911 results on '"Currency Board"'
Search Results
152. Property bubble in Hong Kong: A predicted decade-long slump (2016–2025)
- Author
-
Richmond, Peter and Roehner, Bertrand M.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
153. Dealing with multiple currencies: what options for the transitional economies of Southeast Asia?
- Author
-
Menon, Jayant
- Subjects
- *
DOLLARIZATION , *CURRENCY options , *NATIONAL currencies , *MONETARY unions , *MONETARY policy , *ECONOMIC policy ,SOUTHEAST Asian politics & government ,ECONOMIC conditions in Southeast Asia - Abstract
There is a spectrum of policy options available in dealing with dollarization in the transitional economies of Southeast Asia. These range from official dollarization at one end and enforced de-dollarization at the other. In between lie: currency board arrangements (CBAs), single currency options; and the muddling through approach. Both official dollarization and CBAs are not viable options for these countries. Official dollarization is politically untenable, while implementing a credible CBA is currently beyond the financial capacity of these countries. The single currency option remains somewhat vague in terms of detail, in relation to both design and time frame, and the region is unlikely to meet Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criteria. Lao PDR attempted to enforce de-dollarization in 1997, but the result was counter-productive. The muddling through but accelerating reforms approach appears to be the most realistic option. This approach views the multiple currency phenomenon (MCP) not so much as the problem, but rather as a symptom. The causes of the problem emanate from macroeconomic instability, political uncertainty, an underdeveloped financial and monetary system, and weak legal and institutional systems. Addressing these problems directly should eventually remove the symptom in the form of the MCP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
154. Estimates of Money Demand Functions for Estonia.
- Author
-
Reimers, Hans-Eggert and Roht, Kairi
- Abstract
This paper examines the money demand function of Estonia in the period 1995–2006. Since Estonia has a currency board system, euro area interest rates are taken into account. We apply different cointegration procedures like the Engle–Granger, the dynamic OLS, and the Johansen procedure to estimate the long-run relationship among money, output, and interest rates. The results show that it is difficult to find a cointegrating relationship for the broad money aggregate M2. For the preferred relationship including euro area money market rate and euro area bond rate a dynamic equation is estimated. This dynamic equation is stable for the whole period. The change of the anchor curreny in the currency board and the accession to the European Union do not alter the relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
155. A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES AND MACRO-INSTABILITIES IN THE TWIN ECONOMIES OF SINGAPORE AND HONG KONG.
- Author
-
MA, YUE, KUEH, Y. Y., and NG, RAYMOND C. W.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC models ,MACROECONOMICS ,CONJOINT analysis ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,INTEREST rates - Abstract
Based on a small, open-economy IS-LM prototype model, this paper examines the sources of macroeconomic instabilities in Hong Kong and Singapore operating under two different currency board arrangements. The empirical findings suggest that in general, both external and internal factors contribute to the macroeconomic volatilities observed in the two economies. There is evidence of a tradeoff between exchange rate and interest rate targeting for the stability of money supply in Singapore. Our findings have important implications for Mainland China's monetary authorities in the transition from a hard-peg exchange rate regime like Hong Kong to a basket-link system like the one in Singapore. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
156. CONVENTIONAL AND SHADOW BANKING SECTOR â€' COMPARATIVE ASPECTS OF THE POST-CRISIS PERIOD IN TAIM OF THE CURRENCY BOARD - BULGARIA’ CASE
- Author
-
Elena Stavrova, ELENA STAVROVA, and Elena Stavrova
- Subjects
Financial innovation ,business.industry ,shadow banking ,Financial intermediary ,Ocean Engineering ,Financial system ,financial intermediation ,financial innovation ,Financial regulation ,Currency board ,Telephone banking ,Retail banking ,value chain ,Intermediation ,Business ,Financial econometrics - Abstract
The shadow banking or financial institutions specializing in lending who take an increasingly larger share of today's markets and channels for the movement of financial resources in the markets of resources between economic agents or households.The main scientific question of this paper is to analyze the reasons of dynamic trends of development of the shadow financial system, and how that contrasts with the conventional model of financial intermediation of commercial banking: “The chains for value creation through credit intermediation that move free financial resources in economic systems for realizing more efficient operations with fewer risks; In non-banking credit intermediation chain trades that take place on weighted average price - and exchange rates in the markets for short-term securities; yield creation in the shadow banking industry are intensively secured strongly which personally are guaranteed both, from individuals and the firms; value chains in the alternative banking system have carried out extensive conventional financial transformation outside the banking system. This means that this type of intermediation converts illiquid, risky fixed assets in "safe" and liquid short-term liabilities.”The used methods are: content analysis, and econometrics analysis of empirical databases of the years 2012 – 2016 by two financial sectors from BNB.The finding based on the econometrics analyses supports the scientific hypothesis about relations between the process of the increasing role of the informal banking sector, which pushes conventional bank financing due to high credit standards of banking institutions and limited access to finance for individuals who receive their income in the area of the gray economy.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
157. An Assessment of the Currency Board Regime in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- Author
-
Kamhi, Nadja and Dehejia, Vivek H.
- Subjects
CURRENCY boards ,EMERGING markets ,MONEY ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,POLITICAL systems - Abstract
This paper describes currency board regime operations in Bosnia and Herzegovina and assesses their performance and sustainability in the context of the economic, political, and institutional environment. To the best of our knowledge, our study seems to be unique in this respect. Based on our analysis, we judge that Bosnia and Herzegovina's currency board regime is well suited and appropriate, given the country's history, its current state, and its future goals. Nevertheless, we believe that the key to the currency board's sustainabilily, and an eventual accession to the European Union, is a stronger legal and regulatory infrastructure and a more unified political system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
158. FACTORS INHIBITING DEFLATIONARY BIAS IN CURRENCY BOARD ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM THE COLONIAL ERA.
- Author
-
Treadgold, Malcolm
- Subjects
REGIONAL economic disparities ,CURRENCY boards ,COLONIAL administration ,FINANCIAL institutions ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
A traditional criticism of currency boards is that they impart a deflationary bias to growing economies. Three factors, however, may inhibit the bias: increases in the velocity of money; increases in the monetary base, which under a currency board occur only through balance-of-payments surpluses; and increases in the money multiplier. This article investigates each of the factors in Fiji, Ghana, Jamaica and Malaya over various periods near the end of the colonial era. Except in Malaya, where the money multiplier declined, all helped prevent deflationary outcomes. In broad terms, growth in the monetary base was the most important. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
159. Outsourcing Central Banking: Lessons from Estonia.
- Author
-
Joseph Khoury, Sarkis and Wihlborg, Clas
- Subjects
- *
CURRENCY boards , *FOREIGN exchange rates , *CENTRAL banking industry , *BANKING industry - Abstract
An orthodox currency board (CB) renders central banking redundant for interest and exchange rate determination. Thereby, monetary policy is de facto outsourced. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in banking can lead to outsourcing of the second important central bank function, responsibility for banking supervision. Economic and political conditions for outsourcing of central banking are discussed. Estonia’s experience with a CB and expanding foreign involvement in banking is reviewed. The Argentine CB experience is discussed briefly to provide a contrast. The conclusion outlines the conditions for successful currency outsourcing to another country or regional authority. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
160. Currency Substitution in a Currency Board Context: The Evidence for Hong Kong.
- Author
-
Kwan Wai Ko and Handa, Jagdish
- Subjects
FOREIGN exchange rates ,CURRENCY boards ,DEMAND for money ,ECONOMIC conditions in China - Abstract
Hong Kong is an open economy that uses foreign currencies extensively in domestic payments. This paper focuses on substitution between the domestic and foreign currencies in their role as media of payments in such an economy. It uses quarterly data to estimate currency substitution (CS) for Hong Kong during 1984:I to 2001:III when it had a fixed exchange rate under a currency board system. Two models, a money demand function and a dynamic adjustment model, are estimated using the Johansen cointegration and error-correction technique. The estimates for both these models indicate significant CS in the media of payments. Our estimates also show a significant ratchet effect in CS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
161. Currency boards, depoliticization and macroeconomic stability: the political economy of institutional complementarities
- Author
-
Vytautas Kuokštis and Magnus Feldmann
- Subjects
Estonia ,media_common.quotation_subject ,institutional design ,Argentina ,Context (language use) ,depoliticization ,political economy ,Epiphenomenalism ,Argument ,0502 economics and business ,050602 political science & public administration ,Institution ,Economics ,Currency boards ,050207 economics ,macroeconomic policy ,media_common ,05 social sciences ,Lithuania ,institutional complementarities ,0506 political science ,Currency board ,Currency ,Political economy ,Political Science and International Relations ,Institutional design ,Economic system ,Centrality - Abstract
This article analyzes the potential for institutional design to depoliticize macroeconomic policy-making by examining currency board arrangements. It develops a novel argument to understand the effects of institutional design based on institutional complementarities. This argument highlights that the functioning of a given institution is conditioned by the broader institutional context. The article contrasts this framework with two common approaches – here termed the institutional design and the epiphenomenalism views – and argues that the centrality of institutional complementarities can account for the mixed record of currency boards. The most important complementarities of a currency board are with fiscal, labor market and informal institutions, which are important prerequisites for successful currency boards. By drawing on recent advances in the study of depoliticization, we show how these institutions contribute to governmental, societal and discursive depoliticization. This argument is evaluated by examining three case studies of currency boards – Argentina, Estonia and Lithuania. The article also explores some broader implications of this analysis for understanding the depoliticization of economic policy.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
162. Perspectives of currency board in Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Author
-
Nedzad Hodzic and Ninoslav Gregovic
- Subjects
Currency board ,Reserve requirement ,Exchange rate ,Open market operation ,Currency ,Monetary policy ,Financial system ,Business ,Local currency ,Foreign-exchange reserves - Abstract
The Currency Board arrangement (CBA) is a specific form of monetary authorities with limited functions. Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina operates under the CBA with the following characteristics: complete coverage of the monetary liabilities with the foreign exchange reserves, there are only required reserves as the instrument of monetary policy, there are the prohibition on granting loans and prohibition of open market operations, and the exchange rate of the local currency is pegged to the euro as “anchor” currency. The top economic experts have completely different views about the efficiency and purpose of the CBA, under which the central banks of some countries in the East Europe (eg. Bulgaria, Lithuania, and Estonia until recently) also operate. This paper explains the basic elements of the central bank operations under the CBA, highlights the basic implications of such an arrangement on economic situation in the country, and considers possible scenarios for exiting this arrangement in perspective, in fact, it indicates the potential exit strategy in the course of leaving the CBA.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
163. On the Maintenance Costs and Exit Costs of the Peg in Hong Kong.
- Author
-
Yip, Paul S. L.
- Subjects
CURRENCY boards ,FINANCIAL institutions ,MONETARY policy ,MAINTENANCE costs - Abstract
This paper attempts to pioneer a discussion on the exit and maintenance costs of the Currency Board System (CBS) in Hong Kong, and hopes to invite more debate on the issue. It suggests that the exit costs will depend on the timing of an exit, whether there are supplementary packages to mitigate the exit costs, and the choice of an alternative exchange rate system. In particular, it suggests that the monitoring band system favored by Williamson (2000) could help to reduce the exit costs. In addition, the paper points out that there are ways to reduce both the exit and maintenance costs. It then proposes a reform that could benefit the economy regardless of whether the policy maker eventually chooses to continue with or abandon the peg. The study is not only crucial to Hong Kong, but also important to other economies with a CBS as well as to the debate on the choice of exchange rate system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
164. Financial dollarization and debt deflation under a currency board
- Author
-
Galiani, Sebastian, Levy Yeyati, Eduardo, and Schargrodsky, Ernesto
- Subjects
- *
FOREIGN exchange rates , *PRICE deflation , *DEVALUATION of currency , *DEBT , *FINANCIAL performance , *CURRENCY boards - Abstract
In the late currency board years, Argentina faced a real exchange rate adjustment through price deflation amidst growing devaluation expectations. Using a firm-level panel database to analyze the incidence of these factors on the currency composition of private debt and on firms’ performance, we find that widespread debt dollarization showed no relationship with the firms’ production mix or the ever-changing probability of a nominal devaluation. While relative price changes favored export-oriented firms with the expected impact on sales, earnings and investment, increases in devaluation expectations elicited only a marginal differential response in investment from more financially dollarized firms. Our findings provide support to two criticisms faced by the Argentine currency board in recent years, namely, that by fueling beliefs in an implicit guarantee it stimulated across-the-board debt dollarization and that it could not fully isolate the economy from real shocks, as the feared balance sheet effect was replaced by a gradual but equally deleterious debt deflation effect. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
165. Impact of Currency Boards on Fiscal Policy in Central and Eastern European Countries.
- Author
-
Grigonyté, Dalia
- Abstract
The paper focuses on the impact of currency boards on fiscal policy in transition economies. Starting with an overview of theoretical and empirical studies in the related area, it tests for the interaction between monetary policy regimes and fiscal policy in Central and Eastern European countries who aim for the membership in the European Union. The theoretical background of this study lies in the model of Tornell and Velasco (1998). They demonstrate that fiscal transfers do not ultimately depend on the chosen exchange rate and monetary policy, but only on the world's real rate of interest and the rate of time preference of the fiscal authority. A sample of 10 accession candidates constitutes a group of countries which go through similar macroeconomic stabilisation processes but have chosen different nominal anchors. The paper investigates whether there are any systematic differences between those countries with a currency board arrangement and those without. The empirical evidence suggests that currency boards enhance fiscal discipline in Central and Eastern European countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
166. TRENDS IN DEVELOPMENT OF RESERVES OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND GOLD OF THE MONETARY COUNCIL IN BULGARIA
- Subjects
Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves ,Monetary base ,Currency Board - Abstract
The content of the Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves of the country is highlighted in this research work. Their dynamics and structure is analyzed for the period from 2007 to 2018. It is arrived at a conclusion that the Board’s liquidity is increased. For the considered period the Monetary Base and Fiscal Reserve backed by the gold and foreign exchange reserves is examined as well. There is an over-coverage of the Monetary Base and Fiscal Reserve, which is a guarantee for covering the internal and foreign liabilities of the country. The Currency Board as a specific monetary system successfully fulfills its role in the conditions of global economic and political insecurity.
- Published
- 2019
167. Prospects for a currency board in the Arab Republic of Egypt
- Author
-
KIYASSEH, Dani and GUMINO, David
- Subjects
National Bank of Egypt (NBE) ,Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) ,Inflation ,Currency board ,E58 ,N15 ,O23 - Abstract
The National Bank of Egypt (NBE) was introduced in 1898. It acted as both a central and commercial bank for Egypt, and for Sudan for some time. The burgeoning Egyptian economy was thought to eventually necessitate a central bank, so in 1961, some of the assets of the NBE were taken to form the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE). Ever since, the CBE has been Egypt’s monetary authority. Its activity has come under scrutiny over the years due to its inability to cope with economic challenges, most notably inflation. This paper examines the prospects for introducing a currency board in Egypt. It compares this possibility to the existing monetary infrastructure in place and determines whether a currency board is a suitable path to take.Keywords. National Bank of Egypt (NBE), Central Bank of Egypt (CBE), Inflation, Currency board.JEL. E58, N15, O23.
- Published
- 2019
168. Jamaica’s currency board, 1920-1961, and a comparison with its central bank
- Author
-
GUPTA, Eashan, AURAN, Matthew, and FRANKENFIELD, Dylan
- Subjects
E52 ,N16 ,Jamaica ,Currency board ,Central bank - Abstract
We describe the history of Jamaica’s currency board system, which existed from 1920 to 1961; test how orthodox the currency board was; and compare some features of the currency board and the Jamaican economy during the currency board period to the Bank of Jamaica and to the Jamaican economy under central banking.Keywords. Jamaica, Currency board, Central bank.JEL. E52, N16.
- Published
- 2019
169. History, policies and financial statements of the Irish currency commission and the Central Bank of Ireland (1927– 1979)
- Author
-
WANG, Charlie
- Subjects
Ireland ,Central bank ,Currency board ,Balance sheet ,E58 ,N24 - Abstract
When Ireland gained its independence from the United Kingdom in 1922, contrary to the recommendations offered by the League of Nations, the new country established a Currency Commission that operated similarly to a currency board rather than a central bank. I analyze the structure of the Currency Commission and describe the establishment of a central bank in the 1940s with limited monetary powers, then later a central bank with broader powers. I compare the legal structures and operations of the early Central Bank of Ireland and the Currency Commission balance sheet analysis and other approaches to conclude that there are distinct differences between a currency board and a central bank that operates like one.Keywords. Ireland, Central bank, Currency board, Balance sheet.JEL. E58, N24.
- Published
- 2019
170. The Lithuanian Currency Board
- Author
-
Gediminas Dubauskas
- Subjects
Currency board ,language ,Financial system ,Business ,Lithuanian ,language.human_language - Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
171. THE ROLE OF THE CENTRAL BANK IN THE FUNCTION OF IMPROVEMENT OF LIQUIDITY OF BANKING SECTOR IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
- Author
-
Goran Mitrović and Živko Erceg
- Subjects
Currency board ,Dayton Agreement ,Financial market ,Monetary policy ,media_common.cataloged_instance ,Financial system ,Business ,European union ,Natural disaster ,Basel III ,media_common ,Market liquidity - Abstract
The monetary policy of Bosnia and Herzegovina is rather limited because it is based on the principles of a currency board characterized by the impossibility of implementing the basic monetary policy instruments in comparison with the monetary policy of the European Union. However, the constant presence of European integrations should point the need for a more drastic change in the monetary policy of Bosnia and Herzegovina. By entering the European Monetary Union (EMU), the monetary territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina will become one of the branches of the European Central Bank (ECB). In addition, it is not difficult to conclude why the Law about the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina has been adopted with the first laws of the Dayton Agreement, if it is known that the largest part of the banking system, and therefore the financial market, is owned by foreign banks. This work will point out the significance of the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as one of the most important factors for maintaining the permanent liquidity of the banking sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The possibilities and limitations of the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina will be determined, with the assumption of macroeconomic sustainability over a longer period of time. The need of reforming the banking system in Bosnia and Herzegovina will be analyzed through the constant implementation of the Basel standards with the increasing participation of foreign banks in the Bosnia and Herzegovina. It will be determined the impact of the implementation of the Basel III in the banking industry in Bosnia and Herzegovina and its consequences on the banking and economic system.models, on the ways of financing the elimination of adverse consequences of natural disasters.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
172. 2008 finansal krizinden sonra Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası para politikası uygulamaları
- Author
-
Gülbek, Meltem, Yıldırım, Cengizhan, and İktisat Ana Bilim Dalı
- Subjects
Monetary policy toolls ,Economics ,Ekonomi ,Currency Board - Abstract
2008 küresel finansal krizi Merkez bankaların para politikalarında değişikliğe sebep olmuştur. Bu çalışmada 2008 finansal krizi sonrasında Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasının(TCMB) para politikasında yaşanan değişiklikler ele alınmıştır. Kriz sonrasında TCMB para politikası amaç ve araçlarında değişiklikler yaşanmıştır. TCMB açısından 2001 krizi sonrasında ortaya atılan finansal istikrar kavramı söylemleri 2008 krizi sonrasında daha belirgin hale gelmiş ve TCMB para politikası amacı fiyat istikrarı ve finansal istikrar olmuştur. TCMB amaçları ile birlikte araçlarında da değişiklik yaparak kriz sonrasında yeni bir döneme başlamıştır. Merkez bankasında geleneksel para politikası araçlarının yanında geleneksel olmayan politikası aracı olarak Rezerv Opsiyon Mekanizması(ROM), faiz koridoru, zorunlu karşılık oranları kullanılmaya başlanmıştır. Bu çalışma üç bölümden oluşmaktadır, birinci bölümde kriz kavramı ele alınmış ve açıklanmaya çalışılmıştır. İkinci bölümde para, para politikası, politika araçları ve Merkez bankacılığı incelenmiştir, üçüncü bölümde kriz sonrasında TCMB'nin uygulamaları ele alınmıştır. Çalışmanın kapsamında 2008 kriz sonrasından başlayarak 2017 yılına kadar uygulanan para politikası ele alınmıştır. Tezimizin sonucunda Merkez bankasının geleneksel ve yeni para politikası araçlarının birbiriyle entegre hale getirerek başarılı bir şekilde kullandığı ve ekonomik gelişmelere hızlı aksiyonlar alarak müdahale edebildiği tespit edilmiştir. The 2008 global financial crisis has caused changes in central banks. In this study, the changes experienced in the CBRT were discussed after the 2008 financial crisis. In the aftermath of the crisis, the aims and instruments of the CBRT monetary policy changed. Discussions of the concept of financial stability emerged after the crisis of 2001 in terms of the CBRT became more evident after the 2008 crisis and the aim of the CBRT monetary policy was price stability and financial stability. It has begun a new era in the aftermath of the crisis by making changes in its instruments as well as its aims. In addition to traditional monetary policy tools, the central bank used non-traditional policy tools such as ROM, Interest Rate Corridor, and required reserve ratios. The aim of this study is to analyze within the monetary policy implemented by the CBRT after the crisis. The study is divided into three sections, the first chapter deals with the concept of crisis and attempts to explain it. In the second part, money, monetary policy, policy instruments and central banks were tried to be explained. In the third and last section, the applications of CBRT were taken after the crisis. Within the scope of the study, the monetary policy implemented from the beginning of the crisis until the year 2017 was discussed. In the last part of this study, it was seen that the Central Bank successfully intervened by integrating traditional and new monetary policy tools into one another and taking rapid action in economic development. 134
- Published
- 2019
173. Iceland Should Replace Its Central Bank with a Currency Board
- Author
-
Fredrik Andersson and Lars Jonung
- Subjects
Currency board ,Exchange rate ,Currency ,Inflation targeting ,Monetary policy ,Financial crisis ,Economics ,media_common.cataloged_instance ,Monetary economics ,Exchange-rate regime ,European union ,media_common - Abstract
Fredrik Andersson and Lars Jonung describe Iceland’s economy and list the possible currency regimes. They ask which is the best monetary policy regime for Iceland and conclude that a flexible exchange rate with an inflation target can be ruled out because such a system has served as a shock amplifier. They find that Iceland can only maintain a domestic inflation target over the long run through capital controls. But the authors consider such controls to be very costly and likely to increase corruption. Instead of a floating regime, they find that a fixed exchange rate regime is the preferred choice. But as a microstate, Iceland is not able to create sufficient credibility for such a regime, which leaves a monetary union as a solution. But since full euroization is not an option for Iceland because it is not a full member of the European Union, nor will be a member in the foreseeable future, the preferred monetary union alternative is, in their view, a currency board, accompanied by a wide-ranging reform package to foster fiscal stability, wage and price flexibility, and financial stability.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
174. The Implication of Financial Derivable from Abroad on West African Monetary Zone’s ECO Currency
- Author
-
Manfred A. Ibekwe and Chukwuemeka Amaefule
- Subjects
Inflation ,Shock (economics) ,Currency board ,Reserve currency ,Currency ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Economic and monetary union ,Economics ,Convergence (economics) ,Monetary economics ,Time series ,media_common - Abstract
This study aims to determine the extent to which the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) can fulfill the Expost conditions for achieving convergence. This study, therefore, evaluates the pattern of shock symmetry and convergence in connection to WAMZ’s Pillar III policy strategy. Time series data sourced from the World Bank for the period covering 1970 to 2017 were utilized for this study. Two basic econometric tools such as Impulse Response Function (IRF) and the ADF convergence test were employed to determine whether WAMZ can achieve selected Macroeconomic Convergence Criteria (MCC) in the long-run. From the study, we found that WAMZ is not a full potential candidate for ECO Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) due to the inability of the available results to show overall shock asymmetry in the entire models studied. Also, the study found that WAMZ could attain convergence in its inflation targets, but could not attain convergence in its GDP targets. Thus the results imply that in the long-run, WAMZ does not practically possess the attribute to achieve its MCC. Hence, it is imperative that for the adoption of the ECO currency, WAMZ should design and implement a short-run adjustment method to manage country-wise shocks and implement structural buffers to guard the WAMZ economies against structural shocks. Hence, we recommend that ECO currency be a reserve currency managed by the West African Currency Board (WACB) while the EMU member maintains its domestic currency. WAMZ is basically a quasi EMU.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
175. Determinants of loan interest rates in a country with a currency board: Evidence from Bulgaria
- Author
-
Mihail Mihaylov
- Subjects
Macroeconomics ,Economics and Econometrics ,050208 finance ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Monetary economics ,Interest rate ,Currency board ,Interest rate parity ,Term loan ,Loan ,Annual percentage rate ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,050207 economics ,Fixed interest rate loan ,Non-conforming loan ,media_common - Abstract
This article examines the process of loan interest rate formation in Bulgaria. While the standard approach in the literature on interest rate pass-through is focused on the impact of changes in the domestic money market rate, the objective of this study is to adapt the existing interest rate pass-through analysis to the case of a country with a currency board arrangement. To this end, the role of money market conditions in the euro area and the influence of the domestic business climate are taken into account. The impact of these factors on loan interest rates in Bulgaria is examined through symmetric as well as asymmetric error-correction models. The analysis identifies specific patterns in the response of loan interest rates depending on the sector of the borrower, the currency denomination and the maturity of loans.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
176. Does the microsimulation approach used in macro–micro modelling matter? An application to the distributional effects of capital outflows during Argentina's Currency Board regime
- Author
-
Dario Debowicz
- Subjects
Computable general equilibrium ,Macroeconomics ,Economics and Econometrics ,050208 finance ,05 social sciences ,Microsimulation ,Context (language use) ,Currency board ,Income distribution ,Capital (economics) ,0502 economics and business ,Econometrics ,Economics ,050207 economics ,Macro - Abstract
We provide a novel comparison between the behavioural and the non-parametric microsimulation approach. Coupled with a CGE model, we consider the distributional effects of the significant capital outflows faced by the Argentinean economy at the end of its Currency Board, in a context with significant macroeconomic similarities to the present crisis in Greece. Both the relatively straightforward ‘non-parametric’ approach and the more complex behavioural approach lead to distributional results that are consistent with the data, suggesting that both are viable alternatives. Looking forward, it would be desirable for researchers to look for additional evidence regarding the distributional effects that these microsimulation models can illuminate for given macroeconomic shocks.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
177. The Stability of Currency Boards
- Author
-
Stukenbrock, Kai
- Subjects
Argentina ,Boards ,Currency ,Currency Board ,Currency Crisis ,Estonia ,Exchange Rate ,Foreign-Currency Debt ,Hong Kong ,Lithuania ,Stabilitätspolitik ,Stability ,Stukenbrock ,bic Book Industry Communication::J Society & social sciences::JP Politics & government ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCA Economic theory & philosophy ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCB Macroeconomics::KCBM Monetary economics ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCZ Economic history - Abstract
The 1990s saw a revival of the currency board system, and proponents have advocated it as an easy-to-set-up exchange rate arrangement providing effective stabilization of the economy. However, the experience of Argentina has highlighted the risks of having a currency board. This study presents both the potential benefits, as well as the risks, of having a currency board by examining the stability of the currency board arrangement and identifying factors affecting the stability. The analysis is based on second-generation currency crisis models, extended to incorporate currency-board specific features and to account for particular aspects often found in currency-board economies.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
178. Hyperinflation, Currency Board, and Bust
- Author
-
Maute, Jutta
- Subjects
Argentina ,Argentinien ,Board ,Bust ,Case ,Currency ,Currency Board ,Fixed Exchange Rates ,Geschichte 1980-2002 ,Hyperinflation ,IMF ,Inflation ,IWF ,Konvertierbarkeit ,Maute ,Währung ,Washington Consensus ,Wechselkurs ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCB Macroeconomics::KCBM Monetary economics ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCM Development economics & emerging economies ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCN Environmental economics ,bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KC Economics::KCP Political economy - Abstract
This book focuses on «Convertibilidad», the latest Argentine experience of exchange rate based stabilisation, and aims at isolating the main causes for its tragic collapse in 2001-2002. The characteristics of Argentina’s high and hyperinflation during the 1980s are analysed, and the theory of currency boards is expounded. The stabilisation tool, an institutionally highly credible currency board arrangement (CBA), though highly effective, could not be an optimal long-term solution, given the country’s structural and trade characteristics. The analysis of the causes of the CBA’s collapse yields a complex picture of interacting factors, among them invaliding ones that had created multiple vulnerabilities over years, and triggering ones that unfolded their worst potential in meeting such vulnerable conditions.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
179. 5. Currency Unions and Policy Domains
- Author
-
Peter B. Kenen
- Subjects
Credit channel ,Currency board ,Currency ,Reserve currency ,Devaluation ,Economics ,Monetary economics ,Monetary base ,Monetary hegemony ,Fiscal union - Abstract
This paper is also concerned with the evolution of the monetary system, but it is narrowly normative. It stresses the role of the policy domain, not the currency domain, and argues that the nature of the policy domain–the way in which monetary policy is made–deserves more attention than it usually receives. The comparative merits of the various ways in which countries can fix their exchange rates–unilateral dollarization, a currency board, or a full-fledged monetary union–depend largely on the monetary-policy domains that correspond to those regimes. The case for reinforcing a monetary union with a fiscal federation also depends on the policy domain of the monetary union.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
180. New Zealand’s early monetary history and the colonial bank of issue, 1840-1856
- Author
-
CORGEL, Ronan
- Subjects
E59 ,N17 ,New Zealand ,Colonial Bank of Issue ,Currency board ,George Grey - Abstract
This paper explores New Zealand’s early monetary history, examining its colonization and the events leading up to the establishment of the Colonial Bank of Issue, an early currency board. It describes the operations of the bank during its six-year stint as the colony’s sole note issuer. An accompanying spreadsheet workbook contains the statistics of the Colonial Bank of Issue.Keywords. New Zealand, Colonial Bank of Issue, Currency board, George Grey.JEL. E59, N17.
- Published
- 2018
181. Currency Board Policy and Economic Development of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Context of European integration
- Author
-
Željko Marić
- Subjects
Bosnia and Herzegovina ,Economic growth ,Liberalization ,lcsh:HB71-74 ,Monetary policy ,currency board ,lcsh:Economics as a science ,General Medicine ,(un)real exchange rate ,Fiscal policy ,Economics as a science ,Currency board ,Exchange rate ,Currency ,European integration ,Economics ,Open economy ,internal adjustment ,devaluation vs. deflation ,HB71-74 - Abstract
Bosnia and Herzegovina is a small and open economy in transition with great distrust in local authorities and institutions. The country applies a currency board as the only acceptable and optimal exchange rate system in order to protect its monetary policy from political influences. The strict rules of the currency board provide monetary stability and confidence in the domestic currency, but disable the pursuit of discretionary monetary policy and limit autonomous fiscal policy for the purpose of stimulating an investment cycle and economic development without coordinated accompanying support of monetary policy.The subject of this paper is an analysis of the short-term and long-term effects of the currency board application in Bosnia and Herzegovina in conditions of increasing liberalization through the process of European integration. Given the negative consequences and limitations of the currency board system, this paper analyses in particular the possibility of introducing a central bank with discretionary monetary policy instruments, as well as other measures that can influence the overvaluation of the domestic currency exchange rate.The scientific methods used in the paper are: inductive-deductive method, descriptive method and statistical method. The conclusion and recommendations areobtained by using inductive-deductive method and descriptions of current economictrends based on numerous secondary statistical data presented in the tables andcharts.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
182. The Currency Board, Advantages and Disadvantages
- Author
-
Majetić, Marko and Pečarić, Mario
- Subjects
advantages and disadvantages ,currency board ,exchange rate regime - Abstract
U radu se analizira tečajni režim valutnog odbora i njegove prednosti i nedostaci. Valutni odbor je monetarno-devizna institucija koja emitira novčanice i kovanice u potpunosti zamjenjive za rezervnu valutu po trajno fiksnom tečaju. Rad daje sustavan pregled podjele tečajnih režima i kriterija za njihov izbor. Objašnjene su razlike između tradicionalnih i modernih valutnih odbora, definirane su značajke valutnog odbora uz poseban naglasak na prednosti i nedostatke, te je dan osvrt na razloge odabira i uvođenja valutnog odbora kao i stanje zemalja prije i nakon korištenja tog režima., This paper analyses the currency board arrangement and its advantages and disadvantages. The currency board is monetary and foreign exchange institution that issues banknotes and coins that can be completely exchangeable for reserve currency at permanently fixed exchange rate. The paper provides a systematic overview of the exchange rate regimes and criteria for their choice. The differences between the traditional and modern currency boards have been explained, the features of the currency board are defined, with a special emphasis on the advantages and disadvantages, and a review of the reasons for selecting and installing a currency board is given as well as the condition of the countries before and after the use of the regime.
- Published
- 2018
183. Did the Philippine Islands have a currency board during the American colonization period?
- Author
-
FREEDMAN, Ryan
- Subjects
Philippines ,Currency board ,Gold standard fund ,Currency reserve fund ,Exchange standard fund ,E59 ,N15 - Abstract
The Philippine monetary system and data from 1903-1948are examined, using general observations and statistical tests to determine to what extent the system operated as a currency board. This paper makes detailed annual balance sheets of the monetary system available in machine-readable form for the first time, in a companion Excel workbook.Keywords. Philippines, Currency board, Gold standard fund, Currency reserve fund, Exchange standard fund.JEL. E59, N15.
- Published
- 2018
184. An analysis of Qatar and Dubai’s Currency Board (1966-1973)
- Author
-
BHANDARI, Saksham
- Subjects
E59 ,N25 ,Qatar ,Dubai ,Currency board - Abstract
We first analyze the orthodoxy of the Qatar and Dubai Currency Board (1966-1973) through analysis of legislation and statistical tests based on balance sheet data. We then compare an analysis of economic factors such as wage growth, inflation rate, etc. during the currency board period to the post-currency board period. We also provide the history of the currency board’s issue of notes. A companion spreadsheet workbook shows the board’s note issue, balance sheet, and other data in machine-readable form.Keywords. Qatar, Dubai, currency board.JEL. E59, N25.
- Published
- 2018
185. Feasibility study on the implementation of a Unified Currency in the Gulf Cooperation Council
- Author
-
OMAIR, Faris Mazen
- Subjects
Gulf Cooperation Council ,Central bank ,Currency board ,Currency union ,Monetary union ,E52 ,E58 - Abstract
The paper discusses the feasibility of a unified currency among the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and suggests policies to be used should it be implemented. Several other currency unions are examined as inspiration for policies and strategies to apply to the GCC’s prospective currency union.Keywords. Gulf Cooperation Council, Central bank, Currency board, Currency union, Monetary union.JEL. E52, E58.
- Published
- 2018
186. Balance Sheet Items of the Bulgarian National Bank Under the Conditions of EU Membership
- Author
-
Andrey Zahariev
- Subjects
Currency board ,Economics ,language ,Force majeure ,Balance sheet ,Bulgarian ,Monetary economics ,Foreign exchange risk ,National bank ,language.human_language - Abstract
The research area of the survey is the balance sheet items of the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB), and the subject - the convergent aspects of the BNB balance sheet items for the period 01.2006 to 03.2018. The purpose of the survey is to identify under the currency board conditions as well as the dynamics, trend and risk parameters of the BNB balance sheet items, focusing on the currency risk of USD-denominated balance sheet positions and the correlation of these positions with the GDP of Bulgaria. Therefor a special focus is placed on currency risk in USD-denominated balance sheet items. The thesis tests the existence of a direct link between dynamics in the BNB balance sheet positions and the growth of GDP, taking into account force majeure factors.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
187. A Real-Business-Cycle model with pollution and environmental taxation: the case of Bulgaria
- Author
-
Aleksandar Vasilev
- Subjects
Pollution ,Economics and Econometrics ,Natural resource economics ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,Environmental Science (miscellaneous) ,Q2 ,0502 economics and business ,Economics ,Business cycle ,ddc:330 ,pollution ,050207 economics ,Dimension (data warehouse) ,Environmental quality ,media_common ,E32 ,Government spending ,environmental tax ,05 social sciences ,Aggregate (data warehouse) ,environmental quality ,Business cycles ,Q58 ,Shock (economics) ,Currency board ,abatement spending ,C68 ,050202 agricultural economics & policy - Abstract
We introduce an environmental dimension into a real-business-cycle model augmented with a detailed government sector. We calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999–2016). We investigate the quantitative importance of utility-enhancing environmental quality, and the mechanics of an ‘environmental’ output tax levied on the polluting firm’s output, as well as the effect of government spending on pollution abatement over the cycle. In particular, a positive shock to pollution emission in the model works like a positive technological shock, but its effect is quantitatively very small. Overall, the model performs relatively well when evaluated against data, but less so along the environmental dimension, so more research is needed to understand the aggregate effects of pollution.
- Published
- 2018
188. Currency strategy and international integration: specificity and sustainability of the currency board in Djibouti
- Author
-
Mohamed, Houmed, Ciesla, Catherine, Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble (CREG), Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 (UPMF), Université de Grenoble Alpes, Jean-François Ponsot, and Ismaël Mahamoud
- Subjects
monetary regime ,spécificité ,dette publique ,specificity ,caisse d’émission ,soutenabilité et taux de change ,Currency Board ,exchange rate ,[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,sustainability ,régime monétaire ,credibility ,crédibilité ,public debt ,Djibouti ,[SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance - Abstract
The goal of this thesis is to study the specificity and sustainability of the Djibouti Currency Board. For this, we will proceed in two steps. First, we will study the specificity of the Djibouti monetary regime, based on the Currency Board, compared to other contemporary monetary experiences. Its peculiarity stems from the fact that the Djiboutian monetary system is based on credible commitments that conform to orthodox canons, which is not the case for all modern currency boards. This is verified for the Board of Djibouti by the absence of discretionary monetary instruments. Also, we insist upon this contrast by its longevity with contemporary monetary arrangements. Since its introduction in 1949, the Board of Djibouti has not been concerned about its ability to operate. Building upon our first observation, for our second step, we work to identify the conditions of success of the Board of Djibouti, including the factors of sustainability linked to this monetary regime. This thesis demonstrates that the sustainability of this monetary regime, as the oldest currency board in the world, is based on regional and international integration. It also states that the characteristics of the economy are one of the main factors in its success. Finally, the thesis highlights that the internal and external imbalances of the economy pose the risk of dropping the Djibouti franc to the US dollar. The weakness of the banking system, the quality of institutions, and overvalued exchange rates are signals of a debt crisis. The increasing use of external debt highlights the government's inability to reconcile rigorous public debt management with restrictive monetary policy. The amount and structure of public and external indebtedness on one hand, and the imbalance of the exchange rate on the other, are sources of uncertainty about the long-term sustainability of this monetary regime. In the absence of discretionary room for maneuver, the credibility and sustainability of the monetary regime depend on the government's ability to address these macroeconomic imbalances., L’objectif de cette thèse est d’étudier la spécificité et la soutenabilité du Currency Board de Djibouti. Pour cela, nous allons procéder en deux étapes. Dans un premier temps, nous étudierons la spécificité du régime monétaire djiboutien fondé sur le Currency Board par rapport aux expériences monétaires contemporaines. Sa particularité résulte du fait que le régime djiboutien est fondé sur des engagements crédibles et conformes aux canons orthodoxes, ce qui n’est pas le cas des caisses d’émission modernes. Celle-ci est vérifiée pour le Board de Djibouti par l’absence des instruments monétaires discrétionnaires. Aussi, nous insisterons que celui-ci contraste par sa longévité avec les arrangements monétaires contemporains. Depuis son introduction en 1949, le Board de Djibouti n’a pas été inquiété dans son fonctionnement. Partant de ce constat, nous nous attacherons, dans un second temps, à identifier les conditions de son succès et les facteurs de la soutenabilité de ce régime. Étant la caisse d’émission la plus ancienne du monde, la thèse démontrera que la pérennité de ce régime monétaire repose sur une intégration régionale et internationale. Aussi, elle établira que les caractéristiques de l’économie constituent un de principal facteur de sa réussite. Enfin, la thèse mettra en évidence que les déséquilibres interne et externe de l’économie posent réellement le risque de décrochage du franc Djibouti au dollar américain. Faiblesse du système bancaire, de la qualité des institutions et taux de change surévalué est un signal d’une crise de la dette. Le recours croissant à l’endettement extérieur souligne l’incapacité du gouvernement à concilier une gestion rigoureuse de la dette publique et d’une politique monétaire restrictive. Le montant et la structure des endettements publics et externes d'une part, le déséquilibre du taux de change d'autre part, sont sources d'incertitude sur la soutenabilité à long terme de ce régime. En l’absence de marges de manœuvres discrétionnaires, la crédibilité et la soutenabilité du régime monétaire dépendent de la capacité du gouvernement à résoudre ces déséquilibres macroéconomiques.
- Published
- 2018
189. Macroeconomic regime and labor market. The Argentine experience of the past two decades
- Author
-
Luis Alberto Beccaría and Roxana Maurizio
- Subjects
Argentina ,real exchange rate ,Depreciation ,lcsh:Economic theory. Demography ,Context (language use) ,Monetary economics ,International economics ,Exchange-rate regime ,lcsh:Economic history and conditions ,lcsh:HB1-3840 ,taxa real de câmbio ,Currency board ,Exchange rate ,Currency ,macroeconomic regime ,Economics ,lcsh:HC10-1085 ,labor market ,mercado de trabalho ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,regime macroeconômico - Abstract
This document analyzes the interactions between macroeconomic regimes, employment generation and the dynamics of labor incomes in Argentina under two different macroeconomic regimes: the currency board regime of the 1990s and the high real exchange rate regime that followed. The former, characterized by a strong currency overvaluation, had a negative impact on economic activity and the labor market. However, the maintenance of a competitive real exchange rate does not by itself guarantee the sustained positive performance of the labor market, as it became evident in Argentina during the 2000s. Although the sizable depreciation of the peso -together with a positive international context- favored the expansion of output and employment, the initial concern of maintaining the real exchange rate at a competitive level was not continued with policies aimed to counteract the appreciation trend that appeared a few years after the implementation of the new regime. Resumo: Este artigo analisa as interações entre regimes macroeconômicos, geração de empregos e a dinâmica dos rendimentos laborais na Argentina sob dois regimes macroeconômicos distintos: o regime de currency board dos anos 90, e o subsequente regime de altas taxas reais de câmbio. O primeiro, caracterizado por forte sobrevalorização cambial, teve impacto negativo sobre a atividade econômica e o mercado de trabalho. Entretanto, a manutenção de uma taxa real de câmbio competitiva não garante, por si mesma, um desempenho positivo sustentável do mercado de trabalho, como se tornou evidente na Argentina durante a década de 2000. Embora desvalorizações significativas do peso - assim como um contexto internacional favorável - favoreceram a expansão do produto e do emprego, a preocupação inicial com a manutenção da taxa real de câmbio em níveis competitivos não foi complementada com políticas voltadas para conter a tendência de apreciação que surgiu alguns anos após a implementação do novo regime.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
190. Reactions to Shocks and Monetary Policy Regimes: Inflation Targeting Versus Flexible Currency Board in Sub-Saharan Africa
- Author
-
Kimiko Sugimoto, Fadia Al Hajj, Gilles Dufrénot, and Romain Wolf
- Subjects
Inflation ,Macroeconomics ,Economics and Econometrics ,050208 finance ,Sub saharan ,Inflation targeting ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Monetary policy ,1. No poverty ,Development ,Policy analysis ,Currency board ,Balance (accounting) ,Demand shock ,0502 economics and business ,8. Economic growth ,Economics ,050207 economics ,media_common - Abstract
The paper examines the monetary policy actions through which central banks in sub-Saharan Africa have tried to eliminate the negative impacts of the shocks facing their economies. We compare two different monetary policy regimes: a currency board regime (in the CFA zone) and an inflation targeting policy regime (Ghana and South Africa) when central banks respond to demand, supply, and fiscal shocks. We extend the usual forecasting and policy analysis system models to replicate the economic features of these economies during the period 2002–12 and to evaluate the impact of several policies in response to these shocks. We find that both policies are inappropriate in helping the economies escape from the effects of negative demand shocks, both are essential when negative shocks to primary balance occur, while inflation targeting dominates the currency board regime as a strategy to cope with positive shocks to inflation.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
191. A NEW COMPARATIVE STUDY ON THE FREE-FLOATING AND CURRENCY BOARD REGIMES IN HONG KONG
- Author
-
Kwo Ping Tam
- Subjects
Macroeconomics ,Economics and Econometrics ,Floating exchange rate ,050208 finance ,05 social sciences ,Exchange-rate regime ,Shock (economics) ,Currency board ,Exchange rate ,Demand shock ,0502 economics and business ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Price level ,050207 economics ,Aggregate demand - Abstract
This study aims to compare the performance of free-floating and currency board regimes for Hong Kong by examining historical data of the two on the output growth and inflation rate. Structural vector autoregression has been applied in the empirical analysis. Without making a strong assumption of unit variance in the residual matrix, this study applies a more natural approach proposed by Cecchetti and Rich to recover the structural parameters. The study has further investigated the recovery of the economy under a demand shock under different exchange rate regimes, in order to provide some evidence to answer why Hong Kong's recovery process after the Asian financial crisis is relatively longer than that in other economies with a managed floating exchange rate regime. New evidence in this study indicates that output recovers much faster in a flexible exchange rate regime than in a fixed exchange rate regime after an aggregate demand shock. Furthermore, this study has applied a more robust method in the counterfactual analysis when comparing the two regimes. New evidence in this study suggests that a free-floating regime may generate much smaller output variance in Hong Kong and deliver higher output and price levels to Hong Kong.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
192. Is It Time to Revisit the Savings Rate Floor in the ECCU?
- Author
-
D. Tracy Polius and Allister Mounsey
- Subjects
Economic policy ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Aerospace Engineering ,Net interest spread ,Monetary economics ,Loanable funds ,Development ,Interest rate ,Capital formation ,Currency union ,Currency board ,Unemployment ,Economics ,Business cycle ,health care economics and organizations ,media_common - Abstract
Member states of the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) experienced a secular decline in growth following the great recession circa 2008, resulting in increased unemployment and social dislocation. Given the ECCU's currency board arrangement and current fiscal challenges, policy options for resuscitating growth are limited to supply-side adjustments. This paper contends that the 3 per cent interest rate floor on savings deposits has contributed to higher lending rates and lower levels of capital formation. Ultimately it is a drag on growth and a threat to the banking sector's health as it has resulted in reduced risk compensation when default and other banking sector risks have risen. Revisiting the floor is advocated as an integral component of this structural adjustment policy response.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
193. Dollarization, Foreign Ownership, and Competition in the Banking Industry in Latin America
- Author
-
Aldo Ariel Ocampo González, Alejandro Micco, and Ana Maria Montoya
- Subjects
Transaction cost ,Latin Americans ,Currency board ,Foreign ownership ,Financial integration ,Economics ,International economics ,Positive correlation ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,Rivalry ,Finance ,Banking industry - Abstract
We estimate the correlation of foreign bank penetration and dollarization with competition in the banking industry in sixteen Latin American countries during the period 1995–2008. We apply Boone’s methodology to compute the intensity of competition. Our results suggest that in countries with an initial low level of competition, foreign ownership tends to foster rivalry among banks, whereas the opposite is true in countries with an initial high level of competition. The adoption of dollarization or a currency board, which reduces transaction costs and facilitates financial integration, has a positive correlation with competition. This is the case for Ecuador, El Salvador, and Argentina.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
194. تطبيق مجلس العملة كنظام صرف للجزائر = The Establishment of Currency Board as Exchange Rate System to Algeria
- Subjects
Exchange rate ,Commerce ,Currency board ,Financial system ,Business - Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
195. MUTUAL ADAPTATION OF INTEREST RATES ON THE MONEY MARKET // MEĐUSOBNA PRILAGOĐAVANJA KAMATNIH STOPA NA TRŽIŠTU NOVCA
- Author
-
Bogdana Vujnović-Gligorić, Nina Uremović, and Zumreta Galijašević
- Subjects
Money market ,Eonia ,Currency board ,Libor ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Financial market ,Economics ,Monetary economics ,Euribor ,Moneyness ,Interest rate ,media_common - Abstract
Along with the process of globalization, interest rates have become a significant benchmark for the effectiveness of banking policies in the money market. In this regard, the focus of the research is the interdependence of central bank interest rates and interest rates on the interbank money market (EONIA, EURIBOR, LIBOR SONIA and OIS). The paper analyzes the movement of reference interest rates and their variability over time, depending on the effect that the monetary authorities want to achieve. Interest rates on interbank money market and interdependence in the movements of interest rates in the period from 2006 till 2016 have been examined and a positive correlation between them was found. In contrast, the reference interest rates of the leading central banks were moving in line with the monetary authorities’ objectives, so the movements had different directions.During the observed period, the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina adjusted the interest rates on the financial markets of euro denominated instruments and yields. The correlation between the interest rates of the European Central Bank for the main refinancing operations and the average weighted interest rate of the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina is justified by the use of the currency board in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
196. EFFECTS OF THE BULGARIAN BANKING SECTOR JOINING THE EUROPEAN BANKING UNION
- Author
-
Vania Ivanova and Ekaterina Sotirova
- Subjects
Economic policy ,Financial integration ,Financial system ,European Banking Union,bank supervision,banking system stability,financial integration ,language.human_language ,Market liquidity ,Capital adequacy ratio ,Financial regulation ,Currency board ,Member state ,language ,Banking union ,Bulgarian ,Business - Abstract
The development of the Bulgarian banking system is a complex and dynamic process that is driven by the effect of both internal and external factors. The country’s membership in the EU favours inflow of foreign capital into the system in the form of the purchases of most Bulgarian commercial banks. The domination of European capital forms a number of positives but also possibilities for distress by line of ownership. As a Member State of the EU with derogation, Bulgaria does not participate in the European Monetary Union. However, apart from the choice of the euro as a nominal anchor of the Currency Board, it can also be observed that there is tighter integration with the European financial system and, over the last few years, government declarations expressing the desire to become a full member of the Eurozone. That leads to commitments that demonstrate the viewpoint that it is possible to achieve significant improvements of the main dimensions of the system’s functionality while also increasing its credibility in the eyes of Bulgarian consumers of bank services and European investors. In 2014, the Bulgarian bank system faced a serious challenge – the crisis surrounds Corporate Commercial Bank (CCB), one of its biggest commercial banks. The goal of this article is to examine the methods, effectiveness and costs of stabilizing the system. At the same time, the authors also examine the approaches that would have been applicable to the same situation had the country been a member of the European Banking Union and had CCB been under the Single Supervisory Mechanism. The task, based on the above-mentioned case, to evaluate the positives and potential negatives of Bulgaria joining the Banking Union and to support membership in the European Banking Union. That would contribute towards additional stabilization of the Bulgarian banking sector and more effective resolution of capital adequacy issues, liquidity, solvency and security.
- Published
- 2017
197. Inflation, Employment and FDI in Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Author
-
Maja Ibrahimbegović and Goran Popović
- Subjects
Inflation ,unemployment ,lcsh:HB71-74 ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Monetary policy ,FDI ,currency board ,monetary policy ,lcsh:Economics as a science ,General Medicine ,Foreign direct investment ,Monetary economics ,Currency board ,inflation ,Unemployment ,Economics ,Price of stability ,BIH ,Phillips curve ,Aggregate demand ,media_common - Abstract
The monetary policy of Bosnia and Herzegovina (hereinafter referred to as BIH) operates under the currency board system, responsible for strengthening the market economy and price stability. On the other hand, the economy of BIH is facing long-term unemployment, unfavorable business environment and feeble competitive position. This discourages economic development. Further retaining the currency board system in BIH attracts great interest. The paper analyzes the relation among inflation, unemployment and foreign direct investment (FDI). Statistical analysis (coefficient of correlation and simple linear regression (period 2004/2014)) indicates that there is no inversion similar to the Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment. Thus, it is implied that BIH renounces employment, aggregate demand and economic growth for the sake of stable prices. Moreover, the ratio of inflation and participation of FDI in GDP is inverse with a negligible correlation. Analyses demonstrate that there is no optimal combination of inflation and unemployment in BIH that would improve business environment and stimulate FDI and aggregate demand. Correlation and regression analyses fail to provide the arguments to statistically challenge the currency board as the monetary system model of BIH.
- Published
- 2017
198. Hong Kong In-Depth Research Report Series-Timing When Speculating on De-Pegging and Other Trading Opportunities
- Author
-
Kun Li
- Subjects
Mainland China ,Government ,Currency board ,Economy ,Order (exchange) ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Liberian dollar ,Bond market ,Monetary economics ,Business ,Foreign-exchange reserves ,Interest rate ,media_common - Abstract
This is the second in-depth report which discusses the possibility that the Kong Kong Dollar (HKD) will cease to be determined by the currency board system. In the previous report, the author discussed the unsustainability of pegging the HKD to the USD when the Chinese economy is deteriorating and the Fed is increasing interest rates. The first report proposed a de-pegging in the near future in order to mitigate costs while the HKD is still strong in view of capital inflows from the mainland. Such a decision could lead to a win-win situation for both the Hong Kong (HK) government and investors. However, governments frequently lack the capacity to choose the best options. Therefore, the HK government is likely to maintain the current system, even at a high social and economic cost, in the expectation that the environment will change and relieve it from pressure. This could happen, for example, if the Chinese economy rebounded. Considering that the HK government owns huge amounts of foreign reserves, it is not easy for investors to pick the best time to speculate on a de-pegging of the HKD. An HKD crisis might come about following a collapse of the housing bubble in mainland China. This report covers several methods which can be adopted to gauge the risks associated with a de-pegging of the HKD and a collapse of Chinese housing bubble. It is believed that the crisis will eventually come, whether the HKD is de-pegged or not, and there will be huge trading/arbitrage opportunities. In this regard, careful research and review of the HK government’s massive intervention during 1997 is insightful. At the same time, identifying the impact of a de-pegging on Hong Kong’s local companies and determining the most vulnerable parts of the system can increase investors’ chances of success. The recent development of the Hong Kong bond market might provide a good goal.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
199. Argentine financial crisis
- Author
-
Klapková, Jana, Žamberský, Pavel, and Jiránková, Martina
- Subjects
Financial crisis ,Příčiny finanční krize ,Convertibility regime ,Měnový výbor ,Currency board ,Režim konvertibility ,Finanční krize ,Argentina ,Causes of financial crisis - Abstract
Diploma thesis on Argentine financial crisis deals with the biggest financial crisis in the country's history, which took place at the turn of 2001/2002. This paper examines economical and political development before the crisis, what caused it, its impacts and how it could be prevented. The aim of this paper is to analyze the causes of the crisis. The secondary goal of this paper is to assess whether and how this crisis could have been avoided or at least how the effects could be mitigated.
- Published
- 2017
200. Foreign Currency Flows and the Jamaican Economy
- Author
-
Andre Haughton
- Subjects
Currency board ,Exchange rate ,Economy ,Reserve currency ,Currency ,Economics ,Context (language use) ,International economics ,Exchange-rate regime ,Foreign exchange risk ,Crawling peg - Abstract
Chapter 1 analyzes Jamaica’s foreign currency flow with the rest of the world and puts the research into proper context. It explores the rationale for each exchange rate regime and their impact on the progression of the nation’s economy. Since gaining independence from Britain in 1962, Jamaica has employed five main types of exchange rate strategies. Each was designed to achieve specific objectives of the government, taking the local and global economic environment into account. Jamaica’s exchange rate regime moved from a currency board to a crawling peg to a dual exchange rate, then to an auction and allocation system and finally to a free-floating exchange rate system.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
Catalog
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.