1. Predicting Risk of Multidrug-Resistant Enterobacterales Infections Among People With HIV.
- Author
-
Henderson, Heather I, Napravnik, Sonia, Kosorok, Michael R, Gower, Emily W, Kinlaw, Alan C, Aiello, Allison E, Williams, Billy, Wohl, David A, and Duin, David van
- Subjects
- *
HIV-positive persons , *CD4 lymphocyte count , *MACHINE learning , *CLASSIFICATION algorithms , *BACTERIAL diseases - Abstract
Background Medically vulnerable individuals are at increased risk of acquiring multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales (MDR-E) infections. People with HIV (PWH) experience a greater burden of comorbidities and may be more susceptible to MDR-E due to HIV-specific factors. Methods We performed an observational study of PWH participating in an HIV clinical cohort and engaged in care at a tertiary care center in the Southeastern United States from 2000 to 2018. We evaluated demographic and clinical predictors of MDR-E by estimating prevalence ratios (PRs) and employing machine learning classification algorithms. In addition, we created a predictive model to estimate risk of MDR-E among PWH using a machine learning approach. Results Among 4734 study participants, MDR-E was isolated from 1.6% (95% CI, 1.2%–2.1%). In unadjusted analyses, MDR-E was strongly associated with nadir CD4 cell count ≤200 cells/mm3 (PR, 4.0; 95% CI, 2.3–7.4), history of an AIDS-defining clinical condition (PR, 3.7; 95% CI, 2.3–6.2), and hospital admission in the prior 12 months (PR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.2–7.9). With all variables included in machine learning algorithms, the most important clinical predictors of MDR-E were hospitalization, history of renal disease, history of an AIDS-defining clinical condition, CD4 cell count nadir ≤200 cells/mm3, and current CD4 cell count 201–500 cells/mm3. Female gender was the most important demographic predictor. Conclusions PWH are at risk for MDR-E infection due to HIV-specific factors, in addition to established risk factors. Early HIV diagnosis, linkage to care, and antiretroviral therapy to prevent immunosuppression, comorbidities, and coinfections protect against antimicrobial-resistant bacterial infections. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF