51. A Multifactorial Likelihood Model for MMR Gene Variant Classification Incorporating Probabilities Based on Sequence Bioinformatics and Tumor Characteristics: A Report from the Colon Cancer Family Registry
- Author
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Mark Clendenning, Steven Gallinger, Daniel D. Buchanan, Noralane M. Lindor, Bryony A. Thompson, Sean V. Tavtigian, Robert W. Haile, Carol Paterson, Sven Arnold, Joanne P. Young, D Walsh Michael, Mark A. Jenkins, Amanda B. Spurdle, Michael T. Parsons, Polly A. Newcomb, John L. Hopper, Loic LeMarchand, Rhiannon J. Walters, Stephen N. Thibodeau, and David E. Goldgar
- Subjects
Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf ,Proband ,Colorectal cancer ,DNA Mutational Analysis ,Biology ,Bioinformatics ,MLH1 ,DNA Mismatch Repair ,Article ,Germline mutation ,Genetics ,medicine ,Humans ,Clinical significance ,Registries ,Genetics (clinical) ,Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing ,Family Health ,Likelihood Functions ,Computational Biology ,Nuclear Proteins ,Microsatellite instability ,medicine.disease ,digestive system diseases ,Lynch syndrome ,DNA-Binding Proteins ,Alternative Splicing ,MutS Homolog 2 Protein ,Colonic Neoplasms ,Mutation ,Microsatellite Instability ,DNA mismatch repair ,MutL Protein Homolog 1 ,Microsatellite Repeats - Abstract
Mismatch repair (MMR) gene sequence variants of uncertain clinical significance are often identified in suspected Lynch syndrome families, and this constitutes a challenge for both researchers and clinicians. Multifactorial likelihood model approaches provide a quantitative measure of MMR variant pathogenicity, but first require input of likelihood ratios (LRs) for different MMR variation-associated characteristics from appropriate, well-characterized reference datasets. Microsatellite instability (MSI) and somatic BRAF tumor data for unselected colorectal cancer probands of known pathogenic variant status were used to derive LRs for tumor characteristics using the Colon Cancer Family Registry (CFR) resource. These tumor LRs were combined with variant segregation within families, and estimates of prior probability of pathogenicity based on sequence conservation and position, to analyze 44 unclassified variants identified initially in Australasian Colon CFR families. In addition, in vitro splicing analyses were conducted on the subset of variants based on bioinformatic splicing predictions. The LR in favor of pathogenicity was estimated to be ~12-fold for a colorectal tumor with a BRAF mutation-negative MSI-H phenotype. For 31 of the 44 variants, the posterior probabilities of pathogenicity were such that altered clinical management would be indicated. Our findings provide a working multifactorial likelihood model for classification that carefully considers mode of ascertainment for gene testing.
- Published
- 2012