Search

This study was designed to assess how different prompt engineering techniques, specifically direct prompts, Chain of Thought (CoT), and a modified CoT approach, influence the ability of GPT-3.5 to answer clinical and calculation-based medical questions, particularly those styled like the USMLE Step 1 exams. To achieve this, we analyzed the responses of GPT-3.5 to two distinct sets of questions: a batch of 1000 questions generated by GPT-4, and another set comprising 95 real USMLE Step 1 questions. These questions spanned a range of medical calculations and clinical scenarios across various fields and difficulty levels. Our analysis revealed that there were no significant differences in the accuracy of GPT-3.5's responses when using direct prompts, CoT, or modified CoT methods. For instance, in the USMLE sample, the success rates were 61.7% for direct prompts, 62.8% for CoT, and 57.4% for modified CoT, with a p-value of 0.734. Similar trends were observed in the responses to GPT-4 generated questions, both clinical and calculation-based, with p-values above 0.05 indicating no significant difference between the prompt types. The conclusion drawn from this study is that the use of CoT prompt engineering does not significantly alter GPT-3.5's effectiveness in handling medical calculations or clinical scenario questions styled like those in USMLE exams. This finding is crucial as it suggests that performance of ChatGPT remains consistent regardless of whether a CoT technique is used instead of direct prompts. This consistency could be instrumental in simplifying the integration of AI tools like ChatGPT into medical education, enabling healthcare professionals to utilize these tools with ease, without the necessity for complex prompt engineering., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform every facet of cardiovascular practice and research. The exponential rise in technology powered by AI is defining new frontiers in cardiovascular care, with innovations that span novel diagnostic modalities, new digital native biomarkers of disease, and high-performing tools evaluating care quality and prognosticating clinical outcomes. These digital innovations promise expanded access to cardiovascular screening and monitoring, especially among those without access to high-quality, specialized care historically. Moreover, AI is propelling biological and clinical discoveries that will make future cardiovascular care more personalized, precise, and effective. The review brings together these diverse AI innovations, highlighting developments in multimodal cardiovascular AI across clinical practice and biomedical discovery, and envisioning this new future backed by contemporary science and emerging discoveries. Finally, we define the critical path and the safeguards essential to realizing this AI-enabled future that helps achieve optimal cardiovascular health and outcomes for all., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This work was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health (under awards R01HL167858 and K23HL153775 to Dr Khera, F32HL170592 to Dr Oikonomou, R01HL155915 and R01HL167050 to Dr Nadkarni, R01HL158626 to Dr Wiens, and UM1 TR004407 to Dr Topol). Dr Khera is an Associate Editor of JAMA; receives research support, through Yale, from the Blavatnik Foundation, Bristol Myers Squibb, Novo Nordisk, and BridgeBio; is a coinventor of U.S. Provisional Patent Applications 63/177,117, 63/428,569, 63/346,610, 63/484,426, 63/508,315, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/562,335; and is a co-founder of Ensight-AI, Inc and Evidence2Health, LLC. Dr Oikonomou is an academic cofounder of Evidence2Health LLC; has been a consultant for Caristo Diagnostics, Ltd and Ensight-AI, Inc; is a co-inventor in patent applications (US17/720,068, 63/619,241, 63/177,117, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/562,335, WO2018078395A1, WO2020058713A1); and has received royalty fees from technology licensed through the University of Oxford. Dr Nadkarni is an academic cofounder of Renalytix, Pensieve, and Data2Wisdom; has patents licensed to Heart Test Laboratories; and acts as a consultant to Renalytix, Pensieve, and Heart Test Laboratories. Dr Butte is a cofounder and consultant to Personalis and NuMedii; has served as a consultant or advisor to National Institutes of Health, JAMA, Mango Tree Corporation, Samsung, Geisinger Health, Washington University in Saint Louis, University of Utah, and in the recent past, 10x Genomics, Helix, Pathway Genomics, and Verinata (Illumina); has served on paid advisory panels or boards for Regenstrief Institute, Gerson Lehman Group, AlphaSights, Covance, Novartis, Genentech, Merck, and Roche; is a shareholder in Personalis and NuMedii; is a minor shareholder in Apple, Meta (Facebook), Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, AMD, Snap, 10x Genomics, Doximity, Regeneron, Sanofi, Pfizer, Royalty Pharma, Moderna, BioNtech, Invitae, Pacific Biosciences, Editas Medicine, Eli Lilly, Nuna Health, Assay Depot (Scientist.com), Vet24seven, Snowflake, Sophia Genetics, and several other nonhealth-related companies and mutual funds; has received honoraria and travel reimbursement for invited talks from Johnson and Johnson, Roche, Genentech, Pfizer, Merck, Lilly, Takeda, Varian, Mars, Siemens, Optum, Abbott, Celgene, AstraZeneca, AbbVie, Westat, Applied Research Works, Acentrus, ALDA, and many academic institutions, medical- or disease-specific foundations and associations, and health systems; has received royalty payments through Stanford University, for several patents and other disclosures licensed to NuMedii and Personalis; and his research has been funded by the National Institutes of Health, U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Peraton (as the prime on an National Institutes of Health contract), Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg, the Barbara and Gerson Bakar Foundation, Genentech, Johnson and Johnson, Chan Zuckerberg Science, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Leon Lowenstein Foundation, Intervalien Foundation, and in the past, the March of Dimes, Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation, California Governor’s Office of Planning and Research, California Institute for Regenerative Medicine, L’Oreal, and Progenity (none of these entities had any role in the design, planning, or execution of the study, or interpretation of the findings). Dr Topol is on the scientific advisory board of Tempus, Abridge, and Pheno.ai. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2024 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To describe the frequency of neuropsychiatric complications among hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and their association with pre-existing comorbidities and clinical outcomes., Methods: We retrospectively identified all patients hospitalized with COVID-19 within a large multicenter New York City health system between March 15, 2020 and May 17, 2021 and randomly selected a representative cohort for detailed chart review. Clinical data, including the occurrence of neuropsychiatric complications (categorized as either altered mental status [AMS] or other neuropsychiatric complications) and in-hospital mortality, were extracted using an electronic medical record database and individual chart review. Associations between neuropsychiatric complications, comorbidities, laboratory findings, and in-hospital mortality were assessed using multivariate logistic regression., Results: Our study cohort consisted of 974 patients, the majority were admitted during the first wave of the pandemic. Patients were treated with anticoagulation (88.4%), glucocorticoids (24.8%), and remdesivir (10.5%); 18.6% experienced severe COVID-19 pneumonia (evidenced by ventilator requirement). Neuropsychiatric complications occurred in 58.8% of patients; 39.8% experienced AMS; and 19.0% experienced at least one other complication (seizures in 1.4%, ischemic stroke in 1.6%, hemorrhagic stroke in 1.0%) or symptom (headache in 11.4%, anxiety in 6.8%, ataxia in 6.3%). Higher odds of mortality, which occurred in 22.0%, were associated with AMS, ventilator support, increasing age, and higher serum inflammatory marker levels. Anticoagulant therapy was associated with lower odds of mortality and AMS., Conclusion: Neuropsychiatric complications of COVID-19, especially AMS, were common, varied, and associated with in-hospital mortality in a diverse multicenter cohort at an epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic., (© 2024. Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Point-of-care ultrasonography (POCUS) enables cardiac imaging at the bedside and in communities but is limited by abbreviated protocols and variation in quality. We developed and tested artificial intelligence (AI) models to automate the detection of underdiagnosed cardiomyopathies from cardiac POCUS., Methods: In a development set of 290,245 transthoracic echocardiographic videos across the Yale-New Haven Health System (YNHHS), we used augmentation approaches and a customized loss function weighted for view quality to derive a POCUS-adapted, multi-label, video-based convolutional neural network (CNN) that discriminates HCM (hypertrophic cardiomyopathy) and ATTR-CM (transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy) from controls without known disease. We evaluated the final model across independent, internal and external, retrospective cohorts of individuals who underwent cardiac POCUS across YNHHS and Mount Sinai Health System (MSHS) emergency departments (EDs) (2011-2024) to prioritize key views and validate the diagnostic and prognostic performance of single-view screening protocols., Findings: We identified 33,127 patients (median age 61 [IQR: 45-75] years, n=17,276 [52·2%] female) at YNHHS and 5,624 (57 [IQR: 39-71] years, n=1,953 [34·7%] female) at MSHS with 78,054 and 13,796 eligible cardiac POCUS videos, respectively. An AI-enabled single-view screening approach successfully discriminated HCM (AUROC of 0·90 [YNHHS] & 0·89 [MSHS]) and ATTR-CM (YNHHS: AUROC of 0·92 [YNHHS] & 0·99 [MSHS]). In YNHHS, 40 (58·0%) HCM and 23 (47·9%) ATTR-CM cases had a positive screen at median of 2·1 [IQR: 0·9-4·5] and 1·9 [IQR: 1·0-3·4] years before clinical diagnosis. Moreover, among 24,448 participants without known cardiomyopathy followed over 2·2 [IQR: 1·1-5·8] years, AI-POCUS probabilities in the highest (vs lowest) quintile for HCM and ATTR-CM conferred a 15% (adj.HR 1·15 [95%CI: 1·02-1·29]) and 39% (adj.HR 1·39 [95%CI: 1·22-1·59]) higher age- and sex-adjusted mortality risk, respectively., Interpretation: We developed and validated an AI framework that enables scalable, opportunistic screening of treatable cardiomyopathies wherever POCUS is used., Funding: National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, Doris Duke Charitable Foundation, BridgeBio., Competing Interests: R.K. is an Associate Editor of JAMA and receives research support, through Yale, from the Blavatnik Foundation, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novo Nordisk, and BridgeBio. He is a coinventor of Pending Patent Applications WO2023230345A1, US20220336048A1, 63/346,610, 63/484,426, 63/508,315, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/619,241, and 63/562,335, and a co-founder of Ensight-AI, Inc and Evidence2Health, LLC. E.K.O. is a co-founder of Evidence2Health LLC, and has been a consultant for Ensight-AI, Inc, and Caristo Diagnostics, Ltd. He is a co-inventor of patent applications (US17/720,068, 63/619,241, 63/177,117, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/562,335, WO2018078395A1, WO2020058713A1) and has received royalty fees from technology licensed through the University of Oxford, outside the submitted work. H.M.K. works under contract with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to support quality measurement programs, was a recipient of a research grant from Johnson & Johnson, through Yale University, to support clinical trial data sharing; was a recipient of a research agreement, through Yale University, from the Shenzhen Center for Health Information for work to advance intelligent disease prevention and health promotion; collaborates with the National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases in Beijing; receives payment from the Arnold & Porter Law Firm for work related to the Sanofi clopidogrel litigation, from the Martin Baughman Law Firm for work related to the Cook Celect IVC filter litigation, and from the Siegfried and Jensen Law Firm for work related to Vioxx litigation; chairs a Cardiac Scientific Advisory Board for UnitedHealth; was a member of the IBM Watson Health Life Sciences Board; is a member of the Advisory Board for Element Science, the Advisory Board for Facebook, and the Physician Advisory Board for Aetna; and is the co-founder of Hugo Health, a personal health information platform, and co-founder of Refactor Health, a healthcare AI-augmented data management company, and Ensight-AI, Inc. All other authors declare no competing interests.

Adenosine-to-inosine (A-to-I) editing is a prevalent post-transcriptional RNA modification within the brain. Yet, most research has relied on postmortem samples, assuming it is an accurate representation of RNA biology in the living brain. We challenge this assumption by comparing A-to-I editing between postmortem and living prefrontal cortical tissues. Major differences were found, with over 70,000 A-to-I sites showing higher editing levels in postmortem tissues. Increased A-to-I editing in postmortem tissues is linked to higher ADAR and ADARB1 expression, is more pronounced in non-neuronal cells, and indicative of postmortem activation of inflammation and hypoxia. Higher A-to-I editing in living tissues marks sites that are evolutionarily preserved, synaptic, developmentally timed, and disrupted in neurological conditions. Common genetic variants were also found to differentially affect A-to-I editing levels in living versus postmortem tissues. Collectively, these discoveries offer more nuanced and accurate insights into the regulatory mechanisms of RNA editing in the human brain., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: With their unmatched ability to interpret and engage with human language and context, large language models (LLMs) hint at the potential to bridge AI and human cognitive processes. This review explores the current application of LLMs, such as ChatGPT, in the field of psychiatry., Methods: We followed PRISMA guidelines and searched through PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus, up until March 2024., Results: From 771 retrieved articles, we included 16 that directly examine LLMs' use in psychiatry. LLMs, particularly ChatGPT and GPT-4, showed diverse applications in clinical reasoning, social media, and education within psychiatry. They can assist in diagnosing mental health issues, managing depression, evaluating suicide risk, and supporting education in the field. However, our review also points out their limitations, such as difficulties with complex cases and potential underestimation of suicide risks., Conclusion: Early research in psychiatry reveals LLMs' versatile applications, from diagnostic support to educational roles. Given the rapid pace of advancement, future investigations are poised to explore the extent to which these models might redefine traditional roles in mental health care., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Omar, Soffer, Charney, Landi, Nadkarni and Klang.)

Infant alertness and neurologic changes can reflect life-threatening pathology but are assessed by exam, which can be intermittent and subjective. Reliable, continuous methods are needed. We hypothesized that our computer vision method to track movement, pose AI, could predict neurologic changes in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). We collected 4,705 hours of video linked to electroencephalograms (EEG) from 115 infants. We trained a deep learning pose algorithm that accurately predicted anatomic landmarks in three evaluation sets (ROC-AUCs 0.83-0.94), showing feasibility of applying pose AI in an ICU. We then trained classifiers on landmarks from pose AI and observed high performance for sedation (ROC-AUCs 0.87-0.91) and cerebral dysfunction (ROC-AUCs 0.76-0.91), demonstrating that an EEG diagnosis can be predicted from video data alone. Taken together, deep learning with pose AI may offer a scalable, minimally invasive method for neuro-telemetry in the NICU., Competing Interests: COMPETING INTERESTS Florian Richter is a co-founder and owns shares of FloDri Inc.

Background: The risk of developing a persistent reduction in renal function after postoperative acute kidney injury (pAKI) is not well-established., Objective: Perform a multi-center retrospective propensity matched study evaluating whether patients that develop pAKI have a greater decline in long-term renal function than patients that did not develop postoperative AKI., Design: Multi-center retrospective propensity matched study., Setting: Anesthesia data warehouses at three tertiary care hospitals were queried., Patients: Adult patients undergoing surgery with available preoperative and postoperative creatinine results and without baseline hemodialysis requirements., Measurements: The primary outcome was a decline in follow-up glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 40% relative to baseline, based on follow-up outpatient visits from 0-36 months after hospital discharge. A propensity score matched sample was used in Kaplan-Meier analysis and in a piecewise Cox model to compare time to first 40% decline in GFR for patients with and without pAKI., Results: A total of 95,208 patients were included. The rate of pAKI ranged from 9.9% to 13.7%. In the piecewise Cox model, pAKI significantly increased the hazard of a 40% decline in GFR. The common effect hazard ratio was 13.35 (95% CI: 10.79 to 16.51, p<0.001) for 0-6 months, 7.07 (5.52 to 9.05, p<0.001) for 6-12 months, 6.02 (4.69 to 7.74, p<0.001) for 12-24 months, and 4.32 (2.65 to 7.05, p<0.001) for 24-36 months., Limitations: Retrospective; Patients undergoing ambulatory surgery without postoperative lab tests drawn before discharge were not captured; certain variables like postoperative urine output were not reliably available., Conclusion: Postoperative AKI significantly increases the risk of a 40% decline in GFR up to 36 months after the index surgery across three institutions.

Malnutrition is a frequently underdiagnosed condition leading to increased morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. The Mount Sinai Health System (MSHS) deployed a machine learning model (MUST-Plus) to detect malnutrition upon hospital admission. However, in diverse patient groups, a poorly calibrated model may lead to misdiagnosis, exacerbating health care disparities. We explored the model's calibration across different variables and methods to improve calibration. Data from adult patients admitted to five MSHS hospitals from January 1, 2021 - December 31, 2022, were analyzed. We compared MUST-Plus prediction to the registered dietitian's formal assessment. Hierarchical calibration was assessed and compared between the recalibration sample (N = 49,562) of patients admitted between January 1, 2021 - December 31, 2022, and the hold-out sample (N = 17,278) of patients admitted between January 1, 2023 - September 30, 2023. Statistical differences in calibration metrics were tested using bootstrapping with replacement. Before recalibration, the overall model calibration intercept was -1.17 (95% CI: -1.20, -1.14), slope was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.34, 1.40), and Brier score was 0.26 (95% CI: 0.25, 0.26). Both weak and moderate measures of calibration were significantly different between White and Black patients and between male and female patients. Logistic recalibration significantly improved calibration of the model across race and gender in the hold-out sample. The original MUST-Plus model showed significant differences in calibration between White vs. Black patients. It also overestimated malnutrition in females compared to males. Logistic recalibration effectively reduced miscalibration across all patient subgroups. Continual monitoring and timely recalibration can improve model accuracy., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Objective: To identify genetic risk factors for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D)., Research Design and Methods: We conducted a multiancestry time-to-event genome-wide association study for incident CVD among people with T2D. We also tested 204 known coronary artery disease (CAD) variants for association with incident CVD., Results: Among 49,230 participants with T2D, 8,956 had incident CVD events (event rate 18.2%). We identified three novel genetic loci for incident CVD: rs147138607 (near CACNA1E/ZNF648, hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, P = 3.6 × 10-9), rs77142250 (near HS3ST1, HR 1.89, P = 9.9 × 10-9), and rs335407 (near TFB1M/NOX3, HR 1.25, P = 1.5 × 10-8). Among 204 known CAD loci, 5 were associated with incident CVD in T2D (multiple comparison-adjusted P < 0.00024, 0.05/204). A standardized polygenic score of these 204 variants was associated with incident CVD with HR 1.14 (P = 1.0 × 10-16)., Conclusions: The data point to novel and known genomic regions associated with incident CVD among individuals with T2D., (© 2024 by the American Diabetes Association.)

Importance: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a major public health challenge with a growing therapeutic landscape, but current biomarkers do not inform personalized screening and follow-up. A video-based artificial intelligence (AI) biomarker (Digital AS Severity index [DASSi]) can detect severe AS using single-view long-axis echocardiography without Doppler characterization., Objective: To deploy DASSi to patients with no AS or with mild or moderate AS at baseline to identify AS development and progression., Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a cohort study that examined 2 cohorts of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography in the Yale New Haven Health System (YNHHS; 2015-2021) and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (CSMC; 2018-2019). A novel computational pipeline for the cross-modal translation of DASSi into cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging was further developed in the UK Biobank. Analyses were performed between August 2023 and February 2024., Exposure: DASSi (range, 0-1) derived from AI applied to echocardiography and CMR videos., Main Outcomes and Measures: Annualized change in peak aortic valve velocity (AV-Vmax) and late (>6 months) aortic valve replacement (AVR)., Results: A total of 12 599 participants were included in the echocardiographic study (YNHHS: n = 8798; median [IQR] age, 71 [60-80] years; 4250 [48.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 4.1 [2.4-5.4] years; and CSMC: n = 3801; median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 1685 [44.3%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 3.4 [2.8-3.9] years). Higher baseline DASSi was associated with faster progression in AV-Vmax (per 0.1 DASSi increment: YNHHS, 0.033 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.028-0.038] among 5483 participants; CSMC, 0.082 m/s per year [95% CI, 0.053-0.111] among 1292 participants), with values of 0.2 or greater associated with a 4- to 5-fold higher AVR risk than values less than 0.2 (YNHHS: 715 events; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 4.97 [95% CI, 2.71-5.82]; CSMC: 56 events; adjusted HR, 4.04 [95% CI, 0.92-17.70]), independent of age, sex, race, ethnicity, ejection fraction, and AV-Vmax. This was reproduced across 45 474 participants (median [IQR] age, 65 [59-71] years; 23 559 [51.8%] women; median [IQR] follow-up, 2.5 [1.6-3.9] years) undergoing CMR imaging in the UK Biobank (for participants with DASSi ≥0.2 vs those with DASSi <.02, adjusted HR, 11.38 [95% CI, 2.56-50.57]). Saliency maps and phenome-wide association studies supported associations with cardiac structure and function and traditional cardiovascular risk factors., Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients without severe AS undergoing echocardiography or CMR imaging, a new AI-based video biomarker was independently associated with AS development and progression, enabling opportunistic risk stratification across cardiovascular imaging modalities as well as potential application on handheld devices.

Population-based genomic screening may help diagnose individuals with disease-risk variants. Here, we perform a genome-first evaluation for nine disorders in 29,039 participants with linked exome sequences and electronic health records (EHRs). We identify 614 individuals with 303 pathogenic/likely pathogenic or predicted loss-of-function (P/LP/LoF) variants, yielding 644 observations; 487 observations (76%) lack a corresponding clinical diagnosis in the EHR. Upon further investigation, 75 clinically undiagnosed observations (15%) have evidence of symptomatic untreated disease, including familial hypercholesterolemia (3 of 6 [50%] undiagnosed observations with disease evidence) and breast cancer (23 of 106 [22%]). These genetic findings enable targeted phenotyping that reveals new diagnoses in previously undiagnosed individuals. Disease yield is greater with variants in penetrant genes for which disease is observed in carriers in an independent cohort. The prevalence of P/LP/LoF variants exceeds that of clinical diagnoses, and some clinically undiagnosed carriers are discovered to have disease. These results highlight the potential of population-based genomic screening., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests R.D. reported receiving grants from AstraZeneca and grants and nonfinancial support from Goldfinch Bio and being a scientific co-founder, consultant, and equity holder for Pensieve Health (pending) and a consultant for Variant Bio, all not related to this work. G.N.N. reported being a scientific co-founder, consultant, advisory board member, and equity owner of Renalytix AI; a scientific co-founder and equity holder for Pensieve Health (pending); and a consultant for Variant Bio and receiving grants from Goldfinch Bio and personal fees from Renalytix AI, BioVie, Reata, AstraZeneca, and GLG Consulting. L.R.P. is a consultant for Eyenovia, Twenty Twenty, and Skye Bioscience., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Assessment of pulmonary regurgitation (PR) guides treatment for patients with congenital heart disease. Quantitative assessment of PR fraction (PRF) by echocardiography is limited. Cardiac MRI (cMRI) is the reference-standard for PRF quantification. We created an algorithm to predict cMRI-quantified PRF from echocardiography using machine learning (ML). We retrospectively performed echocardiographic measurements paired to cMRI within 3 months in patients with ≥ mild PR from 2009 to 2022. Model inputs were vena contracta ratio, PR index, PR pressure half-time, main and branch pulmonary artery diastolic flow reversal (BPAFR), and transannular patch repair. A gradient boosted trees ML algorithm was trained using k-fold cross-validation to predict cMRI PRF by phase contrast imaging as a continuous number and at > mild (PRF ≥ 20%) and severe (PRF ≥ 40%) thresholds. Regression performance was evaluated with mean absolute error (MAE), and at clinical thresholds with area-under-the-receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUROC). Prediction accuracy was compared to historical clinician accuracy. We externally validated prior reported studies for comparison. We included 243 subjects (median age 21 years, 58% repaired tetralogy of Fallot). The regression MAE = 7.0%. For prediction of > mild PR, AUROC = 0.96, but BPAFR alone outperformed the ML model (sensitivity 94%, specificity 97%). The ML model detection of severe PR had AUROC = 0.86, but in the subgroup with BPAFR, performance dropped (AUROC = 0.73). Accuracy between clinicians and the ML model was similar (70% vs. 69%). There was decrement in performance of prior reported algorithms on external validation in our dataset. A novel ML model for echocardiographic quantification of PRF outperforms prior studies and has comparable overall accuracy to clinicians. BPAFR is an excellent marker for > mild PRF, and has moderate capacity to detect severe PR, but more work is required to distinguish moderate from severe PR. Poor external validation of prior works highlights reproducibility challenges., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Current classification for acute kidney injury (AKI) in critically ill patients with sepsis relies only on its severity-measured by maximum creatinine which overlooks inherent complexities and longitudinal evaluation of this heterogenous syndrome. The role of classification of AKI based on early creatinine trajectories is unclear., Methods: This retrospective study identified patients with Sepsis-3 who developed AKI within 48-h of intensive care unit admission using Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. We used latent class mixed modelling to identify early creatinine trajectory-based classes of AKI in critically ill patients with sepsis. Our primary outcome was development of acute kidney disease (AKD). Secondary outcomes were composite of AKD or all-cause in-hospital mortality by day 7, and AKD or all-cause in-hospital mortality by hospital discharge. We used multivariable regression to assess impact of creatinine trajectory-based classification on outcomes, and eICU database for external validation., Results: Among 4197 patients with AKI in critically ill patients with sepsis, we identified eight creatinine trajectory-based classes with distinct characteristics. Compared to the class with transient AKI, the class that showed severe AKI with mild improvement but persistence had highest adjusted risks for developing AKD (OR 5.16; 95% CI 2.87-9.24) and composite 7-day outcome (HR 4.51; 95% CI 2.69-7.56). The class that demonstrated late mild AKI with persistence and worsening had highest risks for developing composite hospital discharge outcome (HR 2.04; 95% CI 1.41-2.94). These associations were similar on external validation., Conclusions: These 8 classes of AKI in critically ill patients with sepsis, stratified by early creatinine trajectories, were good predictors for key outcomes in patients with AKI in critically ill patients with sepsis independent of their AKI staging., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a complex disorder that causes a gradual loss of kidney function, affecting approximately 9.1% of the world's population. Here, we use a soft-clustering algorithm to deconstruct its genetic heterogeneity. First, we selected 322 CKD-associated independent genetic variants from published genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and added association results for 229 traits from the GWAS catalog. We then applied nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) to discover overlapping clusters of related traits and variants. We computed cluster-specific polygenic scores and validated each cluster with a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) on the BioMe biobank (n = 31,701). NMF identified nine clusters that reflect different aspects of CKD, with the top-weighted traits signifying areas such as kidney function, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and body weight. For most clusters, the top-weighted traits were confirmed in the PheWAS analysis. Results were found to be more significant in the cross-ancestry analysis, although significant ancestry-specific associations were also identified. While all alleles were associated with a decreased kidney function, associations with CKD-related diseases (e.g., T2D) were found only for a smaller subset of variants and differed across genetic ancestry groups. Our findings leverage genetics to gain insights into the underlying biology of CKD and investigate population-specific associations., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Artificial intelligence-enhanced ECG analysis shows promise to detect ventricular dysfunction and remodeling in adult populations. However, its application to pediatric populations remains underexplored., Methods: A convolutional neural network was trained on paired ECG-echocardiograms (≤2 days apart) from patients ≤18 years of age without major congenital heart disease to detect human expert-classified greater than mild left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, hypertrophy, and dilation (individually and as a composite outcome). Model performance was evaluated on single ECG-echocardiogram pairs per patient at Boston Children's Hospital and externally at Mount Sinai Hospital using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC)., Results: The training cohort comprised 92 377 ECG-echocardiogram pairs (46 261 patients; median age, 8.2 years). Test groups included internal testing (12 631 patients; median age, 8.8 years; 4.6% composite outcomes), emergency department (2830 patients; median age, 7.7 years; 10.0% composite outcomes), and external validation (5088 patients; median age, 4.3 years; 6.1% composite outcomes) cohorts. Model performance was similar on internal test and emergency department cohorts, with model predictions of LV hypertrophy outperforming the pediatric cardiologist expert benchmark. Adding age and sex to the model added no benefit to model performance. When using quantitative outcome cutoffs, model performance was similar between internal testing (composite outcome: AUROC, 0.88, AUPRC, 0.43; LV dysfunction: AUROC, 0.92, AUPRC, 0.23; LV hypertrophy: AUROC, 0.88, AUPRC, 0.28; LV dilation: AUROC, 0.91, AUPRC, 0.47) and external validation (composite outcome: AUROC, 0.86, AUPRC, 0.39; LV dysfunction: AUROC, 0.94, AUPRC, 0.32; LV hypertrophy: AUROC, 0.84, AUPRC, 0.25; LV dilation: AUROC, 0.87, AUPRC, 0.33), with composite outcome negative predictive values of 99.0% and 99.2%, respectively. Saliency mapping highlighted ECG components that influenced model predictions (precordial QRS complexes for all outcomes; T waves for LV dysfunction). High-risk ECG features include lateral T-wave inversion (LV dysfunction), deep S waves in V1 and V2 and tall R waves in V6 (LV hypertrophy), and tall R waves in V4 through V6 (LV dilation)., Conclusions: This externally validated algorithm shows promise to inexpensively screen for LV dysfunction and remodeling in children, which may facilitate improved access to care by democratizing the expertise of pediatric cardiologists., Competing Interests: Dr Nadkarni reports consultancy agreements with AstraZeneca, BioVie, GLG Consulting, Pensieve Health, Reata, Renalytix, Siemens Healthineers, and Variant Bio; research funding from Goldfinch Bio and Renalytix; honoraria from AstraZeneca, BioVie, Lexicon, Daiichi Sankyo, Menarini Health, and Reata; patents or royalties with Renalytix; equity and stock options in Pensieve Health and Renalytix as a scientific cofounder; equity in Verici Dx; financial compensation as a scientific board member and advisor to Renalytix; advisory board of Neurona Health; and advisory or leadership role for Pensieve Health and Renalytix, none of which played a role in the design or conduct of this study. The other authors report no disclosures.

Purpose: Despite advanced technologies in breast cancer management, challenges remain in efficiently interpreting vast clinical data for patient-specific insights. We reviewed the literature on how large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT might offer solutions in this field., Methods: We searched MEDLINE for relevant studies published before December 22, 2023. Keywords included: "large language models", "LLM", "GPT", "ChatGPT", "OpenAI", and "breast". The risk bias was evaluated using the QUADAS-2 tool., Results: Six studies evaluating either ChatGPT-3.5 or GPT-4, met our inclusion criteria. They explored clinical notes analysis, guideline-based question-answering, and patient management recommendations. Accuracy varied between studies, ranging from 50 to 98%. Higher accuracy was seen in structured tasks like information retrieval. Half of the studies used real patient data, adding practical clinical value. Challenges included inconsistent accuracy, dependency on the way questions are posed (prompt-dependency), and in some cases, missing critical clinical information., Conclusion: LLMs hold potential in breast cancer care, especially in textual information extraction and guideline-driven clinical question-answering. Yet, their inconsistent accuracy underscores the need for careful validation of these models, and the importance of ongoing supervision., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Area-level social determinants of health (SDOH) based on patients' ZIP codes or census tracts have been commonly used in research instead of individual SDOHs. To our knowledge, whether machine learning (ML) could be used to derive individual SDOH measures, specifically individual educational attainment, is unknown., Methods: This is a retrospective study using data from the Mount Sinai BioMe Biobank. We included participants that completed a validated questionnaire on educational attainment and had home addresses in New York City. ZIP code-level education was derived from the American Community Survey matched for the participant's gender and race/ethnicity. We tested several algorithms to predict individual educational attainment from routinely collected clinical and demographic data. To evaluate how using different measures of educational attainment will impact model performance, we developed three distinct models for predicting cardiovascular (CVD) hospitalization. Educational attainment was imputed into models as either survey-derived, ZIP code-derived, or ML-predicted educational attainment., Results: A total of 20,805 participants met inclusion criteria. Concordance between survey and ZIP code-derived education was 47%, while the concordance between survey and ML model-predicted education was 67%. A total of 13,715 patients from the cohort were included into our CVD hospitalization prediction models, of which 1,538 (11.2%) had a history of CVD hospitalization. The AUROC of the model predicting CVD hospitalization using survey-derived education was significantly higher than the model using ZIP code-level education (0.77 versus 0.72; p < 0.001) and the model using ML model-predicted education (0.77 versus 0.75; p < 0.001). The AUROC for the model using ML model-predicted education was also significantly higher than that using ZIP code-level education (p = 0.003)., Conclusion: The concordance of survey and ZIP code-level educational attainment in NYC was low. As expected, the model utilizing survey-derived education achieved the highest performance. The model incorporating our ML model-predicted education outperformed the model relying on ZIP code-derived education. Implementing ML techniques can improve the accuracy of SDOH data and consequently increase the predictive performance of outcome models., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: S.G.C. has salary support from NIH grants R01DK115562, UO1DK106962, R01HL085757, R01DK112258, R01DK115562, R01DK126477 and UH3DK114920. SGC reports personal income and equity and stock options from Renalytix and pulse Data; he also reports personal income from Axon Therapeutics, Bayer, Boehringer-Ingelheim, CHF Solutions, ProKidney, Vifor, and Takeda. G.N.N. has received consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Reata, BioVie, and GLG Consulting; has received financial compensation as a scientific board member and advisor to RenalytixAI; and owns equity in RenalytixAI and Pensieve Health as a cofounder. D.M.C has received financial compensation for consulting or service on clinical trials comitess from Eli Lilly/Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen,Astra Zeneca, Allena Pharmaceuticals, Fresenius, Amgen, Gilead, Novo Nordisk, GSK, Medtronic, Merck, Amgen and CSL Behring and receives research funding from Medtronic for clinical trial support, Gilead, NovoNordisk, and Amgen, as well as expert witness fees related to proton pump inhibitors. He also serves as an editor for CJASN. L.C. has received consulting fees from Vifor Pharma, honorarium from Fresenius Medical Care, and is supported in part by K23DK124645. All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials, (Copyright: © 2024 Takkavatakarn et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Computational subphenotyping, a data-driven approach to understanding disease subtypes, is a prominent topic in medical research. Numerous ongoing studies are dedicated to developing advanced computational subphenotyping methods for cross-sectional data. However, the potential of time-series data has been underexplored until now. Here, we propose a Multivariate Levenshtein Distance (MLD) that can account for address correlation in multiple discrete features over time-series data. Our algorithm has two distinct components: it integrates an optimal threshold score to enhance the sensitivity in discriminating between pairs of instances, and the MLD itself. We have applied the proposed distance metrics on the k-means clustering algorithm to derive temporal subphenotypes from time-series data of biomarkers and treatment administrations from 1039 critically ill patients with COVID-19 and compare its effectiveness to standard methods. In conclusion, the Multivariate Levenshtein Distance metric is a novel method to quantify the distance from multiple discrete features over time-series data and demonstrates superior clustering performance among competing time-series distance metrics., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare no competing non-financial interests, but the following competing financial interests: G.N.N. is a founder of Renalytix, Pensieve, and Verici and provides consultancy services to AstraZeneca, Reata, Renalytix, Siemens Healthineer, and Variant Bio, and serves a scientific advisory board member for Renalytix and Pensieve. He also has equity in Renalytix, Pensieve, and Verici. B.S.G is a vice president of Character Biosciences. All other authors declare no competing financial or non-financial interests., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) and end-diastolic volume (RVEDV) are not readily assessed through traditional modalities. Deep learning-enabled ECG analysis for estimation of right ventricular (RV) size or function is unexplored., Methods and Results: We trained a deep learning-ECG model to predict RV dilation (RVEDV >120 mL/m 2 ), RV dysfunction (RVEF ≤40%), and numerical RVEDV and RVEF from a 12-lead ECG paired with reference-standard cardiac magnetic resonance imaging volumetric measurements in UK Biobank (UKBB; n=42 938). We fine-tuned in a multicenter health system (MSH original [Mount Sinai Hospital]; n=3019) with prospective validation over 4 months (MSH validation ; n=115). We evaluated performance with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for categorical and mean absolute error for continuous measures overall and in key subgroups. We assessed the association of RVEF prediction with transplant-free survival with Cox proportional hazards models. The prevalence of RV dysfunction for UKBB/MSH original /MSH validation cohorts was 1.0%/18.0%/15.7%, respectively. RV dysfunction model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for UKBB/MSH original /MSH validation cohorts was 0.86/0.81/0.77, respectively. The prevalence of RV dilation for UKBB/MSH original /MSH validation cohorts was 1.6%/10.6%/4.3%. RV dilation model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for UKBB/MSH original /MSH validation cohorts was 0.91/0.81/0.92, respectively. MSH original mean absolute error was RVEF=7.8% and RVEDV=17.6 mL/m 2 . The performance of the RVEF model was similar in key subgroups including with and without left ventricular dysfunction. Over a median follow-up of 2.3 years, predicted RVEF was associated with adjusted transplant-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.40 for each 10% decrease; P =0.031)., Conclusions: Deep learning-ECG analysis can identify significant cardiac magnetic resonance imaging RV dysfunction and dilation with good performance. Predicted RVEF is associated with clinical outcome.

Introduction/objective: The KidneyIntelX is a multiplex, bioprognostic, immunoassay consisting of 3 plasma biomarkers and clinical variables that uses machine learning to predict a patient's risk for a progressive decline in kidney function over 5 years. We report the 1-year pre- and post-test clinical impact on care management, eGFR slope, and A1C along with engagement of population health clinical pharmacists and patient coordinators to promote a program of sustainable kidney, metabolic, and cardiac health., Methods: The KidneyIntelX in vitro prognostic test was previously validated for patients with type 2 diabetes and diabetic kidney disease (DKD) to predict kidney function decline within 5 years was introduced into the RWE study (NCT04802395) across the Health System as part of a population health chronic disease management program from [November 2020 to April 2023]. Pre- and post-test patients with a minimum of 12 months of follow-up post KidneyIntelX were assessed across all aspects of the program., Results: A total of 5348 patients with DKD had a KidneyIntelX assay. The median age was 68 years old, 52% were female, 27% self-identified as Black, and 89% had hypertension. The median baseline eGFR was 62 ml/min/1.73 m 2 , urine albumin-creatinine ratio was 54 mg/g, and A1C was 7.3%. The KidneyIntelX risk level was low in 49%, intermediate in 40%, and high in 11% of cases. New prescriptions for SGLT2i, GLP-1 RA, or referral to a specialist were noted in 19%, 33%, and 43% among low-, intermediate-, and high-risk patients, respectively. The median A1C decreased from 8.2% pre-test to 7.5% post-test in the high-risk group ( P  < .001). UACR levels in the intermediate-risk patients with albuminuria were reduced by 20%, and in a subgroup treated with new scripts for SGLT2i, UACR levels were lowered by approximately 50%. The median eGFR slope improved from -7.08 ml/min/1.73 m 2 /year to -4.27 ml/min/1.73 m 2 /year in high-risk patients ( P  = .0003), -2.65 to -1.04 in intermediate risk, and -3.26 ml/min/1.73 m 2 /year to +0.45 ml/min/1.73 m 2 /year in patients with low-risk ( P  < .001)., Conclusions: Deployment and risk stratification by KidneyIntelX was associated with an escalation in action taken to optimize cardio-kidney-metabolic health including medications and specialist referrals. Glycemic control and kidney function trajectories improved post-KidneyIntelX testing, with the greatest improvements observed in those scored as high-risk., Competing Interests: Declaration of Conflicting InterestsThe author(s) declared the following potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: MJD, TM, FF, and RT are employees of Renalytix; SC, GN, MK, and AZ are consultants for Renalytix, All remaining authors have nothing to disclose.

Background: The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into healthcare has opened new avenues for enhancing patient care and clinical research. In gastroenterology, the potential of AI tools, specifically large language models like ChatGPT, is being explored to understand their utility and effectiveness., Objectives: The primary goal of this systematic review is to assess the various applications, ascertain the benefits, and identify the limitations of utilizing ChatGPT within the realm of gastroenterology., Design: Through a systematic approach, this review aggregates findings from multiple studies to evaluate the impact of ChatGPT on the field., Data Sources and Methods: The review was based on a detailed literature search of the PubMed database, targeting research that delves into the use of ChatGPT for gastroenterological purposes. It incorporated six selected studies, which were meticulously evaluated for quality using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal instruments. The data were then synthesized narratively to encapsulate the roles, advantages, and drawbacks of ChatGPT in gastroenterology., Results: The investigation unearthed various roles of ChatGPT, including its use in patient education, diagnostic self-assessment, disease management, and the formulation of research queries. Notable benefits were its capability to provide pertinent recommendations, enhance communication between patients and physicians, and prompt valuable research inquiries. Nonetheless, it encountered obstacles in decoding intricate medical questions, yielded inconsistent responses at times, and exhibited limitations in generating novel content. The review also considered ethical implications., Conclusion: ChatGPT has demonstrated significant potential in the field of gastroenterology, especially in facilitating patient-physician interactions and managing diseases. Despite these advancements, the review underscores the necessity for ongoing refinement, customization, and ethical regulation of AI tools. These findings serve to enrich the dialog concerning AI's role in healthcare, with a specific focus on ChatGPT's application in gastroenterology., Competing Interests: The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest., (© The Author(s), 2023.)

Introduction: End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Identifying patients with stage 4 CKD (CKD4) at risk of rapid progression to ESKD remains challenging. Accurate prediction of CKD4 progression can improve patient outcomes by improving advanced care planning and optimizing healthcare resource allocation., Methods: We obtained electronic health record data from patients with CKD4 in a large health system between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2016. We developed and validated four models, including Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network (ANN), to predict ESKD at 3 years. We utilized area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) to evaluate model performances and utilized Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values and plots to define feature dependence of the best performance model., Results: We included 3,160 patients with CKD4. ESKD was observed in 538 patients (21%). All approaches had similar AUROCs; ANN yielded the highest AUROC (0.77; 95%CI 0.75 to 0.79) and LASSO regression (0.77; 95%CI 0.75 to 0.79), followed by random forest (0.76; 95% CI 0.74 to 0.79), and XGBoost (0.76; 95% CI 0.74 to 0.78)., Conclusions: We developed and validated several models for near-term prediction of kidney failure in CKD4. ANN, random forest, and XGBoost demonstrated similar predictive performances. Using this suite of models, interventions can be customized based on risk, and population health and resources appropriately allocated., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: Gastric cancer (GC), a significant health burden worldwide, is typically diagnosed in the advanced stages due to its non-specific symptoms and complex morphological features. Deep learning (DL) has shown potential for improving and standardizing early GC detection. This systematic review aims to evaluate the current status of DL in pre-malignant, early-stage, and gastric neoplasia analysis., Methods: A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE for original studies implementing DL algorithms for gastric neoplasia detection using endoscopic images. We adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The focus was on studies providing quantitative diagnostic performance measures and those comparing AI performance with human endoscopists., Results: Our review encompasses 42 studies that utilize a variety of DL techniques. The findings demonstrate the utility of DL in GC classification, detection, tumor invasion depth assessment, cancer margin delineation, lesion segmentation, and detection of early-stage and pre-malignant lesions. Notably, DL models frequently matched or outperformed human endoscopists in diagnostic accuracy. However, heterogeneity in DL algorithms, imaging techniques, and study designs precluded a definitive conclusion about the best algorithmic approach., Conclusions: The promise of artificial intelligence in improving and standardizing gastric neoplasia detection, diagnosis, and segmentation is significant. This review is limited by predominantly single-center studies and undisclosed datasets used in AI training, impacting generalizability and demographic representation. Further, retrospective algorithm training may not reflect actual clinical performance, and a lack of model details hinders replication efforts. More research is needed to substantiate these findings, including larger-scale multi-center studies, prospective clinical trials, and comprehensive technical reporting of DL algorithms and datasets, particularly regarding the heterogeneity in DL algorithms and study designs.

Background: Machine learning clustering offers an unbiased approach to better understand the interactions of complex social and clinical variables via integrative subphenotypes, an approach not studied in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA)., Objective: We conducted a cluster analysis for a cohort of OHCA survivors to examine the association of clinical and social factors for mortality at 1 year., Methods: We used a retrospective observational OHCA cohort identified from Medicare claims data, including area-level social determinants of health (SDOH) features and hospital-level data sets. We applied k-means clustering algorithms to identify subphenotypes of beneficiaries who had survived an OHCA and examined associations of outcomes by subphenotype., Results: We identified 27,028 unique beneficiaries who survived to discharge after OHCA. We derived 4 distinct subphenotypes. Subphenotype 1 included a distribution of more urban, female, and Black beneficiaries with the least robust area-level SDOH measures and the highest 1-year mortality (2375/4417, 53.8%). Subphenotype 2 was characterized by a greater distribution of male, White beneficiaries and had the strongest zip code-level SDOH measures, with 1-year mortality at 49.9% (4577/9165). Subphenotype 3 had the highest rates of cardiac catheterization at 34.7% (1342/3866) and the greatest distribution with a driving distance to the index OHCA hospital from their primary residence >16.1 km at 85.4% (8179/9580); more were also discharged to a skilled nursing facility after index hospitalization. Subphenotype 4 had moderate median household income at US $51,659.50 (IQR US $41,295 to $67,081) and moderate to high median unemployment at 5.5% (IQR 4.2%-7.1%), with the lowest 1-year mortality (1207/3866, 31.2%). Joint modeling of these features demonstrated an increased hazard of death for subphenotypes 1 to 3 but not for subphenotype 4 when compared to reference., Conclusions: We identified 4 distinct subphenotypes with differences in outcomes by clinical and area-level SDOH features for OHCA. Further work is needed to determine if individual or other SDOH domains are specifically tied to long-term survival after OHCA., (© Ethan E Abbott, Wonsuk Oh, Yang Dai, Cole Feuer, Lili Chan, Brendan G Carr, Girish N Nadkarni. Originally published in JMIR Aging (https://aging.jmir.org).)

Aims: To develop and validate an updated version of KidneyIntelX (kidneyintelX.dkd) to stratify patients for risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) stages 1 to 3, to simplify the test for clinical adoption and support an application to the US Food and Drug Administration regulatory pathway., Methods: We used plasma biomarkers and clinical data from the Penn Medicine Biobank (PMBB) for training, and independent cohorts (BioMe and CANVAS) for validation. The primary outcome was progressive decline in kidney function (PDKF), defined by a ≥40% sustained decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate or end-stage kidney disease within 5 years of follow-up., Results: In 573 PMBB participants with DKD, 15.4% experienced PDKF over a median of 3.7 years. We trained a random forest model using biomarkers and clinical variables. Among 657 BioMe participants and 1197 CANVAS participants, 11.7% and 7.5%, respectively, experienced PDKF. Based on training cut-offs, 57%, 35% and 8% of BioMe participants, and 56%, 38% and 6% of CANVAS participants were classified as having low-, moderate- and high-risk levels, respectively. The cumulative incidence at these risk levels was 5.9%, 21.2% and 66.9% in BioMe and 6.7%, 13.1% and 59.6% in CANVAS. After clinical risk factor adjustment, the adjusted hazard ratios were 7.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.0-19.6) and 3.7 (95% CI 2.0-6.8) in BioMe, and 5.4 (95% CI 2.5-11.9) and 2.3 (95% CI 1.4-3.9) in CANVAS, for high- versus low-risk and moderate- versus low-risk levels, respectively., Conclusions: Using two independent cohorts and a clinical trial population, we validated an updated KidneyIntelX test (named kidneyintelX.dkd), which significantly enhanced risk stratification in patients with DKD for PDKF, independently from known risk factors for progression., (© 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Acute kidney injury (AKI), which is a common complication of acute illnesses, affects the health of individuals in community, acute care and post-acute care settings. Although the recognition, prevention and management of AKI has advanced over the past decades, its incidence and related morbidity, mortality and health care burden remain overwhelming. The rapid growth of digital technologies has provided a new platform to improve patient care, and reports show demonstrable benefits in care processes and, in some instances, in patient outcomes. However, despite great progress, the potential benefits of using digital technology to manage AKI has not yet been fully explored or implemented in clinical practice. Digital health studies in AKI have shown variable evidence of benefits, and the digital divide means that access to digital technologies is not equitable. Upstream research and development costs, limited stakeholder participation and acceptance, and poor scalability of digital health solutions have hindered their widespread implementation and use. Here, we provide recommendations from the Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus meeting, which involved experts in adult and paediatric nephrology, critical care, pharmacy and data science, at which the use of digital health for risk prediction, prevention, identification and management of AKI and its consequences was discussed., (© 2023. Springer Nature Limited.)

Background: The increasing use of smartphones, wearables, and connected devices has enabled the increasing application of digital technologies for research. Remote digital study platforms comprise a patient-interfacing digital application that enables multimodal data collection from a mobile app and connected sources. They offer an opportunity to recruit at scale, acquire data longitudinally at a high frequency, and engage study participants at any time of the day in any place. Few published descriptions of centralized digital research platforms provide a framework for their development., Objective: This study aims to serve as a road map for those seeking to develop a centralized digital research platform. We describe the technical and functional aspects of the ehive app, the centralized digital research platform of the Hasso Plattner Institute for Digital Health at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, New York. We then provide information about ongoing studies hosted on ehive, including usership statistics and data infrastructure. Finally, we discuss our experience with ehive in the broader context of the current landscape of digital health research platforms., Methods: The ehive app is a multifaceted and patient-facing central digital research platform that permits the collection of e-consent for digital health studies. An overview of its development, its e-consent process, and the tools it uses for participant recruitment and retention are provided. Data integration with the platform and the infrastructure supporting its operations are discussed; furthermore, a description of its participant- and researcher-facing dashboard interfaces and the e-consent architecture is provided., Results: The ehive platform was launched in 2020 and has successfully hosted 8 studies, namely 6 observational studies and 2 clinical trials. Approximately 1484 participants downloaded the app across 36 states in the United States. The use of recruitment methods such as bulk messaging through the EPIC electronic health records and standard email portals enables broad recruitment. Light-touch engagement methods, used in an automated fashion through the platform, maintain high degrees of engagement and retention. The ehive platform demonstrates the successful deployment of a central digital research platform that can be modified across study designs., Conclusions: Centralized digital research platforms such as ehive provide a novel tool that allows investigators to expand their research beyond their institution, engage in large-scale longitudinal studies, and combine multimodal data streams. The ehive platform serves as a model for groups seeking to develop similar digital health research programs., International Registered Report Identifier (irrid): DERR1-10.2196/49204., (©Robert P Hirten, Matteo Danieletto, Kyle Landell, Micol Zweig, Eddye Golden, Georgy Orlov, Jovita Rodrigues, Eugenia Alleva, Ipek Ensari, Erwin Bottinger, Girish N Nadkarni, Thomas J Fuchs, Zahi A Fayad. Originally published in JMIR Research Protocols (https://www.researchprotocols.org), 16.11.2023.)

Background: Although per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposure is a potential contributor to the increasing thyroid cancer trend, limited studies have investigated the association between PFAS exposure and thyroid cancer in human populations. We therefore investigated associations between plasma PFAS levels and thyroid cancer diagnosis using a nested case-control study of patients with thyroid cancer with plasma samples collected at/before cancer diagnosis., Methods: 88 patients with thyroid cancer using diagnosis codes and 88 healthy (non-cancer) controls pair-matched on sex, age (±5 years), race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking status, and year of sample collection were identified in the BioMe population (a medical record-linked biobank at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York); 74 patients had papillary thyroid cancer. Eight plasma PFAS were measured using untargeted analysis with liquid chromatography-high resolution mass spectrometry and suspect screening. Associations between individual PFAS levels and thyroid cancer were evaluated using unconditional logistic regression models to estimate adjusted odds ratios (OR adj ) and 95% confidence intervals (CI)., Findings: There was a 56% increased rate of thyroid cancer diagnosis per doubling of linear perfluorooctanesulfonic acid (n-PFOS) intensity (OR adj , 1.56, 95% CI: 1.17-2.15, P = 0.004); results were similar when including patients with papillary thyroid cancer only (OR adj , 1.56, 95% CI: 1.13-2.21, P = 0.009). This positive association remained in subset analysis investigating exposure timing including 31 thyroid cancer cases diagnosed ≥1 year after plasma sample collection (OR adj , 2.67, 95% CI: 1.59-4.88, P < 0.001)., Interpretation: This study reports associations between exposure to PFAS and increased rate of (papillary) thyroid cancer. Thyroid cancer risk from PFAS exposure is a global concern given the prevalence of PFAS exposure. Individual PFAS studied here are a small proportion of the total number of PFAS supporting additional large-scale prospective studies investigating thyroid cancer risk associated with exposure to PFAS chemicals., Funding: National Institutes of Health grants and The Andrea and Charles Bronfman Philanthropies., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests Manish Arora is co-founder of Linus Biotechnology and is owner of a license agreement with NIES (Japan). He also received honoraria and travel compensation for lectures for the Bio-Echo and Brin foundations. Dr. Arora has 22 patents at various stages., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Ectopic lipid storage is implicated in type 2 diabetes pathogenesis; hence, exercise to deplete stores (i.e., at the intensity that allows for maximal rate of lipid oxidation; MLO) might be optimal for restoring metabolic health. This intensity ("Fat max ") is estimated during incremental exercise ("Fat max test"). However, in "the field" general recommendations exist regarding a range of percentages of maximal heart rate (HR) to elicit MLO. The degree to which this range is aligned with measured Fat max has not been investigated. We compared measured HR at Fat max , with maximal HR percentages within the typically recommended range in a sample of 26 individuals (Female: n = 11, European ancestry: n = 17)., Methods and Results: Subjects completed a modified Fat max test with a 5-min warmup, followed by incremental stages starting at 15 W with work rate increased by 15 W every 5 min until termination criteria were reached. Pulmonary gas exchange was recorded and average values for V˙ o 2 and V˙ co 2 for the final minute of each stage were used to estimate substrate-oxidation rates. We modeled lipid-oxidation kinetics using a sinusoidal model and expressed MLO relative to peak V˙ o 2 and HR. Bland-Altman analysis demonstrated lack of concordance between HR at Fat max and at 50%, 70%, and 80% of age-predicted maximum with a mean difference of 23 b·min -1 ., Conclusion: Our results indicate that estimated "fat-burning" heart rate zones are inappropriate for prescribing exercise to elicit MLO and we recommend direct individual exercise lipid oxidation measurements to elicit these values., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest No conflicts of interest, financial or otherwise, are declared by the authors., (Copyright © 2023 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Substantial effort has been directed toward demonstrating uses of predictive models in health care. However, implementation of these models into clinical practice may influence patient outcomes, which in turn are captured in electronic health record data. As a result, deployed models may affect the predictive ability of current and future models., Objective: To estimate changes in predictive model performance with use through 3 common scenarios: model retraining, sequentially implementing 1 model after another, and intervening in response to a model when 2 are simultaneously implemented., Design: Simulation of model implementation and use in critical care settings at various levels of intervention effectiveness and clinician adherence. Models were either trained or retrained after simulated implementation., Setting: Admissions to the intensive care unit (ICU) at Mount Sinai Health System (New York, New York) and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (Boston, Massachusetts)., Patients: 130 000 critical care admissions across both health systems., Intervention: Across 3 scenarios, interventions were simulated at varying levels of clinician adherence and effectiveness., Measurements: Statistical measures of performance, including threshold-independent (area under the curve) and threshold-dependent measures., Results: At fixed 90% sensitivity, in scenario 1 a mortality prediction model lost 9% to 39% specificity after retraining once and in scenario 2 a mortality prediction model lost 8% to 15% specificity when created after the implementation of an acute kidney injury (AKI) prediction model; in scenario 3, models for AKI and mortality prediction implemented simultaneously, each led to reduced effective accuracy of the other by 1% to 28%., Limitations: In real-world practice, the effectiveness of and adherence to model-based recommendations are rarely known in advance. Only binary classifiers for tabular ICU admissions data were simulated., Conclusion: In simulated ICU settings, a universally effective model-updating approach for maintaining model performance does not seem to exist. Model use may have to be recorded to maintain viability of predictive modeling., Primary Funding Source: National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences., Competing Interests: Disclosures: Disclosures can be viewed at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConflictOfInterestForms.do?msNum=M23-0949.

Continuous monitoring and treatment of patients in intensive care units generates vast amounts of data. Critical Care Medicine clinicians incorporate this continuously evolving data to make split-second, life or death decisions for management of these patients. Despite the abundance of data, it can be challenging to consider every accessible data point when making the quick decisions necessary at the point of care. Consequently, Clinical Informatics offers a natural partnership to improve the care for critically ill patients. The last two decades have seen a significant evolution in the role of Clinical Informatics in Critical Care Medicine. In this review, we will discuss how Clinical Informatics improves the care of critically ill patients by enhancing not only data collection and visualization but also bedside medical decision making. We will further discuss the evolving role of machine learning algorithms in Clinical Informatics as it pertains to Critical Care Medicine., (Copyright ©2023, Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine.)

Background: Decentralized, digital health studies can provide real-world evidence of the lasting effects of COVID-19 on physical, socioeconomic, psychological, and social determinant factors of health in India. Existing research cohorts, however, are small and were not designed for longitudinal collection of comprehensive data from India's diverse population. Data4Life is a nationwide, digitally enabled, health research initiative to examine the post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 across individuals, communities, and regions. Data4Life seeks to build an ethnically and geographically diverse population of at least 100,000 participants in India., Methods: Here we discuss the feasibility of developing a completely decentralized COVID-19 cohort in India through qualitative analysis of data collection procedures, participant characteristics, participant perspectives on recruitment and reported study motivation., Results: As of June 13th, 2022, more than 6,000 participants from 17 Indian states completed baseline surveys. Friend and family referral were identified as the most common recruitment method (64.8%) across all demographic groups. Helping family and friends was the primary reason reported for joining the study (61.5%)., Conclusions: Preliminary findings support the use of digital technology for rapid enrollment and data collection to develop large health research cohorts in India. This demonstrates the potential for expansion of digitally enabled health research in India. These findings also outline the value of person-to-person recruitment strategies when conducting digital health research in modern-day India. Qualitative analysis reveals opportunities to increase diversity and retention in real time. It also informs strategies for improving participant experiences in the current Data4Life initiative and future studies., (© 2023. Springer Nature Limited.)

Background: Premature ventricular complexes (PVCs) are prevalent and, although often benign, they may lead to PVC-induced cardiomyopathy. We created a deep-learning algorithm to predict left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) reduction in patients with PVCs from a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG)., Objectives: This study aims to assess a deep-learning model to predict cardiomyopathy among patients with PVCs., Methods: We used electronic medical records from 5 hospitals and identified ECGs from adults with documented PVCs. Internal training and testing were performed at one hospital. External validation was performed with the others. The primary outcome was first diagnosis of LVEF ≤40% within 6 months. The dataset included 383,514 ECGs, of which 14,241 remained for analysis. We analyzed area under the receiver operating curves and explainability plots for representative patients, algorithm prediction, PVC burden, and demographics in a multivariable Cox model to assess independent predictors for cardiomyopathy., Results: Among the 14,241-patient cohort (age 67.6 ± 14.8 years; female 43.8%; White 29.5%, Black 8.6%, Hispanic 6.5%, Asian 2.2%), 22.9% experienced reductions in LVEF to ≤40% within 6 months. The model predicted reductions in LVEF to ≤40% with area under the receiver operating curve of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.81). The gradient weighted class activation map explainability framework highlighted the sinus rhythm QRS complex-ST segment. In patients who underwent successful PVC ablation there was a post-ablation improvement in LVEF with resolution of cardiomyopathy in most (89%) patients., Conclusions: Deep-learning on the 12-lead ECG alone can accurately predict new-onset cardiomyopathy in patients with PVCs independent of PVC burden. Model prediction performed well across sex and race, relying on the QRS complex/ST-segment in sinus rhythm, not PVC morphology., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures Dr Lampert has served as a consultant for Viz.AI. Dr Reddy has served as a consultant for and has equity in Ablacon, Acutus Medical, Affera-Medtronic, Anumana, Apama Medical-Boston Scientific, APN Health, Aquaheart, Atacor, Autonomix, Axon Therapies, Backbeat, BioSig, CardiaCare, CardioNXT/AFTx, Circa Scientific, CoRISMA, Corvia Medical, Dinova-Hangzhou DiNovA EP Technology, East End Medical, EPD-Philips, EP Frontiers, Epix Therapeutics-Medtronic, EpiEP, Eximo, Farapulse-Boston Scientific, Field Medical, Focused Therapeutics, HRT, Intershunt, Javelin, Kardium, Keystone Heart, LuxMed, Medlumics, Middlepeak, Neutrace, Nuvera-Biosense Webster, Oracle Health, Restore Medical, Sirona Medical, SoundCath, Valcare unrelated to this work; has served as a consultant for Abbott, AtriAN, Biosense-Webster, BioTel Heart, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Cairdac, Cardiofocus, Cardionomic, CoreMap, Fire1, Gore & Associates, Impulse Dynamics, Medtronic, Novartis, Philips, and Pulse Biosciences; and has equity in Manual Surgical Sciences, Newpace, Nyra Medical, Surecor, and Vizaramed. Dr Nadkarni reports consultancy agreements with AstraZeneca, BioVie, GLG Consulting, Pensieve Health, Reata, Renalytix, Siemens Healthineers and Variant Bio; has received research funding from Goldfinch Bio, and Renalytix; has received honoraria from AstraZeneca, BioVie, Lexicon, Daiichi Sankyo, Meanrini Health, and Reata; has patents or royalties with Renalytix; owns equity and stock options in Pensieve Health and Renalytix as a scientific cofounder; owns equity in Verici Dx; has received financial compensation as a scientific board member and advisor to Renalytix; has served on the advisory board of Neurona Health; and has served in an advisory or leadership role for Pensieve Health and Renalytix. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The current understanding of the genetic determinants of thoracic aortic aneurysms and dissections (TAAD) has largely been informed through studies of rare, Mendelian forms of disease. Here, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of TAAD, testing ~25 million DNA sequence variants in 8,626 participants with and 453,043 participants without TAAD in the Million Veteran Program, with replication in an independent sample of 4,459 individuals with and 512,463 without TAAD from six cohorts. We identified 21 TAAD risk loci, 17 of which have not been previously reported. We leverage multiple downstream analytic methods to identify causal TAAD risk genes and cell types and provide human genetic evidence that TAAD is a non-atherosclerotic aortic disorder distinct from other forms of vascular disease. Our results demonstrate that the genetic architecture of TAAD mirrors that of other complex traits and that it is not solely inherited through protein-altering variants of large effect size., (© 2023. This is a U.S. Government work and not under copyright protection in the US; foreign copyright protection may apply.)