51. Clinical predictors at diagnosis of disabling pediatric Crohn's disease.
- Author
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Savoye G, Salleron J, Gower-Rousseau C, Dupas JL, Vernier-Massouille G, Fumery M, Merle V, Lerebours E, Cortot A, Turck D, Salomez JL, Lemann M, Colombel JF, and Duhamel A
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Body Weight, Child, Crohn Disease complications, Crohn Disease rehabilitation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Prognosis, Biomarkers analysis, Crohn Disease diagnosis, Disabled Persons, Severity of Illness Index
- Abstract
Background: Identification of children with Crohn's disease (CD) at high risk of disabling disease would be invaluable in guiding initial therapy. Our study aimed to identify predictors at diagnosis of a subsequent disabling course in a population-based cohort of patients with pediatric-onset CD., Methods: Among 537 patients with pediatric CD diagnosed at <17 years of age, 309 (57%) with 5-year follow-up were included. Clinical and demographic factors associated with subsequent disabling CD were studied. Three definitions of disabling CD were used: Saint-Antoine and Liège Hospitals' definitions and a new pediatric definition based on the presence at maximal follow-up of: 1) growth delay defined by body mass index (BMI), weight or height lower than -2 SD Z score; and 2) at least one intestinal resection or two anal interventions. Predictors were determined using multivariate analyses and their accuracy using the kappa method considering a relevant value ≥ 0.6., Results: According to the Saint-Antoine definition, the rate of disabling CD was 77% and predictors were complicated behavior and L1 location. According to the Liège definition, the rate was 37% and predictors included behavior, upper gastrointestinal disease, and extraintestinal manifestations. According to the pediatric definition, the rate of disabling CD was 15%, and predictors included complicated behavior, age <14, and growth delay at diagnosis. Kappa values for each combination of predictors were, respectively, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.2 and were nonrelevant., Conclusions: Clinical parameters at diagnosis are insufficient to predict a disabling course of pediatric CD. More complex models including serological and genetic biomarkers should be tested., (Copyright © 2012 Crohn's & Colitis Foundation of America, Inc.)
- Published
- 2012
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