101. HeartMate II Risk Score (HMRS) and MELD-Xi Scores Do Not Predict Mortality in HeartMate 3 LVAD Patients
- Author
-
Y. Naka, Kelly Axsom, Amirali Masoumi, Hiroo Takayama, A. Malick, E. Lin, Ersilia M. DeFilippis, Melana Yuzefpolskaya, Jennifer Haythe, Paolo C. Colombo, C. Butler, Koji Takeda, D. Marshall, Nir Uriel, Lauren K. Truby, Veli K. Topkara, Gabriel Sayer, and Maryjane Farr
- Subjects
Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,Transplantation ,medicine.medical_specialty ,education.field_of_study ,Gastrointestinal bleeding ,Framingham Risk Score ,Receiver operating characteristic ,Heartmate ii ,business.industry ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Population ,medicine.disease ,Academic institution ,Internal medicine ,Ventricular assist device ,medicine ,Cardiology ,Surgery ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,education ,business ,Stroke - Abstract
Purpose Heartmate II risk score (HMRS) and MELD-Xi score are validated mortality risk predictors in Heartmate II left ventricular assist device (LVAD) patients. Prognostic utility of these risk scores remains unknown in patients considered for Heartmate 3 (HM3) LVAD therapy. Methods HMRS were calculated for 175 consecutive patients who underwent HM3 LVAD implantation at a single academic institution. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and logistic- and cox-regression models were developed to assess the impact of HMRS and MELD-Xi scores on short- and long-term outcomes in HM3 patients. Results Mean HMRS and MELD-Xi scores in HM3 population was 1.38±0.57 and 14.4±0.28, respectively. Pre-implant HMRS was not predictive of RVAD use (OR 1.25, p=0.392), CVVHD (OR 1.16, p=0.722), in-hospital mortality (OR 1.52, p=0.409), or 90-day mortality (OR 1.44, p=0.457). Pre-implant MELD-Xi score showed trend towards increased RVAD use (OR 1.09, p=0.056) and need for CVVH (OR 1.14, p=0.064), however was not predictive of in-hospital mortality (OR 1.02, p=0.836), or 90-day post-LVAD mortality (OR 0.958, p=0.636). Area under curve (AUC) for in-hospital mortality was 0.531 for HMRS and 0.525 for MELD-Xi score (Figure) . There was no difference in post-implant survival (88.6% vs. 85.7%, log-rank p=0.569), freedom from GI bleeding (73.5% vs. 65.1%, log-rank p =0.257) or freedom from stroke (93.3% vs. 90.8% log-rank p = 0.478) at 2-year follow-up in patients with below average vs. above average HMRS. Similarly, There was no difference in post-implant survival (91.3% vs. 82.3%, log-rank p=0.121), freedom from gastrointestinal bleeding (72.2% vs. 65.2%, log-rank p =0.257) or freedom from stroke (92.0% vs. 92.4% log-rank p = 0.820) at 2-year follow-up in patients with below average vs. above average MELD-Xi score. Conclusion HMRS and MELD-Xi scores do not predict mortality in patients undergoing HM3 implantation. New prediction models are required to optimize patient selection and outcomes in HM3 patients.
- Published
- 2020