51. Nonlinear Relationship between Oil Price Shocks and Sustainable Development in Nigeria.
- Author
-
Adeyemi, Oluwole Jacob, Okunade, Solomon Oluwaseun, and Amosun, Olayemi Oluwadamilola
- Subjects
SUSTAINABLE development ,PETROLEUM sales & prices ,PRICE fluctuations ,JOB creation - Abstract
As one of the leading oil producers in the world, Nigeria's economy is profoundly influenced by fluctuations in global oil prices, affecting the government capacity to allocate resources on national healthcare system and its ability to ensure healthy lives and promote wellbeing for all, as outlined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 (SDG-3). On this backdrop, this study has undertaken a comprehensive examination of both linear and non-linear relationship between oil price shocks and sustainable development in Nigeria, a country heavily reliant on oil revenue from 1970 to 2022 in Nigeria. Using linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models, the findings show that increasing crude oil price shock has a substantially large adverse impact on SDG-3 in the short run while decreasing crude oil price has unobserved effect in both short and longrun when asymmetries were considered. Based on the findings of this study, Nigerian policymakers should expedite efforts to diversify its economy away from oil dependency. This diversification should focus on promoting sectors with growth potentials, creating jobs, and generating stable revenues to support healthcare and sustainable development initiatives. The study highlights other actionable insights and policies to navigate the challenges posed by oil price volatility while advancing the noble aspirations of SDG 3 for the people of Nigeria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF