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An effective inventory management requires timely and accurate forecasting of demand for parts or items. In many realworld scenarios, however, the demand for rare, high-cost spare parts are scarce and erratic, making it highly challenging to perform a reliable forecast for intermittent demand. Studies in the past offered two approaches to such intermittent demand forecasting: a traditional approach to estimating demand parametrically, and a non-parametric approach that estimates the distribution of demands. The bootstrap method is considered to be one of the key non-parametric methods available. Despite its usefulness, however, application of conventional bootstrap methods in intermittent demand forecasting does not take into account any existing dependent structures in lead time demand, leading to inaccurate forecasting. In this paper, we suggest a new bootstrap method that takes into consideration the unique characteristics of intermittent demand to improve forecasting performance. We conclude by demonstrating the applicability of suggested new method through the results of a simple case experiment

Background There is a paucity of treatments that are capable of reliably and robustly improving cognitive function in adults with mood disorders. Glucagon-like peptide-1 is synthesized centrally and its receptors are abundantly expressed in neural circuits subserving cognitive function. We aimed to determine the effects of liraglutide, a GLP-1 receptor (GLP-1 R) agonist, on objective measures of cognition in adults with a depressive or bipolar disorder. Methods In this 4-week, pilot, open-label, domain-based study (e.g. cognition), we recruited 19 individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD) or bipolar disorder (BD) and an impairment in executive function, defined as a below-average performance in the Trail Making Test-B (TMTB). Liraglutide 1.8 mg/day was added as an adjunct to existing pharmacotherapy. Results Participants had significant increases from baseline to week 4 in the TMTB standard score (age and education corrected) (Cohen's d=0.64, p=0.009) and in a composite Z-score comprising multiple cognitive tests (i.e. Digit Symbol Substitution Test, Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test, Stroop test) (Cohen's d=0.77, p<0.001). Neither changes in mood rating scales nor metabolic parameters were associated with changes in cognitive performance (all p>0.05); however baseline insulin resistance (IR) and body mass index (BMI) moderated the changes in the composite Z-score (p=0.021 and p=0.046, respectively), indicating larger responses in individuals with higher IR and BMI at baseline. There was a significant increase in lipase (p<0.001), but individual values were above the upper limit of normality. Limitations Small sample size, open-label design, lack of a placebo group. Conclusions Liraglutide was safe and well tolerated by a sample of non-diabetic individuals with mood disorders and had beneficial effects on objective measures of cognitive function. Larger studies with controlled trial designs are necessary to confirm and expand the results described

Cognitive deficits are a core feature across psychiatric disorders. Emerging evidence indicates that metabolic pathways are highly relevant for the substrates and phenomenology of the cognitive domain. Herein, we aimed to determine the effects of liraglutide, a GLP-1R agonist, on brain structural/volumetric parameters in adults with a mood disorder. This is the secondary analysis of a 4-week, pilot, proof-of-concept, open-label study. Participants (N=19) exhibiting impairments in executive function with either major depressive disorder (MDD) or bipolar disorder (BD) were recruited. Liraglutide 1.8mg/day was added as an adjunct to existing pharmacotherapy. Structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scanning was obtained at baseline and endpoint. Results showed that at endpoint there was significant weight loss (mean: 3.15%; p<0.001). Changes in frontal and striatal volumes were significantly correlated with changes in body mass index (BMI), indicating the weight loss was associated with volume increase in most regions (e.g. r=-0.561, p=0.042 in the left superior frontal area). After adjusting for intracranial volume, age, gender, and BMI, we observed significant changes from baseline to endpoint in multiple regions (e.g. RR: 1.011, p=0.049 in the left rostral middle frontal area). Changes in regional volumes were associated with improvement in executive function (e.g. r=0.698, p=0.003 for the right superior frontal area). Adjunctive liraglutide results in clinically significant weight loss, with corresponding improvement in cognitive function; changes in cognitive function were partially moderated by changes in brain morphometry, underscoring the interrelationship between weight and brain structure/function.

(extract) Overall, this study reveals high conservation of the PopP2 effector in Korean R. solanacearum strains isolated from commercially cultivated tomato and pepper genotypes. Importantly, our data also indicate that the PopP2 conserved repressor motif could contribute to the effector accumulation in plant cells.