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Occult hemorrhage in surgical/trauma intensive care unit (STICU) patients is common and may lead to circulatory collapse. Continuous electrocardiography (ECG) monitoring may allow for early identification and treatment, and could improve outcomes. We studied 4,259 consecutive admissions to the STICU at the University of Virginia Health System. We collected ECG waveform data captured by bedside monitors and calculated linear and non-linear measures of the RR interbeat intervals. We tested the hypothesis that a transfusion requirement of 3 or more PRBC transfusions in a 24 hour period is preceded by dynamical changes in these heart rate measures and performed logistic regression modeling. We identified 308 hemorrhage events. A multivariate model including heart rate, standard deviation of the RR intervals, detrended fluctuation analysis, and local dynamics density had a C-statistic of 0.62. Earlier detection of hemorrhage might improve outcomes by allowing earlier resuscitation in STICU patients., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purposes: Heart rate characteristics monitoring for early detection of late-onset neonatal sepsis was first described in 2003. This technique, which uses mathematical methods to report the fold-increase in the risk of imminent neonatal sepsis, adds independent information to laboratory tests and clinical findings, and, in a large randomized trial, reduced NICU mortality of very low birth weight infants. Through re-analysis and new secondary analyses of published studies, we have systematically evaluated the utility of this new risk marker for screening the growing population of premature infants., Methods: We followed the guidelines proposed by Hlatky et al. (Circulation, 119:2408-2416, 2009), reviewed past works, and re-analyzed data from 1,489 patients receiving conventional monitoring alone, 348 of whom had 488 episodes of proven sepsis, in the large randomized trial., Results: Heart rate characteristics monitoring passed all phases of risk marker development from proof of concept to improvement of clinical outcomes. The predictiveness curve affirmed good calibration, and addition of the heart rate characteristics index to predictive models using standard risk factors favorably impacted the receiver operating characteristic curve area (increase of 0.030), continuous net reclassification index (0.389) and the integrated discrimination index (0.008), and compares well to other modern risk factors., Conclusion: Heart rate characteristics monitoring is a validated risk marker for sepsis in the NICU.

We wish to save lives of patients admitted to ICUs. Their mortality is high enough based simply on the severity of the original injury or illness, but is further raised by events during their stay. We target those events that are subacute but potentially catastrophic, such as infection. Sepsis, for example, is a bacterial infection of the bloodstream, that is common in ICU patients and has a >25% risk of death. Logically, early detection and treatment with antibiotics should improve outcomes. Our fundamental precepts are (1) some potentially catastrophic medical and surgical illnesses have subclinical phases during which early diagnosis and treatment might have life-saving effects, (2) these phases are characterized by changes in the normal highly complex but highly adaptive regulation and interaction of the nervous system and other organs such as the heart and lungs, (3) teams of clinicians and quantitative scientists can work together to identify clinically important abnormalities of monitoring data, to develop algorithms that match the clinicians' eye in detecting abnormalities, and to undertake the clinical trials to test their impact on outcomes.