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Background: In the primary analysis of the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial, now published in the Journal, we report that the daily use of aspirin did not provide a benefit with regard to the primary end point of disability-free survival among older adults. A numerically higher rate of the secondary end point of death from any cause was observed with aspirin than with placebo.Methods: From 2010 through 2014, we enrolled community-dwelling persons in Australia and the United States who were 70 years of age or older (or ≥65 years of age among blacks and Hispanics in the United States) and did not have cardiovascular disease, dementia, or disability. Participants were randomly assigned to receive 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin or placebo. Deaths were classified according to the underlying cause by adjudicators who were unaware of trial-group assignments. Hazard ratios were calculated to compare mortality between the aspirin group and the placebo group, and post hoc exploratory analyses of specific causes of death were performed.Results: Of the 19,114 persons who were enrolled, 9525 were assigned to receive aspirin and 9589 to receive placebo. A total of 1052 deaths occurred during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up. The risk of death from any cause was 12.7 events per 1000 person-years in the aspirin group and 11.1 events per 1000 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.29). Cancer was the major contributor to the higher mortality in the aspirin group, accounting for 1.6 excess deaths per 1000 person-years. Cancer-related death occurred in 3.1% of the participants in the aspirin group and in 2.3% of those in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.56).Conclusions: Higher all-cause mortality was observed among apparently healthy older adults who received daily aspirin than among those who received placebo and was attributed primarily to cancer-related death. In the context of previous studies, this result was unexpected and should be interpreted with caution. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging and others; ASPREE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01038583 .). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Increasingly, the diagnostic codes from administrative claims data are being used as clinical outcomes., Methods and Results: Data from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) were used to compare event rates and risk factor associations between adjudicated hospitalized cardiovascular events and claims-based methods of defining events. The outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and heart failure were defined in 3 ways: the CHS adjudicated event (CHS[adj]), selected International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition diagnostic codes only in the primary position for Medicare claims data from the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS[1st]), and the same selected diagnostic codes in any position (CMS[any]). Conventional claims-based methods of defining events had high positive predictive values but low sensitivities. For instance, the positive predictive value of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition code 410.x1 for a new acute MI in the first position was 90.6%, but this code identified only 53.8% of incident MIs. The observed event rates for CMS[1st] were low. For MI, the incidence was 14.9 events per 1000 person-years for CHS[adj] MI, 8.6 for CMS[1st] MI, and 12.2 for CMS[any] MI. In general, cardiovascular disease risk factor associations were similar across the 3 methods of defining events. Indeed, traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors were also associated with all first hospitalizations not resulting from an MI., Conclusions: The use of diagnostic codes from claims data as clinical events, especially when restricted to primary diagnoses, leads to an underestimation of event rates. Additionally, claims-based events data represent a composite end point that includes the outcome of interest and selected (misclassified) nonevent hospitalizations., (© 2015 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Objectives: To estimate the likelihood of, and factors associated with, recovery from exhaustion in older adults., Design: Secondary analysis of a cohort study., Setting: Six annual examinations in four U.S. communities., Participants: Four thousand five hundred eighty-four men and women aged 69 and older., Measurements: Exhaustion was considered present when a participant responded "a moderate amount" or "most of the time" to either of two questions: "How often have you had a hard time getting going?" and "How often does everything seem an effort?", Results: Of the 964 participants who originally reported exhaustion, 634 (65.8%) were exhaustion free at least once during follow-up. When data from all time points were considered, 48% of those who reported exhaustion were exhaustion free the following year. After adjustment for age, sex, race, education, and marital status, 1-year recovery was less likely in individuals with worse self-rated health and in those who were taking six or more medications or were obese, depressed, or had musculoskeletal pain or history of stroke. In proportional hazards models, the following risk factors were associated with more persistent exhaustion over 5 years: poor self-rated health, six or more medications, obesity, and depression. Recovery was not less likely in participants with a history of cancer or heart disease., Conclusion: Exhaustion is common in old age but is dynamic, even in those with a history of cancer and congestive heart failure. Recovery is especially likely in seniors who have a positive perception of their overall health, take few medications, and are not obese or depressed. These findings support the notion that resiliency is associated with physical and psychological well-being., (© 2011, Copyright the Authors. Journal compilation © 2011, The American Geriatrics Society.)

Objective: To compare rates of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and rates of progression to dementia using different MCI diagnostic systems., Methods: MCI was investigated at baseline in 3063 community dwelling non-demented elderly in the Ginkgo Evaluation of Memory (GEM) study who were evaluated every 6 months to identify the presence of dementia. Overall MCI frequency was determined using (1) a Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) score of 0.5 and (2) neuropsychological (NP) criteria, defined by impairment on standard cognitive tests., Results: 40.2% of participants met CDR MCI criteria and 28.2% met NP MCI criteria (amnestic MCI = 16.6%). 15.7% were classified as MCI by both criteria and 47.4% as normal by both. Discordant diagnoses were observed in 24.5% who met NP normal/CDR MCI and in 12.4% who met NP MCI/CDR normal. Factors associated with CDR MCI among NP normal included lower education, lower NP scores, more instrumental activities of daily living impairment, greater symptoms of depression and subjective health problems. Individuals meeting NP MCI/CDR normal were significantly more likely to develop dementia over the median follow-up of 6.1 years than those meeting NP normal/CDR MCI., Conclusions: Different criteria produce different MCI rates and different conversion rates to dementia. Although a higher percentage of MCI was identified by CDR than NP, a higher percentage of NP MCI progressed to dementia. These findings suggest that the CDR is sensitive to subtle changes in cognition not identified by the NP algorithm but is also sensitive to demographic and clinical factors probably leading to a greater number of false positives. These results suggest that identifying all individuals with CDR scores of 0.5 as Alzheimer's disease is not advisable.

Background: Studies of the association between depressive symptoms and mortality in elderly populations have yielded contradictory findings. To address these discrepancies, we test this association using the most extensive array of sociodemographic and physical health control variables ever studied, to our knowledge, in a large population-based sample of elderly individuals., Objective: To examine the relation between baseline depressive symptoms and 6-year all-cause mortality in older persons, systematically controlling for sociodemographic factors, clinical disease, subclinical disease, and health risk factors., Methods: A total of 5201 men and women aged 65 years and older from 4 US communities participated in the study. Depressive symptoms and 4 categories of covariates were assessed at baseline. The primary outcome measure was 6-year mortality., Results: Of the 5201 participants, 984 (18.9%) died within 6 years. High baseline depressive symptoms were associated with a higher mortality rate (23.9%) than low baseline depression scores (17.7%) (unadjusted relative risk [RR], 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-1.63). Depression was also an independent predictor of mortality when controlling for sociodemographic factors (RR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.66), prevalent clinical disease (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.07-1.45), subclinical disease indicators (RR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.15-1.58), or biological or behavioral risk factors (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.22-1.65). When the best predictors from all 4 classes of variables were included as covariates, high depressive symptoms remained an independent predictor of mortality (RR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.06-1.46)., Conclusions: High levels of depressive symptoms are an independent risk factor for mortality in community-residing older adults. Motivational depletion may be a key underlying mechanism for the depression-mortality effect.

Objective: This article evaluates a demonstration program that extended coverage for disease prevention/health promotion services to Medicare beneficiaries., Study Setting/data Sources: Community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries who lived in five rural counties in northwest Pennsylvania were recruited between May and December 1989. The demonstration lasted 18 months and beneficiaries were followed for an additional 18 months. Data for the evaluation came from an initial health risk assessment, Medicare administrative records, follow-up surveys, and redeemed vouchers for the waivered services. The waivered services included health screenings, influenza immunization, nutritional counseling, smoking and alcohol cessation, and depression/dementia evaluations., Study Design: Medicare beneficiaries were randomized to one of two experimental groups and a control group. One experimental group received the newly waived services from hospitals that received a capitated fee; the other received services from providers who were paid fee-for-service. Eligibility for most waivered services was based on risk. Chi-square tests of association were used to determine if use of health promotion services and use of medical care services varied across groups. Logistic regressions were used to assess the factors associated with participation. Product-limit survival analysis was used to assess whether mortality rates varied across groups., Principal Findings: Participation rates in the new programs varied by program and by experimental group, and ranged from 16.8 percent for smoking cessation programs to 58 percent for influenza immunization. The demonstration led to an increase in influenza immunization rates relative to the control group. There were no differences in the use of medical care services or health outcomes between the experimental and control groups., Conclusions: Older rural Americans will modestly increase their use of disease prevention/ health promotion services if they are covered by Medicare. Use will be higher among those with more education. Further research is needed to assess long-term benefits of such programs.

While previous prospective multicenter studies have conducted cardiovascular disease surveillance, few have detailed the techniques relating to the ascertainment of and data collection for events. The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a population-based study of coronary heart disease and stroke in older adults. This article summarizes the CHS events protocol and describes the methods of surveillance and ascertainment of hospitalized and nonhospitalized events, the use of medical records and other support documents, organizational issues at the field center level, and the classification of events through an adjudication process. We present data on incidence and mortality, the classification of adjudicated events, and the agreement between classification by the Events Subcommittee and the medical records diagnostic codes. The CHS techniques are a successful model for complete ascertainment, investigation, and documentation of events in an older cohort.

The Health Care Financing Administration (HCFA) funded a series of demonstration programs to learn about the implications of extending coverage for disease prevention/health promotion services to Medicare beneficiaries. This article examines the use of such services by a rural population under this demonstration program. Individuals enrolled in the demonstration were eligible for specific risk reduction interventions. They were enrolled in one of two groups: (1) a hospital-based group in which hospitals were paid a capitated fee for providing all services and (2) a physician-based group in which physicians were paid fee-for-service for providing each service. Chi-square tests of association as well as logistic regression models were used to assess whether eligibility for services, and use of services by those eligible, varied by group and by sociodemographic characteristics. Forty-one percent were eligible for a nutrition program, 11% for smoking cessation, 2% for alcohol counseling, and 7% for dementia/depression evaluations. Participation in the programs varied across the programs and within programs by gender, education, and group assignment. Older rural Americans will use some disease prevention/health promotion services if they are covered by Medicare. Use will be higher among those with more education. Rural beneficiaries are more likely to use preventive services if encouraged to do so by their doctors rather than by hospital-based programs.

Few studies have evaluated the efficacy of cholesterol-lowering interventions in a community setting and have included a control or comparison group. As part of a preventive health demonstration project in rural Pennsylvania, Medicare beneficiaries underwent cholesterol screening to identify high-risk individuals with serum cholesterol levels > or = 240 mg/dL. These high-risk individuals were randomized to a cholesterol-lowering intervention through either local hospitals or physicians' offices or to a control group. Baseline and follow-up serum cholesterol levels collected two to three years later were compared according to service location (hospital versus physician's office), intervention attendance, degree of participation, baseline heart disease history, and cholesterol-lowering medication use at follow-up. Serum cholesterol levels decreased between 5.7% and 6.6% in the hospital-based and physician-based groups, as well as in a control group not offered the intervention. Participation rates did not differ between treatment groups, nor did participation affect serum cholesterol levels. Attendance level and heart disease history were not associated with a greater decrease in serum cholesterol levels. Individuals reporting cholesterol-lowering drug use at follow-up had significantly higher baseline serum cholesterol levels and a significantly greater decrease in total serum cholesterol (P < .0001) than those not on medication. Both nonpharmacological (diet) and pharmacological (drug) interventions will reduce serum cholesterol levels and heart attack risk. The study results suggest that, at least for older individuals, the impact of nonpharmacological interventions on the community is minimal. We conclude that only very aggressive treatment will significantly loser serum cholesterol levels in older individuals at risk for heart attack.