251. Progress in the HIV epidemic: Identifying goals and measuring success
- Author
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James W. Curran, Patrick S. Sullivan, and Jeb Jones
- Subjects
RNA viruses ,Epidemiology ,Hiv epidemic ,Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) ,HIV Infections ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,medicine.disease_cause ,Pathology and Laboratory Medicine ,0302 clinical medicine ,Immunodeficiency Viruses ,Prevalence ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Collection Review ,Transmission (medicine) ,Mortality rate ,Incidence ,virus diseases ,HIV diagnosis and management ,General Medicine ,Identifying goals ,HIV epidemiology ,Medical Microbiology ,Viral Pathogens ,Viruses ,Infectious diseases ,Medicine ,Pathogens ,Goals ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Infectious Disease Control ,Death Rates ,HIV prevention ,Context (language use) ,Viral diseases ,Microbiology ,Infectious Disease Epidemiology ,03 medical and health sciences ,Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) ,Population Metrics ,Retroviruses ,medicine ,Humans ,Intensive care medicine ,Epidemics ,Microbial Pathogens ,Medicine and health sciences ,Preventive medicine ,Population Biology ,business.industry ,Lentivirus ,Organisms ,Biology and Life Sciences ,HIV ,medicine.disease ,Diagnostic medicine ,Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical ,Public and occupational health ,business - Abstract
Substantial progress has been made towards the goal of ending the HIV/AIDS epidemic due to advancements in both prevention and treatment of HIV. However, major challenges still remain. We describe basic principles of epidemic control in the context of HIV and identify a number of attainable goals in terms of control and elimination of HIV in specific populations and risk groups, given currently available HIV prevention and treatment methods. Currently available HIV prevention methods make it a feasible goal to eliminate HIV transmission attributable to mother-to-child transmission and blood transfusions. Reductions in transmission attributable to sexual behavior and injection drug use are feasible, but elimination of these modes of transmission will require further advancements in behavioral and biomedical HIV prevention. With regard to HIV-related mortality, we argue that elimination of death due to HIV-related causes is a feasible goal. HIV-related deaths should be treated as sentinel events triggering epidemiological investigation into the breakdowns in the HIV care continuum that led to them. We briefly discuss additional considerations that will affect the success of HIV prevention programs., In a Collection Review, Jeb Jones and colleagues discuss goals, practicalities, and metrics in efforts to end the HIV/AIDS epidemic.
- Published
- 2019