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Background: We investigated whether low birth weight constitutes a causal risk factor for child problem behavior, using a variation of the co-twin control method., Methods: In a representative sample of 745 twin pairs (monozygotic: 324 pairs), birth weight was recorded at birth and child problem behavior at mean age 10 years was measured with the Child Behaviour Checklist (CBCL)., Results: Lower birth weight was a continuous risk factor for later child problem behavior (adjusted regression coefficient over units of 500 g: beta = -.15, p =.046), and greater levels of within-pair CBCL discordance did not result in a reduced effect size. Greater within-pair birth weight discordance was associated with greater within-pair CBCL score discordance (beta =.35, p <.001). This latter effect was similar in monozygotic (beta =.34, p =.005) and dizygotic twins (beta =.37, p =.003)., Conclusions: The fact that (1) the effect size of the association between low birth weight and child problem behavior was not reduced in pairs with greater levels of CBCL discordance, and (2) similar effect sizes were found in monozygotic and dizygotic twins for the within-pair association between birth weight discordance and CBCL score discordance, suggests that the observed relationship between low birth weight and child problem behavior is not due to a shared environmental or genetic variable that influences both characteristics. Lower birth weight is a causal risk factor for child problem behavior, the effects of which may well extend into adulthood.

A non-parametric implementation of the bivariate Dale model (BDM) is presented as an extension of the generalized additive model (GAM) of Hastie and Tibshirani. The original BDM is an example of a bivariate generalized linear model. In this paper smoothing is introduced on the marginal as well as on the association level. Our non-parametric procedure can be used as a diagnostic tool for identifying parametric transformations of the covariates in the linear BDM, hence it also provides a kind of goodness-of-fit test for a bivariate generalized linear model. Cubic smoothing spline functions for the covariates are estimated by maximizing a penalized version of the log-likelihood. The method is applied to two studies. The first study is the classical Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy. The second study is a twin study, where the association between the elements of twin pairs is of primary interest. The results show that smoothing on the association level can give a significant improvement to the model fit., (Copyright 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

In order to investigate the possible causal relationships between hyperactivity and educational underachievement that might account for their frequent co-occurrence, four groups of boys, defined by the presence or absence of hyperactivity and specific reading retardation, were identified in an epidemiological study of 7 8-year-old children. They were examined in detail by means of parental interviews and psychological tests and reassessed 9 years later at the age of 16-18 years on a similar range of measures. The findings provided little support for the idea that persistent reading disabilities either lead to the development of hyperactivity de novo or increased the likelihood that hyperactivity, when present, would persist. Similarly, although features of hyperactivity persisted to follow-up, there was little evidence that they either lead to the development of reading disabilities or increased the likelihood that reading disabilities, when present, would persist. Socioeconomic adversity and a history of speech therapy were more common in the group with both hyperactivity and reading disability, but the strength of these associations made it unlikely that these factors could account for the frequent co-occurrence of the two conditions.

Objective: To clarify the developmental risk associated with hyperactive behavior, especially the relationship between hyperactive and conduct problems, in a longitudinal epidemiological design., Method: A follow-up study of children who were identified, by parent and teacher ratings in a large community survey of 6- and 7-year-olds, as showing pervasive hyperactivity or conduct problems or the comorbid mixture of both problems or neither problem. They were later investigated, at the age of 16 to 18 years, with detailed interview techniques as well as parental and self-report ratings and cognitive tests., Results: Hyperactivity was a risk factor for later development, even allowing for the coexistence of conduct problems. Its sequelae included a high likelihood of psychiatric diagnosis, persisting hyperactivity, violence and other antisocial behaviors, and social and peer problems., Conclusions: The results suggested a developmental pathway through which hyperactivity raised the likelihood of impaired social adjustment, including the development of psychiatric disorders, independently of the existence of conduct problems.