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To assess the association between intakes of total alcohol and individual alcoholic beverages and the incidence of exfoliation glaucoma/glaucoma suspect (XFG/XFGS) status. Prospective cohort study. A total of 195 408 participants in the Nurses' Health Study (1980–2018), the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986–2018), and the Nurses' Health Study II (1991–2019) were followed biennially. Eligible participants at each 2-year risk period were ≧ 40 years and free of XFG/XFGS status with available data on diet and ophthalmic examination findings. Cumulatively averaged total (primary exposure) and individual alcoholic beverage (beer, wine, and liquor) intakes from validated dietary information every 2-4 years. Confirmed incident XFG/XFGS status using medical records. We used per-eye Cox proportional hazards models, accounting for intereye correlations, to estimate multivariate-adjusted relative risks (MVRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During 6 877 823 eye-years of follow-up, 705 eyes with XFG/XFGS status were documented. Greater total alcohol consumption was associated significantly with higher XFG/XFGS status risk: the MVRR for XFG/XFGS status for cumulatively averaged alcohol consumption of ≧15 g/day or more versus nondrinking was 1.55 (95% CI, 1.17–2.07; P = 0.02 for trend). Long- and short-term alcohol intake was associated significantly with XFG/XFGS status risk, with the strongest associations with cumulatively averaged alcohol intake as of 4 years before diagnosis (MVRR ≥ 15 g/day vs. nondrinking, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.25–2.18; P = 0.002 for trend). Compared with nondrinkers, consuming ≧ 3.6 drinks of beer, wine, or liquor per week was associated with the following MVRRs for XFG/XFGS status: 1.26 (95% CI, 0.89–1.77; P = 0.40 for trend), 1.30 (95% CI, 1.00–1.68; P = 0.15 for trend), and 1.46 (95% CI, 1.15–1.85; P = 0.01 for trend), respectively. We did not observe interactions by age, latitude, residential tier, or intakes of folate or vitamin A (P > 0.40 for interaction); however, the association between alcohol and XFG/XFGS status was suggestively stronger for those without a family history of glaucoma (P = 0.10 for interaction). Long-term alcohol consumption was associated with a higher risk of XFG/XFGS status. Our findings provide further clues regarding the XFG/XFGS etiology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Physical activity is generally associated with better outcomes following diagnosis; however, few studies have evaluated change in pre- to postdiagnosis activity and repeated measures of activity by intensity and type. Methods We evaluated physical activity and survival following a breast cancer diagnosis in the Nurses' Health Study and Nurses' Health Study II (n = 9308 women, n = 1973 deaths). Physical activity was evaluated as updated cumulative average of metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/wk (assigned per activity based on duration and intensity) and change in pre- to postdiagnosis activity. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results Higher postdiagnosis activity was inversely associated with breast cancer–specific mortality in categories from ≥9 MET-h/wk (vs <3 MET h/wk, HR≥9 to <18 = 0.74 [95% CI = 0.55 to 0.99]; HR≥27 = 0.69 [95% CI = 0.50 to 0.95]; P trend = .04) and all-cause mortality from ≥3 MET-h/wk (HR≥3 to <9 = 0.73 [95% CI = 0.61 to 0.88]; HR≥27 = 0.51 [95% CI = 0.41 to 0.63]; P trend < .001). Associations were predominantly observed for estrogen receptor–positive tumors and in postmenopausal women. Walking was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality (≥9 vs <3 MET-h/wk, HR= 0.69 [95% CI = 0.57 to 0.84]) as was strength training. Relative to stable activity pre- to postdiagnosis (±3 MET-h/wk), increases from ≥3 to 9 MET-h/wk were associated with lower all-cause mortality risk (P trend < .001). Results were robust to adjustment for prediagnosis physical activity. Conclusions Physical activity was associated with lower risk of death following diagnosis. Increased pre- to postdiagnosis activity corresponding to at least 1-3 h/wk of walking was associated with lower risk of death. These results provide further impetus for women to increase their activity after a breast cancer diagnosis, though reverse causation cannot be fully excluded. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Guidelines recommend shared decision making (SDM) for mammography screening for women ≥ 75 and not screening women with < 10-year life expectancy. High-quality SDM requires consideration of women's breast cancer (BC) risk, life expectancy, and values but is hard to implement because no models simultaneously estimate older women's individualized BC risk and life expectancy. Methods: Using competing risk regression and data from 83,330 women > 55 years who completed the 2004 Nurses' Health Study (NHS) questionnaire, we developed (in 2/3 of the cohort, n = 55,533) a model to predict 10-year non-breast cancer (BC) death. We considered 60 mortality risk factors and used best-subsets regression, the Akaike information criterion, and c-index, to identify the best-fitting model. We examined model performance in the remaining 1/3 of the NHS cohort (n = 27,777) and among 17,380 Black Women's Health Study (BWHS) participants, ≥ 55 years, who completed the 2009 questionnaire. We then included the identified mortality predictors in a previously developed competing risk BC prediction model and examined model performance for predicting BC risk. Results: Mean age of NHS development cohort participants was 70.1 years (± 7.0); over 10 years, 3.1% developed BC, 0.3% died of BC, and 20.1% died of other causes; NHS validation cohort participants were similar. BWHS participants were younger (mean age 63.7 years [± 6.7]); over 10-years 3.1% developed BC, 0.4% died of BC, and 11.1% died of other causes. The final non-BC death prediction model included 21 variables (age; body mass index [BMI]; physical function [3 measures]; comorbidities [12]; alcohol; smoking; age at menopause; and mammography use). The final BC prediction model included age, BMI, alcohol and hormone use, family history, age at menopause, age at first birth/parity, and breast biopsy history. When risk factor regression coefficients were applied in the validation cohorts, the c-index for predicting 10-year non-BC death was 0.790 (0.784–0.796) in NHS and 0.768 (0.757–0.780) in BWHS; for predicting 5-year BC risk, the c-index was 0.612 (0.538–0.641) in NHS and 0.573 (0.536–0.611) in BWHS. Conclusions: We developed and validated a novel competing-risk model that predicts 10-year non-BC death and 5-year BC risk. Model risk estimates may help inform SDM around mammography screening. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: We investigated the associations of aspirin and other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) with breast cancer risk by the status of COX-2 protein expression. Methods: This study included 421 cases and 3,166 controls from a nested case–control study within the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII) cohorts. Information on medication use was first collected in 1980 (NHS) and 1989 (NHSII) and was updated biennially. Medication use was defined as none, past or current; average cumulative dose and frequency were calculated for all past or current users using data collected from all biannual questionnaires preceding the reference date. Immunochemistry for COX-2 expression was performed using commercial antibody (Cayman Chemical and Thermo Fisher Scientific). We used polychotomous logistic regression to quantify associations of aspirin and NSAIDs with the risk of COX2+ and COX2− breast cancer tumors, while adjusting for known breast cancer risk factors. All tests of statistical significance were two-sided. Results: In multivariate analysis, we found no differences in associations of the aspirin exposures and NSAIDs with breast cancer risk by COX2 expression status. In stratified analyses by COX2 status, significant associations of these medications with breast cancer risk were observed for dosage of aspirin among current users in COX2- tumors (OR for > 5 tablets per week vs. none 1.71, 95% CI 1.01–2.88, p-trend 0.04). Regular aspirin use was marginally associated with the risk of COX2- tumors (p-trend = 0.06). Conclusions: Our findings suggested no differences in associations of aspirin and other NSAIDs with COX2+ and COX2− tumors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Insulin resistance and hyperinsulinemia play important roles in the progression of multiple chronic disease and conditions. Diet modulates insulin response; however, evidence is limited regarding whether diets with higher insulinemic potential increase the risk of invasive breast cancer. Objectives We aimed to prospectively evaluate the association between a food-based empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH) and the incidence of invasive breast cancer. Methods We prospectively followed 76,686 women from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; 1984–2016) and 93,287 women from the Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII; 1991–2017). Diet was assessed by food-frequency questionnaires every 4 y. The insulinemic potential of diet was evaluated using the previously established EDIH based on circulating C-peptide concentrations. Higher scores indicate higher insulinemic potential of the diet. Covariates included reproductive, hormonal, and anthropometric factors (height and BMI at age 18 y); race; socioeconomic status; total alcohol intake; total caloric intake; and physical activity. Results During 4,216,106 person-years of follow-up, we documented 10,602 breast cancer cases (6689 NHS, 3913 NHSII). In the pooled multivariable-adjusted analyses, women in the highest, compared with the lowest, EDIH quintile (Q) were at higher breast cancer risk (HRQ5 vs. Q1 = 1.15; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.24; P -trend < 0.01). Although heterogeneity by estrogen receptor (ER) status was nonsignificant, the strongest association between EDIH and breast cancer was observed for ER-negative tumors (HRQ5 vs. Q1 = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.46; P -trend = 0.02). Among tumor molecular subtypes, the strongest associations were observed for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)–enriched tumors (HRQ5 vs. Q1 = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.01, 2.61; P -trend = 0.02). Conclusions A dietary pattern contributing to hyperinsulinemia and insulin resistance was associated with greater breast cancer risk, especially ER-negative and HER2-enriched tumors. Our findings suggest that dietary modifications to reduce insulinemic potential may reduce the risk of breast cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background No prior study to our knowledge has examined the joint contribution of a polygenic risk score (PRS), mammographic density (MD), and postmenopausal endogenous hormone levels-all well-confirmed risk factors for invasive breast cancer-to existing breast cancer risk prediction models. Methods and findings We conducted a nested case-control study within the prospective Nurses' Health Study and Nurses' Health Study II including 4,006 cases and 7,874 controls ages 34-70 years up to 1 June 2010. We added a breast cancer PRS using 67 single nucleotide polymorphisms, MD, and circulating testosterone, estrone sulfate, and prolactin levels to existing risk models. We calculated area under the curve (AUC), controlling for age and stratified by menopausal status, for the 5-year absolute risk of invasive breast cancer. We estimated the population distribution of 5-year predicted risks for models with and without biomarkers. For the Gail model, the AUC improved (p-values < 0.001) from 55.9 to 64.1 (8.2 units) in premenopausal women (Gail + PRS + MD), from 55.5 to 66.0 (10.5 units) in postmenopausal women not using hormone therapy (HT) (Gail + PRS + MD + all hormones), and from 58.0 to 64.9 (6.9 units) in postmenopausal women using HT (Gail + PRS + MD + prolactin). For the Rosner-Colditz model, the corresponding AUCs improved (p-values < 0.001) by 5.7, 6.2, and 6.5 units. For estrogen-receptor-positive tumors, among postmenopausal women not using HT, the AUCs improved (p-values < 0.001) by 14.3 units for the Gail model and 7.3 units for the Rosner-Colditz model. Additionally, the percentage of 50-year-old women predicted to be at more than twice 5-year average risk ([greater than or equal to]2.27%) was 0.2% for the Gail model alone and 6.6% for the Gail + PRS + MD + all hormones model. Limitations of our study included the limited racial/ethnic diversity of our cohort, and that general population exposure distributions were unavailable for some risk factors. Conclusions In this study, the addition of PRS, MD, and endogenous hormones substantially improved existing breast cancer risk prediction models. Further studies will be needed to confirm these findings and to determine whether improved risk prediction models have practical value in identifying women at higher risk who would most benefit from chemoprevention, screening, and other risk-reducing strategies., Author(s): Xuehong Zhang 1,*, Megan Rice 2, Shelley S. Tworoger 1,3,4, Bernard A. Rosner 1,5, A. Heather Eliassen 1,3, Rulla M. Tamimi 1,3, Amit D. Joshi 2,3, Sara Lindstrom 3,6, [...]