251. Academic Scholarship in Light of the 2008 Financial Crisis: Textual Analysis of NBER Working Papers
- Author
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Daniel Levy, Tamir Mayer, Alon Raviv, Levy, Daniel, Rimini Center for Economic Analysis (RCEA), Emory University [Atlanta, GA], and Bar-Ilan University [Israël]
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JEL: K - Law and Economics/K.K2 - Regulation and Business Law/K.K2.K22 - Business and Securities Law ,History ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G0 - General/G.G0.G01 - Financial Crises ,Polymers and Plastics ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit/E.E5.E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies ,Securitization ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance/G.G3.G38 - Government Policy and Regulation ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F5 - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy/F.F5.F55 - International Institutional Arrangements ,Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit/E.E5.E52 - Monetary Policy ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G2 - Financial Institutions and Services/G.G2.G21 - Banks • Depository Institutions • Micro Finance Institutions • Mortgages ,Economics ,Financial Crises ,E58 ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F32 - Current Account Adjustment • Short-Term Capital Movements ,A11 ,[SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,E52 ,C55 ,F30 ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G2 - Financial Institutions and Services/G.G2.G24 - Investment Banking • Venture Capital • Brokerage • Ratings and Ratings Agencies ,JEL: N - Economic History/N.N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics • Industrial Structure • Growth • Fluctuations/N.N1.N10 - General, International, or Comparative ,[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G1 - General Financial Markets/G.G1.G14 - Information and Market Efficiency • Event Studies • Insider Trading ,JEL: N - Economic History/N.N2 - Financial Markets and Institutions/N.N2.N20 - General, International, or Comparative ,JEL: L - Industrial Organization/L.L5 - Regulation and Industrial Policy ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F33 - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions ,Financial crisis ,G20 ,G21 ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance/F.F4.F44 - International Business Cycles ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G1 - General Financial Markets/G.G1.G12 - Asset Pricing • Trading Volume • Bond Interest Rates ,G28 ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles/E.E3.E32 - Business Fluctuations • Cycles ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,LDA ,2008 Financial Crisis ,Topic Modelling ,JEL: Y - Miscellaneous Categories ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G2 - Financial Institutions and Services/G.G2.G22 - Insurance • Insurance Companies • Actuarial Studies ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G2 - Financial Institutions and Services/G.G2.G23 - Non-bank Financial Institutions • Financial Instruments • Institutional Investors ,LDA Topic Modeling ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance/F.F4.F45 - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance/G.G3.G34 - Mergers • Acquisitions • Restructuring • Corporate Governance ,ddc:330 ,Textual Analysis ,JEL: Z - Other Special Topics/Z.Z1 - Cultural Economics • Economic Sociology • Economic Anthropology/Z.Z1.Z13 - Economic Sociology • Economic Anthropology • Social and Economic Stratification ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G2 - Financial Institutions and Services/G.G2.G28 - Government Policy and Regulation ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook/E.E6.E63 - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy • Stabilization • Treasury Policy ,Business and International Management ,C38 ,Lagging ,Sudden Stop ,E32 ,JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E4 - Money and Interest Rates/E.E4.E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy ,Repo ,Keynesian economics ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F31 - Foreign Exchange ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization/F.F6.F62 - Macroeconomic Impacts ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G1 - General Financial Markets/G.G1.G18 - Government Policy and Regulation ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G1 - General Financial Markets/G.G1.G13 - Contingent Pricing • Futures Pricing ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance/G.G3.G32 - Financing Policy • Financial Risk and Risk Management • Capital and Ownership Structure • Value of Firms • Goodwill ,Sudden stop ,JEL: F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems ,JEL: A - General Economics and Teaching/A.A2 - Economic Education and Teaching of Economics/A.A2.A23 - Graduate ,JEL: G - Financial Economics/G.G1 - General Financial Markets/G.G1.G15 - International Financial Markets ,E44 ,JEL: L - Industrial Organization/L.L4 - Antitrust Issues and Policies ,G01 - Abstract
Textual analysis of 14,270 NBER Working Papers published during 1999–2016 is done to assess the effects of the 2008 crisis on the economics literature. The volume of crisis-related WPs is counter-cyclical, lagging the financial-instability-index. WPs by the Monetary-Economics, Asset-Pricing, and Corporate-Finance program members, hardly refer to “crisis/crises” in the pre-crisis period. As the crisis develops, however, their study-efforts of crisis-related issues increase rapidly. In contrast, WPs in macroeconomics-related programs refer quite extensively in the pre-crisis period to “crisis/crises” and to crises-related topics. Overall, our findings are consistent with the claim that economists were not engaged sufficiently in crises studies before the 2008 crisis. However, counter to the popular image, as soon as the crisis began to unravel, the NBER affiliated economists responded dramatically by switching their focus and efforts to studying and understanding the crisis, its causes and its consequences. Thus, although economists were slow to see the crisis coming, they were fast to act. Preliminary observations on current developments suggest that the economists’ initial response to the ongoing Covid-19 crisis is consistent with these conclusions.