251. Classification issues within ensemble-based simulation: application to surge floods forecasting.
- Author
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Kovalchuk, Sergey, Krikunov, Aleksey, Knyazkov, Konstantin, and Boukhanovsky, Alexander
- Subjects
FLOOD forecasting ,SIMULATION methods & models ,DOMAIN-specific programming languages ,STORM surges ,DATA analysis - Abstract
The paper proposes a high-level conceptual and technological approach to manage the ensemble-based simulation, taking into account changing states of both simulated system and system of models. The approach includes systematization of ensemble-based modeling and simulation techniques, analysis of simulation results, quality assessments, and detailed analysis of ensemble management procedures using classification operators. The technological basis for such an approach includes ensemble-based simulation techniques using domain-specific software combined within a composite application; data science approaches for analysis of available datasets (simulation data, observations, situation assessments, etc.). Within this work, a set of case studies is addressed to examine the opportunities provided by the developed approach considering ensemble-based simulation of storm surges for flood prediction in St. Petersburg, Russia as an example. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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