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Aim: To undertake a cost‐effectiveness analysis of dapagliflozin in treating high‐risk patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), using both directly observed events in the DECLARE‐TIMI 58 trial and surrogate risk factors to predict endpoints not captured within the trial. Methods: An established T2DM model was adapted to integrate survival curves derived from the DECLARE‐TIMI 58 trial, and extrapolated over a lifetime for all‐cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, hospitalization for unstable angina, and end‐stage kidney disease. The economic analysis considered the overall DECLARE trial population, as well as reported patient subgroups. Total and incremental costs, life‐years and quality‐adjusted life‐years associated with dapagliflozin versus placebo were estimated from the perspective of the UK healthcare payer. Results: In the UK setting, treatment with dapagliflozin compared to placebo was estimated to be dominant, with an expected increase in quality‐adjusted life‐years from 10.43 to 10.48 (+0.06) and a reduction in lifetime total costs from £39 451 to £36 899 (−£2552). Across all patient subgroups, dapagliflozin was estimated to be dominant, with the greatest absolute benefit in the prior heart failure subgroup (incremental lifetime costs −£4150 and quality‐adjusted life‐years +0.11). Conclusions: The results of this study demonstrate that dapagliflozin compared to placebo appears to be cost‐effective, when considering evidence reported from the DECLARE‐TIMI 58 trial, at established UK willingness‐to‐pay thresholds. The findings highlight the potential of dapagliflozin to have a meaningful impact in reducing the economic burden of T2DM and its associated complications across a broad T2DM population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and is an independent risk factor for mortality. However, the impact of race has not been fully explored. Hypothesis: We evaluated the frequency, clinical characteristics, and long-term survival in South Asian and white patients with AF using a 'big data' approach. Methods: Using the United Kingdom (UK) Algorithm for Co-morbidity, Associations, Length of stay, and Mortality (ACALM) registry, we analyzed 1,816,230 adults hospitalized between January 2000 and July 2014 using ICD-10 and OPCS-4 coding systems. Ethnic status was identified and AF patients were selected. Using logistic regression, we examined the odds of mortality adjusted for demographics and co-morbid status. Results: In our large cohort, South Asian patients had a lower frequency of AF hospitalization compared with white patients (0.8% [1876/243,363] versus 4.5% [51,576/ 1, 151, 222], p=<0.001). Differences in demographics and baseline characteristics are highlighted in the Table below. Kaplan-Meier survival was worse in white patients hospitalized with AF (Figure). Following adjustment, white race was associated with a higher long-term mortality compared with South Asian race in patients with AF (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.26-1.51, p<0.001). Conclusions: In a 'big data' UK registry, AF hospitalization in South Asians appears less common and is associated with improved survival compared with white patients. Further investigation is required to understand the impact of race on AF prevalence and outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: History of a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy (HDP) among women may be useful to refine atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessments. However, future risk of diverse cardiovascular conditions in asymptomatic middle-aged women with prior HDP remains unknown.Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine the long-term incidence of diverse cardiovascular conditions among middle-aged women with and without prior HDP.Methods: Women in the prospective, observational UK Biobank age 40 to 69 years who reported ≥1 live birth were included. Noninvasive arterial stiffness measurement was performed in a subset of women. Cox models were fitted to associate HDP with incident cardiovascular diseases. Causal mediation analyses estimated the contribution of conventional risk factors to observed associations.Results: Of 220,024 women included, 2,808 (1.3%) had prior HDP. The mean age at baseline was 57.4 ± 7.8 years, and women were followed for median 7 years (interquartile range: 6.3 to 7.7 years). Women with HDP had elevated arterial stiffness indexes and greater prevalence of chronic hypertension compared with women without HDP. Overall, 7.0 versus 5.3 age-adjusted incident cardiovascular conditions occurred per 1,000 women-years for women with versus without prior HDP, respectively (p = 0.001). In analysis of time-to-first incident cardiovascular diagnosis, prior HDP was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.3 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.60; p = 0.02). HDP was associated with greater incidence of CAD (HR: 1.8; 95% CI: 1.3 to 2.6; p < 0.001), heart failure (HR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.04 to 2.60; p = 0.03), aortic stenosis (HR: 2.9; 95% CI: 1.5 to 5.4; p < 0.001), and mitral regurgitation (HR: 5.0; 95% CI: 1.5 to 17.1; p = 0.01). In causal mediation analyses, chronic hypertension explained 64% of HDP's association with CAD and 49% of HDP's association with heart failure.Conclusions: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are associated with accelerated cardiovascular aging and more diverse cardiovascular conditions than previously appreciated, including valvular heart disease. Cardiovascular risk after HDP is largely but incompletely mediated by development of chronic hypertension. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Importance: Recent guidelines endorse using history of menopause before age 40 years to refine atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessments among middle-aged women. Robust data on cardiovascular disease risk in this population are lacking., Objective: To examine the development of cardiovascular diseases and cardiovascular risk factors in women with natural and surgical menopause before age 40 years., Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study (UK Biobank), with adult residents of the United Kingdom recruited between 2006 and 2010. Of women who were 40 to 69 years old and postmenopausal at study enrollment, 144 260 were eligible for inclusion. Follow-up occurred through August 2016., Exposures: Natural premature menopause (menopause before age 40 without oophorectomy) and surgical premature menopause (bilateral oophorectomy before age 40). Postmenopausal women without premature menopause served as the reference group., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of incident coronary artery disease, heart failure, aortic stenosis, mitral regurgitation, atrial fibrillation, ischemic stroke, peripheral artery disease, and venous thromboembolism. Secondary outcomes included individual components of the primary outcome, incident hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and type 2 diabetes., Results: Of 144 260 postmenopausal women included (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 59.9 [5.4] years), 4904 (3.4%) had natural premature menopause and 644 (0.4%) had surgical premature menopause. Participants were followed up for a median of 7 years (interquartile range, 6.3-7.7). The primary outcome occurred in 5415 women (3.9%) with no premature menopause (incidence, 5.70/1000 woman-years), 292 women (6.0%) with natural premature menopause (incidence, 8.78/1000 woman-years) (difference vs no premature menopause, +3.08/1000 woman-years [95% CI, 2.06-4.10]; P < .001), and 49 women (7.6%) with surgical premature menopause (incidence, 11.27/1000 woman-years) (difference vs no premature menopause, +5.57/1000 woman-years [95% CI, 2.41-8.73]; P < .001). For the primary outcome, natural and surgical premature menopause were associated with hazard ratios of 1.36 (95% CI, 1.19-1.56; P < .001) and 1.87 (95% CI, 1.36-2.58; P < .001), respectively, after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors and use of menopausal hormone therapy., Conclusions and Relevance: Natural and surgical premature menopause (before age 40 years) were associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk for a composite of cardiovascular diseases among postmenopausal women. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms underlying these associations.