201. Quantitative analysis of RT-PCR test results for SARS-CoV-2 diagnostics across Poland during COVID-19 pandemic: Comparison between early stage and major pandemic waves in 2020 and 2021 with reference to SARS-CoV-2 variants.
- Author
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Gierczyński R, Czerw A, Juszczyk G, Charkiewicz R, Nikliński J, Majewski P, Reszeć J, Piątyszek P, Baniecki H, Biecek P, and Henry BM
- Subjects
- Humans, Pandemics, Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction, Poland epidemiology, Sensitivity and Specificity, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Purpose: From April to September 2020, Poland was minimally affected by COVID-19 compared to other EU countries. We aimed to investigate the risks of false reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) results during the first wave (compared to later waves), that rises when cycle threshold (Ct) of positive result is close to limit of detection (LOD)., Materials/methods: We analyzed Ct values of SARS-CoV-2 positive RT-PCR results of 7726 patients in Poland from April-September 2020. SARS-CoV-2 positive RT-PCR results of 14,534 patients in the 2nd-3rd wave and 10,861 patients in the 4th-5th pandemic waves were used. Statistical analysis was based on one-way analysis of variance. To verify, 95% confidence intervals with Bonferroni correction were computed. Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 variants in Poland was analyzed using Whole Genome Sequencing from 923 (3.6%) patients., Results: The mean Ct of RT-PCR positive test results analyzed ranged between 22.89 and 26.71 depending on the month of the results collection. The differences between months were significant (p < 0.001). Differences in Ct were observed between age groups, with younger patients displaying higher Ct values, however, major trends over time were paralleled between age groups., Conclusions: The mean Ct of the tested RT-PCR positive test results was lower than 35 which is considered an upper borderline for reliable positive results of the assay. Therefore, most COVID-19 cases recorded in Poland from April to September 2020 were detected with minor risks of inaccuracy. Data from a single center exhibited greater consistency for both virus Ct level and SARS-CoV-2 virus variant identification., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare no conflict of interests., (Copyright © 2022 Medical University of Bialystok. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2022
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