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Aims: To prospectively investigate the prevalence of coronary artery plaques (CAP) as detected by computed tomography-based angiography in a large number of consecutive individuals with no history of coronary artery disease (CAD) or acute coronary syndrome; to evaluate whether traditional risk factors are related to prevalence of CAP and to the expected 10-year risk of first major or fatal cardiovascular event (CVE). Design: Prospective, single-centre, cross-sectional study. Setting: The division of Cardiology at Fondazione Cardiocentro Ticino Lugano, Switzerland. Methods: We prospectively included 920 consecutive individuals with no history of CAD who underwent computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA). Risk estimation of fatal and non-fatal CVE was assessed using Global Assessment Risk (GAR) and Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), respectively. Logistic regression was used to assess the association of risk factors with the prevalence of CAP. Results: CAP was found in 459 (49.9%) individuals. Older age, higher body mass index, male gender, diabetes, hypertension and dyslipidaemia all increased the likelihood of the CAP burden at univariable analysis (p<0.001). At the multivariable analysis older age, male gender, hypertension and diabetes independently increased the likelihood of CAP burden (p<0.001). An increase in likelihood of CAP was observed in the presence of one, two and three or more risk factors and with an increasing value of GAR and SCORE. Notably, about 18% of subjects with CAP did not report any traditional risk factors and among individuals without CAPs, 12% had three or more risk factors. Conclusions: A direct relation between the prevalence of CAP, number of risk factors and the related 10-year risk of CVE was found. 18% of subjects without risk factors had CAP. In these individuals CTCA may help in further optimising the risk reduction strategies on an individual basis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Multiple risk prediction models have been validated in all-age patients presenting with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); however, they have not been validated specifically in the elderly., Methods: We calculated the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score, the logistic EuroSCORE, the AMIS (Acute Myocardial Infarction Swiss registry) score, and the SYNTAX (Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery) score in a consecutive series of 114 patients ≥75 years presenting with ACS and treated with PCI within 24 hours of hospital admission. Patients were stratified according to score tertiles and analysed retrospectively by comparing the lower/mid tertiles as an aggregate group with the higher tertile group. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. Secondary endpoints were the composite of death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 30 days, and 1-year MACE-free survival. Model discrimination ability was assessed using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)., Results: Thirty-day mortality was higher in the upper tertile compared with the aggregate lower/mid tertiles according to the logistic EuroSCORE (42% vs 5%; odds ratio [OR] = 14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4-48; p <0.001; AUC = 0.79), the GRACE score (40% vs 4%; OR = 17, 95% CI = 4-64; p <0.001; AUC = 0.80), the AMIS score (40% vs 4%; OR = 16, 95% CI = 4-63; p <0.001; AUC = 0.80), and the SYNTAX score (37% vs 5%; OR = 11, 95% CI = 3-37; p <0.001; AUC = 0.77)., Conclusions: In elderly patients presenting with ACS and referred to PCI within 24 hours of admission, the GRACE score, the EuroSCORE, the AMIS score, and the SYNTAX score predicted 30 day mortality. The predictive value of clinical scores was improved by using them in combination.