273 results on '"Luke D. Knibbs"'
Search Results
52. Do neighbourhood traffic-related air pollution and socio-economic status moderate the associations of the neighbourhood physical environment with cognitive function? Findings from the AusDiab study
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Ester Cerin, Anthony Barnett, Yu-Tzu Wu, Erika Martino, Jonathan E. Shaw, Luke D. Knibbs, Govinda Poudel, Bin Jalaludin, and Kaarin J. Anstey
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memory ,Environmental Engineering ,mid-aged and older adults ,greenspace ,Environmental Chemistry ,processing speed ,disadvantage ,Pollution ,Waste Management and Disposal ,walkability - Abstract
Characteristics of the neighbourhood environment, including the built and natural environment, area-level socio-economic status (SES) and air pollution, have been linked to cognitive health. However, most studies have focused on single neighbourhood characteristics and have not considered the extent to which the effects of environmental factors may interact. We examined the associations of measures of the neighbourhood built and natural environment, area-level SES and traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) with two cognitive function domains (memory and processing speed), and the extent to which area-level SES and TRAP moderated the associations. We used cross-sectional data from the AusDiab3 study, an Australian cohort study of adults (mean age: 61 years) in 2011–12 (N = 4141) for which geocoded residential addresses were available. Spatial data were used to create composite indices of built environment complexity (population density, intersection density, non-commercial land use mix, commercial land use) and natural environment (parkland and blue spaces). Area-level SES was obtained from national census indices and TRAP was based on estimates of annual average levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Confounder-adjusted generalised additive mixed models were used to estimate the independent associations of the environmental measures with cognitive function and the moderating effects of area-level SES and TRAP. The positive associations between built environment complexity and memory were stronger in those living in areas with higher SES and lower NO2 concentrations. A positive association between the natural environment and memory was found only in those living in areas with lower NO2 concentrations and average or below-average SES. Built environment complexity and the natural environment were positively related to processing speed. Complex urban environments and access to nature may benefit cognitive health in ageing populations. For higher-order cognitive abilities, such as memory, these positive effects may be stronger in areas with lower levels of TRAP.
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- 2022
53. The associations of particulate matter short-term exposure and serum lipids are modified by vitamin D status: A panel study of young healthy adults
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Jia-Min Li, Han-Yu Yang, Si-Han Wu, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Bin Jalaludin, Luke D. Knibbs, Michael S. Bloom, Yuming Guo, Lidia Morawska, Joachim Heinrich, Yim Steve Hung Lam, Li-Zi Lin, Xiao-Wen Zeng, Bo-Yi Yang, Gong-Bo Chen, Ru-Qing Liu, Guang-Hui Dong, and Li-Wen Hu
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Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,General Medicine ,Toxicology ,Pollution - Abstract
Particulate matter (PM) exposure is associated to the adverse change in blood lipids. Vitamin D is beneficial to lipid metabolism, but whether vitamin D levels modifies the impact of air pollutants on lipids is unclear. The purpose of the study was to investigate if vitamin D modifies the associations of PM and serum lipids in young healthy people. From December 2017 to January 2018, a panel study with five once weekly follow-ups was conducted on 88 healthy adults aged 21.09 (1.08) (mean (SD)) years on average in Guangzhou, China. We measured serum lipids, serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations (440 blood samples in total), mass concentrations of particulate matter with diameters ≤2.5 μm (PM
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- 2022
54. Ecological Burden of e-Waste in Bangladesh-an Assessment to Measure the Exposure to e-Waste and Associated Health Outcomes: Protocol for a Cross-sectional Study
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Sarker Masud Parvez, Shaikh Sharif Hasan, Luke D Knibbs, Farjana Jahan, Mahbubur Rahman, Rubhana Raqib, Nafisa Islam, Nirupam Aich, Mohammad Moniruzzaman, Zahir Islam, Masatake Fujimura, and Peter D Sly
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General Medicine - Abstract
Background e-Waste is a rapidly growing waste stream worldwide, and Bangladesh is a hub of e-waste handling. Informal e-waste recycling operations involve crude methods for dismantling, repairing, sorting, and recycling electronic goods with bare hands and without personal health protections. Direct inhalation or dermal exposure to toxicants during informal recycling is common. Evidence suggests that e-waste–derived toxicants pollute the terrestrial ecosystem and have been linked with adverse health effects. However, e-waste recycling–related occupational health hazards have not been adequately explored in the context of Bangladesh. Objective Our study aims to expand the current understanding of exposure to e-waste. This study will measure the metal concentrations in biological and environmental samples and evaluate the relationship between heavy metals and the biochemical systems of the e-waste workers. Methods The study uses a cross-sectional study design consisting of an exposed site and a nonexposed control site. The trained team collected information on individual exposures, detailed work and medical history, and biological samples (blood, urine, and hair) from each subject. This study will measure heavy metal levels (lead, cadmium, and mercury) and biochemical parameters (hematological, hormonal, renal, and others) from the biological samples with reported physical function as outcomes of interest. In addition, we also collected soil and dust samples from both exposed and nonexposed control sites to measure the health risk. All the environmental samples will be analyzed using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer to determine metal concentrations. We will also conduct a qualitative investigation for a deeper understanding of the e-waste management system in Bangladesh. Results The protocol has been approved by the Institutional Review Boards of the International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh, and The University of Queensland’s Human Behavioral Ethics Committee. Informed written consent was obtained from all participants. We recruited 199 workers from the e-waste sites with at least 5 years of exposure and 104 control subjects with no industrial or e-waste exposure. Sample analysis is estimated to be completed in 2022. Conclusions Although many studies have identified potential adverse health outcomes from exposure to e-waste, there is a lack of published epidemiological research in Bangladesh. Research in this field is particularly pressing in the context of the current e-waste trend and the need to deepen the understanding of exposures and outcomes. International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID) DERR1-10.2196/38201
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- 2022
55. Ecological burden of e-waste in Bangladesh: participant’s characteristics and methods of cross-sectional assessment to measure the exposure to e-waste and associated health outcomes (Preprint)
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Sarker Masud Parvez, Shaikh Sharif Hasan, Luke D Knibbs, Farjana Jahan, Mahbubur Rahman, Rubhana Raqib, Nafisa Islam, Nirupam Aich, Mohammad Moniruzzaman, Zahir Islam, Masatake Fujimura, and Peter D Sly
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BACKGROUND Electronic waste (e-waste) is a rapidly growing waste stream worldwide, and Bangladesh is a hub of e-waste handling. Informal e-waste recycling operations involve crude methods for dismantling, repairing, sorting, and recycling electronic goods with bare hands and without personal health protections. Direct inhalation or dermal exposure to toxicants during informal recycle is common. Evidence suggests that e-waste derived toxicants pollute the terrestrial ecosystem and have been linked with adverse health effects. However, e-waste recycling-related occupational health hazards have not been adequately explored in the context of Bangladesh. OBJECTIVE Our study aims to expand the current understanding of exposure to e-waste. This study will measure the metal concentrations in biological and environmental samples and evaluate the relationship between heavy metals and the biochemical systems of the e-waste workers. METHODS The study employs a cross-sectional study design consisting of an exposed and a non-exposed control site. The trained team collected information on individual exposures, detailed work/medical history, and collected biological samples (blood, urine, and hair) from each subject. This study will measure heavy metal levels (lead, cadmium, and mercury) and biochemical parameters (hematological, hormonal, renal, and others) from biological samples with reported physical function as outcomes of interest. In addition, we also collected soil and dust samples from both exposed and non-exposed control sites to measure the health risk. All the environmental samples will be analyzed using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (ICP-MS) to determine metal concentrations. RESULTS The protocol has been approved by the Institutional Review Boards of the International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b) and the University of Queensland’s (UQ) Human Behavioural Ethics Committee. Informed written consent was obtained from all participants. We recruited 199 workers from the e-waste sites with at least 5 years of exposure and 104 control subjects with no industrial or e-waste exposure. Sample analysis is estimated to be completed in 2022. CONCLUSIONS Although many studies have identified potential adverse health outcomes from exposure to e-waste, there is a lack of published epidemiologic research in Bangladesh. Research in this field is particularly pressing in the context of the current e-waste trend and the need to deepen understanding of exposures and outcomes.
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- 2022
56. Association between ambient air pollution and development and persistence of atopic and non‐atopic eczema in a cohort of adults
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Caroline J Lodge, Garun S. Hamilton, Luke D. Knibbs, John C Su, Paul S. Thomas, Dinh S Bui, J. Perret, Adrian J. Lowe, Bircan Erbas, Diego Lopez, Bruce Thompson, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Michael J. Abramson, Nilakshi T Waidyatillake, E. Haydn Walters, and Gayan Bowatte
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Adult ,Male ,Allergy ,Immunology ,Dermatitis, Atopic ,Atopy ,immune system diseases ,Air Pollution ,Environmental health ,otorhinolaryngologic diseases ,Humans ,Immunology and Allergy ,Medicine ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,Sensitization ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Environmental Exposure ,Environmental exposure ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Middle age ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Clinical research ,Cohort ,Female ,Particulate Matter ,business - Abstract
Background: There is limited information on risk factors for eczema in adults. Recent evidence suggests that air pollution may be associated with increased incidence of eczema in adults. We aimed to assess this possible association. Methods: Ambient air pollution exposures (distance from a major road, nitrogen dioxide [NO2 ], fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm [PM2.5 ]) were assessed for the residential address of Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study participants at ages 43 and 53 years. Eczema incidence (onset after age 43 years), prevalence (at 53 years), and persistence were assessed from surveys, while IgE sensitization was assessed using skin prick tests. The presence or absence of eczema and sensitization was classified into four groups: no atopy or eczema, atopy alone, non-atopic eczema, and atopic eczema. Adjusted logistic and multinomial regression models were fitted to estimate associations between ambient air pollution and eczema, and interaction by sex was assessed. Results: Of 3153 participants in both follow-ups, 2369 had valid skin prick tests. For males, a 2.3 ppb increase in baselineNO2 was associated with increased odds of prevalent eczema (OR = 1.15 [95% CI 0.98-1.36]) and prevalent atopic eczema (OR = 1.26 [1.00-1.59]). These associations were not seen in females (p for interaction = 0.08, Conclusion: Increased exposure to residential ambient air pollutants was associated with an increased odds of eczema, only in males, and aeroallergen sensitization in both genders.
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- 2021
57. Spatio-temporal patterns of tropospheric NO2 over India during 2005–2019
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Neha Singh, Sagnik Dey, and Luke D. Knibbs
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Atmospheric Science ,Pollution ,Waste Management and Disposal - Published
- 2023
58. A cross-sectional analysis of long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and cognitive development in children aged 3–4 years living in 12 low- and middle-income countries
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Daniel B. Odo, Ian A. Yang, Sagnik Dey, Melanie S. Hammer, Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Guang-Hui Dong, Bo-Yi Yang, Perry Hystad, and Luke D. Knibbs
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Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,General Medicine ,Toxicology ,Pollution - Abstract
Exposure to ambient air pollution may affect cognitive functioning and development in children. Unfortunately, there is little evidence available for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where air pollution levels are highest. We analysed the association between exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (≤2.5 μm [PM
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- 2023
59. Opportunity to reduce paediatric asthma in New South Wales through nitrogen dioxide control
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Luke D. Knibbs, Ben Ewald, and Guy B. Marks
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,nitrogen dioxide ,030309 nutrition & dietetics ,Population ,air pollution ,Air pollution ,medicine.disease_cause ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Environmental health ,Prevalence ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Child ,education ,Vehicle Emissions ,Asthma ,Air Pollutants ,0303 health sciences ,education.field_of_study ,business.industry ,Public health ,Australia ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Regression analysis ,Environmental Exposure ,asthma ,medicine.disease ,respiratory tract diseases ,Geography ,Child, Preschool ,Local government ,Female ,Health Impact Assessment ,Electricity ,New South Wales ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,business ,Health impact assessment - Abstract
Objective: The main sources of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), road vehicles and electricity generation, are currently in a period of technological change. We assessed the number of cases of childhood asthma in New South Wales that could be avoided by lowering exposure to NO2 by 25% from current levels. Methods: Health impact assessment calculations for each of the 128 local government areas were based on the population of children aged 2 to 14, the prevalence of asthma derived from the 2017 NSW health survey, NO2 exposure from a land‐use regression model using satellite data, and risk estimates derived from two meta‐analyses and one Australian study. Results: A 25% reduction in NO2 below current exposure would lead to between 2,597 and 12,286 fewer children with asthma in NSW. The wide range in these estimates reflects the variation in concentration‐response functions used. Conclusions: Even the lowest of these estimates would be a worthwhile reduction in this common childhood illness. Implications for public health: A 25% reduction in NO2 is ambitious, but it is achievable through improved vehicle exhaust standards, increasing electric vehicle numbers, and reform of the electricity sector. Current Australian ambient air quality standards for annual NO2 should be revised downwards.
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- 2021
60. The association between environmental greenness and the risk of food allergy: A population-based study in Melbourne, Australia
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Rachel L. Peters, David Sutherland, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Adrian J. Lowe, Kirsten P. Perrett, Mimi L. K. Tang, Kate Lycett, Luke D. Knibbs, Jennifer J. Koplin, and Suzanne Mavoa
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Immunology ,Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health ,Australia ,Immunology and Allergy ,Humans ,Infant ,Allergens ,Egg Hypersensitivity ,Food Hypersensitivity ,Skin Tests - Abstract
While exposure to environmental greenness in childhood has shown mixed associations with the development of allergic disease, the relationship with food allergy has not been explored. We investigated the association between exposure to environmental greenness and challenge-confirmed food allergy in a large population-based cohort.The HealthNuts study recruited 5276 12-month-old infants in Melbourne, Australia, who underwent skin prick testing to peanut, egg, and sesame; infants with a detectable wheal underwent food challenges to determine food allergy status. Environmental greenness was estimated using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for five buffer zones around the infant's home address: at the home, 100 m, 500 m, 800 m, and 1600 m radial distances. Environmental greenness was categorized into 3 tertiles and mixed effects logistic regression models quantified the association between greenness and the risk of food allergy, adjusting for confounding and accounting for clustering at the neighborhood level.NDVI data were available for n = 5097. For most buffer zones, medium and high greenness, compared to low greenness, was associated with an increased risk of peanut allergy (eg, 100 m tertile 2 aOR 1.89 95% CI 1.22-2.95, tertile 3 aOR 1.78 95% CI 1.13-2.82). For egg allergy, the effect sizes were smaller (100 m tertile 2 aOR 1.52 95% CI 1.16-1.97, tertile 3 aOR 1.38 95% CI 1.05-1.82). Socioeconomic status (SES) modified the association between greenness and peanut allergy, but not egg allergy; associations were apparent in the low SES group but not in the high SES group (p for interaction 0.08 at 100 m). Air pollution (PM2.5) also modified the associations between environmental greenness and food allergy, with associations present in high air pollution areas but not low (p for interaction at 100 m 0.05 for peanut and 0.06 for egg allergy.) CONCLUSION: Increased exposure to environmental greenness in the first year of life was associated with an increased risk of food allergy. Increased greenness may correlate with higher pollen levels which may trigger innate immune responses skewing the immune system to the Th2-dependent allergic phenotype; additionally, some pollen and food allergens are cross-reactive. Given the mixed data on greenness and other allergies, the relationship appears complex and may also be influenced by confounding variables outside those that were measured in this study.
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- 2022
61. Environmental exposures to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and their role in endometriosis: a systematic literature review
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Luke D. Knibbs, Ruqaiya Al Ramadhani, and Diksha Sirohi
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Health (social science) ,Endometriosis ,Physiology ,Endocrine Disruptors ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,0302 clinical medicine ,Epidemiology ,Prevalence ,medicine ,Humans ,Endocrine system ,Aged ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine ,business.industry ,Confounding ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Phthalate ,Environmental Exposure ,Environmental exposure ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Pollution ,Systematic review ,chemistry ,Etiology ,Environmental Pollutants ,Female ,business - Abstract
Purpose Endocrine-related diseases and disorders are on the rise globally. Synthetically produced environmental chemicals (endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs)) mimic hormones like oestrogen and alter signalling pathways. Endometriosis is an oestrogen-dependent condition, affecting 10–15% of women of the reproductive age, and has substantial impacts on the quality of life. The aetiology of endometriosis is believed to be multifactorial, ranging from genetic causes to immunologic dysfunction due to environmental exposure to EDCs. Hence, we undertook a systematic review and investigated the epidemiological evidence for an association between EDCs and the development of endometriosis. We also aimed to assess studies on the relationship between body concentration of EDCs and the severity of endometriosis. Method Following PRISMA guidelines, a structured search of PubMed, Embase and Scopus was conducted (to July 2018). The included studies analysed the association between one or more EDCs and the prevalence of endometriosis. The types of EDCs, association and outcome, participant characteristics and confounding variables were extracted and analysed. Quality assessment was performed using standard criteria. Results In total, 29 studies were included. Phthalate esters were positively associated with the prevalence of endometriosis. The majority (71%) of studies revealed a significant association between bisphenol A, organochlorinated environmental pollutants (dioxins, dioxin-like compounds, organochlorinated pesticides, polychlorinated biphenyls) and the prevalence of endometriosis. A positive association between copper, chromium and prevalence of endometriosis was demonstrated in one study only. Cadmium, lead and mercury were not associated with the prevalence of endometriosis. There were conflicting results for the association between nickel and endometriosis. The relationship of EDCs and severity of endometriosis was not established in the studies. Conclusion We found some evidence to suggest an association between phthalate esters, bisphenol A, organochlorinated environmental pollutants and the prevalence of endometriosis. Disentangling these exposures from various other factors that affect endometriosis is complex, but an important topic for further research.
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- 2020
62. Q fever vaccine efficacy and occupational exposure risk in Queensland, Australia: A retrospective cohort study
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Charles F. Gilks, Simon Reid, Luke D. Knibbs, Peter Baker, Nigel R. Perkins, and Solomon Meseret Woldeyohannes
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,030231 tropical medicine ,Q fever ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Occupational Exposure ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Retrospective Studies ,General Veterinary ,General Immunology and Microbiology ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Vaccination ,Hazard ratio ,Australia ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Retrospective cohort study ,medicine.disease ,Vaccine efficacy ,Infectious Diseases ,Molecular Medicine ,Population study ,Queensland ,Q Fever ,business ,Vaccine failure - Abstract
Q-VAX® is a vaccine used to prevent Q fever. Administration of the vaccine is complicated by the need to ensure, using intradermal and serological tests, that individuals have no prior immunity. Previous studies suggest that the vaccine is highly efficacious and long-lasting in adults. However, there has been no systematic follow-up of vaccine efficacy and the longevity of immunity using population-level data. We aimed to investigate the vaccine failure rate and duration of immunity in previously vaccinated individuals. We formulated a retrospective cohort study design within a linked data. We used a Q fever vaccination registry linked to Q fever notifications and hospital admissions (1991-2016) in the state of Queensland, which has Australia's highest incidence of Q fever. Q-VAX® failure was defined as occurrence of Q fever > 14 days' after vaccination. The incidence of Q fever in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals was 5.40 (95% CI: 3.65, 7.72) and 89.50 (95% CI: 70.50, 112.00]) per 100,000 person-years of follow-up, respectively. The hazard ratio (HR) for Q fever was 0.07 (95% CI: 0.04, 0.10) in non-immune vaccinated compared with immune unvaccinated individuals. The overall vaccine effectiveness was found to be 94.37% suggesting that Q-VAX® is highly effective at preventing Q fever. However, the greater incidence observed in unvaccinated individuals considered immune during the pre-vaccination screening may suggest that pre-vaccination screening is sub-optimal among this study population.
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- 2020
63. Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution is associated with coronary artery calcification among asymptomatic adults
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Fay H. Johnston, Prasanna Venkataraman, Thomas H. Marwick, Kazuaki Negishi, Luke D. Knibbs, and Quan Huynh
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Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Renal function ,Coronary Artery Disease ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Asymptomatic ,Coronary artery disease ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Interquartile range ,Air Pollution ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,Medical history ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Australia ,Environmental Exposure ,General Medicine ,Environmental exposure ,medicine.disease ,Coronary Calcium Score ,Residual risk ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Aims We investigated the effects of exposure to very low levels of particulate matter Methods and results This study included 606 asymptomatic adults (49% men, aged 56±7 years) recruited from communities in three states of Australia during 2017–2018. CCS was measured using coronary computed tomography scan at recruitment. Annual PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations were estimated on the year before recruitment using statistical exposure models and assigned to each participant’s residential address. Medical history, physical measurements, biochemistry, and sociodemographic and socioeconomic status were also recorded. Median concentrations of PM2.5 and NO2 were 6.9 µg/m3 [interquartile range (IQR) 6.0–7.7)] and 3.1 ppb [IQR 2.2–4.5], respectively. Of the 606 participants, 16% had high CCS (≥100) and 4% had very high CCS (≥400). Exposure to higher PM2.5 (per µg/m3) was significantly associated with greater odds of having high CCS (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02–1.43) and very high CCS (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.05–2.29). Similar associations were observed for NO2 and high CCS (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02–1.27) and very high CCS (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.07–1.51). These findings were robust to adjustment for sociodemographic factors, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, renal function, education, and socio-economic status. Conclusions Ambient air pollution even at low concentration was associated with degree of coronary artery calcification among asymptomatic low cardiovascular risk adults, independent of other risk factors. These findings suggest that air pollution is one of the residual risk factors of CAD.
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- 2020
64. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of lower respiratory infections among children younger than 5 years
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Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Félix Carvalho, Luke D. Knibbs, Sonia Lewycka, Sonali Kochhar, Aaron Cohen, Luca Ronfani, Ebrahim M Yimer, Srinivas Murthy, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Josip Car, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Babak Moazen, Mostafa Qorbani, Javad Nazari, Nancy Fullman, Niranjan Kissoon, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Marissa B Reitsma, Benn Sartorius, Ashish Awasthi, Aman Yesuf Endries, Christopher Troeger, Evanson Z. Sambala, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Alessandra C. Goulart, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Ahmad Daryani, Fakher Rahim, Fiseha Wadilo Wada, Yuming Guo, Sonia Saxena, Justin R. Ortiz, Monika Sawhney, Eyal Oren, Alaa Badawi, Tomislav Mestrovic, Sezer Kisa, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Ai Koyanagi, Long Hoang Nguyen, Alireza Rafiei, Aziz Rezapour, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Abdallah M. Samy, Catrin E. Moore, André Karch, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Chi Linh Hoang, Katie R Nielsen, Eleonora Dubljanin, Giuseppe Gorini, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Bach Xuan Tran, Christopher J L Murray, Khanh Bao Tran, Maarten J. Postma, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Bartosz Miazgowski, Hagos Tasew Atalay, Aziz Sheikh, Reginald Quansah, Kirsten E. Wiens, Mika Shigematsu, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Yasir Waheed, Robert Reiner, Smita Pakhale, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub, Fares Alahdab, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Mahesh P A, Ruth W Kimokoti, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Zakir Hussain, Naohiro Yonemoto, Noore Alam, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Lidia Morawska, Adane Teshome Kefale, Ali H. Mokdad, Rachel L Updike, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Veisani, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Jeffrey D. Stanaway, Mina Anjomshoa, Corey B. Bills, Puja C Rao, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Lorenzo Monasta, Zoubida Zaidi, Yousef Khader, Heather J. Zar, Ali Bijani, Tommi Vasankari, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Young-Ho Khang, Afewerki Gebremeskel Tsadik, Joseph Frostad, Ghulam Mustafa, Jalal Arabloo, Rajaa Al-Raddadi, Shanshan Li, David L. Smith, Maria Jesus Rios-Blancas, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Andrew T Olagunju, Suleman Atique, Abdullah T Khoja, Ibrahim A Khalil, William M. Gardner, Zikria Saleem, Addisu Melese, Stephen S Lim, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Erkin M. Mirrakhimov, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Hmwe H Kyu, Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi, Aleksandra Barac, Spencer L. James, Salvatore Rubino, Lalit Dandona, Arya Haj-Mirzaian, Kate Causey, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Simon I. Hay, Ravi Prakash Jha, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Son Hoang Nguyen, Belay Tessema, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Alireza Ahmadi, Theo Vos, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Irfan Ullah, Molly H Biehl, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Tinuke O Olagunju, Florian Fischer, Olatunde Aremu, Brigette F. Blacker, Derrick A Bennett, Vahid Alipour, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Manisha Dubey, Tuomo J. Meretoja, G Anil Kumar, Varshil Mehta, Molly R Nixon, Eduarda Fernandes, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Anselm Okoro, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Shafiu Mohammed, Nuruzzaman Khan, Jost B. Jonas, Samah Awad, Miloje Savic, Soewarta Kosen, Quique Bassat, Amha Admasie, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Chalachew Genet Akal, Milena M Santric Milicevic, Adnan Kisa, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Jonathan F. Mosser, Stephanie R M Zimsen, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Birhanu Geta, Nobuyuki Horita, Gulfaraz Khan, Saeed Amini, Ziad A. Memish, Rakhi Dandona, Alyssa N. Sbarra, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Samer Hamidi, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Helena Manguerra, Shirin Djalalinia, Degu Abate, Rakesh Lodha, Samuel B. Albertson, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Abdullah Al Mamun, Neeraj Bedi, Parvaiz A Koul, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Katie Welgan, Masood Ali Shaikh, Marek Majdan, Mihaela Hostiuc, Mohamed Lemine Cheikh brahim Ahmed, Public Health, GBD Lower Resp Infect, Microbes in Health and Disease (MHD), Real World Studies in PharmacoEpidemiology, -Genetics, -Economics and -Therapy (PEGET), Value, Affordability and Sustainability (VALUE), Collaborators, GBD 2017 Lower Respiratory Infections, Clinicum, Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, Staff Services, University of Helsinki, II kirurgian klinikka, and Department of Oncology
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Male ,Psychological intervention ,Global Health ,Global Burden of Disease ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,Case fatality rate ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Respiratory Tract Infections ,INFLUENZAE TYPE-B ,education.field_of_study ,NUTRITION TRANSITION ,CHALLENGES ,Trastornos respiratorios ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Mortality rate ,Incidence ,Enfermedades en niños ,CHILDHOOD PNEUMONIA ,Children younger than 5 years ,3. Good health ,Infectious Diseases ,Child, Preschool ,Child Mortality ,Female ,TERRITORIES ,CONJUGATE VACCINE ,030231 tropical medicine ,Population ,195 COUNTRIES ,Infections ,Article ,CHINA ,03 medical and health sciences ,Age Distribution ,Nutrition transition ,SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS ,Humans ,Risk factor ,education ,Lower respiratory ,Models, Statistical ,business.industry ,AIR-POLLUTION ,Verbal autopsy ,Enfermedades respiratorias ,Socioeconomic Factors ,3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine ,Human medicine ,business ,Demography - Abstract
Background Despite large reductions in under-5 lower respiratory infection (LRI) mortality in many locations, the pace of progress for LRIs has generally lagged behind that of other childhood infectious diseases. To better inform programmes and policies focused on preventing and treating LRIs, we assessed the contributions and patterns of risk factor attribution, intervention coverage, and sociodemographic development in 195 countries and territories by drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) LRI estimates. Methods We used four strategies to model LRI burden: the mortality due to LRIs was modelled using vital registration data, demographic surveillance data, and verbal autopsy data in a predictive ensemble modelling tool; the incidence of LRIs was modelled using population representative surveys, health-care utilisation data, and scientific literature in a compartmental meta-regression tool; the attribution of risk factors for LRI mortality was modelled in a counterfactual framework; and trends in LRI mortality were analysed applying changes in exposure to risk factors over time. In GBD, infectious disease mortality, including that due to LRI, is among HIV-negative individuals. We categorised locations based on their burden in 1990 to make comparisons in the changing burden between 1990 and 2017 and evaluate the relative percent change in mortality rate, incidence, and risk factor exposure to explain differences in the health loss associated with LRIs among children younger than 5 years. Findings In 2017, LRIs caused 808 920 deaths (95% uncertainty interval 747 286–873 591) in children younger than 5 years. Since 1990, there has been a substantial decrease in the number of deaths (from 2 337 538 to 808 920 deaths; 65·4% decrease, 61·5–68·5) and in mortality rate (from 362·7 deaths [330·1–392·0] per 100 000 children to 118·9 deaths [109·8–128·3] per 100 000 children; 67·2% decrease, 63·5–70·1). LRI incidence declined globally (32·4% decrease, 27·2–37·5). The percent change in under-5 mortality rate and incidence has varied across locations. Among the risk factors assessed in this study, those responsible for the greatest decrease in under-5 LRI mortality between 1990 and 2017 were increased coverage of vaccination against Haemophilus influenza type b (11·4% decrease, 0·0–24·5), increased pneumococcal vaccine coverage (6·3% decrease, 6·1–6·3), and reductions in household air pollution (8·4%, 6·8–9·2). Interpretation Our findings show that there have been substantial but uneven declines in LRI mortality among countries between 1990 and 2017. Although improvements in indicators of sociodemographic development could explain some of these trends, changes in exposure to modifiable risk factors are related to the rates of decline in LRI mortality. No single intervention would universally accelerate reductions in health loss associated with LRIs in all settings, but emphasising the most dominant risk factors, particularly in countries with high case fatality, can contribute to the reduction of preventable deaths. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2020
65. The Indoor Environment and Otitis Media among Australian Children: A National Cross-Sectional Study
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David Veivers, Gail M. Williams, Brett G. Toelle, Adriana M. Cortés de Waterman, Yuming Guo, Lyn Denison, Bo-Yi Yang, Guang-Hui Dong, Bin Jalaludin, Guy B. Marks, and Luke D. Knibbs
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Male ,indoor air pollution ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,glue ear ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Australia ,otitis media ,Environmental Exposure ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,risk factor ,Air Pollution, Indoor ,Humans ,Medicine ,Female ,Cooking ,Child - Abstract
The association between the indoor environment and lifetime prevalence of otitis media (OM) in Australian children was assessed. We analysed data from a cross-sectional study of children, aged 7–11 years, performed in twelve Australian cities during 2007–2008. The main outcome was a parental report of their child’s diagnosis with OM by a doctor. Information on the indoor environment (energy sources used for heating, cooling, and cooking, pets, and second-hand smoke exposure), in the first year of life and at present, was collected from parents by a questionnaire. Multi-level logistic regression models were used to adjust for individual- and area-level confounders. Our analysis comprised 2872 children (51% female, mean age: 10.0 (SD 1.2)). Of those, 1097 (39%) were reported to have OM. Exposure to gas heating in the first year of life was significantly associated with higher odds of OM in adjusted models (OR:1.22; 95% CI: 1.00,1.47), as was current exposure to reverse-cycle air conditioning (OR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.27,1.82). Ownership of a cat or dog at any time was also associated with high odds of OM (OR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.17,1.92). No other significant associations were observed. In this national study of Australian children, indoor environmental exposures associated with the lifetime prevalence of OM were gas heating, reverse-cycle air conditioning and pet ownership. Exposures in both early life and later childhood may both play a role in OM.
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- 2022
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66. Early life environmental factors associated with autism spectrum disorder symptoms in children at age 2 years: A birth cohort study
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Cindy, Pham, Christos, Symeonides, Martin, O'Hely, Peter D, Sly, Luke D, Knibbs, Sarah, Thomson, Peter, Vuillermin, Richard, Saffery, and Anne-Louise, Ponsonby
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Air Pollutants ,Autism Spectrum Disorder ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,Cohort Studies ,Kerosene ,Pregnancy ,Risk Factors ,Child, Preschool ,Developmental and Educational Psychology ,Humans ,Birth Cohort ,Female ,Particulate Matter ,Tobacco Smoke Pollution ,Child - Abstract
Mounting evidence finds that early life environmental factors increased the probability of autism spectrum disorder. We estimated prospective associations between early life environmental factors and autism spectrum disorder symptoms in children at the age of 2 years in a population-derived birth cohort, the Barwon Infant Study. Autism spectrum disorder symptoms at the age of 2 years strongly predicted autism spectrum disorder diagnosis by the age of 4 years (area under curve = 0.93; 95% CI (0.82, 1.00)). After adjusting for child’s sex and age at the time of behavioural assessment, markers of socioeconomic disadvantage, such as lower household income and lone parental status; maternal health factors, including younger maternal age, maternal pre-pregnancy body mass index, higher gestational weight gain and prenatal maternal stress; prenatal alcohol; environmental air pollutant exposures, including particulate matter Lay abstract Mounting evidence indicates the contribution of early life environmental factors in autism spectrum disorder. We aim to report the prospective associations between early life environmental factors and autism spectrum disorder symptoms in children at the age of 2 years in a population-derived birth cohort, the Barwon Infant Study. Autism spectrum disorder symptoms at the age of 2 years strongly predicted autism spectrum disorder diagnosis by the age of 4 years (area under curve = 0.93; 95% CI (0.82, 1.00)). After adjusting for child’s sex and age at the time of behavioural assessment, markers of socioeconomic disadvantage, such as lower household income and lone parental status; maternal health factors, including younger maternal age, maternal pre-pregnancy body mass index, higher gestational weight gain and prenatal maternal stress; maternal lifestyle factors, such as prenatal alcohol and environmental air pollutant exposures, including particulate matter
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- 2022
67. Maternal and Childhood Ambient Air Pollution Exposure and Mental Health Symptoms and Psychomotor Development in Children: An Australian Population-Based Longitudinal Study
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Luke D. Knibbs, Katrina M. Moss, Ian A. Yang, Kate Lycett, Salma Mohamed Ahmed, and Gita D. Mishra
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Longitudinal study ,Sensitive windows ,Nitrogen Dioxide ,Gross motor skill ,Neurodevelopment ,Logistic regression ,Pregnancy ,Traffic-related air pollution ,Air Pollution ,Environmental health ,Humans ,Medicine ,GE1-350 ,Longitudinal Studies ,Prospective Studies ,Child ,Children ,General Environmental Science ,Exposure assessment ,Psychomotor learning ,Air Pollutants ,Road proximity ,business.industry ,Australia ,Environmental Exposure ,Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire ,Odds ratio ,Mental health ,Environmental sciences ,Female ,Particulate Matter ,business - Abstract
Background: Accumulating evidence indicates early life exposure to air pollution, a suspected neurotoxicant, is negatively associated with children’s neurodevelopment. Objectives: To explore the role of multiple exposure periods to ambient particulate matter with diameter
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- 2022
68. Mapping development and health effects of cooking with solid fuels in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000-18: a geospatial modelling study
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Joseph Jon Frostad, QuynhAnh P Nguyen, Mathew M Baumann, Brigette F Blacker, Laurie B Marczak, Aniruddha Deshpande, Kirsten E Wiens, Kate E LeGrand, Kimberly B Johnson, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Amir Abdoli, Hassan Abolhassani, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Michael R M Abrigo, Niveen ME Abu-Rmeileh, Victor Adekanmbi, Anurag Agrawal, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Ziyad Al-Aly, Fahad Mashhour Alanezi, Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde-Rabanal, Vahid Alipour, Khalid A Altirkawi, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Nelson J Alvis-Zakzuk, Adeladza Kofi Amegah, Saeed Amini, Fatemeh Amiri, Dickson A Amugsi, Robert Ancuceanu, Catalina Liliana Andrei, Tudorel Andrei, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Davood Anvari, Jalal Arabloo, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Marcel Ausloos, Getinet Ayano, Yared Asmare Aynalem, Samad Azari, Ashish D Badiye, Atif Amin Baig, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Maciej Banach, Sanjay Basu, Neeraj Bedi, Michelle L Bell, Derrick A Bennett, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Sadia Bibi, Somayeh Bohlouli, Soufiane Boufous, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Dejana Braithwaite, Sharath Burugina Nagaraja, Zahid A Butt, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Josip Car, Rosario Cárdenas, Felix Carvalho, Joao Mauricio Castaldelli-Maia, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Ester Cerin, Soosanna Kumary Chattu, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Pankaj Chaturvedi, Sarika Chaturvedi, Simiao Chen, Dinh-Toi Chu, Sheng-Chia Chung, Saad M A Dahlawi, Giovanni Damiani, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Jai K Das, Aditya Prasad Dash, Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes, Diego De Leo, Jan-Walter De Neve, Getu Debalkie Demissie, Edgar Denova-Gutiérrez, Sagnik Dey, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Meghnath Dhimal, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Daniel Diaz, Isaac Oluwafemi Dipeolu, Fariba Dorostkar, Leila Doshmangir, Andre Rodrigues Duraes, Hisham Atan Edinur, Ferry Efendi, Maha El Tantawi, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Ibtihal Fadhil, Nazir Fattahi, Nelsensius Klau Fauk, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Morenike Oluwatoyin Folayan, Masoud Foroutan, Takeshi Fukumoto, Abhay Motiramji Gaidhane, Mansour Ghafourifard, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Syed Amir Gilani, Tiffany K Gill, Alessandra C Goulart, Bárbara Niegia Garcia Goulart, Ayman Grada, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, Davide Guido, Yuming Guo, Rajat Das Gupta, Rajeev Gupta, Reyna Alma Gutiérrez, Nima Hafezi-Nejad, Randah R Hamadeh, Ahmed I Hasaballah, Soheil Hassanipour, Khezar Hayat, Behzad Heibati, Reza Heidari-Soureshjani, Nathaniel J Henry, Claudiu Herteliu, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mohamed Hsairi, Guoqing Hu, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Irena M Ilic, Milena D Ilic, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Chidozie C D Iwu, Jalil Jaafari, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Tahereh Javaheri, Ravi Prakash Jha, John S Ji, Jost B Jonas, Ali Kabir, Zubair Kabir, Rohollah Kalhor, Naser Kamyari, Tanuj Kanchan, Umesh Kapil, Neeti Kapoor, Gbenga A Kayode, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Yousef Saleh Khader, Nauman Khalid, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Maseer Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Khan, Khaled Khatab, Mona M Khater, Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib, Maryam Khayamzadeh, Jagdish Khubchandani, Gyu Ri Kim, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Adnan Kisa, Sezer Kisa, Luke D Knibbs, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, G Anil Kumar, Manasi Kumar, Dian Kusuma, Carlo La Vecchia, Ben Lacey, Faris Hasan Lami, Qing Lan, Savita Lasrado, Paolo Lauriola, Paul H Lee, Sonia Lewycka, Shanshan Li, Daiane Borges Machado, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Mina Maheri, Azeem Majeed, Afshin Maleki, Reza Malekzadeh, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Borhan Mansouri, Mohammad Ali Mansournia, Natalie Maria Martinez, Santi Martini, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-Melo, Benjamin K Mayala, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Walter Mendoza, Ritesh G Menezes, Endalkachew Worku Mengesha, Tuomo J Meretoja, Tomislav Mestrovic, Irmina Maria Michalek, Erkin M Mirrakhimov, Maryam Mirzaei, Roya Mirzaei, Babak Moazen, Yousef Mohammad, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H Mokdad, Lorenzo Monasta, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Paula Moraga, Lidia Morawska, Abbas Mosapour, Simin Mouodi, Amin Mousavi Khaneghah, Satinath Mukhopadhyay, Sandra B Munro, Christopher J L Murray, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Mohsen Naghavi, Sanjeev Nair, Vinay Nangia, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Javad Nazari, Ionut Negoi, Henok Biresaw Netsere, Josephine W Ngunjiri, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Bogdan Oancea, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In-Hwan Oh, Andrew T Olagunju, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Ahmed Omar Bali, Obinna E Onwujekwe, Nikita Otstavnov, Stanislav S Otstavnov, Mayowa O Owolabi, Mahesh P A, Anamika Pandey, Eun-Cheol Park, Eun-Kee Park, Sangram Kishor Patel, Hai Quang Pham, Thomas Pilgrim, Meghdad Pirsaheb, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Maarten J Postma, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Navid Rabiee, Amir Radfar, Fakher Rahim, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Sowmya J Rao, Davide Rasella, Prateek Rastogi, Goura Kishor Rath, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Lal Rawal, Reza Rawassizadeh, Andre M N Renzaho, Bhageerathy Reshmi, Negar Rezaei, Nima Rezaei, Aziz Rezapour, Jennifer Rickard, Leonardo Roever, Luca Ronfani, Morteza Rostamian, Enrico Rubagotti, Godfrey M Rwegerera, Basema Saddik, Ehsan Sadeghi, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Rajesh Sagar, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Biniyam Sahiledengle, Marwa Rashad Salem, Abdallah M Samy, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy, Brijesh Sathian, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, David C Schwebel, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Saeed Shahabi, Amira A Shaheen, Izza Shahid, Masood Ali Shaikh, Ali S Shalash, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Mohammed Shannawaz, Kiomars Sharafi, Aziz Sheikh, Sara Sheikhbahaei, Ranjitha S Shetty, Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw, Mika Shigematsu, Jae Il Shin, K M Shivakumar, Soraya Siabani, Tariq Jamal Siddiqi, Balbir Bagicha Singh, Jasvinder A Singh, Yitagesu Sintayehu, Muluken Bekele Sorrie, Ireneous N Soyiri, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Leo Stockfelt, Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos, Takahiro Tabuchi, Amir Taherkhani, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Eugenio Traini, Saif Ullah, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Era Upadhyay, Sahel Valadan Tahbaz, Santosh Varughese, Francesco S Violante, Bay Vo, Giang Thu Vu, Yasir Waheed, Yuan-Pang Wang, Catherine A Welgan, Andrea Werdecker, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Sanni Yaya, Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Mekdes Tigistu Yilma, Naohiro Yonemoto, Mustafa Z Younis, Taraneh Yousefinezhadi, Chuanhua Yu, Yong Yu, Sojib Bin Zaman, Yunquan Zhang, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Michael Brauer, Simon I Hay, Robert C Reiner, Frostad, Joseph Jon, Nguyen, Quynh Anh P, Baumann, Mathew M, Blacker, Brigette F, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Reiner, Robert C, Jr, Collaborators, Local Burden of Disease Household Air Pollution, Lacey, BWH, Yaya, S, Frostad J.J., Nguyen Q.P., Baumann M.M., Blacker B.F., Marczak L.B., Deshpande A., Wiens K.E., LeGrand K.E., Johnson K.B., Abbasi-Kangevari M., Abdoli A., Abolhassani H., Abreu L.G., Abrigo M.R.M., Abu-Rmeileh N.M., Adekanmbi V., Agrawal A., Ahmed M.B., Al-Aly Z., Alanezi F.M., Alcalde-Rabanal J.E., Alipour V., Altirkawi K.A., Alvis-Guzman N., Alvis-Zakzuk N.J., Amegah A.K., Amini S., Amiri F., Amugsi D.A., Ancuceanu R., Andrei C.L., Andrei T., Antriyandarti E., Anvari D., Arabloo J., Arab-Zozani M., Athari S.S., Ausloos M., Ayano G., Aynalem Y.A., Azari S., Badiye A.D., Baig A.A., Balakrishnan K., Banach M., Basu S., Bedi N., Bell M.L., Bennett D.A., Bhattacharyya K., Bhutta Z.A., Bibi S., Bohlouli S., Boufous S., Bragazzi N.L., Braithwaite D., Burugina Nagaraja S., Butt Z.A., Caetano dos Santos F.L., Car J., Cardenas R., Carvalho F., Castaldelli-Maia J.M., Castaneda-Orjuela C.A., Cerin E., Chattu S.K., Chattu V.K., Chaturvedi P., Chaturvedi S., Chen S., Chu D.-T., Chung S.-C., Dahlawi S.M.A., Damiani G., Dandona L., Dandona R., Darwesh A.M., Das J.K., Dash A.P., Davila-Cervantes C.A., De Leo D., De Neve J.-W., Demissie G.D., Denova-Gutierrez E., Dey S., Dharmaratne S.D., Dhimal M., Dhungana G.P., Diaz D., Dipeolu I.O., Dorostkar F., Doshmangir L., Duraes A.R., Edinur H.A., Efendi F., El Tantawi M., Eskandarieh S., Fadhil I., Fattahi N., Fauk N.K., Fereshtehnejad S.-M., Folayan M.O., Foroutan M., Fukumoto T., Gaidhane A.M., Ghafourifard M., Ghashghaee A., Gilani S.A., Gill T.K., Goulart A.C., Goulart B.N.G., Grada A., Gubari M.I.M., Guido D., Guo Y., Gupta R.D., Gupta R., Gutierrez R.A., Hafezi-Nejad N., Hamadeh R.R., Hasaballah A.I., Hassanipour S., Hayat K., Heibati B., Heidari-Soureshjani R., Henry N.J., Herteliu C., Hosseinzadeh M., Hsairi M., Hu G., Ibitoye S.E., Ilesanmi O.S., Ilic I.M., Ilic M.D., Irvani S.S.N., Islam S.M.S., Iwu C.C.D., Jaafari J., Jakovljevic M., Javaheri T., Jha R.P., Ji J.S., Jonas J.B., Kabir A., Kabir Z., Kalhor R., Kamyari N., Kanchan T., Kapil U., Kapoor N., Kayode G.A., Keiyoro P.N., Khader Y.S., Khalid N., Khan E.A., Khan M., Khan M.N., Khatab K., Khater M.M., Khatib M.N., Khayamzadeh M., Khubchandani J., Kim G.R., Kim Y.J., Kimokoti R.W., Kisa A., Kisa S., Knibbs L.D., Koul P.A., Koyanagi A., Krishan K., Kumar G.A., Kumar M., Kusuma D., La Vecchia C., Lacey B., Lami F.H., Lan Q., Lasrado S., Lauriola P., Lee P.H., Lewycka S., Li S., Machado D.B., Mahasha P.W., Maheri M., Majeed A., Maleki A., Malekzadeh R., Malta D.C., Mansouri B., Mansournia M.A., Martinez N.M., Martini S., Martins-Melo F.R., Mayala B.K., Mehndiratta M.M., Mendoza W., Menezes R.G., Mengesha E.W., Meretoja T.J., Mestrovic T., Michalek I.M., Mirrakhimov E.M., Mirzaei M., Mirzaei R., Moazen B., Mohammad Y., Mohammadian-Hafshejani A., Mohammed S., Mokdad A.H., Monasta L., Moradi-Lakeh M., Moraga P., Morawska L., Mosapour A., Mouodi S., Mousavi Khaneghah A., Mukhopadhyay S., Munro S.B., Murray C.J.L., Nagarajan A.J., Naghavi M., Nair S., Nangia V., Nascimento B.R., Nazari J., Negoi I., Netsere H.B., Ngunjiri J.W., Nguyen H.L.T., Noubiap J.J., Oancea B., Ogbo F.A., Oh I.-H., Olagunju A.T., Olusanya B.O., Olusanya J.O., Omar Bali A., Onwujekwe O.E., Otstavnov N., Otstavnov S.S., Owolabi M.O., P A M., Pandey A., Park E.-C., Park E.-K., Patel S.K., Pham H.Q., Pilgrim T., Pirsaheb M., Pokhrel K.N., Postma M.J., Quazi Syed Z., Rabiee N., Radfar A., Rahim F., Rahman M.H.U., Rahman M.A., Rahmani A.M., Ranabhat C.L., Rao S.J., Rasella D., Rastogi P., Rath G.K., Rawaf D.L., Rawaf S., Rawal L., Rawassizadeh R., Renzaho A.M.N., Reshmi B., Rezaei N., Rezapour A., Rickard J., Roever L., Ronfani L., Rostamian M., Rubagotti E., Rwegerera G.M., Saddik B., Sadeghi E., Saeedi Moghaddam S., Sagar R., Sahebkar A., Sahiledengle B., Salem M.R., Samy A.M., Santric-Milicevic M.M., Saraswathy S.Y.I., Sathian B., Sathish T., Schwebel D.C., Sepanlou S.G., Shahabi S., Shaheen A.A., Shahid I., Shaikh M.A., Shalash A.S., Shams-Beyranvand M., Shannawaz M., Sharafi K., Sheikh A., Sheikhbahaei S., Shetty R.S., Shiferaw W.S., Shigematsu M., Shin J.I., Shivakumar K.M., Siabani S., Siddiqi T.J., Singh B.B., Singh J.A., Sintayehu Y., Sorrie M.B., Soyiri I.N., Spurlock E.E., Sreeramareddy C.T., Stockfelt L., Sufiyan M.B., Suliankatchi Abdulkader R., Tabares-Seisdedos R., Tabuchi T., Taherkhani A., Temsah M.-H., Thankappan K.R., Tovani-Palone M.R., Traini E., Ullah S., Unnikrishnan B., Upadhyay E., Valadan Tahbaz S., Varughese S., Violante F.S., Vo B., Vu G.T., Waheed Y., Wang Y.-P., Welgan C.A., Werdecker A., Yahyazadeh Jabbari S.H., Yaya S., Yazdi-Feyzabadi V., Yilma M.T., Yonemoto N., Younis M.Z., Yousefinezhadi T., Yu C., Yu Y., Zaman S.B., Zhang Y., Zhang Z.-J., Brauer M., Hay S.I., Reiner R.C., HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Helsinki, and Department of Oncology
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Fuel reliance ,Pollution exposure ,Settore MED/42 - Igiene Generale e Applicata ,air pollution ,global health ,610 Medicine & health ,Burden ,low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) ,Exposure ,Settore MED/01 - Statistica Medica ,RA0421 ,health effects ,mortality 2000-2018 ,Humans ,Cooking ,Patterns ,Child ,Developing Countries ,Poverty ,Respiratory Tract Infections ,Cooking fuels ,Energy ,Solid-fuel use ,Mapping development and health effects of cooking with solid fuels in low-income and middle-income countries ,Household air-pollution ,General Medicine ,3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health ,QR ,Health risks ,Household air pollution ,Impacts ,Air Pollution, Indoor ,Africa ,solid fuels - Abstract
Background:More than 3 billion people do not have access to clean energy and primarily use solid fuels to cook. Use of solid fuels generates household air pollution, which was associated with more than 2 million deaths in 2019. Although local patterns in cooking vary systematically, subnational trends in use of solid fuels have yet to be comprehensively analysed. We estimated the prevalence of solid-fuel use with high spatial resolution to explore subnational inequalities, assess local progress, and assess the effects on health in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) without universal access to clean fuels. Methods:We did a geospatial modelling study to map the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking at a 5 km × 5 km resolution in 98 LMICs based on 2·1 million household observations of the primary cooking fuel used from 663 population-based household surveys over the years 2000 to 2018. We use observed temporal patterns to forecast household air pollution in 2030 and to assess the probability of attaining the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target indicator for clean cooking. We aligned our estimates of household air pollution to geospatial estimates of ambient air pollution to establish the risk transition occurring in LMICs. Finally, we quantified the effect of residual primary solid-fuel use for cooking on child health by doing a counterfactual risk assessment to estimate the proportion of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections in children younger than 5 years that could be associated with household air pollution. Findings:Although primary reliance on solid-fuel use for cooking has declined globally, it remains widespread. 593 million people live in districts where the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking exceeds 95%. 66% of people in LMICs live in districts that are not on track to meet the SDG target for universal access to clean energy by 2030. Household air pollution continues to be a major contributor to particulate exposure in LMICs, and rising ambient air pollution is undermining potential gains from reductions in the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking in many countries. We estimated that, in 2018, 205 000 (95% uncertainty interval 147 000–257 000) children younger than 5 years died from lower respiratory tract infections that could be attributed to household air pollution. Interpretation:Efforts to accelerate the adoption of clean cooking fuels need to be substantially increased and recalibrated to account for subnational inequalities, because there are substantial opportunities to improve air quality and avert child mortality associated with household air pollution.
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69. A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Cognitive Development in Children Aged 3–5 Years Living in 12 Low- and Middle-Income Countries
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Daniel Bogale Odo, Ian A. Yang, Sagnik Dey, Melanie Hammer, Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Guang-Hui Dong, Bo-Yi Yang, Perry Hystad, and Luke D. Knibbs
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- 2022
70. Independent and Combined Effects of Late-Pregnancy Exposure to Air Pollution and Extreme Temperature on Preterm Birth in China: A Nationwide Cohort Study
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Xiang Xiao, Ruixia Liu, Yunjiang Yu, Zheng Zhang, Luke D. Knibbs, Bin Jalaludin, Lidia Morawska, Shyamali Dharmage, Joachim Heinrich, Stefania Papatheodorou, Yuming Guo, Yangyang Xu, Ling Jin, Yi-Ke Yi-Ke, Wentao Yue, Jilong Yao, Yue Zhang, Chengrong Wang, Shen Gao, Enjie Zhang, Shaofei Su, Tong Zhu, Guang-Hui Dong, Meng Gao, and Chenghong Yin
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- 2022
71. Age–sex differences in the global burden of lower respiratory infections and risk factors, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
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Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Avina Vongpradith, Sarah Brooke Sirota, Amanda Novotney, Christopher E Troeger, Matthew C Doxey, Rose G Bender, Jorge R Ledesma, Molly H Biehl, Samuel B Albertson, Joseph Jon Frostad, Katrin Burkart, Fiona B Bennitt, Jeff T Zhao, William M Gardner, Hailey Hagins, Dana Bryazka, Regina-Mae Villanueva Dominguez, Semagn Mekonnen Abate, Michael Abdelmasseh, Amir Abdoli, Gholamreza Abdoli, Aidin Abedi, Vida Abedi, Tadesse M Abegaz, Hassan Abidi, Richard Gyan Aboagye, Hassan Abolhassani, Yonas Derso Abtew, Hiwa Abubaker Ali, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Ahmed Abu-Zaid, Kidist Adamu, Isaac Yeboah Addo, Oyelola A Adegboye, Mohammad Adnan, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani, Muhammad Sohail Afzal, Saira Afzal, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Aqeel Ahmad, Araz Ramazan Ahmad, Sajjad Ahmad, Ali Ahmadi, Sepideh Ahmadi, Haroon Ahmed, Jivan Qasim Ahmed, Tarik Ahmed Rashid, Mostafa Akbarzadeh-Khiavi, Hanadi Al Hamad, Luciana Albano, Mamoon A Aldeyab, Bezatu Mengistie Alemu, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Abdelazeem M Algammal, Fadwa Alhalaiqa Naji Alhalaiqa, Robert Kaba Alhassan, Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali, Liaqat Ali, Musa Mohammed Ali, Syed Shujait Ali, Yousef Alimohamadi, Vahid Alipour, Adel Al-Jumaily, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Sami Almustanyir, Rajaa M Al-Raddadi, Rami H Hani Al-Rifai, Saif Aldeen S AlRyalat, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Nelson J Alvis-Zakzuk, Edward Kwabena Ameyaw, Javad Javad Aminian Dehkordi, John H Amuasi, Dickson A Amugsi, Etsay Woldu Anbesu, Adnan Ansar, Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor, Jalal Arabloo, Demelash Areda, Ayele Mamo Argaw, Zeleke Gebru Argaw, Judie Arulappan, Raphael Taiwo Aruleba, Mulusew A Asemahagn, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Daniel Atlaw, Engi F Attia, Sameh Attia, Avinash Aujayeb, Tewachew Awoke, Tegegn Mulatu Ayana, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Sina Azadnajafabad, Mohammadreza Azangou-Khyavy, Samad Azari, Amirhossein Azari Jafari, Muhammad Badar, Ashish D Badiye, Nayereh Baghcheghi, Sara Bagherieh, Atif Amin Baig, Maciej Banach, Indrajit Banerjee, Mainak Bardhan, Francesco Barone-Adesi, Hiba Jawdat Barqawi, Amadou Barrow, Azadeh Bashiri, Quique Bassat, Abdul-Monim Mohammad Batiha, Abate Bekele Belachew, Melaku Ashagrie Belete, Uzma Iqbal Belgaumi, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Parth Bhatt, Vijayalakshmi S Bhojaraja, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Soumitra S Bhuyan, Ali Bijani, Saeid Bitaraf, Belay Boda Abule Bodicha, Nikolay Ivanovich Briko, Danilo Buonsenso, Muhammad Hammad Butt, Jiao Cai, Paulo Camargos, Luis Alberto Cámera, Promit Ananyo Chakraborty, Muluken Genetu Chanie, Jaykaran Charan, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Patrick R Ching, Sungchul Choi, Yuen Yu Chong, Sonali Gajanan Choudhari, Enayet Karim Chowdhury, Devasahayam J Christopher, Dinh-Toi Chu, Natalie L Cobb, Aaron J Cohen, Natália Cruz-Martins, Omid Dadras, Fentaw Teshome Dagnaw, Xiaochen Dai, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, An Thi Minh Dao, Sisay Abebe Debela, Biniyam Demisse, Fitsum Wolde Demisse, Solomon Demissie, Diriba Dereje, Hardik Dineshbhai Desai, Abebaw Alemayehu Desta, Belay Desye, Sameer Dhingra, Nancy Diao, Daniel Diaz, Lankamo Ena Digesa, Linh Phuong Doan, Milad Dodangeh, Deepa Dongarwar, Fariba Dorostkar, Wendel Mombaque dos Santos, Haneil Larson Dsouza, Eleonora Dubljanin, Oyewole Christopher Durojaiye, Hisham Atan Edinur, Elham Ehsani-Chimeh, Ebrahim Eini, Michael Ekholuenetale, Temitope Cyrus Ekundayo, Eman D El Desouky, Iman El Sayed, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Muhammed Elhadi, Ahmed Mahmoud Rabie Elkhapery, Amir Emami, Luchuo Engelbert Bain, Ryenchindorj Erkhembayar, Farshid Etaee, Mohamad Ezati Asar, Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe, Shahab Falahi, Aida Fallahzadeh, Anwar Faraj, Emerito Jose A Faraon, Ali Fatehizadeh, Pietro Ferrara, Allegra Allegra Ferrari, Getahun Fetensa, Florian Fischer, Joanne Flavel, Masoud Foroutan, Peter Andras Gaal, Abhay Motiramji Gaidhane, Santosh Gaihre, Nasrin Galehdar, Alberto L Garcia-Basteiro, Tushar Garg, Mesfin Damtew Gebrehiwot, Mathewos Alemu Gebremichael, Yibeltal Yismaw Gela, Belete Negese Belete Gemeda, Bradford D Gessner, Melaku Getachew, Asmare Getie, Seyyed-Hadi Ghamari, Mohammad Ghasemi Nour, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Ali Gholamrezanezhad, Abdolmajid Gholizadeh, Rakesh Ghosh, Sherief Ghozy, Pouya Goleij, Mohamad Golitaleb, Giuseppe Gorini, Alessandra C Goulart, Girma Garedew Goyomsa, Habtamu Alganeh Guadie, Zewdie Gudisa, Rashid Abdi Guled, Sapna Gupta, Veer Bala Gupta, Vivek Kumar Gupta, Alemu Guta, Parham Habibzadeh, Arvin Haj-Mirzaian, Rabih Halwani, Samer Hamidi, Md Abdul Hannan, Mehdi Harorani, Ahmed I Hasaballah, Hamidreza Hasani, Abbas M Hassan, Shokoufeh Hassani, Hossein Hassanian-Moghaddam, Hadi Hassankhani, Khezar Hayat, Behzad Heibati, Mohammad Heidari, Demisu Zenbaba Heyi, Kamal Hezam, Ramesh Holla, Sung Hwi Hong, Nobuyuki Horita, Mohammad-Salar Hosseini, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Mowafa Househ, Soodabeh Hoveidamanesh, Junjie Huang, Nawfal R Hussein, Ivo Iavicoli, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Kevin S Ikuta, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Irena M Ilic, Milena D Ilic, Mustapha Immurana, Nahlah Elkudssiah Ismail, Masao Iwagami, Jalil Jaafari, Elham Jamshidi, Sung-In Jang, Amirreza Javadi Mamaghani, Tahereh Javaheri, Fatemeh Javanmardi, Javad Javidnia, Sathish Kumar Jayapal, Umesh Jayarajah, Shubha Jayaram, Alelign Tasew Jema, Wonjeong Jeong, Jost B Jonas, Nitin Joseph, Farahnaz Joukar, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Vaishali K, Zubair Kabir, Salah Eddine Oussama Kacimi, Vidya Kadashetti, Laleh R Kalankesh, Rohollah Kalhor, Ashwin Kamath, Bhushan Dattatray Kamble, Himal Kandel, Tesfaye K Kanko, Ibraheem M Karaye, André Karch, Samad Karkhah, Bekalu Getnet Kassa, Patrick DMC Katoto, Harkiran Kaur, Rimple Jeet Kaur, Leila Keikavoosi-Arani, Mohammad Keykhaei, Yousef Saleh Khader, Himanshu Khajuria, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Gulfaraz Khan, Imteyaz A Khan, Maseer Khan, Md Nuruzzaman Khan, Moien AB Khan, Yusra H Khan, Moawiah Mohammad Khatatbeh, Mina Khosravifar, Jagdish Khubchandani, Min Seo Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Adnan Kisa, Sezer Kisa, Niranjan Kissoon, Luke D Knibbs, Sonali Kochhar, Farzad Kompani, Hamid Reza Koohestani, Vladimir Andreevich Korshunov, Soewarta Kosen, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Om P Kurmi, Ambily Kuttikkattu, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Judit Lám, Iván Landires, Caterina Ledda, Sang-woong Lee, Miriam Levi, Sonia Lewycka, Gang Liu, Wei Liu, Rakesh Lodha, László Lorenzovici, Mojgan Lotfi, Joana A Loureiro, Farzan Madadizadeh, Ata Mahmoodpoor, Razzagh Mahmoudi, Marzieh Mahmoudimanesh, Jamal Majidpoor, Alaa Makki, Elaheh Malakan Rad, Ahmad Azam Malik, Tauqeer Hussain Mallhi, Yosef Manla, Clara N Matei, Alexander G Mathioudakis, Richard James Maude, Entezar Mehrabi Nasab, Addisu Melese, Ziad A Memish, Oliver Mendoza-Cano, Alexios-Fotios A Mentis, Tuomo J Meretoja, Mehari Woldemariam Merid, Tomislav Mestrovic, Ana Carolina Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá, Gelana Fekadu Worku Mijena, Le Huu Nhat Minh, Shabir Ahmad Mir, Reza Mirfakhraie, Seyyedmohammadsadeq Mirmoeeni, Agha Zeeshan Mirza, Moonis Mirza, Mohammad Mirza-Aghazadeh-Attari, Abay Sisay Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen Misganaw, Esmaeil Mohammadi, Mokhtar Mohammadi, Arif Mohammed, Shafiu Mohammed, Syam Mohan, Mohammad Mohseni, Nagabhishek Moka, Ali H Mokdad, Sara Momtazmanesh, Lorenzo Monasta, Md Moniruzzaman, Fateme Montazeri, Catrin E Moore, Abdolvahab Moradi, Lidia Morawska, Jonathan F Mosser, Ebrahim Mostafavi, Majid Motaghinejad, Haleh Mousavi Isfahani, Seyed Ali Mousavi-Aghdas, Sumaira Mubarik, Efrén Murillo-Zamora, Ghulam Mustafa, Sanjeev Nair, Tapas Sadasivan Nair, Houshang Najafi, Atta Abbas Naqvi, Sreenivas Narasimha Swamy, Zuhair S Natto, Biswa Prakash Nayak, Seyed Aria Nejadghaderi, Huy Van Nguyen Nguyen, Robina Khan Niazi, Antonio Tolentino Nogueira de Sá, Hasti Nouraei, Ali Nowroozi, Virginia Nuñez-Samudio, Chimezie Igwegbe Nzoputam, Ogochukwu Janet Nzoputam, Bogdan Oancea, Chimedsuren Ochir, Oluwakemi Ololade Odukoya, Hassan Okati-Aliabad, Akinkunmi Paul Okekunle, Osaretin Christabel Okonji, Andrew T Olagunju, Isaac Iyinoluwa Olufadewa, Ahmed Omar Bali, Emad Omer, Eyal Oren, Erika Ota, Nikita Otstavnov, Abderrahim Oulhaj, Mahesh P A, Jagadish Rao Padubidri, Keyvan Pakshir, Reza Pakzad, Tamás Palicz, Anamika Pandey, Suman Pant, Shahina Pardhan, Eun-Cheol Park, Eun-Kee Park, Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan, Rajan Paudel, Shrikant Pawar, Minjin Peng, Gavin Pereira, Simone Perna, Navaraj Perumalsamy, Ionela-Roxana Petcu, David M Pigott, Zahra Zahid Piracha, Vivek Podder, Roman V Polibin, Maarten J Postma, Hamid Pourasghari, Naeimeh Pourtaheri, Mirza Muhammad Fahd Qadir, Mathieu Raad, Mohammad Rabiee, Navid Rabiee, Saber Raeghi, Alireza Rafiei, Fakher Rahim, Mehran Rahimi, Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar, Azizur Rahman, Md Obaidur Rahman, Mosiur Rahman, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Amir Masoud Rahmani, Vahid Rahmanian, Pradhum Ram, Kiana Ramezanzadeh, Juwel Rana, Priyanga Ranasinghe, Usha Rani, Sowmya J Rao, Sina Rashedi, Mohammad-Mahdi Rashidi, Azad Rasul, Zubair Ahmed Ratan, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Reza Rawassizadeh, Mohammad Sadegh Razeghinia, Elrashdy Moustafa Mohamed Redwan, Marissa B Reitsma, Andre M N Renzaho, Mohsen Rezaeian, Abanoub Riad, Reza Rikhtegar, Jefferson Antonio Buendia Rodriguez, Emma L B Rogowski, Luca Ronfani, Kristina E Rudd, Basema Saddik, Erfan Sadeghi, Umar Saeed, Azam Safary, Sher Zaman Safi, Maryam Sahebazzamani, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Sateesh Sakhamuri, Sana Salehi, Muhammad Salman, Hossein Samadi Kafil, Abdallah M Samy, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Bruno Piassi Sao Jose, Maryam Sarkhosh, Brijesh Sathian, Monika Sawhney, Ganesh Kumar Saya, Abdul-Aziz Seidu, Allen Seylani, Amira A Shaheen, Masood Ali Shaikh, Elaheh Shaker, Hina Shamshad, Mequannent Melaku Sharew, Asaad Sharhani, Azam Sharifi, Purva Sharma, Ali Sheidaei, Suchitra M Shenoy, Jeevan K Shetty, Damtew Solomon Shiferaw, Mika Shigematsu, Jae Il Shin, Hesamaddin Shirzad-Aski, K M Shivakumar, Siddharudha Shivalli, Parnian Shobeiri, Wudneh Simegn, Colin R Simpson, Harpreet Singh, Jasvinder A Singh, Paramdeep Singh, Samarjeet Singh Siwal, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, Mohammad Sadegh Soltani-Zangbar, Suhang Song, Yimeng Song, Prashant Sood, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Paschalis Steiropoulos, Muhammad Suleman, Seyed-Amir Tabatabaeizadeh, Alireza Tahamtan, Majid Taheri, Moslem Taheri Soodejani, Elahe Taki, Iman M Talaat, Mircea Tampa, Sarmila Tandukar, Nathan Y Tat, Vivian Y Tat, Yibekal Manaye Tefera, Gebremaryam Temesgen, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Azene Tesfaye, Degefa Gomora Tesfaye, Belay Tessema, Rekha Thapar, Jansje Henny Vera Ticoalu, Amir Tiyuri, Imad I Tleyjeh, Munkhsaikhan Togtmol, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Derara Girma Tufa, Irfan Ullah, Era Upadhyay, Sahel Valadan Tahbaz, Pascual R Valdez, Rohollah Valizadeh, Constantine Vardavas, Tommi Juhani Vasankari, Bay Vo, Linh Gia Vu, Birhanu Wagaye, Yasir Waheed, Yu Wang, Abdul Waris, T Eoin West, Nuwan Darshana Wickramasinghe, Xiaoyue Xu, Sajad Yaghoubi, Gahin Abdulraheem Tayib Yahya, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Dong Keon Yon, Naohiro Yonemoto, Burhan Abdullah Zaman, Alireza Zandifar, Moein Zangiabadian, Heather J Zar, Iman Zare, Zahra Zareshahrabadi, Armin Zarrintan, Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin, Wu Zeng, Mengxi Zhang, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Chenwen Zhong, Mohammad Zoladl, Alimuddin Zumla, Stephen S Lim, Theo Vos, Mohsen Naghavi, Michael Brauer, Simon I Hay, Christopher J L Murray, Kyu, H. H., Vongpradith, A., Sirota, S. B., Novotney, A., Troeger, C. E., Doxey, M. C., Bender, R. G., Ledesma, J. R., Biehl, M. H., Albertson, S. B., Frostad, J. J., Burkart, K., Bennitt, F. B., Zhao, J. T., Gardner, W. M., Hagins, H., Bryazka, D., Dominguez, R. -M. V., Abate, S. M., Abdelmasseh, M., Abdoli, A., Abdoli, G., Abedi, A., Abedi, V., Abegaz, T. M., Abidi, H., Aboagye, R. G., Abolhassani, H., Abtew, Y. D., Abubaker Ali, H., Abu-Gharbieh, E., Abu-Zaid, A., Adamu, K., Addo, I. Y., Adegboye, O. A., Adnan, M., Adnani, Q. E. S., Afzal, M. S., Afzal, S., Ahinkorah, B. O., Ahmad, A., Ahmad, A. R., Ahmad, S., Ahmadi, A., Ahmadi, S., Ahmed, H., Ahmed, J. Q., Ahmed Rashid, T., Akbarzadeh-Khiavi, M., Al Hamad, H., Albano, L., Aldeyab, M. A., Alemu, B. M., Alene, K. A., Algammal, A. M., Alhalaiqa, F. A. N., Alhassan, R. K., Ali, B. A., Ali, L., Ali, M. M., Ali, S. S., Alimohamadi, Y., Alipour, V., Al-Jumaily, A., Aljunid, S. M., Almustanyir, S., Al-Raddadi, R. M., Al-Rifai, R. H. 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A., Mubarik, S., Murillo-Zamora, E., Mustafa, G., Nair, S., Nair, T. S., Najafi, H., Naqvi, A. A., Narasimha Swamy, S., Natto, Z. S., Nayak, B. P., Nejadghaderi, S. A., Nguyen, H. V. N., Niazi, R. K., Nogueira de Sa, A. T., Nouraei, H., Nowroozi, A., Nunez-Samudio, V., Nzoputam, C. I., Nzoputam, O. J., Oancea, B., Ochir, C., Odukoya, O. O., Okati-Aliabad, H., Okekunle, A. P., Okonji, O. C., Olagunju, A. T., Olufadewa, I. I., Omar Bali, A., Omer, E., Oren, E., Ota, E., Otstavnov, N., Oulhaj, A., P A, M., Padubidri, J. R., Pakshir, K., Pakzad, R., Palicz, T., Pandey, A., Pant, S., Pardhan, S., Park, E. -C., Park, E. -K., Pashazadeh Kan, F., Paudel, R., Pawar, S., Peng, M., Pereira, G., Perna, S., Perumalsamy, N., Petcu, I. -R., Pigott, D. M., Piracha, Z. Z., Podder, V., Polibin, R. V., Postma, M. J., Pourasghari, H., Pourtaheri, N., Qadir, M. M. F., Raad, M., Rabiee, M., Rabiee, N., Raeghi, S., Rafiei, A., Rahim, F., Rahimi, M., Rahimi-Movaghar, V., Rahman, A., Rahman, M. O., Rahman, M., Rahman, M. A., Rahmani, A. M., Rahmanian, V., Ram, P., Ramezanzadeh, K., Rana, J., Ranasinghe, P., Rani, U., Rao, S. J., Rashedi, S., Rashidi, M. -M., Rasul, A., Ratan, Z. A., Rawaf, D. L., Rawaf, S., Rawassizadeh, R., Razeghinia, M. S., Redwan, E. M. M., Reitsma, M. B., Renzaho, A. M. N., Rezaeian, M., Riad, A., Rikhtegar, R., Rodriguez, J. A. B., Rogowski, E. L. B., Ronfani, L., Rudd, K. E., Saddik, B., Sadeghi, E., Saeed, U., Safary, A., Safi, S. Z., Sahebazzamani, M., Sahebkar, A., Sakhamuri, S., Salehi, S., Salman, M., Samadi Kafil, H., Samy, A. M., Santric-Milicevic, M. M., Sao Jose, B. P., Sarkhosh, M., Sathian, B., Sawhney, M., Saya, G. K., Seidu, A. -A., Seylani, A., Shaheen, A. A., Shaikh, M. A., Shaker, E., Shamshad, H., Sharew, M. M., Sharhani, A., Sharifi, A., Sharma, P., Sheidaei, A., Shenoy, S. M., Shetty, J. K., Shiferaw, D. S., Shigematsu, M., Shin, J. I., Shirzad-Aski, H., Shivakumar, K. M., Shivalli, S., Shobeiri, P., Simegn, W., Simpson, C. R., Singh, H., Singh, J. A., Singh, P., Siwal, S. S., Skryabin, V. Y., Skryabina, A. A., Soltani-Zangbar, M. S., Song, S., Song, Y., Sood, P., Sreeramareddy, C. T., Steiropoulos, P., Suleman, M., Tabatabaeizadeh, S. -A., Tahamtan, A., Taheri, M., Taheri Soodejani, M., Taki, E., Talaat, I. M., Tampa, M., Tandukar, S., Tat, N. Y., Tat, V. Y., Tefera, Y. M., Temesgen, G., Temsah, M. -H., Tesfaye, A., Tesfaye, D. G., Tessema, B., Thapar, R., Ticoalu, J. H. V., Tiyuri, A., Tleyjeh, I. I., Togtmol, M., Tovani-Palone, M. R., Tufa, D. G., Ullah, I., Upadhyay, E., Valadan Tahbaz, S., Valdez, P. R., Valizadeh, R., Vardavas, C., Vasankari, T. J., Vo, B., Vu, L. G., Wagaye, B., Waheed, Y., Wang, Y., Waris, A., West, T. E., Wickramasinghe, N. D., Xu, X., Yaghoubi, S., Yahya, G. A. T., Yahyazadeh Jabbari, S. H., Yon, D. K., Yonemoto, N., Zaman, B. A., Zandifar, A., Zangiabadian, M., Zar, H. J., Zare, I., Zareshahrabadi, Z., Zarrintan, A., Zastrozhin, M. S., Zeng, W., Zhang, M., Zhang, Z. -J., Zhong, C., Zoladl, M., Zumla, A., Lim, S. S., Vos, T., Naghavi, M., Brauer, M., Hay, S. I., Murray, C. J. L., University of St Andrews. School of Medicine, University of St Andrews. Population and Behavioural Science Division, Tampere University, Health Sciences, Clinical Medicine, Kyu, H, Vongpradith, A, Sirota, S, Novotney, A, Troeger, C, Doxey, M, Bender, R, Ledesma, J, Biehl, M, Albertson, S, Frostad, J, Burkart, K, Bennitt, F, Zhao, J, Gardner, W, Hagins, H, Bryazka, D, Dominguez, R, Abate, S, Abdelmasseh, M, Abdoli, A, Abdoli, G, Abedi, A, Abedi, V, Abegaz, T, Abidi, H, Aboagye, R, Abolhassani, H, Abtew, Y, Abubaker Ali, H, Abu-Gharbieh, E, Abu-Zaid, A, Adamu, K, Addo, I, Adegboye, O, Adnan, M, Adnani, Q, Afzal, M, Afzal, S, Ahinkorah, B, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, S, Ahmadi, A, Ahmadi, S, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, J, Ahmed Rashid, T, Akbarzadeh-Khiavi, M, Al Hamad, H, Albano, L, Aldeyab, M, Alemu, B, Alene, K, Algammal, A, Alhalaiqa, F, Alhassan, R, Ali, B, Ali, L, Ali, M, Ali, S, Alimohamadi, Y, Alipour, V, Al-Jumaily, A, Aljunid, S, Almustanyir, S, Al-Raddadi, R, Al-Rifai, R, Alryalat, S, Alvis-Guzman, N, Alvis-Zakzuk, N, Ameyaw, E, Aminian Dehkordi, J, Amuasi, J, Amugsi, D, Anbesu, E, Ansar, A, Anyasodor, A, Arabloo, J, Areda, D, Argaw, A, Argaw, Z, Arulappan, J, Aruleba, R, Asemahagn, M, Athari, S, Atlaw, D, Attia, E, Attia, S, Aujayeb, A, Awoke, T, Ayana, T, Ayanore, M, Azadnajafabad, S, Azangou-Khyavy, M, Azari, S, Azari Jafari, A, Badar, M, Badiye, A, Baghcheghi, N, Bagherieh, S, Baig, A, Banach, M, Banerjee, I, Bardhan, M, Barone-Adesi, F, Barqawi, H, Barrow, A, Bashiri, A, Bassat, Q, Batiha, A, Belachew, A, Belete, M, Belgaumi, U, Bhagavathula, A, Bhardwaj, N, Bhardwaj, P, Bhatt, P, Bhojaraja, V, Bhutta, Z, Bhuyan, S, Bijani, A, Bitaraf, S, Bodicha, B, Briko, N, Buonsenso, D, Butt, M, Cai, J, Camargos, P, Camera, L, Chakraborty, P, Chanie, M, Charan, J, Chattu, V, Ching, P, Choi, S, Chong, Y, Choudhari, S, Chowdhury, E, Christopher, D, Chu, D, Cobb, N, Cohen, A, Cruz-Martins, N, Dadras, O, Dagnaw, F, Dai, X, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Dao, A, Debela, S, Demisse, B, Demisse, F, Demissie, S, Dereje, D, Desai, H, Desta, A, Desye, B, Dhingra, S, Diao, N, Diaz, D, Digesa, L, Doan, L, Dodangeh, M, Dongarwar, D, Dorostkar, F, dos Santos, W, Dsouza, H, Dubljanin, E, Durojaiye, O, Edinur, H, Ehsani-Chimeh, E, Eini, E, Ekholuenetale, M, Ekundayo, T, El Desouky, E, El Sayed, I, El Sayed Zaki, M, Elhadi, M, Elkhapery, A, Emami, A, Engelbert Bain, L, Erkhembayar, R, Etaee, F, Ezati Asar, M, Fagbamigbe, A, Falahi, S, Fallahzadeh, A, Faraj, A, Faraon, E, Fatehizadeh, A, Ferrara, P, Ferrari, A, Fetensa, G, Fischer, F, Flavel, J, Foroutan, M, Gaal, P, Gaidhane, A, Gaihre, S, Galehdar, N, Garcia-Basteiro, A, Garg, T, Gebrehiwot, M, Gebremichael, M, Gela, Y, Gemeda, B, Gessner, B, Getachew, M, Getie, A, Ghamari, S, Ghasemi Nour, M, Ghashghaee, A, Gholamrezanezhad, A, Gholizadeh, A, Ghosh, R, Ghozy, S, Goleij, P, Golitaleb, M, Gorini, G, Goulart, A, Goyomsa, G, Guadie, H, Gudisa, Z, Guled, R, Gupta, S, Gupta, V, Guta, A, Habibzadeh, P, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Halwani, R, Hamidi, S, Hannan, M, Harorani, M, Hasaballah, A, Hasani, H, Hassan, A, Hassani, S, Hassanian-Moghaddam, H, Hassankhani, H, Hayat, K, Heibati, B, Heidari, M, Heyi, D, Hezam, K, Holla, R, Hong, S, Horita, N, Hosseini, M, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, M, Househ, M, Hoveidamanesh, S, Huang, J, Hussein, N, Iavicoli, I, Ibitoye, S, Ikuta, K, Ilesanmi, O, Ilic, I, Ilic, M, Immurana, M, Ismail, N, Iwagami, M, Jaafari, J, Jamshidi, E, Jang, S, Javadi Mamaghani, A, Javaheri, T, Javanmardi, F, Javidnia, J, Jayapal, S, Jayarajah, U, Jayaram, S, Jema, A, Jeong, W, Jonas, J, Joseph, N, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, J, K, V, Kabir, Z, Kacimi, S, Kadashetti, V, Kalankesh, L, Kalhor, R, Kamath, A, Kamble, B, Kandel, H, Kanko, T, Karaye, I, Karch, A, Karkhah, S, Kassa, B, Katoto, P, Kaur, H, Kaur, R, Keikavoosi-Arani, L, Keykhaei, M, Khader, Y, Khajuria, H, Khan, E, Khan, G, Khan, I, Khan, M, Khan, Y, Khatatbeh, M, Khosravifar, M, Khubchandani, J, Kim, M, Kimokoti, R, Kisa, A, Kisa, S, Kissoon, N, Knibbs, L, Kochhar, S, Kompani, F, Koohestani, H, Korshunov, V, Kosen, S, Koul, P, Koyanagi, A, Krishan, K, Kuate Defo, B, Kumar, G, Kurmi, O, Kuttikkattu, A, Lal, D, Lam, J, Landires, I, Ledda, C, Lee, S, Levi, M, Lewycka, S, Liu, G, Liu, W, Lodha, R, Lorenzovici, L, Lotfi, M, Loureiro, J, Madadizadeh, F, Mahmoodpoor, A, Mahmoudi, R, Mahmoudimanesh, M, Majidpoor, J, Makki, A, Malakan Rad, E, Malik, A, Mallhi, T, Manla, Y, Matei, C, Mathioudakis, A, Maude, R, Mehrabi Nasab, E, Melese, A, Memish, Z, Mendoza-Cano, O, Mentis, A, Meretoja, T, Merid, M, Mestrovic, T, Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sa, A, Mijena, G, Minh, L, Mir, S, Mirfakhraie, R, Mirmoeeni, S, Mirza, A, Mirza, M, Mirza-Aghazadeh-Attari, M, Misganaw, A, Mohammadi, E, Mohammadi, M, Mohammed, A, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mohseni, M, Moka, N, Mokdad, A, Momtazmanesh, S, Monasta, L, Moniruzzaman, M, Montazeri, F, Moore, C, Moradi, A, Morawska, L, Mosser, J, Mostafavi, E, Motaghinejad, M, Mousavi Isfahani, H, Mousavi-Aghdas, S, Mubarik, S, Murillo-Zamora, E, Mustafa, G, Nair, S, Nair, T, Najafi, H, Naqvi, A, Narasimha Swamy, S, Natto, Z, Nayak, B, Nejadghaderi, S, Nguyen, H, Niazi, R, Nogueira de Sa, A, Nouraei, H, Nowroozi, A, Nunez-Samudio, V, Nzoputam, C, Nzoputam, O, Oancea, B, Ochir, C, Odukoya, O, Okati-Aliabad, H, Okekunle, A, Okonji, O, Olagunju, A, Olufadewa, I, Omar Bali, A, Omer, E, Oren, E, Ota, E, Otstavnov, N, Oulhaj, A, P A, M, Padubidri, J, Pakshir, K, Pakzad, R, Palicz, T, Pandey, A, Pant, S, Pardhan, S, Park, E, Pashazadeh Kan, F, Paudel, R, Pawar, S, Peng, M, Pereira, G, Perna, S, Perumalsamy, N, Petcu, I, Pigott, D, Piracha, Z, Podder, V, Polibin, R, Postma, M, Pourasghari, H, Pourtaheri, N, Qadir, M, Raad, M, Rabiee, M, Rabiee, N, Raeghi, S, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahimi, M, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, A, Rahman, M, Rahmani, A, Rahmanian, V, Ram, P, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, J, Ranasinghe, P, Rani, U, Rao, S, Rashedi, S, Rashidi, M, Rasul, A, Ratan, Z, Rawaf, D, Rawaf, S, Rawassizadeh, R, Razeghinia, M, Redwan, E, Reitsma, M, Renzaho, A, Rezaeian, M, Riad, A, Rikhtegar, R, Rodriguez, J, Rogowski, E, Ronfani, L, Rudd, K, Saddik, B, Sadeghi, E, Saeed, U, Safary, A, Safi, S, Sahebazzamani, M, Sahebkar, A, Sakhamuri, S, Salehi, S, Salman, M, Samadi Kafil, H, Samy, A, Santric-Milicevic, M, Sao Jose, B, Sarkhosh, M, Sathian, B, Sawhney, M, Saya, G, Seidu, A, Seylani, A, Shaheen, A, Shaikh, M, Shaker, E, Shamshad, H, Sharew, M, Sharhani, A, Sharifi, A, Sharma, P, Sheidaei, A, Shenoy, S, Shetty, J, Shiferaw, D, Shigematsu, M, Shin, J, Shirzad-Aski, H, Shivakumar, K, Shivalli, S, Shobeiri, P, Simegn, W, Simpson, C, Singh, H, Singh, J, Singh, P, Siwal, S, Skryabin, V, Skryabina, A, Soltani-Zangbar, M, Song, S, Song, Y, Sood, P, Sreeramareddy, C, Steiropoulos, P, Suleman, M, Tabatabaeizadeh, S, Tahamtan, A, Taheri, M, Taheri Soodejani, M, Taki, E, Talaat, I, Tampa, M, Tandukar, S, Tat, N, Tat, V, Tefera, Y, Temesgen, G, Temsah, M, Tesfaye, A, Tesfaye, D, Tessema, B, Thapar, R, Ticoalu, J, Tiyuri, A, Tleyjeh, I, Togtmol, M, Tovani-Palone, M, Tufa, D, Ullah, I, Upadhyay, E, Valadan Tahbaz, S, Valdez, P, Valizadeh, R, Vardavas, C, Vasankari, T, Vo, B, Vu, L, Wagaye, B, Waheed, Y, Wang, Y, Waris, A, West, T, Wickramasinghe, N, Xu, X, Yaghoubi, S, Yahya, G, Yahyazadeh Jabbari, S, Yon, D, Yonemoto, N, Zaman, B, Zandifar, A, Zangiabadian, M, Zar, H, Zare, I, Zareshahrabadi, Z, Zarrintan, A, Zastrozhin, M, Zeng, W, Zhang, M, Zhang, Z, Zhong, C, Zoladl, M, Zumla, A, Lim, S, Vos, T, Naghavi, M, Brauer, M, Hay, S, Murray, C, HUS Comprehensive Cancer Center, and Department of Oncology
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Adult ,Male ,Global Health ,Time ,Global Burden of Disease ,SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being ,Risk Factors ,RA0421 ,RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine ,Humans ,Ambient air-quality ,Child ,Respiratory Tract Infections ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,MCC ,Sex Characteristics ,Malnutrition ,Pyridinolcarbamate ,Bayes Theorem ,3rd-DAS ,3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health ,Infectious Diseases ,3121 General medicine, internal medicine and other clinical medicine ,Child, Preschool ,Female ,Particulate Matter ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Covid-19 ,LRI - Abstract
Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Background: The global burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and corresponding risk factors in children older than 5 years and adults has not been studied as comprehensively as it has been in children younger than 5 years. We assessed the burden and trends of LRIs and risk factors across all age groups by sex, for 204 countries and territories. Methods: In this analysis of data for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we used clinician-diagnosed pneumonia or bronchiolitis as our case definition for LRIs. We included International Classification of Diseases 9th edition codes 079.6, 466–469, 470.0, 480–482.8, 483.0–483.9, 484.1–484.2, 484.6–484.7, and 487–489 and International Classification of Diseases 10th edition codes A48.1, A70, B97.4–B97.6, J09–J15.8, J16–J16.9, J20–J21.9, J91.0, P23.0–P23.4, and U04–U04.9. We used the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling strategy to analyse 23 109 site-years of vital registration data, 825 site-years of sample vital registration data, 1766 site-years of verbal autopsy data, and 681 site-years of mortality surveillance data. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, to analyse age–sex-specific incidence and prevalence data identified via systematic reviews of the literature, population-based survey data, and claims and inpatient data. Additionally, we estimated age–sex-specific LRI mortality that is attributable to the independent effects of 14 risk factors. Findings: Globally, in 2019, we estimated that there were 257 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 240–275) LRI incident episodes in males and 232 million (217–248) in females. In the same year, LRIs accounted for 1·30 million (95% UI 1·18–1·42) male deaths and 1·20 million (1·07–1·33) female deaths. Age-standardised incidence and mortality rates were 1·17 times (95% UI 1·16–1·18) and 1·31 times (95% UI 1·23–1·41) greater in males than in females in 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, LRI incidence and mortality rates declined at different rates across age groups and an increase in LRI episodes and deaths was estimated among all adult age groups, with males aged 70 years and older having the highest increase in LRI episodes (126·0% [95% UI 121·4–131·1]) and deaths (100·0% [83·4–115·9]). During the same period, LRI episodes and deaths in children younger than 15 years were estimated to have decreased, and the greatest decline was observed for LRI deaths in males younger than 5 years (–70·7% [–77·2 to –61·8]). The leading risk factors for LRI mortality varied across age groups and sex. More than half of global LRI deaths in children younger than 5 years were attributable to child wasting (population attributable fraction [PAF] 53·0% [95% UI 37·7–61·8] in males and 56·4% [40·7–65·1] in females), and more than a quarter of LRI deaths among those aged 5–14 years were attributable to household air pollution (PAF 26·0% [95% UI 16·6–35·5] for males and PAF 25·8% [16·3–35·4] for females). PAFs of male LRI deaths attributed to smoking were 20·4% (95% UI 15·4–25·2) in those aged 15–49 years, 30·5% (24·1–36·9) in those aged 50–69 years, and 21·9% (16·8–27·3) in those aged 70 years and older. PAFs of female LRI deaths attributed to household air pollution were 21·1% (95% UI 14·5–27·9) in those aged 15–49 years and 18·2% (12·5–24·5) in those aged 50–69 years. For females aged 70 years and older, the leading risk factor, ambient particulate matter, was responsible for 11·7% (95% UI 8·2–15·8) of LRI deaths. Interpretation: The patterns and progress in reducing the burden of LRIs and key risk factors for mortality varied across age groups and sexes. The progress seen in children younger than 5 years was clearly a result of targeted interventions, such as vaccination and reduction of exposure to risk factors. Similar interventions for other age groups could contribute to the achievement of multiple Sustainable Development Goals targets, including promoting wellbeing at all ages and reducing health inequalities. Interventions, including addressing risk factors such as child wasting, smoking, ambient particulate matter pollution, and household air pollution, would prevent deaths and reduce health disparities. Publisher PDF
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- 2022
72. A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Ambient Fine Particulate Matter (Pm2.5) Exposure and Haemoglobin Levels in Children Aged Under 5 Years Living in 36 Countries
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Daniel B. Odo, Ian A. Yang, Sagnik Dey, Melanie S. Hammer, Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Guang-Hui Dong, Bo-Yi Yang, Perry Hystad, and Luke D. Knibbs
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History ,Polymers and Plastics ,Business and International Management ,Biochemistry ,Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering ,General Environmental Science - Published
- 2022
73. Greenness Modifies the Risk Association between Ambient Air Pollution and Cognitive Function in Australian Adolescents, But Not in Mid-Life Adults
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Yichao Wang, Mallery Crowe, Luke D. Knibbs, Matthew Fuller-Tyszkiewicz, Lærke Mygind, Jessica A. Kerr, Melissa Wake, Craig Olsson, Peter G. Enticott, Rachel L. Peters, Galina Daraganova, Suzanne Mavoa, and Kate Lycett
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- 2022
74. Effects of long-term ambient air pollution exposure on township-level pulmonary tuberculosis notification rates during 2005–2017 in Ningxia, China
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Igor Popovic, Ricardo J. Soares Magalhães, Yurong Yang, Shukun Yang, Boyi Yang, Guanghui Dong, Xiaolin Wei, Greg J. Fox, Melanie S. Hammer, Randall V. Martin, Aaron van Donkelaar, Erjia Ge, Guy B. Marks, and Luke D. Knibbs
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Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,General Medicine ,Toxicology ,Pollution - Abstract
Studies examining long-term effects of ambient air pollution exposure, measured as annual averages, on pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) incidence are scarce, particularly in endemic, rural settings. We performed a small-area study in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region (NHAR), a high TB-burden area in rural China, using township-level (n = 358 non-overlapping townships) annual TB notification data (2005-2017). We aimed to determine if annual average concentrations of ambient air pollution (particulate matter2·5 μm [PM
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- 2023
75. Health consequences of exposure to e-waste: an updated systematic review
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Sarker M Parvez, Farjana Jahan, Marie-Noel Brune, Julia F Gorman, Musarrat J Rahman, David Carpenter, Zahir Islam, Mahbubur Rahman, Nirupam Aich, Luke D Knibbs, and Peter D Sly
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Adult ,Male ,Health (social science) ,Health Policy ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Infant, Newborn ,Medicine (miscellaneous) ,Environmental Exposure ,Review ,Electronic Waste ,Environmental sciences ,Pregnancy ,Metals, Heavy ,Humans ,Female ,Recycling ,GE1-350 ,Child - Abstract
Summary: Electronic waste (e-waste) contains numerous chemicals harmful to human and ecological health. To update a 2013 review assessing adverse human health consequences of exposure to e-waste, we systematically reviewed studies reporting effects on humans related to e-waste exposure. We searched EMBASE, PsycNET, Web of Science, CINAHL, and PubMed for articles published between Dec 18, 2012, and Jan 28, 2020, restricting our search to publications in English. Of the 5645 records identified, we included 70 studies that met the preset criteria. People living in e-waste exposed regions had significantly elevated levels of heavy metals and persistent organic pollutants. Children and pregnant women were especially susceptible during the critical periods of exposure that detrimentally affect diverse biological systems and organs. Elevated toxic chemicals negatively impact on neonatal growth indices and hormone level alterations in e-waste exposed populations. We recorded possible connections between chronic exposure to e-waste and DNA lesions, telomere attrition, inhibited vaccine responsiveness, elevated oxidative stress, and altered immune function. The existence of various toxic chemicals in e-waste recycling areas impose plausible adverse health outcomes. Novel cost-effective methods for safe recycling operations need to be employed in e-waste sites to ensure the health and safety of vulnerable populations.
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- 2021
76. The impact of built and social environmental characteristics on incidence and estimated risk of dementia
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Nasser Bagheri, Suzanne Mavoa, Hossein Tabatabaei‐Jafari, Luke D Knibbs, Neil T Coffee, Luis Salvador‐Carulla, and Kaarin J Anstey
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Psychiatry and Mental health ,Cellular and Molecular Neuroscience ,Developmental Neuroscience ,Epidemiology ,Health Policy ,Neurology (clinical) ,Geriatrics and Gerontology - Published
- 2021
77. Population Attributable Fraction of Gas Stoves and Childhood Asthma in the United States
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Talor Gruenwald, Brady A. Seals, Luke D. Knibbs, and H. Dean Hosgood
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gas ,stove ,current ,use ,asthma ,burden ,cooking ,respiratory ,children ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health - Abstract
Indoor gas stove use for cooking is associated with an increased risk of current asthma among children and is prevalent in 35% of households in the United States (US). The population-level implications of gas cooking are largely unrecognized. We quantified the population attributable fraction (PAF) for gas stove use and current childhood asthma in the US. Effect sizes previously reported by meta-analyses for current asthma (Odds Ratio = 1.34, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 1.12–1.57) were utilized in the PAF estimations. The proportion of children (
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- 2022
78. Association between residential greenspace and health-related quality of life in children aged 0–12 years
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Salma M. Ahmed, Gita D. Mishra, Katrina M. Moss, Tafzila A. Mouly, Ian A. Yang, and Luke D. Knibbs
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Mental Health ,Pregnancy ,Child, Preschool ,Australia ,Quality of Life ,Humans ,Female ,Longitudinal Studies ,Prospective Studies ,Child ,Biochemistry ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
Greenspaces generate several perceived health benefits, including an overall improvement in the quality of life. However, little is known about the effects of greenspaces through pregnancy and early childhood in promoting health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among children.Participants were from the Mothers and their Children's Health Study (MatCH), a 2016/17 sub-study of a national prospective study since 1996 known as the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health (ALSWH). Mothers (n=3,048) self-reported on their three youngest children aged under 13 years (n=5,799, mean=7.0 years, s.d=3.2 years) using the Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory (PedsQL) to measure their HRQoL. Since 1996, annual exposure to green and non-green vegetation was measured using two remote sensing indicators: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and fractional cover of non-photosynthetic vegetation (fNPV), respectively, for 100 m and 500 m buffer zone around maternal residential address. Multiple exposure windows were calculated including during pregnancy, the first year of life and child's lifetime exposure. Generalised estimating equations (GEE) models, adjusting for potential confounders, were used for analyses.A 1 standard deviation increase in NDVI greenness within 500 m buffer around the home at early life and during childhood was positively associated with higher HRQoL in the total scores and psychological health summary scores in the crude model only. No association was found between fNPV (non-green vegetation) at 100 m and 500 m circular buffers and children's HRQoL. The overall findings from our models remained consistent based on a series of sensitivity analyses, including the impact of maternal residential mobility status and geocoding method on the effect estimates.Our study revealed that surrounding residential greenspace was not associated with children's HRQoL. Further longitudinal studies are required to better understand the influence of greenspace at different periods of exposure on the health and wellbeing of children.
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- 2022
79. Protein levels, air pollution and vitamin D deficiency: links with allergy
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E. Haydn Walters, Jennifer L. Perret, Iain Feather, David Nichols, Luke D. Knibbs, Richard Wilson, Michael J. Abramson, Yong Song, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Gayan Bowatte, Graeme R. Zosky, and Dinh S Bui
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Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,Allergy ,business.industry ,COMPLEMENT REGULATORS ,medicine.disease ,vitamin D deficiency ,Research Letters ,Complement inhibitor ,Immunology ,Vitamin D and neurology ,Medicine ,business - Abstract
The prevalence of allergic diseases has been increasing for several decades. This has been partly attributed to changing environmental factors such as exposure to traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) and nutrient deficiencies, including vitamin D. Furthermore, population-based studies have suggested that air pollution may contribute to vitamin D deficiency [1], while vitamin D levels may modify pollution-driven asthma symptoms in paediatric obesity [2]. Vitamin D supplementation has also been shown to reduce the effects of pollution on asthma and other chronic respiratory diseases [3]. To date, few mechanistic studies have aimed to identify the pathways that may explain these interactions., This study provides novel insights into mechanisms of traffic-related air pollution-induced allergy by down-regulation via complement regulators (CFI, PROS1 and PLG) and its interaction with vitamin D deficiency via the complement inhibitor PLG https://bit.ly/3x0jYOw
- Published
- 2021
80. Prenatal exposure to mixtures of persistent environmental chemicals and fetal growth outcomes in Western Australia
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Anna C. Callan, Luke D. Knibbs, Nina Lazarevic, Peter D. Sly, A.L. Hinwood, Adrian G. Barnett, Jane Heyworth, and Ania Stasinska
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Physiology ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Fetal Development ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Pregnancy ,Fetal growth ,Medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prenatal exposure ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,business.industry ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Australia ,Infant, Newborn ,Bayes Theorem ,Environmental Exposure ,Western Australia ,Maternal Exposure ,Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental Pollutants ,Female ,business - Abstract
Environmental chemicals have been implicated in the etiology of impaired fetal growth. However, few studies have assessed the effects of chemical mixtures or considered the possibility of non-monotonic exposure-response relationships for chemicals that act through the endocrine system.We assessed exposure to polybrominated diphenyl ethers, organochlorine pesticides, metals, and perfluorinated alkyl substances in blood and urine samples collected approximately two weeks prior to delivery in 166 non-smoking pregnant women, and subsequent birth weight, length, and head circumference of neonates who were part of the Australian Maternal Exposures to Toxic Substances (AMETS) study. We used Bayesian structured additive regression models with spike-slab priors to estimate mixture effects, identify important exposures, and model non-linearity in exposure-response relationships.Mixtures of polybrominated diphenyl ethers, organochlorine pesticides, metals, and perfluorinated alkyl substances were not associated with fetal growth outcomes. Estimated change in fetal growth outcomes for an increase in exposure from the 25th to 75th percentile suggested no meaningful associations; the strongest evidence was for a small inverse association between birth weight and cesium exposure measured in whole blood (-124 g, 90% credible interval: -240 to -3 g). We identified several chemicals that may be associated with fetal growth non-linearly; however, 90% credible intervals contained small values consistent with no meaningful association.Using a Bayesian penalized regression method, we assessed the shapes of exposure-response relationships, controlled for confounding by co-exposure, and estimated the single and combined effects of a large mixture of correlated environmental chemicals on fetal growth. Our findings, based on a small sample of mother-neonate pairs, suggest that mixtures of persistent chemicals are not associated with birth weight, length, and head circumference. The potential for non-monotonic relationships between environmental chemicals and fetal growth outcomes warrants further study.
- Published
- 2021
81. LSC - 2021 - Ambient PM2.5 Exposure and Respiratory Disease Hospitalization in Kandy, Sri Lanka
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Mahesh Senarathne, Sajith Priyankara, Duminda Yasaratne, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Gayan Bowatte, Rohan Weerasooriya, Luke D. Knibbs, Sachith Abeysundara, Lidia Morawska, Rohan Jayaratne, and Dushantha Madegedara
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,business.industry ,Respiratory disease ,Emergency medicine ,medicine ,Sri lanka ,medicine.disease ,business - Published
- 2021
82. Ambient PM2.5 and PM10 Exposure and Respiratory Disease Hospitalization in Kandy, Sri Lanka
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Gayan Bowatte, Luke D. Knibbs, Sachith Abeysundara, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Mahesh Senarathna, Sajith Priyankara, Duminda Yasaratne, Rohan Weerasooriya, Rohan Jayaratne, and Lidia Morawska
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Male ,China ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Air pollution ,generalized additive model ,medicine.disease_cause ,Article ,respiratory disease hospitalization ,Environmental health ,Air Pollution ,medicine ,ambient particulate matter ,COPD ,Humans ,Respiratory system ,Asthma ,Aged ,Sri Lanka ,Air Pollutants ,Lung ,Respiratory disease ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Environmental exposure ,Environmental Exposure ,asthma ,medicine.disease ,Hospitalization ,Pneumonia ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Medicine ,Particulate Matter - Abstract
Evidence of associations between exposure to ambient air pollution and health outcomes are sparse in the South Asian region due to limited air pollution exposure and quality health data. This study investigated the potential impacts of ambient particulate matter (PM) on respiratory disease hospitalization in Kandy, Sri Lanka for the year 2019. The Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was applied to estimate the short-term effect of ambient PM on respiratory disease hospitalization. As the second analysis, respiratory disease hospitalizations during two distinct air pollution periods were analyzed. Each 10 μg/m3 increase in same-day exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with an increased risk of respiratory disease hospitalization by 1.95% (0.25, 3.67) and 1.63% (0.16, 3.12), respectively. The effect of PM2.5 or PM10 on asthma hospitalizations were 4.67% (1.23, 8.23) and 4.04% (1.06, 7.11), respectively (p <, 0.05). The 65+ years age group had a higher risk associated with PM2.5 and PM10 exposure and hospital admissions for all respiratory diseases on the same day (2.74% and 2.28%, respectively). Compared to the lower ambient air pollution period, higher increased hospital admissions were observed among those aged above 65 years, males, and COPD and pneumonia hospital admissions during the high ambient air pollution period. Active efforts are crucial to improve ambient air quality in this region to reduce the health effects.
- Published
- 2021
83. 66Adverse birth outcomes associated with ambient air pollution at levels below air quality guidelines
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Fay H. Johnston, Jane B. Ford, Luke D. Knibbs, Karen Wills, Shannon M. Melody, and Alison Venn
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Pregnancy ,Epidemiology ,Birth weight ,Air pollution ,General Medicine ,Particulates ,medicine.disease ,medicine.disease_cause ,Gestational diabetes ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,chemistry ,Premature birth ,Environmental health ,medicine ,Environmental science ,Nitrogen dioxide ,Air quality index - Abstract
Background Gaps exist concerning the relationship between maternal exposure to air pollution and birth outcomes, including the importance of low-level exposure. We aimed to explore the association between maternal exposure to ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and selected birth outcomes in Victoria, Australia. Methods We included all births occurring in Victoria, Australia from 1st March 2012 to 31st December 2015 using routinely collected government data. Outcomes included birthweight, small for gestational age (SGA), term low birth weight (tLBW), large for gestational age, and spontaneous preterm birth. Annual ambient NO2 and PM2.5 was assigned to maternal residence at birth. Maternal, meteorological and temporal variables were included in final log-binomial models. Results There were 285,594 births. Average annual ambient NO2 exposure was 6.0 parts per billion (ppb, IQR 3.9 ppb) and PM2.5 was 6.9 µg/m3 (IQR 1.3). IQR increases in ambient NO2 and PM2.5 were associated with fetal growth restriction, including decrements in birth weight, increased risk of SGA and tLBW. Women with gestational diabetes and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy had greater decrements in birth weight associated with exposure. Conclusions Maternal exposure to low-level ambient air pollution at levels below national and international air quality guidelines was associated with fetal growth restriction. Key messages Exposure to low-level ambient air pollution was associated with fetal growth restriction and women with obstetric complications were more susceptible. These findings may inform iterative revisions of air quality guidelines.
- Published
- 2021
84. Potential occupational exposure of parents to endocrine disrupting chemicals, adverse birth outcomes, and the modification effects of multi-vitamins supplement and infant sex
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Huanhuan Zhang, Yanqiu Li, Xiaoxin Zhang, Weiyi Chen, Qianhong Liang, Changchang Li, Luke D. Knibbs, Cunrui Huang, and Qiong Wang
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Male ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,General Medicine ,Vitamins ,Endocrine Disruptors ,Pollution ,Maternal Exposure ,Occupational Exposure ,Humans ,Premature Birth ,Female ,Prospective Studies - Abstract
Maternal occupational exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) may have adverse effect on birth outcomes. However, little is known about paternal EDCs exposure and the combined effect of parental exposure on birth outcomes.To assess the effects of both maternal and paternal occupational EDCs exposure on adverse birth outcomes, and further explore if multi-vitamins supplement and infant sex modify the association.We conducted a prospective cohort study of 5421 mother-father-newborn groups in Guangzhou, China. A questionnaire informed by a job exposure matrix (JEM) was applied to collect parental occupational EDCs exposure based on the type of work performed. We used logistic regression to estimate association between parental EDCs exposure and birth outcomes (including preterm birth (PTB), low birth weight (LBW), birth defects and congenital heart defects (CHD)). Stratified analyses and Cochran Q tests were performed to assess the modifying effect of maternal multi-vitamins supplement use and infant sex.Compared with mothers unexposed, we found that mothers those exposed to EDCs were associated with increased odds of birth defects (aOR=1.70, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-2.62), especially for those exposed for 1.5 years (aOR= 3.00, 95% CIs: 1.78-5.03), or those with directly occupational exposed to EDCs (aOR= 2.94, 95% CIs: 1.72-5.04). Maternal exposure for 1.5 years and direct exposure increased the risk of CHD, with aORs of 2.47 (1.21-5.02) and 2.79 (1.37-5.69), respectively. Stronger adverse effects were also observed when mothers and fathers were both exposed to EDCs. Paternal occupational EDCs exposure and exposure ≤ 1.5 years was associated with increased odds of LBW, with aORs of 2.14 (1.63-2.79) and 1.54 (1.10-2.15), respectively. When stratified by multi-vitamins supplement and infant sex, we observed slightly stronger effects for maternal exposure on birth defects/CHD as well as paternal EDCs exposure on PTB and LBW, among those without multi-vitamins supplement and among male babies, although the modification effects were not significant.Maternal exposure to EDCs was associated with greater odds of birth defects and CHD, while paternal exposure was mainly associated with greater odds of LBW. These effects tend to be stronger among mothers without multi-vitamins supplement and among male babies.
- Published
- 2021
85. Residential Proximity to Roadways and Children’s Behaviour and Psychomotor Development: findings from the Mothers and their Children’s Health study
- Author
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Luke D. Knibbs, Gita D. Mishra, and Salma Mohamed Ahmed
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Psychomotor learning ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Psychology ,General Environmental Science ,Developmental psychology - Published
- 2021
86. Women’s empowerment as a pathway to sustainable and modern energy for all: evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys
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Daniel Bogale Odo, Donna Green, Ian A. Yang, and Luke D. Knibbs
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stomatognathic system ,Energy (esotericism) ,Women's empowerment ,Air pollution ,medicine ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental pollution ,Business ,medicine.disease_cause ,Socioeconomics ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Household air pollution (HAP) is a leading cause of environmental pollution and health burden. Many countries in Africa cook with polluting fuels (main cause of HAP). Women’s em...
- Published
- 2021
87. A systematic review of studies on the role of age and gender in associations between greenspace and mental health
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Gita D. Mishra, Luke D. Knibbs, and Tafzila Akter Mouly
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Gerontology ,Age and gender ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Psychology ,Mental health ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Age and gender are two characteristics of individuals that play an important role in the prevalence of mental health. Globally, the burden of mental, neurological and substance ...
- Published
- 2021
88. Residential greenspace and early childhood development and academic performance: A longitudinal analysis of Australian children aged 4–12 years
- Author
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Salma M. Ahmed, Luke D. Knibbs, Katrina M. Moss, Tafzila A. Mouly, Ian A. Yang, and Gita D. Mishra
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Child Development ,Environmental Engineering ,Child, Preschool ,Parks, Recreational ,Academic Performance ,Australia ,Humans ,Environmental Chemistry ,Female ,Longitudinal Studies ,Child ,Pollution ,Waste Management and Disposal - Abstract
Exposure to greenspaces has beneficial effects on children's mental health and development. This study explores the association between residential exposure to greenspace and early childhood development and academic outcomes.Children were from Mothers and their Children's Health (MatCH) study, a sub-study of the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health. We obtained data on early childhood development from the Australian Early Development Census (AEDC), a population-wide census data (n = 936 children, mean age: 5.3, SD: 0.5 years). Academic performance relative to the national minimum standard (NMS) (i.e., in reading, writing, grammar and punctuation, spelling, and numeracy) of children with Year 3 and 5 data were from the 'National Assessment Program - Literacy and Numeracy' (NAPLAN) (n = 1679 children). Annual exposure to green and non-green vegetation was measured using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and fractional cover of non-photosynthetic vegetation (fNPV), respectively, within 100 m and 500 m buffer zone of maternal residential address. We calculated greenspace exposure at the year of test and average exposure throughout childhood. Greenspace exposures were standardised and odds ratio (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using generalised estimating equation models, adjusting for potential confounders.Exposure to fNPV within 500 m buffer of homes at the year of test and during child's lifetime was associated with academic scores below/at NMS at Year 3 (baseline) and Year 5 (follow-up) for the domains of reading, writing, and grammar and punctuation. Surrounding residential greenness was not significantly associated with NAPLAN scores. No association was found between residential greenspace and developmental vulnerability on one or more AEDC domains across both exposure windows.Our study revealed that long-term and short-term exposure to non-green vegetation around homes is linked to poor academic performance in children. Further research on fNPV is required to verify these findings, with additional longitudinal studies.
- Published
- 2022
89. Short‐Term Effects of Particle Size and Constituents on Blood Pressure in Healthy Young Adults in Guangzhou, China
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Luke D. Knibbs, Xiao-Wen Zeng, Guang-Hui Dong, Zhi-Zhou He, Mika Komppula, Gongbo Chen, Pasi Jalava, Bo-Yi Yang, Marjut Roponen, Peng-Yue Guo, Li-Wen Hu, A. Leskinen, and Bin Jalaludin
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,China ,Time Factors ,JAHA Spotlight on Air Pollution and Cardiovascular Disease ,air pollution ,Air pollution ,Blood Pressure ,010501 environmental sciences ,medicine.disease_cause ,01 natural sciences ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,Environmental health ,medicine ,Humans ,panel study ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Particle Size ,Young adult ,constituents ,Retrospective Studies ,Original Research ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,particulate matter ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Environmental Exposure ,Particulates ,Healthy Volunteers ,Term (time) ,Blood pressure ,Cardiovascular Diseases ,High Blood Pressure ,Female ,Particle size ,Morbidity ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Background Although several studies have focused on the associations between particle size and constituents and blood pressure, results have been inconsistent. Methods and Results We conducted a panel study, between December 2017 and January 2018, in 88 healthy university students in Guangzhou, China. Weekly systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure were measured for each participant for 5 consecutive weeks, resulting in a total of 440 visits. Mass concentrations of particles with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 µm (PM 2.5 ), ≤1.0 µm (PM 1.0 ), ≤0.5 µm (PM 0.5 ), ≤0.2 µm (PM 0.2 ), and number concentrations of airborne particulates of diameter ≤0.1 μm were measured. Linear mixed‐effect models were used to estimate the associations between blood pressure and particles and PM 2.5 constituents 0 to 48 hours before blood pressure measurement. PM of all the fractions in the 0.2‐ to 2.5‐μm range were positively associated with systolic blood pressure in the first 24 hours, with the percent changes of effect estimates ranging from 3.5% to 8.8% for an interquartile range increment of PM. PM 0.2 was also positively associated with diastolic blood pressure, with an increase of 5.9% (95% CI, 1.0%–11.0%) for an interquartile range increment (5.8 μg/m 3 ) at lag 0 to 24 hours. For PM 2.5 constituents, we found positive associations between chloride and diastolic blood pressure (1.7% [95% CI, 0.1%–3.3%]), and negative associations between vanadium and diastolic blood pressure (−1.6% [95% CI, −3.0% to −0.1%]). Conclusions Both particle size and constituent exposure are significantly associated with blood pressure in the first 24 hours following exposure in healthy Chinese adults.
- Published
- 2021
90. The health impacts of ambient air pollution in Australia: a systematic literature review
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Peter D. Sly, Luke D. Knibbs, Clare Walter, Brian Head, Nina Hall, and Elena K Schneider-Futschik
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Pollutant ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Air pollution ,Australia ,Context (language use) ,Environmental Exposure ,medicine.disease_cause ,medicine.disease ,Epidemiologic Studies ,Systematic review ,Risk Factors ,Environmental health ,Air Pollution ,Epidemiology ,Internal Medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Risk factor ,business ,Air quality index ,Asthma - Abstract
BackgroundAmbient (outdoor) air pollution is a key risk factor for health, for which effective policy plays an important preventative role. Australian federal and related state air quality standards have historically relied on international evidence for guidance, which may not accurately reflect the Australian context. There has been, however, a large increase in Australian epidemiological studies over recent years.AimsTo provide an updated systematic literature review of peer-reviewed epidemiological studies that examined the health impacts of outdoor air pollution in Australia, including short- and long-term exposure.MethodsFollowing PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a systematic literature review. Broad search terms were applied to two databases (PubMed and Web of Science) and Google Scholar. Quality assessment and risk of bias were assessed using standard metrics. Included studies were summarised by tabulating key study characteristics, grouped by health outcomes.ResultsIn total, 72 studies were included in the review. Sixty-four studies (89%) used daily or hourly pollutant concentrations to examine short-term exposure impacts, of which 59 (92%) revealed significant associations with one or more health outcomes, including cardio-respiratory, all-cause mortality or morbidity, and birth outcomes. Eight studies (11%) used annual average pollutant concentrations to investigate long-term exposure finding significant associations with asthma, reduced lung function, atopy and cardio-respiratory mortality across five studies. The remaining three studies found no significant association with asthma, mortality and a range of self-reported diseases, respectively.ConclusionsAmbient air pollution has substantial health impacts in Australia. The body of domestic evidence has increased markedly since national air quality standards were first set in the 1990s, which could be drawn on by policy-makers when revising the existing standards, or considering new standards.
- Published
- 2021
91. Indoor hospital air and the impact of ventilation on bioaerosols: a systematic review
- Author
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Peter O'Rourke, Luke D. Knibbs, Rebecca E Stockwell, Emma Ballard, Scott C. Bell, and Lidia Morawska
- Subjects
Microbiology (medical) ,Mechanical ventilation ,0303 health sciences ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Air changes per hour ,030306 microbiology ,business.industry ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Indoor bioaerosol ,Natural ventilation ,General Medicine ,030501 epidemiology ,Airborne transmission ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,Infectious Diseases ,Indoor air quality ,law ,Emergency medicine ,Ventilation (architecture) ,medicine ,0305 other medical science ,business ,Bioaerosol - Abstract
Healthcare-acquired infections (HAIs) continue to persist in hospitals, despite the use of increasingly strict infection-control precautions. Opportunistic airborne transmission of potentially pathogenic bioaerosols may be one possible reason for this persistence. Therefore, this study aimed to systematically review the concentrations and compositions of indoor bioaerosols in different areas within hospitals and the effects of different ventilation systems. Electronic databases (Medline and Web of Science) were searched to identify articles of interest. The search was restricted to articles published from 2000 to 2017 in English. Aggregate data was used to examine the differences in mean colony forming units per cubic metre (cfu/m3) between different hospital areas and ventilation types. A total of 36 journal articles met the eligibility criteria. The mean total bioaerosol concentrations in the different areas of the hospitals were highest in the inpatient facilities (77 cfu/m3, 95% confidence interval (CI): 55-108) compared with the restricted (13cfu/m3, 95% CI: 10-15) and public areas (14 cfu/m3, 95% CI: 10-19). Hospital areas with natural ventilation had the highest total bioaerosol concentrations (201 cfu/m3, 95% CI: 135-300) compared with areas using conventional mechanical ventilation systems (20 cfu/m3, 95% CI: 16-24). Hospital areas using sophisticated mechanical ventilation systems (such as increased air changes per hour, directional flow and filtration systems) had the lowest total bioaerosol concentrations (9 cfu/m3, 95% CI: 7-13). Operating sophisticated mechanical ventilation systems in hospitals contributes to improved indoor air quality within hospitals, which assists in reducing the risk of airborne transmission of HAIs.
- Published
- 2019
92. Comparison of model estimates from an intra-city land use regression model with a national satellite-LUR and a regional Bayesian Maximum Entropy model, in estimating NO2 for a birth cohort in Sydney, Australia
- Author
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Guy B. Marks, David Morley, Edward Jegasothy, Christine T. Cowie, Ivan Hanigan, Luke D. Knibbs, Anna Hansell, Gerard Hoek, and Frances L. Garden
- Subjects
education.field_of_study ,Mean squared error ,Intraclass correlation ,Population ,010501 environmental sciences ,Land use regression ,01 natural sciences ,Biochemistry ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Bayesian maximum entropy ,Statistics ,Environmental science ,Satellite ,Spatial variability ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,Exposure assessment - Abstract
Background Methods for estimating air pollutant exposures for epidemiological studies are becoming more complex in an effort to minimise exposure error and its associated bias. While land use regression (LUR) modelling is now an established method, there has been little comparison between LUR and other recent, more complex estimation methods. Our aim was to develop a LUR model to estimate intra-city exposures to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) for a Sydney cohort, and to compare those with estimates from a national satellite-based LUR model (Sat-LUR) and a regional Bayesian Maximum Entropy (BME) model. Methods Satellite-based LUR and BME estimates were obtained using existing models. We used methods consistent with the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects (ESCAPE) methodology to develop LUR models for NO2 and NOx. We deployed 46 Ogawa passive samplers across western Sydney during 2013/2014 and acquired data on land use, population density, and traffic volumes for the study area. Annual average NO2 concentrations for 2013 were estimated for 947 addresses in the study area using the three models: standard LUR, Sat-LUR and a BME model. Agreement between the estimates from the three models was assessed using interclass correlation coefficient (ICC), Bland-Altman methods and correlation analysis (CC). Results The NO2 LUR model predicted 84% of spatial variability in annual mean NO2 (RMSE: 1.2 ppb; cross-validated R2: 0.82) with predictors of major roads, population and dwelling density, heavy traffic and commercial land use. A separate model was developed that captured 92% of variability in NOx (RMSE 2.3 ppb; cross-validated R2: 0.90). The annual average NO2 concentrations were 7.31 ppb (SD: 1.91), 7.01 ppb (SD: 1.92) and 7.90 ppb (SD: 1.85), for the LUR, Sat-LUR and BME models respectively. Comparing the standard LUR with Sat-LUR NO2 cohort estimates, the mean estimates from the LUR were 4% higher than the Sat-LUR estimates, and the ICC was 0.73. The Pearson's correlation coefficients (CC) for the LUR vs Sat-LUR values were r = 0.73 (log-transformed data) and r = 0.69 (untransformed data). Comparison of the NO2 cohort estimates from the LUR model with the BME blended model indicated that the LUR mean estimates were 8% lower than the BME estimates. The ICC for the LUR vs BME estimates was 0.73. The CC for the logged LUR vs BME estimates was r = 0.73 and for the unlogged estimates was r = 0.69. Conclusions Our LUR models explained a high degree of spatial variability in annual mean NO2 and NOx in western Sydney. The results indicate very good agreement between the intra-city LUR, national-scale sat-LUR, and regional BME models for estimating NO2 for a cohort of children residing in Sydney, despite the different data inputs and differences in spatial scales of the models, providing confidence in their use in epidemiological studies.
- Published
- 2019
93. Interaction of Air Pollutants and Meteorological Factors on Birth Weight in Shenzhen, China
- Author
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Huanhuan Zhang, Qingguo Zhao, Xuemei Wang, Junzhe Bao, Changchang Li, Meng Ren, Cunrui Huang, Luke D. Knibbs, Qianhong Liang, Qiong Wang, Shao Lin, Suhan Wang, and Wei Gong
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,China ,Epidemiology ,Birth weight ,Nitrogen Dioxide ,Air pollution ,Gestational Age ,medicine.disease_cause ,01 natural sciences ,010104 statistics & probability ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Animal science ,Interquartile range ,Birth Weight ,Humans ,Sulfur Dioxide ,Medicine ,Registries ,030212 general & internal medicine ,0101 mathematics ,Weather ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Infant, Newborn ,Temperature ,Humidity ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Low birth weight ,Dew point ,Small for gestational age ,Female ,Particulate Matter ,medicine.symptom ,business ,Maternal Age - Abstract
This study aimed to assess if air pollutants and meteorological factors synergistically affect birth outcomes in Shenzhen, China.A total of 1,206,158 singleton live births between 2005 and 2012 were identified from a birth registry database. Daily average measurements of particulate matter ≤10 µm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ambient air temperature (T), and dew point temperature (Td), a marker of humidity, were collected. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations between air pollution and small for gestational age (SGA), and full-term low birth weight (TLBW). We classified births into those conceived in the warm (May-October) and cold seasons (November-April) and then estimated interactions between air pollutants and meteorological factors.An interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM10 exposure during the first trimester (23.1 µg/m) and NO2 during both the first and second trimesters (15.1 and 13.4 µg/m) was associated with SGA and TLBW risk; odds ratios ranged from 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.00, 1.02) to 1.09 (1.07, 1.12). We observed interactive effects of both air temperature and humidity on PM10 and SGA for newborns conceived in the warm season. Each IQR increase in PM10 (11.1 µg/m) increased SGA risk by 90% (95% CI = 19%, 205%), 29% (23, 34%), 61% (10, 38%), and 26% (21, 32%) when T5th percentile, 5thT95th percentile, Td5th percentile, and 5thTd95th percentile, respectively.Our study found evidence of an interactive effect of air temperature and humidity on the relationship between PM10 exposure and SGA among newborns conceived in the warm season (May-October). Relatively low air temperature or humidity exacerbated the effects of PM10.
- Published
- 2019
94. The Urban Liveability Index: developing a policy-relevant urban liveability composite measure and evaluating associations with transport mode choice
- Author
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Billie Giles-Corti, Hannah Badland, Luke D. Knibbs, Koen Simons, and Carl Higgs
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General Computer Science ,Victoria ,Health geography ,Context (language use) ,Transportation ,Level design ,lcsh:Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Urban planning ,Environmental health ,11. Sustainability ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Cities ,City Planning ,Mode choice ,Health policy ,030505 public health ,business.industry ,Health Policy ,Research ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Urban Health ,General Business, Management and Accounting ,Geography ,Public transport ,lcsh:R858-859.7 ,Public open space ,Environment Design ,0305 other medical science ,business - Abstract
Background Designing healthy, liveable cities is a global priority. Current liveability indices are aggregated at the city-level, do not reflect spatial variation within cities, and are often not aligned to policy or health. Objectives To combine policy-relevant liveability indicators associated with health into a spatial Urban Liveability Index (ULI) and examine its association with adult travel behaviours. Methods We developed methods to calculate spatial liveability indicators and the ULI for all residential addresses in Melbourne, Australia. Associations between the address-level ULI and adult travel behaviours from the 2012–2014 Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity (VISTA) (n = 12,323) were analysed using multilevel logistic regression. Sensitivity analyses to evaluate impact of methodological choices on distribution of liveability as assessed by the ULI and associations with travel mode choice were also conducted. Results Liveability estimates were calculated for 1,550,641 residential addresses. ULI scores were positively associated with active transport behaviour: for each unit increase in the ULI score the estimated adjusted odds ratio (OR) for: walking increased by 12% (95% Credible Interval: 9%, 15%); cycling increased by 10% (4%, 17%); public transport increased by 15% (11%, 19%); and private vehicle transport decreased by 12% (− 9%, − 15%). Conclusions The ULI provides an evidence-informed and policy-relevant measure of urban liveability, that is significantly and approximately linearly associated with adult travel behaviours in the Melbourne context. The ULI can be used to evaluate progress towards implementing policies designed to achieve more liveable cities, identify spatial inequities, and examine relationships with health and wellbeing. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12942-019-0178-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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- 2019
95. Transmission of bacteria in bronchiectasis and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: Low burden of cough aerosols
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Emma Ballard, Nassib Jabbour, Luke D. Knibbs, Kay A. Ramsay, Michelle Wood, Laura J. Sherrard, Timothy J. Kidd, Rachel Thomson, Peter O'Rourke, Lidia Morawska, Rebecca E Stockwell, Scott C. Bell, Graham R. Johnson, and Melanie Chin
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Male ,Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Genotype ,Colony Count, Microbial ,medicine.disease_cause ,Cystic fibrosis ,Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Pseudomonas Infections ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Phylogeny ,Aged ,Aerosols ,COPD ,Lung ,Bronchiectasis ,Pseudomonas aeruginosa ,business.industry ,Transmission (medicine) ,Sputum ,Respiratory infection ,Middle Aged ,respiratory system ,medicine.disease ,respiratory tract diseases ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Cough ,030228 respiratory system ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,business - Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Aerosol transmission of Pseudomonas aeruginosa has been suggested as a possible mode of respiratory infection spread in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF); however, whether this occurs in other suppurative lung diseases is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to determine if (i) patients with bronchiectasis (unrelated to CF) or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can aerosolize P. aeruginosa during coughing and (ii) if genetically indistinguishable (shared) P. aeruginosa strains are present in these disease cohorts.METHODS: People with bronchiectasis or COPD and P. aeruginosa respiratory infection were recruited for two studies. Aerosol study: Participants (n = 20) underwent cough testing using validated cough rigs to determine the survival of P. aeruginosa aerosols in the air over distance and duration. Genotyping study: P. aeruginosa sputum isolates (n = 95) were genotyped using the iPLEX20SNP platform, with a subset subjected to the enterobacterial repetitive intergenic consensus polymerase chain reaction (ERIC-PCR) assay to ascertain their genetic relatedness.RESULTS: Aerosol study: Overall, 7 of 20 (35%) participants released P. aeruginosa cough aerosols during at least one of the cough aerosol tests. These cough aerosols remained viable for 4 m from the source and for 15 min after coughing. The mean total aerosol count of P. aeruginosa at 2 m was two colony-forming units. Typing study: No shared P. aeruginosa strains were identified.CONCLUSION: Low viable count of P. aeruginosa cough aerosols and a lack of shared P. aeruginosa strains observed suggest that aerosol transmission of P. aeruginosa is an unlikely mode of respiratory infection spread in patients with bronchiectasis and COPD.
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- 2019
96. A systematic literature review and critical appraisal of epidemiological studies on outdoor air pollution and tuberculosis outcomes
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Erjia Ge, Igor Popovic, Guang-Hui Dong, Luke D. Knibbs, Xiaolin Wei, Ricardo J. Soares Magalhães, and Guy B. Marks
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medicine.medical_specialty ,Asia ,Tuberculosis ,Nitrogen Dioxide ,Disease ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Biochemistry ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Air Pollution ,Environmental health ,Epidemiology ,Global health ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,Exposure assessment ,Air Pollutants ,business.industry ,Publications ,Environmental Exposure ,medicine.disease ,Europe ,Epidemiologic Studies ,Critical appraisal ,Systematic review ,Environmental Risk Factor ,Particulate Matter ,business - Abstract
Ambient air pollution is the leading environmental risk factor for disease globally. Air pollutants can increase the risk of some respiratory infections, but their effects on tuberculosis (TB) are unclear. In this systematic literature review, we aimed to assess epidemiological studies on the association between outdoor air pollutants and TB incidence, hospital admissions and death (collectively referred to here as ‘TB outcomes’). We sought to consolidate available evidence on this topic and propose recommendations for future studies. Following PRISMA guidelines, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Scopus with no restrictions imposed on year of publication. A total of 11 epidemiological studies, performed in Asia, Europe and North America, met our inclusion criteria (combined sample size: 215,337 people). We extracted key study characteristics from each eligible publication, including design, exposure assessment, analytical approaches and effect estimates. The studies were assessed for overall quality and risk of bias using standard criteria. The pollutant most frequently associated with statistically significant effects on TB outcomes was fine particulate matter ( The existing epidemiological evidence is limited and shows mixed results. However, it is plausible that exposure to air pollutants, particularly PM2.5, may suppress important immune defence mechanisms, increasing an individual's susceptibility to development of active TB and TB-related mortality. Considering the small number of studies relative to the demonstrably large global health burdens of air pollution and TB, further research is required to corroborate the findings in the current literature. Based on a critical assessment of existing evidence, we conclude with methodological suggestions for future studies.
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- 2019
97. Ambient PM1 air pollution and cardiovascular disease prevalence: Insights from the 33 Communities Chinese Health Study
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Steve Hung Lam Yim, Joachim Heinrich, Lidia Morawska, Shanshan Li, Li-Wen Hu, Gongbo Chen, Guang-Hui Dong, Luke D. Knibbs, Yuming Guo, Xiao Wen Zeng, Michael S. Bloom, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Shao Lin, Iana Markevych, Kang Kang Liu, and Bo-Yi Yang
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lcsh:GE1-350 ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Cross-sectional study ,Prevalence ,Air pollution ,Chinese adults ,010501 environmental sciences ,medicine.disease_cause ,01 natural sciences ,Air pollutants ,Environmental health ,medicine ,Aerodynamic diameter ,Young adult ,Sensitivity analyses ,lcsh:Environmental sciences ,Particulate Matter ,Cardiovascular Disease ,Adults ,Chinese ,Cross-sectional Study ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
Backgrounds: Evidence on the association between long-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is scarce in developing countries. Moreover, few studies assessed the role of the PM1 (≤1.0 μm) size fraction and CVD. We investigated the associations between PM1 and PM2.5 and CVD prevalence in Chinese adults. Methods: In 2009, we randomly recruited 24,845 adults at the age of 18–74 years from 33 communities in Northeastern China. CVD status was determined by self-report of doctor-diagnosed CVD. Three-year (2006–08) average concentrations of PM1 and PM2.5 were assigned using a satellite-based exposure. We used spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models to evaluate the associations between air pollutants and CVD prevalence, adjusting for multiple covariates. Stratified and interaction analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed. Results: A 10 μg/m3 increase in long-term exposure to ambient PM1 levels was associated a 12% higher odds for having CVD (OR = 1.12; 95% CI = 1.05–1.20). Compared to PM1, association between PM2.5 and CVD was lower (OR = 1.06; 95% CI = 1.01–1.11). No significant association was observed for PM1–2.5 (1–2.5 μm) size fraction (OR = 0.98; 95% CI = 0.85–1.13). Stratified analyses showed greater effect estimates in men and the elder. Conclusions: Long-term PM1 exposure was positively related to CVD, especially in men and the elder. In addition, PM1 may play a greater role than PM2.5 in associations with CVD. Further longitudinal studies are warranted to confirm our findings. Keywords: Particulate matter, Cardiovascular disease, Adults, Chinese, Cross-sectional study
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- 2019
98. Association Between Exposure to Outdoor Artificial Light at Night and Sleep Disorders Among Children in China
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Le-Bing Wang, Yan-Chen Gong, Qiu-Ling Fang, Xin-Xin Cui, Shyamali C. Dharmage, Bin Jalaludin, Luke D. Knibbs, Michael S. Bloom, Yuming Guo, Li-Zi Lin, Xiao-Wen Zeng, Bo-Yi Yang, Gongbo Chen, Ru-Qing Liu, Yunjiang Yu, Li-Wen Hu, and Guang-Hui Dong
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Male ,Sleep Wake Disorders ,China ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Light Pollution ,Adolescent ,Humans ,General Medicine ,Child ,Sleep - Abstract
Healthy sleep has an important role in the physical and mental health of children. However, few studies have investigated the association between outdoor artificial light at night (ALAN) and sleep disorders in children.To explore the associations between outdoor ALAN exposure and sleep disorders in children.This population-based cross-sectional study, part of the National Chinese Children Health Study, was conducted from April 1, 2012, to June 30, 2013, in the first stage and from May 1, 2016, to May 31, 2018, in the second stage in 55 districts of 14 cities in China. This analysis included 201 994 children and adolescents aged 2 to 18 years. Data were analyzed from February 20 to March 21, 2022.Outdoor ALAN exposure (in nanowatts per centimeters squared per steradian) within 500 m of each participant's residential address obtained from the satellite imagery data, with a resolution of approximately 500 m.Sleep disorders were measured by the Chinese version of the Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children. Generalized linear mixed models were used to estimate the associations of outdoor ALAN with sleep scores and sleep disorders.The study included 201 994 children and adolescents (mean [SD] age, 11.3 [3.2] years; 106 378 boys [52.7%]), 7166 (3.5%) of whom had sleep disorder symptoms. Outdoor ALAN exposure of study participants ranged from 0.02 to 113.48 nW/cm2/sr. Compared with the lowest quintile (Q1) of outdoor ALAN exposure, higher quintiles of exposure (Q2-Q5) were associated with an increase in total sleep scores of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.66-0.96) in Q2, 0.83 (95% CI, 0.68-0.97) in Q3, 0.62 (95% CI, 0.46-0.77) in Q4, and 0.53 (95% CI, 0.36-0.70) in Q5. Higher quintiles of exposure were also associated with odds ratios for sleep disorder of 1.34 (95% CI, 1.23-1.45) in Q2, 1.43 (95% CI, 1.32-1.55) in Q3, 1.31 (95% CI, 1.21-1.43) in Q4, and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.14-1.38) in Q5. Similar associations were observed for sleep disorder subtypes. In addition, greater effect estimates were found among children younger than 12 years.The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that sleep disorders are more prevalent among children residing in areas with high levels of outdoor ALAN and the associations are generally stronger in children younger than 12 years. These findings further suggest that effective control of outdoor ALAN may be an important measure for improving the quality of children's sleep.
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- 2022
99. Identifying windows of susceptibility for maternal exposure to ambient air pollution and preterm birth
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Tarik Benmarhnia, Paige Sheridan, Luke D. Knibbs, Junzhe Bao, Suhan Wang, Meng Ren, Qingguo Zhao, Huanhuan Zhang, Yawei Zhang, Changchang Li, Cunrui Huang, Yiling He, and Qiong Wang
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Adult ,China ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Air pollution exposure ,Population ,Gestational Age ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Cohort Studies ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Pregnancy ,Interquartile range ,Humans ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,education ,lcsh:Environmental sciences ,Retrospective Studies ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,lcsh:GE1-350 ,Air Pollutants ,education.field_of_study ,Ambient air pollution ,business.industry ,Obstetrics ,Hazard ratio ,Infant, Newborn ,Retrospective cohort study ,Environmental Exposure ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Southern china ,Maternal Exposure ,Premature Birth ,Female ,business - Abstract
Maternal exposure to ambient air pollution has been associated with preterm birth (PTB), however, entire pregnancy or trimester-specific associations were generally reported, which may not sufficiently identify windows of susceptibility. Using birth registry data from Guangzhou, a megacity of southern China (population ~14.5 million), including 469,975 singleton live births between January 2015 and July 2017, we assessed the association between weekly air pollution exposure and PTB in a retrospective cohort study. Daily average concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, NO2, SO2, and O3 from 11 monitoring stations were used to estimate district-specific exposures for each participant based on their district residency during pregnancy. Distributed lag models (DLMs) incorporating Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the association between weekly maternal exposure to air pollutant and PTB risk (as a time-to-event outcome), after controlling for temperature, seasonality, and individual-level covariates. We also considered moderate PTB (32–36 gestational weeks) and very PTB (28–31 gestational weeks) as outcomes of interest. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidential intervals (95% CIs) were calculated for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in air pollutants during the study period. An IQR increase in PM2.5 exposure during the 20th to 28th gestational weeks (27.0 μg/m3) was significantly associated with PTB risk, with the strongest effect in the 25th week (HR = 1.034, 95% CI:1.010–1.059). The significant exposure windows were the 19th–28th weeks for PM10, the 18th–31st weeks for NO2, and the 23rd–31st weeks for O3, respectively. The strongest associations were observed in the 25th week for PM10 (IQR = 37.0 μg/m3; HR = 1.048, 95% CI:1.034–1.062), the 26th week for NO2 (IQR = 29.0 μg/m3; HR = 1.060, 95% CI:1.028–1.094), and in the 28th week for O3 (IQR = 90.0 μg/m3; HR = 1.063, 95% CI:1.046–1.081). Similar patterns were observed for moderate PTB (32–36 gestational weeks) and very PTB (28–31 gestational weeks) for PM2.5, PM10, NO2 exposure, but the effects were greater for very PTB. We did not observe any association between pregnancy SO2 exposure and the risk of PTB. Our results suggest that middle to late pregnancy is the most susceptible air pollution exposure window for air pollution and PTB among women in Guangzhou, China. Keywords: Air pollution, Preterm birth, Distributed lag model, Susceptible exposure window
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- 2018
100. Spatiotemporal patterns of PM10 concentrations over China during 2005–2016: A satellite-based estimation using the random forests approach
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Wei Cao, Yuming Guo, Yichao Wang, Shanshan Li, Luke D. Knibbs, Hongyan Ren, Gongbo Chen, and Michael J. Abramson
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010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Mean squared error ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Regression analysis ,General Medicine ,010501 environmental sciences ,Toxicology ,01 natural sciences ,Pollution ,Random forest ,Beijing ,Climatology ,Environmental science ,Satellite imagery ,Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer ,China ,Air quality index ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Background Few studies have estimated historical exposures to PM10 at a national scale in China using satellite-based aerosol optical depth (AOD). Also, long-term trends have not been investigated. Objectives In this study, daily concentrations of PM10 over China during the past 12 years were estimated with the most recent ground monitoring data, AOD, land use information, weather data and a machine learning approach. Methods Daily measurements of PM10 during 2014–2016 were collected from 1479 sites in China. Two types of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) AOD data, land use information, and weather data were downloaded and merged. A random forests model (non-parametric machine learning algorithms) and two traditional regression models were developed and their predictive abilities were compared. The best model was applied to estimate daily concentrations of PM10 across China during 2005–2016 at 0.1⁰ (≈10 km). Results Cross-validation showed our random forests model explained 78% of daily variability of PM10 [root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) = 31.5 μg/m3]. When aggregated into monthly and annual averages, the models captured 82% (RMSE = 19.3 μg/m3) and 81% (RMSE = 14.4 μg/m3) of the variability. The random forests model showed much higher predictive ability and lower bias than the other two regression models. Based on the predictions of random forests model, around one-third of China experienced with PM10 pollution exceeding Grade Ⅱ National Ambient Air Quality Standard (>70 μg/m3) in China during the past 12 years. The highest levels of estimated PM10 were present in the Taklamakan Desert of Xinjiang and Beijing-Tianjin metropolitan region, while the lowest were observed in Tibet, Yunnan and Hainan. Overall, the PM10 level in China peaked in 2006 and 2007, and declined since 2008. Conclusions This is the first study to estimate historical PM10 pollution using satellite-based AOD data in China with random forests model. The results can be applied to investigate the long-term health effects of PM10 in China.
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- 2018
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