51. Poor Long-Term Survival in Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis
- Author
-
Gregory M. Scalia, Thomas H. Marwick, David Playford, Jim Codde, Majo X. Joseph, Geoff Strange, Simon Stewart, Marcus Ilton, David L. Prior, and David S. Celermajer
- Subjects
Male ,Aortic valve ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Databases, Factual ,Heart Ventricles ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Aortic Valve Insufficiency ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Severity of Illness Index ,Ventricular Dysfunction, Left ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Valve replacement ,Interquartile range ,Internal medicine ,Severity of illness ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,Registries ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation ,business.industry ,Hazard ratio ,Australia ,Stroke Volume ,Aortic Valve Stenosis ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Editorial Commentary ,Stenosis ,Treatment Outcome ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Echocardiography ,Aortic Valve ,Aortic valve stenosis ,Cardiology ,Female ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,New Zealand - Abstract
Background Historical data suggesting poor survival in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) who do not undergo treatment are largely confined to patients with severe AS. Objectives This study sought to determine the prognostic impact of all levels of native valvular AS. Methods Severity of AS was characterized by convention and by statistical distribution in 122,809 male patients (mean age 61 ± 17 years) and 118,494 female patients (mean age 62 ± 19 years), with measured aortic valve (AV) mean gradient, peak velocity, and/or area. The relationship between AS severity and survival was then examined during median 1,208 days (interquartile range: 598 to 2,177 days) of follow-up. Patients with previous aortic valve intervention were excluded. Results Overall, 16,129 (6.7%), 3,315 (1.4%), and 6,383 (2.6%) patients had mild, moderate, and severe AS, respectively. On an adjusted basis (vs. no AS; 5-year mortality 19%), patients with mild to severe AS had an increasing risk of long-term mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.44 to 2.09; p 50%) and cardiovascular disease was evident from a mean AV gradient >20.0 mm Hg (moderate AS) after adjusting for age, sex, left ventricular systolic or diastolic dysfunction, and aortic regurgitation. Conclusions These data confirm that when left untreated, severe AS is associated with poor long-term survival. Moreover, they also suggest poor survival rates in patients with moderate AS. (National Echocardiographic Database of Australia [NEDA]; ACTRN12617001387314)
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF