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Identification of patterns from discrete data time-series for statistical inference, threat detection, social opinion dynamics, brain activity prediction has received recent momentum. In addition to the huge data size, the associated challenges are, for example, (i) missing data to construct a closed time-varying complex network, and (ii) contribution of unknown sources which are not probed. Towards this end, the current work focuses on statistical neuron system model with multi-covariates and unknown inputs. Previous research of neuron activity analysis is mainly limited with effects from the spiking history of target neuron and the interaction with other neurons in the system while ignoring the influence of unknown stimuli. We propose to use unknown unknowns, which describes the effect of unknown stimuli, undetected neuron activities and all other hidden sources of error. The maximum likelihood estimation with the fixed-point iteration method is implemented. The fixed-point iterations converge fast, and the proposed methods can be efficiently parallelized and offer computational advantage especially when the input spiking trains are over long time-horizon. The developed framework provides an intuition into the meaning of having extra degrees-of-freedom in the data to support the need for unknowns. The proposed algorithm is applied to simulated spike trains and on real-world experimental data of mouse somatosensory, mouse retina and cat retina. The model shows a successful increasing of system likelihood with respect to the conditional intensity function, and it also reveals the convergence with iterations. Results suggest that the neural connection model with unknown unknowns can efficiently estimate the statistical properties of the process by increasing the network likelihood.

Despite significant effort in understanding complex systems (CS), we lack a theory for modeling, inference, analysis and efficient control of time-varying complex networks (TVCNs) in uncertain environments. From brain activity dynamics to microbiome, and even chromatin interactions within the genome architecture, many such TVCNs exhibits a pronounced spatio-temporal fractality. Moreover, for many TVCNs only limited information (e.g., few variables) is accessible for modeling, which hampers the capabilities of analytical tools to uncover the true degrees of freedom and infer the CS model, the hidden states and their parameters. Another fundamental limitation is that of understanding and unveiling of unknown drivers of the dynamics that could sporadically excite the network in ways that straightforward modeling does not work due to our inability to model non-stationary processes. Towards addressing these challenges, in this paper, we consider the problem of learning the fractional dynamical complex networks under unknown unknowns (i.e., hidden drivers) and partial observability (i.e., only partial data is available). More precisely, we consider a generalized modeling approach of TVCNs consisting of discrete-time fractional dynamical equations and propose an iterative framework to determine the network parameterization and predict the state of the system. We showcase the performance of the proposed framework in the context of task classification using real electroencephalogram data., Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, American Control Conference 2019

Thermoelectric generation (TEG) has increasingly drawn attention for being environmentally friendly. A few researches have focused on improving TEG efficiency at the system level on vehicle radiators. The most recent reconfiguration algorithm shows improvement in performance but suffers from major drawback on computational time and energy overhead, and non-scalability in terms of array size and processing frequency. In this paper, we propose a novel TEG array reconfiguration algorithm that determines near-optimal configuration with an acceptable computational time. More precisely, with $O(N)$ time complexity, our prediction-based fast TEG reconfiguration algorithm enables all modules to work at or near their maximum power points (MPP). Additionally, we incorporate prediction methods to further reduce the runtime and switching overhead during the reconfiguration process. Experimental results present $30\%$ performance improvement, almost $100\times$ reduction on switching overhead and $13\times$ enhancement on computational speed compared to the baseline and prior work. The scalability of our algorithm makes it applicable to larger scale systems such as industrial boilers and heat exchangers., Comment: 4 pages, 7figurs; Accepted at Design Automation and Test in Europe (DATE) 2018

Brain interfaces are cyber-physical systems that aim to harvest information from the (physical) brain through sensing mechanisms, extract information about the underlying processes, and decide/actuate accordingly. Nonetheless, the brain interfaces are still in their infancy, but reaching to their maturity quickly as several initiatives are released to push forward their development (e.g., NeuraLink by Elon Musk and `typing-by-brain' by Facebook). This has motivated us to revisit the design of EEG-based non-invasive brain interfaces. Specifically, current methodologies entail a highly skilled neuro-functional approach and evidence-based \emph{a priori} knowledge about specific signal features and their interpretation from a neuro-physiological point of view. Hereafter, we propose to demystify such approaches, as we propose to leverage new time-varying complex network models that equip us with a fractal dynamical characterization of the underlying processes. Subsequently, the parameters of the proposed complex network models can be explained from a system's perspective, and, consecutively, used for classification using machine learning algorithms and/or actuation laws determined using control system's theory. Besides, the proposed system identification methods and techniques have computational complexities comparable with those currently used in EEG-based brain interfaces, which enable comparable online performances. Furthermore, we foresee that the proposed models and approaches are also valid using other invasive and non-invasive technologies. Finally, we illustrate and experimentally evaluate this approach on real EEG-datasets to assess and validate the proposed methodology. The classification accuracies are high even on having less number of training samples., Comment: 12 pages, 16 figures, ICCPS-18

This paper focuses on analysis and design of time-varying complex networks having fractional order dynamics. These systems are key in modeling the complex dynamical processes arising in several natural and man made systems. Notably, examples include neurophysiological signals such as electroencephalogram (EEG) that captures the variation in potential fields, and blood oxygenation level dependent (BOLD) signal, which serves as a proxy for neuronal activity. Notwithstanding, the complex networks originated by locally measuring EEG and BOLD are often treated as isolated networks and do not capture the dependency from external stimuli, e.g., originated in subcortical structures such as the thalamus and the brain stem. Therefore, we propose a paradigm-shift towards the analysis of such complex networks under unknown unknowns (i.e., excitations). Consequently, the main contributions of the present paper are threefold: (i) we present an alternating scheme that enables to determine the best estimate of the model parameters and unknown stimuli; (ii) we provide necessary and sufficient conditions to ensure that it is possible to retrieve the state and unknown stimuli; and (iii) upon these conditions we determine a small subset of variables that need to be measured to ensure that both state and input can be recovered, while establishing sub-optimality guarantees with respect to the smallest possible subset. Finally, we present several pedagogical examples of the main results using real data collected from an EEG wearable device., Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, ACC-18