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For reducing the high mortality rate of severe acute kidney injury (AKI) patients initiating continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), diagnosing sepsis and predicting prognosis are essential. However, with reduced renal function, biomarkers for diagnosing sepsis and predicting prognosis are unclear. This study aimed to assess whether C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin, and presepsin could be used to diagnose sepsis and predict mortality in patients with impaired renal function initiating CRRT. This was a single-center, retrospective study involving 127 patients who initiated CRRT. Patients were divided into sepsis and non-sepsis groups according to the SEPSIS-3 criteria. Of the 127 patients, 90 were in the sepsis group and 37 were in the non-sepsis group. Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the association between the biomarkers (CRP, procalcitonin, and presepsin) and survival. CRP and procalcitonin were superior to presepsin for diagnosing sepsis. Presepsin was closely related to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (r = −0.251, p = 0.004). These biomarkers were also evaluated as prognostic markers. Procalcitonin levels ≥3 ng/mL and CRP levels ≥31 mg/L were associated with higher all-cause mortality using Kaplan–Meier curve analysis. (log-rank test p = 0.017 and p = 0.014, respectively). In addition, procalcitonin levels ≥3 ng/mL and CRP levels ≥31 mg/L were associated with higher mortality in univariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis. In conclusion, a higher lactic acid, sequential organ failure assessment score, eGFR, and a lower albumin level have prognostic value to predict mortality in patients with sepsis initiating CRRT. Moreover, among these biomarkers, procalcitonin and CRP are significant factors for predicting the survival of AKI patients with sepsis-initiating CRRT.

Renal disease associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has become the leading cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Renal ultrasonography is an imaging examination required in the work-up of renal disease. This study aimed to identify the differences in renal ultrasonographic findings between patients with and without DM, and to evaluate the relationship between renal ultrasound findings and renal prognosis in patients with DM. A total of 252 patients who underwent renal ultrasonography at Chungnam National University Hospital were included. Kidney disease progression was defined as a ≥10% decline in the annual estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), which, in this paper, is referred to as ΔeGFR/year, or the initiation of renal replacement therapy after follow-up. The renal scoring system was evaluated by summing up the following items: the value of renal parenchymal echogenicity (0: normal; 1: mildly increased; and 2: increased) and the shape of the cortical margin (0: normal and 1: irregular; right kidney length/height (RH—0 or 1), mean cortical thickness/renal length/height (CKH—0 or 1), and cortical thickness/parenchymal thickness (CK/PK—0 or 1) based on the median: 0—above median, and 1—below median). Patients with DM had thicker renal PKH than those without, despite having lower eGFRs (0.91 ± 0.15, 0.86 ± 0.14, p = 0.006). In the progression group, the renal scores were significantly higher than those from the non-progression group. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, the higher renal scores, presence of DM, and younger age were independently predicted for renal disease progression after adjusting for confounding variables, such as the presence of hypertension, serum hemoglobin and albumin levels, and UPCR. In conclusion, patients with high renal scores were significantly associated with renal disease progression. Our results suggest that renal ultrasonography at the time of diagnosis provides useful prognostic information in patients with kidney disease.

Background: Polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) is a common cause of infertility in women. In-vitro fertilization (IVF) is required in 20–30% of women with PCOS trying to conceive. This is associated with increased risk of multiple gestation and ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome. Improvements in IVF techniques, safety standards, and the increased use of frozen embryos in recent years have lead to improved outcomes for women with PCOS. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare these outcomes with women without PCOS. Search Methods: A search of PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central Register of clinical trials, and Scopus databases for all articles published until November 16th, 2017 identified 21 studies comparing IVF outcomes in PCOS and non-PCOS women. Inclusion criteria were Rotterdam criteria PCOS, comparable IVF regimes, immediate IVF outcomes, and pregnancy outcomes. Studies were excluded if the control group included any PCOS criteria, donor oocytes, or in-vitro maturation. Outcomes: No difference was observed in live birth rate per cycle in women with vs. without PCOS (RR = 1.01 [0.89, 1.16]; I2 = 82%), but the live birth rate per first cycle in PCOS cycles (RR = 0.93 [0.88, 0.99]) was slightly lower. There was also no difference in the clinical pregnancy rate (RR 1.02 [0.89, 1.17]) or biochemical pregnancy rate (RR 1.03 [0.99, 1.08]) observed between the two groups. PCOS was associated with a significantly higher number of oocytes retrieved (mean difference = 3.6; 95% CI [2.8, 4.4]), risk of miscarriage (RR 2.90 [2.09, 4.02]), and risk of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (RR 3.42 [2.28, 5.13]) per cycle. Conclusion: Despite a widespread perception of poor reproductive potential, women with PCOS experience IVF outcomes similar to those without PCOS. Although there is a slightly lower live birth rate during their first stimulation cycle, success rates are similar after multiple cycles. PCOS is associated with a higher risk of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome. Further studies are required to mitigate this risk.

ABSTRACT Here, we aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of a serological assay using the nucleocapsid protein developed for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) detection and evaluated its performance using three commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs), namely, Standard E 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) total antibody (Ab) ELISA (SD Biosensor), and EDI novel coronavirus COVID-19 IgG and IgM ELISA. A recombinant nucleocapsid protein (rNP) was expressed from plants and Escherichia coli for the detection of serum total Ab. We prospectively collected 141 serum samples from 32 patients with reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR)-confirmed COVID-19 and determined the sensitivity and dynamics of their total Ab response. Specificity was evaluated using 158 prepandemic samples. To validate the assays, we evaluated the performance using two different cutoff values. The sensitivity and specificity for each assay were as follows: 92.91% and 94.30% (plant-rNP), 83.69% and 98.73% (SD Biosensor), 75.89% and 98.10% (E. coli-rNP), 76.47% and 100% (EDI-IgG), and 80.39% and 80% (EDI-IgM). The plant-based rNP showed the highest sensitivity and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (0.980) among all the assays (P 80% and 100% for EDI-IgM and EDI-IgG ELISA, respectively. Seroconversion occurred earlier with rNP plant-based ELISA (5 days PSO) compared with E. coli-based (7 days PSO) and SD Biosensor (8 days PSO) ELISA. We determined that rNP produced in plants enables the robust detection of SARS-CoV-2 total Abs. The assay can be used for serosurvey and complementary diagnosis of COVID-19. IMPORTANCE At present, the principal diagnostic methods for COVID-19 comprise the identification of viral nucleic acid by genetic approaches, including PCR-based techniques or next-generation sequencing. However, there is an urgent need for validated serological assays which are crucial for the understanding of immune responses against SARS-CoV-2. In this study, a highly sensitive and specific serological antibody assay was developed for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 with an overall accuracy of 93.56% using a recombinant nucleoprotein expressed from plants.

Aging, and other disease-related muscle disorders are serious health problems. Dexamethasone (DEX), a synthetic glucocorticoid, can trigger skeletal muscle atrophy. This study examined the effects of mealworm (Tenebrio molitor larva) ethanol extract (TME) on C2C12 myoblast differentiation and DEX-induced myotube atrophy. TME induced myotube formation compared to the differentiation medium (DM) group. TME also significantly increased the mRNA expression of muscle creatine kinase (CKm) and myogenic regulatory factors (MRFs), such as myogenin (MyoG), myogenic factor (Myf)5, and MRF4 (Myf6). TME dramatically increased the muscle-specific protein, MyoG, compared to the control, whereas the expression of myogenic differentiation 1 (MyoD) remained unchanged. It also activated the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) signaling pathway. In the DEX-induced muscle atrophy C2C12 model, TME reduced the gene expression of atrogin-1, muscle RING finger protein-1 (MuRF-1), and myostatin, which are involved in protein degradation in skeletal muscles. Furthermore, TME elevated the phosphorylation of forkhead box O3 (FoxO3α) and protein kinase B (Akt). These findings suggest that TME can enhance myotube hypertrophy by regulating the mTOR signaling pathway, and can rescue DEX-induced muscle atrophy by alleviating atrophic muscle markers mediated by Akt activation. Thus, TME can be a potential therapeutic agent for treating muscle weakness and atrophy.

An endolichenic fungus, Xylaria grammica strain EL000614, showed strong nematicidal effects against plant pathogenic nematode, Meloidogyne incognita by producing grammicin. We report genome assembly of X. grammica EL000614 comprised of 25 scaffolds with a total length of 54.73 Mb, N50 of 4.60 Mb, and 99.8% of BUSCO completeness. GC contents of this genome were 44.02%. Gene families associated with biosynthesis of secondary metabolites or regulatory proteins were identified out of 13,730 gene models predicted.

We investigated the kinetics of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 neutralizing antibodies in 7 asymptomatic persons and 11 patients with pneumonia. The geometric mean titer of neutralizing antibodies declined from 219.4 at 2 months to 143.7 at 5 months after infection, indicating a waning antibody response.

Background: The oocyte-secreted factors growth differentiation factor-9 (GDF9) and bone morphogenetic protein-15 (BMP15) are key regulators of female fertility and are predominantly expressed by oocytes. Recently, methods to quantitate these proteins in serum have demonstrated diagnostic potential. It is unknown if concentrations reflect ovarian and endocrine function, particularly in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), where GDF9/BMP15 function is suggested to be aberrant. Aim: To determine if serum GDF9/BMP15 are associated with ovarian and endocrine parameters, and the ovarian pathologies, PCOM and PCOS. Method: Women aged 21-45 years (n=381) were from a cross-sectional study at the National University Hospital, Singapore, including healthy volunteers and referrals from gynecological clinics. Transvaginal ultrasound scans, blood tests and questionnaire were performed. Serum GDF9 and BMP15 were assessed relative to ovarian (cycle regularity, ovarian volume, AFC, AMH) and androgenic (testosterone, DHT, androstenedione, DHEAS, SHBG, mFG score) characteristics. PCOM and PCOS were determined using the Rotterdam criteria. Statistical analyses used parametric survival models and Kendall’s tau correlation appropriate for data containing values below the limit of detection. Results: Serum GDF9 and BMP15 were detectable in 40% and 41% of women, respectively. Serum GDF9 positively correlated with ovarian volume (p=0.02), AFC (p=0.004), and weakly with AMH (p=0.05). Furthermore, irregular menstrual cycles were associated with high GDF9 (p=0.005), and similar, although non-significant associations were seen for BMP15. When stratified into PCOS (n=130), PCOM (n=59), and control (n=192), GDF9 and BMP15 concentrations were not significantly different, and were not associated with the majority of androgenic features of PCOS. However, the relationship between GDF9 and AFC was significantly different between PCOM, PCOS and control women (p=0.02). Conclusion: These results suggest that serum GDF9 and BMP15 reflect ovarian characteristics but not androgenic characteristics of PCOS, and that the relationships between GDF9 and AFC may be aberrant in women with PCOM/PCOS.

Introduction Monogenic diabetes is attributed to genetic variations in a single gene. Maturity-onset diabetes of the young (MODY) is the most common phenotype associated with monogenic diabetes, but is frequently misdiagnosed as either type 1 or type 2 diabetes. Increasing our basic understanding of genetic variations in MODY may help to improve the accuracy of providing the correct diagnosis and personalize subsequent treatment regimens in different racial populations. For this reason, this study was designed to identify nucleotide variants in early onset diabetes patients with clinically suspected MODY in a Korean population.Research design and methods Among 2908 Korean patients diagnosed with diabetes, we selected 40 patients who were diagnosed before 30 years old and were clinically suspected of MODY. Genetic testing was performed using a targeted gene sequencing panel that included 30 known monogenic diabetes genes. The pathogenicity of the identified variants was assessed according to the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and Association for Molecular Pathology (ACMG-AMP) guidelines.Results A total of six rare missense variants (p.Ala544Thr in HNF1A, p.Val601Ile and p.His103Tyr in ABCC8, p.Pro33Ala in PDX1, p.Gly18Glu in INS, and p.Arg164Gln in PAX4) in five distinct MODY genes were identified in five patients. In addition, a variant was identified in mitochondrial DNA at 3243A>G in one patient. The identified variants were either absent or detected at a rare frequency in the 1000 Genomes Project. These variants were classified as uncertain significance using the ACMG-AMP guidelines.Conclusion Using a targeted gene sequencing panel, we identified seven variants in either MODY genes or mitochondrial DNA using a Korean patient population with early onset diabetes who were clinically suspected of MODY. This genetic approach provides the ability to compare distinct populations of racial and ethnic groups to determine whether specific gene is involved in their diagnosis of MODY.

Difficulty in protoplast regeneration is a major obstacle to apply the CRISPR/Cas9 gene editing technique effectively in research and breeding of rapeseed (Brassica napus L.). The present study describes for the first time a rapid and efficient protocol for the isolation, regeneration and transfection of protoplasts of rapeseed cv. Kumily, and its application in gene editing. Protoplasts isolated from leaves of 3–4 weeks old were cultured in MI and MII liquid media for cell wall formation and cell division, followed by subculture on shoot induction medium and shoot regeneration medium for shoot production. Different basal media, types and combinations of plant growth regulators, and protoplast culture duration on each type of media were investigated in relation to protoplast regeneration. The results showed that relatively high concentrations of NAA (0.5 mg l−1) and 2,4-D (0.5 mg l−1) in the MI medium were essential for protoplasts to form cell walls and maintain cell divisions, and thereafter auxin should be reduced for callus formation and shoot induction. For shoot regeneration, relatively high concentrations of cytokinin were required, and among all the combinations tested, 2.2 mg l−1 TDZ in combination with auxin 0.5 mg l−1 NAA gave the best result with up to 45% shoot regeneration. Our results also showed the duration of protoplast culture on different media was critical, as longer culture durations would significantly reduce the shoot regeneration frequency. In addition, we have optimized the transfection protocol for rapeseed. Using this optimized protocol, we have successfully edited the BnGTR genes controlling glucosinolate transport in rapeseed with a high mutation frequency.

OBJECTIVES:. We sought to validate prognostic scores in coronavirus disease 2019 including National Early Warning Score, Modified Early Warning Score, and age-based modifications, and define their performance characteristics. DESIGN:. We analyzed prospectively collected data from the Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial. National Early Warning Score was collected daily during the trial, Modified Early Warning Score was calculated, and age applied to both scores. We assessed prognostic value for the end points of recovery, mechanical ventilation, and death for score at enrollment, average, and slope of score over the first 48 hours. SETTING:. A multisite international inpatient trial. PATIENTS:. A total of 1,062 adult nonpregnant inpatients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia. INTERVENTIONS:. Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial 1 randomized participants to receive remdesivir or placebo. The prognostic value of predictive scores was evaluated in both groups separately to assess for differential performance in the setting of remdesivir treatment. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:. For mortality, baseline National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score were weakly to moderately prognostic (c-index, 0.60–0.68), and improved with addition of age (c-index, 0.66–0.74). For recovery, baseline National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score demonstrated somewhat better prognostic ability (c-index, 0.65–0.69); however, National Early Warning Score+age and Modified Early Warning Score+age further improved performance (c-index, 0.68–0.71). For deterioration, baseline National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score were weakly to moderately prognostic (c-index, 0.59–0.69) and improved with addition of age (c-index, 0.63–0.70). All prognostic performance improvements due to addition of age were significant (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS:. In the Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial 1 cohort, National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score demonstrated moderate prognostic performance in patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019, with improvement in predictive ability for National Early Warning Score+age and Modified Early Warning Score+age. Area under receiver operating curve for National Early Warning Score and Modified Early Warning Score improved in patients receiving remdesivir versus placebo early in the pandemic for recovery and mortality. Although these scores are simple and readily obtainable in myriad settings, in our data set, they were insufficiently predictive to completely replace clinical judgment in coronavirus disease 2019 and may serve best as an adjunct to triage, disposition, and resourcing decisions.

This study aimed to compare the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) of nephrectomized patients with non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma (nmRCC) and local recurrence without distant metastasis (LR group), those with metastasis without local recurrence (MET group), and those with both local recurrence and metastasis (BOTH group). This retrospective multicenter study included 464 curatively nephrectomized patients with nmRCC and disease recurrence between 2000 and 2012; the follow-up period was until 2017. After adjusting for significant clinicopathological factors using Cox proportional hazard models, CSS and OS were compared between the MET (n = 50, 10.7%), BOTH (n = 95, 20.5%), and LR (n = 319, 68.8%) groups. The CSS and OS rates were 34.7 and 6.5% after a median follow-up of 43.9 months, respectively. After adjusting for significant prognostic factors of OS and CSS, the MET group had hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.51 and 0.57 for OS and CSS (p = 0.039 and 0.103), respectively, whereas the BOTH group had HRs of 0.51 and 0.60 for OS and CSS (p < 0.05), respectively; LR was taken as a reference. The 2-year OS and CSS rates from the date of nephrectomy and disease recurrence were 86.9% and 88.9% and 63.5% and 67.8%, respectively, for the LR group; 89.5% and 89.5% and 48.06% and 52.43%, respectively, for the MET group; and 96.8% and 96.8% and 86.6% and 82.6%, respectively, for the BOTH group. Only the LR and BOTH groups had significant differences in the 2-year OS and CSS rates (p < 0.05). In conclusion, our study showed that the LR group had worse survival prognoses than any other group in nephrectomized patients with nmRCC.

Background : : von Willebrand disease (VWD) is one of the most common inherited bleeding disorders. However, the number of patients who register to the Korea Hemophilia Foundation (KHF) is much lower than the expected prevalence rate and only few hospitals perform tests for diagnosis autonomously. Thus, we surveyed practical realities of VWD in Yeungnam region. Methods : : Patients with VWD (N=267) who were diagnosed at eleven university hospitals from March 1995 to March 2018 were enrolled in this study. We evaluated the medical records from each hospital retrospectively. Results : : Two hundred and twenty-eight children and 39 adults met the diagnostic criteria for VWD. Seventy-eight (57.4%) patients had the blood type O. Fifty-eight patients were definite type 1 (21.7%), 151 were possible type 1 (56.6%), and the others were type 2. Abnormal laboratory findings were the most common factor for the diagnosis in children. VWF mutations were detected in 17 patients. Patients with a family history showed age of diagnosis of 9 y, which is higher than in those with no family history (6 yr), and also showed a higher rate of significant bleeding (32.1% vs. 14.2%). VWF:RCo and VWF:Ag tests were performed in-hospital at only 1 of 11 hospitals. Twelve of 267 patients were enrolled at the KHF (4.5%). Conclusion : : A high rate of out-sourcing studies may result in inaccurate diagnosis. The registration rate to the KHF is still lower than the prevalence rate. A comprehensive nationwide registration system is necessary in order to identify the actual prevalence rate and promote the diagnosis of VWD in Korea.

Background : : Immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) in children less than one year of age is less well characterized compared to ITP in toddlers and school-age children. Since children of different ages may have differing clinical courses, better delineation of the natural history of ITP in infants is needed. Methods : : We retrospectively reviewed the admission records of 248 consecutive pediatric patients between 1 month and 15 years of age who were admitted and treated for acute ITP at Pusan National University Children’s Hospital from 2009 through 2017. All patients less than 1 year of age were identified and enrolled in this study. We investigated their demographics, clinical features, laboratory examinations, response to treatment, and long-term outcomes and made a comparison to those of children aged 1 to 10 years of age. Results : : Ninety nine infants were identified. Male to female ratio was highest in infants and decreased with age. Seventy nine (79.8%) of the 99 infant were found to be under 6 months old. The median platelet counts at diagnosis was 6×109/L. Minor bleeding (bleeding score 0-2) was significantly dominant in infant compared to older subjects. Eighty two (96.5%) out of 85 patients achieved complete remission after initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment. The relapse rate after initial CR was significantly lower than older ages (P=0.003). The platelet count after IVIG treatment in infant showed more rapid response compared to older subjects (P=0.04). Follow up information at 12 months was available for 70 infants. Chronic ITP at 12 month was seen less frequently in infants than in children 1 to 10 years of age (1.4% vs. 20.2%, P

Abstract Background Gestational diabetes (GDM) is a known risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and women with a history of GDM have a 7-fold increased risk of developing the disease. Achieving a healthy weight post-delivery is key in reducing the risk of future diabetes in these women. The aim of this trial is to investigate the use of an interactive smartphone application (APP) to restore women to optimal weight following delivery. Methods This will be an open-label randomized controlled trial. Two hundred women with gestational diabetes will be randomized to receive the intervention or standard care following delivery. Participants will be reviewed at 6 weeks and 4 months post-delivery. The intervention is an APP serving as a platform for weight, diet and physical activity tracking. The APP provides 3–5 min educational videos suggesting suitable lifestyle adjustments relevant to postnatal period such as breast feeding, diet and exercise. Lastly, the APP will allow real-time interaction between users and the team of dietitians, physiotherapists and occupational therapists to encourage restoration of optimal weight. Women in the control arm will be informed about the increased risk of developing T2DM and advised to maintain a healthy weight. Primary outcome measure is the restoration of participants’ booking weight if booking BMI ≤ 23, or weight loss of at least 5% from booking weight if booking BMI > 23 over the 4 month period. Secondary outcome measures will assess serum metabolic and inflammatory markers, quality of life via questionnaires and cost-effectiveness of the intervention at each follow-up visit. Discussion This will be the first randomised controlled trial investigating the use of a smartphone application for postpartum weight loss in women with gestational diabetes. The major ethnic groups in our study population represent the majority of ethnic groups in Asia, amongst which the prevalence of diabetes is high. If shown to be effective, this APP may be used in wider clinical settings to improve postpartum weight loss and reduce the risk of developing T2DM in these women. Trial registration This study was registered on clintrials.gov on the 30th of October 2017, under the trial registration number: NCT03324737.

Venturia nashicola is a fungal pathogen that causes Asian pear scab disease. This pathogen is of particular importance in Northeast Asian countries, where Asian pears are grown industrially. Scab disease in Asian pear is currently controlled by fungicide spraying and this situation calls for developing scab resistant cultivars. High-quality genome data are therefore required for in-depth comparative genome analysis of different isolates of V. nashicola and V. pyrina, a closely related species, which only infects European pear plants. Here, we report the high-contiguity whole genome assembly of two V. nashicola isolates, which is expected to enable genome comparisons for identification of the genes involved in host range determination of V. nashicola.

Most studies concerning congenital mirror movements (CMMs) have been focused on the motor organization in the distal hand muscles exclusively. To the best of our knowledge, there is no data on motor organization pattern of lower extremities, and a scarcity of data on the significance of forearm and arm muscles in CMMs. Here, we describe the case of a 19-year-old boy presenting mirror movements. In these terms, a 10-year transcranial magnetic stimulation study demonstrated that the motor organization pattern of the arm muscles was different from that of distal hand and forearm muscles even in the same upper extremity, and that the lower extremities showed the same pathways as healthy children. Moreover, in this case, an ipsilateral motor evoked potentials (MEPs) for distal hand muscles increased in amplitude with age, even though the intensity of mirror movements decreased. In the arm muscles, however, it was concluded that the contralateral MEPs increased in amplitude with age.

Abstract Objectives The optimal treatment strategy for metastatic non‐clear cell renal cell carcinoma (mNCCRCC) is still elusive and mainly extrapolated from evidence available for metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma. The aim of the study was therefore to investigate the survival outcomes and prognostic factors affecting survival in patients with mNCCRCC treated with targeted therapy. Materials and methods We analyzed a total of 156 patients (8.1%) with mNCCRCC among the total cohort of 1922 patients in the Korean metastatic RCC registry. We used Kaplan‐Meier curve analysis to calculate the survival estimates for first‐line progression‐free survival (PFS), total PFS, and cancer‐specific survival (CSS). We also used the log‐rank test to compare the different groups and multivariate Cox‐proportional hazard regression analyses to evaluate the prognostic factors for survival. Results The mNCCRCC group had significantly inferior survival outcomes in terms of first‐line PFS, total PFS, and CSS (all P

Purpose Pompe disease (PD) is an autosomal recessive disorder caused by a deficiency of acid alphaglucosidase resulting from pathogenic GAA variants. This study describes the clinical features, genotypes, changes before and after enzyme replacement therapy (ERT), and long-term outcomes in patients with infantile-onset PD (IOPD) and late-onset PD (LOPD) at a tertiary medical center. Methods The medical records of 5 Korean patients (2 male, 3 female patients) diagnosed with PD between 2002 and 2013 at Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, Republic of Korea were retrospectively reviewed for data, including clinical and genetic characteristics at diagnosis and clinical course after ERT. Results Common initial symptoms included hypotonia, cyanosis, and tachycardia in patients with IOPD and limb girdle weakness in patients with LOPD. Electrocardiography at diagnosis revealed hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in all patients with IOPD who showed a stable disease course during a median follow-up period of 10 years. Patients with LOPD showed improved hepatomegaly and liver transaminase level after ERT. Conclusion As ERT is effective for treatment of PD, early identification of this disease is very important. Thus, patients with IOPD should be considered candidates for clinical trials of new drugs in the future.

Purpose: To analyze trends over a period of 28 years in the clinical, operative, and pathologic characteristics of patients with a renal mass who underwent surgical resection in Korea. Materials and Methods: Consecutive patients (n=6,231) with a renal mass who underwent surgical resection at eight Korean institutions between 1988 and 2015 were reviewed. Patients were assigned to one of three groups according to the date of surgery: group 1, 1988–1999; group 2, 2000–2009; and group 3, 2010–2015. Results: Age at the time of surgery, body mass index, smoking status, incidence of diabetes and hypertension, and the number of incidentally identified renal masses increased significantly over time. The proportion of patients undergoing partial nephrectomy (PN) or minimally invasive surgery (MIS) increased sharply during the last two time periods. From 2010, the rate of robot-assisted nephrectomy rose sharply, occurring in 37.8% of MIS cases. Benign pathology was identified in 1.8% and 5.2% of cases in the middle and last periods, respectively; angiomyolipoma was the most common pathology. In later years, tumors were more often localized, although tumor grade increased. Sub-group analysis of small renal masses ≤4 cm revealed similar trends in operative and pathologic characteristics over time. Conclusions: Between 1988 and 2015, there was a substantial change in the clinical, operative, and histological characteristics of patients who underwent resection of a renal mass in Korea. The most notable changes were stage migration towards localized disease and widespread use of PN and MIS.

Abstract Background Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is emerging in Asian 3 countries, China, Japan and Korea, which are scrub typhus endemic areas, and its incidence is increasing. As the two infections overlap epidemiologically and clinically and the accessibility or sensitivity of diagnostic tests is limited, early clinical prediction may be useful for diagnostic and therapeutic purposes. Methods Patients aged ≥16 years who were clinically suspected and laboratory-confirmed to be infected with Orientia tsutsugamushi or the SFTS virus in South Korea were enrolled. Clinical and laboratory parameters were compared. Scrub typhus was further subclassified according to the status of eschar and skin rash. An SFTS prediction scoring tool was generated based on a logistic regression analysis of SFTS compared with scrub typhus. Results The analysis was performed on 255 patients with scrub typhus and 107 patients with SFTS. At initial presentation, subjective symptoms except for gastrointestinal symptoms, were more prominent in scrub typhus patients. In addition to the characteristic eschar and skin rash, headache was significantly more prominent in scrub typhus, while laboratory abnormalities were more prominent in SFTS. Leukopenia (white blood cell count

Stereo matching methods have achieved remarkable improvements by exploiting various attempts. However, most stereo matching algorithms still suffer from problems such as ambiguous region and inherent ambiguities. In particular, some problems affecting cost aggregation step have the greatest impact on depth results. To resolve the above-mentioned problems, we propose a new cost aggregation method using the modified total generalized variation with fusion tensor. First, two kinds of diffusion tensors are extracted from the guidance color image and the guidance depth map. They are incorporated into an energy functional to obtain the total generalized variation. After formulating the final energy functional, it is optimized via a primal-dual energy minimization method. The performance of the proposed method is experimentally verified by qualitatively and quantitatively comparing the results to those of other algorithms.

The microbiological characteristics of Staphylococcus aureus causing infective endocarditis (IE) have not been investigated thoroughly. We compared the characteristics of S. aureus isolates from patients with and without IE. Cases of S. aureus bacteremia (SAB) were collected from 10 hospitals over 7 years. Cases of native valve IE were matched with non-IE controls according to the following criteria: central-line-associated infection, community-acquired infection, methicillin susceptibility, and if possible, the primary site of infection. Genes coding virulence factors were analyzed using multiplex polymerase chain reactions. Fibrinogen and fibronectin-binding properties were assessed using in vitro binding assays. The fibronectin-binding protein A gene (fnbpA) was sequenced. Of 2,365 cases of SAB, 92 had IE. After matching, 37 pairs of S. aureus isolates from the IE cases and non-IE controls were compared; fnbpA was detected in 91.9% of the IE isolates and 100% of the non-IE isolates (p = 0.24). While the fibrinogen binding ratio was similar (1.07 ± 0.33 vs. 1.08 ± 0.26, p = 0.89), the fibronectin-binding ratio was significantly higher in the IE-group (1.31 ± 0.42 vs. 1.06 ± 0.31, p = 0.01). The proportions of major single-nucleotide polymorphisms in fnbpA were as follows: E652D (2.9% vs. 2.7%), H782Q (65.6% vs. 60.6%), and K786N (65.6% vs. 72.7%). The fibronectin-binding ratio was positively correlated with the number of SNPs present in IE cases (p < 0.001) but not in the non-IE controls (p = 0.124). Fibronectin-binding might play a key role in SAB IE. However, the degree of binding may be mediated by genetic variability between isolates.

Scab disease caused by Venturia nashicola is of agroeconomic importance in cultivation of Asian pear. However, little is known about the degree of genetic diversity in the populations of this pathogen. In this study, we collected 55 isolates from pear scab lesions in 13 major cultivation areas in Korea and examined the diversity using sequences of internal transcribed spacer (ITS) region, β-tubulin (TUB2), and translation elongation factor-1α (TEF-1α) genes as molecular markers. Despite a low level of overall sequence variation, we found three distinctive subgroups from phylogenetic analysis of combined ITS, TUB2, and TEF-1α sequences. Among the three subgroups, subgroup 1 (60% of isolates collected) was predominant compared to subgroup 2 (23.6%) or subgroup 3 (16.4%) and was distributed throughout Korea. To understand the genetic diversity among the subgroups, RAPD analysis was performed. The isolates yielded highly diverse amplicon patterns and none of the defined subgroups within the dendrogram were supported by bootstrap values greater than 30%. Moreover, there is no significant correlation between the geographical distribution and the subgroups defined by molecular phylogeny. Our data suggest a low level of genetic diversification among the populations of V. nashicola in Korea.

Mitochondrial genome sequences have been used in diverse fields of biology. In this study, we sequenced the complete mitochondrial genomes (mitogenome) of two pear pests: Cacopsylla jukyungi, the most damaging insect pest to commercial pears in South Korea, and Cacopsylla burckhardti (Hemiptera: Psyllidae). The two mitogenomes were compared to confamilial species to accumulate genetic information and understand evolutionary characteristics of the family Psyllidae. The 15,438 bp-and 14,799 bp-long complete mitogenomes of C. jukyungi and C. burckhardti, respectively, had many features typical of insect mitogenomes; however, at 1283 bp, the C. jukyungi mitogenome had an unusually long A+T-rich region, which was composed of two identical 540-bp repeat sequences. Among the intergenic spacer regions, the one located at the ND1 and trnS2 junction was relatively well conserved in length (mostly within 23–36 bp). This region had a high sequence identity in all Psyllidae, possessing a 5-bp consensus sequence (CGGTA), which is speculated to have a functional role. Though the A+T-rich region in available Psyllidae mitogenomes varied substantially in length (662–1430 bp) and sequence divergence, all species had a conserved sequence stretch at the 3′-end of srRNA, which is also speculated to have a functional role. Genetic divergence among genes indicated the lowest variability in srRNA, lrRNA, and COI, whereas ATP8 and ND6 showed the highest variability at both family and genus (Cacopsylla) levels. Our data provide evidence that the family Psyllidae, including current C. jukyungi and C. burckhardti, have evolutionary unique features that were previously undetected, along with the unique A+T-rich region structure in C. jukyungi.

Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) is widely performed for arteriovenous fistula (AVF) that fails to mature after initial formation. We observed that some immature AVFs re-occlude earlier than others. We sought to investigate the predictors for early post-intervention failure of immature fistulas after primary PTA. We retrospectively reviewed the records and angiographic images of patients who had immature fistulas and thereby received PTA between 2013 and 2019 at our center. We investigated the short-term post-intervention outcomes of the patients within 90 days post-PTA. Patients who had re-occlusion within the period were defined as the early failure group and the rest as the patent group. We investigated factors associated with early failure. There were 80 eligible patients with 22 brachio-cephalic (BC) and 58 radio-cephalic (RC) AVFs. The median age of the patients was 64 years [range, 38–87]. There were 51 (63%) males and 29 (36%) females. Among the 58 RC AVFs, 10 (17%) patients had early failure. Logistic regression analysis showed that a larger artery to fistula (A/F) diameter ratio was the sole independent predictor of early failure after primary PTA (odd ratio 2.29 [1.023–5.147], p value = 0.044). Although further studies on a larger scale are required to confirm the clinical significance, a larger A/F diameter ratio was a potential predictor of early re-occlusion in immature fistulas after primary PTA.

Here, rabbits were immunized with a virus-like particle (VLP) vaccine prepared by expressing 239 amino acids of the swine hepatitis E virus (HEV)-3 capsid protein using a baculovirus system. Thirty specific-pathogen-free rabbits were divided into five groups (negative and positive control and 10, 50, and 100 μg VLP-vaccinated). Positive control group rabbits showed viremia and fecal viral shedding, whereas rabbits vaccinated with 10 μg VLP showed transient fecal viral shedding, and rabbits vaccinated with 50 and 100 μg VLP did not show viremia or fecal viral shedding. Serum anti-HEV antibody titers increased in a dose-dependent manner. Anti-HEV antibody titers were significantly higher (p < 0.05) in 100 μg VLP-vaccinated rabbits than in the negative control rabbits at week 4. Anti-HEV antibody titers were significantly higher in 50 and 10 μg VLP-vaccinated rabbits than in the negative control rabbits at weeks 8 and 11, respectively. Serum IFN-γ and IL-12 levels were significantly higher (p < 0.01) in rabbits vaccinated with 50 and 100 μg VLP than in the negative control rabbits at weeks 4 and 6. Liver tissues of 50 and 100 μg VLP-vaccinated rabbits displayed significantly less (p < 0.05) fibrosis than those of the positive control rabbits. The prepared VLP vaccine demonstrated dose-dependent immunogenicity sufficient for inducing anti-HEV antibody production, thus protecting rabbits against swine HEV-3.

Patients with brain metastasis (BM) have a better prognosis when it is detected early. However, current guidelines recommend brain imaging only when there are central nervous system symptoms or abnormal experimental values. Therefore, metastases are discovered later in asymptomatic patients. As a result, there is a need for an algorithm that predicts the possibility of BM using clinical data and machine learning (ML). Data from 3153 patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) were collected from the 11-institution Korean Renal Cancer Study group (KRoCS) database. To predict BM, clinical information of 1282 patients was extracted from the database and used to compare the performance of six ML algorithms. The final model selection was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. After optimizing the hyperparameters for each model, the adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) model outperformed the others, with an AUROC of 0.716. We developed an algorithm to predict the probability of BM in patients with RCC. Using the developed predictive model, it is possible to avoid detection delays by performing computed tomography scans on potentially asymptomatic patients.

The molecular mechanisms that underlie the detrimental effects of particulate matter (PM) on skin barrier function are poorly understood. In this study, the effects of PM2.5 on filaggrin (FLG) and skin barrier function were investigated in vitro and in vivo. The levels of FLG degradation products, including pyrrolidone carboxylic acid, urocanic acid (UCA), and cis/trans-UCA, were significantly decreased in skin tape stripping samples of study subjects when they moved from Denver, an area with low PM2.5, to Seoul, an area with high PM2.5 count. Experimentally, PM2.5 collected in Seoul inhibited FLG, loricrin, keratin-1, desmocollin-1, and corneodesmosin but did not modulate involucrin or claudin-1 in keratinocyte cultures. Moreover, FLG protein expression was inhibited in human skin equivalents and murine skin treated with PM2.5. We demonstrate that this process was mediated by PM2.5-induced TNF-α and was aryl hydrocarbon receptor dependent. PM2.5 exposure compromised skin barrier function, resulting in increased transepidermal water loss, and enhanced the penetration of FITC-dextran in organotypic and mouse skin. PM2.5-induced TNF-α caused FLG deficiency in the skin and subsequently induced skin barrier dysfunction. Compromised skin barrier due to PM2.5 exposure may contribute to the development and the exacerbation of allergic diseases such as atopic dermatitis.

BackgroundSevere fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an acute, febrile, and potentially fatal tick-borne disease caused by the SFTS Phlebovirus. Here, we evaluated the effects of steroid therapy in Korean patients with SFTS.MethodsA retrospective study was performed in a multicenter SFTS clinical cohort from 13 Korean university hospitals between 2013 and 2017. We performed survival analysis using propensity score matching of 142 patients with SFTS diagnosed by genetic or antibody tests.ResultsOverall fatality rate was 23.2%, with 39.7% among 58 patients who underwent steroid therapy. Complications were observed in 37/58 (63.8%) and 25/83 (30.1%) patients in the steroid and non-steroid groups, respectively (P < .001). Survival analysis after propensity score matching showed a significant difference in mean 30-day survival time between the non-steroid and steroid groups in patients with a mild condition [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score 5 days), and non-steroid groups, were 18.4, 22.4, and 27.3 days, respectively (P = .005).ConclusionsAfter steroid therapy, an increase in complications was observed among patients with SFTS. Steroid therapy should be used with caution, considering the possible negative effects of steroid therapy within 5 days of symptom onset or in patients with mild disease (APACHE II score

Objectives To determine the outcomes and feasibility of endovascular treatment, mainly based on manual aspiration thrombectomy (MAT) with adjunctive percutaneous balloon angioplasty with or without stent deployment, for treatment of symptomatic ilio-femoral deep vein thrombosis (IFDVT) in cancer patients. Materials and methods In this retrospective cohort study, 135 consecutive patients (56 men; mean age, 63 years; 149 limbs) with acute (n = 113; 83.7%) and subacute to chronic (n = 22; 16.3%) symptomatic IFDVT underwent MAT-based endovascular treatment. Among them, adjunctive balloon angioplasty and stent placement was performed in 94 patients. Technical and clinical success regarding stage and cause of DVT was assessed. Results Technical success (complete thrombus removal without residual thrombus or stenosis) was achieved in 89.6%, and subjective symptom improvement was stated by 71.5% of treated patients. The primary patency rates were 88.1%, 81.6%, 76.0%, 74.1% and 69.1% at 1, 3, 6, 12, and 30 months, respectively. Recurrent IFDVT occurred in 19.3% (26/135) of patients, 0.79 cases per patients-years of follow up. According to the analysis by causes of IFDVT, recurrence rate was 19.3% (11/57), 21.2% (12/57), and 14.3% (3/21) in unknown, compression/invasion of the vein by cancerous mass, and May-Thurner syndrome groups, respectively (p = 0.798). No procedure-related complication developed. Conclusions Endovascular treatment based on MAT is a feasible treatment option with favorable outcomes and minimal risk of complication in cancer patients with symptomatic IFDVT.

Introduction. Proper ambulance use is important not only due to the patient’s transport quality but also because of the need for efficient use of limited resources allotted by the system. Therefore, this study was conducted to check for overuse or underuse of the ambulance system by patients who visited the emergency department (ED). Methods. In this study, a secondary data analysis was conducted using the existing database of the National Emergency Department Information System with all patients who visited EDs over the three-year study period from 2016 to 2018. The study subjects were classified into the following groups: (1) appropriate Emergency Medical Services (EMS) usage; (2) appropriate no EMS usage; (3) underuse; and (4) overuse groups. Results. Of 18,298,535 patients, 11,668,581 (63.77%) were classified under the appropriate usage group, while 6,629,954 (36.23%) were classified under the inappropriate usage group. In the appropriate EMS usage group, there were 2,408,845 (13.16%) patients. In the appropriate no EMS usage group, there were 9,259,706 (50.60%) patients. As for the inappropriate usage group, there were 5,147,352 (28.13%) patients categorized under the underuse group. On the other hand, there were 1,482,602 (8.10%) patients under the overuse group. Conclusion. There are many patients who use ambulances appropriately, but there are still many overuse and underuse. Guidelines on ambulance use are necessary for the efficient use of emergency medical resources and for the safety of patients.

Objective. Excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) in emergency medicine (EM) residents is associated with patient safety. However, studies regarding EDS in EM residents are limited. The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence of EDS and its associated factors among EM residents. Methods. Epworth sleepiness scale scores, working hours per week (WHW), night working days per month, working environment, and depression were analyzed using data from the 2019 Korean Emergency Medicine Resident Survey. Results. The survey response rate was 63.8% (384/601). Among 241 respondents, the prevalence rate of EDS was 32.4%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that WHW (odds ratio [OR] = 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01–1.06) and depression (OR = 3.64, 95% CI = 1.91–6.96) had increased ORs for EDS. Conclusions. Approximately one-third of EM residents had EDS. Depression and WHW were the associated factors.

Age-related changes in ion channel expression are likely to affect neuronal signaling. Here, we examine how age affects Kv4/Shal and Kv1/Shaker K+ channel protein levels in Drosophila. We show that Kv4/Shal protein levels decline sharply from 3 days to 10 days, then more gradually from 10 to 40 days after eclosion. In contrast, Kv1/Shaker protein exhibits a transient increase at 10 days that then stabilizes and eventually declines at 40 days. We present data that begin to show a relationship between reactive oxygen species (ROS), Kv4/Shal, and locomotor performance. We show that Kv4/Shal levels are negatively affected by ROS, and that over-expression of Catalase or RNAi knock-down of the ROS-generating enzyme, Nicotinamide Adenine Dinucleotide Phosphate (NADPH) Oxidase (NOX), can attenuate the loss of Kv4/Shal protein. Finally, we compare levels of Kv4.2 and Kv4.3 in the hippocampus, olfactory bulb, cerebellum, and motor cortex of mice aged 6 weeks and 1 year. While there was no global decline in Kv4.2/4.3 that parallels what we report in Drosophila, we did find that Kv4.2/4.3 are differentially affected in various brain regions; this survey of changes may help inform mammalian studies that examine neuronal function with age.

Introduction Surgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). However, there is a lack of data available about SSI in children worldwide, especially from low-income and middle-income countries. This study aimed to estimate the incidence of SSI in children and associations between SSI and morbidity across human development settings.Methods A multicentre, international, prospective, validated cohort study of children aged under 16 years undergoing clean-contaminated, contaminated or dirty gastrointestinal surgery. Any hospital in the world providing paediatric surgery was eligible to contribute data between January and July 2016. The primary outcome was the incidence of SSI by 30 days. Relationships between explanatory variables and SSI were examined using multilevel logistic regression. Countries were stratified into high development, middle development and low development groups using the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI).Results Of 1159 children across 181 hospitals in 51 countries, 523 (45·1%) children were from high HDI, 397 (34·2%) from middle HDI and 239 (20·6%) from low HDI countries. The 30-day SSI rate was 6.3% (33/523) in high HDI, 12·8% (51/397) in middle HDI and 24·7% (59/239) in low HDI countries. SSI was associated with higher incidence of 30-day mortality, intervention, organ-space infection and other HAIs, with the highest rates seen in low HDI countries. Median length of stay in patients who had an SSI was longer (7.0 days), compared with 3.0 days in patients who did not have an SSI. Use of laparoscopy was associated with significantly lower SSI rates, even after accounting for HDI.Conclusion The odds of SSI in children is nearly four times greater in low HDI compared with high HDI countries. Policies to reduce SSI should be prioritised as part of the wider global agenda.

The clinical characteristics and the effect of viral RNA loads on fatality in 56 patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) were analyzed. The non-survival group (12 patients) demonstrated a significantly higher mean age (77 years) than the survival group (44 patients, 65 years) (p = 0.003). The survival rates were 91.7% and 8.3% in patients with Ct values ≥30 and differed significantly (p = 0.001) in the survival and non-survival groups, respectively. The survival rates were 52.4% and 47.6% in patients with viral copy numbers ≥10,000 and 94.3% and 5.7% in patients with viral copy numbers p = 0.001). In a multivariate analysis, viral copy numbers and initial Acute Psychologic Assessment and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were identified as the factors affecting fatality (p = 0.015 and 0.011, respectively). SFTS viral RNA loads can be useful markers for the clinical prediction of mortality and survival.

While the demand for new high-tech technologies is rapidly increasing, difficulties are presented, such as aging and population decline in rural areas. In particular, autonomous mobile robots have been emerging in the agricultural field. Worldwide, huge investment is being made in the development of unmanned agricultural mobile robots; meanwhile with the development of robots, modern farms have high expectations of increased productivity. However, in the agricultural work environment, it is difficult to solve these problems with the existing mobile robot form, due to the difficulties of various environments. Typical problems are space constraints in the agricultural work environment, the high computational complexity of algorithms, and changes in the environment. To solve these problems, in this paper, we propose a method to design and operate a mobile robot platform that can be used in a greenhouse. We represent a robot type with two drive wheels along with four casters that can operate on path and rail. In addition, we propose a technology for a multi-AI deep learning system to operate a robot, an algorithm that can operate such a robot, and a VPN-based communication system for network and security. The proposed method is expected to increase productivity and reduce labor costs in the agricultural work environment.

Interleukin (IL)-1β plays an important role in atherosclerosis pathogenesis. We aimed to investigate the effect of anakinra, a recombinant human IL-1 receptor antagonist, on the progression of atherosclerosis in apolipoprotein E knockout (ApoE–/–) mice. ApoE–/– mice (8-week male) were treated with saline (control), anakinra 10, 25, and 50 mg/kg, respectively (n = 10 in each group). Mice were fed a standard chow (4 weeks) followed by an atherogenic diet (35kcal% fat, 1.25% cholesterol, 12 weeks). Atheromatous plaques in ApoE–/– mice and the expression of inflammatory genes and signaling pathways in human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs), rat aortic smooth muscle cells (RAOSMCs), and 3T3-L1 adipocytes were assessed. Anakinra reduced the plaque size of the aortic arch (30.6% and 25.2% at the 25 mg/kg and 50 mg/kg doses, both p < 0.05) and serum triglyceride in ApoE–/– mice and suppressed inflammatory genes (IL-1β and IL-6) expressions in HUVECs and RAOSMCs (all p < 0.05). In RAOSMCs, anakinra reduced metalloproteinase-9 expression in a dose-dependent manner and inhibited cell migration. Anakinra-treated mice exhibited trends of lower CD68+ macrophage infiltration in visceral fat and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 expression was reduced in 3T3-L1 adipocytes. Anakinra could be a useful component for complementary treatment with a standard regimen to reduce the residual cardiovascular risk.

BACKGROUND:The prolonged manifestation of concurrent leukopenia, thrombocytopenia and normal C-reactive protein (CRP) (named as SFTS prediction score) in febrile diseases is not usual and may be used to make an initial differential diagnosis, which is a characteristic finding of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). METHODS:The dynamics of SFTS prediction scores was investigated in SFTS patients. The study subjects for the comparison were febrile patients aged ≥ 16 years with SFTS scores of 2 (S2) or 3 (S3) who visited an emergency room for a 4-year study period. The dynamic distribution of S2 and S3 at presentation with regards to onset of illness, the characteristics of responsible diseases and the predictability of SFTS in both groups were described. RESULTS:In 104 patients with SFTS, the daily proportion of S2 or S3 ranged from 58.3 to 100% from day (D) 1 to D12 after the onset of illness. The S2 subtype of 'leukopenia plus thrombocytopenia' and S3 represented 72.7-100% of all scores. In contrast, for the 130 patients in the febrile cohort, 73.8% of evaluations were distributed between D1 and D4 after the onset of illness, and 68.8% of patients had the S2 subtype of 'leukopenia plus normal CRP'. Upper respiratory infection was the most frequent (50.0%) cause of diseases. Pneumonia (13.8%) and urosepsis (6.2%) initially presented with either S2 with normal CRP or S3 but had poor prognosis. The presence of S2 or S3 predicted SFTS with sensitivity and specificity of 0.85 (0.42-0.99; 95% CI) and 0.98 (0.98-0.98; 95% CI), respectively. CONCLUSION:The temporal distribution and composition of S2 or S3 were unique in several febrile diseases including SFTS, and the SFTS prediction score may be useful for differentiating febrile diseases in primary care settings of SFTS endemic areas.

Seasonal disease risk prediction using disease epidemiological models and seasonal forecasts has been actively sought over the last decades, as it has been believed to be a key component in the disease early warning system for the pre-season planning of local or national level disease control. We conducted a retrospective study using the wheat blast outbreaks in Bangladesh, which occurred for the first time in Asia in 2016, to study a what-if scenario that if there was seasonal disease risk prediction at that time, the epidemics could be prevented or reduced through prediction-based interventions. Two factors govern the answer: the seasonal disease risk prediction is accurate enough to use, and there are effective and realistic control measures to be used upon the prediction. In this study, we focused on the former. To simulate the wheat blast risk and wheat yield in the target region, a high-resolution climate reanalysis product and spatiotemporally downscaled seasonal climate forecasts from eight global climate models were used as inputs for both models. The calibrated wheat blast model successfully simulated the spatial pattern of disease epidemics during the 2014–2018 seasons and was subsequently used to generate seasonal wheat blast risk prediction before each winter season starts. The predictability of the resulting predictions was evaluated against observation-based model simulations. The potential value of utilizing the seasonal wheat blast risk prediction was examined by comparing actual yields resulting from the risk-averse (proactive) and risk-disregarding (conservative) decisions. Overall, our results from this retrospective study showed the feasibility of seasonal forecast-based early warning system for the pre-season strategic interventions of forecasted wheat blast in Bangladesh.