501. Fast high precision decision rules for valuing manufacturing flexibility
- Author
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Markus Feurstein, Martin Natter, University of Zurich, and Natter, Martin
- Subjects
Mathematical optimization ,Information Systems and Management ,General Computer Science ,Artificial neural network ,Computation ,Decision rule ,1803 Management Science and Operations Research ,Management Science and Operations Research ,Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering ,330 Economics ,Dynamic programming ,10004 Department of Business Administration ,Modeling and Simulation ,Profit margin ,Economics ,Cost justification ,1802 Information Systems and Management ,1700 General Computer Science ,Volatility (finance) ,Valuation (finance) ,2611 Modeling and Simulation - Abstract
The valuation of Flexible Manufacturing Systems is one of the most frequently undertaken productivity improvement activities. In practice, the introduction of an FMS into industry must be done on the basis of cost justification. Recently developed techniques for the evaluation of the value of flexibility typically include the computation of stochastic dynamic programs. However, the computational effort of stochastic dynamic programs grows combinatorially and limits application to real world problems. In this contribution we derive fast approximations to the stochastic dynamic program and compare their results to the exact solution. The proposed methods show an excellent worst case behavior (1%) for a wide range of volatility of the underlying stochastic profit margins and costs for switching the production mode. The computational effort is reduced by a factor of more than 200.
- Published
- 2000