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Aim: To predict the risk of hypoglycaemia using machine‐learning techniques in hospitalized patients. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized under general internal medicine (GIM) and cardiovascular surgery (CV) at a tertiary care teaching hospital in Toronto, Ontario. Three models were generated using supervised machine learning: least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression; gradient‐boosted trees; and a recurrent neural network. Each model included baseline patient data and time‐varying data. Natural‐language processing was used to incorporate text data from physician and nursing notes. Results: We included 8492 GIM admissions and 8044 CV admissions. Hypoglycaemia occurred in 16% of GIM admissions and 13% of CV admissions. The area under the curve for the models in the held‐out validation set was approximately 0.80 on the GIM ward and 0.82 on the CV ward. When the threshold for hypoglycaemia was lowered to 2.9 mmol/L (52 mg/dL), similar results were observed. Among the patients at the highest decile of risk, the positive predictive value was approximately 50% and the sensitivity was 99%. Conclusion: Machine‐learning approaches can accurately identify patients at high risk of hypoglycaemia in hospital. Future work will involve evaluating whether implementing this model with targeted clinical interventions can improve clinical outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Patient characteristics, clinical care, resource use and outcomes associated with admission to hospital for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Canada are not well described.Methods: We described all adults with COVID-19 or influenza discharged from inpatient medical services and medical-surgical intensive care units (ICUs) between Nov. 1, 2019, and June 30, 2020, at 7 hospitals in Toronto and Mississauga, Ontario. We compared patient outcomes using multivariable regression models, controlling for patient sociodemographic factors and comorbidity level. We validated the accuracy of 7 externally developed risk scores to predict mortality among patients with COVID-19.Results: There were 1027 hospital admissions with COVID-19 (median age 65 yr, 59.1% male) and 783 with influenza (median age 68 yr, 50.8% male). Patients younger than 50 years accounted for 21.2% of all admissions for COVID-19 and 24.0% of ICU admissions. Compared with influenza, patients with COVID-19 had significantly greater in-hospital mortality (unadjusted 19.9% v. 6.1%, adjusted relative risk [RR] 3.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.56-4.68), ICU use (unadjusted 26.4% v. 18.0%, adjusted RR 1.50, 95% CI 1.25-1.80) and hospital length of stay (unadjusted median 8.7 d v. 4.8 d, adjusted rate ratio 1.45, 95% CI 1.25-1.69). Thirty-day readmission was not significantly different (unadjusted 9.3% v. 9.6%, adjusted RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.70-1.39). Three points-based risk scores for predicting in-hospital mortality showed good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] ranging from 0.72 to 0.81) and calibration.Interpretation: During the first wave of the pandemic, admission to hospital for COVID-19 was associated with significantly greater mortality, ICU use and hospital length of stay than influenza. Simple risk scores can predict in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19 with good accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is a major cause of death worldwide. TB research draws heavily on clinical cohorts which can be generated using electronic health records (EHR), but granular information extracted from unstructured EHR data is limited. The St. Michael's Hospital TB database (SMH-TB) was established to address gaps in EHR-derived TB clinical cohorts and provide researchers and clinicians with detailed, granular data related to TB management and treatment. Methods: We collected and validated multiple layers of EHR data from the TB outpatient clinic at St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada to generate the SMH-TB database. SMH-TB contains structured data directly from the EHR, and variables generated using natural language processing (NLP) by extracting relevant information from free-text within clinic, radiology, and other notes. NLP performance was assessed using recall, precision and F1 score averaged across variable labels. We present characteristics of the cohort population using binomial proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI), with and without adjusting for NLP misclassification errors. Results: SMH-TB currently contains retrospective patient data spanning 2011 to 2018, for a total of 3298 patients (N = 3237 with at least 1 associated dictation). Performance of TB diagnosis and medication NLP rulesets surpasses 93% in recall, precision and F1 metrics, indicating good generalizability. We estimated 20% (95% CI: 18.4–21.2%) were diagnosed with active TB and 46% (95% CI: 43.8–47.2%) were diagnosed with latent TB. After adjusting for potential misclassification, the proportion of patients diagnosed with active and latent TB was 18% (95% CI: 16.8–19.7%) and 40% (95% CI: 37.8–41.6%) respectively Conclusion: SMH-TB is a unique database that includes a breadth of structured data derived from structured and unstructured EHR data by using NLP rulesets. The data are available for a variety of research applications, such as clinical epidemiology, quality improvement and mathematical modeling studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying venous thromboembolism (VTE) from large clinical and administrative databases is important for research and quality improvement. To develop and validate natural language processing (NLP) algorithms to identify VTE from radiology reports among general internal medicine (GIM) inpatients. This cross-sectional study included GIM hospitalizations between April 1, 2010 and March 31, 2017 at 5 hospitals in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. We developed NLP algorithms to identify pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep venous thrombosis (DVT) from radiologist reports of thoracic computed tomography (CT), extremity compression ultrasound (US), and nuclear ventilation-perfusion (VQ) scans in a training dataset of 1551 hospitalizations. We compared the accuracy of our NLP algorithms, the previously-published "simpleNLP" tool, and administrative discharge diagnosis codes (ICD-10-CA) for PE and DVT to the "gold standard" manual review in a separate random sample of 4000 GIM hospitalizations. Our NLP algorithms were highly accurate for identifying DVT from US, with sensitivity 0.94, positive predictive value (PPV) 0.90, and Area Under the Receiver-Operating-Characteristic Curve (AUC) 0.96; and in identifying PE from CT, with sensitivity 0.91, PPV 0.89, and AUC 0.96. Administrative diagnosis codes and the simple NLP tool were less accurate for DVT (ICD-10-CA sensitivity 0.63, PPV 0.43, AUC 0.81; simpleNLP sensitivity 0.41, PPV 0.36, AUC 0.66) and PE (ICD-10-CA sensitivity 0.83, PPV 0.70, AUC 0.91; simpleNLP sensitivity 0.89, PPV 0.62, AUC 0.92). Administrative diagnosis codes are unreliable in identifying VTE in hospitalized patients. We developed highly accurate NLP algorithms to identify VTE from radiology reports in a multicentre sample and have made the algorithms freely available to the academic community with a user-friendly tool (https://lks-chart.github.io/CHARTextract-docs/08-downloads/rulesets.html#venous-thromboembolism-vte-rulesets) • ICD-10 codes do not reliably identify venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized adults. • We developed algorithms to accurately identify VTE from radiology reports. • This tool is freely available for researchers: https://lks-chart.github.io/CHARTextract-docs/ [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]