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The related atmospheric and oceanic factors are investigated in this analysis to understand the natural attributes responsible for the significant increase of the high temperature extremes (HTEs) on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in summer. It is found that a stronger-than-normal South Asian high (SAH) and corresponding weaker-than-normal East Asian jet, an anomalous anticyclone and intensified midlevel westerly wind over the TP, and a more extensive, stronger, farther westward- and northward-stretching western Pacific subtropical high motivate more occurrences of HTEs over the TP on the interannual time scale. From 1961 to 2021, these crucial circulation patterns show a significant changing trend favorable for the occurrence of HTEs and thus contribute to its great increase. Further, the significant warmings of sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical western Indian, northern North Pacific, and western North Atlantic Oceans make great contributions through different air–sea interactive processes as the Matsuno–Gill response, zonal vertical circulation cell, and mid- to high-latitude teleconnection wave train, respectively. Meanwhile, the interdecadal variability plays an important role. A breakpoint at the early twenty-first century is detected in the occurrence of summer HTEs on the TP. Both the crucial circulation patterns and the SST anomalies in the key oceanic regions experienced significant interdecadal transition to favor the occurrence of HTEs. In particular, the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) is significantly and positively correlated with the interdecadal variation of summer HTEs on the TP. The zonal teleconnection wave train triggered by AMO forms a stronger-than-normal SAH and strengthened midlevel westerly airflow over the TP, conducive to the increase of summer HTEs on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The evident nocturnal peak dominates the summer rainfall over the Sichuan Basin (SCB), which is closely related to the nocturnal intensification of low-level winds. Based on 21-year IMERG rainfall product and reanalysis data during summertime (June–August) from 2000 to 2020, the low-level winds are classified into four groups, with strong or weak daily mean wind accompanied by a large or small diurnal amplitude, to clarify their influences on rainfall over the SCB. The results show that under strong daily mean wind conditions, the westward extension of the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) determines the southwesterly monsoon airflow to be tuned to the southerly over the eastern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, which provides abundant warm and moist air resources for rainfall within the basin through the southeastern side of the SCB. Strong mean winds, coupled with a large diurnal amplitude due to the acceleration of easterly, strengthen the moisture convergence at night, and contribute to the rainfall increasing remarkable over the SCB with a peak at midnight. Meanwhile, there is an apparent anomalous low-level warming over the SCB, creating more unstable atmospheric conditions. In addition, the weak upward motion associated with the afternoon heating over the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) enhances the easterly and facilitates the development of upward motion over the western SCB in the early night, which is responsible for the larger diurnal amplitude of rainfall. On the contrary, rainfall is suppressed and the diurnal amplitude of rainfall is gentle under the condition of weak daily wind with small diurnal amplitude, due to the weak moisture transport and cooling planetary boundary layer related to the deepened midlatitude trough, as well as more active convection over the eastern slope of TP during the day. The results imply that atmospheric conditions associated with diurnal variation of low-level winds should be considered as a key component in regulating the rainfall and moisture budget over the SCB, the strength of low-level winds in the early evening may provide a predictive signal for the development of nocturnal rainfall over the SCB. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) observation platform obtained the first vertical profiles of particle number size distribution (PNSD) from 7 to 16 July 2022 on the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau (ESTP). The results were from two flanks at the Chuni (CN) and Tianquan (TQ) sites, which are alongside a mountain (Mt. Erlang). The observations revealed a significant negative correlation between the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and the particle number concentration (PNC), and the correlation coefficient was −0.19. During the morning, the rise in the PBLH at the CN and TQ sites caused decreases of 16.43% and 58.76%, respectively, in the PNC. Three distinct profile characteristics were classified: Type I, the explosive growth of fine particles with a size range of 130–272 nm under conditions of low humidity, strong wind shear, and northerly winds; Type II, the process of particles with a size range of 130–272 nm showing hygroscopic growth into larger particles (e.g., 226–272 nm) under high humidity conditions (RH > 85%), with a maximum vertical change rate of about −1653 # cm−3 km−1 for N130–272 and about 3098 # cm−3 km−1 for N272–570; and Type III, in which during the occurrence of a surface low-pressure center and an 850 hPa low-vortex circulation in the Sichuan Basin, polluting air masses originating from urban agglomeration were transported to the ESTP region, resulting in an observed increase in the PNC below 600 nm. Overall, this study sheds light on the various factors affecting the vertical profiles of PNSD in the ESTP region, including regional transport, meteorological conditions, and particle growth processes, helping us to further understand the various features of the aerosol and atmospheric physical character in this key region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using an objective feature-tracking algorithm and the fifth major global reanalysis produced by ECMWF data (ERA5), the seasonal behaviors of cyclonic transient eddies (cyclones) at different levels around the Tibetan Plateau (TP) were examined to understand the effects of the TP on cyclones. Results show that the TP tends to change the moving directions of the remote cyclones when they are close to the TP, with only 2% of the 250-hPa eastward-moving cyclones directly passing over the TP. The sudden reductions of their moving speeds and relative vorticity intensities around the TP suggest a suppression effect of the plateau. Over 70% of these cyclones perish over the TP regardless of the altitude. This percentage decreases to around 65% during summertime, exhibiting a weaker summer suppression effect. On the other hand, the TP has a stimulation effect on local cyclones through its dynamic forcing in winter, thermodynamic forcing in summer, and both forcings in the transitional seasons. The numbers of locally generated cyclones, especially at 500 hPa, just above the TP, are significantly larger than those of the remote cyclones during all seasons. Although about one-half of the local cyclones dissipate over the TP, the cyclones moving off the plateau significantly outnumber the moving-in cyclones, with the differences ranging from 0 to 6 cyclones per month. Only the 250-hPa wintertime moving-off cyclones are fewer than the cyclones entering the TP, which may be caused by the weaker stimulation effect and stronger suppression effect of the TP on the wintertime upper-level cyclones. Significance Statement: Cyclonic transient eddies (cyclones), steered by westerly jet streams, can influence climate and induce extreme weather processes under certain conditions. The Tibetan Plateau (TP), the highest and largest obstacle embedded in the westerly jet streams, suppresses remote cyclones entering the TP region, destroying over 70% of these cyclones. However, because of the excitation effect of the TP on local cyclones, the numbers of cyclones moving off the TP are still larger than or equal to those of the moving-in cyclones, except at the upper levels in winter. This feature suggests that the TP cannot significantly decrease the total cyclone numbers in most cases, but it indeed weakens the mean intensity and moving speed of the cyclones. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The onset of the Tibetan Plateau rainy season (OTPRS) marks the transition from dry season to wet season in situ, which has a great impact on the water cycle and atmospheric heating in extensive areas. This analysis found that the earlier OTPRS is controlled by the weakened westerly wind, a dipole vortex pair with an anomalous anti‐cyclone over Lake Baikal but an anomalous cyclone over the Tibetan Plateau, the intensified southerly water vapour transportation on the southern edge of the Tibetan Plateau, the active convection and the increased humidity over the Tibetan Plateau in spring. And the opposite circulation anomalies correspond to the later OTPRS. The interannual variation in the OTPRS is closely related to sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the North Pacific in the previous winter, with the opposite phase between the 'tongue' extending eastward from the China East Sea and the surrounding 'semi‐circle' in the east. This pattern features the third leading mode of the winter SSTA in the North Pacific and can persist to spring. The vertical motion, convergence and divergence associated with the direct thermal effect from the significant SSTA centres in the southeastern and northwestern North Pacific form two opposite zonal circulation circles along 30°N. The zonal circulation circles bridge the SSTA in the North Pacific and the circulation anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau and have a delayed impact on convection over the Tibetan Plateau, thereby affecting the OTPRS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There is a consensus that snow over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) modulates the regional climate significantly. Possible causes for the interannual variability of snow over the TP, however, are under debate, especially regarding the independent roles of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean dipole (IOD). Based on in situ observational data analyses and model simulations, our study shows that impacts of ENSO and IOD on snow depth (SD) over the TP are different during early winter. In particular, ENSO mostly affects SD over the eastern TP, while IOD affects SD over the central western TP. Both above‐normal snowfall and cold temperature anomaly contribute to deeper‐than‐normal SD, with the former playing a more important role. Diabatic cooling of the suppressed convection over the western North Pacific that related to the positive phase of ENSO could excite an anomalous cyclonic circulation and strong cold temperature anomalies over the eastern TP. There is an enhanced moisture transported over the eastern TP from the tropics due to the anomalous cyclonic circulation, along with strong cold temperature anomalies, resulting in above‐normal snowfall in the eastern TP. On the other hand, anomalous convection over the western Indian Ocean related to the positive IOD could generate a wave train propagating northeastward and induce an anomalous cyclonic circulation over the central western TP. The associated anomalous circulation transports extra moisture from the tropics to the central western TP, providing conditions favorable for more snowfall over the central western TP. Opposite conditions tend to occur during negative phases of ENSO and IOD. Key Points: Impacts of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean dipole on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) snow depth are different in early winterEl Niño‐Southern Oscillation affects snow depth over the eastern TP by modulating convection over the western North PacificIndian Ocean dipole‐related convection anomalies over the western Indian Ocean could affect the central western TP snow depth [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Intraseasonal variability of rainfall over the Indian subcontinent (IS) and the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has been discussed widely but often separately. In this study, we investigate the covariability of rainfall across the IS and the TP on intraseasonal time scales and its impact on interannual variability of regional rainfall. The most dominant mode of rainfall intraseasonal variability across the region features a dipole pattern with significant out-of-phase rainfall anomalies between the southeastern TP and the central and northern IS. This dipole rainfall pattern is associated with intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) of 10–20 days and 30–60 days, especially the latter. An active spell of rainfall in the central and northern IS (southeastern TP) is associated with the strengthening (northward shift) of water vapor transport of the Indian summer monsoon, resulting in more water vapor entering into the central and northern IS (southeastern TP) and thus more rainfall. The 10–20-day ISO of the dipole rainfall pattern is caused by the 10–20-day atmospheric ISO in both the tropics and the extratropics, whereas the 30–60-day ISO of the dipole rainfall pattern is only associated with atmospheric ISO in the tropics. The dipole rainfall pattern resembles the most dominant mode of interannual variability of July–August mean rainfall. The 30–60-day ISO of the dipole rainfall pattern has an important contribution to the dipole pattern of July–August mean rainfall anomalies on an interannual time scale due to the different frequencies of occurrence of the active and break phases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using the data of CloudSat satellite, FY series satellite, CMORPH hourly precipitation, and ERA-interim reanalysis products, this paper aims to reveal the cloud features of Tibetan Plateau Vortex (TPV) category cloud clusters over its eastward-moving regions. 107 cases of eastward-moving TPV category that occurred in the summer half-year (April to September) are picked out, and then the cloud features of them are further analyzed by statistics. The results show that the eastward-moving TPV category occurs mostly in May and June, but leastly in July and September. With consecutive enhancement of precipitation intensity and convection intensity, an increasing trend is found in the proportions of deep convection clouds and multiple layer clouds during the TPV category eastward movement. In order to reveal the inner connection among the precipitation intensity, the convection intensity, and the microphysical characteristics of TPV category cloud clusters, the TPV category cloud clusters are classified into different categories by the criteria of the precipitation intensity and the convection intensity separately. Consequently, the two different criteria share the commonality that the number concentration of both ice crystal and cloud droplets increases obviously with the enhancement of precipitation intensity or convection intensity. However, the discrepancy of conclusions also exists between the two classification criteria. A notable stretching upward trend is found in the number concentration distribution of the ice crystal and downward trend in the number concentration distribution of the cloud droplet. The same increasing trend is also discovered in the effective average radius of the ice crystal and cloud droplet. But the TPV category cloud clusters with severe convection do not present the similar variation trend both in the number concentration and the effective average radius. Hence, although the above findings confirm that the precipitation intensity, the convection intensity, and the distribution of cloud hydrometers are associated and interacting mutually, the closed function relationship among them cannot be established, and other meteorology factors related to the ambient conditions should also be taken into consideration as a complete cloud microphysical system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A realistic simulation of rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is a big challenge for both regional and global climate models. In this study, we investigate the simulations of summer rainfall over the TP from 1979 to 2010 by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with various horizontal resolutions and cumulus schemes, with a focus on the difference in the model's skill in simulating interannual variability of rainfall between early and high summer. The WRF captures spatial pattern of climatological summer mean rainfall over the TP. However, it produces apparent wet bias, especially in southern and eastern edges of the TP. Despite this climatological bias, WRF skilfully reproduces the interannual variability of summer rainfall over the southeastern TP, where maximum rainfall is located. An increase in horizontal resolution or an appropriate cumulus scheme mostly improves the simulation of climatological mean rainfall. However, the phase of interannual variability of simulated rainfall is not sensitive to horizontal resolution and cumulus scheme. Instead, it is sensitive to mechanisms responsible for interannual variability of rainfall. WRF has a high skill in simulating the interannual variability of rainfall over the southeastern TP in July and August, but a low skill in June. The WRF's high skill is attributed to that the interannual variability of July–August rainfall is largely driven by large‐scale circulation, while its low skill for June rainfall may be ascribed to the overestimation of snow and its relationship with rainfall. This figure shows normalized rainfall averaged over the southeastern TP from rain gauge observation and four model simulations. The WRF has high skill in simulating interannual variability of rainfall in July and August when it is significantly affected by large‐scale circulation anomalies. However, it exhibits low skill for interannual variability of rainfall in June, which may be attributed to its deficiencies in snow simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has long been regarded as a key driver for the formation and variations of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Recent studies, however, have indicated that the ISM also exerts a considerable impact on rainfall variations in the TP, suggesting that the ISM and the TP should be considered as an interactive system. From this perspective, the covariability of the July-August mean rainfall across the Indian subcontinent (IS) and the TP is investigated. It is found that the interannual variation of IS and TP rainfall exhibits a dipole pattern in which rainfall in the central and northern IS tends to be out of phase with that in the southeastern TP. This dipole pattern is associated with significant anomalies in rainfall, atmospheric circulation, and water vapor transport over the Asian continent and nearby oceans. Rainfall anomalies and the associated latent heating in the central and northern IS tend to induce changes in regional circulation that suppress rainfall in the southeastern TP and vice versa. Furthermore, the sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical southeastern Indian Ocean can trigger the dipole rainfall pattern by suppressing convection over the central IS and the northern Bay of Bengal, which further induces anomalous anticyclonic circulation to the south of TP that favors more rainfall in the southeastern TP by transporting more water vapor to the region. The dipole pattern is also linked to the Silk Road wave train via its link to rainfall over the northwestern IS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Floods and droughts hit southwest China (SWC) frequently, especially over the last decade. In this study, the dominant modes of summer rainfall anomalies over SWC on the interannual time scale and the possible causes are investigated. Interannual variability of the summer rainfall over SWC has two dominant modes. The first mode features rainfall increases over most of SWC except central Sichuan, and the second mode exhibits wet conditions in the north but dry conditions in the south. The suppressed convection over the Philippine Sea affects the first mode by inducing anomalous anticyclones over the western North Pacific and to the south of the Tibetan Plateau, which transport more water vapor to eastern Tibet and eastern SWC and hence favor above-normal rainfall there. The enhanced convection over the western Maritime Continent could generate similar atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with the suppressed convection over the Philippine Sea but with a northward shift, resulting in significant increases in rainfall over northeastern SWC but weak decreases in rainfall over southeastern SWC. As a result, the rainfall anomalies over SWC tend to be different between El Niño-Southern Oscillation decaying and developing phases because their different impacts on the convection over the Philippine Sea and the western Maritime Continent. Meanwhile, the sea surface temperature in the tropical southeastern Indian Ocean also plays an important role in variability of the rainfall over SWC because of its significant impact on the convection over the western Maritime Continent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT In this study, we examined the annual precipitation amounts, the seasonality over global land and their linear trends, as well as the uncertainties in two observations (precipitation reconstruction and Global Precipitation Climatology Centre), and then compared them with historical runs by multiple models. Overall, the large-scale patterns of both the climatology of the annual precipitation amount and the seasonality are consistent between the two observations. Nevertheless, some noticeable differences existed, particularly in the regions with fewer gauge observations, such as northern Africa and the Tibetan Plateau. For long-term changes, significant drying trends during 1948-2005 were observed in the tropical areas of northern Africa, accompanied by significant wetting trends in the polar region of Canada. The seasonality change during the period was dominated by a decreasing trend in precipitation, especially in the western portion of Russia. The model simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 5 ( CMIP5) reproduced the climatological mean state of annual precipitation and its seasonality in the observations, as well as to some extent the zonal mean trends of precipitation amounts, but did not reproduce the zonal mean trends of seasonality. The two-dimensional distribution of linear trends of annual precipitation and seasonality simulated by CMIP5 models showed little consistency with their observational counterparts. One possibility for the inconsistencies was that they were largely determined by internal variations of the climate system rather than external forcings. In contrast, it might also suggest a challenge for state-of-the-art climate models to correctly simulate the spatial distribution of responses of annual precipitation amounts and seasonality to the evolution of external forcings. Our results suggest that, in addition to the precipitation amount, seasonality should be used as a metric to assess the ability of a climate model to simulate current climate conditions and project future climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The impacts of summer atmospheric heat source over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) on regional climate variation have attracted extensive attention. However, few studies have focused on possible causes of the interannual variation of atmospheric heat source over the TP. Total heat (TH) is generally composed of three components: surface sensible heat, latent heat release of condensation (LH), and radiative convergence. In this study, it is found that interannual variation of summer TH is dominated by LH in the central and eastern TP. The atmospheric circulation patterns associated with the TH over the TP in June are different from those in July and August. Large TH is accompanied by a cyclone centered over the South China Sea in June, which is replaced by an anticyclone in July and August. The interannual variation of July-August TH over the central and eastern TP is significantly affected by convection around the western Maritime Continent (WMC) that modulates the LH over the southeastern TP. Enhanced WMC convection induces an anticyclone to the south of the TP, which favors water vapor transport to the southeastern TP and thus an increase in precipitation. Enhanced convection over the southeastern TP may exert a positive feedback on local precipitation through pumping more water vapor from the southern boundary. Both observations and model simulations indicate that the enhanced WMC convection can induce the anticyclone to the south of the TP and convection-circulation is important for maintenance of the anticyclone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Heavy rainfall (HR) often hits the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau (EETP) and causes severe flood and landslide in summer, especially in July. In this study, the authors investigate the interannual variation of July HR events and its possible causes. The maximum number of days with HR in July is located at the EETP in China. It is significantly and negatively correlated with the rainfall in southeastern China. More HR events are accompanied by an anomalous lower-tropospheric anticyclone over southeastern China, a westward movement of the western North Pacific subtropical high, and enhanced rainfall in the Maritime Continent (MC). The MC convection exerts a significant impact on the variation of HR events over EETP. Results from analyses of observations and numerical simulations indicate that the convective heating over the MC induces an anomalous anticyclone over southeastern China and the Ekman pumping effect and circulation-convection feedback play vital roles in the process. The high correlation between the HR events over EETP and the equatorial central Pacific SST depends on the relationship between the MC convection and the equatorial central Pacific SST. The relationship is asymmetric, and only the warm SST anomaly in the equatorial central Pacific is accompanied by fewer HR events over the EETP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The variability of climate in the lee side of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) often exhibits unique features. In this study, the authors investigate the variations of early autumn rainfall in the lee side of the TP (LSTP). The rainfall amount and number of rain days in LSTP increase from August to September. The center of heavy and torrential rains during September is located in LSTP as well. These unique features are attributed to later withdrawal of the East Asian summer monsoon in the middle and higher troposphere compared to the lower troposphere and stronger South Asian summer monsoon and thermal forcing of the TP. The September rainfall in LSTP experienced strong interdecadal fluctuation, with overall below normal rainfall from mid-1980s to late 2000s, while there was no apparent long-term trend in the August and October rainfall amount. The above normal September rainfall is associated with an anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific, a weaker-than-normal ridge around the Lake Baikal, a stronger-than-normal East Asian jet stream, and warmer air over the southeastern TP. The interdecadal decrease in rainfall in September may be caused by the central equatorial Pacific warming, which induces an anomalous cyclone over the western North Pacific. The September anomalous cyclone is stronger and more westward compared to that in August and October, and thus favors the below normal rainfall in LSTP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]