51. Towards cheminformatics-based estimation of drug therapeutic index: Predicting the protective index of anticonvulsants using a new quantitative structure-index relationship approach
- Author
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Cheng Zhang, Lin Tao, Shangying Chen, Xin Liu, Sheng Yong Yang, Yu Zong Chen, Chu Qin, Peng Zhang, and Wai Keung Chui
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Drug ,Models, Molecular ,Quantitative structure–activity relationship ,Index (economics) ,Support Vector Machine ,Computer science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship ,Computational biology ,computer.software_genre ,Cross-validation ,03 medical and health sciences ,Therapeutic index ,Molecular descriptor ,Materials Chemistry ,Physical and Theoretical Chemistry ,Spectroscopy ,media_common ,Quantitative structure ,Reproducibility of Results ,Computer Graphics and Computer-Aided Design ,Therapeutic Index, Drug ,030104 developmental biology ,Cheminformatics ,Anticonvulsants ,Data mining ,computer - Abstract
The overall efficacy and safety profile of a new drug is partially evaluated by the therapeutic index in clinical studies and by the protective index (PI) in preclinical studies. In-silico predictive methods may facilitate the assessment of these indicators. Although QSAR and QSTR models can be used for predicting PI, their predictive capability has not been evaluated. To test this capability, we developed QSAR and QSTR models for predicting the activity and toxicity of anticonvulsants at accuracy levels above the literature-reported threshold (LT) of good QSAR models as tested by both the internal 5-fold cross validation and external validation method. These models showed significantly compromised PI predictive capability due to the cumulative errors of the QSAR and QSTR models. Therefore, in this investigation a new quantitative structure-index relationship (QSIR) model was devised and it showed improved PI predictive capability that superseded the LT of good QSAR models. The QSAR, QSTR and QSIR models were developed using support vector regression (SVR) method with the parameters optimized by using the greedy search method. The molecular descriptors relevant to the prediction of anticonvulsant activities, toxicities and PIs were analyzed by a recursive feature elimination method. The selected molecular descriptors are primarily associated with the drug-like, pharmacological and toxicological features and those used in the published anticonvulsant QSAR and QSTR models. This study suggested that QSIR is useful for estimating the therapeutic index of drug candidates.
- Published
- 2016