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52. Climate Change and the Agricultural Sector in the San Francisco Bay Area: Changes in Viticulture and Rangeland Forage Production Due to Altered Temperature and Precipitation Patterns

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

Abstract

Climate change has the potential to alter the San Francisco Bay Area’s agricultural production, a $2 billion industry. Two of the top sectors, wine and ranching, are examined in this paper. Downscaled models suggest that forage production in Bay Area rangelands may be enhanced by future conditions in most years, at least in terms of peak standing crop. However, the timing of production is as important as its peak, and altered precipitation patterns could mean delayed germination and earlier senescence, resulting in shorter growing seasons. An increase in the frequency of extremely dry years also increases the uncertainty of forage availability. Similarly, wine grape yields are projected to increase throughout much of the Bay Area, but wine grape quality may decline substantially under future climate conditions, as the crop ripens earlier during hotter months. The implications for these shifts in wine grape and forage production are that the aspects of Bay Area agriculture most sensitive to climate change are not yields, but subtler nuances of production such as quality and timing. Adaptive measures will need to be taken to maintain the economic viability of these enterprises.

Published
2012

53. When, Where, and How Nature Matters for Ecosystem Services : Challenges for the Next Generation of Ecosystem Service Models

Author

RIEB, JESSE T., CHAPLIN-KRAMER, REBECCA, DAILY, GRETCHEN C., ARMSWORTH, PAUL R., BÖHNING-GAESE, KATRIN, BONN, ALETTA, CUMMING, GRAEME S., EIGENBROD, FELIX, GRIMM, VOLKER, JACKSON, BETHANNA M., MARQUES, ALEXANDRA, PATTANAYAK, SUBHRENDU K., PEREIRA, HENRIQUE M., PETERSON, GARRY D., RICKETTS, TAYLOR H., ROBINSON, BRIAN E., SCHRÖTER, MATTHIAS, SCHULTE, LISA A., SEPPELT, RALF, TURNER, MONICA G., and BENNETT, ELENA M.

Published
2017

55. Society Is Ready for a New Kind of Science—Is Academia?

Author

KEELER, BONNIE L., CHAPLIN-KRAMER, REBECCA, GUERRY, ANNE D., ADDISON, PRUE F. E., BETTIGOLE, CHARLES, BURKE, INGRID C., GENTRY, BRAD, CHAMBLISS, LAUREN, YOUNG, CARRIE, TRAVIS, ALEXANDER J., DARIMONT, CHRIS T., GORDON, DORIA R., HELLMANN, JESSICA, KAREIVA, PETER, MONFORT, STEVE, OLANDER, LYDIA, PROFETA, TIM, POSSINGHAM, HUGH P., SLOTTERBACK, CARISSA, STERLING, ELEANOR, TICKTIN, TAMARA, and VIRA, BHASKAR

Published
2017

56. Optimising global conservation, restoration, and agriculture for people and nature

Author

Duarte, Gabriela, primary, Krieger, Joana, additional, Capellão, Renata, additional, Lacerda, Eduardo, additional, Mortara, Sara, additional, Rocha, Diogo, additional, Oliveira, Luiz Gustavo, additional, Iribarrem, Alvaro, additional, Gomes, Fernanda, additional, Brooks, Thomas, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Enquist, Brian, additional, Feng, Xiao, additional, Hannah, Lee, additional, Hill, Samantha, additional, Leclère, David, additional, Merow, Cory, additional, Obersteiner, Michael, additional, Roehrdanz, Patrick, additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Watson, James, additional, Loyola, Rafael, additional, and Strassburg, Bernardo, additional

Published
2023
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60. Centring justice in conceptualizing and improving access to urban nature

Author

Langhans, Kelley E., primary, Echeverri, Alejandra, additional, Daws, S. Caroline, additional, Moss, Sydney N., additional, Anderson, Christopher B., additional, Chaplin‐Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Hendershot, J. Nicholas, additional, Liu, Lingling, additional, Mandle, Lisa, additional, Nguyen, Oliver, additional, Ou, Suzanne X., additional, Remme, Roy P., additional, Schmitt, Rafael J. P., additional, Vogl, Adrian, additional, and Daily, Gretchen C., additional

Published
2023
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61. Nature's Frontiers: Achieving Sustainability, Efficiency, and Prosperity with Natural Capital

Author

Damania, Richard, primary, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Ruckelshaus, Mary, additional, Russ, Jason, additional, Amann, Markus, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Gerber, James, additional, Hawthorne, Peter, additional, Heger, Martin Philipp, additional, Mamun, Saleh, additional, Ruta, Giovanni, additional, Schmitt, Rafael, additional, Smith, Jeffrey, additional, Vogl, Adrian, additional, Wagner, Fabian, additional, and Zaveri, Esha, additional

Published
2023
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62. Mapping the planet's critical areas for biodiversity and people

Author

Neugarten, Rachel, primary, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Schuster, Richard, additional, Strimas-Mackey, Matthew, additional, Roehrdanz, Patrick, additional, Mulligan, Mark, additional, Soesbergen, Arnout van, additional, Hole, David, additional, Kennedy, Christina, additional, Oakleaf, James, additional, Johnson, Justin, additional, Kiesecker, Joseph, additional, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Hanson, Jeffrey, additional, and Rodewald, Amanda, additional

Published
2023
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63. Model ensembles of ecosystem services fill global certainty and capacity gaps

Author

Willcock, Simon, primary, Hooftman, Danny A. P., additional, Neugarten, Rachel A., additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Barredo, José I., additional, Hickler, Thomas, additional, Kindermann, Georg, additional, Lewis, Amy R., additional, Lindeskog, Mats, additional, Martínez-López, Javier, additional, and Bullock, James M., additional

Published
2023
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64. Model ensembles of ecosystem services fill global certainty and capacity gaps

Author

Willcock, Simon, Hooftman, Danny A.P., Neugarten, Rachel A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Barredo, José I., Hickler, Thomas, Kindermann, Georg, Lewis, Amy R., Lindeskog, Mats, Martínez-López, Javier, Bullock, James M., Willcock, Simon, Hooftman, Danny A.P., Neugarten, Rachel A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Barredo, José I., Hickler, Thomas, Kindermann, Georg, Lewis, Amy R., Lindeskog, Mats, Martínez-López, Javier, and Bullock, James M.

Abstract

Sustaining ecosystem services (ES) critical to human well-being is hindered by many practitioners lacking access to ES models (“the capacity gap”) or knowledge of the accuracy of available models (“the certainty gap”), especially in the world’s poorer regions. We developed ensembles of multiple models at an unprecedented global scale for five ES of high policy relevance. Ensembles were 2 to 14% more accurate than individual models. Ensemble accuracy was not correlated with proxies for research capacity, indicating that accuracy is distributed equitably across the globe and that countries less able to research ES suffer no accuracy penalty. By making these ES ensembles and associated accuracy estimates freely available, we provide globally consistent ES information that can support policy and decision-making in regions with low data availability or low capacity for implementing complex ES models. Thus, we hope to reduce the capacity and certainty gaps impeding local- to global-scale movement toward ES sustainability.

Published
2023

65. Influences of Satellite Sensor and Scale on Derivation of Ecosystem Functional Types and Diversity

Author

Liu, Lingling, Smith, Jeffrey R., Armstrong, Amanda H., Alcaraz-Segura, Domingo, Epstein, Howard E., Echeverri, Alejandra, Langhans, Kelley E., Schmitt, Rafael J. P., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Liu, Lingling, Smith, Jeffrey R., Armstrong, Amanda H., Alcaraz-Segura, Domingo, Epstein, Howard E., Echeverri, Alejandra, Langhans, Kelley E., Schmitt, Rafael J. P., and Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

Abstract

Satellite-derived Ecosystem Functional Types (EFTs) are increasingly used in ecology and conservation to characterize ecosystem heterogeneity. The diversity of EFTs, also known as Ecosystem Functional Diversity (EFD), has been suggested both as a potential metric of ecosystem-level biodiversity and as a predictor for ecosystem functioning, ecosystem services, and resilience. However, the impact of key methodological choices on patterns of EFTs and EFD have not been formally assessed. Using Costa Rica as a study system, we compared EFTs and EFD, derived from MODIS and Landsat data using different methodological assumptions, at both national and local extents. Our results showed that the regional spatial patterns of EFTs and EFD derived from 250 m MODIS and 30 m Landsat are notably different. The selection of sensors for deriving EFTs and EFD is dependent on the study area, data quality, and the research objective. Given its finer spatial resolution, Landsat has greater capacity to differentiate more EFTs than MODIS, though MODIS could be a better choice in frequently cloudy areas due to its shorter revisiting time. We also found that the selection of spatial extent used to derive EFD is critical, as smaller extents (e.g., at a local rather than a national scale) can show much higher diversity. However, diversity levels derived at smaller extents appear to be nested within the diversity levels derived at larger extents. As EFTs and EFD continue to develop as a tool for ecosystem ecology, we highlight the important methodological choices to ensure that these metrics best fit research objectives.

Published
2023

66. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people : Modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, Hye Jin, Peterson, Garry D., Cheung, William W.L., Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan J., Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura, Acosta, Lilibeth A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, den Belder, Eefje, Eddy, Tyler D., Johnson, Justin A., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel T.J., Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld A., Shin, Yunne Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, van Vuuren, Detlef, Wabnitz, Colette C.C., José Alava, Juan, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Davies, Kathryn K., Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Mike, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian W., Ohashi, Haruka, Gabriela Palomo, Maria, Popp, Alexander, Paco Remme, Roy, Saito, Osamu, Rashid Sumalia, U., Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique M., Kim, Hye Jin, Peterson, Garry D., Cheung, William W.L., Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan J., Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura, Acosta, Lilibeth A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, den Belder, Eefje, Eddy, Tyler D., Johnson, Justin A., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel T.J., Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld A., Shin, Yunne Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, van Vuuren, Detlef, Wabnitz, Colette C.C., José Alava, Juan, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Davies, Kathryn K., Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Mike, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian W., Ohashi, Haruka, Gabriela Palomo, Maria, Popp, Alexander, Paco Remme, Roy, Saito, Osamu, Rashid Sumalia, U., Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique M.

Abstract

The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature as a state space where pathways improving nature toward a frontier can be represented, ii) mutually reinforcing key feedbacks of social-ecological systems that are important for nature conservation and human wellbeing, iii) indicators of multiple knowledge systems describing the evolution of complex social-ecological dynamics. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in the review, screening, and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature's contributions to people, and quality of life.

Published
2023

69. The future of ecosystem assessments is automation, collaboration, and artificial intelligence

Author

Galaz García, Carmen, primary, Bagstad, Kenneth J, additional, Brun, Julien, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Dhu, Trevor, additional, Murray, Nicholas J, additional, Nolan, Connor J, additional, Ricketts, Taylor H, additional, Sosik, Heidi M, additional, Sousa, Daniel, additional, Willard, Geoff, additional, and Halpern, Benjamin S, additional

Published
2023
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71. Natural capital and ecosystem services informing decisions : From promise to practice

Author

Guerry, Anne D., Polasky, Stephen, Lubchenco, Jane, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Daily, Gretchen C., Griffin, Robert, Ruckelshaus, Mary, Bateman, Ian J., Duraiappah, Anantha, Elmqvist, Thomas, Feldman, Marcus W., Folke, Carl, Hoekstra, Jon, Kareiva, Peter M., Keeler, Bonnie L., Li, Shuzhuo, McKenzie, Emily, Ouyang, Zhiyun, Reyers, Belinda, Ricketts, Taylor H., Rockström, Johan, Tallis, Heather, and Vira, Bhaskar

Published
2015

72. Critical Natural Assets

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Neugarten, Rachel, Sharp, Richard, Collins, Pamela, Polasky, Stephen, Hole, David, Schuster, Richard, Strimas-Mackey, Matt, Mulligan, Mark, Brandon, Carter, Diaz, Sandra, Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne, Gorenflo, Larry, Johnson, Justin, Kennedy, Christina, Keys, Patrick, Longley-Wood, Kate, McIntyre, Peter, Noon, Monica, Pascual, Unai, Liermann, Catherine, Roehrdanz, Patrick, Schmidt-Traub, Guido, Shaw, Rebecca, Spalding, Mark, Turner, Will, van Soesbergen, Arnout, and Watson, Reg

Abstract

ustaining the organisms, ecosystems and processes that underpin human wellbeing is necessary to achieve sustainable development. Here we define critical natural assets as the natural and semi-natural ecosystems that provide 90% of the total current magnitude of 14 types of nature’s contributions to people (NCP), and we map the global locations of these critical natural assets at 2 km resolution. Critical natural assets for maintaining local-scale NCP (12 of the 14 NCP) account for 30% of total global land area and 24% of national territorial waters, while 44% of land area is required to also maintain two global-scale NCP (carbon storage and moisture recycling). These areas overlap substantially with cultural diversity (areas containing 96% of global languages) and biodiversity (covering area requirements for 73% of birds and 66% of mammals). At least 87% of the world’s population live in the areas benefitting from critical natural assets for local-scale NCP, while only 16% live on the lands containing these assets. Many of the NCP mapped here are left out of international agreements focused on conserving species or mitigating climate change, yet this analysis shows that explicitly prioritizing critical natural assets and the NCP they provide could simultaneously advance development, climate and conservation goals.

Published
2022
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75. Mapping the planet’s critical natural assets

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, primary, Neugarten, Rachel A., additional, Sharp, Richard P., additional, Collins, Pamela M., additional, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Hole, David, additional, Schuster, Richard, additional, Strimas-Mackey, Matthew, additional, Mulligan, Mark, additional, Brandon, Carter, additional, Diaz, Sandra, additional, Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne, additional, Gorenflo, L. J., additional, Johnson, Justin A., additional, Kennedy, Christina M., additional, Keys, Patrick W., additional, Longley-Wood, Kate, additional, McIntyre, Peter B., additional, Noon, Monica, additional, Pascual, Unai, additional, Reidy Liermann, Catherine, additional, Roehrdanz, Patrick R., additional, Schmidt-Traub, Guido, additional, Shaw, M. Rebecca, additional, Spalding, Mark, additional, Turner, Will R., additional, van Soesbergen, Arnout, additional, and Watson, Reg A., additional

Published
2022
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80. Chapter 4. Value expression in decision-making

Author

Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, Van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem Iskender, Iranah, Pricila, Cantú-Fernández, Mariana, González-Jiménez, David, Bravo-Monroy, Liliana, Andradi-Brown, Dominic A., Ahmadia, Gabby N., Andrianarimisa, Aristide, Asiyanbi, Adeniyi, Aslan, Beste Gün, Asquith, Nigel, Avci, Duygu, Aydemir, Ezelnur, Aydın, Begüm, Baird, Timothy D., Berenguer, Maria Eduarda, Borgerson, Cortni, Bremer, Leah, Cadiz, Emily, Cassidy, Lin, Crane, Nicole, Dadvar, Maral, De Nardo, Matheus, del Bene, Daniela, Delgoulet, Elise, Demongeot, Marilou, Dugrillon, Cloé, Echavarria, Marta, Edens, Bram, Eyter, Harold N., Ortiz-Riomalo, Juan Felipe, Fidler, Robert Y., Forbes, Hamish, Gerçek, Pinar, Gill, David A., Guimaraes, Ellen, Harris, Maureen, Hayashi, Takashi, He, Jun, Isciel, Emine, Isyaku, Usman, Izquierdo- Tort, Santiago, Jackson, Sue, Jayant, Dheeraj, Katz, Laure, Kumagai, Joy, Kenter, Jasper, Keske, Fabian, Kozmínová, Michaela, Kruse, Marion, Kurashima, Natalie, Lansing, David, Laurans, Yann, Lavaud, Sophie, Lecercle, Hortense, Lliso, Bosco, Llopis, Jorge, Marttunen, Mika, Mascia, Michael B., McCabe, J. Terrence, Millington, Alice, Monroy- Sais, Sofia, Moore, Deborah, Morales Lizarazo, Diana Paola, Mosquera-Palacios, Maryury, Neugarten, Rachel, Obst, Carl, Ouyang, Zhiyun, Ozdemiroglu, Ece, Pakiding, Fitry, Perozzi, Mariana, Ríos-Beltrán, Fernanda, Rives, Justine, Roa-Avendaño, Tatiana, Rode, Julian, Roy, Brototi, Rulmal, John, Sahu, Geetanjoy, Saunders, Fred, Scholte, Samantha, Shapiro-Garza, Elizabeth, Shrestha, Sushma, Sotelo, Laura, Springer, Hannah Kihalani, Termansen, Mette, Thomas, Fabian, Tinch, Rob, Turpie, Jane, Upton, Caroline, Vaughan, Mehana, Veverka, Laura, Waechter, Anouck, Wann, Lei, Winter, Kawika, Wongbusarakum, Supin, Woodhouse, Emily, Zent, Eglee, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Krause, Marion, and Öztürk, Öykü

Subjects
Value expression, IPBES, Values assessment, Chapter 4, Decision making
Abstract

These documents correspond to Chapter 4 of the IPBES methodological assessment of the diverse values and valuation of nature and its supplementary material., Suggested citation: Barton, D.N., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Lazos, E., Van Noordwijk, M., Engel, S., Girvan, A., Hahn, T., Leimona, B., Lele, S., Niamir, A., Özkaynak, B., Pawlowska-Mainville, A., Muradian, R., Ungar, P., Aydin, C., Iranah, P., Nelson, S., Cantú-Fernández M., and González-Jiménez, D. (2022). Chapter 4: Value expression in decision-making. In: Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Balvanera, P., Pascual, U., Christie, M., Baptiste, B., and González-Jiménez, D. (eds). IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6522261

Published
2022
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82. Chapter 1. The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofía, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, Van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Contreras, Victoria, González-Jiménez, David, Ahn, SoEun, Amaruzaman, Sacha, Amin, Ariane, Arias-Arévalo, Paola, Aydin, Cem Iskender, Castro Martínez, Antonio J., De Vos, Aletta, Dendoncker, Nicolas, Engel, Stefanie, Eser, Uta, Faith, Daniel, Filyushkina, Anna, Ghazi, Houda, Girvan, Alexander, Gomez-Baggethun, Erik, Gould, Rachelle K., Gundimeda, Haripriya, Hahn, Thomas, Harmackova, Zuzana, Hernández-Blanco, Marcello, Horcea-Milcu, Andra-Ioana, Huambachano, Mariaelena, Iranah, Pricila, Islar, Mine, Kenter, Jasper, Koessler, Ann-Kathrin, Kosmus, Marina, Lee, Heera, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Lenzi, Dominic, Lutti Hummel, Natalia, Mannetti, Lelani, Merçon, Juliana, Mukherjee, Nibedita, Muraca, Barbara, Muradian, Roldan, Murali, Ranjini, Nelson, Sara, Nemogá, Ricardo Gabriel, Nuesiri, Emmanuel, Ngouhouo Poufoun, Jonas, Niamir, Aidin, Ochieng Nyumba, Tobias, Özkaynak, Begüm, Palomo, Ignacio, Pandit, Ram, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Porter-Bolland, Luciana, Quaas, Martin, Rode, Julian, Rozzi, Ricardo, Sachdeva, Sonya, Samakov, Aibek, Schaafsma, Marije, Sitas, Nadia, Ungar, Paola, Yiu, Evonne, Yoshida, Yuki, Zent, Eglee, Choi, Andy, Vessuri, Hebe, Watson, Robert T., and Mace, Georgina

Subjects
Chapter 1, Diverse values, IPBES, Values assessment, Valuation
Abstract

These documents correspond to Chapter 1 of the IPBES methodological assessment of the diverse values and valuation of nature and its supplementary material., Suggested citation: Balvanera, P., Pascual, U., Christie, M., Baptiste, B., Lliso, B., Monroy, A.S., Guibrunet, L., Anderson, C.B., Athayde, S., Barton, D.N., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Jacobs, S., Kelemen, E., Kumar, R., Lazos, E., Martin, A., Mwampamba, T.H., Nakangu, B., O'Farrell, P., Raymond, C.M., Subramanian, S.M., Termansen, M., Van Noordwijk, M., Vatn, A., Contreras, V., and González-Jiménez, D. (2022). Chapter 1: The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures. In: Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. P. Balvanera, U. Pascual, C. Michael, B. Baptiste, and D. González-Jiménez (eds.). IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6418971

Published
2022
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83. Value Expression in Decision-Making

Author

Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem İskender, Iranah, Pricila, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem İskender, and Iranah, Pricila

Abstract

This chapter links diverse values of nature as communicated through different value articulation (“valuing” and valuation) processes to decision-making and its outcomes. It reviews the underlying causes of treating impacts on nature as external to, and ignored in, decisions by current political, economic and socio-cultural actors and institutions (i.e., conventions, norms and rules), and describes how on-the-ground drivers of nature’s decline can be transformed towards recovery, focusing on land and sea use. The modalities and practice of explicit valuation of nature (preceding chapter) in support of decisions, and the decision-making processes themselves, may need to further evolve to achieve global sustainability goals, the CBD 2050 vision of living in harmony with nature and the recent Kunming Declaration of the CBD., IPBES

Published
2022
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84. Summary for Policymakers of the Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services

Author

Pascual, Unai, Balvanera, Patricia, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Pascual, Unai, Balvanera, Patricia, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, and Vatn, Arild

Published
2022

85. The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofia, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Contreras, Victoria, Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofia, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, and Contreras, Victoria

Published
2022

87. Ecosystem Services

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, primary, Quijas, Sandra, additional, Karp, Daniel S., additional, Ash, Neville, additional, Bennett, Elena M., additional, Boumans, Roel, additional, Brown, Claire, additional, Chan, Kai M. A., additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Halpern, Benjamin S., additional, Honey-Rosés, Jordi, additional, Kim, Choong-Ki, additional, Cramer, Wolfgang, additional, Martínez-Harms, Maria José, additional, Mooney, Harold, additional, Mwampamba, Tuyeni, additional, Nel, Jeanne, additional, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Reyers, Belinda, additional, Roman, Joe, additional, Turner, Woody, additional, Scholes, Robert J., additional, Tallis, Heather, additional, Thonicke, Kirsten, additional, Villa, Ferdinando, additional, Walpole, Matt, additional, and Walz, Ariane, additional

Published
2016
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91. Models of natural pest control : Towards predictions across agricultural landscapes

Author

Alexandridis, Nikolaos, Marion, Glenn, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Dainese, Matteo, Ekroos, Johan, Grab, Heather, Jonsson, Mattias, Karp, Daniel S., Meyer, Carsten, O'Rourke, Megan E., Pontarp, Mikael, Poveda, Katja, Seppelt, Ralf, Smith, Henrik G., Martin, Emily A., Clough, Yann, Department of Agricultural Sciences, and Plant Production Sciences

Subjects
DYNAMICS, 11832 Microbiology and virology, COMPLEXITY, DIVERSITY, Pest, Crop, SERVICES, 4111 Agronomy, HABITATS, LINYPHIID SPIDERS, Land use, SIMULATION, 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology, Natural control, PATTERNS, Landscape, BIODIVERSITY, PREDATORS, Ecological modelling
Abstract

Natural control of invertebrate crop pests has the potential to complement or replace conventional insecticide based practices, but its mainstream application is hampered by predictive unreliability across agroecosystems. Inconsistent responses of natural pest control to changes in landscape characteristics have been attributed to ecological complexity and system-specific conditions. Here, we review agroecological models and their potential to provide predictions of natural pest control across agricultural landscapes. Existing models have used a multitude of techniques to represent specific crop-pest-enemy systems at various spatiotemporal scales, but less wealthy regions of the world are underrepresented. A realistic representation of natural pest control across systems appears to be hindered by a practical trade-off between generality and realism. Nonetheless, observations of context-sensitive, trait-mediated responses of natural pest control to land-use gradients indicate the potential of ecological models that explicitly represent the underlying mechanisms. We conclude that modelling natural pest control across agroecosystems should exploit existing mechanistic techniques towards a framework of contextually bound generalizations. Observed similarities in causal relationships can inform the functional grouping of diverse agroecosystems worldwide and the development of the respective models based on general, but context-sensitive, ecological mechanisms. The combined use of qualitative and quantitative techniques should allow the flexible integration of empirical evidence and ecological theory for robust predictions of natural pest control across a wide range of agroecological contexts and levels of knowledge availability. We highlight challenges and promising directions towards developing such a general modelling framework.

Published
2021

92. Un‐yielding: Evidence for the agriculture transformation we need.

Author

Chaplin‐Kramer, Rebecca, Chappell, M. Jahi, and Bennett, Elena M.

Subjects
*AGRICULTURE, *AGRICULTURAL policy, *CROP yields, *ECOSYSTEM services, *CENTER of mass
Abstract

There has been a seismic shift in the center of gravity of scientific writing and thinking about agriculture over the past decades, from a prevailing focus on maximizing yields toward a goal of balancing trade‐offs and ensuring the delivery of multiple ecosystem services. Maximizing crop yields often results in a system where most benefits accrue to very few (in the form of profits), alongside irreparable environmental harm to agricultural ecosystems, landscapes, and people. Here, we present evidence that an un‐yielding, which we define as de‐emphasizing the importance of yields alone, is necessary to achieve the goal of a more Food secure, Agrobiodiverse, Regenerative, Equitable and just (FARE) agriculture. Focusing on yields places the emphasis on one particular outcome of agriculture, which is only an intermediate means to the true endpoint of human well‐being. Using yields as a placeholder for this outcome ignores the many other benefits of agriculture that people also care about, like health, livelihoods, and a sense of place. Shifting the emphasis to these multiple benefits rather than merely yields, and to their equitable delivery to all people, we find clear scientific evidence of win‐wins for people and nature through four strategies that foster FARE agriculture: reduced disturbance, systems reintegration, diversity, and justice (in the form of securing rights to land and other resources). Through a broad review of the current state of agriculture, desired futures, and the possible pathways to reach them, we argue that while trade‐offs between some ecosystem services in agriculture are unavoidable, the same need not be true of the end benefits we desire from them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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93. Conservation needs to integrate knowledge across scales

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, primary, Brauman, Kate A., additional, Cavender-Bares, Jeannine, additional, Díaz, Sandra, additional, Duarte, Gabriela Teixeira, additional, Enquist, Brian J., additional, Garibaldi, Lucas A., additional, Geldmann, Jonas, additional, Halpern, Benjamin S., additional, Hertel, Thomas W., additional, Khoury, Colin K., additional, Krieger, Joana Madeira, additional, Lavorel, Sandra, additional, Mueller, Thomas, additional, Neugarten, Rachel A., additional, Pinto-Ledezma, Jesús, additional, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Purvis, Andy, additional, Reyes-García, Victoria, additional, Roehrdanz, Patrick R., additional, Shannon, Lynne J., additional, Shaw, M. Rebecca, additional, Strassburg, Bernardo B. N., additional, Tylianakis, Jason M., additional, Verburg, Peter H., additional, Visconti, Piero, additional, and Zafra-Calvo, Noelia, additional

Published
2021
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94. Mapping the planet’s critical natural assets for people

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, primary, Neugarten, Rachel, additional, Sharp, Richard, additional, Collins, Pamela, additional, Polasky, Stephen, additional, Hole, David, additional, Schuster, Richard, additional, Strimas-Mackey, Matt, additional, Mulligan, Mark, additional, Brandon, Carter, additional, Diaz, Sandra, additional, Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne, additional, Gorenflo, Larry, additional, Johnson, Justin, additional, Keys, Patrick, additional, Longley-Wood, Kate, additional, McIntyre, Peter, additional, Noon, Monica, additional, Pascual, Unai, additional, Liermann, Cathrine Reidy, additional, Roehrdanz, Patrick, additional, Schmidt-Traub, Guido, additional, Shaw, Rebecca, additional, Spalding, Mark, additional, Turner, Will, additional, Soesbergen, Arnout van, additional, and Watson, Reg, additional

Published
2021
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95. Models of natural pest control: Towards predictions across agricultural landscapes

Author

Alexandridis, Nikolaos, primary, Marion, Glenn, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Dainese, Matteo, additional, Ekroos, Johan, additional, Grab, Heather, additional, Jonsson, Mattias, additional, Karp, Daniel S., additional, Meyer, Carsten, additional, O'Rourke, Megan E., additional, Pontarp, Mikael, additional, Poveda, Katja, additional, Seppelt, Ralf, additional, Smith, Henrik G., additional, Martin, Emily A., additional, and Clough, Yann, additional

Published
2021
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97. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, HyeJin, primary, Peterson, Garry, additional, Cheung, William, additional, Ferrier, Simon, additional, Alkemade, Rob, additional, Arneth, Almut, additional, Kuiper, Jan, additional, Okayasu, Sana, additional, Pereira, Laura M., additional, Acosta, Lilibeth A., additional, chaplin-kramer, rebecca, additional, Belder, Eefje den, additional, Eddy, Tyler, additional, Johnson, Justin, additional, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, additional, Kok, Marcel, additional, Leadley, Paul, additional, Leclère, David, additional, Lundquist, Carolyn J., additional, Rondinini, Carlo, additional, Scholes, Robert J., additional, Schoolenberg, Machteld, additional, Shin, Yunne-Jai, additional, Stehfest, Elke, additional, Stephenson, Fabrice, additional, Visconti, Piero, additional, van Vuuren, Detlef P., additional, Wabnitz, Colette C., additional, Alava, Juan José, additional, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, additional, Davies, Kathryn K., additional, Gasalla, Maria A., additional, Halouani, Ghassen, additional, Harfoot, Michael B. J., additional, Hashimoto, Shizuka, additional, Hickler, Thomas, additional, Hirsch, Tim, additional, Kolomytsev, Grigory, additional, Miller, Brian, additional, Ohashi, Haruka, additional, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, additional, Popp, Alexander, additional, Remme, Roy Paco, additional, Saito, Osamu, additional, Sumaila, Rashid, additional, Willcock, Simon, additional, and Pereira, Henrique, additional

Published
2021
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99. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique

Abstract

The expert group on scenarios and models of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services initiated the development of the Nature Futures Framework for developing scenarios of positive futures for nature, to help inform assessments of policy options. This new scenarios and modelling Framework seeks to open up diversity and plurality of perspectives by differentiating three main value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature (intrinsic values of nature), Nature for Society (instrumental values) and Nature as Culture (relational values). This paper describes how the Nature Futures Framework can be applied in modelling to support policy processes by identifying key interventions for change in realizing a diversity of desirable futures. First, the paper introduces and elaborates on key building blocks of the framework for developing qualitative scenarios and translating them into quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature and the Nature Futures frontier representing diverse preferences, ii) incorporating mutual and key feedbacks of social-ecological systems in Nature Futures scenarios, and iii) indicators describing the evolution of social-ecological systems with complementary knowledge and data. This paper then presents three possible application approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios to support the i) review, ii) implementation and iii) design phases of policy processes. The main objective of this paper is to facilitate the integration of the relational values of nature in models, through improved indicators and other forms of evidence, and to strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, ecosystems, nature’s contributions to people, and quality of life to identify science- and knowledge-based interventions and to enhance ecological understanding for achieving sustainable futures. The paper aims at stimulating the development of new scenarios and models based on this new framework by a wide c

Published
2021

100. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures

Author

Environmental Governance, Environmental Sciences, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique, Environmental Governance, Environmental Sciences, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique

Published
2021

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