634 results on '"Winiwarter W"'
Search Results
2. The fate of nitrogen in the urban area – The case of Zielona Góra, Poland
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Suchowska-Kisielewicz, M., Greinert, A., Winiwarter, W., Kaltenegger, K., Jędrczak, A., Myszograj, S., Płuciennik-Koropczuk, E., Skiba, M., Bazan-Krzywoszańska, A., Suchowska-Kisielewicz, M., Greinert, A., Winiwarter, W., Kaltenegger, K., Jędrczak, A., Myszograj, S., Płuciennik-Koropczuk, E., Skiba, M., and Bazan-Krzywoszańska, A.
- Abstract
The anthropogenic change of the nitrogen (N) cycle is strongly triggered by urban demand (such as food and meat consumption, energy demand and transport). As a consequence of high population density, impacts on human health through water and air pollution also concentrate on a city environment. Thus, an urban perspective on a predominantly rural pollution becomes relevant. Urban N budgets may be considered less intrinsically connected, so that separation of an agri-food chain and an industry-combustion chain is warranted. Results have been obtained for Zielona Góra, Poland, a city of 140,000 inhabitants characterized by domestic and transport sources and forest-dominated surroundings. In addition to food imports in Zielona Gora amounting to about 30 %, in the suburban area a significant share of N amounting to 41 % is related to fertilizer imports. The remaining imports are in fuel, electronics, textiles, plastics and paper. Most of the agri-food N (45 %) is denitrified in wastewater treatment. N associated with combustion (mainly NOx emissions from vehicles) represents a much smaller share than N entering via the agri-food system, amounting to 22 % of the total N imports. This overall picture is maintained also when specifically addressing the city center, with the exception of mineral fertilizer that plays a much smaller role, with just 7 % of N imports to the city.
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- 2024
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3. Modelling the effect of context-specific greenhouse gas and nitrogen emission mitigation options in key European dairy farming systems
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Díaz de Otálora, X., del Prado, A., Dragoni, F., Balaine, L., Pardo, G., Winiwarter, W., Sandrucci, A., Ragaglini, G., Kabelitz, T., Kieronczyk, M., Jørgensen, G., Estellés, F., Amon, B., Díaz de Otálora, X., del Prado, A., Dragoni, F., Balaine, L., Pardo, G., Winiwarter, W., Sandrucci, A., Ragaglini, G., Kabelitz, T., Kieronczyk, M., Jørgensen, G., Estellés, F., and Amon, B.
- Abstract
Understanding the environmental consequences associated with dairy cattle production systems is crucial for the implementation of targeted strategies for emission reduction. However, few studies have modelled the effect of tailored emission mitigation options across key European dairy production systems. Here, we assess the single and combined effect of six emission mitigation practises on selected case studies across Europe through the Sustainable and Integrated Management System for Dairy Production model. This semi-mechanistic model accounts for the interacting flows from a whole-farm perspective simulating the environmental losses in response to different management strategies and site-specific conditions. The results show how reducing the crude protein content of the purchased fraction of the diet was an adequate strategy to reduce the greenhouse gas and nitrogen emission intensity in all systems. Furthermore, implementing an anaerobic digestion plant reduced the greenhouse gas emissions in all tested case studies while increasing the nitrogen emissions intensity, particularly when slurry was applied using broadcast. Regarding the productivity increase, contrasting effects were observed amongst the case studies modelled. Moreover, shallow slurry injection effectively mitigated the intensity of nitrogen losses from the fields due to strong reductions in ammonia volatilisation. When substituting urea with ammonium nitrate as mineral fertiliser, site-specific conditions affected the mitigation potential observed, discouraging its application on sandy-loam soils. Rigid slurry covers effectively reduced the storage-related nitrogen emissions intensity while showing a minor effect on total greenhouse gas emission intensity. In addition, our results provide novel evidence regarding the advantages of cumulative implementation of adapted mitigation options to offset the negative trade-offs of single-option applications (i.e. slurry covers or anaerobic digestion and slur
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- 2024
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4. Unlocking bacterial potential to reduce farmland N2O emissions
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Hiis, E.G., Vick, S.H.W., Molstad, L., Røsdal, K., Jonassen, K.R., Winiwarter, W., Bakken, L.R., Hiis, E.G., Vick, S.H.W., Molstad, L., Røsdal, K., Jonassen, K.R., Winiwarter, W., and Bakken, L.R.
- Abstract
Farmed soils contribute substantially to global warming by emitting N2O (ref. 1), and mitigation has proved difficult2. Several microbial nitrogen transformations produce N2O, but the only biological sink for N2O is the enzyme NosZ, catalysing the reduction of N2O to N2 (ref. 3). Although strengthening the NosZ activity in soils would reduce N2O emissions, such bioengineering of the soil microbiota is considered challenging4,5. However, we have developed a technology to achieve this, using organic waste as a substrate and vector for N2O-respiring bacteria selected for their capacity to thrive in soil6-8. Here we have analysed the biokinetics of N2O reduction by our most promising N2O-respiring bacterium, Cloacibacterium sp. CB-01, its survival in soil and its effect on N2O emissions in field experiments. Fertilization with waste from biogas production, in which CB-01 had grown aerobically to about 6 × 109 cells per millilitre, reduced N2O emissions by 50-95%, depending on soil type. The strong and long-lasting effect of CB-01 is ascribed to its tenacity in soil, rather than its biokinetic parameters, which were inferior to those of other strains of N2O-respiring bacteria. Scaling our data up to the European level, we find that national anthropogenic N2O emissions could be reduced by 5-20%, and more if including other organic wastes. This opens an avenue for cost-effective reduction of N2O emissions for which other mitigation options are lacking at present.
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- 2024
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5. The global potential for mitigating nitrous oxide emissions from croplands
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Cui, X., Bo, Y., Adalibieke, W., Winiwarter, W., Zhang, X., Davidson, E.A., Sun, Z., Tian, H., Smith, P., Zhou, F., Cui, X., Bo, Y., Adalibieke, W., Winiwarter, W., Zhang, X., Davidson, E.A., Sun, Z., Tian, H., Smith, P., and Zhou, F.
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Agricultural activities contribute almost half of the total anthropogenic nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions, but proper assessment of mitigation measures is hampered by large uncertainties during the quantification of cropland N2O emissions and mitigation potentials. This review summarizes the up-to-date datasets and approaches to provide spatially explicit and crop-specific assessment of the global mitigation potentials. Here, we show that global cropland N2O emissions have quadrupled to 1.2 Tg N2O-N year−1 over 1961–2020. The mitigation potential is 0.7 Tg N2O-N without compromising the crop production, with 86% from optimizing nitrogen fertilization, three-quarters (78%) from maize (22%), vegetables, and fruits (16%), other crops (15%), wheat (13%), and rice (12%), and over 80% from South Asia, China, the European Union, other American countries, the United States, and Southeast Asia. More accurate estimation of cropland N2O mitigation potentials requires extending the N2O observation network, improving modeling capacity, quantifying the feasibility of mitigation measures, and seeking additional mitigation measures.
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- 2024
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6. Acceleration of global N2O emissions seen from two decades of atmospheric inversion
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Thompson, R. L., Lassaletta, L., Patra, P. K., Wilson, C., Wells, K. C., Gressent, A., Koffi, E. N., Chipperfield, M. P., Winiwarter, W., Davidson, E. A., Tian, H., and Canadell, J. G.
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- 2019
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7. N2O Release from Agro-biofuel Production Negates Global Warming Reduction by Replacing Fossil Fuels
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Crutzen, Paul J., Mosier, A. R., Smith, K. A., Winiwarter, W., Brauch, Hans Günter, Series editor, and Crutzen, Paul J., editor
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- 2016
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8. Optimal reactive nitrogen control pathways identified for cost-effective PM2.5 mitigation in Europe
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Liu, Z., Rieder, H.E., Schmidt, C., Mayer, M., Guo, Y., Winiwarter, W., and Zhang, L.
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Excess reactive nitrogen (Nr), including nitrogen oxides (NOx) and ammonia (NH3), contributes strongly to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution in Europe, posing challenges to public health. Designing cost-effective Nr control roadmaps for PM2.5 mitigation requires considering both mitigation efficiencies and implementation costs. Here we identify optimal Nr control pathways for Europe by integrating emission estimations, air quality modeling, exposure-mortality modeling, Nr control experiments and cost data. We find that phasing out Nr emissions would reduce PM2.5 by 2.3 ± 1.2 μg·m−3 in Europe, helping many locations achieve the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines and reducing PM2.5-related premature deaths by almost 100 thousand in 2015. Low-ambition NH3 controls have similar PM2.5 mitigation efficiencies as NOx in Eastern Europe, but are less effective in Western Europe until reductions exceed 40%. The efficiency for NH3 controls increases at high-ambition reductions while NOx slightly decreases. When costs are considered, strategies for both regions uniformly shift in favor of NH3 controls, as NH3 controls up to 50% remain 5-11 times more cost-effective than NOx per unit PM2.5 reduction, emphasizing the priority of NH3 control policies for Europe.
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- 2023
9. Urgent abatement of industrial sources of nitrous oxide
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Davidson, E. A. and Winiwarter, W.
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The industrial emissions of nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone-depleting substance, have increased since 2010. However, untapped abatement potential for industrial emissions currently exists through low-cost technologies.
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- 2023
10. Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: integrated approach
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Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Jonas, M., Obersteiner, M., Wagner, F., Winiwarter, W., Ometto, Jean P., editor, Bun, Rostyslav, editor, Jonas, Matthias, editor, and Nahorski, Zbigniew, editor
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- 2015
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11. Urban nitrogen budgets: Evaluating and comparing the path of nitrogen through cities for improved management
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Kaltenegger, K., Bai, Z., Dragosits, U., Fan, X., Greinert, A., Guéret, S., Suchowska-Kisielewicz, M., Winiwarter, W., Zhang, L., Zhou, F., Kaltenegger, K., Bai, Z., Dragosits, U., Fan, X., Greinert, A., Guéret, S., Suchowska-Kisielewicz, M., Winiwarter, W., Zhang, L., and Zhou, F.
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Reactive nitrogen (Nr) released to the environment is a cause of multiple environmental threats. While Nr flows are often only analyzed in an agricultural context, consumption and emission takes place in the urban environment, and opportunities for Nr recycling and effective policy implementation for mitigation often appear in cities. Since little information is available on the bigger picture of Nr flows through the urban environment, these opportunities often remain unexploited. Here we developed a framework to model Nr pathways through urban and surrounding areas, which we applied to four test areas (Beijing and Shijiazhuang (China), Vienna (Austria), and Zielona Góra (Poland)). Using indicators such as recycling rates and Nr surplus, we estimated environmental risks and recycling potentials based on Nr flows and their entry and exit points. Our findings show marked differences between the core and surrounding areas of each city, with the former being a site of Nr consumption with largest flows associated with households, and the latter a site of (agricultural) production with largest flows associated with industry (fertilizers) and urban plants. As a result, Nr transgresses the core areas in a rather linear manner with only 0-5 % being re-used, with inputs from Nr contained in food and fuels and outputs most commonly as non-reactive N2 emissions to the atmosphere from wastewater treatment and combustion processes. While the peri-urban areas show a higher Nr recycling rate (6-14 %), Nr accumulation and emissions from cultivated land pose significant environmental challenges, indicating the need for mitigation measures. We found potential to increase nitrogen use efficiency through improved Nr management on cultivated areas and to increase Nr recycling using urine and sewage sludge as synthetic fertilizer substitutes. Hence our framework for urban nitrogen budgets not only allows for consistent budgeting but helps identify common patterns, potentially harmful flow
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- 2023
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12. Energy Transition for a sustainable society
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Winiwarter, W., Bruckman, V., Winiwarter, W., and Bruckman, V.
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- 2023
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13. The consolidated European synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2019
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Petrescu, A.M.R., Qiu, C., McGrath, M.J., Peylin, P., Peters, G.P., Ciais, P., Thompson, R.L., Tsuruta, A., Brunner, D., Kuhnert, M., Matthews, B., Palmer, P.I., Tarasova, O., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Etiope, G., Aalto, T., Balsamo, G., Bastrikov, V., Berchet, A., Brockmann, P., Ciotoli, G., Conchedda, G., Crippa, M., Dentener, F., Groot Zwaaftink, C.D., Guizzardi, D., Günther, D., Haussaire, J.-M., Houweling, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Kouyate, M., Leip, A., Leppänen, A., Lugato, E., Maisonnier, M., Manning, A.J., Markkanen, T., McNorton, J., Muntean, M., Oreggioni, G.D., Patra, P.K., Perugini, L., Pison, I., Raivonen, M.T., Saunois, M., Segers, A.J., Smith, P., Solazzo, E., Tian, H., Tubiello, F.N., Vesala, T., van der Werf, G.R., Wilson, C., Zaehle, S., Petrescu, A.M.R., Qiu, C., McGrath, M.J., Peylin, P., Peters, G.P., Ciais, P., Thompson, R.L., Tsuruta, A., Brunner, D., Kuhnert, M., Matthews, B., Palmer, P.I., Tarasova, O., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Etiope, G., Aalto, T., Balsamo, G., Bastrikov, V., Berchet, A., Brockmann, P., Ciotoli, G., Conchedda, G., Crippa, M., Dentener, F., Groot Zwaaftink, C.D., Guizzardi, D., Günther, D., Haussaire, J.-M., Houweling, S., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Kouyate, M., Leip, A., Leppänen, A., Lugato, E., Maisonnier, M., Manning, A.J., Markkanen, T., McNorton, J., Muntean, M., Oreggioni, G.D., Patra, P.K., Perugini, L., Pison, I., Raivonen, M.T., Saunois, M., Segers, A.J., Smith, P., Solazzo, E., Tian, H., Tubiello, F.N., Vesala, T., van der Werf, G.R., Wilson, C., and Zaehle, S.
- Abstract
Knowledge of the spatial distribution of the fluxes of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and their temporal variability as well as flux attribution to natural and anthropogenic processes is essential to monitoring the progress in mitigating anthropogenic emissions under the Paris Agreement and to inform its global stocktake. This study provides a consolidated synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions using bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) approaches for the European Union and UK (EU27 + UK) and updates earlier syntheses (Petrescu et al., 2020, 2021). The work integrates updated emission inventory data, process-based model results, data-driven sector model results and inverse modeling estimates, and it extends the previous period of 1990–2017 to 2019. BU and TD products are compared with European national greenhouse gas inventories (NGHGIs) reported by parties under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2021. Uncertainties in NGHGIs, as reported to the UNFCCC by the EU and its member states, are also included in the synthesis. Variations in estimates produced with other methods, such as atmospheric inversion models (TD) or spatially disaggregated inventory datasets (BU), arise from diverse sources including within-model uncertainty related to parameterization as well as structural differences between models. By comparing NGHGIs with other approaches, the activities included are a key source of bias between estimates, e.g., anthropogenic and natural fluxes, which in atmospheric inversions are sensitive to the prior geospatial distribution of emissions. For CH4 emissions, over the updated 2015–2019 period, which covers a sufficiently robust number of overlapping estimates, and most importantly the NGHGIs, the anthropogenic BU approaches are directly comparable, accounting for mean emissions of 20.5 Tg CH4 yr−1 (EDGARv6.0, last year 2018) and 18.4 Tg CH4 yr−1 (GAINS, last year 2015), close to the NGHGI estimates of 17.5±2.1 Tg CH4 yr−1. TD inversion estim
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- 2023
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14. DEXi-Dairy: an ex post multicriteria tool to assess the sustainability of dairy production systems in various European regions
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Wilfart, A., Baillet, V., Balaine, L., de Otálora, X.D., Dragoni, F., Krol, D.J., Frątczak-Müller, J., Rychła, A., Rodriguez, D.G.P., Breen, J., Anestis, V., Buckley, C., Alem, H., Winiwarter, W., Akkal-Corfini, N., Amon, B., Wilfart, A., Baillet, V., Balaine, L., de Otálora, X.D., Dragoni, F., Krol, D.J., Frątczak-Müller, J., Rychła, A., Rodriguez, D.G.P., Breen, J., Anestis, V., Buckley, C., Alem, H., Winiwarter, W., Akkal-Corfini, N., and Amon, B.
- Abstract
Growing awareness of global challenges and increasing pressures on the farming sector, including the urgent requirement to rapidly cut greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions, emphasize the need for sustainable production, which is particularly relevant for dairy production systems. Comparing dairy production systems across the three sustainability dimensions is a considerable challenge, notably due to the heterogeneity of production conditions in Europe. To overcome this, we developed an ex post multicriteria assessment tool that adopts a holistic approach across the three sustainability dimensions. This tool is based on the DEXi framework, which associates a hierarchical decision model with an expert perspective and follows a tree shaped structure; thus, we called it the DEXi-Dairy tool. For each dimension of sustainability, qualitative attributes were defined and organized in themes, sub-themes, and indicators. Their choice was guided by three objectives: (i) better describe main challenges faced by European dairy production systems, (ii) point out synergies and trade-offs across sustainability dimensions, and (iii) contribute to the identification of GHG mitigation strategies at the farm level. Qualitative scales for each theme, sub-theme, and indicator were defined together with weighting factors used to aggregate each level of the tree. Based on selected indicators, a list of farm data requirements was developed to populate the sustainability tree. The model was then tested on seven case study farms distributed across Europe. DEXi-Dairy presents a qualitative method that allows for the comparison of different inputs and the evaluation of the three sustainability dimensions in an integrated manner. By assessing synergies and trade-offs across sustainability dimensions, DEXi-Dairy is able to reflect the heterogeneity of dairy production systems. Results indicate that, while trade-offs occasionally exist among respective selected sub-themes, certain farming systems tend
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- 2023
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15. Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-27 from 2005 to 2070 with mitigation potentials and costs: GAINS model methodology
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Höglund-Isaksson, L., Purohit, P., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Kaltenegger, K., Pauls, A., Rafaj, P., Sander, R., Srivastava, P., Warnecke, L., Winiwarter, W., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Purohit, P., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Kaltenegger, K., Pauls, A., Rafaj, P., Sander, R., Srivastava, P., Warnecke, L., and Winiwarter, W.
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- 2023
16. Leveraging climate actions for healthy ageing
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Cai, W., Zhang, C., Zhang, S., Bai, Y., Callaghan, M., Chang, N., Chen, B., Chen, H., Cheng, L., Cui, X., Dai, H., Danna, B., Dong, W., Fan, W., Fang, X., Gao, T., Geng, Y., Guan, D., Hu, Y., Hua, J., Huang, C., Huang, H., Huang, J., Jiang, L., Jiang, Q., Jiang, X., Jin, H., Kiesewetter, G., Liang, L., Lin, B., Lin, H., Liu, H., Liu, Q., Liu, T., Liu, X., Liu, Z., Lou, S., Lu, C., Luo, Z., Meng, W., Miao, H., Ren, C., Romanello, M., Schöpp, W., Su, J., Tang, X., Wang, C., Wang, Q., Warnecke, L., Wen, S., Winiwarter, W., Xie, Y., Xu, B., Yan, Y., Yang, X., Yao, F., Yu, L., Yuan, J., Zeng, Y., Zhang, J., Zhang, L., Zhang, R., Zhao, Q., Zheng, D., Zhou, H., Zhou, J., Fung, M., Luo, Y., Gong, P., Cai, W., Zhang, C., Zhang, S., Bai, Y., Callaghan, M., Chang, N., Chen, B., Chen, H., Cheng, L., Cui, X., Dai, H., Danna, B., Dong, W., Fan, W., Fang, X., Gao, T., Geng, Y., Guan, D., Hu, Y., Hua, J., Huang, C., Huang, H., Huang, J., Jiang, L., Jiang, Q., Jiang, X., Jin, H., Kiesewetter, G., Liang, L., Lin, B., Lin, H., Liu, H., Liu, Q., Liu, T., Liu, X., Liu, Z., Lou, S., Lu, C., Luo, Z., Meng, W., Miao, H., Ren, C., Romanello, M., Schöpp, W., Su, J., Tang, X., Wang, C., Wang, Q., Warnecke, L., Wen, S., Winiwarter, W., Xie, Y., Xu, B., Yan, Y., Yang, X., Yao, F., Yu, L., Yuan, J., Zeng, Y., Zhang, J., Zhang, L., Zhang, R., Zhao, Q., Zheng, D., Zhou, H., Zhou, J., Fung, M., Luo, Y., and Gong, P.
- Abstract
As China’s population ages rapidly, the health risks associated with a changing climate are becoming more threatening. The 2022 China report of the Lancet Countdown, led by Tsinghua University with the contributions of 73 experts from 23 leading global institutions, tracks progress in climate change and health in China through 27 indicators across five domains: (1) Climate change impacts, exposure, and vulnerability; (2) adaptation, planning, and resilience for health; (3) mitigation actions and health co-benefits; (4) economics and finance; and (5) public and political engagement. This report is the third China Lancet Countdown report, paying particular attention to the impacts on the elderly and highlighting the urgency of taking action. We selected the most urgent and relevant indicators to complete a policy brief that provides a better understanding of recent progress on climate change and health in China. We found heat-related health impacts increased from 2020 to 2021, increasing heat-related mortality, reducing labour capacity, and undermining the capacity to partake in physical activity due to rising temperature. In addition, exposure to wildfire, extreme drought, and extreme rainfall also increased in different regions across China. In 2021, compared with the 1986–2005 average, people in China had an average of 7.85 more heatwave days (which led to an extra 13185 heatwave-related deaths), and a loss of 0.67 more hours of safe outdoor physical exercise per day. The rising temperature also caused the annual average exposure to wildfire to increase by 60.0% between 2017–2021 compared with the 2001–2005 average. Meanwhile, the engagement on health and climate issues from individuals, scholars, and public sectors continues to grow rapidly. From 2020 to 2021, the number of climate-related articles and documents on the official websites of four Chinese Government departments grew by 1.83 times, and the number of climate-and-health-related articles and documents gr
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- 2023
17. Global gridded anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants and methane for the period 1990-2050
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Klimont, Z., Heyes, C., Rafaj, P., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Purohit, P., Kaltenegger, K., Gomez Sanabria, A., Kim, Y., Winiwarter, W., Warnecke, L., Schöpp, W., Lindl, F., Kiesewetter, G., Sander, R., Nguyen, B., Klimont, Z., Heyes, C., Rafaj, P., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Purohit, P., Kaltenegger, K., Gomez Sanabria, A., Kim, Y., Winiwarter, W., Warnecke, L., Schöpp, W., Lindl, F., Kiesewetter, G., Sander, R., and Nguyen, B.
- Abstract
The global anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants including sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), ammonia (NH3), particulate matter (distinguishing PM2.5, PM10, BC, OC, OM), non-methane volatile organic compounds (VOC), carbon monoxide (CO), and methane (CH4) were developed at CIAM/IIASA[2]. These emission datasets have been produced with the GAINS model[1] (Amann et al., 2011) within work under UNECE Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP) and cover the 1990-2050 period. The respective emission datasets consist of 5-yearly global annual and monthly emissions and include two to three scenarios, depending on the version of the dataset: a baseline that is referred to as current legislation case (LRTAP Baseline), a scenarios exploring technical mitigation potential for all pollutant species (LRTAP MTFR), and a scenario that combines climate policy, behavioral changes, and strong technical mitigation of all pollutants (LRTAP LOW) Brief explanation of assumptions used in these three scenarios. The current legislation scenario (LRTAP Baseline) assumes implementation and effective enforcement of all committed energy and environmental policies affecting emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases. CIAM has undertaken a review and update of historical data (up to 2020) driving emissions of all species in the GAINS model, drawing on the statistical information from EUROSTAT, International Energy Agency (IEA), UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), as well as reporting of data and emissions to the Center on Emission Inventories and Projections[3]. For the EU27, the energy and agriculture projections are consistent with the objectives of the European Green Deal and Fit for 55 package making EU carbon neutral by 2050; these are consistent with the projections used in the EU third Clean Air Outlook [4]. For West Balkan, Republic of Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine, a similar set of modelling tools was used as for the EU developing a new consi
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- 2023
18. Costs and effects of measures to reduce ammonia emissions from dairy cattle and pig production: A comparison of country-specific estimations and model calculations
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Rychła, A., Amon, B., Hassouna, M., van der Weerden, T.J., Winiwarter, W., Rychła, A., Amon, B., Hassouna, M., van der Weerden, T.J., and Winiwarter, W.
- Abstract
Understanding the costs of emission abatement measures is essential for devising reduction efforts. It allows to identify cost-effective solutions to achieve target values set by international agreements or national policies. This work aims to summarize and discuss the current knowledge on costs and effects associated with selected ammonia (NH3) mitigation measures in livestock production through comparison of country-specific and model-estimated values. Often, large differences appear between the results of individual countries, also in comparison with model results that are generally better harmonized between countries. It seems that different system boundaries in cost assessments, but also different geographic and structural conditions create perceived as well as real cost differences, also caused by the variability of individual situations. Our results are robust with respect to identifying feeding strategies as the most cost-effective, but results for other mitigation options do not show any clear trends, thus making it difficult to distinguish further cost-effective solutions. We point out and discuss some key aspects which may affect estimates of national costs, leading to challenges with the interpretation of final results. Our study concludes that further and more consistent assessments (e.g. standardized protocols) are needed to improve the evaluation base for other individual abatement options, including options that are under development.
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- 2023
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19. EYE-CLIMA: developing inverse modelling approaches for monitoring national GHG inventories
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Winiwarter, W., Peters, G., Thompson, R., EYE-CLIMA consortium, Winiwarter, W., Peters, G., Thompson, R., and EYE-CLIMA consortium
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Emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) reported by countries in their GHG inventories represent the central information used in international policies based on the Paris agreement and in the Global Stocktake process to help curb global GHG emissions. To maximize trust in these national emission inventories reported to the UNFCCC, procedures for quality control, quality assurance, and verification have been described in the IPCC 2006 national GHG inventory guidelines and extended further in its 2019 refinement. Quantifying emission fluxes via atmospheric measurements and inverse modelling provides an independent assessment of the inventories and can help determine the quality of national inventories and make improvements. While tested in scientific studies, routine applications of inverse modelling in national inventory reports are rare. As a new Horizon Europe project, EYE-CLIMA will perform inverse modelling of a range of important radiative forcers (methane, nitrous oxide, selected fluorinated gases, black carbon) as a monitoring tool on a national scale for selected European countries, together with national inventory agencies, to help develop complementary methods to ensure the robustness and lead to improvements in inventories. The presentation will lay out the overall project concept, including stakeholder involvement, and provide an overview on past experiences with inverse modelling approaches and strategies to implement them in a way useful for national inventory agencies.
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- 2023
20. Inventorying emissions from nature in Europe
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Simpson, D, Winiwarter, W, Börjesson, G, Cinderby, S, Ferreiro, A, Guenther, A, Hewitt, CN, Janson, R, Khalil, MAK, Owen, S, Pierce, TE, Puxbaum, H, Shearer, M, Skiba, U, Steinbrecher, R, Tarrasón, L, and Öquist, MG
- Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
As part of the work of the Economic Commission for Europe of the United Nations Task Force on Emission Inventories, a new set of guidelines has been developed for assessing the emissions of sulphur, nitrogen oxides, NH3, CH4, and nonmethane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC) from biogenic and other natural sources in Europe. This paper gives the background to these guidelines, describes the sources, and gives our recommended methodologies for estimating emissions. We have assembled land use and other statistics from European or national compilations and present emission estimates for the various natural/biogenic source categories based on these. Total emissions from nature derived here amount to ∼1.1 Tg S yr-1, 6-8 Tg CH4 yr-1, 70 Gg NH3 (as N) yr-1, and 13 Tg NMVOC yr-1. Estimates of biogenic NOx emissions cover a wide range, from 140 to 1500 Gg NOx (as N) yr-1. In terms of relative contribution to total European emissions for different pollutants, then NMVOC from forests and vegetation are clearly the most important emissions source. Biogenic NOx emissions (although heavily influenced by nitrogen inputs from anthropogenic activities) are very important if the higher estimates are reliable. CH4 from wetlands and sulphur from volcanoes are also significant emissions in the European budgets. On a global scale, European biogenic emissions are not significant, a consequence of the climate and size (7% of global land area) of Europe and of the destruction of natural ecosystems since prehistoric times. However, for assessing local budgets and for photochemical oxidant modeling, natural/biogenic emissions can play an important role. The most important contributor in this regard is undoubtedly forest VOC emissions, although this paper also indicates that NMVOC emissions from nonforested areas also need to be further evaluated. This paper was originally conceived as a contribution to the collection of papers arising as a result of the Workshop on Biogenic Hydrocarbons in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer, August 24-27, 1997. (Several papers arising from this workshop have been published in Journal of Geophysical Research, 103(D19) 1998.) Copyright 1999 by the American Geophysical Union.
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- 1999
21. Lessons to be learned from uncertainty treatment: Conclusions regarding greenhouse gas inventories
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Jonas, M., Marland, G., Winiwarter, W., White, T., Nahorski, Z., Bun, R., Nilson, S., Jonas, Matthias, editor, Nahorski, Zbigniew, editor, Nilsson, Sten, editor, and Whiter, Thomas, editor
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- 2011
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22. National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Understanding Uncertainties versus Potential for Improving Reliability
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Winiwarter, W., Lieberman, Daniel, editor, Jonas, Matthias, editor, Nahorski, Zbigniew, editor, and Nilsson, Sten, editor
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- 2007
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23. Improvement of emission factors
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Theloke, J., Steinbrecher, R., Smiatek, G., Friedrich, R., Winiwarter, W., Sjödin, Å., Sturm, P. J., Hausberger, S., Török, S., Osán, J., Falkenberg, G., Pregger, T., Asman, W., Hutchings, N., Sommer, S., Andersen, J., Münier, B., Génermont, S., Cellier, P., Mittermaier, B., Schmitz, T., Hassel, D., Weber, F.-J., Klemp, D., Friedrich, Rainer, editor, and Reis, Stefan, editor
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- 2004
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24. Uncertainties, Validation and Verification
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Kühlwein, J., Sturm, P., Winiwarter, W., Theloke, J., Friedrich, R., Staehelin, J., Sjödin, Å., Slemr, F., Möllmann-Coers, M., Klemp, D., Mannschreck, K., Mittermaier, B., Baumbach, G., Vogt, U., Bauerle, P., Glaser, K., Staehlin, Johannes, Wickert, B., Memmesheimer, M., Ebel, A., Friedrich, Rainer, editor, and Reis, Stefan, editor
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- 2004
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25. Stickstoff im urbanen Raum
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Kaltenegger, K., Winiwarter, W., Guéret, S., and Suchowska-Kisielewicz, M.
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- 2022
26. The 2022 China report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: leveraging climate actions for healthy ageing
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Cai, W., Zhang, C., Zhang, S., Bai, Y., Callaghan, M., Chang, N., Chen, B., Chen, H., Cheng, L., Cui, X., Dai, H., Danna, B., Dong, W., Fan, W., Fang, X., Gao, T., Geng, Y., Guan, D., Hu, Y., Hua, J., Huang, C., Huang, H., Huang, J., Jiang, L., Jiang, Q., Jiang, X., Jin, H., Kiesewetter, G., Liang, L., Lin, B., Lin, H., Liu, H., Liu, Q., Liu, T., Liu, X., Liu, Z., Lou, S., Lu, C., Luo, Z., Meng, W., Miao, H., Ren, C., Romanello, M., Schöpp, W., Su, J., Tang, X., Wang, C., Wang, Q., Warnecke, L., Wen, S., Winiwarter, W., Xie, Y., Xu, B., Yan, Y., Yang, X., Yao, F., Yu, L., Yuan, J., Zeng, Y., Zhang, J., Zhang, L., Zhang, R., Zhao, Q., Zheng, D., Zhou, H., Zhou, J., Fung, M., Luo, Y., Gong, P., Cai, W., Zhang, C., Zhang, S., Bai, Y., Callaghan, M., Chang, N., Chen, B., Chen, H., Cheng, L., Cui, X., Dai, H., Danna, B., Dong, W., Fan, W., Fang, X., Gao, T., Geng, Y., Guan, D., Hu, Y., Hua, J., Huang, C., Huang, H., Huang, J., Jiang, L., Jiang, Q., Jiang, X., Jin, H., Kiesewetter, G., Liang, L., Lin, B., Lin, H., Liu, H., Liu, Q., Liu, T., Liu, X., Liu, Z., Lou, S., Lu, C., Luo, Z., Meng, W., Miao, H., Ren, C., Romanello, M., Schöpp, W., Su, J., Tang, X., Wang, C., Wang, Q., Warnecke, L., Wen, S., Winiwarter, W., Xie, Y., Xu, B., Yan, Y., Yang, X., Yao, F., Yu, L., Yuan, J., Zeng, Y., Zhang, J., Zhang, L., Zhang, R., Zhao, Q., Zheng, D., Zhou, H., Zhou, J., Fung, M., Luo, Y., and Gong, P.
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- 2022
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27. A gap in nitrous oxide emission reporting complicates long-term climate mitigation
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Del Grosso, S.J., Ogle, S.M., Nevison, C., Gurung, R., Parton, W.J., Wagner-Riddle, C., Smith, W., Winiwarter, W., Grant, B., Tenuta, M., Marx, E., Spencer, S., Williams, S., Del Grosso, S.J., Ogle, S.M., Nevison, C., Gurung, R., Parton, W.J., Wagner-Riddle, C., Smith, W., Winiwarter, W., Grant, B., Tenuta, M., Marx, E., Spencer, S., and Williams, S.
- Abstract
Nitrous oxide (N2O) is an important greenhouse gas (GHG) that also contributes to depletion of ozone in the stratosphere. Agricultural soils account for about 60% of anthropogenic N2O emissions. Most national GHG reporting to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change assumes nitrogen (N) additions drive emissions during the growing season, but soil freezing and thawing during spring is also an important driver in cold climates. We show that both atmospheric inversions and newly implemented bottom-up modeling approaches exhibit large N2O pulses in the northcentral region of the United States during early spring and this increases annual N2O emissions from croplands and grasslands reported in the national GHG inventory by 6 to 16%. Considering this, emission accounting in cold climate regions is very likely underestimated in most national reporting frameworks. Current commitments related to the Paris Agreement and COP26 emphasize reductions of carbon compounds. Assuming these targets are met, the importance of accurately accounting and mitigating N2O increases once CO2 and CH4 are phased out. Hence, the N2O emission underestimate introduces additional risks into meeting long-term climate goals.
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- 2022
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28. Focus on reactive nitrogen and the UN sustainable development goals
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Winiwarter, W., Amon, B., Bodirsky, B.L., Friege, H., Geupel, M., Lassaletta, L., Raghuram, N., Winiwarter, W., Amon, B., Bodirsky, B.L., Friege, H., Geupel, M., Lassaletta, L., and Raghuram, N.
- Abstract
The scientific evidence assembled in this Focus Collection on 'Reactive nitrogen and the UN sustainable development goals' emphasizes the relevance of agriculture as a key sector for nitrogen application as well as its release to the environment and the observed impacts. Published work proves the multiple connections and their causality, and presents pathways to mitigate negative effects while maintaining the benefits, foremost the production of food to sustain humanity. Providing intersections from field to laboratory studies and to modelling approaches, across multiple scales and for all continents, the Collection displays an overview of the state of nitrogen science in the early 21st century. Extending science to allow for policy-relevant messages renders the evidence provided a valuable basis for a global assessment of reactive nitrogen.
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- 2022
29. A Computer-Based Emission Inventory
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Schimak, G., Winiwarter, W., Denzer, Ralf, editor, Swayne, David A., editor, Purvis, Martin, editor, and Schimak, Gerald, editor
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- 2000
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30. Implications of population growth and urbanization on agricultural risks in China
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Fischer, G., Winiwarter, W., Cao, G. Y., Ermolieva, T., Hizsnyik, E., Klimont, Z., Wiberg, D., and Zheng, X. Y.
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- 2012
31. N2O Release from Agro-biofuel Production Negates Global Warming Reduction by Replacing Fossil Fuels
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Crutzen, Paul J., primary, Mosier, A. R., additional, Smith, K. A., additional, and Winiwarter, W., additional
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- 2016
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32. High Alpine Air, Aerosol and Cloud Chemistry
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Berner, A., Kruisz, C., Gäggeler, H. W., Schwikowski, M., Baltensperger, U., Jost, D. T., Puxbaum, H., Brantner, B., Fierlinger, H., Kalina, M. F., Kasper, A., Paleczek, S., Winiwarter, W., Staehelin, Johannes, Waldvogel, Albert, Borrell, Peter, editor, Borrell, Patricia M., editor, Cvitaš, Tomislav, editor, Kelly, Kerry, editor, Seiler, Wolfgang, editor, Fuzzi, Sandro, editor, and Wagenbach, Dietmar, editor
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- 1997
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33. Henry’s Law and the Behavior of Weak Acids and Bases in Fog and Cloud
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Winiwarter, W., Fierlinger, H., Puxbaum, H., Facchini, M. C., Arends, B. G., Fuzzi, S., Schell, D., Kaminski, U., Pahl, S., Schneider, T., Berner, A., Solly, I., Kruisz, C., and Fuzzi, Sandro, editor
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- 1995
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34. The Kleiner Feldberg Cloud Experiment 1990. An Overview
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Wobrock, W., Schell, D., Maser, R., Jaeschke, W., Georgii, H.-W., Wieprecht, W., Arends, B. G., Mols, J. J., Kos, G. P. A., Fuzzi, S., Facchini, M. C., Orsi, G., Berner, A., Solly, I., Kruisz, C., Svenningsson, I. B., Wiedensohler, A., Hansson, H.-C., Ogren, J. A., Noone, K. J., Hallberg, A., Pahl, S., Schneider, T., Winkler, P., Winiwarter, W., Colvile, R. N., Choularton, T. W., Flossmann, A. I., Borrmann, S., and Fuzzi, Sandro, editor
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- 1995
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35. Computer Modelling of Clouds at Kleiner Feldberg
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Colvile, R. N., Sander, R., Choularton, T. W., Bower, K. N., Inglis, D. W. F., Wobrock, W., Schell, D., Svenningsson, I. B., Wiedensohler, A., Hansson, H.-C., Hallberg, A., Ogren, J. A., Noone, K. J., Facchini, M. C., Fuzzi, S., Orsi, G., Arends, B. G., Winiwarter, W., Schneider, T., Berner, A., and Fuzzi, Sandro, editor
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- 1995
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36. Magnitude and Uncertainty of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From North America Based on Bottom‐Up and Top‐Down Approaches: Informing Future Research and National Inventories
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Xu, R., primary, Tian, H., additional, Pan, N., additional, Thompson, R. L., additional, Canadell, J. G., additional, Davidson, E. A., additional, Nevison, C., additional, Winiwarter, W., additional, Shi, H., additional, Pan, S., additional, Chang, J., additional, Ciais, P., additional, Dangal, S. R. S., additional, Ito, A., additional, Jackson, R. B., additional, Joos, F., additional, Lauerwald, R., additional, Lienert, S., additional, Maavara, T., additional, Millet, D. B., additional, Raymond, P. A., additional, Regnier, P., additional, Tubiello, F. N., additional, Vuichard, N., additional, Wells, K. C., additional, Wilson, C., additional, Yang, J., additional, Yao, Y., additional, Zaehle, S., additional, and Zhou, F., additional
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- 2021
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37. Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: integrated approach
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Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Jonas, M., Obersteiner, M., Wagner, F., and Winiwarter, W.
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- 2014
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38. Integrated modeling framework for assessment and mitigation of nitrogen pollution from agriculture: Concept and case study for China
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Fischer, G., Winiwarter, W., Ermolieva, T., Cao, G.-Y., Qui, H., Klimont, Z., Wiberg, D., and Wagner, F.
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- 2010
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39. Historical trends of riverine nitrogen loading from land to the East China Sea: a model-based evaluation
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Nishina, K, primary, Ito, A, additional, Zhou, F, additional, Yan, X, additional, Hayashi, S, additional, and Winiwarter, W, additional
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- 2021
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40. Decoupling between ammonia emission and crop production in China due to policy interventions
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Adalibieke, W., Zhan, X., Cui, X., Reis, S., Winiwarter, W., Zhou, F., Adalibieke, W., Zhan, X., Cui, X., Reis, S., Winiwarter, W., and Zhou, F.
- Abstract
Cropland ammonia (NH3) emission is a critical driver triggering haze pollution. Many agricultural policies were enforced in past four decades to improve nitrogen (N) use efficiency while maintaining crop yield. Inadvertant reductions of NH3 emissions, which may be induced by such policies, are not well evaluated. Here, we quantify the China’s cropland-NH3 emission change from 1980 to 2050 and its response to policy interventions, using a data-driven model and a survey-based dataset of the fertilization scheme. Cropland-NH3 emission in China doubled from 1.93 to 4.02 Tg NH3-N in period 1980-1996, and then decreased to 3.50 Tg NH3-N in 2017. The prevalence of four agricultural policies may avoid ~3.0 Tg NH3-N in 2017, mainly located in highly-fertilized areas. Optimization of fertilizer management and food consumption could mitigate three quarters of NH3 emission in 2050 and lower NH3 emission intensity (emission divided by crop production) close to the European Union and the United States. Our findings provide an evidence on the decoupling of cropland-NH3 from crop production in China, and suggest the need to achieve cropland-NH3 mitigation while sustaining crop yields in other developing economies.
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- 2021
41. The consolidated European synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2017
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Petrescu, A.M.R., Qiu, C., Ciais, P., Thompson, R.L., Peylin, P., McGrath, M.J., Solazzo, E., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Tubiello, F.N., Bergamaschi, P., Brunner, D., Peters, G.P., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Tsuruta, A., Winiwarter, W., Patra, P.K., Kuhnert, M., Oreggioni, G.D., Crippa, M., Saunois, M., Perugini, L., Markkanen, T., Aalto, T., Groot Zwaaftink, C.D., Yao, Y., Wilson, C., Conchedda, G., Günther, D., Leip, A., Smith, P., Haussaire, J.-M., Leppänen, A., Manning, A.J., McNorton, J., Brockmann, P., Dolman, A.J., Petrescu, A.M.R., Qiu, C., Ciais, P., Thompson, R.L., Peylin, P., McGrath, M.J., Solazzo, E., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Tubiello, F.N., Bergamaschi, P., Brunner, D., Peters, G.P., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Regnier, P., Lauerwald, R., Bastviken, D., Tsuruta, A., Winiwarter, W., Patra, P.K., Kuhnert, M., Oreggioni, G.D., Crippa, M., Saunois, M., Perugini, L., Markkanen, T., Aalto, T., Groot Zwaaftink, C.D., Yao, Y., Wilson, C., Conchedda, G., Günther, D., Leip, A., Smith, P., Haussaire, J.-M., Leppänen, A., Manning, A.J., McNorton, J., Brockmann, P., and Dolman, A.J.
- Abstract
Reliable quantification of the sources and sinks of greenhouse gases, together with trends and uncertainties, is essential to monitoring the progress in mitigating anthropogenic emissions under the Paris Agreement. This study provides a consolidated synthesis of CH4 and N2O emissions with consistently derived state-of-the-art bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) data sources for the European Union and UK (EU27 + UK). We integrate recent emission inventory data, ecosystem process-based model results and inverse modeling estimates over the period 1990-2017. BU and TD products are compared with European national greenhouse gas inventories (NGHGIs) reported to the UN climate convention UNFCCC secretariat in 2019. For uncertainties, we used for NGHGIs the standard deviation obtained by varying parameters of inventory calculations, reported by the member states (MSs) following the recommendations of the IPCC Guidelines. For atmospheric inversion models (TD) or other inventory datasets (BU), we defined uncertainties from the spread between different model estimates or model-specific uncertainties when reported. In comparing NGHGIs with other approaches, a key source of bias is the activities included, e.g., anthropogenic versus anthropogenic plus natural fluxes. In inversions, the separation between anthropogenic and natural emissions is sensitive to the geospatial prior distribution of emissions. Over the 2011-2015 period, which is the common denominator of data availability between all sources, the anthropogenic BU approaches are directly comparable, reporting mean emissions of 20.8 Tg CH4 yr-1 (EDGAR v5.0) and 19.0 Tg CH4 yr-1 (GAINS), consistent with the NGHGI estimates of 18.9 ± 1.7 Tg CH4 yr-1. The estimates of TD total inversions give higher emission estimates, as they also include natural emissions. Over the same period regional TD inversions with higher-resolution atmospheric transport models give a mean emission of 28.8 Tg CH4 yr-1. Coarser-resolution global TD inver
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- 2021
42. Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions in the EU-27 from 2005 to 2070 with mitigation potentials and costs: GAINS model methodology
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Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Purohit, P., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Rafaj, P., Warnecke, L., Schöpp, W., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Winiwarter, W., Purohit, P., Gomez-Sanabria, A., Rafaj, P., Warnecke, L., and Schöpp, W.
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- 2021
43. Strategies to reduce ammonia emissions from livestock and their cost-benefit analysis: A case study of Sheyang county
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Wang, H., Zhao, Z., Winiwarter, W., Bai, Z., Wang, X., Fan, X., Zhu, Z., Hu, C., Ma, L., Wang, H., Zhao, Z., Winiwarter, W., Bai, Z., Wang, X., Fan, X., Zhu, Z., Hu, C., and Ma, L.
- Abstract
Ammonia (NH3) emissions, the majority of which arise from livestock production, are linked to high concentration of PM2.5 and lower air quality in China. NH3 mitigation options were well studied at the small-scale (laboratory or pilot), however, they lack of a large-scale test in China. This study fills this crucial gap by evaluating the cost-benefit of pioneering NH3 mitigation projects carried out for a whole county – Sheyang, Jiangsu province, China. Measures were implemented in 2019 following two distinct strategies, improved manure treatment for industrial livestock farms, and collection and central treatment for traditional livestock farms. Emission reductions of 16% were achieved in a short time. While this is remarkable, it falls short of expectations from small-scale studies. If measures were fully implemented according to purpose and meet expectations from the small scale, higher emission reductions of 42% would be possible. The cost benefit analysis presented in this study demonstrated advantages of central manure treatment over in-farm facilities. With improved implementation of mitigation strategies in industrial livestock farms, traditional livestock farms may play an increasing role in total NH3 emissions, which means such farms either need to be included in future NH3 mitigation policies or gradually replaced by industrial livestock farms. The study found an agricultural NH3 reduction technology route suitable for China's national conditions (such as the “Sheyang Model”).
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- 2021
44. Magnitude and Uncertainty of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From North America Based on Bottom‐Up and Top‐Down Approaches: Informing Future Research and National Inventories
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Xu, R., Tian, H., Pan, N., Thompson, R.L., Canadell, J.G., Davidson, E.A., Nevison, C., Winiwarter, W., Shi, H., Pan, S., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dangal, S.R.S., Ito, A., Jackson, R.B., Joos, F., Lauerwald, R., Lienert, S., Maavara, T., Millet, D.B., Raymond, P.A., Regnier, P., Tubiello, F.N., Vuichard, N., Wells, K.C., Wilson, C., Yang, J., Yao, Y., Zaehle, S., Zhou, F., Xu, R., Tian, H., Pan, N., Thompson, R.L., Canadell, J.G., Davidson, E.A., Nevison, C., Winiwarter, W., Shi, H., Pan, S., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dangal, S.R.S., Ito, A., Jackson, R.B., Joos, F., Lauerwald, R., Lienert, S., Maavara, T., Millet, D.B., Raymond, P.A., Regnier, P., Tubiello, F.N., Vuichard, N., Wells, K.C., Wilson, C., Yang, J., Yao, Y., Zaehle, S., and Zhou, F.
- Abstract
We synthesized N2O emissions over North America using 17 bottom-up (BU) estimates from 1980–2016 and five top-down (TD) estimates from 1998 to 2016. The BU-based total emission shows a slight increase owing to U.S. agriculture, while no consistent trend is shown in TD estimates. During 2007–2016, North American N2O emissions are estimated at 1.7 (1.0–3.0) Tg N yr−1 (BU) and 1.3 (0.9–1.5) Tg N yr−1 (TD). Anthropogenic emissions were twice as large as natural fluxes from soil and water. Direct agricultural and industrial activities accounted for 68% of total anthropogenic emissions, 71% of which was contributed by the U.S. Our estimates of U.S. agricultural emissions are comparable to the EPA greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory, which includes estimates from IPCC tier 1 (emission factor) and tier 3 (process-based modeling) approaches. Conversely, our estimated agricultural emissions for Canada and Mexico are twice as large as the respective national GHG inventories.
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- 2021
45. Historical trends of riverine nitrogen loading from land to the East China Sea: a model-based evaluation
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Nishina, K., Ito, A., Zhou, F., Yan, X., Hayashi, S., Winiwarter, W., Nishina, K., Ito, A., Zhou, F., Yan, X., Hayashi, S., and Winiwarter, W.
- Abstract
East Asia is the one of the hotspot regions with too much reactive nitrogen (N) inputs from anthropogenic sources. Here, we evaluated historical total inorganic N (TIN) load from land to sea through the rivers surrounding the East China sea using biogeochemical model 'VISIT' combined with a newly developed VISIT Off-line River Nitrogen scheme (VISIToRN). VISIT calculated N cycling in both natural and agricultural ecosystems and VISIToRN calculated inorganic N transport and riverine denitrification through the river channels at half degree spatial resolution. Between 1961 and 2010, the estimated TIN load from land to the sea surrounding the East China Sea increased from 2.7 Tg-N Year−1 to 5.5 Tg-N Year−1, a twofold increase, while the anthropogenic N input to the East China Sea basin (N deposition, N fertilizer, manure, and human sewage) increased from 12.9 Tg-N Year−1 to 36.9 Tg-N Year−1, an increase of about 3 times. This difference in the rate of increase is due in large part to the terrestrial nitrogen budget, and the results of the model balance indicate that TIN load to rivers has been suppressed by improvements in fertilizer application rates, harvesting on agricultural land, and nitrogen accumulation in forests. The results of the model balance showed that the increase rate of nitrogen runoff from Chinese rivers has been declining since 2000. In our estimation by VISIToRN, the amount of nitrogen removed by river denitrification in the river channel before the mouth is not negligible, ranging from 1.6 Tg-N Year−1 to 2.16 Tg-N Year−1. The N load from agricultural sources is still significant and needs to be further reduced. TIN load tended to increase in years with high precipitation. In order to effectively reduce TIN load, it is necessary to consider climate change-adaptive agricultural N management.
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- 2021
46. Nitrogen budgets in Japan from 2000 to 2015: Decreasing trend of nitrogen loss to the environment and the challenge to further reduce nitrogen waste
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Hayashi, K., Shibata, H., Oita, A., Nishina, K., Ito, A., Katagiri, K., Shindo, J., Winiwarter, W., Hayashi, K., Shibata, H., Oita, A., Nishina, K., Ito, A., Katagiri, K., Shindo, J., and Winiwarter, W.
- Abstract
The benefits of the artificial fixation of reactive nitrogen (Nr, nitrogen [N] compounds other than dinitrogen), in the form of N fertilizers and materials are huge, while at the same time posing substantial threats to human and ecosystem health by the release of Nr to the environment. To achieve sustainable N use, Nr loss to the environment must be reduced. An N-budget approach at the national level would allow us to fully grasp the whole picture of Nr loss to the environment through the quantification of important N flows in the country. In this study, the N budgets in Japan were estimated from 2000 to 2015 using available statistics, datasets, and literature. The net N inflow to Japanese human sectors in 2010 was 6180 Gg N yr-1 in total. With 420 Gg N yr-1 accumulating in human settlements, 5760 Gg N yr-1 was released from the human sector, of which 1960 Gg N yr-1 was lost to the environment as Nr (64% to air and 36% to waters), and the remainder assumed as dinitrogen. Nr loss decreased in both atmospheric emissions and loss to terrestrial water over time. The distinct reduction in the atmospheric emissions of nitrogen oxides from transportation, at -4.3% yr-1, was attributed to both emission controls and a decrease in energy consumption. Reductions in runoff and leaching from land as well as the discharge of treated water were found, at -1.0% yr-1 for both. The aging of Japan's population coincided with the reductions in the per capita supply and consumption of food and energy. Future challenges for Japan lie in further reducing N waste and adapting its N flows in international trade to adopt more sustainable options considering the reduced demand due to the aging population.
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- 2021
47. Abating ammonia is more cost-effective than nitrogen oxides for mitigating PM 2.5 air pollution
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Gu, B., Zhang, L., Van Dingenen, R., Vieno, M., Van Grinsven, H.J.M., Zhang, X., Zhang, S., Chen, Y., Wang, S., Ren, C., Rao, S., Holland, M., Winiwarter, W., Chen, D., Xu, J., Sutton, M.A., Gu, B., Zhang, L., Van Dingenen, R., Vieno, M., Van Grinsven, H.J.M., Zhang, X., Zhang, S., Chen, Y., Wang, S., Ren, C., Rao, S., Holland, M., Winiwarter, W., Chen, D., Xu, J., and Sutton, M.A.
- Abstract
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5, particles with a mass median aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers) in the atmosphere is associated with severe negative impacts on human health, and the gases sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and ammonia are the main PM2.5 precursors. However, their contribution to global health impacts has not yet been analyzed. Here, we show that nitrogen accounted for 39% of global PM2.5 exposure in 2013, increasing from 30% in 1990 with rising reactive nitrogen emissions and successful controls on sulfur dioxide. Nitrogen emissions to air caused an estimated 23.3 million years of life lost in 2013, corresponding to an annual welfare loss of 420 billion United States dollars for premature death. The marginal abatement cost of ammonia emission is only 10% that of nitrogen oxides emission globally, highlighting the priority for ammonia reduction.
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- 2021
48. Gridded soil surface nitrogen surplus on grazing and agricultural land: Impact of land use maps
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Kaltenegger, K., Erb, K.-H., Matej, S., Winiwarter, W., Kaltenegger, K., Erb, K.-H., Matej, S., and Winiwarter, W.
- Abstract
Excess N application on agricultural land greatly impacts the environment in multiple ways, driven by population growth and improving quality of human diets. Therefore, it is essential to quantify the sources of the emissions of N compounds and their determinants (e.g. biological N fixation (BNF), mineral fertilizer, manure N and N deposition) to develop adequate mitigation measures. Here we aim at comprehensively mapping and quantifying N fluxes on agricultural land to analyze these sources on different scales. As underlying grazing land maps used for such calculations are fairly different in terms of methodology and definition and thus spatial extent and pattern, we investigate how this diversity in grazing land maps affects quantification of N indicators. We compared three different global grazing land maps and analyzed the propagation of differences to discrepancies in N indicators calculated from them. We discovered that (i) area differences propagated to high discrepancies in N surplus mostly in Asia, and to a minor extent also in Europe and Northern Africa. (ii) BNF constitutes an important translator for differences on grazing land to N indicators, while also being a source of further uncertainty, which warrants further scrutiny. (iii) A more inclusive definition of grazing land results in overall less N surplus given the larger areas included but allows to provide a more comprehensive estimate of the influence of human activity on the N cycle. This study is the first to provide an in-depth analysis of the effect of grazing land and agricultural land area differences on various N budget terms and N indicator calculation, highlighting opportunities for further research, and the importance of a comprehensive accounting of N surplus when using an inclusive definition of grazing land.
- Published
- 2021
49. Improved Estimates of Ammonia Emissions from Global Croplands
- Author
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Zhan, X., Adalibieke, W., Cui, X., Winiwarter, W., Reis, S., Zhang, L., Bai, Z., Wang, Q., Huang, W., Zhou, F., Zhan, X., Adalibieke, W., Cui, X., Winiwarter, W., Reis, S., Zhang, L., Bai, Z., Wang, Q., Huang, W., and Zhou, F.
- Abstract
Reducing ammonia (NH3) volatilization from croplands while satisfying the food demand is strategically required to mitigate haze pollution. However, the global pattern of NH3 volatilization remains uncertain, primarily because of the episodic nature of NH3 volatilization rates and the high variation of fertilization practices. Here, we improve a global estimate of crop-specific NH3 emissions at a high spatial resolution using an updated data-driven model with a survey-based dataset of the fertilization scheme. Our estimate of the globally averaged volatilization rate (12.6% ± 2.1%) is in line with previous data-driven studies (13.7 ± 3.1%) but results in one-quarter lower emissions than process-based models (16.5 ± 3.1%). The associated global emissions are estimated at 14.4 ± 2.3 Tg N, with more than 50% of the total stemming from three stable crops or 12.2% of global harvested areas. Nearly three-quarters of global cropland-NH3 emissions could be reduced by improving fertilization schemes (right rate, right type, and right placement). A small proportion (20%) of global harvested areas, primarily located in China, India, and Pakistan, accounts for 64% of abatement potentials. Our findings provide a critical reference guide for the future abatement strategy design when considering locations and crop types.
- Published
- 2021
50. Source apportionment of particulate matter in Europe: A review of methods and results
- Author
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Viana, M., Kuhlbusch, T.A.J., Querol, X., Alastuey, A., Harrison, R.M., Hopke, P.K., Winiwarter, W., Vallius, M., Szidat, S., Prévôt, A.S.H., Hueglin, C., Bloemen, H., Wåhlin, P., Vecchi, R., Miranda, A.I., Kasper-Giebl, A., Maenhaut, W., and Hitzenberger, R.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
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