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Background: We aimed to investigate prospective associations of circulating or adipose tissue odd-chain fatty acids 15:0 and 17:0 and trans-palmitoleic acid, t16:1n-7, as potential biomarkers of dairy fat intake, with incident type 2 diabetes (T2D)., Methods and Findings: Sixteen prospective cohorts from 12 countries (7 from the United States, 7 from Europe, 1 from Australia, 1 from Taiwan) performed new harmonised individual-level analysis for the prospective associations according to a standardised plan. In total, 63,682 participants with a broad range of baseline ages and BMIs and 15,180 incident cases of T2D over the average of 9 years of follow-up were evaluated. Study-specific results were pooled using inverse-variance-weighted meta-analysis. Prespecified interactions by age, sex, BMI, and race/ethnicity were explored in each cohort and were meta-analysed. Potential heterogeneity by cohort-specific characteristics (regions, lipid compartments used for fatty acid assays) was assessed with metaregression. After adjustment for potential confounders, including measures of adiposity (BMI, waist circumference) and lipogenesis (levels of palmitate, triglycerides), higher levels of 15:0, 17:0, and t16:1n-7 were associated with lower incidence of T2D. In the most adjusted model, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for incident T2D per cohort-specific 10th to 90th percentile range of 15:0 was 0.80 (0.73-0.87); of 17:0, 0.65 (0.59-0.72); of t16:1n7, 0.82 (0.70-0.96); and of their sum, 0.71 (0.63-0.79). In exploratory analyses, similar associations for 15:0, 17:0, and the sum of all three fatty acids were present in both genders but stronger in women than in men (pinteraction < 0.001). Whereas studying associations with biomarkers has several advantages, as limitations, the biomarkers do not distinguish between different food sources of dairy fat (e.g., cheese, yogurt, milk), and residual confounding by unmeasured or imprecisely measured confounders may exist., Conclusions: In a large meta-analysis that pooled the findings from 16 prospective cohort studies, higher levels of 15:0, 17:0, and t16:1n-7 were associated with a lower risk of T2D., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: JHYW and RM report research support from Unilever for other projects of the FORCE on other fatty acid biomarkers. RM reports personal fees from the World Bank and Bunge outside the submitted work. IAB reported involvement in a research project partly funded by Unilever. JMG and JdG received funding from Unilever for epidemiological studies of dietary and circulating fatty acids and cardiometabolic disease and for research on assessment of fatty acids. LCdG reported receiving ad hoc consulting fees from the Life Sciences Research Organization. CH reported receiving fees for a conference from Novartis. NGF is an invited member (unpaid) of ILSI-Europe Qualitative Fat Intake Task Force Expert Group on update on health effects of different saturated fats. DM reports research funding from the NIH and the Gates Foundation; personal fees from GOED, DSM, Nutrition Impact, Pollock Communications, Bunge, Indigo Agriculture, Amarin, Acasti Pharma, and America’s Test Kitchen; scientific advisory board, Omada Health, Elysium Health, and DayTwo; and chapter royalties from UpToDate; all outside the submitted work. Patents US8889739 and US9987243 to Tufts University (unlicensed), listing DM as a co-inventor, for use of trans-palmitoleic acid to prevent and treat insulin resistance, type 2 diabetes, and related conditions, as well as reduce metabolic risk factors. SSSM reported receiving an international award and unrestricted grants for meta-analysis work on dairy foods and cardiometabolic diseases from Global and Dutch Dairy Associations. Other authors do not have any conflict of interest to declare. The lead author affirms that the manuscript is an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the study being reported; that no important aspects of the study have been omitted; and that any discrepancies from the study as planned (and, if relevant, registered) have been explained.

Decreased insulin sensitivity, also referred to as insulin resistance (IR), is a fundamental abnormality in patients with type 2 diabetes and a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. While IR predisposition is heritable, the genetic basis remains largely unknown. The GENEticS of Insulin Sensitivity consortium conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) for direct measures of insulin sensitivity, such as euglycemic clamp or insulin suppression test, in 2,764 European individuals, with replication in an additional 2,860 individuals. The presence of a nonsynonymous variant of N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) [rs1208 (803A>G, K268R)] was strongly associated with decreased insulin sensitivity that was independent of BMI. The rs1208 "A" allele was nominally associated with IR-related traits, including increased fasting glucose, hemoglobin A1C, total and LDL cholesterol, triglycerides, and coronary artery disease. NAT2 acetylates arylamine and hydrazine drugs and carcinogens, but predicted acetylator NAT2 phenotypes were not associated with insulin sensitivity. In a murine adipocyte cell line, silencing of NAT2 ortholog Nat1 decreased insulin-mediated glucose uptake, increased basal and isoproterenol-stimulated lipolysis, and decreased adipocyte differentiation, while Nat1 overexpression produced opposite effects. Nat1-deficient mice had elevations in fasting blood glucose, insulin, and triglycerides and decreased insulin sensitivity, as measured by glucose and insulin tolerance tests, with intermediate effects in Nat1 heterozygote mice. Our results support a role for NAT2 in insulin sensitivity.

Sex hormones may play a role in the determination of cardiovascular disease. Recently lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) has been recognized as a risk factor for coronary heart disease. Estrogens and anabolic steroids have been reported to alter Lp(a) levels, yet no data are available on the association between in vivo concentrations of sex hormones and Lp(a) concentrations. We examined the possible associations of sex hormone-binding globulin, total and free testosterone, estradiol, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate to Lp(a) concentrations in men in two population-based studies (San Antonio Heart Study [n = 178] and a Finnish study on the association between insulin resistance and atherosclerosis [n = 87]). In neither study were sex hormones significantly related to Lp(a) concentrations. In addition, Lp(a) was significantly related to apolipoprotein(a) molecular weight (which was measured in the Finnish study only). These results were unchanged when Lp(a) concentrations were adjusted for apolipoprotein(a) molecular weight (a strong correlate of Lp[a] concentrations). We conclude that in vivo concentrations of sex hormones are unlikely to be associated with Lp(a) concentrations in men.