151. Exploring Factors Related to Goal Scoring Opportunities in Professional Football
- Author
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Ross Julian, Emiel Schulze, and Tim Meyer
- Subjects
Competitive Behavior ,GV861_Ball ,Applied psychology ,Football ,Physical Therapy, Sports Therapy and Rehabilitation ,Context (language use) ,Variance (accounting) ,Space (commercial competition) ,Athletic Performance ,Outcome (game theory) ,Correlation ,Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management ,Soccer ,Humans ,Orthopedics and Sports Medicine ,Observational study ,Tracking data ,Durable Medical Equipment ,Psychology - Abstract
Outscoring the opponent is the primary goal in football. In order to optimise scoring opportunities, it is important to understand the physical and tactical performance preceding such events. This observational study explored whether running behaviour prior to goal scoring opportunities (GSOs) in football related to the subsequent outcome (goal or no goal). Furthermore, contextual factors were analysed to potentially explain differences in physical output.\ud \ud Tracking data was collected from one professional team during its 2016/2017 season. Physical output was analysed for attackers (taking shots) and defenders (trying to prevent shots). The data was differentiated for attacking styles and analysed on the preceding context and subsequent outcome.\ud \ud Counter attacks were found most effective, as GSO outcome improved with fewer defenders behind the ball (r=-0.27; p=0.03). Offensively, running behaviour in the minute prior to GSOs explained more variance than the physical output in the preceding 5-min period and increased outputs correlated with success (r=0.26; p=0.04). Moreover, a significant correlation was found between decreased high-intensity distances covered during the match and favourable outcomes (r=-0.21; p=0.02). Finally, increased attacking effectiveness was found to relate to greater defensive covered distances (r=0.51; p
- Published
- 2022