101. Circulating cotinine concentrations and lung cancer risk in the Lung Cancer Cohort Consortium (LC3)
- Author
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Stephanie A. Smith-Warner, Mark P. Purdue, William J. Blot, Eric J. Jacobs, Neil E. Caporaso, Meir J. Stampfer, Woon-Puay Koh, Qiuyin Cai, Tricia L Larose, Gianluca Severi, Mikael Johansson, Florence Guida, Jonas Manjer, Anne Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Graham G. Giles, Yu-Tang Gao, Demetrius Albanes, Allison M. Hodge, Neal D. Freedman, I-Min Lee, Christopher A. Haiman, Øivind Midttun, Mary Pettinger, Ross L. Prentice, Kala Visvanathan, Loic Le Marchand, Cynthia A. Thomson, Jie Wu, Howard D. Sesso, Stephanie J. Weinstein, Kristian Kveem, Alan A. Arslan, J. Michael Gaziano, Wei Zheng, Arnulf Langhammer, Yong-Bing Xiang, Mattias Johansson, Lynne R. Wilkens, Jian-Min Yuan, Paul Brennan, Victoria L. Stevens, Xuehong Zhang, Honglan Li, Per Magne Ueland, Qing Lan, Julie E. Buring, Edward Giovannucci, Kjell Grankvist, Renwei Wang, Hans Brunnström, Judith A. Hoffman Bolton, Anouar Fanidi, and Xiao-Ou Shu
- Subjects
Oncology ,Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Lung Neoplasms ,Epidemiology ,Cost effectiveness ,Asbestos, Smoking and Lung Cancer ,Nicotine ,03 medical and health sciences ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Tobacco Smoking ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective Studies ,Prospective cohort study ,Lung cancer ,Cotinine ,Aged ,business.industry ,Case-control study ,General Medicine ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Logistic Models ,chemistry ,ROC Curve ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Case-Control Studies ,Cohort ,Biomarker (medicine) ,Female ,Self Report ,business ,Biomarkers ,medicine.drug - Abstract
Background Self-reported smoking is the principal measure used to assess lung cancer risk in epidemiological studies. We evaluated if circulating cotinine—a nicotine metabolite and biomarker of recent tobacco exposure—provides additional information on lung cancer risk. Methods The study was conducted in the Lung Cancer Cohort Consortium (LC3) involving 20 prospective cohort studies. Pre-diagnostic serum cotinine concentrations were measured in one laboratory on 5364 lung cancer cases and 5364 individually matched controls. We used conditional logistic regression to evaluate the association between circulating cotinine and lung cancer, and assessed if cotinine provided additional risk-discriminative information compared with self-reported smoking (smoking status, smoking intensity, smoking duration), using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results We observed a strong positive association between cotinine and lung cancer risk for current smokers [odds ratio (OR ) per 500 nmol/L increase in cotinine (OR500): 1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32–1.47]. Cotinine concentrations consistent with active smoking (≥115 nmol/L) were common in former smokers (cases: 14.6%; controls: 9.2%) and rare in never smokers (cases: 2.7%; controls: 0.8%). Former and never smokers with cotinine concentrations indicative of active smoking (≥115 nmol/L) also showed increased lung cancer risk. For current smokers, the risk-discriminative performance of cotinine combined with self-reported smoking (AUCintegrated: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.68–0.71) yielded a small improvement over self-reported smoking alone (AUCsmoke: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.64–0.68) (P = 1.5x10–9). Conclusions Circulating cotinine concentrations are consistently associated with lung cancer risk for current smokers and provide additional risk-discriminative information compared with self-report smoking alone. © The Author(s) 2018; all rights reserved. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association
- Published
- 2018