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An intense and fast moving convective line that crossed Massif Central/Cevennes—Vivarais area (south France) during the field campaign of HYdrological cycle in Mediterranean EXperiment (HyMeX)—Special Observing Period 1 (SOP1) is examined. The mesoscale analysis demonstrates a complex convective system with a V-shape in the Infrared (IR) satellite imagery, while ground stations observed up to 100 mm of rain accumulation. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) non-hydrostatic model was used to simulate this convective episode and sensitivity tests were performed on explicit microphysics, as well as on convective parameterizations in high resolution domains. Satellite data from SEVIRI Rapid Scan Service were used in conjunction with rain gauge data to conclude at the best simulation at which the WRF model exhibits a rather precise and realistic distribution and evolution of the precipitation patterns.

In this work, the ability of a long-range weather forecast via the folklore “Merominia” is investigated in detail. Merominia are called either the first twelve days of August or the days from the 14th to the 25th of August. According to local traditions and beliefs, by observing the weather of these days, someone can forecast the weather of a whole year, as the weather of each of these twelve days corresponds to the mean weather of a future month. For a scientific investigation of this belief, 42 year daily values mean temperature and precipitation were used for Ioannina and Thessaloniki. The values of these parameters during the above twelve days periods were correlated with the corresponding average values of the next 12 months or 30-day periods. Furthermore, it was investigated whether there is another 12-day period during the year, which could be used for a successful weather forecast for the next twelve 30-day periods. In all cases it was proved that the weather of a single day is not able to forecast the average weather conditions during a future month.

The prevention and confrontation of natural hazards during extreme weather conditions constitute an educational subject usually provided by bodies such as the meteorological service or environmental education, health education and educational mobility programs. In such actions, Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have a dominant role, since students use them widely, not only in the educational process but also in their daily lives. A modern approach to the pedagogical use of ICT is the use of digital learning objects. Learning objects are described as self-standing resources of learning content that include or indicate learning objectives. The Deucalion project proposes the use of digital learning objects for natural disaster education and especially for disasters caused by atmospheric phenomena. The learning objects include interactive virtual and multimedia environments, as well as educational games. The learning objects refer to atmospheric phenomena such as rain, snow, hail, frost, wind, etc. Their usage is carried out through meaningful teaching interventions and educational scenarios. Their inclusion in the educational process is proposed either by incorporating them into the curriculum, or in environmental education and health education programs.

This paper introduces a new climatology index, the Caspian Sea—Hindu Kush Index (CasHKI), which consists of changes in the mean sea level pressure (MSLP) gradient between the Caspian Sea (CS, 40–50 °N, 50–55 °E) and Hindu Kush (HK, 35–40 °N, 70–75 °E) which modulate the atmospheric dynamics and dust activity over southwest (SW) Asia. The CasHKI is defined as the difference between MSLP anomalies over the CS and HK (MSLPanom.CS—MSLPanom.HK) and is initially examined during the summer months (June-September, JJAS) of 2000–2014. The NCEP/NCAR data for MSLP and surface meridional wind, along with IDDI (Infrared Difference Dust Index) retrievals from Meteosat, OMI-AI and TRMM rainfall products and SPRINTARS model simulations of dust emissions are analyzed as a function of CasHKI. The CasHKI variations modulate the atmospheric dynamics over SW Asia. Increase in CasHKI intensity strengthens the northerly flow along the eastern Iranian borders (Levar wind), resulting in activation of the dust sources over the region and in significantly larger dust outflows over the northern Arabian Sea. Extending the research to the whole year, during the enlarged period 1963–2014, verifies the role of the CasHKI as a regulatory factor for dust activity over SW Asia, even during the winter period.

The seasonal variability of total cloud cover in the Mediterranean region is studied, using NCEP/NCAR daily grid point data. The mean day to day intra-annual variations of total cloud cover during the hydrological year (1 October–30 September) are extracted for the 66-year period 1948–2014. A dimensionality reduction method is applied on the 324 time series and three main modes of seasonal variation of cloud cover over the Mediterranean region are found. The first one is simple, characterized by a maximum in winter and a minimum in summer, prevailing mainly over the sea. The second one is double showing maxima in early autumn and late spring and minima in late summer and winter and prevails over SW Europe and NW Africa inland regions. Finally, the third one shows a maximum in June and a minimum in October and prevails over the eastern part of central Europe. The main characteristics of these modes are attributed to the seasonal variation of the various thermal and dynamical factors affecting the region. An examination of the seasonal variability of cloud cover in the above core regions during sub-periods of the total period 1948–2014 reveals some long-term changes during the last 66 years.

Monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2) are used to examine the year-by-year variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin and its changes over the period 1979-2010. The results show that the mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area has slightly increased from 1979 to 2010 by 1.28mm or by 0.2% (trend not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level). Nevertheless, examining the trends at a local scale, spatial and temporal patterns are revealed, with opposite trends in adjacent areas and increasing precipitation in summer and autumn against almost unchanged or decreasing precipitation in winter and spring, respectively. Inter-decadal changes of precipitation are detected, with precipitation decreasing in the 1980s, then increasing through the late 1990s and finally declining in the 2000s before levelling off since 2007. These changes are significantly anti-correlated (R=-0.57, up to -0.66 in winter) with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, thus confirming the critical role of this large-scale teleconnection for the regional precipitation over the basin.

The precipitation regime over the Mediterranean basin is investigated for the period 1979-2010 using monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2). The results show that a clear contrast exists between the more rainy northern part of the study region (Southern Europe) and the drier southern area (North Africa, Iberian Peninsula) and between the western sides (rainsides) of the Iberian, Italian and Balkan peninsulas and their eastern sides (rainshadows). The mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area is P = 593 ± 203 mm year-1, but it has a strong spatial variability ranging from 20 mm year-1 (North Africa) to 1500 mm year-1 (Alps). A significant seasonal variability exists, with the early winter and late autumn months (November and December) being the wettest with precipitation amounts larger than 60 mm month-1. The GPCPv2 satellite precipitation data are satisfactorily correlated with rain gauge measurements from 433 stations within the study area (correlation coefficient R = 0.78 for all stations on a yearly basis, with values ranging between 0.72 and 0.82, depending on the season) with a slight overestimation. They also compare well with the higher spatial and temporal resolution Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data, which supports the validity of the present study.

The mesoscale meteorological model MM5 is applied to 22 selected days with intense precipitation in the region of Epirus, NW Greece. At first, it was investigated whether and to what extend an increased horizontal resolution (from 8 to 2 km) improves the quantitative precipitation forecasts. The model skill was examined for the 12-h accumulated precipitation recorded at 14 meteorological stations located in Epirus and by using categorical and descriptive statistics. Then, the precipitation forecast skill for the 2 km grid was studied: (a) without and (b) with the activation of a convective parameterization scheme. From the above study, the necessity of the use of a scheme at the 2 km grid is assessed. Furthermore, three different convective parameterization schemes are compared: (a) Betts-Miller, (b) Grell and (c) Kain-Fritsch-2 in order to reveal the scheme, resulting in the best precipitation forecast skill in Epirus. Kain-Fritsch-2 and Grell give better results with the latter being the best for the high precipitation events.

In this work, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were developed and applied in order to forecast the discomfort levels due to the combination of high temperature and air humidity, during the hot season of the year, in eight different regions within the Greater Athens area (GAA), Greece. For the selection of the best type and architecture of ANNs-forecasting models, the multiple criteria analysis (MCA) technique was applied. Three different types of ANNs were developed and tested with the MCA method. Concretely, the multilayer per- ceptron, the generalized feed forward networks (GFFN), and the time-lag recurrent networks were developed and tested. Results showed that the best ANNs type performance was achieved by using the GFFN model for the prediction of discomfort levels due to high temperature and air humidity within GAA. For the evaluation of the constructed ANNs, appropriate statistical indices were used. The analysis proved that the forecasting ability of the developed ANNs models is very satisfactory at a significant statistical level of p

The authors examine the impact of low-frequency atmospheric forcings on the air–sea heat fluxes over the Aegean Sea. The correlation between the air–sea heat flux components and three established [North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), east Atlantic–western Russian pattern (EAWR), and North Sea–Caspian pattern (NCP)] and two testing climatic indices of potential effect over the eastern Mediterranean Sea region underlines significant discrepancies between the radiative (shortwave and longwave radiation) and the turbulent (sensible and latent heat) components. The NAO index affects the air–sea heat fluxes over the Aegean Sea region much less than the two innovative indices, the “Mediterranean index” and the “Eastern Europe index,” which play more effective roles. Moreover, the influence of the sea level atmospheric pressure (SLP) variability over an extended area (Europe and North Africa) on surface fluxes regime is investigated. The SLP anomalies are corroborated as a prominent regulating factor of the air–sea heat fluxes over the Aegean Sea region, especially during the cold season of the year. The analysis of the extreme values in the heat exchange anomalies for the period 1958–2001 highlights the role of SLP field on determining the air–sea heat fluxes regime, mainly during winter, when, occasionally, large amounts of heat loss from the sea surface trigger the mechanism of intermediate- and deep-water formation. It is suggested that wind regime and turbulent components are the modulators of the net air–sea heat flux anomalies throughout the year.

The relationship between sea-level pressure (SLP) and 1,000 hPa air temperature (AT) in winter is investigated over the northern hemisphere, and a statistical forecasting of one of the two parameters from the other is attempted on a monthly basis. Mean monthly SLP and 1,000 hPa level AT values at 563 grid points over the northern hemisphere are utilized for January, February and March, for the period 1949–2002. At first, factor analysis is applied to the data sets as a dimensionality reduction tool. Then, canonical correlation analysis is applied to the resultant factor scores time series for the five SLP–AT pairs: SLP(J)–AT(J), SLP(J)–AT(F), SLP(J)–AT(M), AT(J)–SLP(F) and AT(J)–SLP(M), and the synchronous and time-lag connections between the two parameters are investigated. The areas characterized by a satisfactory monthly or/and bi-monthly forecasting ability are detected. The most satisfactory results refer to the areas affected by the Southern Oscillation. It is found that the SLP teleconnection between the areas of the eastern and the western Pacific in January is related to the regime of AT in the central Pacific Ocean, in both February and March. Also, SLP over the Aleutian and Icelandic lows in January is related to AT over their southwestern and southeastern neighbouring areas in February and March. Finally, it appears that there is also ability for monthly/bi-monthly statistical prediction for some areas affected by the well-known oscillations of North Atlantic Oscillation and Pacific/North American Oscillation. A validation of the statistical prediction methodology is carried out, using real-time series of AT and SLP parameters for some characteristic cases. The results show that the statistical prediction presents a remarkable success. The success rate varies from 67% to 83% for the analysis period 1949–2002 and from 71% to 86% for the recent period 2003–2009.

During the summer months, when northerly winds are blowing over the Aegean Sea the island of Crete modifies significantly the regional airflow as well as the pressure and temperature fields due to its complex topography. One of the major topographical elements of Crete Island is the major gap which is located between the two highest mountains Lefka Ori and Idi. On 24–25 August 2007 strong northerly winds, with gusts up to 25 m s−1, occurred at the exit of the major gap. In order to investigate the dynamics as well as the role of this elevated and sloping gap on the airflow modification, the event was simulated down to 1 km horizontal resolution using the non-hydrostatic model MM5. The model simulations show that the localized intensification of the flow downstream of the major gap is related to the channeling of the flow through the gap. The strongest winds are observed at the gap exit region, implying that the main cause of the strong winds is the pressure different between the gap entrance and exit, when the relatively cooler maritime air approached the island and dammed up the high mountains. Finally, sensitivity experiments with modified topography further supported the important role of the topography of the elevated gap, which reveals that the strong winds have aspects of both gap and downslope contributions over the gap exit.

The meteorological model MM5 is applied operationally for the area of north-western Greece for one-year period (1 June 2007–31 May 2008). The model output is used for daily weather forecasting over the area. An early warning system is developed, by dividing the study area in 16 sub-regions and defining specific thresholds for issuing alerts for adverse weather phenomena. The verification of the model is carried out by comparing the model results with observations from three automatic meteorological stations. For air temperature and wind speed, correlation coefficients and biases are calculated, revealing that there is a significant overestimation of the early morning air temperature. For precipitation amount, yes/no contingency tables are constructed for 4 specific thresholds and some categorical statistics are applied, showing that the prediction of precipitation in the area under study is generally satisfactory. Finally, the thunderstorm warnings issued by the system are verified against the observed lightning activity.

In the present work, the diurnal variation of illuminance levels in Athens, Greece, is studied during winter and summer. The database consists of 5-minute values of global horizontal illuminance for the period 1992-1996 recorded at the National Observatory of Athens (NOA). For each season, two sets of data are determined (sunrise to noon and noon to sunset) consisting of the semi-diurnal courses of illuminance anomalies from the mean semi-diurnal course of each day of the year. By using the multivariate statistical methods Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis, the identification of the most characteristic modes of diurnal variation of global illuminance is attempted. It is found that six types of semi-diurnal courses (sunrise to noon and noon to sunset) of global illuminance are the most characteristic for winter, while for Summer, six types of courses are found for sunrise to noon and five for noon to sunset. Some of these courses present the almost smooth ascending/descending intra-daily variation of illuminance, while others show significant disturbances during various daytime periods due to development of clouds. Copyright (C) 2009 Royal Meteorological Society International Journal of Climatology

The island of Crete with its mountain ranges is an excellent example of a major isolated topographic feature, which significantly modifies the regional airflow as well as the pressure and temperature fields. During summer, when northerly winds are blowing over the Aegean Sea (a large number of which are characterized as Etesians), the highly complex topography of Crete plays an important role in the modification of this northern wind flow. The main objective of this study is to determine the role of the topography of Crete Island during this wind flow on the strong downslope winds at the southern parts of the island as well as on the development of a gap flow between the two highest mountains of the island (Lefka Ori and Idi). For that purpose, observational data from four meteorological stations located along the aforementioned gap are used along with QuikSCAT satellite data. The observational analysis shows that the interaction of the northern wind flow with the mountains of Crete Island produces an upstream deceleration, a leftward deflection of the air as this approaches the mountains and an intensification of the winds at the southern coasts accompanied with a temperature increase. Furthermore, the maximum of the gap flow is observed at the exit region of the gap.

The characteristics of the atmospheric circulation over Europe and the Mediterranean associated with the formation and the dissipation of fog in Greece are examined. The data used consists of: i) 3-hourly meteorological observations recorded at 16 meteorological stations in Greece and ii) daily (00:00 UTC) 2.5×2.5 grid point values of mean sea-level pressure, 500 hPa geopotential height, 850 hPa and 500 hPa air temperatures and 1000–500 hPa thickness over Europe for the period 1957–2002. 1055 fog events are extracted from the 3-hourly meteorological observations. A specific methodology scheme including S-mode Factor Analysis and k-means Cluster Analysis is applied to the grid point data sets for the first day of a fog event (D day), the day prior to D day (D-1 day) and the day that follows the last day of a fog event (END day) and the 1055 evolutions of the atmospheric circulation associated with fog events in Greece are classified into 10 clusters. The mean patterns of MSL Pressure, 850 hPa and 500 hPa air temperatures, 1000–500 hPa thickness and 500 hPa geopotential height show that in most of the clusters, the presence of anticyclonic conditions over the Balkans, a warm front passage, or a weak, humid southerly flow induced by the presence of a shallow depression over the western Mediterranean favor fog formation in Greece, while the dissipation of fog occurs when drier air masses are transferred over the Balkans. The main differences among the 10 clusters refer to the exact position, the intensity and the specific evolution of the surface and the upper air systems, the season of their predominance and the area of the Greek territory that mainly refer to.

Some aspects on the intra-annual variability and the seasonal peculiarities of the atmospheric circulation in the Mediterranean region are examined. T-mode factor analysis is applied on the long-term (1948–2003) 5-day mean values of relative geostrophic vorticity for the 73 5-day periods of the year. The analysis is applied for sea-surface and 500-hPa levels. For sea level, two circulation types are found to be dominant: the type of the warm period and the type of the cold period, characterizing the so-called Mediterranean climate; they are strongly dependent on the thermal and humidity characteristics of the earth's surface and the position and strength of the sub-tropical (Azores) anti-cyclone. For 500-hPa level, two extra but weaker circulation types are added, prevailing mainly during the transitional seasons and modifying the smooth intra-annual variation of the atmospheric circulation. In this case, the thermal influence of the earth's surface appears to be weaker, while other circulation features, such as blocking activity and/or cut-off lows, seem to play an important role too. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society

The objective of the present work is to compare various techniques for modeling the dependence of the tropospheric ozone concentrations on several meteorological and pollutant parameters. The study focuses on two different sites in the metropolitan area of Athens, Greece; one in the city centre and another one in the suburbs. It is found that although simple Linear Regression Analysis fails to construct accurate equations due to the existence of multicollinearity among the independent variables, still various combinations of a Multivariate Method (PCA) and Stepwise Regression Analysis manage to produce equations free of the multicollinearity issue. The derived formulas are validated and prove to have R(2) values in the order of 0.8 approximately. However, the equations are found to be unsuccessful in case of severe episodes. For this reason, a new procedure is followed for estimating the ozone values in case of episodes exclusively. The new R(2) value is estimated to be 0.9, approximately. Environ Monit Assess

In this work, daylight reference years (DRYs), based on daylight and solar radiation measurements, are designed for two European cities, Athens, Greece and Bratislava, Slovakia, by using the Danish method, the Festa-Ratto technique and the Modified Sandia National Laboratories methodology. The data basis consists of 5-minute values of global and diffuse horizontal illuminance, global and diffuse horizontal irradiance, zenith luminance and solar altitude as well as of daily values of sunshine duration for 5 years for Athens and 8 years for Bratislava, Moreover, Linke's turbidity factor, luminous turbidity factor and relative sunshine duration are calculated and utilized. Then, for each DRY, the predominant sky-luminance distributions over Athens and Bratislava are identified, by using the methodology of Kittler et al., who corresponded the main sky conditions to 15 theoretical sky standards in diagrams of the ratio of zenith luminance to diffuse horizontal illuminance against solar altitude. For both cities the three aforementioned methods do not create identical DRYs. Despite the differences, the sky types defined for each of the two places seem not to depend on the choice of DRY. The predominant sky standard, for all of them, is a cloudless, polluted sky with a broad solar corona for Athens and an overcast sky with slight brightening towards the sun as well as very clear sky with low atmospheric turbidity for Bratislava. However, the selection of the DRY, which represents best the daylight conditions, is necessary for studies in saving energy in buildings. The DRY, which is created by the Modified Sandia National Laboratories method, is chosen for most cases, while the one created by the Danish method is also useful on certain occasions. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Atmospheric Research

Based upon sea-surface temperature (SST) data, recently corrected for bucket-intake observational change, the SST fluctuations since 1873 in the Mediterranean are studied and compared with air temperature (AT) fluctuations at some land stations of this area and for the Northern Hemisphere (ATNH). Instead of the actual temperature, we used the frequency difference (per cent) of the number of the warm minus cold months, (fw—fc) annually and seasonally, smoothed using 10-year moving averages. This frequency difference was found to be a linear function of the actual temperature. For the whole Mediterranean, the trend of the SST is simple enough, with a minimum in about 1910 and a double maximum in about 1940 and 1965. A secondary minimum follows in 1975–1980, very strong in the eastern Mediterranean, with a rise after that to the present. This trend when compared with ATNH presents some differences: in the ATNH a minimum appears earlier, in 1890, but this is shown only slightly in the Mediterranean SST. The second SST maximum, in 1965, is not shown in ATNH, and the general rise of recent years starts in the ATNH about 10 years earlier. When considering the AT of the Mediterranean stations, it can be seen that the rise, after the minimum of 1910, stops 15 years earlier than the SST and ATNH. Then, an anomalous and slow decrease follows until about 1975–1980, followed by a rise to the present, which is delayed in the eastern Mediterranean.

This paper discusses a subjectively defined system of air mass types, the 13 Peczely's large-scale weather situations over the Carpathian Basin in relation to the detected airborne pollen grain concentrations. Based on the ECMWF ( European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) sea-level pressure data set, daily sea-level pressure fields analyzed at 00: 00 UTC were prepared for each Peczely's weather types in order to relate the sea-level pressure patterns with the average pollen levels in Szeged. The data basis for this study comprises daily values of 12 meteorological parameters and daily average pollen concentrations for 24 species in a 5-year period (1997-2001). It was found that Peczely's anticyclonic ridge types 2 and 11 as well as cyclonic types 4 and 7 are favourable for pollen production and dispersal unlike the cyclonic types 3 and 13. Hence, the Peczely's large-scale weather situations cannot alone be considered as an overall system in predicting pollen concentrations. Grana

In this study the impact of the Indian summer monsoon on the large scale variability of the atmospheric circulation over the Mediterranean is investigated on an inter-annual time scale. Composite and correlation analysis results are presented, outlining different circulation patterns in the upper and lower troposphere for strong and weak monsoon years respectively. For this purpose ERA-40 Reanalysis monthly mean data at various isobaric levels together with the standardized All India Rainfall Index for boreal summer (June-July-August-September) of a 44-year period were employed. During strong monsoon years many atmospheric circulation systems appear strengthened over Eurasia, resembling a well-organized Rossby wave train over the area. In the upper troposphere a meridional shift of the jet streams over the examined area was also identified during extreme monsoon years. On the other hand, in the lower troposphere enhanced northerlies (Etesians) appear to dominate over Eastern Mediterranean along with intensified subsidence during strong monsoon years. © 2014 Elsevier B.V.

This paper determines the characteristic air mass types over the Carpathian Basin for the winter (December, January, and February) and summer (June, July and August) months dependant on levels of the main air pollutants. Based on the ECMWF data set, daily sea-level pressure fields analysed at 00 UTC were prepared for each air mass type (cluster) in order to relate sea-level pressure patterns with the level of air pollutants in Szeged. The data comprise daily values of twelve meteorological and eight pollutant parameters for the period 1997–2001. Objective definition of the characteristic air mass types is achieved by using the methods of Factor Analysis and Cluster Analysis. According to the results, during the winter months five air mass types (clusters) were detected based on higher concentrations of primary pollutants that occur with high irradiance and low wind speed. This is the case when an anticyclone is found over the Carpathian Basin and over the region south of Hungary, influencing the weather of the country. Low levels of pollutants occur when zonal currents exert influence over Hungary. During the summer months anticyclones and anticyclone ridge situations are found over the Carpathian Basin. (During the prevalence of anticyclone ridge situations, the Carpathian Basin is found at the edge of a high pressure centre.) As a result of high irradiance and very low NO levels, secondary pollutants are highly enriched.

In the present work, we studied the exterior daylight conditions in Sheffield in Central England (53.38 degrees N, 1.50 degrees W) during winter. The study makes use of the 15 standard sky types defined by Kittler et al. These sky types are presented as diagrams of the ratio of the zenith luminance (L-z) to the diffuse horizontal illuminance (D-v) against solar altitude The illuminance parameters used are time series of half-hourly values of D-v, L-z global (G(c)) and diffuse (D-v) horizontal irradiance and, for the period from November 1, 1993, to February 10, 1994. This study shows that the most frequent winter sky types in Central England are: (i) 1.2 (overcast, with steep gradation and slight brightening towards the sun), with a frequency of occurrence of 19.5%, (ii) 1.1 (overcast, with steep gradation and with azimuthal uniformity) (10.5%) and (iii) 11.1 (overcast, moderately graded, with azimuthal uniformity) (9.7%). The most predominant cloudless sky is V.5 (cloudless, polluted, with a broad solar corona), with a frequency of occurrence of 7.6%. (c) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Energy

This work studies the illuminance levels at a city in Central Europe (Bratislava) and another in the Eastern Mediterranean (Athens) and defines the prevailing sky-luminance distributions for winter and summer. The data used are 5-min values of global and diffuse horizontal irradiance and illuminance along with zenith luminance from the IDMP stations at the two cities for a period of 5 years. The study is based on the new set of the sky types recently adopted by CIE. These sky standards correspond to 15 theoretical diagrams of the ratio of zenith luminance to diffuse horizontal illuminance against solar altitude. The theoretical curves converge above 35° of solar elevation and in many cases they intersect each other. For this reason, each observation is classified into one of the 15 sky standards, only when the value of the ratio of zenith luminance to diffuse horizontal illuminance lies in a zone of ± 2.5% around the theoretical curve describing the specific category. If any observation is classified into more than one sky standards, the corresponding ratio of global horizontal illuminance to extraterrestrial horizontal illuminance is compared to the average ratio of the sky types implicated, for the same solar altitude, and the observation is classified in the sky type with the nearest value. It is found that the most frequent sky types for Bratislava are the overcast sky with steep luminance gradation and slight brightening towards the sun (winter) and the white-blue sky with a distinct solar corona (summer), while for Athens the cloudless polluted sky prevails in both seasons. It is also found that during a summer day, a noticeable shift appears in the sky-luminance distribution at both sites. © 2005 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics

In this work, the relationship between atmospheric circulation over Europe and precipitation in Greece is studied during high winter (January-February). Specifically, the 850 hPa relative vorticity centres, affecting or related to precipitation in the various areas of Greece, are defined and the corresponding temporal variability of both parameters is examined. Factor analysis is first applied on both fields, in order to. reduce the dimensionality of the original data sets. Canonical correlation analysis is then applied on the factor analysis results, in order to interrelate the two parameters. It is found that: (i) precipitation over western and northern Greece, the eastern Aegean islands and the western Turkish coasts is mainly controlled by vorticity over Italy and the Gulf of Genoa; (ii) southern Aegean Sea and Crete precipitation is controlled by relative vorticity west of Crete; and (iii) eastern mainland areas precipitation is significantly affected by a vorticity seesaw between Tunisia and the northern Aegean. The temporal variations of precipitation and relative vorticity parameters over the above areas show a precipitation reduction over most Greek stations, combined with enhanced anticyclonic activity over almost the whole Mediterranean during the late 1980s and the early 1990s, a period characterized by high North Atlantic oscillation index values. Finally, cluster analysis is applied on the factor scores time series of precipitation, in order to classify the winter precipitation anomaly patterns into objectively defined clusters. Six main precipitation patterns were revealed and the corresponding relative vorticity mean anomaly regimes over southern Europe indicate the atmospheric circulation characteristics causing these specific patterns. Copyright (C) 2003 Royal Meteorological Society. International Journal of Climatology

This paper presents RISKMED, a project targeted to create an Early Warning System (EWS) in case of severe or extreme weather events in the central and eastern Mediterranean and specifically in southern Italy, northwestern Greece, Malta and Cyprus. As severe or extreme weather events are considered, cases when the values of some meteorological parameters (temperature, wind, precipitation) exceed certain thresholds, and/or a severe weather phenomenon (thunderstorm, snowfall) occurs. For an accurate weather forecast, selected meteorological models have been operated daily, based on a nesting strategy using two or three domains, providing detailed forecasts over the above mentioned areas. The forecast results are further exploited for the evaluation and prediction of human discomfort and fire weather indices. Finally, sea wave models have also been operating daily over the central and eastern Mediterranean Sea. In case a severe or extreme weather event is forecasted within the next 48 or 72 h for selected target areas (sub-regions defined by their morphological and population characteristics), the local authorities and the public are informed via a user-friendly graphic system, the so-called RISK MAP. On the web page of the Project (http://www.riskmed.net), additional information is provided about the real-time values of some meteorological parameters, the latest satellite picture and the time and space distribution of lightning during the last 24 h. The RISKMED project was financed by the EU and the Ministries of National Economy of Greece, Italy, Malta and Cyprus, in the frame of INTERREG IIIB/ARCHIMED programme., peer-reviewed

(2002). The Political Economy Of Innovation Policy Implementation In Developing Countries. Economics of Innovation and New Technology: Vol. 11, No. 4-5, pp. 271-274.

Lake Pamvotis is a moderately sized (22 km 2 ) shallow (zavg=4 m) lake with a polymictic stratification regime located in northwest Greece. The lake has undergone cultural eutrophication over the past 40 years and is currently eutrophic (annual averages of FRP=0.07 mg P l −1 , TP=0.11 mg P l −1 ,N H 4 + =0.25 mg N l −1 ,N O 3 − =0.56 mg Nl −1 ). FRP and NH4 + levels are correlated to external loading from streams during the winter and spring, and to internal loading during multi-day periods of summer stratification. Algal blooms occurred in summer (July– August green algae, August–September blue-green algae), autumn (October blue-green algae and diatoms), and winter (February diatoms), but not in the spring (March–June). The phytoplankton underwent brief periods of Nand P-limitation, though persistent low transparency (secchi depth of 60–80 cm) also suggests periods of light limitation. Rotifers counts were highest from mid-summer to early autumn whereas copepods were high in the spring and cladocerans were low in the summer. Removal of industrial and sewage point sources a decade ago resulted in a decrease in FRP. A phosphorus mass balance identified further reductions in external loading from the predominately agricultural catchment will decrease FRP levels further. The commercial fishery and lake hatchery also provides opportunities to control algal biomass through biomanipulation measures.

This paper argues that there is increasing need for the integration of policy considerations in the formulation of research questions and in the development of analytical work in policy oriented innovation studies. Despite the fact that Evolutionary and Innovation Studies theories have offered new ways of incorporating policy, little explicitness in this regard has yet been achieved and there is a risk that academic research following the new perspectives will be of little relevance for policy. Rather than a ‘linear process’ starting with empirical research aimed at linking competitiveness and economic performance to technological capabilities (in a comparative perspective and aimed at identifying ‘best practice’) followed by very abstract and un-grounded ‘policy implications' - a new type of link between positive and normative economics in the field is required. Our approach suggests a new structure for policy-oriented and policy-relevant research, i.e. the integration of research on technological change...

In this work, the variability and covariability of winter temperatures in the middle and the lower troposphere are studied over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean. Temperature variations of the middle and the lower troposphere are examined in terms of (a) 500–700 hPa and 700–l000 hPa thickness and (b) air temperature on the isobaric surfaces of 500 hPa and 700 hPa. At first, factor analysis (FA) defined areas with characteristic temperature variability in each layer (and on each isobaric surface) and then, canonical correlation analysis (CCA) revealed areas in both layers (and on both isobaric surfaces) presenting common temperature variations. A temperature see-saw between N Europe and W Asia was revealed for both layers and isobaric surfaces implying that temperature changes in these areas are vertically spread. Another well-defined area, appearing in both analyses, is the area of the Labrador Sea and S Greenland. This region is also teleconnected to other regions, though not very clearly in every height. These temperature patterns are mainly attributed to the Eurasian (EU) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) circulation patterns, which are responsible for large air mass exchanges in the area, being vertically extended in the middle and the lower troposphere. Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society.

The climate characteristics of summer human thermal discomfort in Athens and its connection to atmospheric circulation are studied for the period 1954–2012. The human thermal discomfort is examined in terms of the Predicted Mean Vote (PMV) discomfort index for calm and light wind (3 ms-1) conditions. Its inter-annual variability is characterised by a significant increase from the middle 1980s to the end of the study period. The onset and the cessation of the discomfort period are found to take place around the beginning of July and the end of August respectively, but from middle 1980s the dates of onset and cessation have slightly moved earlier and later, respectively, leading to a longer summer discomfort period. The connection between human thermal discomfort and atmospheric circulation is studied by examining the distribution of discomfort cases across six objectively defined circulation types over Europe, based on Athens weather characteristics. High values of the PMV discomfort index are mainly associated with two typical high-summer pressure patterns with the intensity of discomfort depending on the pressure gradient over the Aegean Sea. On the contrary, low PMV discomfort index values prevail mainly on days typified by the other four circulation types, which are more frequent during May, June, and September.

In this paper, using 20 year mean monthly precipitation totals from 54 stations, the general statistics for the time and space distribution of precipitation in northwest Greece is at first described. Precipitation varies from about 1000 mm at the coast to 2500 mm on the mountains, with a large variability. Then, the intra-annual variation is studied, using Fourier analysis. This variation is described well by two harmonics, explaining about 90% of the total variance. The first harmonic, over 80% of the variance, shows a maximum from late December (coastal areas) to early January (continental areas) and is caused by the northwest Mediterranean depression activity. The second harmonic exhibits maxima in May and November, also delayed in the continental areas, and is mainly caused by upper air troughs and instability. The spatial distribution of precipitation is then studied by using factor analysis. The 12 months of a year are classified in two parts corresponding to two statistically significant factors, explaining 88.5% of the total variance. Finally, the combination of positive and negative standardized scores of the two factors showed that northwest Greece is characterized by four precipitation regimes, depending on the combination of depression activity, the effects of the sea and of topography. Copyright (C) 1999 Royal Meteorological Society. International Journal of Climatology

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES When attempting to implement evidence-based medicine, such as through clinical guidelines, we often rely on passive educational tactics, for example didactic lectures and bulletins. These methods involve the recipient in relatively superficial processing of information, and any consequent attitude changes can be expected to be short-lived. However, active methods, such as practice-based discussion, should involve recipients in deep processing, with more enduring attitude changes. In this experiment, the aim was to assess the efficacy of an active strategy at promoting deep processing and its effectiveness, relative to a typical passive method, at changing attitudes between groups of GPs over 12 months across an English Health District. METHODS All 191 GPs operating from 69 practices in the Wirral Health District of Northwest England were assigned, with minimization of known confounding variables, to three experimental groups: active, passive and control. The groups were shown to have similar learning styles. The objective of the study was to impart knowledge of best management of infections as captured in a series of locally developed clinical guidelines. The passive group GPs were given a copy of the guidelines and were invited to an hour-long lecture event. The GPs in the deep group were given a copy of the guidelines and were invited to engage in an hour-long discussion about the guideline content at their own premises. The control group received neither the guidelines nor any educational contact regarding them. Three months before and 12 months after the interventions, all GPs were sent a postal questionnaire on their preferred empirical antibiotic for 10 common bacterial infections. The responses were compared in order to ascertain whether increased knowledge of best clinical practice was evident in each group. RESULTS Seventy-five per cent (144/191) of GPs responded to the pre-intervention questionnaire, 62 % (119/191) post-intervention. Thirty-four per cent (22/64) of GPs in the passive group attended the lecture; 91% (60/66) of the active group engaged in discussion at meetings with the authors. A significantly higher proportion of the active group participants' speaking time, during a sample of four visits, was devoted to verbal indicators of active processing than the passive group lecture attenders (difference = 55%, Fisher's exact test P = 0.002, OR = 11.5, 95% CI 2.1-113.4). Inter-observer agreement on the classification of the verbal evidence was highly statistically significant for all classes (Pearson's product moment correlation, P 0.05, r = +0.407). Median compliance of responses with the guidelines improved by 2.5% within the control group and 4% within the passive, but by 23% within the active. The difference between the changes in the active and control groups was highly statistically significant at 17.5% (Mann-Whitney test, P = 0.004, 95% CI 6-29%). However, for the 10 infections, the median difference between the changes in the passive and control groups was not significant at 3% (P = 0.75, 95% CI -8 to +12. The median difference between changes in the active and passive groups was significant at 17% (P = 0.015, 95% CI 7-24%) in favour of the active. DISCUSSION An active educational strategy attracted more participation and was more effective at generating deep cognitive processing than a passive strategy. A large improvement, lasting for at least 12 months, in attitude-compliance with guidelines on the optimal treatment of infections was imparted by the active processing method. A typical passive method was much less popular and had an insignificant impact on attitudes. The findings suggest that initiatives aiming to implement evidence-based guidelines must employ active educational strategies if enduring changes in attitude are to result.