Search

A letter to the editor is presented in response to the article "Organic Conditions," in the previous issue.

A letter to the editor is presented in response to an article about delusional infestation in late life in the March 1987 issue.

Linear measures of cerebral ventricular enlargement may act as surrogate measures of cerebral atrophy in multiple sclerosis (MS). Linear atrophy markers were measured from routine MRI scans during a population survey of 171 Tasmanian MS patients and 91 healthy controls. Thirty-five Victorian MS clinic patients were recruited as a validation cohort with 14 of these re-assessed 4 years later. In the population survey, we measured three linear brain atrophy markers: inter-caudate distance (ICD), third ventricle width (TVW) and frontal horn width (FHW). TVW (OR 2.0, p=0.001) and ICD (OR 16.1, p<0.001) differentiated between MS cases and controls. In the validation study, we correlated the intercaudate ratio (ICR=ICD/brain width) and third ventricular ratio (TVR=TVW/brain width) with brain parenchymal volume. Cross-sectionally, ICR (R=-0.453, p<0.01) and TVR (R=-0.653, p<0.01) were correlated with brain parenchymal volume. Longitudinally, brain parenchymal volume loss was inversely correlated with increased ICD (R=-0.77, p<0.01) and TVW (R=-0.71, p<0.01). This study shows that ICD measurements obtained from clinical MRI scans are valid brain atrophy measures for use in monitoring MS progression.

A nested case-control study found that the excess of leukemia, identified among the male members of the Health Watch cohort, was associated with benzene exposure. Exposure had been retrospectively estimated for each individual occupational history using an algorithm in a relational database. Benzene exposure measurements, supplied by Australian petroleum companies, were used to estimate exposure for specific tasks. The tasks carried out within each job, the products handled, and the technology used, were identified from structured interviews with contemporary colleagues. More than half of the subjects started work after 1965 and had an average exposure period of 20 years. Exposure was low; nearly 85% of the cumulative exposure estimates were at or below 10 ppm-years. Matched analyses showed that leukemia risk increased with increasing cumulative benzene exposures and with increasing exposure intensity of the highest-exposed job. Non-Hodgkin lymphoma and multiple myeloma were not associated with benzene exposure. A reanalysis reported here, showed that for the 7 leukemia case-sets with greater than 16 ppm-years cumulative exposure, the odds ratio was 51.9 (5.6-477) when compared to the 2 lowest exposed categories combined to form a new reference category. The addition of occasional high exposures, e.g. as a result of spillages, increased exposure for 25% of subjects but for most, the increase was less than 5% of total exposure. The addition of these exposures reduced the odds ratios. Cumulative exposures did not range as high as those in comparable studies; however, the recent nature of the cohort and local handling practices can explain these differences.

The term 'Alzheimer's disease' has entered the vocabulary of ordinary people. This has been useful, encouraging patients and families to seek medical help for conditions that were previously neglected as inevitable consequences of old age. Yet Alzheimer's itself can carry negative connotations. Some people who believe they have Alzheimer's disease are suffering from less sinister and more easily treated conditions. Even when the diagnosis is confirmed, many months of happy and worthwhile life continue for most patients and families if they are given appropriate information and support. It is important that neither families nor clinicians see life with presumed Alzheimer's disease as of no value.

The average breast cancer risk for carriers of a germ-line mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2 (penetrance) has been estimated from the multiple-case families collected by the Breast Cancer Linkage Consortium (BCLC) to be approximately 80% to age 70. However, women now being tested for these mutations do not necessarily have the intense family history of the BCLC families. Testing for protein-truncating mutations in exons 2, 11, and 20 of BRCA1 and exons 10 and 11 of BRCA2 was conducted in a population-based sample of 388 Australian women with breast cancer diagnosed before age 40. Onset of breast cancer was analyzed in the known and potential mutation-carrying first- and second-degree female relatives of cases found to carry a mutation. Of the 18 mutation-carrying cases (9 BRCA1 and 9 BRCA2), only 5 (1 BRCA1 and 4 BRCA2) had at least one affected relative, so family history of breast cancer was not a strong predictor of mutation status in this setting. The risk in mutation carriers was, on average, 9 times the population risk [95% confidence interval (CI), 4-23; P < 0.001]. Penetrance to age 70 was 40% (95% CI, 15-65%), about half that estimated from BCLC families. By extrapolation, approximately 6% (95% CI, 2-20%) of breast cancer before age 40 may be caused by protein-truncating mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2. Breast cancer risk in BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers may be modified by other genetic or environmental factors. Genetic counselors may need to take into account the family history of the consultand.

Objective: To investigate work patterns and stress in consultant old age psychiatrists over a period of 1 week and to attempt to identify areas amenable to change., Design: Postal survey., Participants: Full-time old age psychiatrists on the list held by the Faculty of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists., Main Outcome Measures: Hours spent on different work activities during a period of 1 week, Stress Checklist score, stressors perceived by respondents., Main Results: Men and women doctors did not differ in numbers of hours worked. Consultants working with colleagues worked similar hours to single-handed consultants. Community activity was greater among consultants working with colleagues than among single-handed doctors, whose work was based more in outpatient clinics. For the whole group, time in acute ward rounds correlated positively with stress score and time spent on research at home correlated negatively with stress score., Conclusions: Doctors spending more than 50 hours at work might be advised to review their work pattern. Excessive time on administrative activities should be reduced. Peer support should be encouraged. Consultants and managers should be sensitive to work patterns and possible sources of stress., (Copyright 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Background: Historically, studies of the "genetic epidemiology" of cancer have used nonsystematically sampled kindreds with numerous cases of cancer across multiple generations. From the epidemiologic viewpoint, it is difficult to extrapolate findings to the population because of the ad hoc ascertainment of these atypical, ill-defined families. Since 1992, we have been conducting a population-based, case-control-family study of breast cancer., Methods: Families are identified through a single, population-sampled proband, who is either affected or unaffected, making adjustment for ascertainment straightforward. Administered questionnaires and blood samples are sought from cases, controls, and specified sets of relatives. From 1996 through 1999, a further 1200 case families have been recruited as part of the Co-operative Family Registry for Breast Cancer Studies (CFRBCS). Issues relevant to the study design and analysis are discussed., Results: Epidemiologic and genetic findings published to date are summarized. In particular, this population-based study has shown that the so-called "high-risk" families containing multiple cases of breast cancer are not typical of families in the general population in which BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations are segregating. Most "hereditary" cancers are "sporadic.", Conclusion: The collection of DNA, as well as data on disease status and risk factors, from population-sampled sets of relatives provides a powerful resource for addressing genetic and environmental determinants of cancer. A population-based multicenter, multidisciplinary enterprise, such as has been developed by the CFRBCS, may become a model for future research in cancer epidemiology, allowing genetic and environmental risk factors to be put into a proper population perspective.

Background: Needle-exchange programmes (NEPs) are potentially a key strategy for containing the spread of HIV infection among injecting drug users, but their implementation has been limited by uncertainty about their effectiveness. We used an ecological study design to compare changes over time in HIV seroprevalence in injecting drug users worldwide, for cities with and without NEPs., Methods: Published reports of HIV seroprevalence in injecting drug users were identified, and unpublished information on HIV seroprevalence for injecting drug users entering drug treatment in the USA between 1988 and 1993 was obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Details of the implementation of NEPs were obtained from published reports and experts. For each of the 81 cities with HIV seroprevalence data from more than 1 year and NEP implementation details, the rate of change of seroprevalence was estimated by regression analysis. The average difference in this rate for cities with and without NEPs was calculated., Findings: On average, seroprevalence increased by 5.9% per year in the 52 cities without NEPs, and decreased by 5.8% per year in the 29 cities with NEPs. The average annual change in seroprevalence was 11% lower in cities with NEPs (95% CI -17.6 to -3.9, p = 0.004)., Interpretation: A plausible explanation for this difference is that NEPs led to a reduction in HIV incidence among injecting drug users. Despite the possibility of confounding, our results, together with the clear theoretical mechanisms by which NEPs could reduce HIV incidence, strongly support the view that NEPs are effective.

A workload questionnaire, detailing activities undertaken over a specified 7-day period, was circulated by post to geriatric psychiatrists on the list held by the Section of Old Age Psychiatry, Royal College of Psychiatrists. One hundred and thirty-eight responses have been analysed to show patterns of work over the days of the week. Much of the respondents' time is concentrated on clinical work. Administration and committee work extends into every day of the week, but personal study and research are only reported by small numbers of respondents.

Background and Purpose: Since effective and affordable recruitment methods are essential for the widespread implementation of mammographic screening for detection of breast cancer, we studied the effectiveness, the costs, and the cost-effectiveness of various recruitment strategies in the population targeted by a pilot Australian program that offered free mammography screening between 1988 and 1990., Methods: We evaluated three public recruitment strategies--local newspaper articles, community promotion, and promotion to physicians--and five personal strategies--invitation letters with or without specified appointment times, either alone or with a follow-up letter, or telephone call to nonattenders. The effectiveness of public recruitment strategies was estimated from monthly attendance rates by Poisson regression analysis, while the probability of attendance in response to personal strategies was calculated using logistic regression analysis. Costs were determined by resource usage studies. The cost-effectiveness ratios for personal strategies were determined using decision analysis., Results: The costs in 1988-1989 Australian dollars per woman recruited were $22 for local newspaper articles and $106 for community promotion. No detectable increase in attendance resulted from promotion to physicians. When the cost of reserving an appointment was considered, the most cost-effective personal recruitment strategy was an invitation letter without a specified appointment time, followed by a second letter to nonattenders. This strategy recruited 35.6% of women in the sample targeted and cost $10.52 per attendee. In comparison, the most effective personal recruitment strategy was a letter with a specified appointment time followed by a second letter to nonattenders, which recruited 44.1% of women at an average cost of $19.99 and a marginal cost of $59.71 per additional attendee., Conclusions: Personal recruitment strategies were more cost-effective than public strategies. The most cost-effective personal strategy was an invitation letter without a specified appointment time, followed by a second letter to nonattenders.

Objective: To link a Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) prescription data set with patient-identifying data held by the Health Insurance Commission (HIC) and to then determine the prevalence of prescribing of cardiovascular drugs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, hypnotics and minor tranquillizers, and diuretics (prescribed without other cardiovascular drugs) by age and sex in two defined populations., Design: Prescription data for a three-month period in 1985 were matched with patient-identifying information to obtain a database which included the patient's age, sex and an identifying number, for each prescription record. The percentages of the population taking a drug from each of the drug categories mentioned above were then determined and the effect of age, sex and region of residence on prescribing prevalence was investigated using logistic regression analysis., Setting: Two rural regions of Australia with a total population of 65,087 residents., Measurements and Main Results: Of the 101,383 prescriptions dispensed over the period 96% could be matched with HIC information. In the two regions combined, the percentages of the population taking a cardiovascular drug, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, hypnotic or minor tranquilizer, or diuretic (without other cardiovascular drugs) were 10.4%, 5.8%, 3.5% and 2.5%, respectively. Prescribing rates were higher for females than males, increased with age and varied between the two regions. Approximately 5% of women aged 30-39 years were taking diuretics without other cardiovascular drugs, compared with only 0.2% of men in the same age group., Conclusions: This pilot study illustrates the use of a patient-identified prescription database for drug utilisation review, therapeutic audit and hypothesis generation.

Objective: To describe where deaths occur in Victoria and to determine to what extent the probability of dying in certain institutions is associated with cause of death and sociodemographic variables., Design: Descriptive study of death certificates and multivariate analysis of 7697 deaths that occurred in a three-month period in 1988., Setting: The State of Victoria., Main Outcome Measures: Cause of death, age, sex, marital status, and socioeconomic status., Results: Most deaths occurred in public hospitals (48%) followed by private homes (21%), nursing homes (14%) and private hospitals (9%). Only 2% of all deaths (90% from cancer) occurred in hospices. Women were more likely to die in a nursing home than were men (21% v. 8%) and less likely to die at home (17% v. 24%). The proportion of deaths increased with age in nursing homes and declined in private homes. Significant predictors of death in a public hospital were age and socioeconomic status; the probability diminished with increasing age and was lower for those in the upper third for socioeconomic status. Predictors for dying in a private home were age and marital status; the probability diminished with age and in the absence of a spouse., Conclusions: Death as a hospice inpatient is comparatively rare in Victoria and the impact of hospice outpatient or domiciliary care on dying at home has yet to be established. Should death at home become a preferred option, the presence and ability of a spouse or other caregiver will be a significant factor.

We analysed data on admissions to Victorian public hospitals for surgical treatment of breast cancer over the period July 1985 to December 1988. Of the 2993 women admitted, 28.7% received breast-preserving surgery. The probability of a woman being treated conservatively was dependent on age, with women aged less than 50 or more than 70 years more likely to receive breast-preserving surgery than women aged 50-69. There was an age-specific change, of marginal statistical significance, in the proportion of women receiving breast-preserving surgery over the period. The public hospitals admissions database is a potentially useful means of monitoring patterns of surgical treatment.

A village-based programme of presumptive treatment of fever, using voluntary village aides to dispense oral chloroquine or amodiaquine, was established in 1982 by the Papua New Guinea Institute of Medical Research (PNG IMR) in 35 rural villages or hamlets near Madang, on the north coast of PNG. In the course of the following two years, village aides became an established health resource in many of those villages, although in others they were poorly utilized. In attempting to evaluate the impact of the programme on village health, a number of parameters were investigated. These included malaria-related mortality and morbidity, and the prevalence of parasitaemia and splenic enlargement in children in the study area. Deaths attributable to malaria, which accounted for 11% of deaths in the under-10 year age-group, and cerebral malaria cases were too few to be useful as parameters to evaluate the programme. No reduction in spleen or parasite rates occurred in children as a result of the village aide programme. In two villages, there was an unexplained increase in spleen rate following the introduction of a village aide. A study of malaria-related morbidity, by investigation of all fever cases occurring in a two-week recall period, was conducted in mid-1984. House-to-house interviews were carried out in 19 villages: 9 control villages, where there was no village aide, 6 where the village aide was well utilized, and 4 where the village aide was poorly utilized. The study showed that village aides had a measurable impact on morbidity due to fever in villages where they were well utilized, primarily by reducing the duration of fever through early treatment. The results also suggested that children benefitted even in the villages where the overall utilization of village aides was low. It is felt that such a programme would have had an even greater impact in areas where access to existing health services is more difficult than in the study area.

Trends in Australian mortality rates that have been ascribed to asthma and to non-tuberculous, non-malignant respiratory diseases were examined for the period 1979-1985. Mortality rates of asthma and respiratory diseases increased substantially from 1979 to 1985, and in the case of asthma, the crude death rate in 1985 was higher than at the peak of the "epidemic" of the 1960s. The increase in mortality of asthma was most pronounced in those of greater than 60 years of age (from 11.5 per 100,000 such population in 1979 to 22.9 per 100,000 such population in 1985). Asthma mortality rates in five- to 34-year-old persons increased, although there were marked yearly fluctuations, and deaths of asthma in this age-group comprised only a small percentage (13% in 1985) of all deaths of asthma. Reasons that are considered for the rising death rate of asthma include changes in diagnostic fashion; an increase in the incidence or a change in the natural history of asthma; and an increased case fatality rate. With the presently-available data, it is not possible to distinguish among these possible explanations.

As part of a multi-disciplinary malaria research programme in a rural area of Madang Province, the Papua New Guinea Institute of Medical Research (PNG IMR) in 1982 established a village-based intervention programme of presumptive treatment of fever in 35 villages (population about 5,200). Seventy-four villages aides, selected by people from their own village, attended two-week training courses conducted by PNG IMR staff, and were trained to dispense three-day courses of amodiaquine (for children) or chloroquine (for adults) to anyone presenting with fever (presumptive malaria). The majority of village aides, who were voluntary workers, were married men and women between the ages of 20 and 35 years, who had had up to six years' schooling. In 1983, 5,075 fever cases were treated by village aides, which represents a quarter of the number of fever episodes estimated to occur each year in this area. Utilization of village-aide services was variable, the most important determining factors being the personality and standing of the village aide, and the distance (walking time) to the village aide's house from the patient's house. The village aides' role was expanded to include taking blood slides, dispensing other medicines (aspirin and dressings), treatment of diarrhoea by oral rehydration, and registration of vital demographic events in the village. Regular supervision, currently undertaken on a two-weekly basis by PNG IMR staff, regular refresher courses, and, probably, some sort of compensation (not necessarily monetary) are important for the long-term continuation of the programme, which may serve as a model for other areas.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)