201. Risk Factors for Post-Operative Sepsis and Septic Shock in Patients Undergoing Emergency Surgery
- Author
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Megan Smith, Beatrice J. Sun, Sebastian D. Schubl, Nicole P. Bernal, Jeffry Nahmias, Cristobal Barrios, Marija Pejcinovska, Areg Grigorian, Viktor Gabriel, and Eugene Won
- Subjects
Microbiology (medical) ,Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Logistic regression ,Sepsis ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Postoperative Complications ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Elective surgery ,Emergency Treatment ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,0303 health sciences ,030306 microbiology ,business.industry ,Septic shock ,Mortality rate ,Retrospective cohort study ,Odds ratio ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Infectious Diseases ,Surgical Procedures, Operative ,Surgery ,Female ,business - Abstract
Background: Sepsis after emergency surgery is associated with a higher mortality rate than elective surgery, and total hospital costs increase by 2.3 times. This study aimed to identify risk factors for post-operative sepsis or septic shock in patients undergoing emergency surgery. Methods: A retrospective cohort analysis was performed using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) by identifying patients undergoing emergency surgery between 2012 and 2015 and comparing those who developed post-operative sepsis or septic shock (S/SS) with those who did not. Patients with pre-operative sepsis or septic shock were excluded. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for the development of S/SS in patients undergoing non-elective surgery. Results: Of 122,281 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 2,399 (2%) developed S/SS. Risk factors for S/SS were American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA PS) class 2 or higher (odds ratio [OR] 2.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.19-3.02; p < 0.0001), totally dependent (OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.38-2.83; p = 0.00021) or partially dependent (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.35-2.00; p < 0.0001) functional status, and male gender (OR 1.31; 95% CI 1.18-1.45; p < 0.0001). Compared with colorectal procedures, patients undergoing pancreatic (OR 2.33, CI 1.40-3.87; p = 0.00108) and small intestine (OR 1.27; CI 1.12-1.44; p = 0.00015) surgery were more likely to develop S/SS. Patients undergoing biliary surgery (OR 0.38; CI 0.30-0.48; p < 0.0001) were less likely to develop S/SS. Conclusions: Risk factors for the development of sepsis or septic shock are ASA PS class 2 or higher, partially or totally dependent functional status, and male gender. Emergency pancreatic or small intestinal procedures may confer a higher risk. Greater vigilance and early post-operative screening may be of benefit in patients with these risk factors.
- Published
- 2019