191 results on '"Espinoza, Jhan Carlo"'
Search Results
152. Climatic variability impact on hydrology of the Amazon Basin
- Author
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)), École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris VI, Serge Janicot, Jean Loup Guyot, HYBAM, AMANCAY, and REGYNA
- Subjects
climate variability ,Bassin amazonien ,[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology ,weather types ,types de temps ,hydrological variability ,variabilité climatique ,South America ,[SDU.STU.HY]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Hydrology ,variabilité hydrologique ,Amérique du Sud ,Amazon Basin - Abstract
Thèse préparée entre 2006 et 2008 grâce à une bourse de l'IRD.; The Amazon basin hydroclimatic variability is studied during the forty last years using for the first time in situ rainfall and discharge data from five countries. A low-stage diminution and lasting strong high-stage values in the main stream of the Amazon are particularly important since the beginning of the nineties; they are associated with annual rainfall and discharge reductions in the southwestern sub-basins and with increasing rainfall and high-stage discharge in the north-west, that is to say in Andean sub-basins. Oceano-atmospheric indices and weather regimes over tropical South America are used to explain the hydrological variability. Weather regimes are defined using ERA40 reanalysis data and a neuronal method. They are related to the progression toward East of extra-tropical perturbations which modify the meridian winds East of the Andes and cause alternating convergence and divergence in the southwestern and northwestern Amazon.; La variabilité hydro-climatique du bassin amazonien pendant les 40 dernières années est analysée pour la première fois à partir de données /in situ/ provenant de la totalité du bassin amazonien. L'importance des régions andines dans la variabilité pluriannuelle de l'hydrologie est mise en évidence. Ainsi, une diminution des débits d'étiage et le maintien de forts débits de crues dans le cours principal de l'Amazone, en particulier depuis le début des années 1990, sont liées à une forte diminution des pluies et des débits annuels dans le sud-ouest du bassin et à une augmentation des pluies et des crues dans le nord-ouest.L'explication de la variabilité hydrologique fait appel à des indices océano-atmosphériques mensuels et à des types de temps quotidiens. Ceux-ci sont définis pour l' Amérique du Sud tropicale au moyen des données de réanalyses ERA40 et d'une méthode neuronale. Les caractéristiques et la succession des types de temps sont liées principalement au passage de perturbations extratropicales qui modifient l'orientation des flux méridiens à l'est des Andes et font alterner convergence et divergence dans le sud-ouest et le nord-ouest du bassin.La fréquence des types de temps permet de reconstituer en partie les pluies et d'expliquer aussi bien la variabilité hydrologique aux pas de temps inter et pluri annuels que l'occurrence de crues et d'étiages exceptionnels.
- Published
- 2009
153. Impact de la variabilité climatique sur l'hydrologie du bassin amazonien
- Author
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)), École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris VI, Serge Janicot, Jean Loup Guyot, HYBAM, AMANCAY, REGYNA, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)), École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris), and Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris)
- Subjects
climate variability ,Bassin amazonien ,[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology ,weather types ,types de temps ,hydrological variability ,variabilité climatique ,South America ,[SDU.STU.HY]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Hydrology ,variabilité hydrologique ,Amérique du Sud ,Amazon Basin - Abstract
Thèse préparée entre 2006 et 2008 grâce à une bourse de l'IRD.; The Amazon basin hydroclimatic variability is studied during the forty last years using for the first time in situ rainfall and discharge data from five countries. A low-stage diminution and lasting strong high-stage values in the main stream of the Amazon are particularly important since the beginning of the nineties; they are associated with annual rainfall and discharge reductions in the southwestern sub-basins and with increasing rainfall and high-stage discharge in the north-west, that is to say in Andean sub-basins. Oceano-atmospheric indices and weather regimes over tropical South America are used to explain the hydrological variability. Weather regimes are defined using ERA40 reanalysis data and a neuronal method. They are related to the progression toward East of extra-tropical perturbations which modify the meridian winds East of the Andes and cause alternating convergence and divergence in the southwestern and northwestern Amazon.; La variabilité hydro-climatique du bassin amazonien pendant les 40 dernières années est analysée pour la première fois à partir de données /in situ/ provenant de la totalité du bassin amazonien. L'importance des régions andines dans la variabilité pluriannuelle de l'hydrologie est mise en évidence. Ainsi, une diminution des débits d'étiage et le maintien de forts débits de crues dans le cours principal de l'Amazone, en particulier depuis le début des années 1990, sont liées à une forte diminution des pluies et des débits annuels dans le sud-ouest du bassin et à une augmentation des pluies et des crues dans le nord-ouest.L'explication de la variabilité hydrologique fait appel à des indices océano-atmosphériques mensuels et à des types de temps quotidiens. Ceux-ci sont définis pour l' Amérique du Sud tropicale au moyen des données de réanalyses ERA40 et d'une méthode neuronale. Les caractéristiques et la succession des types de temps sont liées principalement au passage de perturbations extratropicales qui modifient l'orientation des flux méridiens à l'est des Andes et font alterner convergence et divergence dans le sud-ouest et le nord-ouest du bassin.La fréquence des types de temps permet de reconstituer en partie les pluies et d'expliquer aussi bien la variabilité hydrologique aux pas de temps inter et pluri annuels que l'occurrence de crues et d'étiages exceptionnels.
- Published
- 2009
154. The extreme 2014 flood in south-western Amazon basin: the role of tropical-subtropical South Atlantic SST gradient
- Author
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, primary, Marengo, José Antonio, additional, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Carpio, Jorge Molina, additional, Flores, Luís Noriega, additional, and Guyot, Jean Loup, additional
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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155. Impactos de El Niño y La Niña en las lluvias del Perú (1965-2007)
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Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo, primary and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, additional
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- 2014
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156. Sediment budget in the Ucayali River basin, an Andean tributary of the Amazon River.
- Author
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SANTINI, WILLIAM, MARTINEZ, JEAN-MICHEL, ESPINOZAVILLAR, RAUL, COCHONNEAU, GERARD, VAUCHEL, PHILIPPE, MOQUET, JEAN-SEBASTIEN, BABY, PATRICE, ESPINOZA, JHAN-CARLO, LAVADO, WALDO, CARRANZA, JORGE, and GUYOT, JEAN-LOUP
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RIVER sediments ,WATERSHEDS ,MOUNTAINS ,SOIL erosion ,CHEMICAL denudation - Abstract
Formation of mountain ranges results from complex coupling between lithospheric deformation, mechanisms linked to subduction and surface processes: weathering, erosion, and climate. Today, erosion of the eastern Andean cordillera and sub-Andean foothills supplies over 99% of the sediment load passing through the Amazon Basin. Denudation rates in the upper Ucayali basin are rapid, favoured by a marked seasonality in this region and extreme precipitation cells above sedimentary strata, uplifted during Neogene times by a still active sub-Andean tectonic thrust. Around 40% of those sediments are trapped in the Ucayali retro-foreland basin system. Recent advances in remote sensing for Amazonian large rivers now allow us to complete the ground hydrological data. In this work, we propose a first estimation of the erosion and sedimentation budget of the Ucayali River catchment, based on spatial and conventional HYBAM Observatory network. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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157. Hydrological modeling of the Peruvian-Ecuadorian Amazon basin using GPM-IMERG satellite-based precipitation dataset.
- Author
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Zubieta, Ricardo, Getirana, Augusto, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo, and Aragon, Luis
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In the last two decades, rainfall estimates provided by the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) have proven applicable in hydrological studies. The Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, which provides the new generation of rainfall estimates, is now considered a global successor to TRMM. The usefulness of GPM data in hydrological applications, however, has not yet been evaluated over the Andean and Amazonian regions. This study uses GPM data provided by the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals (IMERG) (product/final run) as input to a distributed hydrological model for the Amazon Basin of Peru and Ecuador for a 16-month period (from March 2014 to June 2015) when all datasets are available. TRMM products (TMPA V7, TMPA RT datasets) and a gridded precipitation dataset processed from observed rainfall are used for comparison. The results indicate that precipitation data derived from GPM-IMERG correspond more closely to TMPA V7 than TMPA RT datasets, but both GPM-IMERG and TMPA V7 precipitation data tend to overestimate, in comparison to observed rainfall (by 11.1% and 15.7%, respectively). In general, GPM-IMERG, TMPA V7 and TMPA RT correlate with observed rainfall, with a similar number of rain events correctly detected (~ 20%). Statistical analysis of modeled streamflows indicates that GPM-IMERG is as useful as TMPA V7 or TMPA RT datasets in southern regions (Ucayali basin). GPM-IMERG, TMPA V7 and TMPA RT do not properly simulate streamflows in northern regions (Marañón and Napo basins), probably because of the lack of adequate rainfall estimates in northern Peru and the Ecuadorian Amazon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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158. Radiative properties of clouds over a tropical Bolivian glacier: seasonal variations and relationship with regional atmospheric circulation.
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Sicart, Jean Emmanuel, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Quéno, Louis, and Medina, Melissa
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CLOUDS , *GLACIERS , *SEASONAL temperature variations , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
ABSTRACT At low latitudes, strong seasonal changes in cloud cover and precipitation largely control the mass balance of glaciers. Measurements of shortwave and longwave radiation fluxes reaching Zongo glacier, Bolivia (16°S, 5060 m asl), were analysed from 2005 to 2013 to investigate cloud radiative properties. Cloud shortwave attenuation and longwave emission were greater in the wet summer season ( DJF) than in the dry winter season ( JJA) probably because most DJF clouds were low warm cumulus associated with local convection, whereas JJA clouds were frequently altostratus associated with extra-tropical perturbations. Solar irradiance was high all year round and cloud radiative forcing on down-welling fluxes was strongly negative, with monthly averages ranging from -60 to -110 W m−2 from the dry to the wet season, respectively. In the wet season, high extraterrestrial solar irradiance and low shortwave transmissivity caused very negative cloud forcing despite the high longwave emissivity of convective clouds. Reanalysis of wind and geopotential height anomalies and outgoing longwave radiation satellite data were used to characterize the regional atmospheric circulation causing thick cloud covers (10% thickest clouds) during the dry ( JJA), transition ( SON), and wet ( DJF) seasons. Around 87% (80%) of cloud events in JJA ( SON) occurred during the incursion of low-level southern wind from southern South America to the Bolivian Andes, which caused 2-3 days of cold surge episodes in the Cordillera Real. Around 13% of cloudy days in JJA were associated with high-level low-pressure conditions over the Chilean coast around 45°S, including cut-off lows. In SON, 20% of cloudy days were associated with summer conditions, characterized by an active Bolivian High and moist air advection from the Amazon basin. In the wet season, only 46% of thick cloud events were associated with low-level southern wind incursions, the other events being associated with the South American Monsoon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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159. Revisiting wintertime cold air intrusions at the east of the Andes: propagating features from subtropical Argentina to Peruvian Amazon and relationship with large-scale circulation patterns
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, primary, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Lengaigne, Matthieu, additional, Quispe, Nelson, additional, Silva, Yamina, additional, Bettolli, Maria Laura, additional, Avalos, Grinia, additional, and Llacza, Alan, additional
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- 2012
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160. Trends in rainfall and temperature in the Peruvian Amazon–Andes basin over the last 40 years (1965–2007)
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Lavado Casimiro, Waldo Sven, primary, Labat, David, additional, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, additional, and Guyot, Jean Loup, additional
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- 2012
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161. From drought to flooding: understanding the abrupt 2010–11 hydrological annual cycle in the Amazonas River and tributaries
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, primary, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Guyot, Jean Loup, additional, Junquas, Clementine, additional, Drapeau, Guillaume, additional, Martinez, Jean Michel, additional, Santini, William, additional, Vauchel, Philippe, additional, Lavado, Waldo, additional, Ordoñez, Julio, additional, and Espinoza, Raúl, additional
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- 2012
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162. Basin-scale analysis of rainfall and runoff in Peru (1969–2004): Pacific, Titicaca and Amazonas drainages
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Lavado Casimiro, Waldo Sven, primary, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Labat, David, additional, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, additional, and Guyot, Jean Loup, additional
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- 2012
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163. Climate variability and extreme drought in the upper Solimões River (western Amazon Basin): Understanding the exceptional 2010 drought
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, primary, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, Guyot, Jean Loup, additional, Junquas, Clementine, additional, Vauchel, Philippe, additional, Lavado, Waldo, additional, Drapeau, Guillaume, additional, and Pombosa, Rodrigo, additional
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- 2011
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164. Large-scale circulation patterns and related rainfall in the Amazon Basin: a neuronal networks approach
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, primary, Lengaigne, Matthieu, additional, Ronchail, Josyane, additional, and Janicot, Serge, additional
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- 2011
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165. Correction of TRMM 3B43 monthly precipitation data over the mountainous areas of Peru during the period 1998-2007
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Condom, Thomas, primary, Rau, Pedro, additional, and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, additional
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- 2011
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166. From drought to flooding: understanding the abrupt 2010-11 hydrological annual cycle in the Amazonas River and tributaries.
- Author
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Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Ronchail, Josyane, Loup Guyot, Jean, Junquas, Clementine, Drapeau, Guillaume, Martinez, Jean Michel, Santini, William, Vauchel, Philippe, Lavado, Waldo, Ordoñez, Julio, and Espinoza, Raúl
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- 2012
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167. Decline of Fine Suspended Sediments in the Madeira River Basin (2003–2017).
- Author
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Ayes Rivera, Irma, Armijos Cardenas, Elisa, Espinoza-Villar, Raúl, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Molina-Carpio, Jorge, Ayala, José Max, Gutierrez-Cori, Omar, Martinez, Jean-Michel, and Filizola, Naziano
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SUSPENDED sediments ,WATERSHEDS ,STREAM-gauging stations ,WATER power ,DAMS - Abstract
The Madeira River is the second largest Amazon tributary, contributing up to 50% of the Amazon River's sediment load. The Madeira has significant hydropower potential, which has started to be used by the Madeira Hydroelectric Complex (MHC), with two large dams along the middle stretch of the river. In this study, fine suspended sediment concentration (FSC) data were assessed downstream of the MHC at the Porto Velho gauging station and at the outlet of each tributary (Beni and Mamoré Rivers, upstream from the MHC), from 2003 to 2017. When comparing the pre-MHC (2003–2008) and post-MHC (2015–2017) periods, a 36% decrease in FSC was observed in the Beni River during the peak months of sediment load (December–March). At Porto Velho, a reduction of 30% was found, which responds to the Upper Madeira Basin and hydroelectric regulation. Concerning water discharge, no significant change occurred, indicating that a lower peak FSC cannot be explained by changes in the peak discharge months. However, lower FSCs are associated with a downward break in the overall time series registered at the outlet of the major sediment supplier—the Beni River—during 2010. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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168. Seasonal types in homogeneous rainfall regions of the Amazon basin.
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Michot, Véronique, Corpetti, Thomas, Ronchail, Josyane, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Arvor, Damien, Funatsu, Beatriz M., and Dubreuil, Vincent
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RAINFALL , *OCEAN temperature , *SEASONS , *RAINFALL anomalies , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *RAIN gauges - Abstract
Due to its size and geographical features, different average annual rainfall regimes co‐exist in the Amazon basin, with distinct year‐to‐year variability dependent on regions within the basin. In this study, we define and explain the seasonal regional types of annual regimes, that is, years with similar seasonal anomalies. Our work is based on a 205 rain gauge network distributed over five Amazonian countries, spanning a period over 30 years. Using a spectral clustering method, we identified seven sub‐regions within the basin in which annual rainfall regimes are spatially homogenous. For each sub‐domain, we estimated specific parameters that characterize the rainy season (onset and demise dates, sign and duration of rainfall anomalies). Finally, using spectral analysis we identified between two and four 'seasonal type' of precipitation in these seven sub‐domains. Most of these seasonal types are in phase with the large‐scale atmospheric circulation, which explains the temporal link with rainfall anomalies. The seasonal types result of the superposition of inter‐annual and intra‐seasonal variability whose factors are then difficult to identify and attribute. Part of the rainfall anomalies characterizing seasonal types is related to the inter‐annual variability of the sea surface temperature in the Atlantic or the Pacific oceans, especially in the northeast and southeast part of the Amazon basin, whereas in other parts, strong intra‐seasonal and local factors have a larger impact. The same sign and duration of anomalies do not concomitantly affect the various regions of the Amazon basin, confirming that one mode of variability does not homogeneously affect precipitation in different parts of the basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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169. New insights into the rainfall variability in the tropical Andes on seasonal and interannual time scales.
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Segura, Hans, Junquas, Clementine, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Vuille, Mathias, Jauregui, Yakelyn R., Rabatel, Antoine, Condom, Thomas, and Lebel, Thierry
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INTERTROPICAL convergence zone , *RAINFALL , *OCEAN temperature , *WALKER circulation , *POWER spectra , *INNER cities - Abstract
In this study, we analyze the atmospheric mechanisms associated with the main rainfall patterns in the tropical Andes ( 20 ∘ S – 1 ∘ N ) on seasonal and interannual time scales. Using a homogeneous and high spatial resolution precipitation data set ( 0. 05 ∘ × 0. 05 ∘ ) at monthly time step (CHIRPS; 1981–2016), in-situ precipitation from 206 rain-gauge stations, power spectrum and EOF analysis, we identify three Andean regions characterized by specific seasonal and interannual rainfall modes: the equatorial Andes (EA, 5 ∘ S – 1 ∘ N ), the transition zone (TZ, 8 ∘ S – 5 ∘ S ) and the southern tropical Andes (STA, 20 ∘ S – 8 ∘ S ). On seasonal time scales, the main mode of precipitation in the EA and STA are characterized by a unimodal regime, while the TZ is represented by a bimodal regime. The EA and the TZ share the same wet season in the February–April period, which is associated with a weakened Walker Cell, the southerly position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and a strong westward humidity transport from the equatorial Amazon. This latter mechanism and a reduced elevation of the Andes are associated with the October–November wet season in the TZ. The presence of the Bolivian High and the northward extension of the Low Level Jet are associated with the precipitation over Andean regions between 20 ∘ S and 8 ∘ S in the December–March period. On interannual time scales, extreme monthly wet events (EMWE) in the STA (TZ) are related to convection over the western (equatorial) Amazon during the December–March (February–April) period, showing an atmospheric relationship between the Amazon and the Andes. Extreme monthly dry events (EMDE) in the TZ and in the EA during the February–April period are related to a strengthened Walker Cell, especially in the eastern Pacific. In addition, EMWE (EMDE) in the EA are associated with an anomalous southward (northward) displaced eastern Pacific ITCZ. Moreover, we find a relationship between precipitation at higher elevations in the Andes north of 10 ∘ S and easterly winds at 200 hPa during February–April EMWE. Finally, extreme monthly events in the EA (STA) are related to sea surface temperature anomalies in the western (central) equatorial Pacific. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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170. Elevation-dependent warming of land surface temperatures in the Andes assessed using MODIS LST time series (2000–2017).
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Aguilar-Lome, Jaime, Espinoza-Villar, Raúl, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, Rojas-Acuña, Joel, Willems, Bram Leo, and Leyva-Molina, Walter-Martín
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LAND surface temperature , *NORMALIZED difference vegetation index , *GLOBAL temperature changes , *TIME series analysis , *WATER temperature , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature - Abstract
Highlights • Daytime and nighttime MODIS LST data over the Andean region between 7 °S and 20 °S were obtained from 2000 to 2017. • Season (winter) trends of daytime and nighttime LST were computed using Sen´s method. • Winter daytime LST trend showed a clear elevation-warming dependency. • Lake Titicaca temperature show a warming based on daytime and nighttime MODIS LST measurements. • Relation between mean monthly daytime LST and mean monthly maximum air temperature. Abstract In this study, we report on the assessment of elevation-dependent warming processes in the Andean region between 7 °S and 20 °S, using Land Surface Temperature (LST). Remotely sensed LST data were obtained from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor in an 8-day composite, at a 1 km resolution, and from 2000 to 2017 during austral winter (June-July-August, JJA). We analysed the relation between mean monthly daytime LST and mean monthly maximum air temperature. This relation is analysed for different types of coverage, obtaining a significant correlation that varies from 0.57 to 0.82 (p < 0.01). However, effects of change in land cover were ruled out by a previous comparative assessment of trends in daytime LST and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The distribution of the winter daytime LST trend was found to be increasing in most areas, while decreasing in only a few areas. This trend shows that winter daytime LST is increasing at an average rate of 1.0 °C/decade. We also found that the winter daytime LST trend has a clear dependence on elevation, with strongest warming effects at higher elevations: 0.50 °C/decade at 1000–1500 masl, and 1.7 °C/decade above 5000 masl. However, the winter nighttime LST trend shows a steady increase with altitude increase. The dependence of rising temperature trends on elevation could have severe implications for water resources and high Andean ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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171. Regionalization of rainfall in the upper Madeira basin based on interannual and decadal variability: A multi‐seasonal approach.
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Molina‐Carpio, Jorge, Rivera, Irma Ayes, Espinoza‐Romero, Daniel, Cerón, Wilmar Loaiza, Espinoza, Jhan‐Carlo, and Ronchail, Josyane
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RAINFALL , *WATER management , *HIERARCHICAL clustering (Cluster analysis) , *PRINCIPAL components analysis , *OCEAN temperature , *WATERSHEDS - Abstract
Identifying rainfall regions associated with specific modes of variability is of practical interest for water resources management, seasonal forecasting, and mitigation of weather‐related risks. This study aims to identify homogeneous rainfall regions within the ~1 million km2 Upper Madeira River basin—southwestern Amazon—by their interannual and decadal variability and relates this variability to ocean indices. An observed dataset of 146 ground‐based rainfall stations, distributed throughout the Andes and the Amazon, and homogenized at the monthly time‐step for the period 1980–2016, was used for the analysis. With no spatial constraints, hierarchical cluster analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) optimally grouped stations into 10 rainfall homogenous regions. The value of the regionalization for interpreting the rainfall variability was evaluated by relating the seasonal rainfall time series of the regions with ocean indices. Then, by applying PCA to seasonal rainfall series and linking the principal components to sea surface temperature and ocean indices, an insight into the main large‐scale drivers of the rainfall spatio‐temporal variability in this basin at interannual and decadal scales is provided. This analysis identified differences in the year‐round influences of the tropical Pacific and/or Atlantic oceans on the 10 homogenous regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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172. Multi-decadal Hydrological Retrospective: Case study of Amazon floods and droughts.
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Wongchuig Correa, Sly, Paiva, Rodrigo Cauduro Dias de, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, and Collischonn, Walter
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FLOODS , *DROUGHTS , *CLIMATE change , *RAINFALL , *HYDROLOGY - Abstract
Recently developed methodologies such as climate reanalysis make it possible to create a historical record of climate systems. This paper proposes a methodology called Hydrological Retrospective (HR), which essentially simulates large rainfall datasets, using this as input into hydrological models to develop a record of past hydrology, making it possible to analyze past floods and droughts. We developed a methodology for the Amazon basin, where studies have shown an increase in the intensity and frequency of hydrological extreme events in recent decades. We used eight large precipitation datasets (more than 30 years) as input for a large scale hydrological and hydrodynamic model (MGB-IPH). HR products were then validated against several in situ discharge gauges controlling the main Amazon sub-basins, focusing on maximum and minimum events. For the most accurate HR, based on performance metrics, we performed a forecast skill of HR to detect floods and droughts, comparing the results with in-situ observations. A statistical temporal series trend was performed for intensity of seasonal floods and droughts in the entire Amazon basin. Results indicate that HR could represent most past extreme events well, compared with in-situ observed data, and was consistent with many events reported in literature. Because of their flow duration, some minor regional events were not reported in literature but were captured by HR. To represent past regional hydrology and seasonal hydrological extreme events, we believe it is feasible to use some large precipitation datasets such as i) climate reanalysis, which is mainly based on a land surface component, and ii) datasets based on merged products. A significant upward trend in intensity was seen in maximum annual discharge (related to floods) in western and northwestern regions and for minimum annual discharge (related to droughts) in south and central-south regions of the Amazon basin. Because of the global coverage of rainfall datasets, this methodology can be transferred to other regions for better estimation of future hydrological behavior and its impact on society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2017
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173. Integrating multi-objective optimization and ecological connectivity to strengthen Peru's protected area system towards the 30*2030 target.
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Deléglise, Hugo, Justeau-Allaire, Dimitri, Mulligan, Mark, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, Isasi-Catalá, Emiliana, Alvarez, Cecilia, Condom, Thomas, and Palomo, Ignacio
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ARTIFICIAL intelligence , *ECOSYSTEM services , *CARBON sequestration , *LINEAR programming , *HEURISTIC - Abstract
The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) of the Convention on Biological Diversity has set the target of protecting 30 % of the world's land and sea by 2030. Previous conservation planning approaches have been based primarily on biodiversity elements, particularly for Peru, a mega-biodiverse country whose protected areas network need to be expanded. However, achieving this ambitious 30 % target requires careful consideration of numerous ecological and social aspects. To cover these aspects, we present a terrestrial conservation planning approach that integrates biodiversity, ecosystem services, human impact, ecological connectivity and ecoregional representativeness. Our approach has been co-produced with national organisations and NGOs and includes advanced Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods. Our results identify areas of high ecological value to supplement the 17.88 % of areas already protected, to reach 30 %. The integration of these areas could close gaps in the current system, particularly those vital for water related ecosystem services, ecoregional representativity and ecological connectivity. Integrated AI-based optimization methods (i.e., integer linear programming, constraint programming, reference point method) enabled us to obtain optimal, constraint-satisfying and balanced protected areas selected on the basis of integrated variables, and constitute a robust alternative compared with heuristic methods (e.g., Marxan, Zonation) commonly used. This work can be used as a fundamental component of Peru's territorial planning, and paves the way on future research on conservation planning, which should integrate advanced spatial conservation planning methods, ecological and social factors in an even more comprehensive way. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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174. Decadal variability in the austral summer precipitation over the Central Andes: Observations and the empirical‐statistical downscaling model.
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Sulca, Juan, Takahashi, Ken, Tacza, José, Espinoza, Jhan‐Carlo, and Dong, Bo
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DOWNSCALING (Climatology) , *ATLANTIC multidecadal oscillation , *NORTH Atlantic oscillation , *OCEAN temperature , *SUMMER ,EL Nino - Abstract
The decadal variability in summer precipitation over the Central Andes (10°–30°S) is investigated from 1921 to 2010 using low‐pass filtered time series of the central and eastern El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Pacific (C and E) indices, the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) index, the Atlantic SST indices, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, and ERA‐20C reanalysis. Additionally, an empirical‐statistical downscaling (ESD) model was built. A rotated empirical orthogonal function (REOF) analysis shows that the first leading mode of precipitation (RPC1) represents 38.2% of the total decadal variance. RPC2, RCP3, and RPC4 represent 18.8, 12.8, and 9.7% of the total decadal variance, respectively. Furthermore, RPC1 features highest loadings over most of the region. RPC2 features a dipole of highest loadings over the southernmost Bolivian Altiplano and lowest loadings over the northwestern Argentinian Andes. Conversely, RPC3 presents highest loadings over the eastern‐central Bolivian Altiplano and northwestern Argentinian Andes. RPC4 features highest loadings over the southern Bolivian Andes. RPC1 and RPC3 wet summers are associated with moisture transport from the Amazon basin, but RPC1 features the strengthening upper‐level Bolivian high‐Nordeste low system over South America. Conversely, RPC2 and RPC4 wet summers are associated with local processes induced by southward displacement of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone and warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the Indian Ocean, respectively. According to the ESD model, the decadal variability in the central and eastern Pacific (CP and EP) and Atlantic Ocean reproduces the decadal component of the DJF precipitation over most of the Central Andes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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175. Impacts of satellite-based precipitation datasets on rainfall–runoff modeling of the Western Amazon basin of Peru and Ecuador.
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Zubieta, Ricardo, Getirana, Augusto, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, and Lavado, Waldo
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NATURAL satellites , *PRECIPITATION (Chemistry) , *RAINFALL , *RUNOFF - Abstract
Summary Satellites are an alternative source of rainfall data used as input to hydrological models in poorly gauged or ungauged regions. They are also useful in regions with highly heterogeneous precipitation, such as the tropical Andes. This paper evaluates three satellite precipitation datasets (TMPA, CMORPH, PERSIANN), as well as a dataset based only on rain gauge data (HYBAM), and their impacts on the water balance of the Western Amazon basin, a region where hydrological modeling and hydrological forecasting are poorly developed. These datasets were used as inputs in the MGB-IPH hydrological model to simulate streamflows for the 2003–2009 period. The impacts of precipitation on model parameterization and outputs were evaluated in two calibration experiments. In Experiment 1, parameter sets were separately defined for each catchment; in Experiment 2, a single parameter set was defined for the entire basin. TMPA shows overestimated precipitation over the northern region, while CMORPH and PERSIANN significantly underestimate rainfall in the same that region and along the Andes. TMPA and CMORPH lead to similar estimates of mean evapotranspiration (∼2 mm/day) for different regions along the entire basin, while PERSIANN is the least accurate (∼0.5 mm/day). Overall, better scores for streamflow simulations are obtained with Experiment 1 forced by HYBAM and TMPA. Nevertheless, results using the three satellite datasets indicate inter-basin differences, low performance in the northern and high in the southern regions. Low model performances are mainly related to scale issues and forcing errors in small basins over regions that present very low rainfall seasonality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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176. Correction to: New insights into the rainfall variability in the tropical Andes on seasonal and interannual time scales.
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Segura, Hans, Junquas, Clementine, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Vuille, Mathias, Jauregui, Yakelyn R., Rabatel, Antoine, Condom, Thomas, and Lebel, Thierry
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RAINFALL , *RAIN gauges , *TIME - Abstract
The original version of the article contained errors in Fig. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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177. Amazon Hydrology From Space: Scientific Advances and Future Challenges.
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Fassoni‐Andrade, Alice César, Fleischmann, Ayan Santos, Papa, Fabrice, Paiva, Rodrigo Cauduro Dias de, Wongchuig, Sly, Melack, John M., Moreira, Adriana Aparecida, Paris, Adrien, Ruhoff, Anderson, Barbosa, Claudio, Maciel, Daniel Andrade, Novo, Evlyn, Durand, Fabien, Frappart, Frédéric, Aires, Filipe, Abrahão, Gabriel Medeiros, Ferreira‐Ferreira, Jefferson, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Laipelt, Leonardo, and Costa, Marcos Heil
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HYDROLOGY , *REMOTE sensing in environmental monitoring , *HYDROLOGIC cycle , *ARTIFICIAL satellites - Abstract
As the largest river basin on Earth, the Amazon is of major importance to the world's climate and water resources. Over the past decades, advances in satellite‐based remote sensing (RS) have brought our understanding of its terrestrial water cycle and the associated hydrological processes to a new era. Here, we review major studies and the various techniques using satellite RS in the Amazon. We show how RS played a major role in supporting new research and key findings regarding the Amazon water cycle, and how the region became a laboratory for groundbreaking investigations of new satellite retrievals and analyses. At the basin‐scale, the understanding of several hydrological processes was only possible with the advent of RS observations, such as the characterization of "rainfall hotspots" in the Andes‐Amazon transition, evapotranspiration rates, and variations of surface waters and groundwater storage. These results strongly contribute to the recent advances of hydrological models and to our new understanding of the Amazon water budget and aquatic environments. In the context of upcoming hydrology‐oriented satellite missions, which will offer the opportunity for new synergies and new observations with finer space‐time resolution, this review aims to guide future research agenda toward integrated monitoring and understanding of the Amazon water from space. Integrated multidisciplinary studies, fostered by international collaborations, set up future directions to tackle the great challenges the Amazon is currently facing, from climate change to increased anthropogenic pressure. Plain Language Summary: The Amazon basin is the largest river basin in the world, characterized by complex hydrological processes that connect high rates of precipitation, extensive floodplains, dense tropical forests, complex topography, and large variations in freshwater storage and discharge. It plays a key role in the water, energy, and carbon cycles and interacts with the global climate system. Earth observations have played a major role in supporting research in Amazon hydrology, and the characterization of several hydrological processes was only possible with the help of remote sensing data. The basin is now facing great risk under current climate change and increased anthropogenic pressure and the resulting environmental alterations require a better understanding of the overall basin's water cycle across scales. We review the strengths and limitations of observations from satellites in the context of the current and upcoming hydrology‐oriented satellite missions, and we make recommendations for improving satellite observations of the Amazon basin water cycle, along with an interdisciplinary and stepwise approach to guide research for the next decades. Key Points: Integrated view of scientific advances in Amazon hydrology with remote sensingExpected progress to understand the water cycle, aquatic ecosystems, and environmental changes with upcoming hydrology‐oriented missionsNeed to translate advanced knowledge from remote sensing to support water management and environmental governance [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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178. Assessing precipitation extremes (1981–2018) and deep convective activity (2002–2018) in the Amazon region with CHIRPS and AMSU data.
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Funatsu, Beatriz M., Le Roux, Renan, Arvor, Damien, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Claud, Chantal, Ronchail, Josyane, Michot, Véronique, and Dubreuil, Vincent
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CLIMATE change detection , *CONVECTIVE clouds , *DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) - Abstract
The frequency and spatial distributions of precipitation extremes (PEs) and deep convective clouds (DCC) across the Amazon region were assessed using satellite-derived data. For PEs, CHIRPS dataset for the period 1981–2018 were used to calculate a set of absolute, threshold, duration, and percentile-based threshold indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices. DCC occurrence was assessed based on the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit data for the period 2002–2018. In northern Amazon (north of 5 ∘ S ) PEs and DCC are more frequent ( ≥ 60 % frequency) during February–June. Averaged trends over these months have shown increase in daily rainfall above 20 mm of near 3 days over the 1981–2018 period, and an increase of 2 consecutive wet days (P ≥ 1 mm ) in the same period. South of 5 ∘ S prevalence of PEs and DCC is largely observed during November–March ( ≥ 60 % frequency), whereas the longest persistence of dry days is observed during June–August. Though all PE trends point to an intensification of rainfall in November–March, only consecutive dry days in winter (JJA) and spring (SON) show significant trends, pointing to an increase of 7 days over the 38-yr winters. Rainfall extremes over the entire Amazon region were found to be moderate to strongly correlated with the mean vertically integrated moisture divergence, and in southern Amazon also to upper level divergence and upward vertical velocity. Increased frequency of DCC were found over the whole basin ( ∼ 18 % yr - 1 ), in contrast to decreased convective overshooting (up to ∼ 15.4 % yr - 1 ). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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179. Impacts of topography and land use changes on the air surface temperature and precipitation over the central Peruvian Andes.
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Saavedra, Miguel, Junquas, Clementine, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, and Silva, Yamina
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ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *LAND use , *SURFACE temperature , *METEOROLOGICAL stations , *METEOROLOGICAL precipitation , *TOPOGRAPHY , *HYDROLOGIC cycle - Abstract
This paper focuses on the representation of the air surface temperature and precipitation using high spatiotemporal simulations (3 km–1 h) of the WRF3.7.1 model in the central Peruvian area. It covers, from east to west, the coastal zone, the western slope of the Andes, the Andean Mantaro basin (500–5000 masl), and the Andes-Amazon transition region in the eastern Andes. The study covers the January months from 2004 to 2008. Three experiments were conducted using different topography and land use data sources: (1) a control simulation using the default WRF topography and land use datasets from the United States Geological Survey (USGS); (2) a simulation changing only the topography by using the SRTM topography dataset; and (3) a simulation changing the land use data of (2) by a new dataset adapted from Eva et al. (2004). SRTM topography performed better than the control simulation for representing the actual altitudes of 57 meteorological stations that were used for precipitation and surface air temperature data. As a result, the simulations of experiments (2) and (3) produced lower bias values than that of (1). Topography change (experiment (2)) showed improvements in temperature bias that were directly associated with linear modifications of -5.6 and -6.7 °C∙km−1 in minimum and maximum temperature, respectively. Increasing (decreasing) precipitation with topography or land use change was clearly controlled by changes in the moisture flux patterns and its convergence (divergence) in the Andes-Amazon transition. On the western slope, precipitation increase could be associated with the increase in easterly flow by the smaller altitudes of the Andes mountains in SRTM topography and by increasing evaporation with new land use. Inside the Mantaro Basin, low level moisture flux seems to control the rainfall changes. Overall, relative changes (positive or negative) in precipitation due to topography or land use change could reach values above 25%. • Simulations are performed at complex terrain in the Peruvian central Andes during the rainiest month. • Differences between SRTM and USGS topography databases can reach >1 km in the Andes of Peru. • Major impacts on rainfall and temperature are found in the eastern slope of the Andes. • Better representation of topography reduces the bias of rainfall and temperature. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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180. Assessing the skill of all-season diverse Madden–Julian oscillation indices for the intraseasonal Amazon precipitation.
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Mayta, Victor C., Silva, Natalia P., Ambrizzi, Tercio, Dias, Pedro L. Silva, and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo
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METEOROLOGICAL precipitation , *EXTREME value theory , *MADDEN-Julian oscillation , *ABILITY - Abstract
Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) impact on the Amazon intraseasonal precipitation assessed by different MJO indices is investigated through an analysis of composite events and observed case studies. The MJO indices diagnosing skill is described in detail using reanalysis, satellite, and gauge-based gridded rainfall data. Three types of existing MJO indices are considered: (1) OLR-based MJO (OMI index); (2) dynamically- or circulation-based MJO (VPM index); and (3) combined convectively- and dynamically-based MJO (Wheeler–Hendon RMM index). Our results suggest that, in the large-scale (i.e., around the global tropics), even in the regional domain, the MJO OLR-only index well-represent the dynamical and convective features associated with the intraseasonal variability. On the other hand, each index gives diverging results on rainfall characterization over the Amazon Basin (AB). For instance, the cumulative distribution of precipitation for each MJO phase and index depicts considerable differences in the main climatic regions of the AB, indicating a diverging intraseasonal representation for extreme rainfall values. In addition, when event-by-event is assessed, details as well as the identification of events themselves can differ among indices. This characteristic is particularly observed during extreme rainfall events in the AB. A significant percentage of MJO activity is detected only by the MJO OLR-based index. Because the large-scale zonal circulation dominates the dynamically-based indices (RMM and VPM), the MJO impact in these indices is not an appropriate measure of convective MJO activity. Since the convective component of the MJO is our primary objective, the results presented in this study show that the OLR-based MJO index is able to better account for the MJO impacts over the AB. The indices considered in this study are often used for monitoring and forecasting the MJO activity over South America. However, given the dissimilarity of the representation of precipitation in the AB, our findings also support the consideration of a regional index for monitoring and forecasting the MJO impacts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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181. Spatio-temporal monitoring of suspended sediments in the Solimões River (2000–2014).
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Espinoza-Villar, Raul, Martinez, Jean-Michel, Armijos, Elisa, Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo, Filizola, Naziano, Dos Santos, Andre, Willems, Bram, Fraizy, Pascal, Santini, William, and Vauchel, Philippe
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RIVER sediments , *REMOTE sensing , *MODIS (Spectroradiometer) , *FLOODPLAIN ecology , *ENVIRONMENTAL monitoring - Abstract
The Amazon River sediment discharge has been estimated at between 600 and 1200 Mt/year, of which more than 50% comes from the Solimões River. Because of the area's inaccessibility, few studies have examined the sediment discharge spatial and temporal pattern in the upper Solimões region. In this study, we use MODIS satellite images to retrieve and understand the spatial and temporal behaviour of suspended sediments in the Solimões River from Peru to Brazil. Six virtual suspended sediment gauging stations were created along the Solimões River on a 2050-km-long transect. At each station, field-derived river discharge estimates were available and field-sampling trips were conducted for validation of remote-sensing estimates during different periods of the annual hydrological cycle between 2007 and 2014. At two stations, 10-day surface suspended sediment data were available from the SO-HYBAM monitoring program (881 field SSS samples). MODIS-derived sediment discharge closely matched the field observations, showing a relative RMSE value of 27.3% (0.48 Mtday) overall. Satellite-retrieved annual sediment discharge at the Tamshiyacu (Peru) and Manacapuru (Brazil) stations is estimated at 521 and 825 Mt/year, respectively. While upstream the river presents one main sediment discharge peak during the hydrological cycle, a secondary sediment discharge peak is detected downstream during the declining water levels, which is induced by sediment resuspension from the floodplain, causing a 72% increase on average from June to September. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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182. A reassessment of the suspended sediment load in the Madeira River basin from the Andes of Peru and Bolivia to the Amazon River in Brazil, based on 10 years of data from the HYBAM monitoring programme.
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Vauchel, Philippe, Santini, William, Guyot, Jean Loup, Moquet, Jean Sébastien, Martinez, Jean Michel, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Baby, Patrice, Fuertes, Oscar, Noriega, Luis, Puita, Oscar, Sondag, Francis, Fraizy, Pascal, Armijos, Elisa, Cochonneau, Gérard, Timouk, Franck, De Oliveira, Eurides, Filizola, Naziano, Molina, Jorge, and Ronchail, Josyane
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ANALYSIS of river sediments , *RIVER sediment sampling , *GEOMORPHOLOGY , *MARINE ecology - Abstract
The Madeira River is the second largest tributary of the Amazon River. It contributes approximately 13% of the Amazon River flow and it may contribute up to 50% of its sediment discharge to the Atlantic Ocean. Until now, the suspended sediment load of the Madeira River was not well known and was estimated in a broad range from 240 to 715 Mt yr −1 . Since 2002, the HYBAM international network developed a new monitoring programme specially designed to provide more reliable data than in previous intents. It is based on the continuous monitoring of a set of 11 gauging stations in the Madeira River watershed from the Andes piedmont to the confluence with the Amazon River, and discrete sampling of the suspended sediment concentration every 7 or 10 days. This paper presents the results of the suspended sediment data obtained in the Madeira drainage basin during 2002–2011. The Madeira River suspended sediment load is estimated at 430 Mt yr −1 near its confluence with the Amazon River. The average production of the Madeira River Andean catchment is estimated at 640 Mt yr −1 (±30%), the corresponding sediment yield for the Andes is estimated at 3000 t km −2 yr −1 (±30%), and the average denudation rate is estimated at 1.20 mm yr −1 (±30%). Contrary to previous results that had mentioned high sedimentation rates in the Beni River floodplain, we detected no measurable sedimentation process in this part of the basin. On the Mamoré River basin, we observed heavy sediment deposition of approximately 210 Mt yr −1 that seem to confirm previous studies. But while these studies mentioned heavy sedimentation in the floodplain, we showed that sediment deposition occurred mainly in the Andean piedmont and immediate foreland in rivers (Parapeti, Grande, Pirai, Yapacani, Chimoré, Chaparé, Secure, Maniqui) with discharges that are not sufficiently large to transport their sediment load downstream in the lowlands. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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183. Valley–Mountain Circulation Associated with the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in the Tropical Andes (Santa River Basin, Peru).
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Rosales, Alan G., Junquas, Clementine, da Rocha, Rosmeri P., Condom, Thomas, and Espinoza, Jhan-Carlo
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WATERSHEDS , *METEOROLOGICAL research , *WEATHER forecasting , *CHANNEL flow - Abstract
The Cordillera Blanca (central Andes of Peru) represents the largest concentration of tropical glaciers in the world. The atmospheric processes related to precipitations are still scarcely studied in this region. The main objective of this study is to understand the atmospheric processes of interaction between local and regional scales controlling the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Santa River basin located between the Cordillera Blanca and the Cordillera Negra. The rainy season (December–March) of 2012–2013 is chosen to perform simulations with the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model, with two domains at 6 km (WRF-6 km) and 2 km (WRF-2 km) horizontal resolutions, forced by ERA5. WRF-2 km precipitation shows a clear improvement over WRF-6 km in terms of the daily mean and diurnal cycle, compared to in situ observations. WRF-2 km shows that the moisture from the Pacific Ocean is a key process modulating the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Santa River basin in interaction with moisture fluxes from the Amazon basin. In particular, a channeling thermally orographic flow is described as controlling the afternoon precipitation along the Santa valley. In addition, in the highest parts of the Santa River basin (in both cordilleras) and the southern part, maximum precipitation occurs earlier than the lowest parts and the bottom of the valley in the central part of the basin, associated with the intensification of the channeling flow by upslope cross-valley winds during mid-afternoon and its decrease during late afternoon/early night. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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184. Estimación de concentración de lluvia diaria y eventos hidrológicos extremos en cuencas andino-amazónicas empleando precipitación basada en satélites
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Zubieta Barragán, Ricardo, Espinoza Villar, Jhan Carlo, and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo
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Estimación ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09 [http] ,Concentración de lluvia diaria ,Evaluación ,Andes ,Amazonas ,Meteorología y Ciencias atmosféricas ,Instrumentos de medición ,Precipitación ,Eventos hidrológicos ,Perú ,Lluvia ,Satélites meteorológicos ,Sensores ,Cuencas hidrográficas ,Amazonía ,Precipitación atmosférica ,Región andina ,Caudales ,Eventos extremos - Abstract
Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina. Escuela de Posgrado. Doctorado en Recursos Hídricos La precipitación concentrada durante varios días tienen un alto potencial para ocasionar erosión del suelo, deslizamientos, inestabilidad de taludes e inundaciones. En la última década, las cuencas andino-amazónicas han sido frecuentemente afectadas por eventos hidrológicos extremos tales como las intensas sequías en 2005 y 2010 e inundaciones en 2009, 2012 y 2014. Los datos de precipitación estimada por satélite empleados para la estimación de concentración de lluvia diaria pueden ser fuente alternativa en regiones donde la disponibilidad de datos de lluvia es limitada. Además, estos datos pueden ser utilizados como entrada a modelos hidrológicos distribuidos para la comprensión y evaluación de eventos hidrológicos extremos. La aplicación de estos datos satelitales en estudios hidrológicos y climáticos requiere una estricta evaluación para su uso en sistemas de previsión de eventos extremos. En este trabajo, conjuntos de precipitación estimado a partir de satélite son evaluados con respecto a datos observados (pluviómetros) en la cuenca amazónica peruana y ecuatoriana. Hasta cinco productos de precipitación deducidos de datos satelitales (TMPA V7, TMPART, CMORPH , PERSIANN y GPM-IMERG) se utilizaron como datos forzantes para la estimación del índice de concentración (IC) de lluvia diaria y simulaciones de caudales diarios usando el modelo hidrológico distribuido de grandes cuencas (MGB – IPH). Se emplearon datos de caudales diarios de hasta 20 estaciones hidrométricas provenientes del observatorio SNO-HYBAM. Los hallazgos de esta tesis sugieren que las estimaciones de precipitación de CMORPH y TMPA V7 son más fiables que los proporcionados por TRMM RT o PERSIANN en la reproducción de la variabilidad temporal de los IC. Por otro lado, los resultados de la modelización hidrológica tambien indican la utilidad de datos TMPA RT para estimar los caudales observados en regiones andino-amazónicas (cuenca del río Ucayali, en el sur de la cuenca amazónica de Perú y Ecuador). Así, la estimación de caudales empleando TMPA RT (NS ̴ 0.82) es ligeramente mejor que con otros datos satelitales tales como TMPA V7 y GPM-IMERG (NS ̴ 0.78). The concentration of precipitation for many consecutive days has a strong potential for leading soil erosion, landslides, slope instability, and flooding. In the last decade, Andean-Amazonian basins have been frequently affected by extreme hydrological events such as strong droughts in 2005 and 2010 and floods in 2009, 2012, and 2014. Satellite-based precipitation datasets are currently used for estimating concentrations of daily rainfall, but at the same time they also might be an alternative in regions where rainfall data availability is scarce. In addition, these datasets can be used as input to distributed hydrological models for understanding and evaluation of extreme hydrological events. The application of these satellite datasets in the hydrological and climatic studies requires a strict evaluation for using in extreme event forecasting systems. In this thesis, several satellite-based precipitation datasets are evaluated with respect to observed data (rain gauges) in the Peruvian and Ecuadorian Amazon Basin. Five precipitation datasets derived from satellite data (TMPA V7, TMPART, CMORPH, PERSIANN, and GPM-IMERG) were used as forcing data to estimate daily rainfall concentration (CI) and daily streamflow using a large-scale distributed hydrological model (MGB - IPH). Daily streamflow data of 20 hydrometric stations from SNO-HYBAM observatory were used. The main findings of this thesis evidence that the estimation of CMORPH and TMPA V7 are better than TRMM RT, PERSIANN for simulating the temporal variability of the CIs. On the other hand, the results of hydrological modeling indicate that TMPA RT data is better than the rest of data for estimating the observed streamflows in the Andean-Amazonian regions (Ucayali River basin, which is located in the southern Amazon basin of Peru and Ecuador). Thus, TMPA RT (NS ̴ 0.82) estimates streamflow better than the rest of satellite data such as TMPA V7 and GPM-IMERG (NS ̴ 0.78) Tesis
- Published
- 2017
185. Compendio de investigaciones en geofísica: trabajos de investigación realizados por estudiantes durante el año 2017
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Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Tavera, Hernando, Milla, Marco, and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo
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Astronomía ,Climatología ,Radar ,Terremotos ,Investigación científica ,Sismología ,Geología ,Geofísica ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.04 [http] ,Ciencias de la tierra ,Atmósfera ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.00 [http] - Abstract
Volumen 18 En el presente compendio se pondrá en conocimiento de la sociedad diversas investigaciones desarrolladas en ámbitos de estudio como la sismología, vulcanología, aeronomía, física atmosférica, entre otros.
- Published
- 2017
186. Control of seasonal and inter-annual rainfall distribution on the Strontium-Neodymium isotopic compositions of suspended particulate matter and implications for tracing ENSO events in the Pacific coast (Tumbes basin, Peru).
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Moquet, Jean-Sébastien, Morera, Sergio, Turcq, Bruno, Poitrasson, Franck, Roddaz, Martin, Moreira-Turcq, Patricia, Espinoza, Jhan Carlo, Guyot, Jean-Loup, Takahashi, Ken, Orrillo-Vigo, Jhon, Petrick, Susana, Mounic, Stéphanie, and Sondag, Francis
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PARTICULATE matter , *GEOCHEMISTRY , *SUSPENDED sediments , *SOUTHERN oscillation , *PROVENANCE (Geology) , *SEDIMENT sampling ,EL Nino - Abstract
The geochemistry of riverine sediments exported to the oceans is important for paleo-hydro-climatic reconstruction. However, climate reconstruction requires a good understanding of the relationship between geochemistry and hydrological variability and sediment sources. In this study, we analyzed the major elements, the strontium‑neodymium radiogenic isotopes signatures (87Sr/86Sr and εNd) and the mineralogy of the suspended particulate matter (SPM) sampled monthly during two hydrologic years (2007–2008, a wet year, and 2010–2011, a normal hydrological year) upstream the Tumbes River outlet. The hydroclimate of this Ecuador-Peru binational basin is particularly sensitive to ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) events. While mineralogy (dominated by illite) and the chemical alteration index (from 75 to 82) remain almost constant along the two hydrological years, 87Sr/86Sr (0.7115 to 0.7176) and εNd (−7.8 to −1.9) signatures are particularly sensitive to discharge and SPM concentration variations. Along the hydrological year, two sources control the εNd variability: (1) volcanic rocks, which dominate during the dry season, and (2) plutonic/metamorphic sources, whose contribution increases during the wet season. This behavior is confirmed by the correlation between εNd signature and the monthly rainfall contribution from volcanic area (R = 0.58; p -value < 0.01), and also with the daily discharge at the outlet (R = -0.73; p- value < 0.01). For most of the samples, 87Sr/86Sr is less variable along the hydrological year. However, two exceptional high discharge and SPM concentration conditions sampled exhibit more radiogenic (higher) 87Sr/86Sr signatures when plutonic/metamorphic rocks derived sediments are released in sufficient quantities to notably change the SPM isotopic Sr value of the Tumbes River. Hence, this study demonstrates that 87Sr/86Sr and εNd signatures can be used as powerful proxies for paleoclimate reconstructions based on sediment core's analysis in relation with spatial rainfall distribution and intensity in Pacific sedimentary basins submitted to the diversity of ENSO events. • Suspended sediments were sampled monthly in the Tumbes River along 2 hydrological years. • εNd signatures indicates source provenance in relation with rainfall distribution. • 87Sr/86Sr signatures is particularly sensitive to anomalous wet conditions. • Nd and Sr isotopes are powerful tracers of paleo-ENSO and sediments dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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187. Magnitud, frecuencia y factores que controlan los flujos sedimentarios desde los Andes centrales occidentales hacia el océano Pacífico peruano
- Author
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Morera Julca, Sergio Byron, Espinoza Villar, Jhan Carlo, Condom, Thomas, and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo
- Subjects
Sedimentación ,Hidrología ,Corriente El Niño ,Océano pacífico ,Cordillera Central ,Cuencas ,Ciclo hidrológico ,Muestreo ,Sedimentos ,Geomorfología ,Dinamica del sedimento en suspension ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.11 [http] ,Perú ,Sedimentos de río ,Andes centrales occidentales ,Erosión de las costas ,Control de flujos sedimentarios ,Región andina ,Flujo del suelo - Abstract
Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina. Escuela de Posgrado. Doctorado en Recursos Hídricos En el Perú el desarrollo de la hidro-sedimentología en comparación con otras ramas de la hidrología ha sido limitada. El principal reto en el transporte de sedimentos está vinculado a los registros y a la disponibilidad de estos: i) Debido a la falta de registros y dispersión. ii) Es concerniente a la consistencia de la información. Como resultado, en la actualidad es poco conocido la relación entre la ubicación de las cuencas de montaña, precipitación, escorrentía, geomorfología, uso del suelo, influencia de la actividad antrópica, la influencia de El Niño y la dinámica del transporte de sedimentos. Este estudio contribuye con la disponibilidad de una nueva base de sedimentos para el periodo de 1948 a 2012. Este grupo de datos contiene registros continuos de los niveles del río, aforos periódicos, registros de turbidez y un muestreo horario del material en suspensión (MES). Al final, toda la base de datos fue criticada y tratada bajo una metodología consistente.Se evaluó la incertidumbre durante la estimación anual y mensual de los flujos de sedimentos en cuatro cuencas de montañas (1757–10411 km2). La base de datos fue descompuesta en una base de datos numérica con el fin de simular nuevas series de muestreo a diferentes frecuencias. La estrategia de muestreo para estas cuencas alto andinas puede variar entre 6 a 12 días (muestreo moderado), la cual produciría una subestimación del ~20% durante una estimación anual. Sin embargo, la estimación de los flujos sólidos mensuales, y durante la época de lluvias (diciembre-mayo) se requiere un intervalo de muestreo que va de uno a cinco días (muestreo intenso) este incluiría a un error de ± 40%. No obstante, para el periodo de estiaje (junio-setiembre) puede ser realizado una vez al mes, este incluirá un error del ± 45% y representa menos del 2% de la estimación de la SY a una escala anual. Finalmente, los resultados muestran que las frecuencias de muestreo antes mencionados deben reducirse a la mitad de tiempo (muestreo de intenso a automático) cuando se monitorea eventos extremos (durante lluvias) en el cual el error anual asciende a 300%. La calidad del agua en la cuenca del río Santa, ubicada al norte del Perú, tiene como principal problema la elevada carga del MES. Con el fin de caracterizar los flujos sólidos en cuencas de montaña, se evaluó la eficiencia del sensor óptico de turbidez como alternativa de monitoreo instantáneo del MES. El MES y los caudales son monitoreados en tres estaciones por el proyecto especial Chavimochic desde 1999. La toma de muestras del MES tiene una frecuencia de 12 a 48 horas. Antes de filtrar cada muestra, se toman lecturas de la turbidez en unidades nefelométricas de turbidez (NTU). Se calibró la relación MES = f(NTU) para las estaciones en estudio, y se calculó las relaciones entre MES y NTU, que presentan uno o dos quiebres, cuyos coeficientes de correlación (r2) varían entre 0.03 a 0.87. A partir del MES estimado se calcularon los flujos sólidos; la comparación de estos con los observados a nivel diario muestran un error relativo absoluto de 15% y el test de eficiencia de Nash-Sutcliffe da valores de 0.95 a 0.97. Otros cálculos a escala de tiempo mensual o anual brindan resultados mucho más óptimos. En este sentido, se afirma que la eficiencia del muestreo del MES a partir de lecturas de NTU se atribuye a la alta turbulencia de estos ríos de montaña. Sin embargo, consideramos que establecer una ecuación en función a la granulometría de las muestras ayudará a estimar con mayor precisión el MES. Finalmente, el uso de sensores ópticos de turbidez automatizadas (sondas) presentan un alto potencial para el monitoreo del MES instantáneo, para cuencas de montañas andinas. Se caracterizó y cuantificó la magnitud y la frecuencia de los flujos de sedimentos en 20 cuencas (638-16949 km2) en la vertiente del Pacífico. El análisis estadístico de las series diarias y subdiarias muestran una fuerte gradiente latitudinal y longitudinal. Los rangos de escorrentía van de 2.4 a 25.5 l.km2.s-1; mientras que los rangos del caudal sólido específico son más amplios de 9 a 2000 t.km2.año-1. Los resultados muestran una alta variación temporal de los flujos de sedimentos en el cual el MES responde inmediatamente a la escorrentía durante las descargas pico. Un análisis anual entre la escorrentía y los caudales específicos sólidos (SSY) muestran un rango de correlación 0 < r < 0.9 (p < 0.05) a lo largo de la vertiente del Pacífico. La variación temporal y espacial de los flujos sólidos en el Perú se incrementan dramáticamente durante eventos extremos (ej.; el mega El Niño 1982-83 y 1997-98). Además, los caudales específicos sólidos se incrementan de 10 a 30 veces el promedio histórico anual. Finalmente, los factores que controlan la producción de sedimentos (SY) no son completamente entendidos para cuencas de la vertiente del Pacífico. Futuros estudios se ocuparan de dicho tópico. Se identificó el principal factor que controla la SY y su importancia. El área de estudio comprende las cuencas de los ríos Tablachaca (3,132 km²) y Santa (6,815 km²), dos cuencas andinas, geográficamente vecinas. Ambas estadísticamente similares respecto a las precipitaciones y caudales diarios. No obstante, muestran un gran contraste en la SY. Con el fin de investigar cuales factores controlan la SY, se trabajó con los caudales instantáneos, datos horarios del material en suspensión (MES), topografía (SRTM 90 x90m), uso del suelo (Landsat 7), precipitaciones (SRTM, 3B43-7V) y litología para toda la cuenca del río Santa. Los resultados muestran que el SSY en la cuenca del río Tablachaca es una de las más elevadas a escala continental, para cuencas que escurren al lado Pacífico. Por otro lado, a partir de una serie histórica de 54 años de monitoreo, no se observó una relación entre los caudales y El Niño Oscilación del Sur (ENOS). Sin embargo, se observó que la cuenca del río Santa fue altamente sensible durante los mega El Niño (e.j.; 1982-1983, 1997-98). Finalmente, la micro-minería dispersa por toda la cuenca, así como la minería a grande escala ambas ligadas a una litología específica fueron identificadas como los factores que controlan las elevadas carga de SSY. Estas observaciones hacen de la vertiente del Pacífico (Perú) zonas claves para el estudio del SSY, visto que estas se asemejan a laboratorios naturales sometidos bajo condiciones extremas. Hydro-sedimentology development in comparison to other hydrology issues has been limited in Peru. The main challenge is related to the record and its availability. First, because the record gaps and its dispersion. Second, it is concerned with the reliability of the information. As a result, little is known about the relationship between mountain catchment location, precipitation, runoff, geomorphology, land use, anthropogenic influence, the El Niño influence and the sediment transport dynamics at the present. A new national hydro-sedimentology dataset (1948-2012) is available from continuous levels flow records (limnigraph), periodic gauging discharge, turbidity records and hourly suspended sediment concentrations (SSC) samples. In the end, the whole dataset was criticized and treated under a consistent methodology. Uncertainty during monthly and annual sediment flows estimation were characterized at four catchment mountains (1757-10411 km2). The database was broken down into a numerical base to simulate several sampling frequencies. Observed and simulated data were compared; results show high temporal variability in these Andean watersheds. Sediment yield (SY) sampling frequency varies from 6 to 12 days, underestimating ~ 20% annually. However, suspended sediment yield (SY) estimation at monthly scale during the rainy season (Dec. to May) require sampling from 1 to 5 days involving ± 40% of error. During dry season (Jun. to Sep.), the sampling could be done one time per month to involve ± 45%, but, this lead less than 2 % in an annual balance. Finally, results show that the sampling frequency values mentioned above should be reduced to half, for exceptional events (rainy season) where the annual error estimate is around 300%. The Santa River watershed is situated in the north of Peru. The strong SSC is the main problem in the water quality in the Santa river watershed. In order to characterise the solid flows at high frequency in mountains watershed, the efficiency of the optical turbidity sensor was evaluated. Since 1999 the Chavimochic project evaluated the SSC and water discharge at three stations. The sampling frequency is about 12 to 48 hours. Before filtering the SSC of each sample, readings of nephelometric turbidity units (NTU) are taken. The SSC=f(NTU) was calibrated according to the study stations, the relationships between SSC and NTU have two to three trends; whose correlation coefficients (r2) range from 0.03 to 0.87. Sediment flux was computed from the SSC estimated, comparisons against the daily observed and estimated sediment flux show an absolute relative error of 15 % and the test of Nash- Sutcliffe efficiency gives values of 0.95 to 0.97. Estimations at monthly or annual scale provide better results, accuracy is attributed to the strong turbulence characteristic of these mountains rives. However, establishing an equation depending on the grain size in the samples will improve estimation of the SSC. Finally, the use of automated optical turbidity sensors (sondes) shows high potential to monitoring instantaneous SSC at Andean mountain basins. Magnitude and frequency of the sediment flows was quantified and characterized in twenty catchments (638-16949 km2) along the Pacific watershed (Peru). Statistical analysis of daily and sub-daily time series show a strong latitudinal and longitudinal runoff gradient ranges from 2.4 to 25.5 l.km2.s-1 and large specific SSY ranges from 9 to 2 000 t.km2.year1. Results also show that there is a high sediment flux temporal variation, where Suspended Sediment Concentration (SSC) response immediately to runoff during water discharge peaks. Annual analysis between runoff and SSY shows a correlation ranging from 0 < r < 0.9 (p < 0.05) along the Pacific. Space and temporal SSF variability in Peru are dramatically increased during extreme events (mega El Niño 1982-83 and 1997-98). Sediment flows increase from10 to 30 times the historical annual average. Finally, factors which control SSY are not fully, so further study on this topic will be undertaken in the future. Quantify and understand the SSY in a sensitive mountain catchment is a challenge; nevertheless, identify the main factors which control erosion and their relevance is even more. The Tablachaca (3132 km²) and the Santa (6815 km²) are two mountains rivers basin geographically adjacent. Those showed similar statistical daily rainfall and discharge variability, however, large differences in specific suspended-sediment yield (SSY). Instantaneous water discharge, hourly MES, topography (SRTM 90 x90m ), land use (Landsat 7), precipitation (SRTM , 3B43 -7V) and lithology were recognized for the entire Santa River basin in order to investigate which factors control the SY. Results show that the SSY of the Tablachaca river basin is one of the highest at continental-scale. On the other hand, relationship between SY and the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) was no observed; nonetheless, during the mega El Niño (e.g.; 1982-1983, 1997-98) the Santa River basin was highly sensitive. Finally, mining activity in specific lithologies was identified as the major factor that controls the high SSY of the Tablachaca (2204 t km2 yr−1), which is four times greater than the Santa’s SSY. These results show that the analysis of control factors of regional SSY at the Andes scale should be done carefully. Indeed, spatial data at kilometric scale and also daily water discharge and SSC time series are needed to define the main erosion factors along the entire Andean range. Tesis
- Published
- 2014
188. Modelado hidrológico distribuido de la cuenca amazónica peruana utilizando precipitación obtenida por satélite
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Zubieta Barragán, Ricardo and Espinoza, Jhan Carlo
- Subjects
purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09 [http] ,purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.11 [http] ,Amazonas ,Modelo hidrológico ,Cuencas ,Caudales - Abstract
La utilización de precipitación estimada por satélite como entrada a modelos hidrológicos es una alternativa atractiva en regiones con datos limitados o falta de datos observados. Estos datos ha sido utilizados principalmente en los estudios hidrológicos de la cuenca Amazónica Brasileña. En esta tesis, la precipitación estimada por satélite fue empleada en la evaluación de un modelado lluvia - escorrentía. Tres productos de precipitación deducidos de los datos satelitales (TMPA V7, CMORPH y PERSIANN) se utilizaron como datos forzantes para las simulaciones de caudales diarios usando el modelo hidrológico de cuencas de gran escala MGB – IPH, para el período 2003-2009. Se emplearon datos de caudales diarios de 13 estaciones hidrométricas provenientes del observatorio ORE-HYBAM. Los resultados de este estudio sugieren que el producto TMPA V7 es más representativo que los otros y se puede utilizar como entrada para un modelado hidrológico lluvia-escorrentía sobre la cuenca amazónica peruana. Sin embargo, los análisis indican un efecto contrario en las subcuencas situadas entre las regiones del norte y sur de la cuenca amazónica peruana, en especial para capturar la fase y magnitud de los eventos extremos. Esto demuestra la dificultad de representar hidrogramas observados en regiones cercanas a la línea ecuatorial con precipitaciones estimadas de satélite, que se caracteriza por una débil variabilidad estacional. UNALM, IGP Tesis
- Published
- 2013
189. The Andes-Amazon-Atlantic pathway: A foundational hydroclimate system for social-ecological system sustainability.
- Author
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Beveridge CF, Espinoza JC, Athayde S, Correa SB, Couto TBA, Heilpern SA, Jenkins CN, Piland NC, Utsunomiya R, Wongchuig S, and Anderson EP
- Abstract
The Amazon River Basin's extraordinary social-ecological system is sustained by various water phases, fluxes, and stores that are interconnected across the tropical Andes mountains, Amazon lowlands, and Atlantic Ocean. This "Andes-Amazon-Atlantic" (AAA) pathway is a complex hydroclimatic system linked by the regional water cycle through atmospheric circulation and continental hydrology. Here, we aim to articulate the AAA hydroclimate pathway as a foundational system for research, management, conservation, and governance of aquatic systems of the Amazon Basin. We identify and describe the AAA pathway as an interdependent, multidirectional, and multiscale hydroclimate system. We then present an assessment of recent (1981 to 2020) changes in the AAA pathway, primarily reflecting an acceleration in the rates of hydrologic fluxes (i.e., water cycle intensification). We discuss how the changing AAA pathway orchestrates and impacts social-ecological systems. We conclude with four recommendations for the sustainability of the AAA pathway in ongoing research, management, conservation, and governance., Competing Interests: Competing interests statement:The authors declare no competing interest.
- Published
- 2024
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190. The new record of drought and warmth in the Amazon in 2023 related to regional and global climatic features.
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Espinoza JC, Jimenez JC, Marengo JA, Schongart J, Ronchail J, Lavado-Casimiro W, and Ribeiro JVM
- Abstract
In 2023 Amazonia experienced both historical drought and warm conditions. On October 26th 2023 the water levels at the port of Manaus reached its lowest record since 1902 (12.70 m). In this region, October monthly maximum and minimum temperature anomalies also surpassed previous record values registered in 2015 (+ 3 °C above the normal considering the 1981-2020 average). Here we show that this historical dry and warm situation in Amazonia is associated with two main atmospheric mechanisms: (i) the November 2022-February 2023 southern anomaly of vertical integrated moisture flux (VIMF), related to VIMF divergence and extreme rainfall deficit over southwestern Amazonia, and (ii) the June-August 2023 downward motion over northern Amazonia related to extreme rainfall deficit and warm conditions over this region. Anomalies of both atmospheric mechanisms reached record values during this event. The first mechanism is significantly correlated to negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the equatorial Pacific (November-February La Niña events). The second mechanism is significantly correlated to positive SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific, related to the impacts of June-September El Niño on the Walker Circulation. While previous extreme droughts were linked to El Niño (warmer North Tropical Atlantic SST) during the austral summer (winter and spring), the transition from La Niña 2022-23 to El Niño 2023 appears to be a key climatic driver in this record-breaking dry and warm situation, combined to a widespread anomalous warming over the worldwide ocean., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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191. Increased climate pressure on the agricultural frontier in the Eastern Amazonia-Cerrado transition zone.
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Marengo JA, Jimenez JC, Espinoza JC, Cunha AP, and Aragão LEO
- Abstract
Several large-scale drivers of both anthropogenic and natural environmental changes are interacting nonlinearly in the transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent Cerrado, considered to be another Brazilian agricultural frontier. Land-use change for agrobusiness expansion together with climate change in the transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent Cerrado may have induced a worsening of severe drought conditions over the last decade. Here we show that the largest warming and drying trends over tropical South America during the last four decades are observed to be precisely in the eastern Amazonia-Cerrado transition region, where they induce delayed wet-season and worsen severe drought conditions over the last decade. Our results evidence an increase in temperature, vapor pressure deficit, subsidence, dry-day frequency, and a decrease in precipitation, humidity, and evaporation, plus a delay in the onset of the wet season, inducing a higher risk of fire during the dry-to-wet transition season. These findings provide observational evidence of the increasing climatic pressure in this area, which is sensitive for global food security, and the need to reconcile agricultural expansion and protection of natural tropical biomes., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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