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Multiple myeloma (MM) is a hematological malignancy characterized by the clonal proliferation of plasma cells in the bone marrow (BM) microenvironment. Despite the progress made in treatment, some MM patients still die within the first year of diagnosis. Numerous studies investigating microRNA (miRNA) expression patterns suggest they may be good prognostic markers. The primary aim of this study was to analyze the expression of selected miRNAs in the serum of MM patients who were later treated with bortezomib-based regimens, and to determine their potential to predict early mortality. The study was conducted in 70 prospectively recruited patients with newly diagnosed MM admitted to the Department of Hematology of the Copernicus Memorial Hospital, Lodz (Poland) between 2017 and 2021. Among them, 17 patients experienced death within 12 months of diagnosis. The expression of 31 selected miRNAs was determined using a miRCURY LNA miRNA Custom PCR Panel. The obtained clinical data included patient characteristics on diagnosis, treatment regimen, response to treatment, and follow-up. Differential expression analysis found two miRNAs to be significantly downregulated in the early mortality group: hsa-miR-328-3p (fold change—FC: 0.72, p = 0.0342) and hsa-miR-409-3p (FC: 0.49, p = 0.0357). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the early mortality rate. The final model consisted of hsa-miR-409-3p, hsa-miR-328-3p, age, and R-ISS 3. It yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.863 (95%CI: 0.761–0.965) with 88.2% sensitivity and 77.5% specificity. Further external validation of our model is needed to confirm its clinical value. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Elderly Prognostic Index (EPI) is based on the integration of a simplified geriatric assessment, hemoglobin levels and International Prognostic Index and has been validated to predict overall survival in older patients with diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma (DLBCL). In this study, we evaluated the ability of EPI to predict the risk of early mortality. This study included all patients registered in the Elderly Project for whom treatment details and a minimum follow‐up of 3 months were available. Three main treatment groups were identified based on the anthracycline amount administered: cases receiving >70% of the theoretical anthracyclines dose (Full Dose [FD] group), ≤70% (Reduced Dose [RD]) and palliative therapy (PT; no anthracyclines). The primary endpoint was early mortality rate, defined as death for any cause occurring within 90 days from diagnosis. We identified 1150 patients with a median age of 76 years (range 65–94). Overall, 69 early deaths were observed, accounting for 19% of all reported deaths. The cumulative rate of early mortality at 90 days was 6.0%. Comparing early with delayed deaths, we observed a lower frequency of deaths due to lymphoma progression (42% vs. 75%; p < 0.001) and a higher frequency due to toxicity and infections (22% vs. 4%, p < 0.001, and 22% vs. 3%, p < 0.001, respectively) for early events. A multivariable logistic analysis on 931 patients (excluding PT) confirmed an independent association of high‐risk EPI (odds ratio [OR] 3.60; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15–11.2) and bulky disease (OR 2.08; 95% CI 1.09–3.97) with the risk of early mortality. The cumulative incidence of early mortality for older patients with DLBCL is not negligible and is mainly associated with non‐lymphoma related events. For patients receiving anthracyclines, high‐risk EPI and bulky disease are associated with a higher probability of early mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For older patients with decreased reserve function, traumatic cervical spine injuries frequently lead to early mortality. However, the prognostic factors for early mortality remain unclear. This study included patients aged ≥65 years and hospitalized for treatment of traumatic cervical spine injuries in 78 hospitals between 2010 and 2020. Early mortality was defined as death within 90 days after injury. We evaluated the relationship between early mortality and the following factors: age, sex, body mass index, history of drinking and smoking, injury mechanisms, presence of a cervical spine fracture and dislocation, cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament, diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis, American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale, concomitant injury, pre-existing comorbidities, steroid administration, and treatment plan. Overall, 1512 patients (mean age, 75.8 ± 6.9 years) were included in the study. The early mortality rate was 4.0%. Multivariate analysis identified older age (OR = 1.1, p < 0.001), male sex (OR = 3.7, p = 0.009), cervical spine fracture (OR = 4.2, p < 0.001), complete motor paralysis (OR = 8.4, p < 0.001), and chronic kidney disease (OR = 5.3, p < 0.001) as risk factors for early mortality. Older age, male sex, cervical spine fracture, complete motor paralysis, and chronic kidney disease are prognostic factors for early mortality in older patients with traumatic cervical spine injuries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Targeted therapies combined with anthracycline chemotherapy have improved the survival of patients with acute promyelocytic leukaemia (APL). High short-term mortality has been demonstrated in low- and upper-middle-income countries, with limited local data. Aim: This study aimed to describe the demographic variables, clinical characteristics and laboratory features associated with the short-term mortality of patients with APL. Setting: The Division of Clinical Haematology, Universitas Academic Hospital (UAH), Bloemfontein, South Africa. Methods: Demographic and clinical data were obtained from the patients' files and the MEDITECH electronic filing system. Laboratory data were retrieved from TrakCare, the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) electronic database. Data were analysed to report the demographic variables, clinical characteristics and laboratory features, and the short-term mortality of all newly diagnosed patients treated for APL during the 5-year period, 2015–2019. Results: Twenty-seven patients were included in this study. The 7-day mortality rate was 18.5%, and the 30-day mortality rate was 33.3%. Sanz and modified Sanz scores were significantly associated with 7-day mortality but not 30-day mortality. Creatinine ≥ 105 µmol/L was significantly associated with both 7- and 30-day mortalities. Patients who died within the first 30 days of admission had significantly higher median white cell counts and partial thromboplastin times. Hypogranular APL was identified in 55.6% of patients. Conclusion: The short-term mortality of APL at UAH is in keeping with findings at other treatment centres in middle-income countries. Despite being considered rare, hypogranular APL was the predominant type in this cohort. Contribution: This study highlights the need for practices pertaining to peripheral smear utility and interpretation to be reviewed outside of tertiary centres. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Despite therapeutic advances, lung cancer remains the first cause of death from cancer. The main objective of this study was to identify risk factors associated with death within 3- months of the first hospitalization for lung cancer in France. Methods: This analysis included patients with a first hospitalization for lung cancer (between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2018) according to diagnosisrelated groups entered into the French national medical- administrative database. Clinical and socioeconomic parameters and characteristics of that first hospitalization were analyzed. A model predictive of early mortality was developed based on those variables. Results: The 144,087 included patients were 67% men; median age of 68 [interquartile range 60-76] years; 47% had metastatic disease at diagnosis; and 34% and 23%, respectively, had received systemic treatment or undergone curative surgery. The 3-month mortality was 19%, and significantly higher for those ≥70 versus <70 years old (OR 1.33, 1.22-1.45), men versus. women (OR 1.50, 1.44-1.55), those with metastatic disease at diagnosis (OR, 3.30, 3.18-3.43), first hospitalization via the emergency room (OR 1.65 1.59-1.71) and first hospitalization lasting >30 days (OR, 1.58 1.49-1.68). In contrast, no socioeconomic characteristic was associated with early mortality. Conclusion: Almost 1 in 5 patients diagnosed with lung cancer in France died within 3 months post- diagnosis. Improving survival requires diagnosis at an earlier stage and better organization of diagnosis and specific care pathways. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Individuals with serious mental illness (SMI) experience a 10–25-year reduced life expectancy when compared to the general population that is due, in part, to poor health behaviors. Yet, in spite of the development of health promotion and self-management interventions designed for people with SMI to promote health behavior change, the mortality gap has increased, suggesting that relevant factors are not being addressed. The objective of the present study was to explore potential contributors to early mortality among individuals with SMI by drawing from the lived experience of certified peer support specialists and service users (SUs). Method: Face-to-face semistructured interviews were conducted with a convenience sample of SU participants (n = 17) and certified peer specialists (n = 15). Qualitative data were analyzed using a grounded-theory approach. Results: We identified a final set of 27 codes relating to five overarching themes that relate to both risk factors and protective factors for early death: social connectedness (24.1% of coded items), treatment (21.3%), coping (21.3%), physical health and wellness (18.5%), and resilience and mental health (14.8%). Conclusions and Implications for Practice: Findings add to the literature supporting the powerful role of social processes in shaping health in people with SMI beyond social determinants of health (SDOH; e.g., income, employment) and health behavior change. Interventions that reduce loneliness and isolation in combination with addressing more conventional SDOH may have the most potential to reduce early mortality in people with SMI. Impact and Implications: Individuals with serious mental illness (SMI) die earlier than those without. We interviewed certified peer support specialists and service users to explore potential reasons for this mortality gap. They most frequently identified social connectedness as relevant to mortality, as well as treatment, coping, physical health/wellness, and resilience/mental health. Interventions that promote social connectedness in conjunction with health behaviors may be most effective for preventing early death among people with SMI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: The acceptable safety profile of immunotherapy may affect the risk-benefit ratio analysis of treatment prescription near the late stage of life for advanced non-small cell lung cancer patients. The aim of our retrospective study was to describe the clinical characteristics of patients receiving immunotherapy in the last stages of life and to evaluate the accuracy in predicting short-time mortality of LIPI and PaPwCPS scores. Our findings demonstrated an increased tendency in immunotherapy use in during the last month of life. In this context, a laboratory and clinical score such as the PaPwCPS may improve the physician's ability to predict early mortality for immunotherapy-eligible patients. Background: An acceptable risk-benefit ratio may encourage the prescription of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) near the late stage of life. The lung immune prognostic index (LIPI) was validated in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with ICIs. The palliative prognostic (PaP) score without clinical prediction of survival (PaPwCPS) predicts early mortality probability in terminal cancer patients. Methods: We performed a retrospective study including 182 deceased advanced NSCLC patients, treated with single-agent ICI at our Institution. Two prognostic categories of high and low mortality risk were identified through ROC curve analysis for PaPwCPS and LIPI scores. Results: Most were >65 years of age (68.3%) and received second-line ICI (61.2%). A total of 29 (15.9%) and 131 (72.0%) patients died within 30 and 90 days from treatment start, respectively. A total of 81 patients (44.5%) received ICI during the last month of life. Baseline PaPwCPS and LIPI scores were assessable for 78 patients. The AUC of ROC curves was significantly increased for PaPwCPS as compared with LIPI score for both 30-day and 90-day mortality. A high PaPwCPS score was associated in multivariate analysis with increased 30-day (HR 2.69, p = 0.037) and 90-day (HR 4.01, p < 0.001) mortality risk. A high LIPI score was associated with increased 90-day mortality risk (p < 0.001). Conclusion: We found a tendency towards ICI prescription near the late stage of life. The PaPwCPS score was a reliable predictor of 30- and 90-day mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The early crossing of survival curves in randomised clinical trials (RCTs) with immune checkpoint blockers suggests an excess of mortality in the first months of treatment. However, the exact estimation of the early death (ED) rate, the comparison between ED upon immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) alone or in combination with other agents and the impact of tumour type, and PD-L1 expression on ED are unknown. RCTs comparing ICI alone (ICI-only group) or in combination with other non-ICI therapies (ICI-OT group) (experimental arms) versus non-ICI treatments (control arm) were included. ED was defined as death within the first 3 months of treatment. The primary outcome was the comparison of ED between experimental and control arms, and the secondary outcome was the comparison of ED risk between ICI-only and ICI-OT. ED rates estimated by risk ratio (RR) were pooled by random effect model. A total of 56 RCTs (40,215 participants, 14 cancer types) were included. ED occurred in 14.2% and 6.7% of patients in ICI-only and ICI-OT groups, respectively. ED risk significantly increased with ICI-only (RR: 1.29, 95% CI 1.05–1.57) versus non-ICI therapies, while it was lower with ICI-OT versus non-ICI treatments (RR: 0.81, 95% CI 0.73–0.90). ED risk was significantly higher upon ICI-only compared to ICI-OT (RR: 1.57, 95% CI 1.26–1.95). Gastric and urothelial carcinoma were at higher risk of ED. PD-L1 expression and ICI drug classes were not associated with ED. ED upon first-line ICI is a clinically relevant phenomenon across solid malignancies, not predictable by PD-L1 expression but preventable through the addition of other treatments to ICI. • This meta-analysis quantifies excess of early mortality upon first-line immunotherapy in solid tumors. • Early mortality risk increases with immunotherapy alone versus other treatments. • Neither PD-L1 levels nor class of immune checkpoint inhibitors predict early mortality. • Gastric and urothelial carcinoma are at higher risk of early mortality upon immunotherapy. • Immunotherapy combination strategies can prevent early mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Combined cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC) to treat peritoneal surface malignancy (PSM) has gained a positive result compared with palliative chemotherapy alone in several cancer types. However, its postoperative care could be challenging. We aimed to develop a predicting model on early mortality. We retrospectively reviewed 132 PSM patients who had received CRS-HIPEC. The optimal cut-off value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was determined as 4.4 by using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.75. The impact of NLR on survival was elucidated by comparing the pre-operative low (NLR≤ 4.4, n = 101) and high (NLR> 4.4, n = 31) groups using the Kaplan-Meier method. The significant variables selected in multivariate analysis on early mortality were used in prediction model development. Multivariate analysis showed that incomplete CRS, major postoperative complications, higher pre-operative NLR, and dynamic NLR changes were significant predictors of early mortality. Our perioperative prediction of prognosis (triple P) model contained four independent risks, and the AUC after classification was 0.860 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.773–0.947). External validation confirmed positive discrimination ability (AUC: 0.808, 95% CI: 0.666–0.950). In conclusion, our triple P model provides great determination in outcomes prediction and it is easily obtained, reliable, and applicable in routine practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Background: Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) are a group of patients with heterogeneous risks for adverse outcomes with COVID-19, but risk stratification tools in this patient group are lacking. Methods and participants: This retrospective observational, hypothesis-generating study included 49 hospitalized adult KTR patients with COVID-19 at the University Hospital of Split (August 2020 to October 2021) and evaluated the performance of novel risk score CROW-65 (age, Charlson Comorbidity Index [CCI] lactate dehydrogenase to white blood cell [LDH:WBC] ratio, and respiratory rate oxygenation [ROX index]). The primary outcome of the study was 30-day postdischarge all-cause mortality. Results: A total of 8 fatal events (16.3%) occurred during the study follow-up. When comparing CROW-65 by survival status, it was significantly increased in patients with fatal event (P < 0.001). Using the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, the CROW-65 risk score showed statistically significant association with mortality (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01–1.23, P = 0.027), while receiving operator characteristics (ROC) showed significant discrimination of all-cause mortality with an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.72–0.94, P < 0.001), and satisfactory calibration (χ2 4.91, P = 0.555 and Harrell's C 0.835). Finally, survival Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed significantly higher cumulative incidence of mortality with increasing risk score tertiles and curve separation after 13 days (P = 0.009). Conclusion: A novel risk score CROW-65 showed significant association with all-cause mortality in KTR yielding important hypothesis-generating findings. Further powered studies should reassess the performance of CROW-65 risk score in this population, including predictability, calibration and discrimination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim and objective: Ventricular Septal Rupture (VSR) is a fatal mechanical complication of myocardial infarction. The aim of this study is to evaluate the early outcomes of the surgical repair and also to identify the risk factors related to early mortality at our centre. Materials and methods: It is a retrospective study that includes the assessment of clinical data of 8 adult patients with post infarct VSR who underwent surgical repair at our centre. The study duration was between January 2017 and December 2021. All the patients included in the study underwent surgical repair of Post infarct VSR. Results: The median age of the patients was 68 years (Range 52–77 years). The most common location of VSR was predominantly in the anterior and apical septum (62.5%). The overall early mortality in our study was 50% (n = 4). The risk factors and preoperative complications were similar among the survivors and non survivors. Conclusion: Post infarct ventricular septal repair has high early operative mortality. It is difficult to predict the risk factors contributing to the high rate of early mortality in these patients.

Background Limited research has explored early mortality among patients presenting with septic shock. The objective of this study was to determine the incidence and factors associated with early death following emergency department (ED) presentation of septic shock. Methods A prospective registry of patients enrolled in an ED septic shock clinical pathway was used to identify patients. Patients were compared across demographic, comorbid, clinical, and treatment variables by death within 72 hours of ED presentation. Results Among the sample of 2,414 patients, overall hospital mortality was 20.6%. Among patients who died in the hospital, mean and median time from ED presentation to death were 4.96 days and 2.28 days, respectively. Death at 24, 48, and 72 hours occurred in 5.5%, 9.5%, and 11.5% of patients, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that the following factors were independently associated with early mortality: age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.05), malignancy (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.11–2.11), pneumonia (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.02–1.88), urinary tract infection (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.44–0.89), first shock index (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.27–2.70), early vasopressor use (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.60–2.92), initial international normalized ratio (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07–1.27), initial albumin (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44–0.69), and first serum lactate (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.16–1.26). Conclusions Adult septic shock patients experience a high rate of early mortality within 72 hours of ED arrival. Recognizable clinical factors may aid the identification of patients at risk of early death.

Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) are recommended in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients to reduce arrhythmic deaths. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with mortality within one-year following the ICD. The data from our hospital's electronic database system was extracted for patients who were implanted ICD secondary to HFrEF between 2009 and 2019. Overall, 1107 patients were included in the present analysis. Mortality rate at one-year following the device implantation was 4.7%. In multivariate analysis; age, atrial fibrillation, New York Heart Association classification >2, blood urea nitrogen, pro-brain natriuretic peptide and albumin independently predicted one year mortality.

Introduction: Chronic kidney disease has significant morbidity and mortality worldwide. Various studies have demonstrated that incident patients experience a higher mortality rate within the first 3 months of dialysis. Methods: A single-center retrospective case-control study (1:3) was performed to determine early (

Introduction: Pathogenic variants in STXBP1 cause a spectrum of disorders mainly consisting of developmental and epileptic encephalopathy (DEE), often featuring drug-resistant epilepsy. An increased mortality risk occurs in individuals with drug-resistant epilepsy and DEE, with sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) often the major cause of death. This study aimed to identify the rate and causes of mortality in STXBP1-related disorders.Through an international call, we analyzed data on individuals with STXBP1 pathogenic variants, who passed away from causes related to their disease.We estimated a mortality rate of 3.2% (31/966), based on the STXBP1 Foundation and the STXBP1 Global Connect registry. In total, we analyzed data on 40 individuals (23 males) harboring pathogenic STXBP1 variants, collected from different centers worldwide. They died at a median age of 13 years (range: 11 months—46 years). The most common cause of death was SUDEP (36%), followed by pulmonary infections and respiratory complications (33%). The incidence of SUDEP peaked in mid-childhood, while non-SUDEP causes were more frequent in early childhood or adulthood (p = 0.006). In the most severe phenotypes, death was related to non-SUDEP causes (p = 0.018).We found a mortality rate in STXBP1-related disorders similar to other DEEs, with an early age at death and SUDEP as well as pulmonary infections as the main cause of death. These findings assist in prognostic evaluation and genetic counseling for the families. They help to define the mortality risk of STXBP1-related disorders and implement preventative strategies.Methods: Pathogenic variants in STXBP1 cause a spectrum of disorders mainly consisting of developmental and epileptic encephalopathy (DEE), often featuring drug-resistant epilepsy. An increased mortality risk occurs in individuals with drug-resistant epilepsy and DEE, with sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) often the major cause of death. This study aimed to identify the rate and causes of mortality in STXBP1-related disorders.Through an international call, we analyzed data on individuals with STXBP1 pathogenic variants, who passed away from causes related to their disease.We estimated a mortality rate of 3.2% (31/966), based on the STXBP1 Foundation and the STXBP1 Global Connect registry. In total, we analyzed data on 40 individuals (23 males) harboring pathogenic STXBP1 variants, collected from different centers worldwide. They died at a median age of 13 years (range: 11 months—46 years). The most common cause of death was SUDEP (36%), followed by pulmonary infections and respiratory complications (33%). The incidence of SUDEP peaked in mid-childhood, while non-SUDEP causes were more frequent in early childhood or adulthood (p = 0.006). In the most severe phenotypes, death was related to non-SUDEP causes (p = 0.018).We found a mortality rate in STXBP1-related disorders similar to other DEEs, with an early age at death and SUDEP as well as pulmonary infections as the main cause of death. These findings assist in prognostic evaluation and genetic counseling for the families. They help to define the mortality risk of STXBP1-related disorders and implement preventative strategies.Results: Pathogenic variants in STXBP1 cause a spectrum of disorders mainly consisting of developmental and epileptic encephalopathy (DEE), often featuring drug-resistant epilepsy. An increased mortality risk occurs in individuals with drug-resistant epilepsy and DEE, with sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) often the major cause of death. This study aimed to identify the rate and causes of mortality in STXBP1-related disorders.Through an international call, we analyzed data on individuals with STXBP1 pathogenic variants, who passed away from causes related to their disease.We estimated a mortality rate of 3.2% (31/966), based on the STXBP1 Foundation and the STXBP1 Global Connect registry. In total, we analyzed data on 40 individuals (23 males) harboring pathogenic STXBP1 variants, collected from different centers worldwide. They died at a median age of 13 years (range: 11 months—46 years). The most common cause of death was SUDEP (36%), followed by pulmonary infections and respiratory complications (33%). The incidence of SUDEP peaked in mid-childhood, while non-SUDEP causes were more frequent in early childhood or adulthood (p = 0.006). In the most severe phenotypes, death was related to non-SUDEP causes (p = 0.018).We found a mortality rate in STXBP1-related disorders similar to other DEEs, with an early age at death and SUDEP as well as pulmonary infections as the main cause of death. These findings assist in prognostic evaluation and genetic counseling for the families. They help to define the mortality risk of STXBP1-related disorders and implement preventative strategies.Conclusion: Pathogenic variants in STXBP1 cause a spectrum of disorders mainly consisting of developmental and epileptic encephalopathy (DEE), often featuring drug-resistant epilepsy. An increased mortality risk occurs in individuals with drug-resistant epilepsy and DEE, with sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) often the major cause of death. This study aimed to identify the rate and causes of mortality in STXBP1-related disorders.Through an international call, we analyzed data on individuals with STXBP1 pathogenic variants, who passed away from causes related to their disease.We estimated a mortality rate of 3.2% (31/966), based on the STXBP1 Foundation and the STXBP1 Global Connect registry. In total, we analyzed data on 40 individuals (23 males) harboring pathogenic STXBP1 variants, collected from different centers worldwide. They died at a median age of 13 years (range: 11 months—46 years). The most common cause of death was SUDEP (36%), followed by pulmonary infections and respiratory complications (33%). The incidence of SUDEP peaked in mid-childhood, while non-SUDEP causes were more frequent in early childhood or adulthood (p = 0.006). In the most severe phenotypes, death was related to non-SUDEP causes (p = 0.018).We found a mortality rate in STXBP1-related disorders similar to other DEEs, with an early age at death and SUDEP as well as pulmonary infections as the main cause of death. These findings assist in prognostic evaluation and genetic counseling for the families. They help to define the mortality risk of STXBP1-related disorders and implement preventative strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Endovascular middle cerebral artery occlusion (MCAO) is a widely used experimental ischemic stroke model. However, the model carries high early mortality. Our aim was to investigate the factors that influence early mortality within 48 h of reperfusion after transient MCAO. Using C57BL/6 mice, we induced 1-hour endovascular filament MCAO. To introduce heterogeneity of infarct volumes, a subset of animals had additional tandem common carotid artery occlusion (MCAO+CCAO). Continuous video monitoring was used to gain insight into the cause of death. Mortality within 48 h was 25% in the pooled cohort. All animals with early mortality suffered from infarcts in the hippocampus, sometimes accompanied by infarcts in the thalamus and midbrain, which occurred exclusively in the MCAO+CCAO group. All animals with early mortality developed convulsive seizures captured on video monitoring. None of the animals that did not develop convulsive seizures died. Among the three regions, hippocampal infarction appeared necessary for convulsive seizures and early mortality. Our data highlight seizures as the primary cause of mortality within the first 48 h after endovascular filament MCAO, linked to hippocampal infarction. Since hippocampal blood supply is mainly from the posterior cerebral artery (PCA), avoiding concurrent PCA ischemia can decrease mortality in proximal MCAO models. • MCAO+CCAO stroke model resulted in higher mortality compared to the MCAO alone model. • All early death animals showed PCA territory infarction, especially in the hippocampus. • All early death animals displayed seizure behaviors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Purpose The aim of this study was to investigate the epidemiological characteristics and associated risk factors of recurrent lower-grade glioma [LGG] (WHO grades II and III) according to the 2016 updated WHO classification paradigm and finally develop a model for predicting early mortality (succumb within a year after reoperation) in recurrent LGG patients. Methods Data were obtained from consecutive patients who underwent surgery for primary LGG and reoperation for tumor recurrence. The end point “early mortality” was defined as death within 1 year after the reoperation. Predictive factors, including basic clinical characteristics and laboratory data, were retrospectively collected. Results A final nomogram was generated for surgically treated recurrent LGG. Factors that increased the probability of early mortality included older age (P = 0.042), D-dimer> 0.187 (P = 0.007), RDW > 13.4 (P = 0.048), PLR > 100.749 (P = 0.014), NLR > 1.815 (P = 0.047), 1p19q intact (P = 0.019), IDH1-R132H Mutant (P = 0.048), Fib≤2.80 (P = 0.018), lack of Stupp concurrent chemoradiotherapy (P = 0.041), and an initial symptom of epilepsy (P = 0.047). The calibration curve between the prediction from this model and the actual observations showed good agreement. Conclusion: A nomogram that predicts individualized probabilities of early mortality for surgically treated recurrent LGG patients could be a practical clinical tool for counseling patients regarding treatment decisions and optimizing therapeutic approaches. Free online software implementing this nomogram is provided at https://warrenwrl.shinyapps.io/RecurrenceGliomaEarlyM/

Background: Targeted therapies combined with anthracycline chemotherapy have improved the survival of patients with acute promyelocytic leukaemia (APL). High short-term mortality has been demonstrated in low- and upper-middle-income countries, with limited local data. Aim: This study aimed to describe the demographic variables, clinical characteristics and laboratory features associated with the short-term mortality of patients with APL. Setting: The Division of Clinical Haematology, Universitas Academic Hospital (UAH), Bloemfontein, South Africa. Methods: Demographic and clinical data were obtained from the patients’ files and the MEDITECH electronic filing system. Laboratory data were retrieved from TrakCare, the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) electronic database. Data were analysed to report the demographic variables, clinical characteristics and laboratory features, and the short-term mortality of all newly diagnosed patients treated for APL during the 5-year period, 2015–2019. Results: Twenty-seven patients were included in this study. The 7-day mortality rate was 18.5%, and the 30-day mortality rate was 33.3%. Sanz and modified Sanz scores were significantly associated with 7-day mortality but not 30-day mortality. Creatinine ≥ 105 µmol/L was significantly associated with both 7- and 30-day mortalities. Patients who died within the first 30 days of admission had significantly higher median white cell counts and partial thromboplastin times. Hypogranular APL was identified in 55.6% of patients. Conclusion: The short-term mortality of APL at UAH is in keeping with findings at other treatment centres in middle-income countries. Despite being considered rare, hypogranular APL was the predominant type in this cohort. Contribution: This study highlights the need for practices pertaining to peripheral smear utility and interpretation to be reviewed outside of tertiary centres.

PurposeUsing an ensemble machine learning technique that incorporates the results of multiple machine learning algorithms, the study’s objective is to build a reliable model to predict the early mortality among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with bone metastases.MethodsWe extracted a cohort of 124,770 patients with a diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program and enrolled a cohort of 1897 patients who were diagnosed as having bone metastases. Patients with a survival time of 3 months or less were considered to have had early death. To compare patients with and without early mortality, subgroup analysis was used. Patients were randomly divided into two groups: a training cohort (n = 1509, 80%) and an internal testing cohort (n = 388, 20%). In the training cohort, five machine learning techniques were employed to train and optimize models for predicting early mortality, and an ensemble machine learning technique was used to generate risk probability in a way of soft voting, and it was able to combine the results from the multiply machine learning algorithms. The study employed both internal and external validations, and the key performance indicators included the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Brier score, and calibration curve. Patients from two tertiary hospitals were chosen as the external testing cohorts (n = 98). Feature importance and reclassification were both operated in the study.ResultsThe early mortality was 55.5% (1052/1897). Eleven clinical characteristics were included as input features of machine learning models: sex (p = 0.019), marital status (p = 0.004), tumor stage (p = 0.025), node stage (p = 0.001), fibrosis score (p = 0.040), AFP level (p = 0.032), tumor size (p = 0.001), lung metastases (p < 0.001), cancer-directed surgery (p < 0.001), radiation (p < 0.001), and chemotherapy (p < 0.001). Application of the ensemble model in the internal testing population yielded an AUROC of 0.779 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.727–0.820), which was the largest AUROC among all models. Additionally, the ensemble model (0.191) outperformed the other five machine learning models in terms of Brier score. In terms of decision curves, the ensemble model also showed favorable clinical usefulness. External validation showed similar results; with an AUROC of 0.764 and Brier score of 0.195, the prediction performance was further improved after revision of the model. Feature importance demonstrated that the top three most crucial features were chemotherapy, radiation, and lung metastases based on the ensemble model. Reclassification of patients revealed a substantial difference in the two risk groups’ actual probabilities of early mortality (74.38% vs. 31.35%, p < 0.001). Patients in the high-risk group had significantly shorter survival time than patients in the low-risk group (p < 0.001), according to the Kaplan–Meier survival curve.ConclusionsThe ensemble machine learning model exhibits promising prediction performance for early mortality among HCC patients with bone metastases. With the aid of routinely accessible clinical characteristics, this model can be a trustworthy prognostic tool to predict the early death of those patients and facilitate clinical decision-making.

BackgroundHemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a rapidly progressive and potentially life-threatening disorder. Identifying risk factors and timely adjustment of the given treatment regimens is critical to reducing the early mortality in HLH patients. Hypocholesterolemia has been reported to be associated with poor prognosis in a variety of critical illnesses. However, serum cholesterol is rarely studied in HLH patients, and its prognostic value is unclear.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study in National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders (Chongqing), identifying pediatric HLH patients (including genetically confirmed pHLH and not genetically confirmed pHLH) diagnosed with the HLH-2004 protocol and treated with immunochemotherapy between January 2008 and December 2020. The patients' blood lipid levels at initial diagnosis of HLH, including triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), were reviewed based on electronic medical records. Both Cox and logistic regression models were used to estimate the effects of blood lipid indicators on early death (within 30 days after diagnosis).ResultsA total of 353 patients were enrolled in the study, with a median age at diagnosis of 45 months. The observed 30-day mortality rate was 19.05% (64/336, 17 were lost to follow-up) and Kaplan-Meier-estimated 3-year survival rate was 61.67% (95% CI, 56.27%–67.59%). DNA-targeted sequencing of HLH-related genes was performed in 173 (49.0%, 173/353) patients (not all patients with suspected pHLH underwent genetic testing), and 29 patients were diagnosed with genetically confirmed pHLH. Lipid panel was performed in 349 patients: 91.98% (321/349) had TG ≥ 1.80 mmol/L, 62.75%(219/349) had TG ≥ 3.00 mmol/L, 92.84% (324/349) had HDL-C ≤ 1.04 mmol/L, 58.74% (205/349) had LDL-C ≤ 1.30 mmol/L and 24.64% (86/349) had TC ≤ 3.11 mmol/L. TC ≤ 3.11 mmol/L and BUN ≥ 7.14 mmol/L were the independent risk factors for 30-day mortality [HR(95%CI): 2.85(1.46, 5.57) and 2.90(1.48, 5.68), respectively]. The presence of one of these risk factors increased the 30-day mortality rate by 6-fold [HR = 6.24, 95%CI: (3.18, 12.22)] and the presence of two risk factors by nearly 10-fold [HR = 9.98, 95%CI: (4.23, 23.56)] compared with the patients with no risk factors.ConclusionSevere derangement of lipoproteins is common in children with HLH, and decreased TC is an independent risk factor for early death. Hypocholesterolemia should be included as a biomarker during the diagnosis and management of HLH patients.

Background: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is the main type of adult leukemia, and 60-day mortality is a vital clinical problem that doctors have to face at the begin with treatment. Studies on the association between serum albumin and 60-day mortality from AML (non-APL) are limited.Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, ALB was measured after admission in all patients diagnosed with primary AML from Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital of Nanchang University between January 2013 and May 2021. The outcome was all-cause, 60-day mortality. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to calculate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI).Results: This study included 394 primary AML patients. The overall 60-day mortality was 28.9% (114/394); it was 43.1% (56/130), 27.5% (36/131), and 16.5% (22/133) for ALB quantile1 (Q, < 34.5 g/L), quantile 2 (Q2, 34.5-38.5 g/L), and quantile 3 (Q3, ≥ 38.6 g/L), respectively (P = 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, we found an association between a 6% decrease in 60-day mortality rate and a 1 g/L increase in ALB level (HR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99, P = 0.015), which was associated with 38 and 70% decreases in 60-day mortality rates in Q2 (HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.30-0.86, P = 0.012) and Q3 (HR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.2 5-0.90, P = 0.022), respectively, compared with that in Q1. Similar results were obtained after subgrouping based on an ALB level of 35 g/L (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.34-0.88, P = 0.013).Conclusions: Serum albumin was significantly associated with 60-day mortality of primary AML, which has important clinical significance. Further investigation is warranted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Metastatic colon cancer (mCC) poses a great threat to the survival of patients suffering from it. In the past decade, many clinical trials have been carried out to improve the prognosis of patients with mCC. Numerous treatments have emerged, and satisfactory efficacy has been demonstrated in randomized phase III trials in highly selective patients with mCC. Our present study aims to investigate whether these therapeutic advances can be reflected to the broader mCC patients who performed cytoreductive colectomy. Method: General and prognostic data for patients diagnosed with mCC who underwent cytoreductive colectomy between 2004-2018 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model. The hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to evaluate the influence of risk factors on prognosis. Results: A total of 26,301 patients diagnosed with mCC treated with cytoreductive colectomy were included in this study. The median overall survival was 19 months (range, 17-23). The good prognosis was associated with patients diagnosed at the most recent year, younger age, non-black race, female, married, without previous history of malignancy, no second malignancy onset, descending/sigmoid/splenic flexure colon tumor, normal CEA levels at diagnosis, low primary tumor burden, T1/T2 stage, N0 stage, single organ metastasis, underwent surgical resection of synchronous distant metastatic lymph nodes or organs, a high number of lymph-node examinations, low positive lymph-node ratio and received adjuvant chemotherapy. The 2004 to 57.8% in 2016 (p < 0.001)]. The percentage of patients who died within 3 months decreased between 2004 and 2018 (from 19.6% to 15.7%; p < 0.001). proportion of patients surviving for =24 months increased from 37% in 2004 to 44.2% in 2016 (p < 0.001), especially in =49 years patients [46.8% in. Conclusion: Over a span of 15 years, the long-term survival has improved in real-world mCC patients who were treated with cytoreductive colectomy, especially among younger patients. However, the median overall survival remains not substantial. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aims: In patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC), curative-intent radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is associated with considerable toxicity, and approximately half of the patients die within two years. A better understanding of early mortality is needed to improve patient selection and guide supportive interventions. In this population-based, nationwide cohort study, we investigated the incidence, temporal distribution, and risk factors of early mortality., Materials and Methods: Patients with stage II-III NSCLC treated with curative-intent RT/CRT in Denmark from 2010-2017 were included. Patients treated with preoperative or postoperative RT/CRT or stereotactic body radiation therapy were excluded. Early mortality was defined as all-cause death within 180 days from RT/CRT initiation. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess the impact of clinical and demographic variables., Results: We included 1742 patients. The early mortality rate was 10%. The temporal distribution of deaths was uniform across the first year following RT/CRT, indicating the absence of a high-risk period. In multivariable analysis, increasing age and performance status, male sex, and unspecified histology (NSCLC not otherwise specified) were associated with an increased risk. By contrast, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), TNM stage, and treatment period did not significantly alter the risk of early mortality. Overall survival rates improved throughout the inclusion period but early mortality rates did not., Conclusion: No high-risk period for early mortality could be identified. Early mortality was not associated with CCI and other tools should be explored to quantify comorbidity for risk stratification in this setting., (Copyright © 2024 The Royal College of Radiologists. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Revision total hip arthroplasty (rTHA) is associated with an extended surgical period, an increased hospitalization period, expanded blood loss, and high mortality rates. The purpose of the present study was to assess the risk factors that contribute to in-hospital mortality following aseptic rTHA., Methods: We performed a retrospective examination of the medical records of all patients who underwent elective rTHA surgery at our tertiary referral arthroplasty center between March 1996 and March 2019. The study involved a group of 13,203 patients, including 70 who expired during hospitalization and 13,133 in the control group. Baseline characteristics, medical history, comorbidities, and surgery-related parameters of the patients were recorded. Logistic regression analyses were performed to examine the association between independent variables and in-hospital mortalities, which were presented as odds ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals (CIs)., Results: Patient factors associated with in-hospital mortality included hepatitis C (OR 75.5, 95% CI 3.5 to 1,625.2), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 30.7, 95% CI 6.5 to 145.7), rheumatoid arthritis (OR 28.9, 95% CI 3.8 to 218.5), history of myocardial infarction (OR 24.9, 95% CI 4.4 to 140.8), history of cerebrovascular disease (OR 23.1, 95% CI 3.8 to 142), congestive heart failure (OR 18.9, 95% CI 3.8 to 94.2), and diabetes mellitus (OR 10.2, 95% CI 2.4 to 42.6). Surgical factors included the history of multiple prior revisions (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.7), postoperative blood transfusion (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.1 to 7.3), and decreased preoperative hemoglobin (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.7 to 3.1)., Conclusions: Several patient-related and intraoperative factors significantly increased the risk of in-hospital mortality following aseptic rTHA. Vigilance and close perioperative monitoring are essential for patients undergoing this complex surgery., Level of Evidence: III., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background Generally, lactate levels > 2 mmol/L represent hyperlactatemia, whereas lactic acidosis is often defined as lactate > 4 mmol/L. Although hyperlactatemia is common finding in liver transplant (LT) candidates, association between lactate and organ failures with Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is poorly studied. We searched the important variables for pre-LT hyperlactatemia and examined the impact of preoperative hyperlactatemia on early mortality after LT. Methods A total of 2,002 patients from LT registry between January 2008 and February 2019 were analyzed. Six organ failures (liver, kidney, brain, coagulation, circulation, and lung) were defined by criteria of EASL-CLIF ACLF Consortium. Variable importance of preoperative hyperlactatemia was examined by machine learning using random survival forest (RSF). Kaplan-Meier Survival curve analysis was performed to assess 90-day mortality. Results Median lactate level was 1.9 mmol/L (interquartile range: 1.4, 2.4 mmol/L) and 107 (5.3%) patients showed > 4.0 mmol/L. RSF analysis revealed that the four most important variables for hyperlactatemia were MELD score, circulatory failure, hemoglobin, and respiratory failure. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were 2.7% and 5.1%, whereas patients with lactate > 4.0 mmol/L showed increased rate of 15.0% and 19.6%, respectively. Conclusion About 50% and 5% of LT candidates showed pre-LT hyperlactatemia of > 2.0 mmol/L and > 4.0 mmol/L, respectively. Pre-LT lactate > 4.0 mmol/L was associated with increased early post-LT mortality. Our results suggest that future study of correcting modifiable risk factors may play a role in preventing hyperlactatemia and lowering early mortality after LT.

Simple Summary: When we consider the outcome of cancer treatment, we mostly focus on overall survival: studies on early mortality in head and neck cancer (HNC) are sparse. This retrospective population-based study investigated early mortality of HNC and the influence of patients' tumor and treatment characteristics. All 8288 patients with primary HNC of the German federal state Thuringia from 1996 to 2016 were included. Statistics were performed to identify independent factors for 30-day, 90-day, and 180-day mortality. The 30-, 90-, and 180-day mortality risks were 1.8%, 5.1%, and 9.6%, respectively. Male sex, increasing age, larger tumor size, and distant metastasis, tumors of the cavity of mouth, oropharynx, and hypopharynx had a significantly greater 180-day mortality. Surgery, radiotherapy, and multimodal therapy were associated with decreased 180-day mortality. Typical factors associated with worse overall survival had the most important impact on early mortality in HNC patients in a population-based setting. Population-based studies on early mortality in head and neck cancer (HNC) are sparse. This retrospective population-based study investigated early mortality of HNC and the influence of patients' tumor and treatment characteristics. All 8288 patients with primary HNC of the German federal state Thuringia from 1996 to 2016 were included. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent factors for 30-day, 90-day, and 180-day mortality. The 30-, 90-, and 180-day mortality risks were 1.8%, 5.1%, and 9.6%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, male sex (odds ratio (OR) 1.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08–1.84), increasing age (OR 1.81; CI 1.49–2.19), higher T (T4: OR 3.09; CI 1.96–4.88) and M1 classification (OR 1.97; CI 1.43–2.73), advanced stage (IV: OR 3.97; CI 1.97–8.00), tumors of the cavity of mouth (OR 3.47; CI 1.23–9.75), oropharynx (OR 3.01; CI 1.06–8.51), and hypopharynx (OR 3.27; CI 1.14–9.40) had a significantly greater 180-day mortality. Surgery (OR 0.51; CI 0.36–0.73), radiotherapy (OR 0.37; CI 0.25–0.53), and multimodal therapy (OR 0.10; CI 0.07–0.13) were associated with decreased 180-day mortality. Typical factors associated with worse overall survival had the most important impact on early mortality in a population-based setting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Early mortality after radical RT/CRT in HNSCC patients is often not cancer-related. • An early non-cancer risk prediction model was developed. • After internal validation, the AUC was 0.74 and calibration was good. • Pneumonia was estimated to be the cause of death in 32% of early non-cancer deaths. • The provided risk estimates can help select patients for supportive interventions. In patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), curative-intent radiotherapy (RT) and chemoradiotherapy (CRT) are associated with substantial acute morbidity and 5–10% of patients die within 180 days of treatment initiation. Most of these early deaths occur without HNSCC recurrence or progression and may therefore be preventable to some extent. We developed a prediction tool to estimate the risk of non-HNSCC mortality occurring within the first 180 days following RT/CRT initiation. Patients with HNSCC treated with RT/CRT, including postoperative RT/CRT, at Rigshospitalet or Herlev Hospitals between 2010–2017 were identified in the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) database. Predictor variables included age, stage, performance status, tumor subsite including p16 status, comorbidity, postoperative status, smoking and pre-treatment albumin levels. The 180-day non-HNSCC mortality risk was estimated by combining cause-specific Cox regression models. We included 2209 patients. The 180-day non-HNSCC mortality rate was 4.4% and almost one third (31.6%) of non-HNSCC deaths were caused by pneumonia. After internal model validation, the area under the receiver operating curve was 0.74 (95% CI: 0.66–0.81) and calibration was good for risk predictions ranging from 0% to 20%. We developed a prediction tool to estimate the 180-day non-HNSCC mortality risk. This tool can be used to select high-risk patients for supportive interventions aiming to improve survival rates, and is available for interactive use at https://emriskpred.shinyapps.io/EMNED_App/. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Objective This study aimed to analyze the early mortality rates and patterns of relapse after stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) as an initial metastasis‐directed therapy. Methods Patients with pulmonary oligometastases initially treated with SBRT were included in this retrospective multicenter study. SBRT was performed between 2004 and 2015, and the primary lesion was controlled at the time of SBRT. Multivariate logistic regression was used for early mortality analyses. Results A total of 720 patients with 793 oligometastatic tumors for whom the median follow‐up period was 24.6 months were enrolled. The median overall survival period was 53.2 months. The 90‐, 180‐, and 360‐day mortality rates were 1.1% (8 deaths), 2.4% (17 deaths), and 10.8% (71 deaths), respectively. During follow up, 422 patients relapsed. Over 329 patients had single‐site relapse, the most frequent site was the lung in 176; 49 had local failure; and 42 had lymph node metastases. The maximum tumor diameter was significantly related to 90‐day mortality. Maximum tumor diameter, biological effective dose, and performance status were significantly related to 180‐day mortality, whereas maximum tumor diameter, performance status, and pathology were significantly related to 360‐day mortality. Conclusion Our results showed good survival outcomes and low rates of early mortality after SBRT. The patterns of relapse and factors affecting early mortality were revealed.

Few studies have evaluated the impact of complications, sociodemographic and clinical factors on early mortality (death ≤60 days from diagnosis) in acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) patients. Using data from the California Cancer Registry linked to hospital discharge records from 1999 to 2012, we identified patients aged ≥15 years with AML who received inpatient treatment (N = 6359). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association of complications with early mortality, adjusting for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities and hospital type. Early mortality decreased over time (25·3%, 1999-2000; 16·8%, 2011-2012) across all age groups, but was higher in older patients (6·9%, 15-39, 11·4%, 40-54, 18·6% 55-65, and 35·8%, >65 years). Major bleeding [Odds ratio (OR) 1·5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·3-1·9], liver failure (OR 1·9, 95% CI 1·1-3·1), renal failure (OR 2·4, 95% CI 2·0-2·9), respiratory failure (OR 7·6, 95% CI 6·2-9·3) and cardiac arrest (OR 15·8, 95% CI 8·7-28·6) were associated with early mortality. Higher early mortality was also associated with single marital status, low neighbourhood socioeconomic status, lack of health insurance and comorbidities. Treatment at National Cancer Institute-designated cancer centres was associated with lower early mortality (OR 0·5, 95% CI 0·4-0·6). In conclusion, organ dysfunction, hospital type and sociodemographic factors impact early mortality. Further studies should investigate how differences in healthcare delivery affect early mortality.

Yanping Su,1 Meirong Huo,1 Lin Hua,2 Yuan Zhang,1 Jiawen Yi,1 Shu Zhang,1 Jie Li,1 Yuhui Zhang1 1Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, People’s Republic of China; 2School of Biomedical Engineering, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Yuhui ZhangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Respiratory Medicine, 8 Gongtinan Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaTel +86 13520208369Email zhangyhcy@163.comPurpose: To explore the relationship between venous thromboembolism (VTE) and early mortality (within six months) in Chinese patients with newly diagnosed metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after entering the era of precision treatment.Methods: A cohort of 706 consecutive subjects with newly diagnosed metastatic NSCLC were prospectively observed. Clinical and survival data were recorded over a six-month follow-up period. The predictive factors for the occurrence of VTE and the relationship with early mortality were evaluated through univariate and multivariate analyses.Results: During the six-month follow-up period, VTE events occurred in 12.2% (86/706) of the enrolled patients. In the multivariate analyses for VTE, an age older than 70 years (vs < 70: sub-distribution hazard radio [SHR], 1.678; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.073– 2.600; P=0.022), an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 2 (vs 0/1: SHR, 1.946; 95% CI, 1.277– 2.970; P=0.002), and having an ALK rearrangement (vs non-rearrangement: SHR, 2.377; 95% CI, 1.186– 4.760; P=0.015) were significantly associated with the occurrence of VTE. Within six months, 116 subjects (16.4%) died, and the occurrence of VTE (vs no VTE: adjusted HR: 1.863; 95% CI: 1.178– 2.947, P=0.008) was remarkably associated with early mortality. Further analysis showed 98 patients (13.9%) with early mortality had EGFR/ALK wild-type genes, with a risk of early mortality 5.935-fold higher than that of patients with an EGFR mutation/ALK rearrangement. Finally, subgroup analyses showed that VTE occurrence was a significant factor for predicting early mortality in patients with EGFR/ALK wild-type genes (adjusted HR: 1.682; 95% CI: 1.023– 2.768, P=0.041).Conclusion: Patients with an EGFR mutation/ALK rearrangement had a significantly decreased risk of early mortality in the era of targeted therapy; however, VTE occurrence remained an important predictor for early mortality in metastatic NSCLC patients, especially in patients with EGFR/ALK wild-type genes.Keywords: venous thromboembolism, non-small cell lung cancer, early mortality

Doan Quoc Hung,1,2 Nguyen Thai Minh,3 Hoang-Long Vo,1 Nguyen Sinh Hien,3 Nguyen Quang Tuan1,4 1Hanoi Medical University, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam; 2Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Viet Duc University Hospital, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam; 3Hanoi Heart Hospital, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam; 4Bach Mai Hospital, Hanoi, 100000, VietnamCorrespondence: Doan Quoc Hung; Hoang-Long Vo Email hung.doanquoc@gmail.com; vohoanglonghmu@gmail.comBackground: In-hospital mortality after emergency coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) remains an important issue that has needed considerable attention in recent years as the mortality rate is still high and prevention factors are not yet optimal. Our study presents the first largest cohort of emergency CABG from one large institution in Vietnam with the primary aim of comparing a large variety of pre-, intra-and post-operative parameters between in-hospital mortality patients and in-hospital survival patients and investigate risk factors of in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing emergency CABG.Methods: We conducted a retrospective evaluation of prospectively collected data in patients undergoing emergency CABG at the Hanoi Heart Hospital (Hanoi, Vietnam) from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2019. Primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality.Results: A total of 71 patients were included in final analysis. The mean age of the cohort was 68.68 years (± 9.28, range 38– 86). The mean weight, height and body mass index were 54.35 kg (± 9.17, range 37– 77), 158.96 (± 7.64, range 145– 179) and 21.48 kg/m2 (± 3.08, range 13.59– 30.08), respectively. In-hospital mortality rate was 9.86%. Preoperative risk factors for in-hospital mortality included diabetes, decreased ejection fraction (EF), EF below 30%, cardiogenic shock, elevated systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PAP), elevated NT-ProBNP, and Euroscore II. Without grafting with left internal thoracic artery, and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time were increased intraoperative factors for in-hospital mortality risk. In-hospital mortality’s postoperative risk factors were found to be postextubation respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, ventricular fibrillation, dialysis-requiring acute renal failure, pneumonia, bacterial sepsis, gastrointestinal bleeding, and prolonged mechanical ventilation time. Significant predictors determining in-hospital mortality were known as prolonged CPB time in surgery and postoperative ventricular fibrillation.Conclusion: Our hospital mortality rate after emergency CABG was relatively high. An optimal preventive strategy in emergency CABG management should target significant factors combined with other previously identified risk factors to reduce in-hospital mortality.Keywords: emergency coronary artery bypass grafting, early mortality, in-hospital mortality, risk factor, Vietnam

Abstract Background Adult emergency department mortality remains high in resource-limited lower-income countries. The majority of deaths occur within the first 24 h of presentation to the emergency department. Many of these mortality’s can be alleviated with appropriate interventions. This study was aimed to assess the magnitude, cause, and factors related to very early mortality in patients presented to the emergency department of Tikur Anbesa Specialized Tertiary Hospital, Ethiopia from March 2018 to 2020. Methods This is a cross-sectional retrospective chart review. Retrospective data were collected from the records of all patients who died within 72 h of emergency department presentation from March 2018 to 2020. Data entered using Epi data 4.2.1 and analyzed using SPSS Version 23. Using the Chi-square test, binary and multiple logistic regression analysis were carried out to measure the association of variables of interest and very early emergency mortality. P-value 24–72 h). Shock (36.7%) and road traffic accidents (3.16%) were the major causes of death. Triage category red AOR 0.23 95% CI 0.1–0.55 and duration of illness 4–24 h AOR 0.47 95% CI 0.26–0.87 were significantly associated with decreased very early emergency department mortality. Meanwhile, co-morbid disease HIV AIDS AOR 2.72 95% CI 1.01–7.30 and residence Addis Ababa AOR 2.78 95% CI 1.36–5.68 and Oromia AOR 3.23 95% CI 1.58–6.54 were found significantly associated with increased very early emergency department mortality. Conclusions and recommendations The mortality burden of a road traffic accident and shock in the TASTH is significant and the magnitude of ED mortality differs between these groups. Residence Addis Ababa and Oromia, triage category red, co-morbid disease HIV AIDS, and duration of symptom 4–24 h were significantly associated with early emergency department mortality. Early detection and intervention are required to minimize emergency mortality.

Inflammation-based scores have been increasingly used for prognosis prediction in neurological diseases. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of inflammation-based scores combined with radiological characteristics in children with moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (MS-TBI). A total of 104 pediatric patients with MS-TBI were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of prognosis in pediatric patients with MS-TBI. A prognostic nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated in both the training and validation cohorts. Sex, admission platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and basal cistern status from initial CT findings were identified as independent prognostic predictors for children with MS-TBI in multivariate logistic analysis. Based on these findings, a nomogram was then developed and its concordance index values were 0.918 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.837–0.999] in the training cohort and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.70–1.00) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed those of the Rotterdam, Marshall, and Helsinki CT scores. The proposed nomogram, based on routine complete blood count and initial CT scan findings, can contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making in children with MS-TBI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Limited research has explored early mortality among patients presenting with septic shock. The objective of this study was to determine the incidence and factors associated with early death following emergency department (ED) presentation of septic shock. Methods: A prospective registry of patients enrolled in an ED septic shock clinical pathway was used to identify patients. Patients were compared across demographic, comorbid, clinical, and treatment variables by death within 72 hours of ED presentation. Results: Among the sample of 2,414 patients, overall hospital mortality was 20.6%. Among patients who died in the hospital, mean and median time from ED presentation to death were 4.96 days and 2.28 days, respectively. Death at 24, 48, and 72 hours occurred in 5.5%, 9.5%, and 11.5% of patients, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that the following factors were independently associated with early mortality: age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.05), malignancy (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.11–2.11), pneumonia (OR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.02–1.88), urinary tract infection (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.44–0.89), first shock index (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.27–2.70), early vasopressor use (OR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.60–2.92), initial international normalized ratio (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07–1.27), initial albumin (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44–0.69), and first serum lactate (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.16–1.26). Conclusions: Adult septic shock patients experience a high rate of early mortality within 72 hours of ED arrival. Recognizable clinical factors may aid the identification of patients at risk of early death. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background/Aim: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) has a significant morbidity and mortality, despite representing a non-dominant hemorrhagic stroke. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of the emergency department (ED) point-of-care (POC) biomarkers on early mortality in sICH patients. Patients and Methods: Demographic data, medical history and admission clinical parameters from adult patients with imaging-based sICH diagnosis were collected retrospectively, upon their ED presentation over a period of 18 months. ED-based POC analyzers were used for blood biomarkers [complete blood count, C reactive protein (CRP), glycemia, hepatic and renal function, D-dimer and cardiac troponin I]. Derived inflammatory indexes were calculated. Mortality endpoints were collected (on day 7 and at discharge). Results: Of the 219 included patients, mortality rates reached 30.14% on day 7 and 46.12% at discharge. In the univariate analysis, day 7 mortality was significantly associated with history of diabetes, atrial fibrillation, ongoing anticoagulant treatment, the need of endotracheal intubation and ED cardiopulmonary resuscitation, and the presence of intraventricular hemorrhage and mass effect on the initial CT scan. White blood cells and granulocytes (but not the neutrophil-tolymphocytes ratio, nor the CRP) were significantly higher in the deceased groups, alongside serum glucose. Derived inflammatory indexes were not significantly correlated with mortality endpoints. Cut-off values of 9.6x109/l for granulocytes and 132 mg/dl for glucose were identified as day 7 mortality predictors. Conclusion: sICH is a potentially severe condition causing high early mortality. Emergency department point-of-care biomarkers could represent a readily available and simple to use prognostic tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) increases the risk of heart failure (HF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Nonetheless, evidence of cardiovascular (CV) prognosis is relatively scarce in young T2D patients. Purpose: To estimate the risk of all-cause death, CV death, and non-fatal major CV events (MACEs) in T2D patients younger than 65 years old. Methods: We designed a retrospective cohort study using incident cases of either T2D, HF, or CKD in the population aged 40–65 years, from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2019. Each individual was followed for up to one year. The primary analysis consisted of survival analysis with Cox proportional hazards to compare one-year risk of all-cause death, CV death, and MACEs between T2D without HF or CKD (T2D), T2D with HF (T2D-HF), and T2D with CKD (T2D-CKD) groups. Results: A total of 14,986 incident adult diabetic patients from the last two decades in our institution were included with an average age at cohort inclusion of 55–58 years old. Glycemic control was similar among groups. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of one-year all-cause death was 2.77 (95% CI: 2.26–3.40) for T2D-HF and 3.09 (2.77–3.45) for T2D-CKD compared with the baseline T2D risk. The highest event rate (T2D-CKD) was 0.15 per person-year. The adjusted HR of one-year CV death was 2.75 (95% CI: 2.19–3.46) for T2D-CKD and 2.59 (1.72–3.91) for T2D-HF. The non-fatal MACE risk was significantly increased in T2D-HF or T2D-CKD compared with T2D (2.82 (CI95%: 2.34–3.41) for T2D-CKD vs. 1.90 (CI95%: 1.66–2.17) for T2D-CKD) with a 32% event rate in non-fatal MACEs. Conclusions: Coexistence of HF or CKD is associated with increased premature mortality as well as non-fatal CV events in T2D patients under 65 years old. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is endemic in Tanzania and is ranked third among the most common causes of heart failure after hypertensive heart disease and cardiomyopathy. This study aimed to determine the predictors of early operative mortality for RHD at Muhimbili National Hospital, Tanzania. Methods In this retrospective cross-sectional study, 212 patients operated on due to RHD from May 2008 to December 2012 were included. The patients’ demographic and clinical data at admission and within 30 days of their respective index elective cardiac procedures were recorded in a predefined clinical record form. The chi-square test and Fisher’s exact test were used to compare categorical variables. Variables with a P value <0.2 in the bivariable analysis were included in a multivariable modified Poisson regression model. Results Of the 212 patients, 140 (66%) were females. The median age was 21 years (interquartile range, 15-32 years). One hundred forty-five patients (68.4%) underwent valve replacement, of which 113 (77.9%) were single (mitral), 17 (11.7%) aortic, and 15 (10.4%) double (aortic and mitral) valve replacements. Valve repair was performed on 42 patients (19.8%), 41 of whom had mitral repairs and 1 of whom had an aortic repair. Surgical mitral commissurotomy was performed on 25 patients (11.8%). Thirty patients (14.1%) died in hospital. In multivariable analysis, mortality was >5 times higher among patients who underwent double than single valve replacement (adjusted prevalence ratio, 5.65; 95% confidence interval, 2.46-12.99; P<0.001). Patient age, disease duration, ejection fraction, surgical modality, pulmonary hypertension, and intensive care unit stay were not predictors of mortality. Conclusions The in-hospital mortality observed in this study was higher than those reported in previous studies. In patients with RHD, double valve replacement is associated with increased early mortality, which may require greater technical expertise and careful postoperative management. Our findings need to be confirmed in prospective studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For many cancers, adolescents and young adults (AYAs) have a poorer prognosis than pediatric patients. Our study evaluates survival outcomes of children (0‐17 years) and AYAs (18‐39 years) diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in the Netherlands between 1990 and 2015 (N = 2058) utilizing the population‐based Netherlands Cancer Registry, which includes information on therapy and site of primary treatment. Five‐ and 10‐year relative (disease‐specific) survival were estimated for all patients, children and AYAs. Multivariable analyses were performed using generalized linear models (excess mortality) and logistic regression (early mortality). AYAs with AML had a substantially lower 5‐ and 10‐year relative survival than children (5‐year: 43% vs 58%; 10‐year: 37% vs 51%). The gap in 5‐year relative survival was largest (nearly 20 percent‐points) in 2010 to 2015, despite survival improvements over time across all ages. The multivariable‐adjusted excess risk of dying was 60% higher in AYAs (95% CI: 37%‐86%). Early mortality (death within 30 days of diagnosis) declined over time, and did not differ between children and AYAs. In conclusion, AYAs diagnosed with AML in the Netherlands had a worse prognosis than pediatric patients. The survival gap seemed most pronounced in recent years, suggesting that improvements in care resulting in better outcome for children have not led to equal benefits for AYAs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There is an ongoing debate concerning the optimal surgical option of myocardial revascularization for octogenarians. The current meta‐analysis aimed to compare clinical outcomes following off‐pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG) or conventional coronary artery bypass grafting (CCABG) in octogenarians. PubMed, Cochrane, Web of Science, and EMBASE databases were searched to identify eligible studies from inception to March 2021. The analysis was performed using STATA 15.1. A literature search yielded 18 retrospective studies involving 146 372 patients (OPCABG = 44 522 vs. CCABG = 101 850). Pooled analysis showed a strong trend toward reducing mortality risk in the OPCABG group (odds ratio: 0.75, 95% confidence interval: 0.56–1.00, p =.05). However, it did not reach statistical significance. The sensitive analysis demonstrated that OPCABG was less likely to cause death than CCABG. There were comparable data in myocardial infarction, renal failure, deep sternal wound infection, and hospital stays between the two groups, although the incidence of stroke, atrial fibrillation, prolonged ventilation, and reoperation for bleeding was significantly lower in the OPCAGB group. OPCABG may be an effective surgical strategy for myocardial revascularization, especially in reducing the incidence of postoperative stroke, atrial fibrillation, prolonged ventilation, and reoperation for bleeding. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Pretransplant cardiac troponin I (cTNI) has demonstrated its predicting value in survival after kidney transplant. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is a biomarker currently studied as a predictor of mortality and cardiovascular events (CVE) in different scenarios. The aim of this study was to compare the utility of these two biomarkers in the prediction of events after kidney transplant. Methods: We included 359 kidney transplants performed in our center between 2005 and 2015. cTNI and GDF-15 were measured on stored serum samples obtained pretransplant. Results: Median GDF-15 was 5,346.4 pg/mL, and cTNI was 5.6 ng/L. After follow-up, 77 (21.5%) patients died, and the incidence of cerebrovascular accident (CVA), acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and major adverse CVEs (MACE) was 6.38%, 12.68%, and 20.56%, respectively. Patients were stratified in tertiles according to GDF-15 and cTNT levels. By multivariate cox regression analysis including both biomarkers and different clinical characteristics, we found a significant relation between GDF-15 and mortality, CVAs, and MACE (highest tertile hazard ratio [HR] 2.2 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.2–4.1], p = 0.01, HR 9.7 CI 95% [2.2–43.1], p = 0.003 and HR 2.7 CI 95% [1.4–5.1], p = 0.002). On the contrary, posttransplant ACS was related to cTNI (highest cTNI tertile HR 3.2 CI 95% [1.5–7.3], p = 0.003). Discussion: Our study indicates the potential utility of GDF-15 as a mortality and CVE predictor after kidney transplant and its superiority compared to cTNI. By contrast, probably due to its tissue specificity, cardiac troponin showed a stronger correlation with acute coronary events. Although more studies are needed to confirm our findings, these two molecules could be used in conjunction with other tools to predict adverse events after transplant and ideally find strategies to minimize them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A death rate of approximately 32.7 in 100,000 traffic injury victims was reported in Thailand. The prediction of early death would identify and enable prioritization of the most severe patients for resuscitation and consequently reduce the number of deaths. This study aimed to develop a clinical prediction scoring system for 24 h mortality in adult major trauma patients. Retrospective-prognostic clinical prediction was applied in the case of 3173 adult trauma patients who were classified into three groups: death within 8 h, death between 8 and 24 h, and alive at 24 h. The predictors were obtained by univariable and multivariable logistic regression, and the coefficient of parameters was converted to predict early death. The numbers of patients who died within 8 h and between 8 and 24 h were 46 (1.5%) and 123 (3.8%), respectively. The predictors included systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg, heart rate ≥120 bpm, Glasgow coma scale ≤8, traffic injury, and assault injury. The scores of 4 indicated a mortality rate of 12% with a high specificity of 0.89. The suggested TERMINAL-24 scoring system can be used for the prediction of early death in the Emergency Department. However, its discrimination ability and precision should be validated before practical use. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Chao Zhao,1,* Longqing Li,2,* Xiaoyue Guo,1 Dixiang Song,1 Minkai Wang,1 Yixuan Zhai,1 Fengdong Yang,1 Yake Xue,1 Xinting Wei1 1Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Orthopedic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Xinting WeiDepartment of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450052, No. 1 East Jianshe Road, District of Erqi, Henan, People’s Republic of ChinaTel +86-0371-13613860990Email weixinting777@126.comPurpose: Early identification of early mortality for glioblastoma (GBM) patients based on laboratory findings at the time of diagnosis could improve the overall survival. The study aimed to explore preoperative factors associated with higher risk of early death (within 1 year after surgery) for isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) -wild-type (wt) GBM patients.Patients and Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 194 IDH-wt GBM patients who underwent standard treatment. The probability of dying within 1 year after gross total resection (GTR) was defined as the end point “early mortality”. Retrospective collection of predictive factors including clinical characteristics and laboratory data at diagnosis.Results: Median follow-up time after GTR was 16 months (3– 41 months). Forty-two patients died within 1 year after surgery (1‐year mortality rate: 21.6%). All potential predictive factors were assessed on univariate analyses, which revealed the following factors as associated with higher risk of early death: older age (P = 0.013), occurrence of non-seizures symptoms (P = 0.042), special tumor positions (P = 0.046), higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = 0.015), higher red blood cell distribution width (RDW) (P = 0.019), higher lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (P = 0.005), and higher fibrinogen (FIB) (P = 0.044). In a multivariate analysis, tumor location (P = 0.012), NLR (P = 0.032) and LDH (P = 0.002) were independent predictors of early mortality. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.795. The calibration curve showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation.Conclusion: Tumor location, preoperative elevated NLR and serum LDH level were independent predictors for 1‐year mortality after GTR. We indicate that increased preoperative NLR or LDH may guide patients to review head magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) more frequently and regularly to monitor tumor progression.Keywords: glioblastoma, early mortality, risk factors, survival

Inflammation-based scores have been increasingly used for prognosis prediction in neurological diseases. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of inflammation-based scores combined with radiological characteristics in children with moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (MS-TBI). A total of 104 pediatric patients with MS-TBI were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of prognosis in pediatric patients with MS-TBI. A prognostic nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated in both the training and validation cohorts. Sex, admission platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and basal cistern status from initial CT findings were identified as independent prognostic predictors for children with MS-TBI in multivariate logistic analysis. Based on these findings, a nomogram was then developed and its concordance index values were 0.918 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.837–0.999] in the training cohort and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.70–1.00) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed those of the Rotterdam, Marshall, and Helsinki CT scores. The proposed nomogram, based on routine complete blood count and initial CT scan findings, can contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making in children with MS-TBI.

There are clear connections between education achieved and health over the course of a lifetime, with higher education achievement being associated with better health. However, the association between education and mortality have differed by race, with minoritized populations reaping fewer benefits from education attained. This paper aims to understand the moderating effect of structural racism (measured at the state level) on the association between education and all-cause early mortality for Black and White participants. We utilize a nationally representative longitudinal sample of youth (NLSY97), and estimates of structural racism for each state through measures of political participation, employment and job status, education attainment ratios, and judicial treatment. Random effects models were then utilized to compare associations between Black and White participants, and assess the association of education on early mortality. Results indicate significant, yet nuanced findings in each of the models assessed suggesting that Black and White participants experienced diminished returns of education on the probability of early mortality. Findings support previous research suggesting that structural racism is costing all citizens, but is especially harmful for minoritized populations.

This study assesses the effect of extent of resection (EOR) on the longer-term survival and early mortality of elderly patients (≥ 75 years old) with glioblastoma. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and data from our center to evaluate the effect of EOR on the long-term survival and early mortality of patients with glioblastoma. We included 50 elderly patients (≥ 75 years old) with glioblastoma visiting our hospital. The median overall survival of the patients who underwent a gross total resection, a subtotal resection, and a partial resection were 278, 200, and 83 days, respectively. The multivariate analysis showed that gross total resection (HR: 0.100; 95% CI: 0.015–0.671, p < 0.001) and subtotal reresection (HR: 0.134, 95% CI: 0.022–0.831, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of favorable prognosis when compared with partial resection. The data extracted from the SEER database also indicated that EOR was an independent predictor of OS, CCS, and early mortality. The stratification analysis revealed that gross total resection was the best protective factor of OS, early mortality, and CCS. Radical resection may improve the OS and CCS of glioblastoma patients aged ≥ 75 years and decrease early mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Early mortality remains a challenging therapeutic facet of the initial induction phase of intensive chemotherapy in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The impact of standard molecular evaluation and risk category of the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) 2017 classification model on early mortality has not been rigorously evaluated thus far. We reviewed the medical records of 320 consecutive adult patients with newly diagnosed AML treated with intensive induction chemotherapy in our center from 2007 to 2021. The median age was 56 years; 33 patients (10%) died during induction. Patient age, white blood cell count, hemoglobin level, platelet level, creatinine, uric acid, lactate dehydrogenase serum levels, and FLT3-ITD and CEBPA mutational status did not significantly impact early mortality. NPM1mut patients had a lower likelihood of early death compared to NPM1wt (5% versus 13%; p = 0.023) whereas patients with high-risk cytogenetic studies experienced higher rates of induction mortality compared with intermediate and favorable risk patients (20% versus 8 and 7%, respectively; p = 0.049). Adverse risk ELN 2017 was significantly more likely to die during induction compared with intermediate and favorable risk patients (20% versus 10 and 4%, respectively; p = 0.001). Patients treated in 2007–2011 experienced a significantly higher rate of induction death compared with patients in 2012–2021 (17% versus 8%; p = 0.039). Multivariate analysis confirmed adverse ELN 2017 [odds ratio (OR), 6.7; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.74–25.3; p = 0.006) and treatment timeframe (OR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14–0.85; p = 0.019) as pivotal predictors of early mortality. ELN 2017 is a robust prognosticator of early mortality in intensively treated AML patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The survival of patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) has dramatically improved with the use of all‐trans retinoic acid (ATRA) and arsenic trioxide (ATO). However, because of the complexity of the initial management, early mortality (EM) remains a major contributor to treatment failure. It is less known whether advances in treatment, urgent access to specialized care, and broad availability of ATRA/ATO have reduced EM in the last 2 decades. Furthermore, the influence of sociodemographic factors on the risk of EM also remains unclear. Methods: This study used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program to characterize the impact of sociodemographic factors on the rates of EM and overall survival (OS) in patients with APL diagnosed between 1992 and 2015. Results: In all, 2224 cases were identified (895 who were younger than 40 years and 1329 who were 40 years old or older); 47.9% had a county‐level median household income of $59,630 or higher, 49.0% belonged to counties where more than 31% of adults held at least a bachelor's degree, and 86.0% resided in urban areas. The rate of EM declined from 31.5% in 1992‐1995 to 15.9% in 2012‐2015 for all patients. It improved for patients younger than 40 years (27.4% in 1992‐1995 vs 5.4% in 2012‐2015; P <.001) and for patients 40 years old or older but not to the same extent (35.2% in 1992‐1995 vs 22.2% in 2012‐2015; P =.02). Importantly, improvements in EM were not seen among patients residing in rural areas, with the rate remaining higher than 20% in 2012‐2015. The 3‐year OS rate was 49.2% for patients with APL diagnosed in 1992‐1995 and 76.4% for patients diagnosed in 2012‐2015. Conclusions: These findings confirm consistent improvements in EM and OS for patients with APL and point to the challenge of further extending these improvements in EM rates to older patients and to those living in rural areas. Early mortality and overall survival continue to improve for patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia over 2 decades. For patients 40 years old or older and those residing in rural areas, the risk of early mortality from acute promyelocytic leukemia remains unacceptably high. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Individuals with serious mental illness (SMI) experience a 10- to 25-year reduced life expectancy compared with the general population. Early mortality for people with SMI has mainly been attributed to unhealthy behaviors (e.g., poor diet, sedentary lifestyle), which has led to the development of health promotion and self-management interventions specifically for people with SMI to promote health behavior change. Yet after decades of research, the mortality gap between people with SMI and the general population is increasing. To address this early mortality disparity for individuals with SMI, a new paradigm must be explored. In this article, we present the social processes impacting early mortality in people with SMI paradigm, which highlights the powerful role of social processes in shaping the health and health behaviors of people with SMI. This paradigm explores how loneliness, stigma (social and self), trauma, social exclusion, social isolation, and social norms are related to early mortality in people with SMI. This new paradigm is an important step in understanding and potentially addressing early mortality in people with SMI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The purpose of this study was to determine the efficacy of palliative radiotherapy (PRT) for patients with pulmonary obstruction from advanced malignancy and identify factors associated with lung re-expansion and survival. Materials and Methods: We reviewed all patients treated with PRT for malignant pulmonary obstruction (n = 108) at our institution between 2010 and 2018. Radiographic evidence of lung re-expansion was determined through review of follow-up CT or chest X-ray. Cumulative incidence of re-expansion and overall survival (OS) were estimated using competing risk methodology. Clinical characteristics were evaluated for association with re-expansion, OS, and early mortality. Treatment time to remaining life ratio (TT:RL) was evaluated as a novel metric for palliative treatment. Results: Eighty-one percent of patients had collapse of an entire lung lobe, 46% had Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status 3–4, and 64% were inpatient at consultation. Eighty-four patients had follow-up imaging available, and 25 (23%) of all patients had lung re-expansion at median time of 35 days. Rates of death without re-expansion were 38% and 65% at 30 and 90 days, respectively. Median OS was 56 days. Death within 30 days of PRT occurred in 38%. Inpatients and larger tumors trended toward lower rates of re-expansion. Notable factors associated with OS were re-expansion, nonlung histology, tumor size, and performance status. Median TT:RL was 0.11 and significantly higher for subgroups: ECOG 3–4 (0.19), inpatients (0.16), patients with larger tumors (0.14), those unfit for systemic therapy (0.17), and with 10-fraction PRT (0.14). Conclusion: One-fourth of patients experienced re-expansion after PRT for malignant pulmonary obstruction. Survival is poor and a significant proportion of remaining life may be spent on treatment. Careful consideration of these clinical factors is recommended when considering PRT fractionation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The improvement in survivals of acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) patients are still debated. In this study, we aimed to analyze the survival and early mortality (EM) rates of APL patients. In this study, de-novo APL patients who was followed up by our clinic between the years 2003-2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided in according to their year of diagnosis, 2003-2013 (n= 33) and 2014-2021 (n= 19) groups. The 2-years survival is 52.5% and 78.9% in 2003-2013 group and 2014-2021 group, respectively, p= 0.069.The EM was not statistically different between the 2003-2013 and 2014-2021 groups (11/22 vs.4/15, p= 0.347). The 2-years survival ratio is 75.3% and 36.4% in modified-AIDA and IDA-ARA/C-ATRA treatment groups, respectively, p= 0.003. EM according to treatment groups were 7/38 versus 7/11 in modified-AIDA and IDA-ARA/C-ATRA, respectively, p= 0.001.White blood cell count ≥ 10000/μl is the most important predictor of EM with overall prediction of 79.5%. The second most important factor which is related with EM is infection of patients at presentation. If these two factors are considered together there is an 84.1% overall prediction of EM. The third and last significant factors that effects EM is the induction treatment protocol. If these three significant parameters considered all together, there would be an 88.6% overall prediction of EM. The overall survival of APL patients is slightly improved between the years 2014-2021 compared to 2003-2013. The reason of this improvement is not the reduction of EM in the APL patients. Better diagnostic tools and molecular monitoring and better supportive care may have played role in the improvement of the survival of APL patients. In order to further improvement of the overall survival of APL patients, EM rates must be decreased. According to our study results, rapid and efficient treatment of infections in APL patients look like the only modifiable parameter that is related with EM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]