201. Natural short-lived halogens exert an indirect cooling effect on climate.
- Author
-
Saiz-Lopez A, Fernandez RP, Li Q, Cuevas CA, Fu X, Kinnison DE, Tilmes S, Mahajan AS, Gómez Martín JC, Iglesias-Suarez F, Hossaini R, Plane JMC, Myhre G, and Lamarque JF
- Subjects
- Hydrocarbons, Halogenated, Oceans and Seas, Seawater analysis, Seawater chemistry, Human Activities, Atmosphere analysis, Atmosphere chemistry, Climate, Cold Temperature, Halogens analysis, Climate Change statistics & numerical data, Climate Models
- Abstract
Observational evidence shows the ubiquitous presence of ocean-emitted short-lived halogens in the global atmosphere
1-3 . Natural emissions of these chemical compounds have been anthropogenically amplified since pre-industrial times4-6 , while, in addition, anthropogenic short-lived halocarbons are currently being emitted to the atmosphere7,8 . Despite their widespread distribution in the atmosphere, the combined impact of these species on Earth's radiative balance remains unknown. Here we show that short-lived halogens exert a substantial indirect cooling effect at present (-0.13 ± 0.03 watts per square metre) that arises from halogen-mediated radiative perturbations of ozone (-0.24 ± 0.02 watts per square metre), compensated by those from methane (+0.09 ± 0.01 watts per square metre), aerosols (+0.03 ± 0.01 watts per square metre) and stratospheric water vapour (+0.011 ± 0.001 watts per square metre). Importantly, this substantial cooling effect has increased since 1750 by -0.05 ± 0.03 watts per square metre (61 per cent), driven by the anthropogenic amplification of natural halogen emissions, and is projected to change further (18-31 per cent by 2100) depending on climate warming projections and socioeconomic development. We conclude that the indirect radiative effect due to short-lived halogens should now be incorporated into climate models to provide a more realistic natural baseline of Earth's climate system., (© 2023. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF