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Background: The study aimed to clarify the efficacy of the "3‐Day Surprise Question (3DSQ)" in predicting the prognosis for advanced cancer patients with impending death. Patients and Methods: This study was a part of multicenter prospective observational study which investigated the dying process in advanced cancer patients in Japan. For patients with a Palliative Performance Scale ≤20, the 3DSQ "Would I be surprised if this patient died in the next 3 days?" was answered by their physicians. In addition to the sensitivity and specificity of the 3DSQ, the characteristics of patients who survived longer than expected were examined via multivariate analysis. Results: Among the 1896 patients enrolled, 1411 were evaluated. Among 1179 (83.6%) patients who were classified into the "Not surprised" group, 636 patients died within 3 days. Among 232 (16.4%) patients of "Yes surprised" group, 194 patients lived longer than 3 days. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the 3DSQ were 94.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 92.7% to 95.8%), 26.3% (95% CI: 24.8% to 27.6%), 53.9% (95% CI: 53.0% to 54.7%), and 83.6% (95% CI: 78.7% to 87.7%), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed palpable radial artery, absent respiration with mandibular movement, SpO2 ≥ 90%, opioid administration, and no continuous deep sedation as characteristics of patients who lived longer than expected. Conclusions: The 3‐Day Surprise Question can be a useful screening tool to identify advanced cancer patients with impending death. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The objective of this study was to explore the underlying etiologies associated with the resolution and improvement of delirium in ill‐hospitalized cancer patients. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a multicenter, prospective, observational study to estimate the effectiveness of pharmacotherapy for delirium. Participants were cancer patients with delirium. We assessed the Delirium Rating Scale, Revised‐98 (DRS‐R98) severity scale score at baseline and three days after pharmacotherapy initiation. Delirium resolution was defined as a DRS‐R98 severity scale score ≤9, and improvement was defined as ≥50% reduction at Day 3. Results: We enrolled 566 patients (491 patients had performance status of 3 or 4). The resolution and improvement rates in all patients were 22.6% and 19.3%, respectively. Univariate analysis determined that nonrespiratory infection (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.38‐3.45) was significantly associated with greater resolution, while dehydration (0.40, 0.19‐0.87), organic damage to the central nervous system (CNS) (0.32, 0.43‐0.72), hypoxia (0.25, 0.12‐0.52), and hyponatremia (0.34, 0.12‐0.97) were significantly associated with no resolution. Potential causes associated with delirium improvement were nonrespiratory infection (1.93, 1.19‐3.13), organic damage to the CNS (0.40, 0.18‐1.90), and hypoxia (0.32, 0.16‐0.65). After multivariate analysis, dehydration (0.34, 0.15‐0.76), organic damage to the CNS (0.25, 0.10‐0.60), and hypoxia (0.29, 0.14‐0.61) were significantly associated with no resolution. Conclusions: Delirium caused by nonrespiratory infection may be reversible, while delirium associated with dehydration, organic damage to the CNS, hypoxia, or hyponatremia seems to be irreversible in ill‐hospitalized cancer patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACTObjective:Little is known about the associations between family satisfaction with end-of-life care and caregiver burden. We conducted a researcher-assisted questionnaire survey to clarify the impact of caregiver burden on family satisfaction and to determine the types of burden that decrease family satisfaction.Method: Bereaved family caregivers of patients with advanced cancer who received our outreach palliative care service were retrospectively identified. Family satisfaction with the end-of-life care provided by the palliative care service and caregiver burden were quantified using the Japanese versions of the FAMCARE Scale and the Zarit Burden Interview (ZBI), respectively.Results: Our study subjects included 23 family caregivers. The mean scores on the FAMCARE Scale and the ZBI for the total population were 72.8 ± 11.2 and 22.8 ± 17.3, respectively, indicating moderate-to-high satisfaction and low-to-moderate burden. Caregiver burden had a strong negative correlation to family satisfaction with end-of-life care (Spearman's rho [ρ] = -0.560, p = 0.005), which remained after adjustment for potential confounders (standardized beta [β] = -0.563, p = 0.01). Several burden items-including loss of control, personal time, social engagement with others, feeling angry with the patient, feeling that the patient wants more help than he/she needs, and a wish to leave the care to someone else-were associated with decreased satisfaction. The major cause of dissatisfaction for family members included the information provided regarding prognosis, family conferences with medical professionals, and the method of involvement of family members in care decisions.Significance Of Results: Caregiver burden can be a barrier to family satisfaction with end-of-life care at home. A home care model focused on caregiver burden could improve end-of-life experiences for patients and family caregivers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Survival prediction systems such as the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI), which includes the Palliative Performance Scale (PPS), are used to estimate survival for terminally ill patients. Oncologists are, however, less familiar with the PPS in comparison with the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS). This study was designed to validate a simple survival prediction system for oncologists, the Performance Status-Based Palliative Prognostic Index (PS-PPI), which is a modified form of the PPI based on the ECOG PS.Methods: This multicenter, prospective cohort study enrolled all consecutive patients who were referred to 58 palliative care services in Japan. The primary responsible physicians rated the variables required to calculate the PS-PPI and the PPI. Patient survival in these risk groups was compared, and the sensitivity and specificity of the PS-PPI and the PPI were evaluated. Patients were subclassified as patients receiving care from in-hospital palliative care teams, palliative care units, or home-based palliative care services. Subsets of patients receiving chemotherapy were also analyzed.Results: This study included 2346 patients. Survival predictions based on the PPI and the PS-PPI differed significantly among the 3 risk groups (P < .001). The PS-PPI was more sensitive, whereas the PPI was more specific. All areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of both indices were >0.78 for predicting survival at all times, from 3 weeks to 180 days.Conclusions: In predicting the prognosis of patients with advanced cancer, the PS-PPI was as accurate as the PPI. The PS-PPI was useful for short- and long-term survival prediction and for the prediction of survival for patients undergoing chemotherapy. Cancer 2017;123:1442-1452. © 2016 American Cancer Society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a decreased risk of type 2 diabetes. However, the relationship between drinking patterns, such as the weekly frequency of alcohol consumption and the quantity per drinking day, and the incidence of type 2 diabetes has not been sufficiently addressed. Methods Study participants included 10 631 Japanese men aged 40e55 years without type 2 diabetes at entry. Type 2 diabetes was diagnosed if a fasting plasma glucose level was $7.0 mmol/l or if participants were taking diabetes medications. Data on alcohol consumption were obtained from questionnaires. Results During the 37 172 person-years of follow-up, we confirmed 878 cases of type 2 diabetes. Frequent alcohol consumption was associated with a low risk of type 2 diabetes. Compared to non-drinkers, the multiple-adjusted HR for those who drank 4e7 days weekly was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.63 to 0.92). To assess the association between drinking pattern and type 2 diabetes, we examined the joint association of the weekly frequency and the quantity per drinking day with type 2 diabetes. Men who consumed 0.1e2.0 or 2.1e4.0 US standard drinks per drinking day on 4e7 days weekly had a lower risk of type 2 diabetes (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.95; HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.91, respectively) compared to non-drinkers. Conclusions More frequent alcohol consumption lowered the risk of type 2 diabetes. Light to moderate alcohol consumption per drinking day on 4e7 days weekly lowered the risk of type 2 diabetes compared to non-drinkers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Delirium commonly occurs in the palliative care setting and impacts many aspects of patient care, such as symptom assessment, patient-clinician communication, and medical decision-making. One controversial topic regarding the management of delirium in the palliative care setting is whether neuroleptics should be used. In this "Controversies in Palliative Care" article, 3 expert clinicians independently answer this question. Specifically, each group provides a synopsis of the key studies that inform their thought processes, share practical advice on their clinical approach, and highlight the opportunities for future research. Interestingly, all 3 experts arrived at similar conclusions—they underscored the importance of identification and treatment of any reversible causes of delirium and endorsed a trial of non-pharmacologic measures. They also agreed that neuroleptics should be considered for patients with hyperactive or mixed delirium when the conservative measures fail to control delirium symptoms and for delirious patients with days of life expectancy and thus limited time to try other measures. Risk of adverse effects such as extrapyramidal symptoms and seizures should be considered as part of the treatment decision. There is also a need to conduct high quality research to examine both neuroleptics and neuroleptic-sparing strategies for the management of delirium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The characteristics of physician communication with patients at the end of life (EOL) in East Asia have not been well studied. We investigated physicians' communications with imminently dying patients with cancer and their families in palliative care units (PCUs) in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.Methods: This observational study included patients with cancer newly admitted and deceased during their first admission to 39 PCUs in three countries. We evaluated 1) the prevalence and timing of informing patients and families of patients' impending death and 2) the prevalence of communication to assure the families of the patient's comfort.Results: We analyzed 2138 patients (Japan: 1633, South Korea: 256, Taiwan: 249). Fewer Japanese (4.8%: 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 3.8%-5.9%) and South Korean (19.6%: 95% CI, 15.2%-25.0%) patients were informed of their impending death, whereas 66.4% (95% CI, 60.2%-72.1%) of Taiwanese were informed; among all three countries, ≥90% of families were informed. Although most patients in all three countries and the families in South Korea and Taiwan were informed of the impending death greater than or equal to four days before death, 62.1% (95% CI, 59.6%-64.6%) of Japanese families were informed less than or equal to three days prior. Most families in all three countries received assurance that the patient would remain comfortable (could hear until death, no distress with death rattle or respiration with mandibular movement).Conclusions: Physicians in Taiwan communicated about patient's impending death most frequently, and physicians in all three countries generally provided assurance to families that the patients would remain comfortable. Further studies should explore the reasons for these differences and the effects of such communications in East Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Recent guidelines for prognostic evaluation recommend clinicians’ prediction of survival (CPS) for survival prediction in patients with advanced cancer. However, CPS is often inaccurate and optimistic. Studies on factors associated with overestimation or underestimation of CPS are limited. We aimed to investigate the factors associated with the overestimation and underestimation of CPS in patients with far-advanced cancer. Methods: The current study was a secondary analysis of an international multicenter prospective cohort study, which enrolled newly admitted patients with advanced cancer in palliative care units (PCUs) in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan from 2017 to 2018. We obtained the temporal CPS at enrollment and performed multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the factors associated with “underestimation (less than 33% of actual survival)” and “overestimation (more than 33% of actual survival).” Results: A total of 2571 patients were assessed and admitted in 37 PCUs between January 2017 and September 2018. Older age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01–1.02; P < 0.01) and reduced oral intake (aOR 0.68; 95% CI 0.51–0.89; P < 0.01) were identified as significant factors associated with underestimation. Dyspnea (aOR 1.28; 95% CI 1.06–1.54; P = 0.01) and hyperactive delirium (aOR 1.34; 95% CI 1.05–1.72; P = 0.02) were identified as significant factors associated with overestimation. Conclusion: Older age was related to underestimation, while dyspnea and hyperactive delirium were related to overestimation of CPS for patients with weeks of survival. However, reduced oral intake was less likely to lead to underestimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The present study aimed to explore the association between impending death and continual changes in respiratory and heart rates measured using a non-wearable monitor every minute for the final 2 weeks of life in dying cancer patients.Methods: In this longitudinal study, we enrolled patients in a palliative care unit and continuously measured their respiratory and heart rates via a monitor and additionally captured their other vital signs and clinical status from medical records.Result: A dataset was created comprising every 24-h data collected from every-minute raw data, including information from 240 days prior to death from 24 patients (345,600 data); each patient's data were measured for 3-14 days until death. After confirming the associations between the respiratory and heat rate values on the day of death (n = 24) or other days (2-14 days before death, n = 216) and the mean, maximum, minimum, and variance of respiratory and heart rates every 24 h by univariate analyses, we conducted a repeated-measures logistic regression analysis using a generalized estimating equation. Finally, the maximum respiratory rate and mean heart rate were significantly associated with death occurring within the following 3 days (0-24 h, 0-48 h, and 0-72 h), except for the maximum respiratory rate that occurs within 0-24 h.Conclusion: The maximum respiratory rate and mean heart rate measured every minute using a monitor can warn family caregivers and care staff, with the support of palliative care professionals, of imminent death among dying patients at home or other facilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Spiritual well-being is very important in patients undergoing palliative care. Although psychosocial factors have been suggested to be associated with spiritual well-being, the relationship between physical signs and spiritual well-being has not been fully elucidated. The aim of this study was to explore diverse factors associated with spiritual well-being among palliative care patients in Japan. Methods: This study is a secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort study involving patients admitted to palliative care units in Japan. Physicians recorded all data prospectively on a structured sheet designed for the study. The spiritual well-being score was measured using the Integrated Palliative Outcome Scale after patients' death in regard to symptoms over the previous 3 days. We classified each patient into "better" score (0–1) and "worse" score (2–4) groups and examined diverse factors associated with spiritual well-being. Results: Among the 1896 patients enrolled, 1313 were evaluated. In the multivariate analysis, seven variables were significantly associated with "worse" score: worse spiritual well-being on admission (2–4) (p < 0.0001), younger age (< 80) (p = 0.0001), hyperactive delirium over 3 days before death (mild/moderate/severe) (p = 0.0001), expressed wish for hastened death (yes) (p = 0.0006), worse communication among patients and families (Support Team Assessment Schedule score 2–4) (p = 0.0008), pleural effusion (present) (p = 0.037), and marital status (unmarried) (p = 0.0408). Conclusion: Recognizing factors associated with spiritual well-being is potentially useful for identifying high-risk groups with lower spiritual well-being at the end of life. Further study is required to investigate factors associated with patient-reported spiritual well-being. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: For appropriate advance care planning, functional prognostication is necessary. However, there are no studies of functional prognostication in patients with cancer. The aim of this study was to develop a functional prognostic scoring system for patients with advanced cancer. Methods: In this multicenter prospective observational study, 1896 patients were enrolled. First, Cox regression analysis and the combination of forward and backward variable selection were used to identify the best subset of predictors. Second, the prognostic score value was defined from each regression coefficient of a significant prognostic factor. The Functional Palliative Prognostic Index (FPPI) was calculated by summing the prognostic scores. Results: Patients were classified into three groups by the FPPI. For walking, the 14-day functional survival probability was > 72.8% for group A (score 0), 28.4–72.8% for group B (score 1), and < 28.4% for group C (score 2–3). For eating, the 14-day functional survival probability was > 71.8% for group A (score 0–3), 29.6–71.8% for group B (score 3.5–5.5), and < 29.6% for group C (score 6–9). For communicating, the 14-day functional survival probability was > 76.6% for group A (score 0–6.5), 22.6–76.6% for group B (score 7–10), and < 22.6% for group C (score 10.5–16). Regarding each item, group B functionally survived significantly longer than group C, and group A functionally survived significantly longer than either of the others. Conclusion: We firstly developed a functional prognostic scoring system for patients with advanced cancer. This FPPI system promises to be helpful in advance care planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Context: End-of-life discussions are crucial for providing appropriate care to patients with advanced cancer at the end of their lives.Objectives: The objective of this study was to explore associations between end-of-life discussions and bereaved families' depression and complicated grief and the quality of patient death and end-of-life care.Methods: A nationwide questionnaire survey of bereaved family members was conducted between May and July 2014. A total of 13,711 bereaved family members of cancer patients who were cared for by specialist palliative care services at 75 institutions throughout Japan and died before January 2014 participated. We evaluated the prevalence of depression (defined as the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 ≥ 10) and complicated grief (defined as the Brief Grief Questionnaire ≥ 8) in bereaved family members. Moreover, we evaluated the quality of death and end-of-life care with the Good Death Inventory and the Care Evaluation Scale, respectively.Results: A total of 9123 questionnaires were returned (response rate 67%), and 80.6% of the respondents reported that they had end-of-life discussions. After propensity score-weighted adjustment, the results showed that bereaved family members who had end-of-life discussions had a lower frequently of depression (17.3% vs. 21.6%; P < 0.001) and complicated grief (13.7% vs. 15.9%; P = 0.03). End-of-life discussions were associated with better quality of death (the Good Death Inventory score, 47.2 ± 8.5 vs. 46.1 ± 9.4; P < 0.001) and end-of-life care (the Care Evaluation Scale score, 84.1 ± 11.4 vs. 78.9 ± 14.3; P < 0.001).Conclusion: End-of-life discussions may contribute to reducing depression and complicated grief in bereaved family members and enable patients to experience quality end-of-life care and a good death. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: There is ongoing debate on whether continuous deep sedation (CDS) for psycho-existential suffering is appropriate. Objective: We aimed to (1) clarify clinical practice of CDS for psycho-existential suffering and (2) assess its impact on patients' survival. Methods: Advanced cancer patients admitted to 23 palliative care units in 2017 were consecutively enrolled. We compared patients' characteristics, CDS practices, and survival between those receiving CDS for psycho-existential suffering ± physical symptoms and only for physical symptoms. Results: Of 164 patients analyzed, 14 (8.5%) received CDS for psycho-existential suffering ± physical symptoms and only one of them (0.6%) solely for psycho-existential suffering. Patients receiving CDS for psycho-existential suffering, compared with those only for physical symptoms, were likely to have no specific religion (p = 0.025), and desired (78.6% vs. 22.0%, respectively; p < 0.001) and requested a hastened death more frequently (57.1% vs. 10.0%, respectively; p < 0.001). All of them had a poor physical condition with limited estimated survival, and mostly (71%) received intermittent sedation before CDS. CDS for psycho-existential suffering caused greater physicians' discomfort (p = 0.037), and lasted for longer (p = 0.029). Dependency, loss of autonomy, and hopelessness were common reasons for psycho-existential suffering that required CDS. The survival time after CDS initiation was longer in patients receiving it for psycho-existential suffering (log-rank, p = 0.021). Conclusion: CDS was applied to patients who suffered from psycho-existential suffering, which often associated with desire or request for a hastened death. Further studies and debate are warranted to develop feasible treatment strategies for psycho-existential suffering. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

How physicians use antipsychotics for agitated delirium in the last days of life varies markedly, which could hamper the quality of care. To examine adherence to an algorithm-based treatment for terminal agitated delirium, and explore its effectiveness and safety. A single-center, prospective, observational study was conducted in a 27-bed palliative care unit in Japan. All adult cancer patients who developed agitated delirium with a modified Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS) of +1 or more were included; the palliative care specialists determined that the etiology was irreversible, the estimated survival was three weeks or less, and the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status was three or four. Patients were treated with an algorithm to visualize how to use antipsychotics, with the treatment goal defined as no agitation (RASS≤0) or acceptable agitation for patients and families. We provided all patients nonpharmacological management to alleviate the symptoms of delirium and administered antipsychotic medications when the nonpharmacological approach was insufficient. We measured the adherence rate, RASS, Nursing Delirium Screening Scale items 2, 3, 4 (Nu-DESC), and Agitation Distress Scale item 2 (ADS) on days 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 21, and 24 hours before death. A total of 164 patients were enrolled. Adherence rates were 99, 94, and 89%, and treatment goals were achieved in 66, 83, and 93% on days one, three, and seven, respectively. The mean RASS decreased from +1.41 to –0.84 on day three; Nu-DESC decreased from 4.19 to 1.83, and ADS decreased from 1.54 to 0.38. There were seven severe adverse events (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) of 3), including aspiration (n = 3), apnea (n = 2), tremor (n = 1), and muscle rigidity (n = 1) on day three. The algorithm-based treatment could be feasible, effective, and safe. Visualizing how palliative care specialists provide pharmacological management could be beneficial for nonspecialist clinicians, and clinical, educational, and research implications warrant further empirical testing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: One primary concern about receiving care at home is that survival might be shortened because the quality and quantity of treatment provided at home will be inferior to that given in the hospital. Although our previous study demonstrated a longer survival of those with home-based palliative care (PC), it lacked adjustment for some potential confounders including symptoms and treatments during the stay. We aimed to compare the survival times among advanced cancer patients receiving home-based and hospital-based PC with adjusting for symptoms and treatments. Method: We compared survival time of participants who enrolled two multicenter, prospective cohort studies of advanced cancer patients at 45-home-based PC services between July 2017 and December 2017, and at 23-hospital-based PC services between January 2017 and December 2017. We analyzed with stratification by the estimated survival of Days, Weeks, and Months, which were defined by modified Prognosis in Palliative care Study predictor models-A. We conducted a Cox regression analysis with adjusting for potential confounders including symptoms and treatments during the stay. Results: A total of 2,998 patients were enrolled in both studies and 2,878 patients were analyzed; 988 patients receiving home-based PC and 1,890 receiving hospital-based PC. The survival time of patients receiving home-based PC was significantly longer than that of patients receiving hospital-based PC for the Days Prognosis (estimated median survival time: 10 days [95% CI 8.1–11.8] vs. 9 days [95% CI 8.3–10.4], p = 0.157), the Weeks prognosis (32 days [95% CI 28.9–35.4] vs. 22 days [95% CI 20.3–22.9], p < 0.001), and the Months Prognosis, (65 days [95% CI 58.2–73.2] vs. 32 days [95% CI 28.9–35.4], p < 0.001). Conclusion: In this cohort of advanced cancer patients with a Weeks or Months prognosis, those receiving home-based PC survived longer than those receiving hospital-based PC after adjusting for symptoms and treatments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: It is important for palliative care providers to identify what factors are associated with a "good death" for patients with advanced cancer. We aimed to identify factors associated with a "good death" evaluated by the Good Death Scale (GDS) score among inpatients with advanced cancer in palliative care units (PCUs) in Japan. Methods: The study is a sub-analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort study conducted in Japan. All variables were recorded on a structured data collecting sheet designed for the study. We classified each patient into better GDS group or worse GDS group, and examined factors associated with better GDS using multivariate analysis. Results: Between January and December 2017, 1896 patients were enrolled across 22 PCUs in Japan. Among them, a total of 1157 patients were evaluated. Five variables were significantly associated with a better GDS score in multivariate analysis: preferred place of death at PCU (odds ratio [OR] 2.85; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.72–4.71; p < 0.01), longer survival time (OR 1.02; 95% CI 1.00–1.03; p < 0.01), not sudden death (OR 1.96; 95% CI 1.27–3.04; p < 0.01), better spiritual well-being in the last 3 days in life (OR 0.53; 95% CI 0.42–0.68; p < 0.01), and better communication between patient and family (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.66–0.98; p = 0.03). Conclusions: We identified factors associated with a "good death" using GDS among advanced cancer patients in Japanese PCUs. Recognition of factors associated with GDS could help to improve the quality of end-of-life care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]