patterns and estimated the effect of SES (deprivation) from the difference between deprivation-specific average predicted probabilities. Results: Ninety-day probability of death rose with increasing deprivation, even after accounting for the main prognostic factors. When setting the deprivation level to the least deprived group for all patients and keeping all other prognostic factors as observed, the differences between deprivation-specific averaged predicted probabilities of death were greatly reduced but persisted. Additional analysis suggested stage and treatment as potential contributors towards some of these inequalities. Conclusions: Further examination of delayed diagnosis, access to treatment and post-operative care by deprivation group may provide additional insights into understanding deprivation disparities in mortality.

Background The clinical CardShock risk score, including baseline lactate levels, was recently shown to facilitate risk stratification in patients with cardiogenic shock (CS). As based on baseline parameters, however, it may not reflect the change in mortality risk in response to initial therapies. Adrenomedullin is a prognostic biomarker in several cardiovascular diseases and was recently shown to associate with hemodynamic instability in patients with septic shock. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value and association with hemodynamic parameters of bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) in patients with CS. Methods CardShock was a prospective, observational, European multinational cohort study of CS. In this sub-analysis, serial plasma bio-ADM and arterial blood lactate measurements were collected from 178 patients during the first 10 days after detection of CS. Results Both bio-ADM and lactate were higher in 90-day non-survivors compared to survivors at all time points (P < 0.05 for all). Lactate showed good prognostic value during the initial 24 h (AUC 0.78 at admission and 0.76 at 24 h). Subsequently, lactate returned normal (≤2 mmol/L) in most patients regardless of later outcome with lower prognostic value. By contrast, bio-ADM showed increasing prognostic value from 48 h and beyond (AUC 0.71 at 48 h and 0.80 at 5–10 days). Serial measurements of either bio-ADM or lactate were independent of and provided added value to CardShock risk score (P < 0.001 for both). Ninety-day mortality was more than double higher in patients with high levels of bio-ADM (>55.7 pg/mL) at 48 h compared to those with low bio-ADM levels (49.1 vs. 22.6%, P = 0.001). High levels of bio-ADM were associated with impaired cardiac index, mean arterial pressure, central venous pressure, and systolic pulmonary artery pressure during the study period. Furthermore, high levels of bio-ADM at 48 to 96 h were related to persistently impaired cardiac and end-organ function. Conclusions Bio-ADM is a valuable prognosticator and marker of impaired hemodynamics in CS patients. High levels of bio-ADM may show shock refractoriness and developing end-organ dysfunction and thus help to guide therapeutic approach in patients with CS., published version, peerReviewed

Background: Despite scarce data, invasive mechanical ventilation (MV) is widely recommended over noninvasive ventilation (NIV) for ventilatory support in cardiogenic shock (CS). We assessed the real-life use of different ventilation strategies in CS and their influence on outcome focusing on the use of NIV and MV. Methods: 219 CS patients were categorized by the maximum intensity of ventilatory support they needed during the first 24 h into MV (n= 137; 63%), NIV(n= 26; 12%), and supplementary oxygen (n= 56; 26%) groups. We compared the clinical characteristics and 90-day outcome between the MV and the NIV groups. Results: Mean age was 67 years, 74% were men. The MV and NIV groups did not differ in age, medical history, etiology of CS, PaO2/FiO(2) ratio, baseline hemodynamics or LVEF. MV patients predominantly presented with hypoperfusion, with more severe metabolic acidosis, higher lactate levels and greater need for vasoactive drugs, whereas NIV patients tended to be more often congestive. 90-day outcome was significantly worse in the MV group (50% vs. 27%), but after propensity score adjustment, mortality was equal in both groups. Confusion, prior CABG, ACS etiology, higher lactate level, and lower baseline PaO2 were independent predictors of mortality, where as ventilation strategy did not have any influence on outcome. Conclusions: Although MV is generally recommended mode of ventilatory support in CS, a fair number of patients were successfully treated with NIV. Moreover, ventilation strategy was not associated with outcome. Thus, NIV seems a safe option for properly chosen CS patients. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

Purpose Many apparent differences exist in aetiology, genetics, anatomy and treatment response between colon cancer (CC) and rectal cancer (RC). This study examines the differences in patient characteristics, prevalence of complications and their effect on short-term survival, long-term survival and the rate of recurrence between RC and CC. Methods For all stage II–III CC and RC patients who underwent resection with curative intent (2006–2008) in five hospitals in the Netherlands, occurrence of complications, crude survival, relative survival and recurrence rates were compared. Results A total of 767 CC and 272 RC patients underwent resection. Significant differences were found for age, gender, emergency surgery, T-stage and grade. CC patients experienced fewer complications compared to RC (p = 0.019), but CC patients had worse short-term mortality rates (1.5 versus 6.7 % for 30-day mortality, p = 0.001 and 5.2 versus 9.5 % for 90-day mortality, p = 0.032). The adjusted HR (overall survival) for CC patients with complications was 1.57 (1.23–2.01; p

Background and Aims: Perioperative myocardial infarction is an underdiagnosed complication causing morbidity, mortality, and considerable costs. However, evidence of preventive and therapeutic options is scarce. We investigated the incidence and outcome of perioperative myocardial infarction in non-cardiac surgery patients in order to define a target population for future interventional trials. Material and Methods: We conducted a prospective single-center study on non-cardiac surgery patients aged 50 years or older. High-sensitivity troponin T and electrocardiograph were obtained five times perioperatively. Perioperative myocardial infarction diagnosis required a significant troponin T release and an ischemic sign or symptom. Perioperative risk calculator was used for risk assessment. Results: Of 385 patients with systematic ischemia screening, 27 patients (7.0%) had perioperative myocardial infarction. The incidence was highest in vascular surgery—19 of 172 patients (11.0%). The 90-day mortality was 29.6% in patients with perioperative myocardial infarction and 5.6% in non–perioperative myocardial infarction patients ( p < 0.001). Perioperative risk calculator predicted perioperative myocardial infarction with an area under curve of 0.73 (95% confidence interval: 0.64–0.81). Conclusion: Perioperative myocardial infarction is a common complication associated with a 90-day mortality of 30%. The ability of the perioperative risk calculator to predict perioperative myocardial infarction was fair supporting its routine use.

Background: Creating an easy-to-use instrument to identify predictors of short-term (30/60-day) mortality after an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (eCOPD) could help clinicians choose specific measures of medical care to decrease mortality in these patients. The objective of this study was to develop and validate a classification and regression tree (CART) to predict short term mortality among patients evaluated in an emergency department (ED) for an eCOPD. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study including participants from 16 hospitals in Spain. COPD patients with an exacerbation attending the emergency department (ED) of any of the hospitals between June 2008 and September 2010 were recruited. Patients were randomly divided into derivation (50 %) and validation samples (50 %). A CART based on a recursive partitioning algorithm was created in the derivation sample and applied to the validation sample. Results: Two thousand four hundred eighty-seven patients, 1252 patients in the derivation sample and 1235 in the validation sample, were enrolled in the study. Based on the results of the univariate analysis, five variables (baseline dyspnea, cardiac disease, the presence of paradoxical breathing or use of accessory inspiratory muscles, age, and Glasgow Coma Scale score) were used to build the CART. Mortality rates 30 days after discharge ranged from 0 % to 55 % in the five CART classes. The lowest mortality rate was for the branch composed of low baseline dyspnea and lack of cardiac disease. The highest mortality rate was in the branch with the highest baseline dyspnea level, use of accessory inspiratory muscles or paradoxical breathing upon ED arrival, and Glasgow score

Given the shrinking spatial contrasts in outdoor air pollution in Switzerland and the trends toward tightly insulated buildings, the Swiss Cohort Study on Air Pollution and Lung and Heart Diseases in Adults (SAPALDIA) needs to understand to what extent outdoor air pollution remains a determinant for residential indoor exposure. The objectives of this paper are to identify determining factors for indoor air pollution concentrations of particulate matter (PM), ultrafine particles in the size range from 15 to 300 nm, black smoke measured as light absorbance of PM (PMabsorbance) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and to develop predictive indoor models for SAPALDIA. Multivariable regression models were developed based on indoor and outdoor measurements among homes of selected SAPALDIA participants in three urban (Basel, Geneva, Lugano) and one rural region (Wald ZH) in Switzerland, various home characteristics and reported indoor sources such as cooking. Outdoor levels of air pollutants were important predictors for indoor air pollutants, except for the coarse particle fraction. The fractions of outdoor concentrations infiltrating indoors were between 30% and 66%, the highest one was observed for PMabsorbance. A modifying effect of open windows was found for NO2 and the ultrafine particle number concentration. Cooking was associated with increased particle and NO2 levels. This study shows that outdoor air pollution remains an important determinant of residential indoor air pollution in Switzerland. Keywords: Indoor air pollution, Multivariable regression models, Particulate matter, Particle number concentration, Ultrafine particles, Nitrogen dioxide, SAPALDIA, Switzerland

Although considerable information is available regarding the prognosis after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in urban populations, little is known about the local subjects in Japan. The purpose of this study was to assess short-term mortality and reperfusion therapy after AMI in Japan. From October 1999 to October 2000, 256 patients with AMI from 16 hospitals in Tokushima Prefecture were studied. Mean age of AMI in Tokushima was elder than another country (men : 65.0 yrs, women : 71.6 yrs). Although, patients of in-hospital death were twenty-three (9.0%). Two patients were cardiopulmonary arrest on arrival. Reperfusion therapy performed for 82.8% of all patients. Only one patient treated by CABG (coronary artery bypass grafting). Hospital admission within 6 hours of symptom onset was 61.6% of all patients. These data suggest that short-term mortality was reasonable by adequate reperfusion therapy. Earlier reperfusion therapy will improve clinical outcome in Tokushima.

Aims The American College of Cardiology (ACA)/ American Heart Association (AHA) granted Galectin-3 (Gal-3) and Suppression of Tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) evaluation a class II recommendation for HF prognosis, as an adjunctive to conventional clinical risk factors and natriuretic peptides dosing in 2013. However, in Europe this endorsement is not valid. The purpose of this study was to study the association of Gal-3 and ST2 collected at-admission with early (defined as the period of 90 days post-discharge) rehospitalization and overall mortality, and end of follow-up overall mortality in HF patients. Additionally, aminoterminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at-admission was considered to test if a multi-marker strategy could yield supplementary information. Material and Methods Gal-3, ST2 and NT-proBNP were assessed in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated HF in class III or IV of New York Heart Association (NYHA). Univariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the relationship between variables and outcomes. Since there are no standardized cut-offs for Gal-3 and ST2, the multiclass Area Under the Curve Receiver-Operator Characteristic (AUCROC) as defined by Hand and Till was used to evaluate the overall performance of each biomarker as a predictor of the outcomes. Results We followed 65 patients for a median of 13.7 (Q1-Q3 6.7-18.9) months. Gal-3 correlated with short-term rehospitalization (HR: 9.886, 95% CI: 2.027-48.214, P-value=0.005), short-term mortality (HR: 13.731, 95% CI: 1.650-114.276, P value=0.015) and end of follow-up mortality (HR: 4.492, 95% CI: 1.594-12.656, P-value=0.004). The association of elevated NT-proBNP determinations increased the risk of short-term rehospitalization (HR: 11.985, 95% CI: 1.962-73.218, P value=0.007) and end of follow-up mortality (HR: 78.025, 95% CI: 7.592-801.926, P-value

Background: Stroke is the third cause of death in older individuals living in Western Countries. The identification of predictors for mortality after stroke has a major importance for clinicians in order to allow the implementation of therapeutic and preventive strategies. Objective: To evaluate the association between clinical and laboratory parameters and 30-days total mortality in a large sample of older patients with stroke. Methods: 469 older patients (median age: 80.0 years) consecutively hospitalized for acute ischemic stroke were enrolled. The data recorded included: (1) clinical features of stroke; (2) routine clinical chemistry analyses; (3) medical history, and (4) 12-lead ECG. All patients underwent computed tomography scan of the brain. Stroke type was classified by the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project system. Results: 130 subjects died within 30 days after stroke, with an overall mortality of 27.7%. At univariate analysis, altered levels of consciousness (ALC), congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation, previous stroke, high blood glucose, fibrinogen and blood sedimentation rate levels, higher white blood cell count, lower serum albumin and iron levels were associated with mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that short-term mortality was associated with ALC (OR: 11.80; CI 95%: 5.50–24.00), congestive heart failure (OR: 3.06; CI 95%: 1.04–8.80), and age (OR: 1.04; CI 95%: 1.002–1.09) independent of gender, previous stroke, AF, fasting blood glucose, serum albumin, serum iron, and white blood cell count. In patients with ALC (high-mortality rate: 63.6%), only hyperglycemia (III vs. I tertile, OR: 9.60; CI 95%: 1.65–52.50) was associated with mortality after multivariate adjustment. Conclusion: Our study highlights the role of ALC and congestive heart failure in the short-term prognostic stratification of older patients with acute ischemic stroke. Furthermore, our results support the value of post-stroke hyperglycemia as a marker for short-term mortality also in advanced age, and particularly in the presence of ALC and in nondiabetic individuals.

Objectives: There are only few evidences concerning the possible effect of antiedema agents on stroke outcome. In this study we evaluated the effect of the treatment with intravenous (EV) glycerol or mannitol, and corticosteroids on short-term mortality (30 days) in a sample of older patients admitted to hospital for acute ischemic stroke. Methods: Data concerning 442 subjects (mean age 78.6 ± 8.9 years; 58.3% females) consecutively admitted to Internal Medicine and Geriatrics University Department for acute ischemic stroke have been collected with regard to clinical history, clinical and neurological examination, laboratory parameters, and brain computed tomography scan. Results: No reduction in the risk of death was observed in patients tre ated with EV glycerol; conversely, an increase in short-term mortality was observed in patients who were contemporary treated with EV corticosteroids. Mannitol treatment was not associated with a decrease in the risk of death too; the contemporary treatment with EV steroids was not associated with significant changes in mortality risk. The treatment with either glycerol or mannitol was not associated with a decrease in the risk of death, but the contemporary therapy with corticosteroids confirmed to be associated with an increased mortality risk. Conclusions: Our study does not support the effectiveness of EV glycerol or mannitol in reducing short-term mortality in older subjects with acute ischemic stroke; nevertheless, our data suggest a possible harmful effect of EV corticosteroids on short-term mortality.

Objective: In animal models with cerebral ischemia, an increase in body temperature is associated with a larger infarction size. In patients with acute ischemic stroke body temperature within normal values is associated with lower mortality and few neurological defects. The aim of our study is to verify whether an increase in body temperature is an independent predictor of short term mortality. Methods: Data concerning 359 old patients consecutively admitted to Internal Medicine ad Geriatrics university Department for "major" acute ischemic stroke have been collected with regard to clinical history, clinical and neurological examination, and laboratory parameters. Fever has been defined as a body temperature higher than 37° Celsius occurred within the first week after admission to the hospital. Short term mortality (within 30 days) was the main outcome of the study. Results: The overall short-term mortality was 28.3%. Among subjects with fever (136, 37.9%) occurred 52.9% of deceased. Fever was associated with mortality at the univariate logistic analysis (OR = 4.8 IC 95% 3.1-7.8; p = 0.001). After multivariate adjustment for potential confounders the risk of death was still double in subjects with high body temperature (OR = 2.1 IC 95%: 1.1-4.3; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Our study confirm the role of fever as predictor of short-term mortality in old subjects with ischemic stroke. This association seems to be independent of many conditions possibly related with fever or death.