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Immune checkpoint blockade with therapeutic anti-cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated antigen (CTLA)-4 (Ipilimumab) and anti-programmed death (PD)-1 (Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab) antibodies alone or in combination has shown remarkable efficacy in multiple cancer types, concomitant with immune-related adverse events, including arthralgia and inflammatory arthritis (IA) in some patients. Herein, using Nivolumab (anti-PD-1 antagonist)-responsive genes along with transcriptomics of synovial tissue from multiple stages of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease progression, we have interrogated the activity status of PD-1 pathway during RA development. We demonstrate that the expression of PD-1 was increased in early and established RA synovial tissue compared to normal and OA synovium, whereas that of its ligands, programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) and PD-L2, was increased at all the stages of RA disease progression, namely arthralgia, IA/undifferentiated arthritis, early RA and established RA. Further, we show that RA patients expressed PD-1 on a majority of synovial tissue infiltrating CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. Moreover, enrichment of Nivolumab gene signature was observed in IA and RA, indicating that the PD-1 pathway was downregulated during RA disease progression. Furthermore, serum soluble (s) PD-1 levels were increased in autoantibody positive early RA patients. Interestingly, most of the early RA synovium tissue sections showed negative PD-L1 staining by immunohistochemistry. Therefore, downregulation in PD-1 inhibitory signaling in RA could be attributed to increased serum sPD-1 and decreased synovial tissue PD-L1 levels. Taken together, these data suggest that agonistic PD1 antibody-based therapeutics may show efficacy in RA treatment and interception.

Objectives: This study sought to investigate the genome-wide transcriptional effects of a combination of disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (tDMARD; methotrexate, sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine) in synovial tissues obtained from early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. While combination DMARD strategies have been investigated for clinical efficacy, very little data exists on the potential molecular mechanism of action. We hypothesized that tDMARD would impact multiple biological pathways, but the specific pathways were unknown., Methods: Paired synovial biopsy samples from early RA patients before and after 6 months of tDMARD therapy were collected by arthroscopy (n = 19). These biopsies as well as those from subjects with normal synovium (n = 28) were profiled by total RNA sequencing., Results: Large differences in gene expression between RA and control biopsies (over 5000 genes) were identified. Despite clinical efficacy, the expression of a restricted set of less than 300 genes was reversed after 6 months of treatment. Many genes remained elevated, even in patients who achieved low disease activity. Interestingly, tDMARD downregulated genes included those involved in T cell activation and signaling and plasmablast/plasma cell differentiation and function., Conclusions: We have identified transcriptomic signatures that characterize synovial tissue from RA patients with early disease. Analysis after 6 months of tDMARD treatment highlight consistent alterations in expression of genes related to T cell activation and plasmablast/plasma cell differentiation. These results provide novel insight into the biology of early RA and the mechanism of tDMARD action and may help identify novel drug targets to improve rates of treatment-induced disease remission.

Objectives: To evaluate the construct validity of the Workers Productivity and Impairment Activity Index: Specific Health Problem (WPAI:SHP) in Australian systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients., Methods: SSc patients, identified through the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study database, completed the WPAI:SHP and a quality of life instrument (PROMIS-29) cross-sectionally. The construct validity of the WPAI:SHP was assessed by the correlations between the WPAI:SHP and a range of SSc health states. Non-parametric correlation, including Spearman's correlation (ρ), was used to test the validity of WPAI:SHP and ability to distinguish between different health states., Results: A total of 476 completed questionnaires was returned, equating to a response rate of 63.7%. Among those under 65 years of age, 155 patients (55.2%) were in paid employment. Employed patients had a mean (± SD) age of 56.5 (9.8) years and were predominantly female (87.3%) with limited disease subtype (75.6%). The WPAI:SHP showed construct validity based on moderate to strong correlations with health status as assessed by a range of health outcome measures including disease activity (ρ=0.34-0.39, p=0.001), physical function (ρ=0.55-0.62, p=0.001), disease severity(ρ=0.55-0.62, p=0.001), fatigue (ρ= 0.62-0.63, p=0.001), pain (ρ=0.68-0.71, p=0.001), and breathlessness (ρ=0.39-0.46, p=0.001). Furthermore, according to the effect size, the WPAI:SHP scores have a large discriminative ability (d=1.26-1.47) for distinguishing SSc patients with different health outcomes., Conclusions: The WPAI is a valid questionnaire for assessing impairments in paid employment and social activities in SSc patients, and for measuring the relative differences between SSc patients with varying health states.

Objective: To examine the clinical correlates and survival in patients with antifibrillarin antibodies (AFA) in a large international study population consisting of well-characterized systemic sclerosis (SSc) cohorts from Canada, Australia, and the United States., Methods: Baseline clinical data from the prospective cohorts (Canadian Scleroderma Research Group, the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study, and the American Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study) were investigated. Clinical variables were harmonized and sera were tested for AFA using a commercially available SSc profile line immunoassay, regardless of the immunofluorescence staining pattern. Association of demographic and clinical features with AFA was investigated by logistic or linear regression. Further, a survival analysis was performed by Cox regression analysis., Results: A total of 1506 patients with SSc with complete serological profiles were included in the study. Fifty-two patients (3.5%) had antibodies detected against fibrillarin. Patients of African descent and Native North American ethnicity were more likely to be AFA-positive compared with other ethnicities. After adjustment for demographic factors, diffuse involvement, and intestinal bacterial overgrowth requiring antibiotics, gastrointestinal reflux disease showed a trend for association with AFA. Further, AFA positivity was associated with shorter survival independently of demographic factors and disease type (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.11-2.79, p = 0.016)., Conclusion: In this large multinational SSc cohort, AFA was associated with Native American ethnicity and was an independent predictor of mortality.

The inflammatory CD40-CD40L pathway is implicated in various autoimmune diseases, but the activity status of this pathway in various stages of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) progression is unknown. In this study, we used gene signatures of CD40L stimulation derived from human immature dendritic cells and naive B cells to assess the expression of CD40-downstream genes in synovial tissues from anti-citrullinated protein Ab-positive arthralgia, undifferentiated arthritis (UA), early RA, and established RA cohorts in comparison with healthy donors. Interestingly, the expression of CD40LG and active full-length CD40 was increased in the disease tissues, whereas that of a dominant-negative CD40 isoform was decreased. Gene set variation analysis revealed that CD40L-responsive genes in immature dendritic cells and naive B cells were significantly enriched in synovial tissues from UA, early RA, and established RA patients. Additionally, CD40L-induced naive B cell genes were also significantly enriched in synovial tissues from arthralgia patients. In our efforts to characterize downstream mediators of CD40L signaling, we have identified GPR120 and KDM6B as novel components of the pathway. In conclusion, our data suggest that therapeutic CD40-CD40L blocking agents may prove efficacious not only in early and established RA, but also in inhibiting the progression of the disease from arthralgia or UA to RA., (Copyright © 2017 by The American Association of Immunologists, Inc.)

Objective: To determine the minimum cut-points for rate of physician compliance with a treat-to-target (T2T) strategy needed to achieve optimal rates of remission or low disease activity (LDA)., Method: In this analysis of longitudinal observational data from patients with early RA, physician compliance with a T2T treatment protocol was determined for each clinic visit over 3 years. Remission and LDA were measured by Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28), simplified disease activity index (SDAI) and clinical disease activity index (CDAI). The minimum physician compliance rates for predicting these outcomes were calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves., Result: Overall, 149 patients completed 3078 clinic visits over 3 years of follow-up. Treatment decisions complied with the T2T protocol in 2343 of these visits (76.1%). The minimum cut-points for physician compliance rates that predicted remission and LDA according to DAS28 were 81.1% and 70.7%, respectively, and to predict remission and LDA according to SDAI, the respective cut-points were 92.7% and 77.4%. Based on these cut-points, three categories of physician compliance with T2T were proposed: high (to maximize the likelihood of achieving remission, > 80% according to DAS28 or > 90% according to SDAI/CDAI); medium (the minimal physician compliance to achieve LDA, 70-79% according to DAS28 or 75-89% for SDAI/CDAI); and low (< 70% for DAS28 and < 75% for SDAI/CDAI), where remission and LDA are unlikely). When patients were stratified by baseline disease activity, the physician compliance rate cut-points were similar for most outcomes at year 3., Conclusion: Using real-life clinical data, we determined the thresholds for physician compliance with a T2T strategy that stratified patients according to their disease outcomes and proposed a system for classifying physician compliance as high, medium and low., (© 2015 Asia Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology and Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.)

Objectives: Quantification of work disability in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) receiving conventional DMARDs according to a treat-to-target strategy., Methods: This is a retrospective cohort analysis of RA patients who received combination conventional DMARDs, escalated to achieve DAS28(ESR) remission and completed an annual work and arthritis questionnaire. Random effect mixed modeling was used to assess associations between average hours worked per week (HWPW), and baseline prognostic factors. HWPW were compared with matched population averages. Cox proportional hazards modeling was employed to evaluate associations between permanent loss of employment and treatment response, disease and demographic factors., Results: Work data from 135 patients working at baseline and 137 working at any point followed for up to 14 years (range 1-14) were available for analysis. The mean age was 45 years, 70% were female, and 70% and 68% were seropositive for rheumatoid factor and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP), respectively. Men worked more hours than women; there was a highly significant association between working hours lost and increasing age (0.28 hours, P = 0.04) and female gender (11.92 hours, P < 0.001). HWPW were maintained over the study time comparable to the general population (loss of 0.78 vs. 0.24 HWPW). EULAR good responders at 6 months were more likely to be working at 10 years compared to those with moderate/no response. Permanent loss of employment and baseline age were strongly associated for anti-CCP positive participants (P = 0.04)., Conclusions: Treat-to-target combination conventional DMARD therapy maintains work capacity, particularly in good responders, comparable to the general population. Improving treatment response in moderate/no responders early in disease may increase work retention.

Leflunomide is the most recently introduced conventional disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs in Australia. It has several unique methods for initiation, unique monitoring recommendations and a distinctive cessation protocol in the event of serious toxicity. The aim of this study was to evaluate initiation and monitoring practices of Australian rheumatologists using leflunomide. A survey was emailed twice, approximately 3 months apart to 332 rheumatologist members of the Australian Rheumatology Association. Wave analysis was used to assess evidence of non-response bias. The response rate to the survey was 20% and there was no difference between the responses of waves 1 and 2. Fifty percent of the respondents indicated that 20 mg once daily was the initial dose of leflunomide that they most commonly prescribed, 45% indicated 10 mg once daily, whilst only 3% preferred to initiate leflunomide at 100 mg daily for 2-3 days followed by 10 mg once a day as recommended when first marketed. Of the responders, 12% had used doses above 20 mg daily and 70% had used alternate daily dosing with leflunomide. In a patient taking leflunomide with an ALT or AST >3 times the ULN on two or more blood tests, 75% of responders indicated they would stop leflunomide immediately and 20% would follow cessation by administering a cholestyramine washout. The choice of initial leflunomide dose among responding Australian rheumatologists varied considerably, although most preferred not to use the loading dose. Despite the recommendation of clinical guidelines, the use of a cholestyramine washout procedure for hepatic toxicity is not universal.

Objectives: To identify and appraise measures of disease status in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: A systematic review of Medline (1966-2015), EMBASE (1974-2015), and Cochrane Library (inception-2015) was undertaken to identify indices of disease status in SSc. We focused on objective measures and excluded non-English articles. Measures were reviewed for content, whether they measured activity, damage and/or severity and whether they were validated according to the OMERACT filter., Results: Of the 4558 articles retrieved through the search, we identified 58 articles for review. We found a further 44 articles through a search of the bibliography of relevant articles. We identified the following 10 "composite" (multi-organ) indices: two disease activity indices, six disease severity scales, and two combined response indices. There was no disease damage index for SSc., Conclusions: We identified a number of composite and organ-specific indices in SSc, incorporating mostly objective measures, developed to quantify disease activity, severity, and response in clinical trials. However, none of the indices was developed to exclusively quantify organ damage. Most of the existing indices require further validation according to the OMERACT filter. There is a need to develop and validate a disease damage index in SSc., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Leflunomide's active metabolite teriflunomide inhibits dihydro-oroate dehydrogenase, an enzyme essential to proliferation of T lymphocytes. As teriflunomide must reach the target site to have this effect, this study assessed the distribution of teriflunomide into T lymphocytes, as intracellular concentrations may be a superior response biomarker to plasma concentrations. CD3 MicroBeads (Miltenyi Biotec, Bergisch Gladbach, Germany) were used to extract CD3 + T cells from the peripheral blood of patients with rheumatoid arthritis who were taking a stable dose of leflunomide. Unbound plasma and intra-CD3 + T cell teriflunomide concentrations were quantified using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Concentration (log transformed) and partition differences were assessed through paired Student t tests. Sixteen patients provided plasma steady-state teriflunomide samples, and eight provided a sample 6-12 weeks later. At time-point one, the geometric mean teriflunomide concentration (range) in CD3 + T cells was 18.12 μg/L (6.15-42.26 μg/L) compared with 69.75 μg/L (32.89-263.1 μg/L) unbound in plasma (P < 0.001). The mean partition coefficient (range) for unbound plasma teriflunomide into CD3 + T cells was 0.295 (0.092-0.632), which was significantly different from unity (P < 0.001). The median (range) change in teriflunomide concentration between the two time points was 14% (-10% to 40%) in unbound plasma and -29% (-69 to 138%) for CD3 + T cells. Because teriflunomide concentrations in CD3 + T cells were lower and displayed a higher intraindividual variability than the unbound plasma concentrations, its applicability as a therapeutic drug-monitoring marker may be limited., (Copyright © 2016 by The American Society for Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics.)

Introduction: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a severe and costly multiorgan autoimmune connective tissue disease characterised by vasculopathy and fibrosis. One of the major causes of SSc-related death is pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), which develops in 12-15% of patients with SSc and accounts for 30-40% of deaths. In situ thrombosis in the small calibre peripheral pulmonary vessels resulting from endothelial dysfunction and an imbalance of anticoagulant and prothrombotic mediators has been implicated in the complex pathophysiology of SSc-related PAH (SSc-PAH), with international clinical guidelines recommending the use of anticoagulants for some types of PAH, such as idiopathic PAH. However, anticoagulation has not become part of standard clinical care for patients with SSc-PAH as only observational evidence exists to support its use. Therefore, we present the rationale and methodology of a phase III randomised controlled trial (RCT) to evaluate the efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness of anticoagulation in SSc-PAH., Methods and Analysis: This Australian multicentre RCT will compare 2.5 mg apixaban with placebo, in parallel treatment groups randomised in a 1:1 ratio, both administered twice daily for 3 years as adjunct therapy to stable oral PAH therapy. The composite primary outcome measure will be the time to death or clinical worsening of PAH. Secondary outcomes will include functional capacity, health-related quality of life measures and adverse events. A cost-effectiveness analysis of anticoagulation versus placebo will also be undertaken., Ethics and Dissemination: Ethical approval for this RCT has been granted by the Human Research Ethics Committees of all participating centres. An independent data safety monitoring board will review safety and tolerability data for the duration of the trial. The findings of this RCT are to be published in open access journals., Trial Registration Number: ACTRN12614000418673, Pre-results., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: None declared., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/.)

Objective: To determine whether foot synovitis is associated with adverse radiographic and functional outcomes after 3 years in an inception rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cohort receiving treat-to-target combination disease-modifying antirheumatic drug therapy., Methods: Disease activity was assessed in early RA patients (n = 266) using the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints, Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI), and Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI). Radiographic outcomes were assessed with annual hand and feet radiographs and quality of life with the Short Form 36 (SF-36). The prevalence of remission and foot synovitis was calculated using marginal binomial generalized estimating equations, transition between remission and nonremission states by a multistate Markov model, and changes in radiographic scores by a negative binomial mixed regression log-link model. Population-matched SF-36 data were analyzed by mixed-effects linear regression., Results: Disease activity scores that omit foot joints were modest in their ability to capture foot synovitis. Despite the relative stringency of the SDAI and CDAI for remission, 25-36% of patients in remission had foot synovitis. In patients in remission, foot synovitis predicted transition from remission into relapse by up to 2-fold. The sustainability of remission markedly influenced the progression of erosion scores (P = 0.006). After adjusting for disease activity, foot synovitis was associated with worse SF-36 physical functioning scores (P = 0.025)., Conclusion: Disease activity measures that omit foot joints capture foot synovitis poorly. When it is used to define remission, foot synovitis is found in a substantial proportion of patients, which predicts relapse and worse physical function. Foot synovitis influences the sustainability of remission, which in turn markedly influences radiographic progression. Regardless of remission status, persistent foot synovitis should prompt therapy escalation in order to improve long-term outcomes., (© 2016, American College of Rheumatology.)

Background: In some rheumatic diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), low serum complement ('hypocomplementaemia') is a feature of active disease. However, the role of hypocomplementaemia in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is unknown. We sought to determine the frequency, clinical associations and relationship to disease activity of hypocomplementaemia in SSc., Methods: The study included 1140 patients fulfilling the 2013 American College of Rheumatology criteria for SSc. Demographic, serological and clinical data, obtained prospectively through annual review, were analysed using univariable methods. Linear and logistic regression, together with generalised estimating equations, were used to determine the independent correlates of hypocomplementaemia ever, and at each visit, respectively., Results: At least one episode of hypocomplementaemia (low C3 and/or low C4) occurred in 24.1 % of patients over 1893 visits; these patients were more likely to be seropositive for anti-ribonucleoprotein (OR = 3.8, p = 0.002), anti-Ro (OR = 2.2, p = 0.002), anti-Smith (OR = 6.3, p = 0.035) and anti-phospholipid antibodies (OR = 1.4, p = 0.021) and were more likely to display features of overlap connective tissue disease, in particular polymyositis (OR = 16.0, p = 0.012). However, no association was found between hypocomplementaemia and either the European Scleroderma Study Group disease activity score or any of its component variables (including erythrocyte sedimentation rate) in univariate analysis. Among patients with SSc overlap disease features, those who were hypocomplementaemic were more likely to have digital ulcers (OR = 1.6, p = 0.034), tendon friction rubs (OR = 2.4, p = 0.037), forced vital capacity <80 % predicted (OR = 2.9, p = 0.008) and lower body mass index (BMI) (OR for BMI = 0.9, p < 0.0005) at that visit, all of which are features associated with SSc disease activity and/or severity., Conclusions: While hypocomplementaemia is not associated with disease activity in patients with non-overlap SSc, it is associated with some features of increased SSc disease activity in patients with overlap disease features.

Background: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is the leading cause of mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). We sought to determine the incidence, prevalence and risk factors for PAH development in a large Australian SSc cohort., Methods: PAH was diagnosed on right heart catheterisation (mPAP >25 and PAWP <15 mmHg at rest). Patients with PH secondary to interstitial lung disease (ILD; defined as abnormal HRCT scan and FVC < 60 %) were excluded. Summary statistics, chi-square tests, univariate and multivariable logistic regression along with post-estimation diagnostics were used to determine the associations of different combinations of risk factors with PAH., Results: Among 1579 SSc patients, 8.4 % (132 patients) were diagnosed with PAH over a mean (±SD) follow-up of 3.2 (±2.5) years. The incidence of PAH in this cohort was 0.7 % per annum. Of these, 68.9 % had limited disease subtype (lcSSc). In multivariable regression analysis, the presence of anti-centromere antibody (ACA) (OR 1.6, 95 % CI 1.1-2.5, p = 0.03), oesphageal stricture (OR 2.0, 95 % CI 1.2-3.3, p = 0.006), calcinosis (OR 1.9, 95 % CI 1.2-2.9, p = 0.003), sicca symptoms (OR 1.6, 95 % CI 1.1-2.5, p = 0.03), mild ILD (OR 2.3, 95 % CI 1.5-3.7, p < 0.001) and digital ulcers (OR 1.6, 95 % CI 1.0-2.4, p = 0.03) were predictive of PAH. This model had an area under the curve of 0.7 and concordance of 91.8 %. When analysed by disease subtype, the presence of calcinosis (OR 2.2, 95 % CI 1.4-3.7, p = 0.01), sicca symptoms (OR 2.6, 95 % CI 1.5-4.6, p = 0.001), mild ILD (OR 2.3, 95 % CI 1.4-3.8, p = 0.001) and digital ulcers (OR 1.9, 95 % CI 1.2-3.7, p = 0.01) were predictive of PAH in lcSSc; and oesophageal stricture (OR 4.4, 95 % CI 1.9-10.5, p = 0.001), mild ILD (OR 2.8, 95 % CI 1.2-6.8, p = 0.02) and ACA (OR 5.2, 95 % CI 1.8-14.8, p = 0.002) were predictive of PAH in dcSSc., Conclusions: The incidence and prevalence of PAH in this cohort are 0.7 % per annum and 8.4 %, respectively. The clinical-serologic risk factors for PAH differ based on disease subtype. In both subtypes, mild ILD is associated with PAH, suggesting the possibility of common pathogenic mechanisms underlying both of these disease manifestations. This model identifies a subset of patients at an appreciably higher risk of developing PAH, who should be screened and would in future, benefit from preventative therapies.

Objectives: Asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) is a novel biomarker of endothelial cell dysfunction. In this proof of concept study, we sought to evaluate the role of ADMA as a screening biomarker for incident systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH)., Methods: ADMA levels were measured using high performance liquid chromatography in 15 consecutive treatment-naive patients with newly-diagnosed SSc-PAH and compared with 30 SSc-controls without PAH. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate the independent association of ADMA with PAH. The optimal cut-point of ADMA for SSc-PAH screening was determined. NT-proBNP levels were previously measured in the same patients and the optimal cut-point of NT-proBNP of ≥210ng/mL was coupled with the optimal cut-point of ADMA to create a screening model that combined the two biomarkers., Results: The PAH group had significantly higher mean ADMA levels than the control group (0.76±0.14 μM versus 0.59±0.07 μM; p<0.0001). ADMA levels remained significantly associated with PAH after the adjustment for specific disease characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors and other SSc-related vascular complications (all p<0.01). An ADMA level ≥0.7 μM had a sensitivity of 86.7%, specificity of 90.0% and AUC of 0.86 for diagnosing PAH. A screening model that combined an NT-proBNP ≥210ng/mL and/ or ADMA ≥0.7 ng/mL resulted in a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 90% for the detection of SSc-PAH., Conclusions: In this small study, use of ADMA in combination with NT-proBNP produced excellent sensitivity and specificity for the non-invasive identification of SSc-PAH. The role of ADMA as a screening biomarker for SSc-PAH merits further evaluation.

Objectives: We sought to assess employment status, risk factors for unemployment and the associations of unemployment with patients' health related quality of life (HRQoL)., Methods: All patients enrolled in a systemic sclerosis (SSc) longitudinal cohort study, completed an employment questionnaire on enrolment. Clinical manifestations were defined based on presence at the time of enrolment. Summary statistics, chi-square tests, univariate and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine the associations of various risk factors with employment., Results: Among 1587 SSc patients, 160 (20%) were unemployed at the time of cohort enrolment excluding retired patients. Of these, 63% had limited disease subtype. Mean (±SD) age at enrollment was 51.9 (±10.4) years; 13 years below the average retirement age in Australia. Mean (±SD) disease duration at recruitment was 11.1 (±10.9) years. Multivariable regression analysis revealed the presence of digital amputation (OR 3.9, 95%CI 1.7-9.1, p=0.002), diffuse disease subtype (OR 2.2, 95%CI 1.3-3.5, p-value=0.002), sicca symptoms (OR 2.7, 95%CI 1.6-4.4, p<0.001), a physical job (OR 1.8, 95%CI 1.1-3.1, p=0.03) and pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR 2.2, 95%CI 1.1-4.5, p=0.02) to be associated with unemployment. Unemployed patients had consistently poorer HRQoL scores in all domains (physical, emotional and mental health) of the SF-36 form than those who were employed., Conclusions: SSc is associated with substantial work disability and unemployment, which is in turn associated with poor quality of life. Raising awareness, identifying modifiable risk factors and implementing employment strategies and work place modifications are possible ways of reducing this burden.

Objective: To investigate the association between adherence to treat-to-target (T2T) protocol and disease activity, functional outcomes, and radiographic outcomes in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA)., Methods: Data from a longitudinal cohort of patients with early RA were used. Adherence was determined at each followup visit over 3 years according to predefined criteria. The primary endpoint was remission according to Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28) and Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) criteria. Functional and radiographic outcomes measured by modified Health Assessment Questionnaire and modified total Sharp score, respectively, were secondary endpoints., Results: A total of 198 patients with 3078 clinic visits over 3 years were included in this analysis. After adjusting for relevant variables, although there was no significant association between adherence to T2T and remission rate after 1 year, the associations reached significance after 3 years for both DAS28 (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.16-2.50; p = 0.006) and SDAI criteria (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.06-3.56; p = 0.033). After 3 years, adherence was also associated with improvement in physical function (β=0.12, 95% CI 0.06-0.18; p < 0.0001). None of the radiographic outcomes were associated with adherence after either 1 or 3 years, although there was a trend for higher adherence to be associated with less radiographic progression at the end of the study (p = 0.061)., Conclusion: Increased adherence to T2T was associated with better longterm disease activity and functional outcomes, which suggests that the benefit of a T2T protocol may be enhanced by ensuring adequate adherence.

Objective: Corticosteroid-binding globulin (CBG), the cortisol transport protein, is cleaved from high-affinity (haCBG) to low-affinity (laCBG) CBG at sites of inflammation releasing bioavailable, anti-inflammatory cortisol. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a glucocorticoid-responsive disorder, with paradoxically normal cortisol levels despite elevated inflammatory mediators. Our objective was to determine whether CBG cleavage relates to RA disease activity. We hypothesized that impaired CBG cleavage may limit delivery of free cortisol to inflamed joints in RA., Design: Prospective, cross-sectional observational study., Setting and Participants: Fifty-three patients with RA recruited from a Rheumatology outpatient clinic at a tertiary referral centre in Adelaide, Australia, and 73 healthy controls., Measurements: Total CBG, haCBG and laCBG, total, free and salivary cortisol, inflammatory markers including interleukin-6 soluble receptor (IL-6sR) and macrophage migration inhibitory factor and clinical measures of disease activity., Results: Among patients with RA, a wide range of disease activity scores was observed (DAS28: range 1·2-6·4). laCBG was lower in patients with RA (mean ± SEM); 153 ± 9, compared with healthy controls; 191 ± 8 nmol/l, P = 0·003. Levels of total and haCBG were higher in patients with more severe RA disease activity. Free and total cortisol, free cortisol:IL-6sR ratio and total cortisol:IL-6sR ratio correlated negatively with disease activity., Conclusions: These results suggest that patients with RA have reduced CBG cleavage compared to healthy controls and that cleavage is reduced further with higher RA disease activity. Hence, impaired CBG-mediated delivery of endogenous cortisol may perpetuate chronic inflammation in RA., (© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aims: Composite indices for quantifying rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease activity such as the 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28) are comprised of single parameters ('metrics') in various combinations. Population modelling methods were used to evaluate single metrics for their ability to reflect changes in disease activity with a view to understanding and improving composite indices., Methods: A total of 11 single metrics of RA disease activity (tender and swollen joint counts, acute phase reactants and global health, pain and physical function assessments) were obtained from 203 patients with recent onset RA. Participants received combination disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) according to a treat-to-target approach with a pre-defined protocol for treatment intensification. Models describing each metric's magnitude and variability of change from baseline to a single 'treated' state in the population were developed using nonmem(®) . Measures that displayed uniformly large changes between states across the population were ranked higher in terms of discriminatory capacity., Results: Joint counts demonstrated a greater ability to discriminate changes in RA disease activity than others. Correlations between metrics demonstrated that erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) had limited relationships with others for baseline scores and changes in RA disease activity (r generally < 0.2). However it appeared to be important in describing changes for those individuals where ESR levels were initially elevated., Conclusion: It appears unlikely that a single group of metrics may be suitable to capture disease activity changes across all RA patients and defining the most appropriate metric(s) for individual patients will be an important area of future research., (© 2016 The British Pharmacological Society.)

Aim: While the introduction of the treat-to-target (T2T) strategy has been an important advance in the management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), the potential for increased toxicity due to use of concurrent drugs could adversely affect patient reported outcomes (PROs). The objective was to determine whether the cessation of therapy due to toxicity affects long-term improvement in PROs in patients treated according to T2T strategy., Methods: A total of 149 patients from an inception cohort of early RA were included. The occurrence and severity of toxicity were monitored at each visit over 3 years. PROs studied were function (measured using health assessment questionnaire); pain, fatigue and patient global assessment (PtGA) all assessed using a 100 mm visual analogue scale; helplessness and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). For each PRO, effect of drug withdrawal was measured by comparing mean change in PROs among patients with no/temporary vs. permanent withdrawal. In addition, effects of frequency of drug withdrawals, weeks to withdrawal and number of drugs withdrawn were analysed using linear regression., Result: After 3 years, 56 (37.4%) patients ceased at least one drug permanently due to toxicity. Patients with no/temporary withdrawal (n = 93) achieved significantly greater improvement in function (mean change = -0.54 vs. -0.31, p = 0.033), pain (mean change = -39.82 vs. -5.02, p = 0.018), fatigue (mean change = -29.14 vs. -14.76, p = 0.015) and PtGA (mean change = -29.64 vs. -17.00, p = 0.018) compared with their counterparts. Higher frequency of withdrawals was associated with lesser improvements in function, pain, fatigue and PtGA, while the number of drugs withdrawn and the weeks to withdrawal had lesser effects. However, the cessation of the drugs due to their toxicity did not have a significant association with HRQoL and helplessness., Conclusion: Improvements in function, pain, fatigue and PtGA at 3 years were diminished for patients who ceased drugs due to toxicity while broader measures of HRQoL were not affected., (© 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: Early diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) is characterized by rapid changes in the skin and internal organs. The objective of this study was to develop a composite response index in dcSSc (CRISS) for use in randomized controlled trials (RCTs)., Methods: We developed 150 paper patient profiles with standardized clinical outcome elements (core set items) using patients with dcSSc. Forty scleroderma experts rated 20 patient profiles each and assessed whether each patient had improved or not improved over a period of 1 year. Using the profiles for which raters had reached a consensus on whether the patients were improved versus not improved (79% of the profiles examined), we fit logistic regression models in which the binary outcome referred to whether the patient was improved or not, and the changes in the core set items from baseline to followup were entered as covariates. We tested the final index in a previously completed RCT., Results: Sixteen of 31 core items were included in the patient profiles after a consensus meeting and review of test characteristics of patient-level data. In the logistic regression model in which the included core set items were change over 1 year in the modified Rodnan skin thickness score, the forced vital capacity, the patient and physician global assessments, and the Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index, sensitivity was 0.982 (95% confidence interval 0.982-0.983) and specificity was 0.931 (95% confidence interval 0.930-0.932), and the model with these 5 items had the highest face validity. Subjects with a significant worsening of renal or cardiopulmonary involvement were classified as not improved, regardless of improvements in other core items. With use of the index, the effect of methotrexate could be differentiated from the effect of placebo in a 1-year RCT (P = 0.02)., Conclusion: We have developed a CRISS that is appropriate for use as an outcome assessment in RCTs of early dcSSc., (© 2016, American College of Rheumatology.)

Biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treatment were among the first high-cost medicines to be subsidised in Australia. High-cost medicines pose several challenges to the Australian National Medicines Policy, which aims to provide timely access to effective medicines at a cost individuals and the community can afford. Thus, novel restriction criteria were developed to encourage cost-effective use of bDMARDs. Government expenditure on bDMARD subsidies for RA treatment grew to about $383 million in 2014. Evidence that initiation and continuation criteria for bDMARDs meet usually applied cost-benefit criteria is lacking. The combined expenditure on tocilizumab, certolizumab pegol and golimumab (added to the Australian Government's Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme in 2010) was $93 million in 2014, which is 210% over the initial estimate. Present and future challenges with regard to bDMARDs for RA and other high-cost drugs include improved expenditure predictions, monitoring of cost-effectiveness in relation to actual use and strategic development, regulation and use of biosimilars. Ten years of documentation on clinical and laboratory findings indicating eligibility to initiate and continue on bDMARDs remains un-used. These data represent an untapped opportunity to promote quality of use of bDMARDs and biosimilars and to improve cost predictions for high-cost drugs.

Objectives: To determine whether high-dose fish oil is superior to low-dose supplementation for symptomatic and structural outcomes in knee osteoarthritis (OA)., Methods: A randomised, double-blind, multicentre trial enrolled 202 patients with knee OA and regular knee pain. They were randomised 1:1 to high-dose fish oil (4.5 g omega-3 fatty acids) 15 mL/day or (2) low-dose fish oil (blend of fish oil and sunola oil; ratio of 1:9, 0.45 g omega-3 fatty acids) 15 mL/day. The primary endpoints were Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score at 3, 6, 12 and 24 months, and change in cartilage volume at 24 months. Secondary outcomes included WOMAC function, quality of life, analgesic and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use and bone marrow lesion score., Results: Although there was improvement in both groups, the low-dose fish oil group had greater improvement in WOMAC pain and function scores at 2 years compared with the high-dose group, whereas between-group differences at 1 year did not reach statistical significance. There was no difference between the two groups in cartilage volume loss at 2 years. For other secondary endpoints, there was no difference between the two groups at 2 years., Conclusions: In people with symptomatic knee OA, there was no additional benefit of a high-dose fish oil compared with low-dose fish oil. The combination comparator oil appeared to have better efficacy in reducing pain at 2 years, suggesting that this requires further investigation., Trial Registration Number: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN 12607000415404)., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/)

Aim: Leflunomide, via its active metabolite teriflunomide, is used in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treatment, yet approximately 20 to 40% of patients cease due to toxicity. The aim was to develop a time-to-event model describing leflunomide cessation due to toxicity within a clinical cohort and to investigate potential predictors of cessation such as total and free teriflunomide exposure and pharmacogenetic influences., Methods: This study included individuals enrolled in the Early Arthritis inception cohort at the Royal Adelaide Hospital between 2000 and 2013 who received leflunomide. A time-to-event model in nonmem was used to describe the time until leflunomide cessation and the influence of teriflunomide exposure and pharmacogenetic variants. Random censoring of individuals was simultaneously described. The clinical relevance of significant covariates was visualized via simulation., Results: Data from 105 patients were analyzed, with 34 ceasing due to toxicity. The baseline dropout hazard and baseline random censoring hazard were best described by step functions changing over discrete time intervals. No statistically significant associations with teriflunomide exposure metrics were identified. Of the screened covariates, carriers of the C allele of CYP1A2 rs762551 had a 2.29 fold increase in cessation hazard compared with non-carriers (95% CI 2.24, 2.34, P = 0.016)., Conclusions: A time-to-event model described the time between leflunomide initiation and cessation due to side effects. The C allele of CYP1A2 rs762551 was linked to increased leflunomide toxicity, while no association with teriflunomide exposure was identified. Future research should continue to investigate exposure-toxicity relationships, as well as potentially toxic metabolites., (© 2015 The British Pharmacological Society.)

Objective: To determine the relationships between systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related autoantibodies, as well as their clinical associations, in a well-characterized Australian patient cohort., Methods: Serum from 505 Australian SSc patients were analyzed with a commercial line immunoassay (EuroLine; Euroimmun) for autoantibodies to centromere proteins CENP-A and CENP-B, RNA polymerase III (RNAP III; epitopes 11 and 155), the 90-kd nucleolar protein NOR-90, fibrillarin, Th/To, PM/Scl-75, PM/Scl-100, Ku, topoisomerase I (topo I), tripartite motif-containing protein 21/Ro 52, and platelet-derived growth factor receptor. Patient subgroups were identified by hierarchical clustering of the first 2 dimensions of a principal components analysis of quantitative autoantibody scores. Results were compared with detailed clinical data., Results: A total of 449 of the 505 patients were positive for at least 1 autoantibody by immunoblotting. Heatmap visualization of autoantibody scores, along with principal components analysis clustering, demonstrated strong, mutually exclusive relationships between CENP, RNAP III, and topo I. Five patient clusters were identified: CENP, RNAP III strong, RNAP III weak, topo I, and other. Clinical features associated with CENP, RNAP III, and topo I were consistent with previously published reports concerning limited cutaneous and diffuse cutaneous SSc. A novel finding was the statistical separation of RNAP III into 2 clusters. Patients in the RNAP III strong cluster had an increased risk of gastric antral vascular ectasia, but a lower risk of esophageal dysmotility. Patients in the other cluster were more likely to be male and to have a history of smoking and a history of malignancy, but were less likely to have telangiectasia, Raynaud's phenomenon, and joint contractures., Conclusion: Five major autoantibody clusters with specific clinical and serologic associations were identified in Australian SSc patients. Subclassification and disease stratification using autoantibodies may have clinical utility, particularly in early disease., (© 2015, American College of Rheumatology.)

Background: Screening for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is now standard care in this disease. The existing Australian Scleroderma Interest Group algorithm (ASIGSTANDARD ) is based on transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and pulmonary function tests (PFT). Recently, ASIG has derived and validated a new screening algorithm (ASIGPROPOSED ) that incorporates N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level together with PFT in order to decrease reliance on TTE, which has some limitations. Right heart catheterisation (RHC) remains the gold standard for the diagnosis of PAH in patients who screen 'positive'., Aim: To compare the cost of PAH screening in SSc with ASIGSTANDARD and ASIGPROPOSED algorithms., Methods: We applied both ASIGSTANDARD and ASIGPROPOSED algorithms to 643 screen-naïve SSc patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS), assuming a PAH prevalence of 10%. We compared the costs of screening, the number of TTE required and both the total number of RHC required and the number of RHC needed to diagnose one case of PAH, and costs, according to each algorithm. We then extrapolated the costs to the estimated total Australian SSc population., Results: In screen-naïve patients from the ASCS, ASIGPROPOSED resulted in 64% fewer TTE and 10% fewer RHC compared with ASIGSTANDARD , with $1936 (15%) saved for each case of PAH diagnosed. When the costs were extrapolated to the entire Australian SSc population, there was an estimated screening cost saving of $946 000 per annum with ASIGPROPOSED , with a cost saving of $851 400 in each subsequent year of screening., Conclusions: ASIGPROPOSED substantially reduces the number of TTE and RHC required and results in substantial cost savings in SSc-PAH screening compared with ASIGSTANDARD ., (© 2015 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Objective: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is common in connective tissue disease (CTD) and is the leading cause of mortality. Investigators have used certain outcome measures in randomized controlled trials (RCT) in CTD-ILD, but the lack of a systematically developed, CTD-specific index that captures all measures relevant and meaningful to patients with CTD-ILD has left a large and conspicuous gap in CTD-ILD research., Methods: The CTD-ILD working group, under the aegis of the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology (OMERACT) initiative, has completed a consensus group exercise to reach harmony on core domains and items for inclusion in RCT in CTD-ILD. During the OMERACT 12 meeting, consensus was sought on domains and core items for inclusion in RCT. In addition, consensus was pursued on a definition of response in RCT. Consensus was defined as ≥ 75% agreement among the participants., Results: OMERACT 12 participants endorsed the domains with minimal modifications. Clinically meaningful progression for CTD-ILD was proposed as ≥ 10% relative decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) or ≥ 5% to < 10% relative decline in FVC and ≥ 15% relative decline in DLCO., Conclusion: There is consensus on domains for inclusion in RCT in CTD-ILD and on a definition of clinically meaningful progression. Data-driven approaches to validate these results in different cohorts and RCT are needed.

A randomised controlled trial (RCT) of high-dose v. low-dose fish oil in recent-onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA) demonstrated that the group allocated to high-dose fish oil had increased remission and decreased failure of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy. This study examines the relationships between plasma phospholipid levels of the n-3 fatty acids in fish oil, EPA and DHA, and remission and DMARD use in recent-onset RA. EPA and DHA were measured in blood samples from both groups of the RCT. The data were analysed as a single cohort, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine relationships between plasma phospholipid (PL) EPA and DHA and various outcome measures. When analysed as a single cohort, plasma PL EPA was related to time to remission, with a one unit increase in EPA (1% total fatty acids) associated with a 12% increase in the probability of remission at any time during the study period (hazard ratio (HR)=1.12; 95% CI 1.02, 1.23; P=0.02). Adjustment for smoking, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies and 'shared epitope' HLA-DR allele status did not change the HR. Plasma PL EPA, adjusted for the same variables, was negatively related to time to DMARD failure (HR=0.85; 95% CI 0.72, 0.99; P=0.047). The HR for DHA and time to remission or DMARD failure were similar in magnitude to those for EPA, but not statistically significant. Biomarkers of n-3 status, such as plasma PL EPA, have the potential to predict clinical outcomes relevant to standard drug treatment of RA patients.

Systemic sclerosis (SSc; scleroderma) is a chronic autoimmune connective tissue disease characterized by microvascular obliteration and sclerosis of the skin and internal organs. Although the clinical hallmark of the disease is the appearance of taut tethering of the skin, one of the earliest manifestations of SSc is a painful symmetrical arthropathy ranging from minimal arthralgia to overt polyarthritis. Musculoskeletal (MSK) involvement in SSc occurs more frequently than expected. Arthralgia is the most commonly reported manifestation. Some of the existing composite and organ-specific indices of disease activity and/or disease severity in SSc include MSK manifestations., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: Clinically meaningful change in systemic sclerosis (SSc) related interstitial lung (SSc-ILD) disease is unknown. The aim of this study was to quantify change in pulmonary function as a predictor of outcome in SSc-ILD., Methods: All patients had SSc-ILD defined by HRCT chest. All PFTs during follow-up, including FVC (L), DLCO (ml/min/mmHg) and KCO (DLCO/alveolar volume ratio; DLCO/VA) (ml/min/mmHg/L) were retrieved. The rate of change over the first four years, and percentage change in the first year of follow-up were used in ROC curve analysis to determine the best cut-off points to predict adverse outcome (home oxygen, lung transplantation, or death)., Results: Among 264 patients, there were 49 events (38 deaths, 10 supplemental oxygen, one lung transplant) over a mean (±SD) follow-up of 3.0 (±1.7) years. The rates of decline over time and percentage change over one year in each of FVC, DLCO and KCO were predictive of adverse outcome. Stable PFTs over four years gave the optimal negative predictive values (NPVs) of 88-96%. The best sensitivity-specificity trade-off was a decline in FVC of 10% and in DLCO and KCO of 15% with NPVs of 92-93%., Conclusions: The course that SSc-ILD takes is evident within the first 1-4 years of follow up. Patients who have no decline in PFTs over 4 years have better outcomes. A decline within one year in DLCO or KCO of 15% or more is a poor prognostic factor, and identifies patients who should be monitored more closely and considered for therapy.

The remarkable similarity in inflammatory response and pathology of periodontal disease and rheumatoid arthritis has been recognized for several decades. However, how these two disease may be interrelated has been less clear. During the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis there is a preclinical immunological phase which precedes the clinical manifestation of rheumatoid arthritis. During this phase serum autoantibodies appear many years before the clinical signs and symptoms of rheumatoid arthritis become apparent. To date, the two best studied autoantibodies have been rheumatoid factor and anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA). Of these the production of ACPA has been considered very important due to their high predictive value in future manifestation of rheumatoid arthritis. Citrullination is a common post-translational modification of proteins based on the enzymatic conversion of arginine into citrulline. Extra-articular citrullination and production of ACPA, as a priming immunological experience, is well documented in many tissues including the inflamed gingival tissues associated with periodontal disease. More recently, carbamylation of proteins has also been implicated in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis in a manner similar to citrullination. Carbamylation is a post translational modification of proteins by an enzyme-independent modification of lysine residues against which autoantibodies are subsequently induced. In this article we hypothesise that, like citrullination, carbamylation of proteins and associated antibody production during the gingival inflammation associated with gingivitis and periodontitis may play a role in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To assess variation in peripheral blood B lymphocyte subsets in rheumatoid arthritis (RA)., Methods: B lymphocyte subsets in disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD)-naïve patients with RA (n = 30), patients with RA treated with DMARDs (n = 73) and healthy controls (n = 46) were analyzed by flow cytometry. Total B cells, total memory B cells, immunoglobulin M (IgM) memory B cells, switched memory B cells, non-switched memory B cells, CD21lo B cells, transitional B cells and plasmablasts were measured. Correlation with clinical and laboratory parameters was performed., Results: Total memory B cells, IgM memory B cells and non-switched memory B cells were reduced in RA patients at diagnosis compared to controls (P < 0.05). In patients with treated RA, there was a further reduction of total B cells, CD21lo cells, transitional B cells and plasmablasts, compared to controls (P < 0.05). The reduction in absolute numbers of total B cells, switched memory B cells, CD21lo cells, transitional B cells and plasmablasts in treated RA patients was significant (P < 0.05) even when compared to the DMARD-naïve patients. Only treatment responders (Disease Activity Score < 3.2) had reduced total B cells and absolute numbers of switched and IgM memory B cells (P < 0.05). In patients requiring leflunomide, total memory B cells, IgM memory B cells, non-switched memory B cells and absolute numbers of switched memory B cells were reduced compared with the remainder of the patient group (P < 0.05)., Conclusion: There is reduction of various B cell subsets in RA patients at diagnosis. Treatment with DMARDs leads to further reduction in additional B cell subsets without correction of the abnormalities. Reduction in individual subsets may predict RA patients requiring more intensive therapy., (© 2014 Asia Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology and Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.)

Aims: To develop a population model describing the disease activity (DAS28) time course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with triple disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy (methotrexate, sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine)., Methods: DAS28 was obtained in 263 patients with early RA from initiation of therapy until 60 weeks. Using NONMEM(®), base models (DAS28 vs. time) and covariate influences were investigated for the population., Results: The best model was an exponential model of DAS28 vs. time that was additive to baseline DAS28, with covariance between parameters, and a combined residual error model. Age and patient smoking history were covariates significantly affecting response to therapy. Population estimates were baseline DAS28 (5.7), extent of change in DAS28 (-2.8) and the half-life of disease activity (6.2 weeks; time to steady disease state achieved within approximately 30 weeks). Older individuals exhibited more severe baseline DAS28, described by a power function centred around 57 years (baseline DAS28 for 40- and 70-year-old patients were 5.4 vs. 5.8, respectively) and current smokers took longer to achieve a steady disease state (approximately 50 weeks). There was considerable within-patient random variability in DAS28 over time (empirical 90% CI for DAS28 in a population typical patient at 60 weeks: 1.8, 4.2 with median value of 2.8)., Conclusions: This is the first report of a disease activity model for early RA treated with triple DMARD therapy. Smoking and age were identified as covariates., (© 2014 The British Pharmacological Society.)

Purpose: Evidence regarding the relationship between red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration and response to treatment and adverse drug reactions in patients using methotrexate for inflammatory arthropathies is complex and in some respects appears conflicting. Accordingly, we undertook a systematic analysis of available evidence to determine the clinical utility of dosing methotrexate to a target red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration., Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted to identify all studies that had reported an association between red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration and disease activity or adverse drug reactions in users of methotrexate for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, juvenile idiopathic arthritis or psoriatic arthritis., Results: No randomised controlled trials were identified. Thirteen studies (ten in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and three in patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis) were identified. All studies evaluated an association between red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration and response to treatment, and eight evaluated an association with toxicity. Eight studies identified lower disease activity with at least one higher red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration, although there was at least moderate potential for bias in all of these studies. Relatively large increases in concentration appeared to be required to produce a meaningful reduction in disease activity. Only one study identified an association between red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentration and methotrexate-induced side effects, although studies were likely underpowered to detect this type of association., Conclusions: The manner in which data were presented in the included studies had many limitations that hampered its conclusive assessment, but red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentrations appear to be a potentially useful guide to treatment in patients with inflammatory arthropathies, but the specific polyglutamate that should be monitored and how monitoring could be integrated into treat-to-target approaches should be clarified before it can be routinely implemented.

Introduction: Treat-to-target (T2T) strategies using a protocol of pre-defined adjustments of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) according to disease activity improve outcomes for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, successful implementation may be limited by deviations from the protocol. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of protocol deviation, explore the reasons and identify subsets of patients in whom treatment protocols are more difficult to follow., Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, treatment-naïve patients with RA of less than one year's duration, attending a dedicated early arthritis clinic between 2001 and 2013, were followed for three years from initiation of combination therapy with conventional DMARDs which was subsequently modified according to a T2T protocol. At each clinic visit, whether deviation from the protocol occurred, the type of deviation and the reasons for deviation were assessed. The relationship between protocol deviations and baseline variables was determined using linear regression analysis., Results: In total, 198 patients contributed 3,654 clinic visits. The prevalence of protocol deviations was 24.5% and deviation in at least at one clinic visit was experienced by 90.4% of patients. The median time to first deviation was 30 weeks. Continuing existing treatment rather than intensifying therapy was the most common type of deviation (59.9%). Patient and physician related factors were the most common reasons for deviation, each accounting for 24.7% of deviations, followed by toxicities (23.3%) and comorbidities (20.0%). The prevalence of protocol deviations was lower among patients who achieved remission after three years (13.1%; 162 deviations out of 1,228 visits) compared with those who were not in remission (30.9%; 523/1692) (P<0.0001). On multivariate analysis, only body mass index (P=0.003) and helplessness score (P=0.04) were independent predictors of protocol deviations although the predictive power of the model was not strong (R2=0.17)., Conclusions: Deviation from a T2T protocol occurred in one quarter of visits, indicating that applying the T2T approach is feasible in clinical practice. Failure to escalate dose when indicated was commonly encountered, and just under half of the observed deviations were related to either toxicities or comorbidities and were therefore justifiable on clinical grounds.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Approximately one in 10 will develop PAH during their lifetime. These patients have a worse prognosis than those with PAH due to other causes. The most common clinical feature of SSc-PAH in the early stages is non-specific exercise intolerance that can be erroneously attributed to other manifestations of SSc. Screening provides an opportunity for early identification of SSc-PAH and prompt initiation of therapies with the potential to improve quality of life and survival. International guidelines recommend annual transthoracic Doppler echocardiography (TTE), but TTE has limitations. The tricuspid regurgitant jet required for estimating the systolic pulmonary artery pressure is absent in up to 39% of patients, including a proportion with PAH. This has prompted a move to new screening algorithms that are less dependent on TTE. Not all pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with SSc is PAH. Other causes include PH secondary to left heart disease, interstitial lung disease-related PH, chronic thromboembolic PH and pulmonary veno-occlusive disease. With the advent of evidence-based therapies, including newer agents such as macitentan, riociguat and selexipag, the establishment of centres with expertise in PAH and the focus on early detection, there has been considerable improvement in survival. The role of anti-coagulation for SSc-PAH has been the subject of a recent meta-analysis of nine observational studies that suggests it may confer a survival benefit, but to date, there have been no randomised controlled trials to confirm this., (© 2015 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Introduction: There is evidence that early screening for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) improves outcomes. We compared the predictive accuracy of two recently published screening algorithms (DETECT 2013 and Australian Scleroderma Interest Group (ASIG) 2012) for SSc-associated PAH (SSc-PAH) with the commonly used European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS 2009) guidelines., Methods: We included 73 consecutive SSc patients with suspected PAH undergoing right heart catheterization (RHC). The three screening models were applied to each patient. For each model, contingency table analysis was used to determine sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values for PAH. These properties were also evaluated in an 'alternate scenario analysis' in which the prevalence of PAH was set at 10%., Results: RHC revealed PAH in 27 (36.9%) patients. DETECT and ASIG algorithms performed equally in predicting PAH with sensitivity and NPV of 100%. The ESC/ERS guidelines had sensitivity of 96.3% and NPV of only 91%, missing one case of PAH; these guidelines could not be applied to three patients who had absent tricuspid regurgitant (TR) jet. The ASIG algorithm had the highest specificity (54.5%). With PAH prevalence set at 10%, the NPV of the models was unchanged, but the PPV dropped to less than 20%., Conclusions: In this cohort, the DETECT and ASIG algorithms out-perform the ESC/ERS guidelines, detecting all patients with PAH. The ESC/ERS guidelines have limitations in the absence of a TR jet. Ultimately, the choice of SSc-PAH screening algorithm will also depend on cost and ease of application.

Background: The effects of fish oil (FO) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have not been examined in the context of contemporary treatment of early RA. This study examined the effects of high versus low dose FO in early RA employing a 'treat-to-target' protocol of combination disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs)., Methods: Patients with RA <12 months' duration and who were DMARD-naïve were enrolled and randomised 2:1 to FO at a high dose or low dose (for masking). These groups, designated FO and control, were given 5.5 or 0.4 g/day, respectively, of the omega-3 fats, eicosapentaenoic acid + docosahexaenoic acid. All patients received methotrexate (MTX), sulphasalazine and hydroxychloroquine, and DMARD doses were adjusted according to an algorithm taking disease activity and toxicity into account. DAS28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate, modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (mHAQ) and remission were assessed three monthly. The primary outcome measure was failure of triple DMARD therapy., Results: In the FO group, failure of triple DMARD therapy was lower (HR=0.28 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.63; p=0.002) unadjusted and 0.24 (95% CI 0.10 to 0.54; p=0.0006) following adjustment for smoking history, shared epitope and baseline anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide. The rate of first American College of Rheumatology (ACR) remission was significantly greater in the FO compared with the control group (HRs=2.17 (95% CI 1.07 to 4.42; p=0.03) unadjusted and 2.09 (95% CI 1.02 to 4.30; p=0.04) adjusted). There were no differences between groups in MTX dose, DAS28 or mHAQ scores, or adverse events., Conclusions: FO was associated with benefits additional to those achieved by combination 'treat-to-target' DMARDs with similar MTX use. These included reduced triple DMARD failure and a higher rate of ACR remission., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.)

Objectives: To determine the prevalence and correlates of antiphospholipid antibodies (APLA) in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Nine hundred and forty SSc patients were tested for APLA using an ELISA assay at recruitment. Clinical manifestations were defined as present, if ever present from SSc diagnosis. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the associations of APLA., Results: One or more types of APLA were present in 226 (24.0%) patients. Anticardiolipin (ACA) IgG (ACA-IgG) antibodies were associated with right heart catheter-diagnosed pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), with higher titres corresponding with a higher likelihood of PAH (moderate titre (20-39 U/ml) ACA-IgG odds ratio [OR] 1.70, 95% CI: 1.01-2.93, p=0.047; high titre (>40 U/ml) ACA-IgG OR 4.60, 95% CI:1.02-20.8, p=0.047). Both ACA-IgM (OR 2.04, 95% CI: 1.4-3.0, p<0.0001) and ACA-IgG (OR 1.84, 95% CI: 1.2-2.8, p=0.005) were associated with interstitial lung disease (ILD). Increasing ACA-IgM and IgG titres were associated with increased likelihood of ILD. ACA-IgG was a marker of coexistent pulmonary hypertension and ILD (ILD-PH) (OR 2.10, 95% CI: 1.1-4.2, p=0.036). We also found an association between ACA-IgG and digital ulcers (OR 1.76, 95% CI: 1.16-2.67, p=0.008) and ACA-IgM and Raynaud's phenomenon (OR 2.39, 95% CI: 1.08-5.27, p=0.031). There was no association between APLA and SSc disease subtype, peak skin score, presence of other autoantibodies, mortality or other disease manifestations., Conclusions: The association of APLA with PAH, ILD, ILD-PH, Raynaud's phenomenon and digital ulcers suggests that endothelial abnormalities and small vessel thrombosis may be important in the pathogenesis of these disease features.

What Is Known and Objective: A common polymorphism (C1858T) in the gene that encodes the protein tyrosine phosphatase non-receptor type 22 (PTPN22) is associated with altered T-cell responses and increased susceptibility to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and other autoimmune diseases. Teriflunomide, the active metabolite of leflunomide, reduces T-cell responses through inhibition of tyrosine kinase p56LCK. We examined a potential association between PTPN22 genotype and response or toxicity to leflunomide in Caucasian RA patients taking leflunomide in combination with other disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs)., Methods: Patients enrolled in the Royal Adelaide Hospital RA inception cohort and taking leflunomide were eligible for inclusion. Participants were followed for 12 months after leflunomide initiation or until either another DMARD was added or leflunomide was ceased. Clinical response according to change in 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and cessation due to toxicity were assessed., Results and Discussion: A total of 94 participants were included in the study, 75 of whom carried the CC genotype, 18 the CT, whereas one individual carried the TT genotype. Over the first 12 months of leflunomide treatment, there was no statistically significant relationship between carrying the T allele and change in DAS28 (-0·84 vs. -1·15, P = 0·446) nor with cessation of leflunomide treatment due to side effects (P = 0·433). These results indicate that PTPN22 C1858T genotype has no effect on response or toxicity outcomes in leflunomide-treated RA patients., What Is New and Conclusion: This is the first study to evaluate the biologically plausible hypothesis that PTPN22 genotype might be a predictor of response/toxicity to leflunomide therapy. Despite this, PTPN22 genotype was not associated with leflunomide response or toxicity in patients with RA., (© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: Periodontitis is a potential risk factor for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This systematic review considers the evidence for whether non-surgical treatment of periodontitis in RA patients has any effect on the clinical markers of RA disease activity., Methods: MEDLINE/PubMed, CINAHL, DOSS, Embase, Scopus, Web of Knowledge, MedNar, Lilacs and ProQuest Theses and Dissertations were searched till September 2013 for quantitative studies examining the effect of non-surgical periodontal treatment on disease activity of RA. The following were the inclusion criteria: (1) patients diagnosed with both RA and chronic periodontitis, aged 30 years or older; (2) no antibiotics in the past 3 months or periodontal treatment in the past 6 months; (3) non-surgical periodontal therapy; (4) age- and gender-matched control group; (5) measures of RA activity and (6) published in English., Results: Five studies met the inclusion criteria. Non-surgical periodontal treatment was associated with significant reductions in erythrocyte sedimentation rate and a trend towards a reduction in TNF-α titres and DAS scores. There was no evidence of an effect on RF, C-reactive protein, anti-cyclic citrullinated protein antibodies and IL-6., Conclusions: Based on clinical and biochemical markers, non-surgical periodontal treatment in individuals with periodontitis and RA could lead to improvements in markers of disease activity in RA. All studies had low subject numbers with the periods of intervention no longer than 6 months. Larger studies are required to explore the effect of non-surgical periodontal treatment on clinical indicators of RA, using more rigorous biochemical and clinical outcome measures as well as giving consideration to potential confounding factors of co-morbidity., (Crown Copyright © 2014. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Sulphasalazine (SSA) is a disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) that is commonly used to treat rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Plasma levels of SSA and its metabolite sulphapyridine are influenced by common polymorphisms in genes that encode N-acetyl transferase 2 (NAT2) and ATP-binding cassette protein G2 (ABCG2). Study participants had early RA that was treated with a combination DMARD regimen that included SSA. Toxicity was defined by cessation of SSA due to adverse effects and response as remission after 12 months of treatment. The effect of variables on toxicity was assessed by a Cox-proportional Hazard model and response by logistic regression. After correction for conventional variables, toxicity in 229 participants was influenced by NAT2 phenotype (hazard ratio=1.74 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-3.21), P=0.044) and remission in 141 participants was associated with ABCG2 genotype (odds ratio=3.34 (95% CI 1.18-9.50), P=0.024). In our sample of early RA patients who were primarily treated with a combination of DMARDs, common variants in genes that encode NAT2 and ABCG2 were associated respectively with toxicity and response to SSA.

Leflunomide is largely considered to be a second-line treatment option for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Those who fail to respond, tend to progress to treatment with expensive biological agents, which can also be associated with serious toxicities. Optimizing leflunomide treatment to meet the needs of individuals would hence be beneficial in terms of patient outcomes and health care expenditure. In this respect, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) may be useful, as plasma concentrations of leflunomide's active metabolite, teriflunomide, correlate with response to treatment, but are highly variable between patients. A number of pharmacogenetic markers have also been identified that influence response and toxicity. Incorporation of these findings into clinical practice could facilitate more efficient use of leflunomide.

Rationale: Clinical trial design in interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) has been hampered by lack of consensus on appropriate outcome measures for reliably assessing treatment response. In the setting of connective tissue diseases (CTDs), some measures of ILD disease activity and severity may be confounded by non-pulmonary comorbidities., Methods: The Connective Tissue Disease associated Interstitial Lung Disease (CTD-ILD) working group of Outcome Measures in Rheumatology-a non-profit international organisation dedicated to consensus methodology in identification of outcome measures-conducted a series of investigations which included a Delphi process including >248 ILD medical experts as well as patient focus groups culminating in a nominal group panel of ILD experts and patients. The goal was to define and develop a consensus on the status of outcome measure candidates for use in randomised controlled trials in CTD-ILD and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)., Results: A core set comprising specific measures in the domains of lung physiology, lung imaging, survival, dyspnoea, cough and health-related quality of life is proposed as appropriate for consideration for use in a hypothetical 1-year multicentre clinical trial for either CTD-ILD or IPF. As many widely used instruments were found to lack full validation, an agenda for future research is proposed., Conclusion: Identification of consensus preliminary domains and instruments to measure them was attained and is a major advance anticipated to facilitate multicentre RCTs in the field.

Objective: Despite better disease suppression with combination disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs), some patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have progressive erosive disease. The objective of this study was to determine whether hand bone mineral density (BMD) loss in the first 6 months of treatment indicates increased risk of erosions at 12 months., Methods: Patients with DMARD-naive early RA receiving treat-to-target therapy were studied (n = 106). Hand BMD was measured at baseline and 6 months by dual x-ray absorptiometry. Hand and feet radiographs were performed at baseline and 12 months and scored using the van der Heijde modification of the Sharp method. A K-means clustering algorithm was used to divide patients into 2 groups: the BMD loss group or the no loss group, according to their absolute change in BMD from baseline to 6 months. Multiple regression analysis (hurdle model) was performed to determine the risk factors for both erosive disease and erosion scores., Results: Hand BMD loss at 6 months was associated with erosion scores at 12 months (P = 0.021). In a multiple regression analysis, hand BMD loss (P = 0.046) and older age at onset (≥50 years; P = 0.014) were associated with erosive disease, whereas baseline erosion scores (P = 0.001) and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (P = 0.024) were correlated with erosion severity/progression., Conclusion: In RA patients receiving treat-to-target therapy, early hand BMD loss could identify patients who are at risk of developing erosive disease at 12 months, potentially allowing intensification of treatment to prevent erosive damage., (Copyright © 2014 by the American College of Rheumatology.)

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a major cause of mortality in scleroderma and despite 'advanced' therapies confers a median survival of less than 5 years. Anticoagulation in systemic sclerosis-related PAH (SSc-PAH) is currently one of the most contentious issues in the management of patients with connective tissue disease. While some studies have shown a survival benefit with warfarin therapy in this disease, others have not. Accordingly, a state of clinical equipoise exists in relation to anticoagulation in SSc-PAH. With an over fivefold reduction in mortality demonstrated in some observational studies, the issue of anticoagulation in SSc-PAH demands resolution through a well-designed randomised controlled trial., (© 2013 The Authors; Internal Medicine Journal © 2013 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Introduction: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a major cause of mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc). Screening guidelines for PAH recommend multiple investigations, including annual echocardiography, which together have low specificity and may not be cost-effective. We sought to evaluate the predictive accuracy of serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in combination with pulmonary function tests (PFT) (‘proposed’ algorithm) in a screening algorithm for SSc-PAH., Methods: We evaluated our proposed algorithm (PFT with NT-proBNP) on 49 consecutive SSc patients with suspected pulmonary hypertension undergoing right heart catherisation (RHC). The predictive accuracy of the proposed algorithm was compared with existing screening recommendations, and is presented as sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV)., Results: Overall, 27 patients were found to have pulmonary hypertension (PH) at RHC, while 22 had no PH. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of the proposed algorithm for PAH was 94.1%, 54.5%, 61.5% and 92.3%, respectively; current European Society of Cardiology (ESC)/European Respiratory Society (ERS) guidelines achieved a sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of 94.1%, 31.8%, 51.6% and 87.5%, respectively. In an alternate case scenario analysis, estimating a PAH prevalence of 10%, the proposed algorithm achieved a sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV for PAH of 94.1%, 54.5%, 18.7% and 98.8%, respectively., Conclusions: The combination of NT-proBNP with PFT is a sensitive, yet simple and non-invasive, screening strategy for SSc-PAH. Patients with a positive screening result can be referred for echocardiography, and further confirmatory testing for PAH. In this way, it may be possible to shift the burden of routine screening away from echocardiography. The findings of this study should be confirmed in larger studies.

Objectives: In a multi-centre study, we sought to determine whether extent of disease on high-resolution CT (HRCT) lung, reported using a simple grading system, is predictive of decline and mortality in SSc-related interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD), independently of pulmonary function tests (PFTs) and other prognostic variables., Methods: SSc patients with a baseline HRCT performed at the time of ILD diagnosis were identified. All HRCTs and PFTs performed during follow-up were retrieved. Demographic and disease-related data were prospectively collected. HRCTs were graded according to the percentage of lung disease: >20%: extensive; <20%: limited; unclear: indeterminate. Indeterminate HRCTs were converted to limited or extensive using a forced vital capacity threshold of 70%. The composite outcome variable was deterioration (need for home oxygen or lung transplantation), or death., Results: Among 172 patients followed for mean (s.d.) of 3.5 (2.9) years, there were 30 outcome events. In Weibull multivariable hazards regression modelling, baseline HRCT grade was independently predictive of outcome, with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 3.0, 95% CI 1.2, 7.5 and P = 0.02. In time-varying covariate models (based on 1309 serial PFTs and 353 serial HRCTs in 172 patients), serial diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide by alveolar volume ratio (ml/min/mmHg/l) (aHR = 0.4; 95% CI 0.3, 0.7; P = 0.001) and forced vital capacity (dl) (aHR = 0.9; 95% CI 0.8, 0.97; P = 0.008), were also strongly predictive of outcome., Conclusion: Extensive disease (>20%) on HRCT at baseline, reported using a semi-quantitative grading system, is associated with a three-fold increased risk of deterioration or death in SSc-ILD, compared with limited disease. Serial PFTs are informative in follow-up of patients.