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Increased warming in the Arctic is of great concern. This is particularly due to permafrost degradation, which is expected to accelerate microbial breakdown of soil organic carbon, with its further release into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide (CO2). The fine-scale variability of CO2 fluxes across highly mosaic Arctic tundra landscapes can provide us with insights into the diverse responses of individual plant communities to environmental change. In the paper, we contribute to filling existing gaps by investigating the variability of CO2 flux rates within different landscape units for dominant vegetation communities and plant species across typical tundra of the southern part of the Taimyr Peninsula, Siberia. In general, the variability of soil CO2 flux illustrates a four-fold increase from non-vascular vegetation, mainly lichens and mosses (1.05 ± 0.36 µmol m−2 s−1), towards vascular plants (3.59 ± 0.51 µmol m−2 s−1). Barren ground ("frost boils") shows the lowest value of 0.79 ± 0.21 µmol m−2 s−1, while considering the Arctic "browning" phenomenon, a further substantial increase of CO2 flux can be expected with shrub expansion. Given the high correlation with top soil temperature, well-drained and relatively dry habitats such as barren ground and non-vascular vegetation are expected to be the most sensitive to the observed and projected temperature growth in the Arctic. For mixed vegetation and vascular species that favor wetter conditions, soil moisture appears to play a greater role. Based on the modeled seasonal pattern of soil CO2 flux and precipitation records, and applying the rainfall simulations in situ we outlined the role of precipitation across enhanced CO2 emissions (i.e., the "Birch" effect). We found that a pulse-like growth of soil CO2 fluxes, observed within the first few minutes after rainfall on vegetated plots, reaches 0.99 ± 0.48 µmol m−2 s−1 per each 1 mm of precipitation, while barren ground shows 55–70% inhibition of CO2 emission during the first several hours. An average additive effect of precipitation on soil CO2 flux may achieve 7–12% over the entire growing season, while the projected increased precipitation regime in the Arctic may strengthen the total CO2 release from the soil surface to the atmosphere during the growing season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cyanobacterial mats are commonly reported as hotspots of microbial diversity across polar environments. These thick, multilayered microbial communities provide a refuge from extreme environmental conditions, with many species able to grow and coexist despite the low allochthonous nutrient inputs. The visibly dominant phototrophic biomass is dependent on internal nutrient recycling by heterotrophic organisms within the mats; however, the specific contribution of heterotrophic protists remains little explored. In this study, mat community diversity was examined along a latitudinal gradient (55–83°N), spanning subarctic taiga, tundra, polar desert, and the High Arctic ice shelves. The prokaryotic and eukaryotic communities were targeted, respectively, by V4 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) and V9 18S rRNA gene amplicon high-throughput sequencing. Prokaryotic and eukaryotic richness decreased, in tandem with decreasing temperatures and shorter seasons of light availability, from the subarctic to the High Arctic. Taxonomy-based annotation of the protist community revealed diverse phototrophic, mixotrophic, and heterotrophic genera in all mat communities, with fewer parasitic taxa in High Arctic communities. Co-occurrence network analysis identified greater heterogeneity in eukaryotic than prokaryotic community structure among cyanobacterial mats across the Canadian Arctic. Our findings highlight the sensitivity of microbial eukaryotes to environmental gradients across northern high latitudes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Arctic Beaufort Gyre plays a critical role in climate and marine ecosystems. This study investigates the response of the liquid freshwater in the Beaufort Gyre to various wind perturbations using numerical simulations. A new diagnostic called "freshwater renewal" is introduced, which quantifies the amount of freshwater that has entered the Beaufort Gyre since a specific point in time. The findings reveal that the process of freshwater renewal is persistently efficient in the Beaufort Gyre region, occurring irrespective of the gyre's status. The spatial distribution of freshwater renewal varies, influenced by factors such as wind forcing and gyre circulation patterns. Cyclonic wind perturbation associated with a negative Beaufort high sea level pressure anomaly triggers freshwater release from the Beaufort Gyre, with freshwater export and renewal dependent on wind-perturbation locations and time scales. While some released Beaufort Gyre freshwater exits the Arctic Ocean through the Davis and Fram Straits, a considerable portion could remain within the Arctic Ocean for many years under specific conditions. Wind perturbation associated with the positive Arctic Oscillation enhances the Arctic export of Beaufort Gyre freshwater, mainly through the Fram Strait. The Arctic export of total freshwater and the Arctic export of the portion originating from the Beaufort Gyre have different time scales and magnitudes. Hence, it is essential to collectively examine different freshwater components in order to assess the role of Arctic export in the climate system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, the effects of assimilating Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) observations from existing and recently added commercial cube satellites on analyses and forecasts over the Arctic region were investigated by conducting observing system experiments (OSEs). Profiles of refractivity were assimilated with a local observation operator using the three-dimensional variational method. The analyses and forecasts from the OSEs were verified against ERA5 reanalysis, radiosonde observations, and buoy observations. In addition to the averaged impact on forecast skill, the impact of GNSS RO observations was further examined for an individual Arctic cyclone case, focusing on the added value of the cube satellite data. The effects of GNSS RO observations from existing satellites on analyses and forecasts over the Arctic region are positive, and the assimilation of GNSS RO observations from cube satellites leads to additional improvements, particularly for temperature in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS). Temperature biases in the UTLS are significantly reduced in the analyses, and the improved analyses result in better forecasts of upper-level potential vorticity and cyclone development when GNSS RO observations from cube satellites are assimilated. This result demonstrates the potential of GNSS RO data from cube satellites to enhance forecasts over the Arctic region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The acceleration of Greenland ice sheet melting over the past decades is raising concern regarding the impacts on ocean circulation in the North Atlantic and Arctic regions. Global climate models struggle to assess these impacts as they do not include a realistic amount of meltwater from the Greenland ice sheet. Using an extended observation-based dataset of runoff and solid ice discharge for the recent historical period (1920–2019), we force the EC-Earth3 climate model following the ensemble approach and protocol of a previous study using a different model. We observe a slight increase of the ensemble mean AMOC with a large spread in the response: 0.20 ± 0.81 Sv for the maximum AMOC at 45 ∘ N. We notice that members with a strong initial AMOC state (18 Sv) show a strengthening of the AMOC, while members with intermediate AMOC strength between 16 and 18 Sv are not affected by the freshwater forcing. Weaker initial AMOC members respond with a mean weakening of - 0.21 ± 0.58 Sv of the AMOC. The AMOC ensemble spread is reduced by half in the freshwater forced ensemble at the end of the experiment and the negative trend is stronger compared to historical simulations without the forcing. This suggests the possible ability of the freshwater to constrain AMOC variability on multi-decadal time-scales. Comparison of the two ten member ensembles with ORAS5 reanalysis shows a reduction of the surface temperature and salinity biases in the freshwater forced ensemble in key regions such as the North Atlantic subpolar gyre and the Beaufort Gyre relative to the historical simulations. Recent trends are also more aligned with reanalysis in those regions. Arctic Ocean Atlantic Water subsurface core temperature is also closer to reanalysis but still strongly biassed. Members with a high AMOC initial state display an unrealistic Atlantic water layer core depth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this Technical Advance, we describe a novel method to improve ecological interpretation of remotely sensed vegetation greenness measurements that involved sampling 24,395 Landsat pixels (30 m) across 639 km of Alaska's central Brooks Range. The method goes well beyond the spatial scale of traditional plot‐based sampling and thereby more thoroughly relates ground‐based observations to satellite measurements. Our example dataset illustrates that, along the boreal‐Arctic boundary, vegetation with the greatest Landsat Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is taller than 1 m, woody, and deciduous; whereas vegetation with lower NDVI tends to be shorter, evergreen, or non‐woody. The field methods and associated analyses advance efforts to inform satellite data with ground‐based vegetation observations using field samples collected at spatial scales that closely match the resolution of remotely sensed imagery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid climate change is altering Arctic ecosystems at unprecedented rates. These changes in the physical environment may open new corridors for species range expansions, with substantial implications for subsistence‐dependent communities and sensitive ecosystems. Over the past 20 years, rising incidental harvest of Pacific salmon by subsistence fishers has been monitored across a widening range spanning multiple land claim jurisdictions in Arctic Canada. In this study, we connect Indigenous and scientific knowledges to explore potential oceanographic mechanisms facilitating this ongoing northward expansion of Pacific salmon into the western Canadian Arctic. A regression analysis was used to reveal and characterize a two‐part mechanism related to thermal and sea‐ice conditions in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas that explains nearly all of the variation in the relative abundance of salmon observed within this region. The results indicate that warmer late‐spring temperatures in a Chukchi Sea watch‐zone and persistent, suitable summer thermal conditions in a Beaufort Sea watch‐zone together create a range‐expansion corridor and are associated with higher salmon occurrences in subsistence harvests. Furthermore, there is a body of knowledge to suggest that these conditions, and consequently the presence and abundance of Pacific salmon, will become more persistent in the coming decades. Our collaborative approach positions us to document, explore, and explain mechanisms driving changes in fish biodiversity that have the potential to, or are already affecting, Indigenous rights‐holders in a rapidly warming Arctic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Canadian Foreign Policy Journal (CFPJ) is the property of Routledge and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Copyright of Canadian Foreign Policy Journal (CFPJ) is the property of Routledge and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

This study explores the geopolitical and geostrategic significance of the GIUK (Greenland, Iceland, United Kingdom) Gap, a region of the North Atlantic Ocean between those respective islands, part of the broader Arctic realm known as the High North. It begins with a short overview of the historical development of the GIUK Gap's geopolitical and geostrategic significance, followed by an analysis of the region's current geopolitical and geostrategic dynamics. For the analysis, Walt's balance of threat was employed as a neorealistic theoretical framework, with four specific variables chosen. This theory assumes that states try to balance potential threats. The study highlights the growing importance of the GIUK Gap for both NATO and the Russian Federation, whose interests have increasingly clashed in recent years. The paper argues that the deteriorating relations between NATO and Russia following the annexation of Crimea in 2014 have causally contributed to the growing importance of the GIUK Gap. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change is increasingly affecting components of the terrestrial cryosphere with its adverse impacts in the Arctic regions of our planet are already well documented. In this context, it is regarded today as a key scientific priority to develop methodologies and operational tools that can assist towards advancing our monitoring capabilities and improving our decision-making competences in Arctic regions. In particular, the Arctic coasts are the focal point in this respect, due to their strong connection to the physical environment, society, and the economy in such areas. Geoinformation, namely Earth Observation (EO) and Geographical Information Systems (GISs), provide the way forward towards achieving this goal. The present review, which to our knowledge is the first of its kind, aims at delivering a critical consideration of the state-of-the-art approaches exploiting EO datasets and GIS for mapping the Arctic coasts properties. It also furnishes a reflective discussion on the scientific gaps and challenges that exist that require the attention of the scientific and wider community to allow exploitation of the full potential of EO/GIS technologies in this domain. As such, the present study also serves as a valuable contribution towards pinpointing directions for the design of effective policies and decision-making strategies that will promote environmental sustainability in the Arctic regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Under Arctic warming, near-surface energy transfers have significantly changed, but few studies have focused on energy exchange over Arctic glacier due to limitations in available observations. In this study, the atmospheric energy exchange processes over the Arctic glacier surface were analyzed by using observational data obtained in summer 2019 in comparison with those over the Arctic tundra surface. The energy budget over the glacier greatly differed from that over the tundra, characterized by less net shortwave radiation and downward sensible heat flux, due to the high albedo and icy surface. Most of the incoming solar radiation was injected into the glacier in summer, leading to snow ice melting. During the observation period, strong daily variations in near-surface heat transfer occurred over the Arctic glacier, with the maximum downward and upward heat fluxes occurring on 2 and 6 July 2019, respectively. Further analyses suggested that the maximum downward heat flux is mainly caused by the strong local thermal contrast above the glacier surface, while the maximum upward heat transfer cannot be explained by the classical turbulent heat transfer theory, possibly caused by countergradient heat transfer. Our results indicated that the near-surface energy exchange processes over Arctic glacier may be strongly related to local forcings, but a more in-depth investigation will be needed in the future when more observational data become available. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Arctic rapidly transforms due to global warming and increased human activities, triggering complex changes at unprecedented speeds that challenge conventional institutional responses. We analyse these changes through the lenses of social, political, and environmental boundaries and investigate their impacts on both inhabitants' livelihoods and the region's political framework. Employing an interdisciplinary approach, we highlight the complexities of understanding the interplay among global, regional, and local dynamics in an era where human and non-human aspects are entwined. Our analysis concentrates on three areas: definition of the Arctic; legal disputes concerning the waters around the Svalbard Archipelago; evolving natural hazards and societal risk perceptions in Longyearbyen. Through these examples, we underscore the intricate nature of social, political, and ecological changes and how they challenge current boundary-making processes. By combining knowledge from different systems and scales, our research reveals the interplay between policy-driven science, science-influenced policy, and performative behaviors in reshaping today's Arctic borders and boundaries. We particularly emphasize how climate change is challenging borders and advocate for a departure from static definitions, towards the formulation of environmentally conscious, socially just, and politically viable policies, acknowledging the new biophysical realities of the Anthropocene. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The 'smart city' has received growing attention as a concept that could play an essential role in the sustainability of the Arctic. Today, the idea is associated with information and communication technology (ICT) when used in urban areas to improve quality of life, offer more efficient and effective use of cities' infrastructures, foster social inclusion, and mitigate environmental harm. However, the relationship between smart cities and Arctic sustainability remains ambiguous, especially from perspectives beyond those of techno-optimism. Our aim in this paper is to critically discuss the value of smart city concept for Arctic cities, from an urban dynamic perspective. To this end, this paper reflects on how the sustainability of Arctic cities can be challenged by urban dynamics in metrics for (1) smart city development, (2) politics and bureaucratization, and (3) the role of citizens. The paper has several implications for academia, practitioners, and policymakers: for the former, it advances an alternative debate to explore the complex relations between smart city development and Arctic sustainability; for practitioners and policymakers, it indicates the problematic but often hidden side of smart city development, stressing the need to carefully translate the concept and its promises to fit the unique Arctic context. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Water, energy, and food (WEF) security has become a key area of research in sustainable development. Prompted by the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals, a large body of research highlights the inter-connectedness of WEF systems and the dangers of their siloed treatment. Simultaneously, more attention is being placed on the WEF security of remote populations in the Arctic, especially for areas like Alaska, where WEF insecurities are prevalent, yet obscured by national reporting. This research developed a WEF Nexus Security Index for the state of Alaska that can be used by policy-makers to consider plausible causes for regional inequalities and why some regions of Alaska, and not others are exposed to higher levels of WEF insecurity. Beyond the conceptual value of the index, an on-line Arctic WEF Nexus Security portal was developed that further enables policy-makers and community leaders to track changes in WEF security and monitor the effects stemming from future interventions, be they policy or technological in nature. By bridging nexus thinking and nexus doing, we hope to provide policy-makers with a novel and accessible tool for achieving WEF security in Alaska. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The ice-associated nematode Theristus melnikovi has a long-distance dispersal throughout the Arctic. However, this species' taxonomic position and phylogenetic relationships remain unresolved. We used an integrative approach of single-specimen barcoding of morphologically identified specimens of T. melnikovi with note on the phylogeny of two new ice-associated species of the family Xyalidae. DNA barcodes (18S and 28S gene markers) were obtained from 13 specimens of T. melnikovi collected from sea ice in the White and Kara Seas. Analysis of the D2D3 region found three genetically distinct lineages of T. melnikovi from the White Sea ice, suggesting that T. melnikovi specimens belong to the cryptic species, with genetic differentiation attributed to limited ice exchange between remote semi-isolated areas and open Arctic seas. The Kara Sea specimens belong to a single species. Our results highlight that using 18S rDNA data alone underestimates species diversity within sympagic nematodes. The barcoded specimens of T. melnikovi could not be distinguished morphologically, as the majority of the sequenced specimens were juveniles (92.3%). Additional comparative analysis of morphological traits was performed on 34 specimens from sea ice in the Barents, White, Kara, and East Siberian Seas, and from sediment in the East Siberian Sea. Our specimens differed from previous descriptions of T. melnikovi by variable body size, amphidial fovea shape, and absence of precloacal supplements and pigment spots. This study contributes to the understanding of the diversity, variability in habitat, and ecology of sympagic nematodes, confirming the need to put together the integration of molecular and morphological methodologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We conducted this study to investigate the relationship between environmental stressors and mesozooplankton fluxes in inner Kongsfjorden, Svalbard. The ongoing Arctic amplification, characterized by phenomena such as increased temperatures, glacial and watershed runoff, and diminishing ice cover, poses significant challenges to marine ecosystems. Our multi-year time-series analysis (2010–2018) of mesozooplankton, collected from a moored automatic sediment trap at approximately 87 m depth, aims to elucidate seasonal and interannual variations in fluxes within this Arctic fjord. We integrate meteorological, hydrological, and chemical datasets to assess their influence on zooplankton populations. Principal component analysis reveals the impact of seawater characteristics on mesozooplankton fluxes and composition, while two-way ANOVA highlights the role of seasonality in driving variations in our dataset. We observe a decrease in swimmer fluxes following the maxima mass flux event (from 2013 onwards), coupled with an increase in community diversity, possibly attributed to copepod decline and functional diversity. Notably, sub-Arctic boreal species such as Limacina retroversa have been detected in the sediment trap since 2016. Our continuous multi-year dataset captures the physical, chemical, and biological dynamics in this extreme environment. With Arctic amplification in Kongsfjorden and increasing submarine and watershed runoff, we anticipate significant shifts in mesozooplankton communities in the medium to long-term. This underscores the urgency for further research on their adaptation to changing environmental conditions and the potential introduction of alien species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent amplified climate warming in the Arctic has caused profound changes in terrestrial ecosystems, with the potential for strong feedback on climate change. Arctic tundra landscapes have developed patchy and thin organic soil (peat) layers at the surface that may continue to grow into mature peatlands and become a larger carbon sink under future warming. Here we use paleoecological analyses of multiple soil and peat cores collected from the North Slope of Alaska to document and understand the formation and development histories of tundra peat patches and permafrost peatlands. We find a consistent peat development sequence for peat patches, first from mineral soils to sedge peat during the Little Ice Age, and then to Sphagnum peat during the recent warming with high carbon accumulation rates. These findings suggest that climate cooling is likely critical for the initial peat buildup on tundra soils due to reduced decomposition, whereas climate warming triggers the regime shift into an increased abundance of Sphagnum mosses that are likely central to enhancing their carbon sink capacity. Additionally, peat patches become similar to permafrost peatlands in the vicinity in terms of ecosystem processes and carbon dynamics, and therefore may have developed the same ecohydrological feedback system to maintain their long‐term stability. This study implies that the potential future expansion of peat patches into peatlands may strongly alter the carbon balance of Arctic tundra, supporting the new United Nations Environment Programme's report that calls for incorporating widespread shallow peat into understanding the peatland–carbon–climate nexus. Plain Language Summary: The ongoing trend of global warming has the fastest rate in the Arctic and has caused rapid and widespread environmental changes in the Arctic tundra. A major concern is the warming‐induced permafrost thaw that may destabilize the rich soil‐carbon pools underground, providing positive feedback to further accelerate warming. However, warming may also induce northward expansion of northern peatlands that function as persistent carbon sinks over millennia, just like how northern peatlands colonized boreal and sub‐Arctic landscapes during and after deglacial warming 14,000∼8,000 years ago. If true, new peatland formation may provide negative feedback to mitigate warming. This study focuses on patchy and thin peat layers found on Alaska's tundra and uses paleoecological analyses to understand their histories on the landscape. We find that these peat patches were formed during the cold Little Ice Age, but recent climate warming triggered a shift into dominance of Sphagnum mosses, the major peat‐forming species for northern peatlands. By comparing with permafrost peatlands nearby, we present multiple lines of evidence to argue that tundra peat patches may be transformed into new Arctic peatlands with important carbon‐cycle consequences and recommend future research to further understand such processes with new observational data, laboratory experiments, and model simulations. Key Points: Widespread meter‐scale peat patches found on Arctic tundra may represent the initial stage of new peatland formationPaleoecological data indicate that climate cooling and warming led to the initiation and rapid growth of peat patches, respectivelyWe might have underestimated the potential role of future peatland‐rich landscape on pan‐Arctic carbon balance [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As Arctic regions warm rapidly, it is unclear whether high‐latitude soil carbon (C) will decrease or increase. Predicting future dynamics of Arctic soil C stocks requires a better understanding of the quantities and controls of soil C. We explore the relationship between vegetation and surface soil C in an understudied region of the Arctic: Baffin Island, Nunavut, Canada. We combined soil C data for three vegetation types—polar desert, mesic tundra, and wet meadow—with a vegetation classification to upscale soil C stocks. Surface soil C differed significantly across vegetation types, and interactions existed between vegetation type and soil depth. Polar desert soils were consistently mineral, with relatively thin organic layers, low percent C, and high bulk density. Mesic soils exhibited an organic‐rich epipedon overlying mineral soil. Wet meadows were consistently organic soil with low bulk density and high percent C. For the top 20 cm, polar desert contained the least soil C (2.17 ± 0.48 kg m−2); mesic tundra had intermediate C (8.92 ± 0.74 kg m−2); wet meadow stored the most C (13.07 ± 0.69 kg m−2). Extrapolating to the top 30 cm, our results suggest that approximately 44 Tg C is stored in the study region with a mean landscape soil C stock of 2.75 kg m−2 for non‐water areas. Combining vegetation mapping with local soil C stocks considerably narrows the range of estimates from other upscaling approaches (27–189 Tg) for soil C on South Baffin Island. Plain Language Summary: Warming in the High Arctic may destabilize organic carbon stored in these high‐latitude soils. One challenge to estimating the amount of carbon stored in the Arctic is that data representing all major regions of the Arctic are limited. We estimate how much carbon is stored in an understudied region of the Arctic by measuring how vegetation type is related to the development of soil carbon and combining these soil data with satellite imagery to make regional estimates of soil carbon storage. On South Baffin Island, Nunavut, Canada, three major vegetation types capture the pattern of soil carbon storage. The wettest vegetation type dominated by grasses and mosses stored the most carbon, followed by a shrub‐dominated vegetation type with moderate moisture. The driest vegetation type, characterized by a sparse cover of lichens and shrubs, stored the least soil carbon. Our regional estimate of soil carbon differed from other databases that predict vegetation and soil carbon. Broadly, our results suggest vegetation and hydrology are important factors for predicting how soil carbon stocks in the Arctic will change in response to climate change. Key Points: Vegetation type, soil composition, and soil organic depth are important controls on soil carbon stocks in this arctic study regionApproximately 44 Tg C is stored in the study region, differing from estimates calculated from circumpolar inventoriesCircumpolar upscaling inventories could benefit from accounting for the relationship between vegetation and soil C at fine scales [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate projections and attribution of Arctic Ocean changes in climate models require a good understanding of the mechanisms underlying interannual salinity variability in the region. Although some mechanisms have been extensively studied in idealized setting, in particular for the dynamics of the Beaufort gyre (BG), it remains unclear how applicable they are to more complex systems. This study introduces a new diagnostic based on salinity variance budget to robustly assess the mechanisms of salinity variations. The diagnostic is then applied to the "Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean" state estimate. Results indicate that the advection of salinity anomaly in the direction of the mean salinity gradient made by velocity anomalies is the primary source of interannual salinity variability. These velocities are primarily attributed to fluctuating winds via Ekman transports. Fluctuating surface freshwater fluxes from the atmosphere and sea ice are the second most important source of variability and cannot be neglected. The two sinks of interannual salinity variance are associated with the erosion of large scale gradients of the mean circulation by eddies and to a lesser extent to the diffusive terms. Over continental shelves, particularly over the East Siberian Shelf (ESS), ocean surface freshwater fluxes and diffusion play a more important role than in the deep basins. We also report a strong intensification of all sources and sinks of interannual salinity variability in the BG and an opposite weakening in the ESS in the second decade of the analysis (2004–2014) with respect to the first (1993–2003). Plain Language Summary: A clear understanding of the mechanisms of the slow salinity variations in the Arctic could help improving their representation in climate models and provide directions on where new in‐situ observing systems should be positioned. Most of the past studies of the mechanisms have used simple models in which several important realistic characteristics, such as the true bathymetry, are missing. In this work we develop a novel methodology that allows to robustly assess these mechanisms in realistic configurations. We then apply this methodology to an ocean state estimate ("Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean" v4r3) and study in details the forcing and damping mechanisms of the salinity variability in the Arctic. We find that the fluctuating wind is the main driver of the variability whereas mesoscale eddies are the main damping. Varying freshwater fluxes and diffusion also play a role and cannot be neglected. Key Points: A novel diagnostic is developed allowing the analysis of the mechanisms of salinity variability in realistic configurations of the ArcticThe main source of Arctic interannual salinity variability is associated to wind forcing variations, the main sink to mesoscale eddiesDiffusion and freshwater fluxes (mainly due to sea‐ice melt and freeze) play a non‐negligible role, particularly over the continental shelf [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Against the backcloth of particularly fast environmental change in the Arctic, this study juxtaposes local perceptions of environmental change in two communities in the boreal zone of Northern Europe with scientific data. The local knowledge was gathered through an online participatory mapping survey among the two communities and scientific evidence was gathered from various peer-reviewed and official monitoring sources. Local knowledge of environmental change in Savukoski (Finland) resembles that in Jokkmokk (Sweden). Most perceived changes are in line with scientific studies, public discourse, and local concerns in the Arctic. What differs, however, is the degree of correspondence between local and scientific knowledge on certain phenomena: some dynamics are well documented in both local and scientific observations whereas other dynamics require more nuanced scientific research, particularly considering their relevance for local livelihoods. Among these are: berry yields, the abundance of mosquitoes and other Nematocera, peatland thaw and frost, and changes in river and lake ice conditions. It is noteworthy that in both Savukoski and Jokkmokk, for many people the most impactful changes are caused by resource extraction rather than climate change. Local concerns and perceptions of environmental change are not all shared nor easily translate into adaptation strategies, but nonetheless they have clear policy implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Arctic is experiencing a rapid temperature increase, four times faster than lower-latitude regions, disproportionately affecting rural, coastal, and Indigenous communities. These areas confront multiple urgent climate challenges. Adaptation strategies encompass out-migration, community relocation, and enhancing resilience, yet research in this critical area is notably limited, particularly for the most vulnerable communities. This paper presents a comprehensive review of environmental stressors and contextual factors influencing migration decisions in the North American Arctic. While migration is primarily driven by job opportunities, education, healthcare, cultural, and infrastructural factors, factors such as family, culture, safety, subsistence life, and community ties strongly influence residents to stay. The study reveals a lack of clear evidence for climate-driven migration at the individual/household level, but it underscores well-documented community-level relocations. Two major challenges in studying Arctic climate migration are identified: the complexity of migration and the uniqueness of Arctic climate change. Recommendations include considering migration typology, disentangling climate drivers from contextual factors, and addressing data limitations through systematic collection, integration, and creative use of traditional and nontraditional data. The paper underscores the importance of establishing partnerships with local communities to achieve a holistic understanding of factors driving migration or immobility, ensuring research outcomes are connected to addressing community challenges. This review lays the groundwork for empirical research on Arctic migration and community adaptation, aiming to comprehend the challenges faced by these communities and explore potential solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Sources and fluxes of methane to the atmosphere from permafrost are significant but poorly constrained in global climate models. We present data collected from the variable permafrost setting of the outer Mackenzie River Delta, including observations of aquatic methane seepage, core determinations of in situ methane occurrence and seep gas isotope geochemistry. The sources and locations of in situ geologic methane occurrence and aquatic and atmospheric gas release appear to be controlled by the regional geology and permafrost conditions. Where permafrost is >250 m thick, thermogenic gas deposits at depth are isolated by laterally continuous, low permeability ice‐bearing sediments with few through‐going thawed taliks. Thus, the observed in situ methane and aquatic gas seepage appears to be dominated by microbial methane. In contrast, where permafrost is <80 m thick, taliks are more likely to be through‐going, providing permeable conduits from depth and migration pathways for both thermogenic and biogenic gas. Continuous annual fluid sampling of two lakes and a river channel documents aquatic methane flux from microbial sources, more deeply buried thermogenic sources, and mixtures of both. Using estimates of in situ methane concentration from deep core samples and observations of in situ free gas occurrences, we conclude that the reservoir of in situ geologic methane within ice bonded permafrost is substantial and that this methane is presently migrating with ongoing atmospheric release. It is our assessment that the permafrost setting, and processes described are sensitive to future climate change as the permafrost warms. Plain Language Summary: Methane is released from permafrost, yet the amount and sources of the methane are poorly understood. This paper presents data on methane released from water environments and stored in soil from the permafrost areas of the outer Mackenzie River Delta, NWT. It also uses isotope geochemistry to determine the source (type) of the methane ‐ either biogenic (produced by living organisms) or thermogenic (produced by breaking down of organic matter by heat). The sources and locations of the methane gas release appear to be controlled by the regional geology and permafrost conditions. We conclude that the methane stored within and beneath the ice bonded permafrost is substantial and that this methane is presently migrating to aquatic systems with ongoing atmospheric release. It is our assessment that this permafrost setting and the potential for increased methane release are sensitive to future climate change as the permafrost warms. Key Points: A unique annual record of dissolved methane geochemistry documents active microbial and geologic methane sources in a delta lake and channelSeep gas chemistry, geophysical, and core data allow appraisal of permafrost controls on subsurface methane dynamics in the Mackenzie DeltaThe large inventory of stored methane and the dynamic permafrost processes described are potentially responsive to future climate change [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although, Spain does not obtain an official arctic strategy, it was mentioned in the paper for Spanish Polar Strategy that the Arctic region has become one of the country's national interests. The government of Spain is also deeply concerned about the problem of climate change and how it affects economic and social aspects of life. When addressing the Arctic energy issue we must make a prior delimitation, since it does not propose to study in detail, and only in general description, the internal functioning of the Arctic energy systems, that is, the one that serves to supply their populations with lighting, water, gas or electricity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This work presents the analysis of the spatial distribution of number concentration, size distribution, and chemical composition of aerosol particles measured for the first time over the seas of the Russian Arctic. Various types of vertical distribution of the number concentration were recorded, characteristic of both coastal marine and continental areas. Most of them turned out to be of the continental type. Attention is also drawn to the almost complete absence of coarse particles above 2–3 km over all seas. The chemical composition of the Arctic aerosol at altitudes of both 200 m and 5000 m contains ions that can be referred to as both marine and continental. The identifiable carbon- and salt-free elemental part of the aerosol over the Arctic is 3–4 times larger than that of ions. Over all seas and at both altitudes, the Arctic aerosols mainly contain elements of terrigenous origin – Al, Cu, Fe, and Si. Over almost all seas, except the Barents Sea, Si is dominant in the elemental composition of the aerosol, its contribution over the Chukchi Sea reaching 85%. The analysis of backward trajectories showed that in all cases considered, whether the aerosol was formed over the continent or sea, air trajectories passed both over sea and over land. In this case, the formed particles could be enriched with additional ions and elements along their pathway. This work completes a cycle of the papers, devoted to studying air composition, which was carried out over the seas of the Russian Arctic in September 2020. Our results can be used to model the atmospheric processes occurring in the Arctic under the conditions of changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A metagenomic time series from Arctic seawater was obtained from Dease Strait, to analyse the changes in bacterioplankton caused by the summer phytoplankton bloom. Bacterial clades specialized in the metabolism of polysaccharides, such as Bacteroidetes, became dominant along the bloom. These specialized taxa quickly displaced the microbial clades that dominate nutrient-poor waters during early spring, such as Archaea, Alpha-and Gammaproteobacteria. At the functional level, phyla Bacteroidetes, Planctomycetes, and Verrucomicrobia showed higher contents of polysaccharide-degradation functions. The Bacteroidetes community shifted toward species with higher polysaccharide-degrading capabilities, targeting algal polysaccharides in summer. Regarding transporters, Bacteroidetes dominated SusC-TonB transporters and had an exclusive family of glycoside-binding proteins (SusD). These proteins were used to identify polysaccharide-utilization loci that clustered transporters and polysaccharide-active enzymes, showing a higher level of specialization toward polysaccharide use. Altogether, these genomic features point to the genetic adaptations that promote the dominance of Bacteroidetes during phytoplankton blooms.

Abstract Fjord systems in the Norwegian Arctic are experiencing an increasing frequency and magnitude of marine heatwaves. These episodic heat stress events can have varying degrees of acute impacts on primary production and nutrient uptake of mixed kelp communities, as well as modifying the biogeochemical cycling in nearshore systems where vast areas of kelp create structural habitat. To assess the impact of future marine heatwaves on kelp communities, we conducted a 23 day mesocosm experiment exposing mixed kelp communities to warming and heatwave scenarios projected for the year 2100. Three treatments were considered: a constant warming (+1.8°C from the control), a medium magnitude and long duration heatwave event (+2.8°C from the control for 13 days), and two short‐term, more intense, heatwaves(5 day long scenarios with temperature peaks at +3.9°C from the control). The results show that both marine heatwave treatments reduced net community production, whereas the constant warm temperature treatment displayed no difference from the control. The long marine heatwave scenario resulted in reduced accumulated net community production, indicating that prolonged exposure had a greater severity than two high magnitude, short‐term heatwave events. We estimated an 11°C temperature threshold at which negative effects to primary production appeared present. We highlight that marine heatwaves can induce sublethal effects on kelp communities by depressing net community production. These results are placed in the context of potential physiological resilience of kelp communities and implications of reduced net community production to future Arctic fjord environmental conditions.

Abstract A causal mechanism for the Volgian Isotopic Carbon Excursion (VOICE) remains enigmatic. Elemental geochemical profiles of the Deer Bay Formation, Sverdrup Basin, Arctic Canada that record the VOICE and contemporaneous strata are herein examined to provide insight into depositional environments during Late Jurassic‐Early Cretaceous time. Silver (Ag) and Cadmium (Cd) are enriched across the VOICE at localities on Axel Heiberg Island, and in Tithonian (∼Volgian) strata of Ellef Ringnes Island. Other redox‐sensitive trace elements do not exhibit spatially or temporally consistent patterns and indicate oxic conditions. A lack of relationship across the VOICE between Ag and the quality, quantity, and isotopic composition of organic matter suggests that the negative isotope excursion and interval of Ag enrichment are not merely functions of changes in organic matter source or amount, while a lack of spatially consistent change in geochemical indices of weathering similarly excludes climate change and/or sediment provenance as a driver. Therefore, in a ventilated setting and without marked changes in organic matter content, Ag enrichment may be due to hydrothermal activity. Contemporaneous Ag enrichment in strata from Svalbard suggests that a source of hot fluid sufficient to produce Ag‐rich seawater may have been related to rifting in the adjacent proto‐Amerasia Basin. Hydrothermal activity may also have been a widespread source of isotopically depleted carbon. This work develops new geochemical fingerprints that may be used to trace the spatial extent of hydrothermal events that do not leave an extinction pattern but may nonetheless have a far‐reaching influence on biogeochemical systems.

Abstract We investigate full vector paleomagnetic changes recorded in high‐resolution sediments of Petermann Fjord, North Greenland, deposited over the last 6 kyr, in the context of the recent rapid changes in the geomagnetic field. A Paleomagnetic Secular Variation (PSV) stack (inclination, declination, and relative paleointensity) was reconstructed using four marine sediment cores with an independent age model constrained by seven radiocarbon ages. Magnetic investigations demonstrate that the paleomagnetic signal is carried by low coercivity ferrimagnetic minerals and is well reproduced in all cores, attesting to the quality and reliability of the paleomagnetic recording of these sediments. This signal is broadly consistent in directional changes with distant records in North America and the northern North Atlantic at centennial and millennial timescales, and has millennial scale intensity variations that are consistent with model predictions. The offset between a magnetization age determined through comparison with a northern North Atlantic PSV reference curve, GREENICE, and the radiocarbon age model indicates either a reasonable lock‐in depth of magnetization (∼11 cm from the coretop) or centennial‐scale reservoir age variation through time in the fjord. Reconstructed virtual geomagnetic pole (VGP) migration for the last 6 kyr shows that the recent migration of the magnetic North Pole is consistent with secular paleomagnetic variations on geologic timescales. Our results suggest that magnetic field intensity variations (temporal and spatial) are linked to magnetic flux lobe dynamics and influence the VGP migration.

Contaminants, such as heavy metals (HMs), accumulate in the Arctic environment and the food web. The diet of the Indigenous Peoples of North Greenland includes locally sourced foods that are central to their nutritional, cultural, and societal health but these foods also contain high concentrations of heavy metals. While bacteria play an essential role in the metabolism of xenobiotics, there are limited studies on the impact of heavy metals on the human gut microbiome, and it is so far unknown if and how Arctic environmental contaminants impact the gut microbes of humans living in and off the Arctic environment. Using a multiomics approach including amplicon, metagenome, and metatranscriptome sequencing, we identified and assembled a near-complete (NC) genome of a mercury-resistant bacterial strain from the human gut microbiome, which expressed genes known to reduce mercury toxicity. At the overall ecological level studied through α- and β-diversity, there was no significant effect of heavy metals on the gut microbiota. Through the assembly of a high number of NC metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) of human gut microbes, we observed an almost complete overlap between heavy metal-resistant strains and antibiotic-resistant strains in which resistance genes were all located on the same genetic elements.

Abstract CryoSat‐2 has been successful in observing sea ice thickness from space by providing ice freeboard information. The initial estimate of the ice freeboard, called radar freeboard, is obtained by analyzing the observed waveform using a retracker. A series of corrections are needed to convert the radar freeboard to the ice freeboard. Those are the physical effects (e.g., changes in wave propagation speed and the distribution of scattering at snow and ice surfaces, etc.) and the bias of the retracker; however, traditionally, only the wave speed correction has been applied due to lack of enough information to perform the complete correction. Here, an alternative correction method for the CryoSat‐2 radar freeboard derived using the Threshold First‐Maximum Retracker Algorithm with a 50% threshold (TFMRA50) is proposed. Snow depth was used as a predictor for the correction, similar to the traditional wave speed correction, but the coefficients were empirically determined by performing a direct comparison of the radar freeboard from CryoSat‐2 and the ice freeboard from airborne observations. Consequently, this new empirical correction treats the physical effects and the retracker bias as a whole, which have been difficult to separate in the retrieval process. In this paper, we demonstrate that the retrieval accuracy of snow and ice variables and the consistency of the two independent retrieval methods are improved when the new correction is applied. The result of this study emphasizes the importance of compatibility between the retracker and the freeboard correction method.

Recent decades have seen a significant decline in the abundance of many colonial seabird species throughout their range. Numerous island and continental colonies of colonial seabirds are found on the Murman Сoast. One such location, the Bolshoy Arsky Island, underwent assessments only twice: in 1950 and in 1992. As a result of the 2023 assessment, we recorded 10 species of seabirds: Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, U. lomvia, Alca torda, Cepphus grylle, Phalacrocorax carbo, P. aristotelis, Larus argentatus, L. marinus and Somateria mollissima. Of these, a decline in the global population of guillemots and puffins has been noted, while cormorants and eider are already in the Red Book of the Murmansk Oblast. Breeding records were not previously reported for the guillemots, European herring gull and Great black-backed gull. Along with that, the numbers of breeding Atlantic puffins have not change significantly compared to the 1992 counts.

Climate change is impacting marine ecosystems throughout the circumpolar Arctic, altering seasonal habitats and the food bases for fishes, seabirds, and marine mammals. Arctic and Subarctic regions provide resources for resident species and for species that migrate to the north from more southerly regions. Changes in northerly latitudes thus impact endemic as well as non-endemic animals. Herein, we review what is known about climate-driven changes in the migration patterns of Arctic and Subarctic marine vertebrates, including: 1) Arctic residents with seasonal movements – those fishes, seabirds, and marine mammals that complete their entire life cycle within the Arctic but exhibit seasonal movements; 2) Breeding migrants – many seabirds enter the Arctic to breed and subsequently migrate south in the fall; and 3) Summer visitors for feeding – certain species of boreal fishes, seabirds and marine mammals arrive during the northern summer to feed on abundant prey though they breed elsewhere. Migratory movements are often driven by the timing and extent of sea ice, which defines suitable habitat for some animals and limits access to open water and prey for others. Longer open-water seasons, warmer ocean temperatures, and stronger winds have resulted in earlier production blooms in spring and often, extended open-ocean plankton blooms into late summer, resulting in altered prey types and distributions. A common thread among taxa is that shifts in distribution and timing of migrating animals indicate they are traveling farther north, or shifting longitudinally, and migrations are occurring over longer seasonal time frames. Species performing multiple lifetime migrations or long-distance migrants may need to adjust migration timing or routing iteratively to match changes in marine productivity. Altered animal distributions or phenology, and reduced sea ice, affects access to animals that are critical nutritional, economical, and cultural components of Indigenous people’s lives in the Arctic. Ongoing changes challenge the resilience and adaptability of Arctic people and ecosystems, and will require adaptive research and management approaches.

Climate change is rapidly modifying biodiversity across the Arctic, driving a shift from Arctic to more boreal ecosystem characteristics. This phenomenon, known as borealization, is mainly described for certain functional groups along sub-Arctic inflow shelves (Barents and Chukchi Seas). In this review, we evaluate the spatial extent of such alterations across the Arctic, as well as their effects on ecosystem-level processes and risks. Along the inflow shelves, borealization is driven by long-term strengthened inflow of increasingly warm waters from the south and punctuated by advection and low sea ice extreme events. A growing body of literature also points to an emerging borealization of the other Arctic shelf ecosystems, through a “spillover” effect, as local changes in environmental conditions enable movement or transport of new species from inflow shelves. These modifications are leading to changes across functional groups, although many uncertainties remain regarding under-sampled groups, such as microbes, and technical challenges of consistent, regular monitoring across regions. There is also clear consensus that borealization is affecting phenology, species composition, community traits, population structure and essential habitats, species interactions, and ecosystem resilience. Non-dynamic environmental factors, such as depth and photoperiod, are thought to limit the complete borealization of the system, and may lead to intermediate, “hybrid” ecosystems in the future. We expect current borders of Arctic and boreal ecosystems to progress further northward and ultimately reach an equilibrium state with seasonal borealization. Risks to the system are difficult to estimate, as adaptive capacities of species are poorly understood. However, ice-associated species are clearly most at risk, although some might find temporary refuge in areas with a slower rate of change. We discuss the likely character of future Arctic ecosystems and highlight the uncertainties. Those changes have implications for local communities and the potential to support Blue Growth in the Arctic. Addressing these issues is necessary to assess the full scale of Arctic climate impacts and support human mitigation and adaptation strategies.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has opened a Pandora’s box with certain global consequences. From the beginning of the invasion, the first effects on government, research and economic activities also appeared. This conflict has radically changed the dynamics of security in the Arctic. The deterioration, unprecedented since the end of the Cold War, in relations between Russia and the West has meant that cooperation between the two blocs has also disappeared in the main and perhaps the only region of the globe still spared from political tensions. The outbreak of the conflict led to a breakdown in cooperation and an escalation of military tensions in the Arctic. How these disputes end will be decisive in determining the Arctic region’s future political and strategic balances.The seven remaining Arctic states denounced Russia’s operation in Ukraine from the start, thus suspending all activities related to the Arctic Council. This is an immediate consequence and it indicates rapid and challenging changes for Arctic governance.

Abstract Cloud phase has important impacts on Arctic surface temperatures, and circumstantial evidence suggests that dust aerosols have strong regional impacts on Arctic cloud phase. We used 7 years of satellite observations and model and reanalysis products to control for co‐varying meteorology, and to assess how dust and other aerosols impact cloud phase and cloud radiative effects over the summertime sea ice. We focus on clouds at 3 km, where dust modeling is most accurate. There is strong indication that dust aerosols caused about 4.5% of clouds below −15°C to change phase, with smaller effects at higher temperatures. Sulfate has a smaller impact on cloud phase. Dust is associated with cloud‐mediated surface cooling of up to a 6.3 W m−2 below single‐layer clouds at ∼3 km in June. This is the first observational study to constrain likely dust‐related cloud radiative effects over the summertime Arctic sea ice.

True abundance of lesser snow (Anser caerulescens caerulescens, Linnaeus 1758) and Ross's geese (Anser rossii, Cassin 1861, collectively referred to as “light geese”, in North America had been unknown in the 1980s. However, different indices of abundance suggested steady increases at the time. The Karrak Lake Research Station (KLRS) was established partly because it was not known if the breeding biology from more southern latitudes (the only information available at the time) was representative of more northern colonies where 90% of the midcontinent population of lesser snow geese nested. Visits in 1990 confirmed the continued importance of Karrak Lake and surrounding areas in Canada’s central Arctic to a large nesting concentration of both snow and Ross's geese documented previously. Key activities at KLRS were (1) colony-wide annual monitoring of nesting goose abundance and nesting performance and (2) large-scale marking efforts to monitor survival, range-wide abundance, distribution, and exploitation rate from hunter harvest and natural mortality rate. The scope of research expanded to include their interaction with local vegetation and other sympatric wildlife, including Arctic foxes (Vulpes lagopus, Linnaeus 1758), king eiders (Somateria spectabilis, Linnaeus 1758), long-tailed ducks (Clangula hyemalis, Linnaeus 1758), and cackling geese (Branta hutchinsii). Following exponential growth in the 1990s and 2000s, nesting populations of light geese at Karrak lake collapsed since 2012, presenting a unique opportunity to examine how local ecosystems recover and revert from heavy grazing by hyperabundant geese.

The glacier ice algae Ancylonema alaskanum and Ancylonema nordenskiöldii grow in harsh dynamic environments on bare ice surfaces. In these environments, they contribute to the continuous darkening of the ice surface, which in turn accelerates the ice melt. However, investigation into their adaptation and resilience in these environments is necessary in order to understand their robustness and potential for increasing the intensity of blooms. In this study, it was examined how variations in environmental parameters such as pH, salinity, light and temperature impacted the photophysiology of the glacier ice algae during a bloom in Greenland. Through in situ incubations and pulse-amplitude-modulation (PAM) fluorometric measurements, the photophysiological responses of algal cells were assessed. Results suggest that light intensity significantly influences glacier ice algae photophysiology, with cells exhibiting better performance (in terms of a higher theoretical maximum light coefficient and maximum quantum efficiency) under lower light intensity. Moreover, while light emerges as the primary driver of photophysiology, glacier ice algae demonstrate tolerance to a broad range of pH and temperatures four times higher than those experienced during Greenland’s summer.

This paper presents a case study of how agent-based modelling can be utilized to conduct a cost-benefit analysis of two differing adaptational strategies to resource insecurity. Using Inuit Nunangat (the Canadian Arctic) as the setting, models are developed to represent two adaptational strategies in response to the onset of the Little Ice Age: exchange with other communities via long-distance trade and intensification of local resource procurement. After determining the average kilograms of resources acquired through a model of local resource procurements, two models were then developed to determine under what scenarios long-distance journeys to procure perishable food goods would be more productive than hunting locally. Ultimately, the results showed that while there are scenarios where undertaking a trading journey would result in a higher average amount of resources acquired, those scenarios would not have been realistic for most Thule communities, leaving hunting locally as the more beneficial adaptational strategy on an economic basis.

Biologging tools can provide invaluable information on the movement and behaviour of animals, facilitating the elucidation of ecological dynamics, especially for wide-ranging species, and supporting conservation and management efforts. Harbour seals (Phoca vitulina) exhibit extensive habitat plasticity in their vast range across the northern hemisphere, with likely recent increases in abundance at northern latitudes, yet details of their movement behaviour in subarctic areas remain largely unknown. We used satellite-telemetry data, including nearly 5,000 locations and over 12,000 dives, obtained from six harbour seals tagged in western Hudson Bay from 2021 to 2023, to address the knowledge gap on their movement behaviour between marine and freshwater habitats in subarctic regions. We document the behavioural patterns, transit speeds, and diverse aquatic system usage, including detailed records of a harbour seal track traversing over 170 km upriver on three separate trips along the Seal River, Canada. Notably, we observed a rapid downstream transit from the Seal River to Hudson Bay, covering 214 km within a single day. Additionally, we highlight the prevalence of short dive durations in the Seal and Churchill Rivers, in contrast to longer dive durations in Hudson Bay. These insights complement existing evidence of harbour seal occurrences and river use at northern latitudes, as well as enhance our understanding of harbour seal movement ecology within Hudson Bay which can be used to better inform conservation and management strategies between connected freshwater and marine environments in the Arctic.

IntroductionRapid reductions in Arctic sea ice in response to warming have led to increased interest in using the Arctic Ocean for commercial shipping. As the world warms, however, different strategies are being considered to stabilize or reduce surface temperatures in order to prevent critical climate change impacts. One such strategy is stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a form of solar climate intervention. Projected changes to Arctic sea ice under SAI with specific regards to shipping have not yet been assessed.MethodsWe compare output from two SAI simulations that have different global mean temperature targets with a non-SAI control simulation to provide the first assessment of Arctic Ocean navigability under potential SAI scenarios.ResultsWe find that sea ice concentration and thickness quickly stabilize or increase after SAI deployment. When sea ice thickness stabilizes in response to SAI, the number of days when the Arctic Ocean is navigable remains fairly constant, but increasing sea ice thickness leads to reduced navigability compared to the non-SAI simulation. From 2035-2069, both the Northwest Passage and Northern Sea Route are accessible from July-November in all three simulations, but there are no navigable routes under either SAI scenario from April-June. When the Arctic is navigable, it can take 2-12 days longer to cross the Arctic Ocean in the SAI simulations than in the non-SAI control simulation, and there are large year-to-year variations in travel time.DiscussionOverall, Arctic shipping may take longer and be more difficult in an SAI vs a non-SAI world because of relatively thicker sea ice, but the degree to which Arctic shipping may change in response to SAI is dependent on the particular climate intervention strategy.

Abstract The time it takes for an ecosystem to recover from a disturbance is a key to environmental management. Conventionally, recovery is defined as a return to the pre‐disturbance state, assuming ecosystem stationarity. However, this view does not account for the impact of external forces like climate change, imposing non‐stationarity and trends. Alternatively, the counterfactual approach views recovery as the state the ecosystem would have achieved if the disturbance had not occurred, accounting for external forces. Here, we present a simple method to estimate the counterfactual recovery time. By implementing our method to the greening of the Arctic region, we showed that counterfactual greening recovery is twice as long as conventional recovery over the region. We argue that the well‐documented greening of the region acts as an external force, leading to such a large difference. We advocate for embracing the counterfactual definition of recovery, as it aligns with realistic decision‐making processes.

Although clouds are a major factor influencing atmospheric environments in the Arctic, numerical simulations of Arctic clouds are uncertain. In this study, the effects of microphysics scheme and data assimilation (DA) on the simulation of clouds, hydrometeors and radiative fluxes in the Arctic were investigated using the polar weather research and forecasting (WRF) model and three-dimensional variational DA. Compared with the WRF 5-class (WSM5) microphysics scheme, when the Morrison double-moment (Morrison) scheme was used, the simulated amount of cloud ice water decreased by approximately 68%. In contrast, the amount of water vapour, cloud liquid water, snow and rain in the atmosphere increased. With DA, the amount of water vapour increased, leading to increased hydrometeors. The cloud liquid water increased in the middle and low atmospheres when Morrison was used, whereas it increased in the low atmosphere when DA was used. The increase in cloud liquid water by using Morrison resulted in a decrease in the downward short-wave radiative flux at the surface, whereas using DA increased the downward long-wave radiative flux. Changing the microphysics scheme induced redistribution of the region and amounts of hydrometeors, whereas DA induced an increase in hydrometeors in specific regions by adding observation information to the model states.

The frequency of heatwaves in the Arctic is on the rise under global warming. These occurrences not only profoundly impact the local ecological environment but also exert remote effects on East Asia and even the global climate. Yet, there exists a noticeable dearth of research focus on Arctic compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves, limiting our comprehension of Arctic climate dynamics. We investigated the occurrence and extinction mechanism for compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the Barents–Kara Sea (BKS) during the boreal autumn and explored their association with the sea ice variability. Our results show that a significant dipole pattern appears in the geopotential height two days before the occurrence of compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the BKS during autumn, characterized by a negative anomaly centered over Greenland and a positive anomaly centered over the BKS. A robust southerly anomaly in the middle of this dipole pattern facilitates the continuous inflow of warm, moist air from the Atlantic Ocean to the BKS. Both the strong intrusion of moisture and the transport of heat (positive temperature advection) driven by the large-scale atmospheric circulation increase downward latent heat flux, sensible heat flux and net longwave radiation. These factors collectively increase the near-surface temperature over the BKS, ultimately leading to the occurrence of compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in this region of the Arctic. The extinction of compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the BKS is a result of the weakening of the transport of heat and intrusion of water vapor caused by changes in the large-scale circulation. The intrusion of water vapor and the transport of heat significantly reduce the sea ice concentration in most of the BKS. This reduction in sea ice persists for an additional day after the termination of compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the BKS. A process of positive atmospheric temperature feedback on a sub-monthly scale may potentially influence the maintenance of compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the BKS during the boreal autumn.