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Objective: The article aims to explore the impact of main factors on the export dynamics of Ukrainian regions in the pre-conflict and conflict periods. Research Design & Methods: The article investigates the relationship between the regional export performance and main factors influencing its development in Ukraine, based on regional data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and the National Bank of Ukraine for 2003-2019. The article focuses on the analysis of export dynamics in Ukraine. Moreover, the analysis investigated the impact of the war conflict on the export development, which was estimated as the change in the level of export. It was evaluated using the differential intercept dummy variable, as well as the change in the slope coefficient, the extent and significance of which were assessed employing slope dummy variables for every explanatory factor. The analysis was performed for coastal, non-coastal regions, and the country level separately. The modelling procedure included all standard methods for panel data analysis. Based on its results, the one-way fixed effects model was selected as the most suitable for the performed analysis. Findings: The obtained results confirmed that the export dynamics in coastal and non-coastal regions was affected by the spread of the war conflict to a different extent. This was expected due to the closer location of coastal regions to the war zone. This disparity was especially seen because of significantly different relationships between exports and imports in coastal and non-coastal regions, which deepened even further during the conflict period. Another interesting finding was the decrease of the production's influence on exports in coastal regions in the conflict period, which was strongly linked with the spread of the conflict. Implications & Recommendations: We suggest that the decline of the industry's impact on export trade was a consequence of the war in Ukraine. Thus, new priorities should be identified in terms of the development of Ukrainian industry to minimize the negative influence of the conflict on this economic sector, enhance the quality of manufactured goods, and improve the access of the country's companies to international markets. In this context, it is important to continue Ukraine's further integration with the European Union and to deepen industrial cooperation with the EU, the USA, and other countries. Taking into account the existing situation in the country, the mechanism for attraction of foreign direct investment should be also improved. Contribution & Value Added: The novelty of our article is that the influence of industry on exports of Ukrainian regions was investigated, considering coastal and non-coastal regions in the pre-conflict and conflict periods separately. The article contributes to the development of the theory and practice, because it enhances the understanding of how the conflict impacts relationship between the selected determinants and regional export activities. The change of the export dynamics in coastal and non-coastal regions can be used as the case study for comparison of regions which are more (coastal) and less (non-coastal) affected by the war conflict. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Research background: In recent years, special attention has been given to the research direction regarding the study of economic, social, and demographic aspects of regional development. This direction is especially important for transition countries, including Ukraine. Despite that, there is a lack of research studies in which interdependencies of economic and demographic indicators of Ukraine's regions are investigated. Purpose of the article: The paper assesses the relationships between the selected indicators of Ukrainian regions (export of goods per capita, foreign direct investment per capita, and the average resident population) and gross regional product per capita. Methods: Research results were compared in the periods before and during the military conflict in the eastern part of the country, based on regional data for 2010 and 2015. We used a multiple linear econometric model and tested multicollinearity. Findings & Value added: The analysis confirms that there is a positive correlation between export of goods and gross regional product and between foreign direct investment and gross regional product. That is why it is necessary to pay attention to the effective use of existing trade opportunities, especially within the framework of the Ukraine -- EU Association Agreement, and to elaborate directions for further expansion of export activities. It is important to provide simpler and more understandable conditions in order to attract foreign investments in Ukrainian regions. Our study also shows that there is no influence of the average resident population on gross regional product. In many aspects, the interaction between demographic and economic components takes place through the labour market. This situation indicates that insufficient attention is given to regional employment issues, and the quantitative and structural imbalance is observed on the labour market at the regional level. In our opinion, to improve the situation, targeted activities should be elaborated on in the frame of regional development programmes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]