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Objective The exact role of the extent of resection or residual tumor volume on overall survival in glioblastoma patients is still controversial. Our aim was to create a statistical model showing the association between resection extent/residual tumor volume and overall survival and to provide a nomogram that can assess the survival benefit of individual patients and serve as a reference for non-randomized studies. Methods In this retrospective multicenter cohort study, we used the non-parametric Cox regression and the parametric log-logistic accelerated failure time model in patients with glioblastoma. On 303 patients (training set), we developed a model to evaluate the effect of the extent of resection/residual tumor volume on overall survival and created a score to estimate individual overall survival. The stability of the model was validated by 20-fold cross-validation and predictive accuracy by an external cohort of 253 patients (validation set). Results We found a continuous relationship between extent of resection or residual tumor volume and overall survival. Our final accelerated failure time model (pseudo R2 = 0.423; C-index = 0.749) included residual tumor volume, age, O6-methylguanine-DNA-methyltransferase methylation, therapy modality, resectability, and ventricular wall infiltration as independent predictors of overall survival. Based on these factors, we developed a nomogram for assessing the survival of individual patients that showed a median absolute predictive error of 2.78 (mean: 1.83) months, an improvement of about 40% compared with the most promising established models. Conclusions A continuous relationship between residual tumor volume and overall survival supports the concept of maximum safe resection. Due to the low absolute predictive error and the consideration of uneven distributions of covariates, this model is suitable for clinical decision making and helps to evaluate the results of non-randomized studies.

Simple Summary: Several efforts like dose-escalated salvage radiation therapy and the use of androgen deprivation therapy aimed to improve the postoperative treatment in patients with biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer after prostatectomy. However, the oncological outcome is still not satisfactory. Hyperthermia is well-known to improve the efficacy of radiation therapy, whereas only limited data for postoperative therapy in prostate cancer are available. Thus, we conducted a prospective multicenter non-randomized Phase-II-Trial (HTProstate) investigating the implementation of combined salvage radiation therapy and regional hyperthermia in case of biochemical recurrence after prostatectomy with the aim to evaluate the safety, feasibility, and oncological outcome of this approach. The results of our planned interim analysis (n = 50) met the criteria of safety (only one patient with acute grade 3 hyperthermia-specific toxicity), showed feasibility of planned radiation and hyperthermia therapy, no significant changes in quality of life and promising short-term prostate-specific antigen response. Late toxicity and robust oncological outcome data will be reported after completion of the trial. Abstract: Efforts to improve the outcome of prostate cancer (PC) patients after radical prostatectomy (RP) include adjuvant or salvage radiation therapy (SRT), but still up to 50% of patients develop a disease progression after radiotherapy (RT). Regional hyperthermia (HT) is well-known to improve tumor sensitivity to RT in several entities. Here we report on a planned interim analysis of tolerability and feasibility after recruitment of the first 50 patients of a trial combining SRT and HT. We conducted a prospective multicenter non-randomized Phase-II-Trial (HTProstate-NCT04159051) investigating the implementation of combined moderate-dose escalated SRT (70 Gy in 35 fractions) and locoregional deep HT (7-10 HT sessions). The primary endpoints were the rate of acute genitourinary (GU), gastrointestinal (GI), and HT-related toxicities, completed HT sessions (≥7), and SRT applications per protocol (≥95% of patients). The two-step design included a planned interim analysis for acute GU-, GI- and HT-specific toxicities to ensure patients' safety. Between November 2016 and December 2019, 52 patients entered into the trial. After 50 patients completed therapy and three months of follow-up, we performed the planned interim analysis. 10% of patients developed acute grade 2 GU and 4% grade 2 GI toxicities. No grade ≥3 GU or GI toxicities occurred. HT-specific symptoms grade 2 and 3 were observed in 4% and 2% of all patients. Thus, the pre-specified criteria for safety and continuation of recruitment were met. Moreover, ≥7 HT treatments were applicable, indicating the combination of SRT + HT to be feasible. Evaluation of early QoL showed no significant changes. With its observed low rate of GU and GI toxicities, moderate and manageable rates of HT-specific symptoms, and good feasibility, the combined SRT + HT seems to be a promising treatment approach for biochemical recurrence after RP in PC patients.

Additional file 1. Table 1. Dose constraints for Organs at Risk (OARs). Table 2. Volume of interest (VOI) definition. Table 3. Statistical information for the comparison of dosimetrical data.